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TRANSCRIPT
Full year 2013, outlook for 2014 and strategic update
Copenhagen, 4 February 2014
This presentation contains forward-looking statements concerning Vestas' financial condition, results of operations and business. All statements other than statements of historical fact are, or may be deemed to be, forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements are statements of future expectations that are based on management’s current expectations and assumptions and involve known and unknown risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results, performance or events to differ materially from those expressed or implied in these statements.
Forward-looking statements include, among other things, statements concerning Vestas' potential exposure to market risks and statements expressing management’s expectations, beliefs, estimates, forecasts, projections and assumptions. There are a number of factors that could affect Vestas' future operations and could cause Vestas' results to differ materially from those expressed in the forward-looking statements included in this presentation, including (without limitation): (a) changes in demand for Vestas' products; (b) currency and interest rate fluctuations; (c) loss of market share and industry competition; (d) environmental and physical risks; (e) legislative, fiscal and regulatory developments, including changes in tax or accounting policies; (f) economic and financial market conditions in various countries and regions; (g) political risks, including the risks of expropriation and renegotiation of the terms of contracts with governmental entities, and delays or advancements in the approval of projects; (h) ability to enforce patents; (i) product development risks; (j) cost of commodities; (k) customer credit risks; (l) supply of components from suppliers and vendors; and (m) customer readiness and ability to accept delivery and installation of products and transfer of risk.
All forward-looking statements contained in this presentation are expressly qualified by the cautionary statements contained or referenced to in this statement. Undue reliance should not be placed on forward-looking statements. Additional factors that may affect future results are contained in Vestas' annual report for the year ended 31 December 2013 (available at vestas.com/investor) and these factors also should be considered. Each forward-looking statement speaks only as of the date of this presentation. Vestas does not undertake any obligation to publicly update or revise any forward-looking statement as a result of new information or future events others than required by Danish law. In light of these risks, results could differ materially from those stated, implied or inferred from the forward-looking statements contained in this presentation.
Disclaimer and cautionary statement
2 Full year 2013, outlook for 2014 and strategic update
Agenda
Full year 2013, outlook for 2014 and strategic update
Completion of the turnaround
Outlook and financial targets
Summary, questions and answers
Profitable growth for Vestas
2013 financials and order intake
3
New organisation
and operating business
model
Advanced wind turbine technology
Efficient manufac-turing of wind turbines
Sale and service of wind power plants
Improve capacity utilisation
Reduce costs I
III
Full year 2013, outlook for 2014 and strategic update
Turnaround plan Build new organisation and operating business model
4
Reduce investments II
Three core focus areas
Improve capacity utilisation and capital efficiency through divestments, supply to third parties and NWC management.
III
Reduce investments through asset-light solutions and simplified product roadmap.
II
Reduce costs through operational excellence.
I
I
(58)
(9)
(52)
152
273
Sale Production R&D Fixed capacity costs Q4
2013
Administrative Fixed capacity costs Q4
2011
(2)
-121
Full year 2013, outlook for 2014 and strategic update
Fixed cost savings of EUR 484m* achieved Quarterly fixed costs reductions of EUR 121m comparing Q4’11 to Q4‘13
5
Fixed capacity cost savings mEUR
*With full effect as from the end of 2011 to the end of 2013. Excluding bonus provisions.
Cost levers
Contribution from reduction in number of salaried employees
9,875
Q4 2011 Q4 2013
-4,287
5,588 >70%
Contribution from site simplification, closure of factories and other cost measures
<30%
Proportion of the EUR 484m fixed cost savings:
15,497
2013 FY 2012 FY
17,778
22,721 -7,224
2011 FY Hourly paid employees
Salaried employees
Total reduction of employees
2,937
4,287
7,224
Full year 2013, outlook for 2014 and strategic update
Employee reductions of 32 per cent -of which 59 per cent were salaried
I
6
Employees, end of period Number of employees
Employee reductions Number of employees
Net investments, last five years mEUR
286
761789808
239 ~250
-522
FY 2013
FY 2014E
FY 2012
FY 2011
FY 2010
FY 2009
• Capex requirement reduced significantly while launching of new product variants and developing the V164-8.0 MW.
