future trends passenger car powertrains is the classic .... avl... · future trends passenger car...
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Future Trends Passenger Car Powertrains Is the Classic Powertrain Still Indispensable? Ruangrit Ekachaiworasin AVL SouthEastAsia & Australia
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CO2 LIMITATION FORECAST WORLDWIDE
Source: ICCT, February 2012, http://ec.europa.eu/clima/policies/transport/vehicles/index_en.htm
Gra
ms
CO
2 per
kilo
met
er, n
orm
aliz
ed to
NED
C
CO2 / FE
Japan 2020: 105
EU 2020: 95
EU 2025: 70 (Recom. European Parliament)
China 2020: 117
[1] China's target reflects gasoline fleet scenario. If including other fuel types, the target will be lower.
US PC 2025: 91
[2] US and Canada light-duty vehicles include light-commercial vehicles.
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Conservative scenario
Bosch
Bain&Comp. conservative
CONVENTIONAL ICE HEV PHEV-EREV BEV
Source: Eiser - Audi
PASSENGER CAR TECHNOLOGY SCENARIOS 2020
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Driveability (Fun to Drive)
TARGET
Fuel Efficiency
Recuperation
Stop-Start Downspeeding & Downsizing 0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
0 20 40 60 80 100
Trac
tion
Forc
e [ N
]
Velocity [ km/h ]
Slip Limit
Speed [ rpm ]
Torq
ue [
Nm ]
Best Efficiency
Hybrid
Turbo
Hybrid Solutions Main Principles: Trade Off Fuel Consumption / Performance
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Hybrid Solution Realized Hybrid Solutions
GasolineIL4; 1,8L MPI
EM1GEN
EM2MOT
TMC THS II(Prius, Auris, ..)
P2 Full Hybrid: Mercedes Transmission integrated solution from Daimler SOP start at 2012
E300 BlueTec Hybrid – Diesel E400 BlueTec Hybrid – Gasoline GLK 300 BlueTec – Diesel SUV
P2 Full Hybrid: Transmission integrated solution based on ZF HP8
Transmission SOP started in 2011
AUDI BMW Porsche
PS Full Hybrid: Toyota Hybrid System electrified eCVT solution versions for different vehicle classes & power levels available SOP 1995 (Prius 1) Similar concept used by FORD Similar concept presented by AVL in 1994
Trend in EU
Trend in EU
HSDIIL4; 2,2L; EU V
EM1: BSG
EM2
AT7
Daimler BlueTec Hybrid
ICL
CL
Starter 12V
el. Oil Pump
Gasoline
EM2
AT8
BMW Active HybridAudi Q5
Starter 12V
EM1: BSG
el. Oil Pump
CL
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Hybrid Solution Realized Hybrid Solutions
HSDIIL4; 2,0L; EU5
EM1: BASM
CL
AMT6
Peugeot 3008Rear Axle Hybrid
Starter 12V
EM2EDTM
Gasoline
Alternator12V
EM2
AT7
Daimler S400hBMW 7er Hybrid
TC & TCC
Starter 12V
GasolineIL4; 1,6L TC
EM
MT6
AVL Turbo Hybrid
P4 Full Hybrid: PSA Electric Rear Axle Hybrid & BSG SOP start at 2013
Peugeot 3008 Diesel Hybrid Volvo V60 Plug In Hybrid ….
