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FUTURETRONIUM®, FUTURETRONIUM®, The Revolution II! The Revolution II! by Andres Agostini by Andres Agostini Version Version 100.0 ─ December/14/2010 100.0 ─ December/14/2010 (Forthcoming versions, as well as other resources, will be (Forthcoming versions, as well as other resources, will be announced via www.twitter.com/Futuretronium announced via www.twitter.com/Futuretronium ─Until ─Until indicated otherwise via www.twitter.com/Futuretronium , indicated otherwise via www.twitter.com/Futuretronium , The Futuretronium Book will be an ongoing initiative and The Futuretronium Book will be an ongoing initiative and periodically upgraded, refined and extended. periodically upgraded, refined and extended.) (This Proprietary Book may be reproduced for (This Proprietary Book may be reproduced for noncommercial purposes if it is copied in its entirety, noncommercial purposes if it is copied in its entirety, including this notice. Please recall that “if it is copied in including this notice. Please recall that “if it is copied in its entirety, including this notice.”) its entirety, including this notice.”) 1 Unabridged Unabridged version! version!

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  1. 1. 1 FUTURETRONIUM,The Revolution II! by Andres AgostiniV er s i o n 1 0 0 . 0 D e c e m b e r / 1 4 /2 0 1 0Unabridged version! ( F o r t h c o m i n g v e r s i o n s , a s w e l l a s o th e r r e s o u r c e s , w i l l b e announcedvia www.twitter.com/FuturetroniumUntil indicated otherwise via www.twitter.com/Futuretronium , T h e F u t u r e t r o n i u m B o o k w i l l b e a n on g o i n g i n i t i a t i v e a n d p er i o d i c a l l y u p g r a d e d , r e f i n e d a n d ex t e n d e d . )(ThisProprietary Book mayber e p r o d u c edfor noncommercial purposes if it is copied in its entirety, i n c l u d i n g t h i s n o t i c e . Pl e a s e r e c a l l t h a t i f i t i s c o p i e d in its entirety, including this notice.)
  2. 2. 2 # 1 F U T U R E T R O N I U M , A N D T H E A D M I N I S T R A T I O N AN D A P P L I C A T I O N O F T H E S C I E N T I F I C M E T HO D W I T H O U T I N N U EN D O S AN D I N C R E S C E N D O A S F L U I D P O I N T S O F INFLECTIONSASCERTAIN T H ATTHEMORROW ISA THING OF THE PAST. #2 FUTURETRONIUM, SUBSEQUENTLY, THERE IS NOW AN DHEREAVAILABLE THEU N A BR I D G E D , AUTHORITATIVE ELICITATIONANDELUCIDATION OF ACTIONABLEK N O W L ED G EFROM AND FORTHE I N C E S S AN T L Y AR R H Y T H M I C , A B R U P T , A N T A G O N I S T I C , MORDANT, CAUSTIC,AN D ANARCHISTIC FUTURE, AS WELL AS THEC O N T EN T I O U SINTERRELATIONSHIP B E T W E E N S U C H F U T U R E AN D T H E P R E S EN T . #3 FUTURETRONIUM, ARADICALYET RIGOROUS STRONG-SENSE AND C R I T I C O - CR E A T I V EFUTURES T H I N K I N G , S Y S T E M S A P P R O A C H T O Q U I N T E S S EN T I A L U N D ER S T A N D I N G O F T H E C O M P L E X I T I E S , S U B T L E T I E S , AN D I N T R I C A C I E S , A S W E L L A S T H E O P P O R T U N I T I E S T O BE EXPLOITED OUT OF THEDRIVINGFORCES INSTILLING AND INFLICTING PERPETUAL CHANGE INTO TWENTIETH-ONE CENTURY .