• Launch of:
V105-3.3 MW V112-3.3 MW V117-3.3 MW V126-3.3 MW V110-2.0 MW
II
Full year 2013, outlook for 2014 and strategic update
Reduced capex requirement Capex requirement reduced by more than EUR 500m
7
Joint Venture*
Joint venture between Vestas and MHI A strong joint venture to address the expected growth in the offshore segment
II
• Lower and more flexible capex set-up at Vestas.
• Strong parent positions combined in one offering.
• A strong company for the future offshore market.
Full year 2013, outlook for 2014 and strategic update 8 *The transaction is subject to customary closing conditions.
Operational drivers Strategic levers
mEUR
III
• Improved cash conversion driven by improved installation time, better planning and control of inventory and alignment of payment terms and payment milestones according to industry best practice.
• Still room for improvement in MW under completion even though it was markedly improved during Q4.
• From 31 to 19 factories in two years to optimise capacity utilisation while maintaining a global manufacturing footprint.
• Continued improvement of balance sheet.
• Optimised invested capital through better net working capital and a more asset-light and scalable manufacturing footprint.
(596)
(117) (56)
197 233 481 330
20
Q4 2013
Q3 2013
Q2 2013
Q1 2013
Q4 2012
Q1 2012
Q3 2012
Q2 2012
Full year 2013, outlook for 2014 and strategic update
Production sites divested or closed since end of 2011.
Current production sites.
Capital efficiency and capacity utilisation Net working capital at record low level end 2013
9
Net working capital
From 31 to 19 factories
6
2
0
(2)
8
4
Q3 2013
Q3 2012
Q4 2013
(4)
Q1 2012
Q4 2011
Q2 2013
Q1 2013
Q4 2012
Q2 2012
(6)
EBIT margin before special items, last 12 months ROIC, last 12 months
Full year 2013, outlook for 2014 and strategic update
Return on invested capital Turnaround plan has improved ROIC substantially
10
ROIC has increased due to:
• Improved earnings through cost reduction and growth in the service business.
• Better capital efficiency through capex-light solutions and improved net working capital.
Return on invested capital (ROIC) Percentage
A more scalable, flexible, agile and lean Vestas Foundation for the future strengthened via the capital increase
Full year 2013, outlook for 2014 and strategic update 11
Foundation Results Strategy
Two-year turnaround Profitable growth for Vestas
Two-year turnaround plan completed:
Turnaround resulting in a Vestas today:
Strengthening Vestas’ global leadership:
• Fixed cost savings of almost EUR 500m*.
• Capex requirements lowered by more than EUR 500m.
• NWC lowered to approx EUR (600)m.
• Improved operations during 2013.
• Double-digit EBIT margin in Q4.
• Free cash flow EUR ~1bn in 2013.
• Strengthening the balance sheet via announced capital increase to generate more and better business for Vestas.
*With full effect as from the end of 2011 to the end of 2013.
Agenda
Full year 2013, outlook for 2014 and strategic update
Completion of the turnaround
Outlook and financial targets
Summary, questions and answers
Profitable growth for Vestas
2013 financials and order intake
12
*R&D, administration and distribution
mEUR Q4 2013 Q4 2012 % change
Revenue 2,361 2,512 (6)%
Cost of sales (1,905) (2,179) (13)%
Gross profit 456 333 37%
Fixed costs* (216) (178) 21%
EBIT before special items 240 155 55%
Special items (10) (485) (98)%
EBIT after special items 230 (330) -
Net profit/(loss) 218 (618) -
Gross margin 19.3% 13.3% 6.0%-pts
EBITDA margin before special items 14.3% 10.6% 3.7%-pts
EBIT margin before special items 10.2% 6.2% 4.0%-pts
• Gross profit increased by 37 per cent despite lower revenue due to improved project margins, lower fixed capacity costs and lower depreciation.
• EBIT before special items increased by 55 per cent.
• EBIT margin before special items increased by 4.0 percentage points to 10.2 per cent.