P1 Mild Hybrid – automated Transmission introduced by several OEM’s
Daimler (S400h) – Gasoline Hybrid BMW – Gasoline Hybrid Honda – IMA …
P1 Mild Hybrid – manual Transmission introduced by several OEM’s
AVL Turbo Hybrid Honda IMA …
Trend in EU
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HYBRID CONTROL UNIT MANAGES THE COMPLETE HYBRID POWERTRAIN
Transmission
Seperation Clutch
Battery
Electric Axle
Brake System E-Motor
High Voltage Auxiliaries
Hybrid Control Unit
interaction interaction
inte
ract
ion
interaction
cont
rol
CCU
TCU
EMCU
BMS
ECU
Internal Combustion Engine
inte
ract
ion
interaction interaction
Software/Communication Level
Hardware Level
Hybrid System Solution Benefit Variant Calibration 7
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HYBRID VARIANTS ARE AN UPCOMING CHALLENGE FOR VEHICLE CALIBRATION
Hybrid System Solution Benefit Variant Calibration
+ - PE
10kW
6sp AT
8
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+ - PE
10kW
Platform
Transmission
E-Motor
Engine
Hybrid System Solution Benefit Variant Calibration
HYBRID VARIANTS ARE AN UPCOMING CHALLENGE FOR VEHICLE CALIBRATION
6sp AT
8sp AT
15 k
W
9
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+ - PE
15 k
W
Hybrid System Solution Benefit Variant Calibration
Market e.g. Platform
Transmission
E-Motor
Engine
HYBRID VARIANTS ARE AN UPCOMING CHALLENGE FOR VEHICLE CALIBRATION
8sp AT
10
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AVL-CRUISE
AVL-BOOST
AVL Instrumentation for System Development & Optimization
COMPONENT TESTBED
POWERTAIN TESTBED
AVL Software Tools for Powertrain System Development & Optimization
AVL-FIRE
AVL-CAMEO AVL-DRIVE
AVL INTEGRATED TOOLCHAIN FOR ELECTRIFICATION DEVELOPMENT
AUTOMATION
HIL DEVELOPMENT
CHASSIS DYNO
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Star
t Sto
p Concept Demo Car Fleet SOP
15 7 -
14
Mild
HEV
Concept Demo Car Fleet SOP
12 7 - 1
Full
HEV
Concept Demo Car Fleet SOP
7 5 1 5
Plug
In Concept
Demo Car Fleet SOP
1 4 - -
Pure
EV Concept
Demo Car Fleet SOP
4 20 - -
RE
EV Concept
Demo Car Fleet SOP
3 3 1 2
Electrification @ AVL Hybrid- & EV Production Program References
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PASSENGER CAR POWERTRAINS ENERGY CARRIERS AND TECHNOLOGIES
Global NAFTA South
America China Japan Korea India
Source: IHS 10/2012
100%
80%
60%
40%
20%
0%
Mar
ket S
hare
Europe
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Infrastructure
Production Boundaries
Customer Demands
BOUNDARIES FOR PASSENGER CAR POWERTRAINS
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BOUNDARIES SHARE OF TRANSMISSION TYPES
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
India MT6
MT5
MT4
Source: IHS 11-2011
Annual production volumes - %
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Vehi
cle
/ Eng
ine
Spee
d
Time
Vehicle Speed
Engine Speed
PREFERRED TRANSMISSION CHARACTERISTICS – JAPAN / KOREA
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Vehi
cle
/ Eng
ine
Spee
d
Time
Vehicle Speed
Engine Speed
the customer demands enable “soft“ transmission characteristics power increase via
higher engine speed moderate torque
requirements
Engi
ne T
orqu
e
Engine Speed
Engine Torque
PREFERRED TRANSMISSION CHARACTERISTICS – JAPAN / KOREA
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PREFERRED TRANSMISSION CHARACTERISTICS DETERMINES ICE
Engi
ne T
orqu
e
Engine Speed
Engine Torque
Gasoline Engine • Naturally aspirated • High compression
ratio • Low peak pressure optimized friction
• Variable valve actuation
• Miller / Atkinson cycle
• Downspeeding by CVT / AMT with extended drive ratio