  3. 3. 3 By ( c) C o p y r i g h t 2 0 1 0 b y A n d r e s A g o s t i n i A l l R i g h t s R es e r v e d W h a t d o e s n t g e t u n d e r s t o o d i n t h i s a g e b e c o m e s a ma j o rliability. To this end Henry Kissingers quotation is timely. E n s u i n g : A n i gn o r e d i s s u e i s a n i n v i t a t i on t o a p r o b l e m. [ 1 2 ] Forget what you know and just believe in what you see and sense. I t s t i m e f o r y o u t o e x p l o r e , c on c e iv e , d e v e l o p , d i s c o v e r a n d instituteyour own Futures exploitingtheUPSIDESand D OW N S I D E S o f t h e s u r r e p t i t i o u s l y c ov e r t a n d i g n o r e d o n e s u n l e s s y ou w i l l m a k e y o u r s e l f e n s l a v e d b y c i r c u m s t a n c e s b e y o n d y o u r c o n t r o l , r e g a r d l e s s o f y o u r p o w e r s . K i n d l y p l e a s e , if y o u d like, make your choices wisely and by you and for yourself! T h e u n d e r s i g n e d i s i n n o wa y a t t e m p t i n g t o b e e i t h e r a s e e r , o r a soothsayer, diviner, foreteller, or prophet, who can foretell the future. In managing corporate and operational risks of many diverse natures, one needs not only to identify and recognize h a z a r d s b u t t o a n t i c i p a t e , v e r y e a r l y o n , f u t u r e a n d a dv a n c e d d i s r u p t i o n p o t e n t i a l , d o i n g s o i n t h e t r a d i t i o n o f r i g o r o u s f u tu r e s
  4. 4. 4 studies coupled with other disciplines. In the last analysis and v e r y s e r i o u s l y s t a t e d , t h e v ie w h e r e o f f e r s a l u c r a t iv e a n d a u se f u l l e a r n i n g a n d p ra c t i c a l t o o l t h a t r e qu i r e s f r o m p r a c t i t i o n e r s m u c h better p r e pa r e d n e s s beforesystemic volatility, universal uncertainty and ubiquitous change and ambiguity. T h e o b j e c t i v e i s t h e u n de r s t a n d i n g t h e c o m p l e x a n d s u b t l e n a t u r e and progression of many explosive driving forces that shape and r e - s h a p e t h e k n o w n a n d u n k n o w n w o r l d . F u tu r i s t s s p e a k , o u t o f b r i e f s y n t h e s i s , a b o u t t r e n d s a n d t e n d e n c ie s a n d p r o p e n s i t i e s o f s o m e o f s a i d d r i v i n g f o r c e s . T he s e d r i v i n g f o r c e s a re n o t o n l y m e g a , d i v e r s e d y n a m o s t h a t o u t p u t c h a n g e b u t a l s o c ha l l e n g e s , opportunities and benefits for those who are prepared and paying incessantly great detailed attention. T h e s e d r i v i n g f o rc e s , i n c i d e n t a l l y , e x p e l : ( 1) O p e n - e n d e d c h a n g e s , (2) Preemptive changes, and (3) All-out war-waging (that is, boundaryless) changes. You manage risks to increase your benefits and opportunities and t o a u g m e n t t h e r e s i l i e n c y a n d a da p t a b i l i t y o f t h e s u s t a i n a b i l i t y o f said benefits and opportunities. In Transformative and Integrative R i s k M a n a g e m e n t ( be l o w ) , m a n a g i n g r i s k s n o t t o b r i n g a b o u t i l lu s i o n s ofmeaning arenothing elsethantheoptimum
  5. 5. 5 management of the upsides and downsides embedded in the driving forces. Subsequently,the material in thisbookranges overmany disciplines, as well as the work of many outstanding scientists. F u r t h e r m o r e , p r e s e n t d r i v i n g f o r c e s ( sc i e n c e , t e c h n o l o g y , s o c i e t y , p o l i t i c s a n d e c o n o m y ) a r e c hu r n i n g i n s u r m o u n t a b l e a m o u n t s o f unprecedented changewith increasing energyandscope. A c c o r d i n g l y , t h e p r e s e n t m a t e r i a l i s c o m m u n ic a t e d w i t h m a r k e d emphasis indeed. The undersigned does not and will not dare to oversimplify and/or underestimate the consequences and sequels of these gargantuan driving forces. TOO F F ER G R E AT E R INSIGHTQUICKLY, LETSEEA PRIMER ONTECHNOLOGICALAND SCIENTIFIC KNOWLEDGE. ENSUING: D r . M i c h i o Ka k u , P h . D . i n d i c a t e s : . B y t h e e n d o f t h e t w e n t i et h c e n t u r y , s c i e n c e h ad r e a c h e d t h e en d o f a n e r a , u n l o c k i n g t h e s e c r e t s o f t h e a t o m , u n r a v e l i n g t h e m o l ec u l e o f l i f e , an d c r e at i n g the e l ec t r o n i c c o m p u t er . With these three fundamental discoveries,t r i g g e r ed by thequantumrevolution,the DNA r e v o l u t i on , a n d t h e c o m p u t e r r e v o lu t i on , t h e b a s i c l a w s o f m at t e r ,