Full year 2013, outlook for 2014 and strategic update
Income statement Q4
13
*R&D, administration and distribution
mEUR FY 2013 FY 2012 % change
Revenue 6,084 7,216 (16)%
Cost of sales (5,188) (6,420) (19)%
Gross profit 896 796 13%
Fixed costs* (685) (792) (14)%
EBIT before special items 211 4 -
Special items (109) (701) (84)%
EBIT after special items 102 (697) -
Net profit/(loss) (82) (963) -
• Decrease in revenue more than offset by lower fixed capacity costs, depreciation and better project margins.
• EBIT before special items increased by EUR 207m.
• EBIT margin before special items increased by 3.4 percentage points to 3.5 per cent.
Full year 2013, outlook for 2014 and strategic update
Income statement Full year
Gross margin 14.7% 11.0% 3.7%-pts
EBITDA margin before special items 10.0% 6.6% 3.4%-pts
EBIT margin before special items 3.5 % 0.1% 3.4%-pts
14
EBIT Q4 2013 vs. Q4 2012 mEUR
(29)
133
(32) 42
44
12
(94)
240
155
Bonus provisions
D&A Q4 2013 EBIT
Project margin
Q4 2012 EBIT
Project volume
9
Fixed capacity
costs
Service volume
Service margin
Warranty provisions
EBIT increased by EUR 85m in Q4 2013 compared to Q4 2012 driven by: • Margin improvements in both
wind turbines and service, lower D&A and fixed costs more than offset lower volume and bonus provisions.
Full year 2013, outlook for 2014 and strategic update
EBIT development Q4 2013 vs. Q4 2012 EBIT improved despite 6 per cent revenue drop
15
EBIT FY 2013 vs. FY 2012 mEUR
211 (94)
68
4
Service margin
Bonus provisions
FY 2013 EBIT
43
D&A Fixed capacity
costs
266
Warranty provisions
19
Project margin
(256)
FY 2012 EBIT
133
Service volume
28
Project volume
EBIT increased by EUR 207m in 2013 compared to 2012 driven by: • Margin improvements in both
wind turbines and service, lower D&A and fixed costs more than offset lower volume and bonus provisions.
Full year 2013, outlook for 2014 and strategic update
EBIT development FY 2013 vs. FY 2012 EBIT improved despite 16 per cent revenue drop
16
Service revenue mEUR
886
705
623
504
954
+17%
FY 2013
FY 2012
FY 2011
FY 2009
FY 2010
• Full-year service growth of 8 per cent.
• CAGR* from 2009-2013 of 17
per cent.
• 2013 EBIT before allocation of Group costs: EUR 213m. Margin: 22 per cent.
• 2013 EBIT after allocation of Group costs: EUR 147m. Margin: 15 per cent.
• Around 5,000 employees in the service business.
*Compound annual growth rate.
Full year 2013, outlook for 2014 and strategic update
Service Full year
17
Assets (mEUR) FY 2013 FY 2012 Abs. Change
% Change
Intangible assets 741 1,016 (275) (27)%
Property, plant and equipment 1,221 1,286 (65) (5)%
Other non-current assets 190 179 11 6%
Non-current assets 2,152 2,481 (329) (13)%
Current assets 3,156 4,360 (1,204) (28)%
Current and non-current assets held for sale 332 131 201 153%
Total assets 5,640 6,972 (1,332) (19)%
Liabilities (mEUR) FY 2013 FY 2012 Abs. change
% change
Equity 1,524 1,622 (98) (6)%
Non-current liabilities 827 1,652 (825) (50)%
Current liabilities 3,046 3,698 (652) (18)%
Liabilities held for sale 243 0 243 -
Total equity and liabilities 5,640 6,972 (1,332) (19)%
Net debt (86) 900 (986) -
Net working capital (596) 233 (829) -
Solvency ratio (%) 27.0 23.3 - 3.7%-pts
• Current assets lowered due to
lower inventories and receivables.
• NWC improvement was the main driver of the net debt reduction of more than EUR 800m, resulting in a net cash position of EUR 86m.
• Solvency ratio to improve via capital increase.
Full year 2013, outlook for 2014 and strategic update
Balance sheet Full year
18
• Inventories reduced due to lower MW under completion and good cash conversion.
• Prepayments stable despite the lower MW under completion.
• Receivables reduced due to improved cash collection.
*Construction contracts in progress.