the customer demands enable “soft“ transmission characteristics power increase via
higher engine speed moderate torque
requirements
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19
Vehi
cle
/ Eng
ine
Spee
d
Time
Vehicle Speed
Engine Speed
PREFERRED TRANSMISSION CHARACTERISTICS DETERMINES ICE
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20
Vehi
cle
/ Eng
ine
Spee
d
Time
Engine Speed
Vehicle Speed
customers demands linear relation between engine and vehicle speed power increase via high torque
Engi
ne T
orqu
e
Engine Speed
Engine Torque
PREFERRED TRANSMISSION CHARACTERISTICS DETERMINES ICE
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Engi
ne T
orqu
e
Engine Speed
Engine Torque
Charged Engines • Diesel • GDI -Turbo • High peak pressure compromised friction
• Load shift by Downsizing and / or Downspeeding
• Variable valve actuation
• (Miller Cycle)
PREFERRED TRANSMISSION CHARACTERISTICS DETERMINES ICE
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• Transmission concepts and operation strategies will have a dominating influence on the combustion engine technology
• Small vehicles, CVT, AT and Hybridization the naturally aspirated engine, partially even with MPFI will still offer competitive cost / benefit and customer acceptance especially in Asia • Larger vehicles, MT and DCT Trend towards turbocharged GDI dominating Europe will be expanded to US and to a certain extend also towards China
GASOLINE ENGINE TECHNOLOGY
GASOLINE
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GASOLINE ENGINE TECHNOLOGY
• Transmission concepts and operation strategies will have a dominating influence on the combustion engine technology
• Small vehicles, CVT, AT and Hybridization the naturally aspirated engine, partially even with MPFI will still offer competitive cost / benefit and customer acceptance especially in Asia • Larger vehicles, MT and DCT Trend towards turbocharged GDI dominating Europe will be expanded to US and to a certain extend also towards China
GASOLINE
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CYLINDER DEACTIVATION CDA
Mechanical CDA: Deactivation of all valves on dedicated cylinders
Reduced friction & no gas exchange losses at deactivated cylinders
Hardware efforts & modifications to existing engines
+
-
Source: Audi / VW
GASOLINE
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Electronic CDA: Fuel cut-off & specific valve timing strategies Minimum modifications and oncost to existing engines Excellent NVH just by simple measures Slightly lower FE potential Exhaust separation of active / deactivated cylinders required
+
-
+
-
Cylinder group 2 ti = 0
Cylinder group 1 ti = 2 x ti - be
CYLINDER DEACTIVATION CDA
GASOLINE
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VARIABLE VALVE LIFT
2 Step Variable Valve Lift Low Lift
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
1000 / 1,5 bar
2000 / 2,0 bar
1500 / 2,6 bar
1000 / 4,0 bar
1500 / 5,0 bar
1750 / 8,0 bar
Engine speed / load
BSC
F Im
prov
emen
t vs
. DVC
P w
ith fi
xed
lift -
%
GASOLINE
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27 2 Step Variable Valve Lift Low Lift
Mechanic Cylinder Deactivation
Continuously Variable Valve Lift
2 Step Variable Valve Lift High Lift
3 Step Var. Valve Lift Low/High Lift
Electronic Cylinder Deactivation
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
1000 / 1,5 bar
2000 / 2,0 bar
1500 / 2,6 bar
1000 / 4,0 bar
1500 / 5,0 bar
1750 / 8,0 barEngine speed / load
BSC
F Im
prov
emen
t vs
. DVC
P w
ith fi
xed
lift -
%
VVL & CDA
The FE potentials of different variable valve train systems strongly depend on the respective engine operation range