  6. 6. 6 li f e , a n d c o m p u t at i o n w er e , i n t h e m a i n , fi n a l l y s o l v e d . T h a t epic phase of science is now drawing to a close; one era is ending a n d a n ot h e r i s o n l y b e g i n n i n g . T h e n e xt e r a o f sc i e n c e pr o m i s e s t o b e an e v en d e e p e r , m o r e t h o r o u gh g o i n g , m o r e p e n et r a t i n g o n e t h a n t h e l a s t . C l e a r l y , w e a r e o n t h e t h r e s h o ld o f y e t a n o t h e r r e v o l u t i on . H U M A N K N O W L E D G E I S D O UB L I N G E V E R Y T E N Y E A R S [ A S P E R T H E 1 9 9 8 S T A N D A R D S ] . I n t h e p a s t d e c ad e , m o r e s c i e n t i f i c k n o w l e d g e h a s b e e n c r e a t ed t h a n i n a l l o f h u m a n h i s t o r y . C O M P U T E R P O W E R I S D O UB L I N G E V E R Y E I G H T E E N MONTHS. THE INTERNET IS DOUBLING EVERY YEAR. THE N U M B E R O F D N A S E Q U E N C E S W E CA N A N A L Y Z E I S D O UB L I N G E V E R Y T W O Y E A R S . A l m o s t d ai l y , t h e h e a d li n e s h e r a ld n e w ad v a n c e s i n c o m p u t e r s , t e l ec o m m u n i c a t i o n s , b i o t ec h n o l o g y , a n d s p a c e e x p l o r at i o n . I n t h e w a k e o f t h i s t ec h n o l o g i c a l u p h e a v a l , en t i r e i n d u s t r i e s a n d l i f e s t y l e s a r e b e i n g o v e r t u r n ed , o n l y t o g i v e r i s e t o en t i r e l y n e w o n e s . B u t t h e s e r ap i d , b e wi l d er i n g c h a n g e s a r e n ot j u s t q u a n t i t at i v e . T h e y m a r k t h e b i r t h p a n g s o f a n e w e r a . F R O M N O W T O T H E Y E A R 2 0 2 0 , S CI E N T I S T S F O R E S E E A N E X P L O S I O N I N S C I E N T I F I C A C T I V I T Y S UC H AS T H E W O R L D HAS NEVER SEEN BEFORE. IN TWO KEY TECHNOLOGIES, COMPUTER POWER AND THE DNA SEQUENCING, WE WILL SEE ENTIREINDUSTRIESRISE ANDFA L LONTHEB AS I S OF B R E A T HT A K I N G S C I E N T I F I C A D V A N C E S . S I N C E T H E 1 9 5 0 S , T H E P O W E R O F O U R C O M P UT E R S H AS A D V A N C E D B Y A F A C T O R
  7. 7. 7 OFROUGHLY TENBILLION.INF A CT ,B E C A US EBOTH COMPUTER POWER AND DNA SEQUENCING DOUBLE ROUGHLY EVERY TWO YEARS, ONE CAN COMPUTE THE ROUGH TIME F R A M E O V E R W HI C H M A N Y S CI E N T I F I C B R E A K T H R O U G H S WILL TAKE PLACE .... BY 2020, MICROPROCESSORS WILL L I K E L Y B E A S A C H E A P A N D P L E N T I F U L AS S C R A P P A P E R , SCATTERED BY THEMILLIONS I NT OENVIRONMENT, ALLOWINGUS TO PLACE I NT E L L I G E N T SYSTEMS E V E R Y W H E R E . T HI S W I L L C H A N G E E V E R Y T H I N G A R O U N D US , I N C L U D I NG T H E N A T U R E O F C O M M E R C E , T H E W E A L T H O F N A T I O N S , A N D T H E W A Y W E C O M M U N I C AT E , W O R K , P L A Y , AND LIVE. [171] President John F. Kennedys speech on September 12, 1962 at Race U n i v e r s i t y : D e s p i t e t h e s t r i k i n g f ac t t h a t m o s t o f t h e s c i e n t i s t s that the world has ever known are alive and working today, d e s p i t e t h e f ac t t h a t t h i s N a t i o n s o wn s c i en t i f i c m a n p o w e r i s d o u b l i n g e v er y 1 2 y e a r s i n a r a t e o f gr o w t h m o r e t h an t h r e e t i m e s t h a t o f ou r p o p u l a t i o n a s a w h o l e , d e s p i t e t h at , t h e v a s t st r e t c h e s o f t h e u n k n o w n a n d t h e u n an s w e r e d a n d t h e u n f i n i s h e d s t i ll f ar ou t s t r i p o u r c ol l e c t i v e c o m pr e h e n s i o n . [ 8 0 ] T o f u r t h e r s e t t h e s t a g e f o r t h i s m a t e r i a l , t h e t e x t b o o k E i n st e i n i n t h e B o ar d r o o m b y S u za n n e S . H a r r i s o n a n d P a t r i c k H . S u l l iv a n S r .