NWC improvement over the last year NWC improvement during Q4 • Inventories reduced due to lower MW under completion
and good cash conversion. • Smooth execution on installations and transfer of risk in
December allowing for payment collections. • Prepayments stable despite the lower MW under
completion.
NWC change over the last 12 months mEUR
NWC change over the last three months mEUR
233
Other liabilities
159
Pre- payments
(32)
NWC end 2013
(596)
Payables NWC end 2012
(749)
(238)
Inventories
5
26
Receiv- ables
CCP*
(694)
CCP* NWC end Q3 2013
7
(117)
263
(73)
(596)
Receiv- ables
Other liabilities
Payables Pre- payments
(29)
47
NWC end Q4 2013
Inventories
Full year 2013, outlook for 2014 and strategic update
Change in net working capital Strong progress on implemented initiatives during 2013
19
148148
194
292
117119
179
253257
84
FY 2011
FY 2012
FY 2010
FY 2009
-24%
FY 2013
Provisions made Provisions consumed
0
1
2
3
4
5
Dec 2013
Dec 2012
Dec 2011
Dec 2009
Dec 2010
Warranty provisions and consumption Lost Production Factor (LPF) • Warranty consumption steadily declining due do
improved quality. • Provisions made were higher than provisions
consumed for the second year in a row.
• End 2013: LPF at 1.7 per cent. • LPF measures potential energy production not
captured by the wind turbines.
Warranty provisions made and consumed mEUR
Lost production factor Percentage
Full year 2013, outlook for 2014 and strategic update
Warranty provisions and Lost Production Factor Warranty consumption and LPF continue at a low level
20
mEUR Q4 2013 Q4 2012 Abs. change
% change
Cash flow from operating activities before change in working capital 428 247 181 73%
Change in working capital 478 248 230 93%
Cash flow from operating activities 906 495 411 83%
Cash flow from investing activities (90) (79) (11) 14%
Free cash flow 816 416 400 96%
Cash flow from financing activities (493) (11) (482) -
Change in cash at bank and in hand less current portion of bank debt 323 405 (82) (20)%
• Increased cash flow from operations, mainly driven by NWC improvements.
• Q4 FCF of EUR 816m.
Full year 2013, outlook for 2014 and strategic update
Cash flow statement Q4 FCF of EUR 816m
21
• Increased cash flow from operations, mainly driven by NWC improvements.
• Free cash flow improved by EUR 1,368m to EUR 1,009m.
mEUR FY 2013 FY 2012 Abs. change
% change
Cash flow from operating activities before change in working capital 419 231 81%
Change in working capital 829 (304) 1,133
Cash flow from operating activities 1,248 (73) 1,321
Cash flow from investing activities (239) (286) (16)%
Free cash flow 1,009 (359) 1,368
Cash flow from financing activities (1,150) 832 (1,982)
Change in cash at bank and in hand less current portion of bank debt (141) 473 (614)
Full year 2013, outlook for 2014 and strategic update
Cash flow statement Full year FCF of EUR 1,009m
22
Net debt mEUR
728779
972900
(86)
-986
Q4 2013
Q3 2013
Q2 2013
Q4 2012
Q1 2013
• Net debt reduction of approx EUR 1bn over the last 12 months resulting in a net cash position of EUR 86m.
• Reduction primarily driven by
NWC improvements.
Full year 2013, outlook for 2014 and strategic update
Net debt Net debt converted to net cash position of EUR 86m
23
Net debt to EBITDA ×EBITDA
• Net debt to EBITDA fell to (0.1) in 2013 down from 1.9 in 2012.
• Development driven by both
net debt reduction and improved EBITDA.
Q3 2013
-0.1
1.6 1.4
-0.3
FY 2009
1.9
FY 2012
Q2 2013
FY 2011
Q4 2013
1.8
0.8
Q1 2013
1.8
FY 2010
FY 2008
-0.1
Net debt to EBITDA before special items, last 12 months
Full year 2013, outlook for 2014 and strategic update
Net debt to EBITDA Negative net debt to EBITDA
24
Improved wind turbine order intake • 2013 order intake was 60 per cent higher than in
2012 – primarily driven by pick-up in the USA and new wind markets.
• Global footprint and competitive turbine offerings secured orders in different markets.