GASOLINE
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GASOLINE ENGINE TECHNOLOGY
• Transmission concepts and operation strategies will have a dominating influence on the combustion engine technology
• Small vehicles, CVT, AT and Hybridization the naturally aspirated engine, partially even with MPFI will still offer competitive cost / benefit and customer acceptance especially in Asia • Larger vehicles, MT and DCT Trend towards turbocharged GDI dominating Europe will be expanded to US and to a certain extend also towards China
GASOLINE
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EVOLUTION OF TURBOCHARGED GDI
12
14
16
18
20
22
1000 2000 3000 4000 5000 6000 Engine Speed [rpm]
BM
EP [b
ar]
220
240
260
280
300
320
340
BSF
C [g
/kW
h]
RON 95
MY 2005
MY 2010 MY 2009 MY 2007
MY 2013
GASOLINE
24
Significant improvements by: • refined combustion
systems • increased functionality
of the valve train • improved exhaust gas
cooling (water cooled / integrated exhaust manifold, water cooled turbine housing)
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FULL LOAD CHARACTERISTICS OF TURBOCHARGED GDI
Engine Speed [rpm] 1000 2000 3000 4000 5000 6000
Bra
ke M
ean
Effe
ktiv
e Pr
essu
re [b
ar]
8
10
12
14
16
18
20
22
24
26
28
30
6
32
34
36
38
40
Cost effective AVL Low CO2 Concept
GDI-TC BENCHMARK 2012
RON 95
42 2 Stage Turbo-charging
Var. Compression Ratio
GASOLINE
• With variable compression ratio max. BMEP >40 bar can be obtained with standard fuels
• Engine transients becoming the limiting factor requiring expensive boosting devices
• Whereas short term BMEP about 25 bar and peak torque characteristics offer better cost efficiency, in long term view, high BMEP concepts can be expected
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31 GASOLINE
SI COMBUSTION TECHNOLOGIES FOR BEST HIGH LOAD EFFICIENCY
Air Excess Ratio
BSF
C –
g/k
Wh Standard
technolgy
Boosting limitations
Lean operation: • low effort on engine, high
effort with aftertreatment and boosting
• RDE requires SCR Urea refill with SCR is a market disadvantage
Extended Expansion • high effort on engine, low
effort with aftertreatment capability for low emissions
BSF
C –
g/k
Wh
Expansion Ratio
Miller Cycle
Miller Cycle + Extended Expansion
geometric limitations
Extended Expansion λ=1+cooled EGR
2000 rpm, 12 bar BMEP
Lean Operation
today
12 %
15 %
today
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32 GASOLINE
SI COMBUSTION TECHNOLOGIES FOR BEST HIGH LOAD EFFICIENCY
4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18
Engine Load BMEP - bar
BSF
C -
(g/k
Wh)
200
220
240
2
260
280
300
320
340
0
Base TGDI CR, w/o Miller, w/o external EGR
Daimler 2.0L TGDI stratified
Diesel EU6)
TGDI High CR, Miller
Load Variation @ 2000 rpm
7 %
BSF
C –
g/k
Wh
Miller Cycle
Expansion Ratio
Extended Expansion by Miller Cycle
λ=1
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Extended Expansion by Miller Cycle
λ=1+cooled EGR
GASOLINE
SI COMBUSTION TECHNOLOGIES FOR BEST HIGH LOAD EFFICIENCY
BSF
C –
g/k
Wh
Miller Cycle
4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18
BSF
C -
(g/k
Wh)
200
220
240
2
260
280
300
320
340
0
Base TGDI CR, w/o Miller, w/o external EGR
Daimler 2.0L TGDI stratified
Diesel EU6) TGDI High CR,
Miller, forced EGR
TGDI High CR, Miller
Load Variation @ 2000 rpm
Expansion Ratio
Engine Load BMEP - bar
11 %
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34 GASOLINE
SI COMBUSTION TECHNOLOGIES FOR BEST HIGH LOAD EFFICIENCY
BSF
C –
g/k
Wh
Expansion Ratio
Miller Cycle + Extended Expansion
geometric limitations
Extended Expansion λ=1+cooled EGR
TDC
BDC Expans.
BDC Compr.
