future directions richard katz, educause mark danis, kpmg consulting dr. michael zastrocky, gartner...
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Future DirectionsRichard Katz, EDUCAUSE Mark Danis, KPMG ConsultingDr. Michael Zastrocky, Gartner Copyright Mark A. Danis, Richard N. Katz and Michael R. Zastrocky, 2002. This work is the intellectual property of the author. Permission is granted for this material to be shared for non-commercial, educational purposes, provided that this copyright appears on the reproduced materials and notice is given that the copying is by permission of the author. To disseminate otherwise or to republish requires written permission from the author.
Our Format
Brief introduction of panelists What do we see? What is the vision? How will EDUCAUSE, Gartner,
and KPMG Consulting respond?
Observations
Technology industry in turmoil Financial constraints in higher
education Return to gradualism Suspicion of vendor community Accent on middleware IT in classroom moving to the
mainstream Real potential for consortia??
A Vision … of IT
Library, museum, other resources available in digital form
Wired & wireless networks Powerful, mobile multimedia-capable
devices for all Creative/pervasive integration of media
& communications in all areas of the mission (including admin)
Integration of residential and virtual
Dan Updegrove, UT Austin
A Vision … of Higher Ed
Cyber generation Ubiquitous IT Unbundling Lifelong learning Student centricity
New competition Globalization Bricks & clicks New
accountability New academic
credentials
Arthur Levine, Teachers College,Columbia University
What This Means
IT may get more loosely integrated Effective processes are likely to
cross organization boundaries Competitive differentiation and
branding will become more and more important
EDUCAUSE Reponses
ECAR – research focused on selection, adoption, socialization of IT in higher education
The IT leadership pipeline IT security and middleware Lowering educational boundaries
One Man’s Vision
What I now propose is that all universities around
the world be encouraged to invest the next ten years
in the continuing problem of how to make the
[academic world - which now serves 43%,]
serve 100% of humanity.
R. Buckminster Fuller1962
Observations
Peter Drucker’s Prognosis Technology Is Not Strategy Investments in the Plumbing Convergence of Voice, Data Video
into a Unified Digital Network Technology is the New Learning Regional, National, Global
Consortia for Specific Opportunities
A Vision:
Higher Education as the Bridge Across theDigital Divide
The Porous and Extended Enterprise
Today’s Student is 24x7 Constituency Relationship
Management (CRM) Competition/Accountability
Are Here to Stay Hyper Learning –
Robust Research
A Vision … of IT
Customization’s Rise and Decline Integrated Enterprise - Disintegrated Technology Open – Adaptable Architectures Enterprise Optimization will be
Found in the Middle – Ware From Wired to Wireless Pay As We Go
KPMG Consulting’s Response Co-Opetition in the IT Industry University Partnerships for Profit Modularized Managed Services Student for Life Built on CRM Creative Financing Solutions Global Networks for
Knowledge Transfer Solutions
The Future
Predictions are very difficult to make,
especially when they deal with the future…
Mark Twain
So You Want to Know What’s Coming? ...
Copyright © 2002
?Data-Centric
Voice-Centric
• Performance• Mixed rich-data types• Personal info. mgmt.• MP3/MPEG4• 2.5G and 3G• 3D games• Bluetooth• PC synchronization• GUIs/browsers• Location services• Authorization• Security
Convergence
Device Convergence? Depends on Your Point of View
Maybe to physical convergence
Yes to functionalconvergence
Copyright © 2002
Clamshell
Tablet
Business Consumer Industrial
Smart Phone
BusinessProfessional
Copyright © 2002
Data-Centric Device Choices …
Wearable
Compatible
Entertainment
Thin/Small
Peripheral
Managed/Programmable
Unmanaged/Non-programmable
Visual/Color
Voice-Centric Device Choices
IT Temperance Line
Copyright © 2002
PalmPalmOS
MicrosoftWindows CE
Symbian EPOC
PDA Platforms — The Big Three
Copyright © 2002
Integrated PDA
Best Data Too Big?
Integrated Smart Phone
EverythingCompromise?
Add-OnSlice, Jacket
or Module
Most-Flexible,Most-Complex
WirelesslyConnectedSeparates
EventualWinner!
Wireless PDA Trade-Offs
Copyright © 2002
Wireless LANs: A Strategic Choice
WLANs can:
Integrate the physical and virtual campuses
Promote interactivity
Create a “sidewalk effect”
Save money -- sometimes
...but they can’t:
Replace the wired network
Deliver bulletproof security
Automatically change academic culture
Copyright © 2002