Price per MW • Price per MW decreased by 4 per cent compared to
2012. • Price per MW depends on a variety of factors i.e. wind
turbine type, geography, scope and uniqueness of offering.
• Relatively more supply-only orders received in 2013.
3,072
8,673
+2,226
FY 2013
5,964
FY 2012
3,738
FY 2011
7,397
FY 2009
FY 2010
1.04
FY 2010
FY 2009
0.99
-4%
FY 2013
0.97
FY 2012
1.02
FY 2011
0.99
Order intake MW
Average selling price of order intake mEUR per MW
Full year 2013, outlook for 2014 and strategic update
Wind turbine order intake Full year 2013
25
Wind turbines:
EUR 6.8bn
Service:
EUR 6.7bn
Full year 2013, outlook for 2014 and strategic update
Backlog: Wind turbines and service Combined backlog increased by EUR 1.1bn to EUR 13.5bn
26
EUR -0.3bn EUR +1.4bn
Agenda
Full year 2013, outlook for 2014 and strategic update
Completion of the turnaround
Outlook and financial targets
Summary, questions and answers
Profitable growth for Vestas
2013 financials and order intake
27
• Market environment • Vestas’ key differentiators • Vestas’ strategy
Continued growth in the electricity market Electricity generation to increase by 20 per cent until 2020
ENERGY GENERATION
• Forecasted growth in global electricity generation above 3 per cent per year increasing total generation by over 20 per cent during the period 2014-2020.
• Higher growth in non-OECD countries (4 per cent per year, 25 per cent for the period) compared to OECD countries (1 per cent per year, 7 per cent for the period).
Electricity Generation OECD and Non-OECD
Full year 2013, outlook for 2014 and strategic update Source: Worldbank.
28
TWh
Power plants are being retired in the USA and Europe 195 GW of capacity to be shut down in the next 10 years due to economical and environmental reasons POWER PLANT RETIREMENT
US Energy Supply Forecasts: new capacity additions / removals (MW)¹
Source: DB Climate Change Advisors
Gas Wind Solar CSP Solar PV Geothermal Nuclear Coal
20.000
15.000
10.000
5.000
0
-5.000
-10.000
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
2026
2027
2028
2029
2030
Full year 2013, outlook for 2014 and strategic update Source: 1 Citi Global Perspectives & Solutions (Citi GPS) “Energy Darwism”, 2013. 2 DB Climate Change Advisors “Repowering America: Creating Jobs”, 2011.
29
• An estimated 95 GW of capacity to shut down in Europe in the next 10 years1.
• Expected 100 GW of coal-fired plants to be retired in the USA in the next 10 years2.
Wind is competitive against other energy sources While levelised cost of energy increases for many energy sources, cost of energy for wind has decreased by 15 per cent over the last five years LEVELISED COST OF ENERGY
70 82 82 91
140 149
313
134
187
140 166
329
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
Hydro Gas Wind Coal Nuclear Solar PV
LCOE evolution mid 2009 – H1 2014 5% 68% -15% 65% 51% -52%
LCOE USD/MWh (Jan 2014)
Current LCOE per energy source (Jan 2014)
Full year 2013, outlook for 2014 and strategic update Source: BNEF, January 2014. (Note: wind only covers onshore. Hydro and nuclear have only been covered since Q2 2012)
30
• Renewable energy such as wind and solar are key to meet increasing electricity demand as their levelised costs keep decreasing.
• Today wind is already on a par with new-build gas and has lower costs than new coal in more than 30 listed countries.
26 64
37 60
32
82
Wind market forecast 2013-2020 Growth rates of 4-10 per cent expected
WIND MARKET FORECAST (GW)
Full year 2013, outlook for 2014 and strategic update Source: IHS Emerging Energy Research December 2013. MAKE Consulting November 2013.
31
2019e
65
40
35
50
2016e 2015e
55
2020e 2018e
60
2014e 2013e
45
0 2017e
IHS MAKE
CAGR: +10 per cent
CAGR: +4 per cent
• Different views but growth is expected.
Vestas major key differentiators Largest installed base, world-class products, global reach and a strong brand
Full year 2013, outlook for 2014 and strategic update
• World-class product portfolio: geographical fit and reach, siting flexibility, best-in-class quality.