  8. 8. 8 may offer some lucid ideas on the current state of affairs when t h e y c la i m : Hu m a n s h a v e b e en ad d i n g t o t h ei r t o t a l k n o w l e d g e st e a d i l y o v e r the c en t u r i e s , andthe amount ofknowledge wecreateis mu l t i p l y i n g a t a n i n c r ed i b l e r a t e . B e g i n n i n g w i t h t h e a m o u n t o f k n o w l e d g e i n t h e k n o w n w o r ld at t h e t i m e o f C h r i s t , s t u d i e s h a v e e s t i m a t e d t h a t t h e f i r s t d ou b l i n g o f t h a t k n o w l ed g e t o o k p l ac e ab o u t 1 7 0 0 A . D . T h e s e c on d d ou b li n g o c c u r r e d a r ou n d t h e y e a r 1 9 0 0 . I t i s e s t i m a t e d t od a y t h a t t h e w o r ld ' s k n o w l e d g e b a s e wi l l d o u b l e a g a i n b y 2 0 1 0 a n d a g a i n a ft e r t h a t b y 2 0 1 3 . [ 3 7 ] T h e r e a r e m a n y s e r i o u s pu b l i c a t i o n s , f r o m 2 0 0 3 t o t h i s d a t e , s p e a k i n g o f t h e e n t i r e t y o f s c i e n t i f i c kn o w l e d g e d o u b l i n g e v e r y f i v e (5) years and sooner. How, then, can one undertake such a g a r g a n t u a n c ha l l e n g e , t h r o u g h t h e S o c i e t y o f K n o w l e d g e ( t h a t also embraces the infotech economy), unless it is through the s t e w a r d s h i p o f t h e m o s t r i g o r o u s a n d a d v a n c e d s c i e n t if i c m e t h o d ? [129] Hu m a n k n o w l e d g e c a p ab i l i t y wi l l c o n t i n u e t o d o u b l e e v e r y y e a r . Hu m a n knowledgec a p ab i l i t y is thequantityofavailable k n o w l e d g e m u l t i p l i ed b y t h e p o w e r o f t e c h n o l o g y t o pr o c e s s t h a t knowledge. This capability will increase by two to the power of
  9. 9. 9 1 0 0 , t h e e q u i v a l e n t o f a t h o u s a n d b i l li o n b i ll i o n , i n t h e t w en t y - first century. James Martin, The 17 Great Challenges of the T we n t y - F i r s t Century, Jan-Feb2007, p. 24[ T heFu t u r i s t Magazines Top-10 Forecast for 2010] Subsequently, given the immense level of complexity progression and density, there is one axiom we will need to live by (that is, if we wish to be successful in prevailing) that indicates:The s i g n i f i c a n t p r o b l e m s w e f ac e c an n o t b e s o l v e d at t h e s a m e l e v e l o f t h i n k i n g w e w e r e at w h e n w e c r e a t e d t h e m. ( B y A l b e r t E i n s t e i n ) [153] C h i n a m u l l s $ 1 . 5 t r i l l i o n s t r a t e g i c i n du s t r i e s b o o s t ? Ho w far can China go to pervasively cutting-edge science and technology while the West, seemingly and allegedly, does n o t g e t i t s a c t t o g et h e r ? W h a t d o e s a p r o m i n en t n e w s agency have to report on it? R e u t e r s ( D e c 0 3 , 2 0 1 0 ) : C h i n a i s c on s i d er i n g i n v e s t m e n t s o f u p t o $ 1 . 5 t r i l l i on o v e r f i v e y e a r s i n s e v e n s t r a t e g i c i n d u st r i e s , sources said, a plan aimed at a c c e l e r at i n g thecountry's t r a n s i t i o n f r o m t h e w or l d ' s su p p l i er o f c h e a p g o o d s t o a l e ad i n g purveyor ofhigh-value t ec h n o l o g i e s .Analysts expressed s k e p t i c i s m at t h e s h e e r a m ou n t o f m o n e y i t eq u a t e s t o a b o u t 5
