1.Global Consciousness: Coming of Age for the Planet William E. Halal, George Washington University, Bangkok University, and TechCast Global WSF What If: 2014

2. Forecasts and Strategy for a Changing World Agenda Topics Life Cycle of Evolution Global MegaCrisis Technology Revolution Macroforecasts of Scenarios Rise of Global Consciousness Creative Destruction of Institutions Participation Invited Impact on your organization? Your industry in 2020? Issues? Strategies? 2 Copies available at authors discount 3. Forecasts and Strategy for a Changing World The Life Cycle of Evolution 3Copyright W. Halal 4. Evolutionary Chain of Causality 4Copyright W. Halal 5. Forecasts and Strategy for a Changing World The Global MegaCrisis Survey (Results as of June, 2014) CATASTROPHY Decline to Disaster 25% Probability The world fails to react. Global warming, sea level rise, energy shortages, economic depression, nuclear exchange, terrorism, etc. Loss of civilization in major nations. DAMAGING Muddling Down 35% Probability Weak response. High-Tech Dark Age, ecological damage, increased poverty and conflict. TOLERABLE Muddling Up 28% Probability World reacts out of need and improved knowledge and understanding. Disaster averted but disorder continues. GOOD Rise to Maturity 12% Probability Transition to a responsible global order. 5 6. Forecasts and Strategy for a Changing World The Technology Revolution 6 Moon Base Replacement Organs Online Publishing E- Commerce 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 Energy & Environment Informatio n Technology Manufacturing & Robotics Digital Economy Medicine & Biogenetics Transportation Space Alternative Energy Organi c Farmin g Biometric s Personal Medicine Child Traits Star Travel Cloud/Grid Smart Robots Life Span =100 Space Tourism Small Aircraft Human s On Mars NeuroTech Hypersonic PlanesMostLikelyYear 2040 Climat e Contro l Micro Machines Intelligen t Cars E- Health Aquaculture Smart Grids Entertainment Green Econom y Water Purifn Modular Buildings Cance r Cure Small Vehicle s Genetic Therapy Power Sorag e Synthet ic Biology Electric CarsGen. 2 Computer s 3 D Printin g Commerci al Space Solar Satellites GMO Precisio n Farming Though t Power AI Fuel Cell Cars NanoTe ch Designed Materials Mass Customn Hi- Speed Trains Internet of Things TeleWork Intellige nt Interfac e Virtua l Realit y Virtual Education E- Govt. Globa l Brain Intellige nt Web off scale Contact Hybrid Cars Copyright W. Halal 7. 7 50 55 60 65 70 75 80 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 Experts'Confidence(%) Most Likely Year Macroforecasting Scenarios Market Size 2015 The World Online 2020 High-Tech Arrives 2030 Global Order TechCast, LLC. All Rights Reserved Graph by Elizabeth West Energy & Environment Information Technology E-Commerce Manufacturing & Robotics Medicine and Biogenetics Transportation Space Life Extension Hydrogen Economy Humans on Mars Moon Base Hypersonic Planes High Speed Trains Child TraitsGrown Organs Automated Highways Cancer Cure Gene Therapy Artificial Intelligence Thought Power Biocomputing Desalination Alternative Energy Electric Cars Eco-Bikes Quantum Computing Genetic Food Organic Farming Smart Robots Micro Nanotech Modular Homes Personal Medicine Power storage Artificial Organs Telework Body Monitoring Virtual Reality Smart Phones Digital Convergence Broadband Entertainment Web 2.0 Video Conferencing Hybrid Cars Intelligent Interface Space Tourism Climate Control Biometrics Green Business E-tailing Pervasive Networks Precision Farming E-Government Online Publishing Intelligent Web Mass customization Designed Materials Fuel Cell Cars Aquaculture Global Access Virtual Education Grid Computing Optical Computers Cloud Computing Smart Sensors Nuclear Fusion Smart Grids Recycling Wireless Intelligent cars Small Aircraft Telemedicine Synthetic Life Micro- Machines 8. Forecasts and Strategy for a Changing World Sustainability Green business, alternative energy, climate control, GMO, smart grids, etc. Green Transportation Hybrid/electric/smart cars, hi-speed trains, small aircraft, hypersonic flight Mastery Over Life Artificial organs, DNA testing, grown organs, cancer cure, life extension, neurotech. Infinite Knowledge and Intelligence 2nd generation IT (bio, optical, quantum), AI, robotics, virtual reality Global Consciousness Automation of routine thought moves beyond knowledge to address the MegaCrisis. Restructuring institutions and society. 2020 - High-Tech Arrives 8 9. Forecasts and Strategy for a Changing World Consciousness 9 10. Forecasts and Strategy for a Changing World Beyond Knowledge? 10 Institutional Change Collaborative enterprise in business & government Collaboration Politics, diplomacy, labor-mgt coop., joint problem-solving Servant Leadership GM Saturn, Good to Great Studies, Japanese, etc. Conflict Resolution Peace Studies, arbitration, mediation, etc. Physical Practice Yoga, dance, athletics, art, etc. Religion Synthesis of worlds religious values? Science - Study of spiritual energy? Meditation & Prayer Sexuality Other ways to shape awareness? Neurotech Prostheses for Parkinsons, adding memory, etc. Biofeedback Use of EEG for focused attention, stress, control, etc. Machine-Brain interface/Thought Power Brain waves controlling machines, comm. Virtual Reality Simulating environments to live in fully. Media Consumerism, sex, violence, hype, etc. - the over connected society The Experience Economy Travel, dining, sports, the arts, etc Drugs Medicinal (Prozac, etc), professional (Modafinil), recreational (marijuana, etc ) Vision & Strategy Purpose, vision, forecasting, strategy, etc. Technologies of Consciousness 11. Forecasts and Strategy for a Changing World Creative Destruction of Institutions Business: 2008 Financial Meltdown, Moral Crisis of Capitalism, Democratic Enterprise Government: E-government, budget deficits Health Care: Patients vs. profits, performance data, cost Media/Entertainment: Moving to Internet, culture Education: Distance learning, MOOCs, cost Auto Makers: 50K deaths/yr, congestion, environment Military: WMD, cyber warfare, peace-keeping Catholic Church: Misuse of authority, out of touch 11 12. You THE END THANK 12 Forecasts and Strategy for a Changing World techcastglobal www.techcastglobal.com