• Largest global installed base, providing significant service business potential.
• Very strong and competitive product offering. • 2013 order intake of 6 GW from 37 countries.
Vestas
~60
2nd largest WTG supplier
~40
+50%
012345
Dec 2009
Dec 2010
Dec 2013
Dec 2012
Dec 2011
Total installed base (GW) Lost production factor
Latest product launches Global reach in sales, installation and manufacturing
32
Low wind
Medium wind
High wind
2 MW platform
3 MW platform
V110-2.0 MW V100-2.0 MW
V112-3.3 MW
V117-3.3 MW
V105-3.3 MW
V112-3.3 MW
V117-3.3 MW
V126-3.3 MW
The building blocks of the Vestas strategy A strengthened global leadership position for the long term
Global wind leader Vision: Bringing wind on par with oil and gas
Full year 2013, outlook for 2014 and strategic update 33
Grow profitably in mature & emerging markets
Capture full potential of the service business
Reduce levelised cost of energy
Improve operational excellence
Governance, leadership & culture
Mid-term (3-5 years)
Market leader in volume | Best-in-class margins | Strongest brand in industry
Grow faster than the market Build partnerships and generate new opportunities to enable growth
OBJECTIVE MID-TERM AMBITIONS & INITIATIVES
• Strengthen position in mature markets.
• Grow market share in emerging markets.
• Build partnership with our strategic accounts.
• Pursue opportunities with new market segments.
• Build partnership based on value, business case certainty and stability.
Grow faster than the market Grow profitably in
mature & emerging markets
1
Profitable Growth for Vestas
STRATEGY
Global reach, trusted partner & strong brand.
Full year 2013, outlook for 2014 and strategic update 34
Grow the service business by more than 30 per cent Leverage on the installed base and establish a new service organisation
OBJECTIVE MID-TERM AMBITIONS & INITIATIVES
• Capture service business on all new orders.
• Establish a new service organisation, which will report directly to CEO.
• Segmented service portfolio.
• Improve renewal rate via increased service business innovation.
• Efficiency from knowledge and scale.
Grow the service business by more than 30 per cent
Grow profitably in mature &
emerging markets 1
Profitable Growth for Vestas
STRATEGY
Leverage on the biggest installed base in the world.
Full year 2013, outlook for 2014 and strategic update 35
Capture full potential of the
service business 2
Reduce cost of energy faster than market average Increase competitiveness and reduce dependency on support schemes
OBJECTIVE MID-TERM AMBITIONS & INITIATIVES
• Industrialisation to ensure a flexible, scalable, generic and modular product architecture.
• Effectiveness, efficiency and pace of the product development process.
• Increase product functionality and competitiveness via larger rotors and generators.
• Cost out on 2 MW and 3 MW turbine platforms to increase competitiveness.
Reduce levelised cost of energy faster than market average
Grow profitably in mature &
emerging markets 1
Profitable Growth for Vestas
STRATEGY
Largest wind R&D to focus on industrialisation and cost out.
Full year 2013, outlook for 2014 and strategic update 36
Reduce the levelised
cost of energy 3
Capture full potential of the
service business 2
Improve earnings capability Reducing time and costs to achieve operational excellence
OBJECTIVE MID-TERM AMBITIONS & INITIATIVES
• Reduce external spend with suppliers to lower variable costs.
• Continued focus on fixed costs, e.g. shared service centres, increased outsourcing and site consolidation.
• Working capital management to reduce cash conversion cycle days and leadtimes.
• Modular product development to reduce time and cost.
• Cross-functional processes.
Improve earnings capability Grow profitably in
mature & emerging markets
1
Profitable Growth for Vestas
STRATEGY
Economies of scale and full focus on wind.
Full year 2013, outlook for 2014 and strategic update 37
Capture full potential of the
service business 2
Reduce the levelised
cost of energy 3
Improve operational excellence
4
Governance to execute the strategy Changes to the organisation and new principles to ensure implementation of the strategy across Vestas
STRATEGY GOVERNANCE & LEADERSHIP PRINCIPLES
Full year 2013, outlook for 2014 and strategic update 38
Governance, leadership & culture
Speed. Simplicity. Accountability.