  10. 10. 10 p er c en t o f C h i n a ' s g r o s s d o m e s t i c pr o d u c t o n a n a n n u a l b a s i s b u t s a i d t h a t t h e e y e - p o p p i n g h e a d l i n e fi g u r e w a s an i n d i c at i o n o f t h e g o v e r n m en t ' s d et e r m i n a t i on t o c a t a l y z e a s t r u c t u r a l s h i ft i n the economy .THE T A R G E T EDSECTORSINCLUDE A L T ER N A T I V E ENERGY, B I O T E C H N O LO G Y , NEW- G E N E R A T IO N INFORMATIONT E C H N O LO G Y ,HIGH-END EQUIPMENT MANUFACTURING, ADVANCED MATERIALS, A L T ER N A T I V E - F U E L CARS ANDENERGY-SAVINGAND E N V IR O N M E N T A L L Y FR I E N D L Y T E C H N O LO G I E S . B ei j i n g h a s s a i d b e f or e t h a t i t w an t s t o pr o m o t e t h e s e c t o r s , a p o li c y t h a t i t h o p e s wi l l m a k e t h e c ou n t r y l e s s d e p en d en t o n l o w - en d , d i r t y m a n u f a c t u r i n g . T h e v a l u e - ad d ed o u t p u t o f t h e s e v e n s t r at e g i c i n d u s t r i e s t o g et h e r a c c o u n t f or ab o u t 2 p e r c e n t o f G D P n o w . T h e g o v e r n m en t h a s s a i d i t w a n t s t h e m t o g e n e r at e 8 p e r c e n t o f G D P i n 2 0 1 5 a n d 1 5 p er c en t b y 2 0 2 0 . [ 1 7 6 ] Zillionimpossible science facts turnedinto rampant realities? D r . M i c h i o Ka k u , P h . D . p o i n t s o u t : A s a p h y s i c i s t , I h a v e l e a r n ed t h a t t h e i m p o s s i b l e i s o f t e n a r e l a t i v e t er m . I N M Y O W N SHORT LIFETIME I HAVE SEEN THE SEEMINGLY IMPOSSIBLE BECOME ESTABLISHED SCIENTIFIC FACT OVER AND OVER A G A I N . S o i s i t i m p o s s i b l e t o t h i n k w e m i gh t o n e d a y b e a b l e t o
  11. 11. 11 teleport ourselves from one place to another, or build a spaceship t h a t wi l l o n e d a y t a k e u s l i g h t - y e a r s t o t h e s t a r s ? . I f w e w er e t o s o m e h o w en c ou n t er a c i v i l i z at i o n a mi l l i o n y e a r s m o r e ad v a n c ed t h a n ou r s , w ou l d t h e i r e v e r y d a y t ec h n o l o g y a p p e a r t o b e m a g i c t o u s ? . J u s t b ec a u s e s o m e t h i n g i s i m p o s s i b l e t o d a y , w i l l i t r e m a i n i m p o s s i b l e c e n t u r i e s o r m i l li o n s o f y e a r s i n t o t h e fu t u r e ? . G i v en t h e r e m a r k ab l e a d v a n c e s i n s c i en c e i n t h e p a s t c en t u r y , e s p e c i a l l y t h e c r e a t i o n o f t h e q u a n t u m t h e or y a n d g e n e r a l r e l a t i v i t y , i t i s n o w p o s s i b l e t o gi v e r o u g h e s t i m a t e s o f w h en , i f e v e r , s o m e o f t h e s e f a n t a s t i c t e c h n o l o g i e s m a y b e r e a l i z ed . W i t h t h e c o mi n g o f e v e n m o r e ad v a n c ed t h e o r i e s , su c h a s s t r i n g t h e or y , e v e n c on c e p t s b o r d er i n g o n s c i e n c e fi c t i o n , s u c h a s t i m e t r a v e l andp ar a l l e l universes,arenowb ec o m i n g re-evaluatedby p h y s i c i s t s . T h i n k b ac k 1 5 0 y e a r s t o t h o s e t e c h n o l o g i c a l ad v a n c e s t h a t w er e d ec l a r ed i m p o s s i b l e b y sc i e n t i s t s a t t h e t i m e an d t h a t h a v e n o w b ec o m e p a r t o f ou r e v e r y d a y li v e s . J u l e s V er n e w r o t e a n o v e l i n 1 8 6 3 , P a r i s i n t h e T w en t i et h C en t u r y , w h i c h w a s l oc k e d a w a y a n d f o r g o t t en f o r o v e r a c en t u r y u n t i l i t w a s a c c i d en t a l l y d i s c o v e r ed b y h i s gr e a t - gr a n d s o n a n d p u b l i s h ed f or t h e f i r st t i m e in 1994. In it Verne predicted what Paris might look like in the y e a r 1 9 6 0 . Hi s n o v e l w a s fi l l e d w i t h t ec h n o l o g y t h at w a s c l e ar l y c o n s i d er e d i m p o s s i b l e i n t h e n i n et e e n t h c en t u r y , i n c l u d i n g f a x machines,a world-wide communications n et w o r k , glass s k y s c r a p er s , g a s - p o w e r ed a u t o m ob i l e s , a n d h i g h - s p e ed el e v a t e d
