future of manufacturing 4.0 - manufacturing keynote speaker for siemens
TRANSCRIPT
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Dr Patrick Dixon Chairman Global Change LtdFellow, Centre for Management Development, London Business School
TakeHoldoftheFutureHowtrendssuchasInternetofThings,BigDataandtheCloudwillcombinetotransformmanufacturing
cloud computing are fusing to create huge opportunities t generation production
Digital enterprise 4.0
Digital Factories will be shaped by many
different industrial and consumer trends
REALITY CHECK
Robots in Factories only 7% pa 92,000-170,000 2000-2012
3D scans - 3D printing
LARGER SCALE
InmanyEUna@ons,upto70%ofretailspendingisin<8companies
VW mega platformVWMegaPlaKorm-basisfor1mcars
3DModelling
•thankstoL.Soler
World too small for more than:
5 large auto companies2 airline manufacturers
3 mobile operating systems10 large pharma
CUSTOM BUILD
Multiple variations in Products
Multi-product assembly lines
More Niche Manufacturers
REDUCE RISK
Complexity and scale create risks
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US / EU block on Chinese solar cells
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Trade strategies often overtaken by events
World can change faster than you can hold a board meeting
CLOSER SUPPLIES
Since 1980, global trade has grown at twice the rate of production but this trend is slowing down rapidly
“South to South” Trade will grow
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Regional trade growth in Asia $ / %
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Expect huge growth in component trade
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World exports of parts and components
FACTORY MOVES
11%wageinfla@oninChinain2013and2014
ImpactofstrongerChinesecurrencyandtougherpollu@oncontrols
NearshoringBoom
ManufacturinginMexicowillgrowforUSmarket
EMERGING DEMANDS
85% of world population will be living in emerging
markets in 10 years
Science,technologyengineering,
maths
MostSTEMgraduatesinemergingmarkets
ChinaandIndiadominate
STEMdegreesincludingpost-graduate/PhDs
10 TIMES FASTER
MOBILE 50% of all UK online sales are using mobile
Over4000roadhauliersinEU
1.3bnhomedeliverede-comitemsinUKayear(+12%pa)
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3000 Parcel Shops in UK in 12 months Chosen by up to 50% customers for deliveries
Gold standard:10am orders for 3pm Delivery
Anywhere in same country
10amordersfor3pmDelivery
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LIVE DATA
Internet of Things
$12bn security and controlhome automation market by 2018
250millionwearabledevicesby2023
$20bnto$70bnby2025
1.5m components tracked perfectly in Airbus supply chain
Big Data
Self-diagnosing and healing
Little Data often matters
most
Big Data = PatternLittle Data = Piece
CLOUD BASED
Global and Mobile Control
GREENER PROCESS
$40 Trillion Green Tech Boom driven by oil price, cost cuts, green activism
75% global growth in green energy was in China in 2014
120,000 terawatts of sunlight /day 7,000 times total global power use Power Moscow from Libyan Desert
“40% EU power = wind by 2050” Output up 10% in 2014
Solarup38%in2014
SolarCells$/wa^1990-2015
subsidies
PriceParity
• InJune2013electricitypricesinGermanybecamenega@ve-EU150/MWhr
• SameinQueenslandAustraliaforaweekin2014
30% EU trucks run empty
“Wewaste25million
milesayeardrivingempty
trucks”
USmajorretailer
CYBER SECURE
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WebofThings-BigData-Cloud180bnspamemailsaday
600mnewviruses,malware,trojansayear>220mpeople’sdetailslostinsinglea^ack70%largecorpora@onshavebeenhacked
100,000a^acksanhouronUSNavyParalysisofEstoniagovernmentin2007
WorriesaboutUS,Russia,Chinapenetra@onofweb/cloudfollowingPrism
Digital Enterprise 4.0
“Doing it Together”
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Dr Patrick Dixon Chairman Global Change Ltd
globalchange.com15millionvisitors
5millionvideoviews
@patrickdixon