Lean operation: • low effort on engine, high
effort with aftertreatment and boosting
• RDE requires SCR Urea refill with SCR is a market disadvantage
Extended Expansion • high effort on engine, low
effort with aftertreatment capability for low emissions
15 %
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35 DIESEL
DIESEL ENGINE TECHNOLOGY
• With the Diesel engine, less the transmission type, but more the market segment will determine the technology
• Image Market : High Power / Aggressive Downsizing
excellent fuel economy / CO2, however, higher efforts for exhaust gas aftertreatment especially in view of RDE • Volume market: “Efficiency Engine Approach” limited power and peak pressure utilized for optimized friction and emission most cost effective approach
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36 DIESEL
DIESEL ENGINE TECHNOLOGY
• With the Diesel engine, less the transmission type, but more the market segment will determine the technology
• Image Market : High Power / Aggressive Downsizing
excellent fuel economy / CO2, however, higher efforts for exhaust gas aftertreatment especially in view of RDE • Volume market: “Efficiency Engine Approach” limited power and peak pressure utilized for optimized friction and emission most cost effective approach
•
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75
80
85
90
95
100
105
95 100 105 110 115 Relative NOx Engine-out Emissions [%]
Rel
ativ
e Fu
el C
onsu
mpt
ion
[%]
Base (1.9L)
Base: EU6 w/o DeNOx
Downsizing Step 1 (1.5L)
Downsizing
Cost Increase
1.0 L 80 kW/L
PFP 180 bar 2-Step TC
Aggressive Downsizing / High Power Concept (ADD 1.0L)
Further Downsizing Reduction of Cylinders
Further Potential High Efficient Aftertreatment
“Aggressive Downsizing” :
best-in-class FE with 1.05L-3-cyl. engine
NOx emission increase requiring a highly efficient NOx aftertreat-ment system
with more complex aftertreatment, even larger fuel economy improvements are feasible
IMPACT OF DOWNSIZING ON NOX VS. FUEL CONSUMPTION TRADE-OFF
DIESEL 120
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38 DIESEL
DIESEL ENGINE TECHNOLOGY
• With the Diesel engine, less the transmission type, but more the market segment will determine the technology
• Image Market : High Power / Aggressive Downsizing
• excellent fuel economy / CO2, however, higher efforts for exhaust gas aftertreatment especially in view of RDE
• Volume market: “Efficiency Engine Approach” limited power and peak pressure utilized for optimized friction and emission most cost effective approach
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39 DIESEL
75
80
85
90
95
100
105
8 85 90 95 100
Relative NOx Engine-out Emissions [%]
Rel
ativ
e Fu
el C
onsu
mpt
ion
[%]
Base (1.9L) Downsizing Step 1 (1.5L)
Downsizing
Base: EU6 w/o DeNOx
Recalibration EU6 NOx
Efficiency Concept (DDE 1.5L)
Efficiency Concept
Cost Reduction
1.5 L 46 kW/L
PFP 120 bar Wastegate TC
“Efficiency Engine” Approach:
Moderate power (46 kW/L) sufficient to for volume market.
significant lower costs for base engine and boosting equipment
limited peak pressure allows consequent friction reduction
IMPACT OF “EFFICIENCY ENGINE” APPROACH ON NOX VS. FE TRADE-OFF
105
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75%
80%
85%
90%
95%
100%
105%
80% 85% 90% 95% 100% 105% 110% 115% 120%
Relative NOx Engine-out Emissions [%]
Rel
ativ
e Fu
el C
onsu
mpt
ion
[%]
Base (1.9L) Downsizing Step 1 (1.5L) Aggressive Downsizing / High Power Concept (ADD 1.0L)
Downsizing
Base: EU6 w/o DeNOx
Recalibration EU6 NOx Further Potential
High Efficient Aftertreatment
Cost Increase
Further Downsizing Reduction of Cylinders
Efficiency Concept (DDE 1.5L)
Efficiency Concept
Cost Reduction
1.0 L 80 kW/L
PFP 180 bar 2-Step TC
1.5 L 46 kW/L
PFP 120 bar Wastegate TC
CONCEPT COMPARISON: NOX VS. FUEL CONSUMPTION TRADE-OFF
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41
SUMMARY
• A sustainable reduction of CO2 emission, i.e., a dramatic improvement of fuel consumption at affordable product cost is the key technology driver
• In spite of increasing Hybridization and Electrification, the conventional powertrain will remain the dominating power source even beyond 2020
• Especially with Gasoline engines, vehicle category and transmission type have significant impacts on technology selection
• With the Diesel engine, less the transmission type, but more the market segment will determine the technology selection
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Thank You for Your attention