  12. 12. 12 t r a i n s N o t s u r p r i s i n g l y , V e r n e c o u ld m a k e s u c h st u n n i n g l y ac c u r a t e p r e d i c t i o n s b e c au s e h e w a s i m m e r s e d i n t h e w o r l d o f s c i e n c e , p i c k i n g t h e b r a i n s o f s c i en t i s t s a r ou n d h i m . A d e e p a p p r e c i at i o n f o r t h e f u n d a m e n t a l s o f sc i e n c e a l l o w e d h i m t o m a k e s u c h s t a r t l i n g p r e d i c t i o n s . I R O N I C A L L Y , T H E S E R I O U S S T U D Y O F T H E I M P O S S I B L E H A S F R E Q U E N T L Y O P E N E D U P RI C H A N D E N T I R E L Y U N E X P E C T E D D O M AI N S O F S C I E N C E . F o r e x a m p l e , over the c en t u r i e s thef r u s t r at i n g andfutile search fora p e r p et u a l m o t i o n m a c h i n e l ed p h y s i c i s t s t o c on c lu d e t h at s u c h a machinewas impossible,f or c i n gthem to postulatethe c o n s e r v a t i on o f e n er g y an d t h e t h r e e l a w s o f t h er m o d y n a m i c s . T h u s t h e f u t i l e s e a r c h t o b u i l d p er p e t u a l m o t i o n m a c h i n e s h el p e d t o o p e n u p t h e e n t i r e l y n e w fi e l d o f t h er m o d y n a m i c s , w h i c h i n p ar t l a i d t h e f o u n d a t i on o f t h e st e a m e n gi n e , t h e m ac h i n e a g e , a n d m o d er n i n d u s t r i a l s o c i e t y . W e i gn o r e t h e i m p o s s i b l e a t ou r p er i l . I n t h e 1 9 2 0 s a n d 1 9 3 0 s R o b er t G o d d a r d , t h e f o u n d er o f m o d er n r o c k et r y , w a s t h e s u b j e c t o f i n t en s e c r i t i c i s m b y t h o s e w h o t h o u gh t t h a t r o c k et s c o u ld n e v e r t r a v e l i n o u t er s p a c e . T h e y s a r c a s t i c a l l y c a l l ed h i s p u r s u i t G o d d a r d s F o l l y . I n 1 9 2 1 t h e ed i t or s o f t h e N e w Y o r k T i m e s r a i l ed a g a i n s t Dr . G o d d a r d s w o r k : P r o f e s s o r G od d ar d d o e s n o t k n o w t h e r e l a t i o n b e t w e en a c t i o n a n d r e a c t i o n a n d t h e n e e d t o h a v e s o m e t h i n g b et t e r t h an a v a c u u m a g a i n s t w h i c h t o r e ac t . H e s e e m s t o l a c k t h e b a s i c knowledgel ad l e d ou tdaily in highschools.R o c k et sw er e
  13. 13. 13 i mp o s s i b l e , t h e ed i t or s h u f f ed , b e c au s e t h er e w a s n o a i r t o pu s h a g a i n st i n o u t e r s p a c e. S ad l y , o n e h e a d o f s t at e d i d u n d e r s t an d t h e i m p l i c a t i on s o f G od d a r d s i m p o s s i b l e r o c k et s A d o l p h H i t l e r . D u r i n g W o r l d W a r I I , G e r m an y s b ar r a g e o f i m p o s s i b l y ad v a n c e d V - 2 r oc k e t s r a i n ed d e a t h an d d e s t r u c t i o n o n L o n d on , a l m o s t b r i n gi n g i t t o i t s k n e e s . T i m e a n d a g a i n w e s e e t h a t t h e s t u d y o f t h e i mp o s s i b l e h a s o p e n ed u p e n t i r e l y n e w v i s t a s , pushing the boundaries of physics and chemistry and forcing scientists to redefine what they mean by impossible. As Sir W i l l i a m O s l e r o n c e s a i d , T H E P H I L O S O P H I E S O F O N E A G E H A V E BECOMETHEABSURDITIESOFTHENEXT, AND THE FOOLISHNESS OF YESTERDAY HAS BECOME THE WISDOM OF T OM O R R O W . . M a n y p h y s i c i s t s s u b sc r i b e t o t h e f a m o u s d i c t u m o f T . H . W h i t e , w h o wr o t e i n T h e O n c e a n d F u t u r e K i n g , A n y t h i n g t h a t i s n o t f o r b i d d e n , i s m a n d at o r y ! I n ph y s i c s w e f i n d e v i d e n c e o f t h i s a l l t h e t i m e . F o r e x a m p l e , c o s m o l o g i s t S t e p h