Changes to organisational structure: • Creation of a new unit for the service business reporting to
the CEO.
• Extend Group Management from five to eight seats with GSVP Service, GSVP Marketing & Communications and GSVP HR.
Governance principles: • Increase transparency.
• Improve performance management.
• Delegation to measurable (P&L) units.
• Cross-functional EVP Governance.
• Yearly strategy cycle.
Vestas’ profitable growth strategy to strengthen global leadership Each of the four objectives will allow Vestas to reach its vision and long-term ambitions
OBJECTIVES STRATEGY AMBITIONS VISION
39
Profitable Growth for Vestas
Grow profitably in mature &
emerging markets 1
Capture full potential of the
service business 2
Reduce the levelised
cost of energy 3
Improve operational excellence
4
Grow faster than the market
Grow the service business by more than 30 per cent
Reduce levelised cost of energy faster than market
average
Improve earnings capability
Global wind leader • Wind on a par with oil & gas. • Market leader in volume. • Best-in-class margins. • Strongest brand in industry.
Efficiency
Products
Service
Markets & Customers
Governance, leadership & culture
Agenda
Full year 2013, outlook for 2014 and strategic update
Completion of the turnaround
Outlook and financial targets
Summary, questions and answers
Profitable growth for Vestas
2013 financials and order intake
40
Outlook and financial targets 2014 and beyond
Full year 2013, outlook for 2014 and strategic update
Outlook 2014
41
Mid-term financial targets
• Service business is expected to continue to grow with stable margins in 2014.
Revenue (bnEUR) min. 6
EBIT margin before special items (%) min. 5
Total investments (mEUR) approx 250
Free cash flow (mEUR) min. 300
ROIC: • Double-digit each year over the cycle.
FCF: • Positive FCF each year.
Capital structure:
• Net debt/EBITDA ratio must be lower than 1 at the end of each financial year.
• Solvency ratio must be above 30 per cent at the of end financial year.
Priorities for excess cash:
1. Repayment of debt if net debt/EBITDA ratio is above target.
2. Allocation to shareholders if solvency ratio is above target.
Capital increase of up to 9.99 per cent Strengthen balance sheet to enable more and better business
Full year 2013, outlook for 2014 and strategic update 42
Customers Suppliers Banks
• Availability of improved guarantee facilities.
• Strong enabler for improved business.
• Increased number of projects from risk-averse customers.
• Potential to receive better terms. • Bank facilities with longer maturity, lower costs and more flexibility.
Solvency ratio increase to a target level of above 30 per cent.
Full year 2013, outlook for 2014 and strategic update
Revised bank agreement Longer maturity and more bonding lines
43
Syndicated credit facility
• Revolving credit facility – EUR 850m.
• Expiration 2019.
• Full facility available for project guarantees.
Corporate bond
• Corporate bond listed at Bourse de Luxembourg – EUR 600m.
• Expiration March 2015.
Agenda
Full year 2013, outlook for 2014 and strategic update
Completion of the turnaround
Outlook and financial targets
Summary, questions and answers
Profitable growth for Vestas
2013 financials and order intake
44
Summary Successful turnaround as foundation for a strengthened global leadership position for Vestas
Full year 2013, outlook for 2014 and strategic update
Turnaround achievements
45
2014 and beyond
• Fixed cost savings of almost EUR 500m*.
• Capex requirements lowered by more than EUR 500m.
• NWC lowered to EUR (596)m.
• Free cash flow of more than EUR 1bn (FY 2013).
• Improved operations.
• Profitable growth.
• Capture more service business.
• Reduce levelised cost of energy.
• Improve operational excellence.
Capital increase to strengthen Vestas. *With full effect as from the end of 2011 to the end of 2013.
Questions & answers 5 Financial calendar 2014:
• Annual general meeting in Aarhus, Denmark (24 March, 2014).
• Disclosure of Q1 2014 (9 May 2014). • Disclosure of Q2 2014 (20 August 2014). • Disclosure of Q3 2014 (7 November 2014).
• Vestas is hosting a Capital
Markets Day on 12 June 2014.
Q&A
46 Full year 2013, outlook for 2014 and strategic update