e n H a w k i n g t r i ed t o p r o v e t h at t i m e t r a v e l w a s i m p o s s i b l e b y fi n d i n g a n e w law ofphysicsthatw o u ld forbidit,which he c a l l edthe c h r o n o l o g y p r o t ec t i on c o n j ec t u r e . U n f or t u n a t e l y , a f t er m a n y y e a r s o f h ar d w o r k h e w a s u n a b l e t o pr o v e t h i s pr i n c i pl e . I n f a c t , t o t h e c o n t r a r y , p h y s i c i s t s h a v e n o w d e m on s t r a t ed t h a t a l a w t h a t p r e v e n t s t i m e t r a v e l i s b e y o n d o u r pr e s e n t - d a y m a t h e m a t i c s . T od a y , b ec a u s e t h e r e i s n o l a w o f ph y s i c s p r e v e n t i n g t h e e x i s t e n c e o f t i m e m a c h i n e s , p h y s i c i s t s h a v e h ad t o t a k e t h e i r p o s s i b i l i t y
  14. 14. 14 very seriously . Already one impossible technology is now p r o v i n g t o b e p o s s i b l e: t h e n ot i o n o f t e l e p o r t a t i on ( at l e a s t a t t h e l e v e l o f at o m s ) . E v e n a f e w y e a r s a g o p h y s i c i s t s w o u ld h a v e s a i d t h a t s e n d i n g o r b e a m i n g an o b j ec t f r o m o n e p o i n t t o an o t h er v i o l a t ed t h e l a w s o f q u an t u m ph y s i c s . T h e w r i t er s o f t h e o r i g i n a l Star Trek television series, in fact, were so stung by the criticism f r o m p h y s i c i st s t h a t t h e y ad d ed H e i s e n b er g c o m p en s a t o r s t o e x p l a i n t e l e p o r t e r s i n o r d e r t o a d d r e s s t h i s f l a w . T o d a y , b ec a u s e o f a r e c en t b r e a k t h r o u g h , ph y s i c i s t s c a n t el e p o r t a t o m s ac r o s s a r o o m or p h ot o n s u n d er t h e D a n u b e R i v er . [ 1 7 4 ] T o r e a d m o r e o n t h i s c i t a t i o n , g o t o A ma z o n a t h t t p : / / a m z n . t o / d H G k O W F r u i t f u l l y p l a n t i n g i n w h i c h t e n s e? T h e h e r i t a g e o f t h e p a s t i s t h e s e ed t h a t b r i n g s f o r t h t h e h a r v e s t o f t h e f u t u r e . I n s c r i p t i o n f r o m s t a t u a r y pe d e s t a l a t N a t i o n a l Archives in Washington Many forces are not predictable but some others are predictable based on omniscience! Y o g i B e r r a : P r ed i c t i on i s v e r y h ar d , e s p e c i a l l y w h en i t ' s ab o u t the future. [171]
  15. 15. 15 W h o c r e a t e s t h e fu t u r e a n d w h o d o e s n t ? M i c h a e l A n i s s i m o v : O n e o f t h e b i g g e s t fl a w s i n t h e c o m m on c o n c ep t i on o f t h e f u t u r e i s t h at t h e f u t u r e i s s o m e t h i n g t h a t h a p p en s t o u s, n ot s o m e t h i n g w e c r e a t e . [ 1 4 2 ] What are the ruthless drivers? Ha r o l d V a r m u s , N I H D i r e c t o r : T h e r e a r e t h r e e g r e a t t h e m e s i n s c i e n c e i n t h e t w en t i et h c e n t u r y t h e at o m , t h e c o m pu t e r , a n d t h e g e n e. [ 1 7 1 ] I n t e r a c t i n g w i t h t h e fu t u r e? R a i n e r M a r i a R i l k e : T h e fu t u r e e n t e r s i n t o u s i n o r d er t o t r a n s f o r m i t s e l f i n u s l o n g b e f or e i t h a p p en s . [ 1 4 2] I can offer this perspective as of now (the wonderful continuum) a n d u n d e r m y h u m a n a n d h u m a n e pe r s p e c t i v e . I d o l i k e a g r e a t d e a l s c i e n c e a n d t e c h n o l o g y , b u t o n l y t o t h e t r u e s t s e r v ic e o f t h e g l o b a l c i v i l i za t i o n . G i v e n t h e u b i q u i t o u s d y n a m i c s s h i f t i n g t h r o u g h tsunamis,these days Ifindthetermcontinuumbeyond i n e f f e c t u a l a n d m o s t l y lu d i c r o u s .
  16. 16. 16 N o n e t h e l e s s , i f y o u w a n t t o r e a l i t y - c h e c k t h e s e r e f le c t i o n s , y o u will be able, soonest, to have every detailed explanation by, say, an o m n i s c i e n t r o b o t h o v e r i n g m i d a i r i f y o u i n d e f in i t e l y p o s t p o n e y o u r h o m e w o r k a n d f a i l t o d o y o u r o w n in d e p e n d e n t r e s e a r c h , d o n e for and by you (as of now). What to consider about gauging the future? W i r e d ( 1 9 9 4 ) : T h e f u t u r e b e l on g s t o n ei t h er t h e c on d u i t o r c o n t en t p l a y e r s , b u t t h o s e w h o c on t r o l t h e f i lt e r i n g , s e a r c h i n g a n d s e n s e - m a k i n g t o o l s w e w i l l r e l y o n t o n a v i g a t e t h r ou g h t h e e x p a n s i on o f c yb e r s p a c e . [ 1 4 5 ] Horses, dogs and robotic dominance of all? S a m u e l B u t l e r ( 1 8 6 3 l e t t e r ) : W h o wi l l b e m a n s s u c c e s s o r ? T o whichthe answer is: Wear e ourselvescreating ourown s u c c e s s o r s . M an w i l l b e c o m e t o t h e m a c h i n e wh a t t h e h o r s e an d t h e d o g a r e t o m a n ; t h e c on c lu s i o n b ei n g t h at m ac h i n e s a r e, or a r e b ec o m i n g , a n i m a t e. [ 1 4 2] G o t o a n y s n a i l p a c e d n e w s p a p e r s ( on l i n e o r o l d - f a s h i o n e d o f f l i n e ) i n a d e v e l o p i n g c o u n t r y a n d t h i s y o u l l f in d w i t h i n t h e daily headlines: Fiction immensely superseded through many
  17. 17. 17 orders of magnitudes (that is, by hyper-geometrical exponential rates) by realities, that is: the most incontrovertible and yet the most dramatic realities. People kind of see a part of the waves, but are famously infamously u n a wa r e t h a t m o s t p e r v a s i v e c u r r e n t s u n d e r n e a t h a re t h e t r u e d y n a m o s o f t h e s e s w i r l i n g c ha n g e d c h a n g e s . Brainy ones hyper-accelerating industries and beyond? J u a n E n r i q u e z : M e an w h i l e , l on e i n d i v i d u a l s a r e b i r t h i n g n o t j u st c o m p a n i e s b u t e n t i r e i n d u s t r i e s t h a t r ap i d l y b e c o m e b i g g e r t h a n t h e e c o n o m i e s o f m o s t c ou n t r i e s . B u t u n li k e gr o w t h i n d u st r i e s o f t h e p a s t c ar s an d a e r o s p a c e , f o r e x a m p l e t h e i n d u s t r i e s t h at w i l l d o m i n at e ou r f u t u r e d e p e n d o n j u st a f e w s m a r t m i n d s N o t a l o t o f m an p o w e r S o d u r i n g a p e r i o d o f pr o s p e r i t y a n d ec o n o m i cgr o w t h Wealth is evermoremobile and c o n c en t r a t e d . [ 1 6 3 ] What is the current rate of change? What is the as-of-now r a t e o f t e c h n o l o g i c a l a n d s c i e n t i f i c k n o w l e d g e do u b l i n g ? Mark Miller, computer scientist: You know, things are going to b e r e a l l y d i f f er e n t N o , n o , I m e a n r e a l l y d i f f e r en t . [ 1 4 2 ]
  18. 18. 18 What are we morphing into? S i r A r t h u r C . C la r k e : I t s a l s o a t ou r d e f o r c e o f p h ot o g r a p h y : t h e i m a g e s r e v e a l a wh o l e n e w or d e r o f c r e a t i on a b o u t t o c o m e i n t o e x i s t en c e. N o o n e w h o h a s an y i n t e r e s t i n t h e fu t u r e c a n a f f o r d it. [164] The outcomesstemmingofthe intermixingof the exuberant technologies? J u a n E n r i q u e z : Y ou a n d y o u r c h i l d r e n ar e a b o u t t o f a c e a s e r i e s o f u n p r ec e d en t ed m o r a l , et h i c a l , e c on o m i c , a n d f i n an c i a l i s s u e s . T h e c h oi c e s y o u m a k e [ a s w e l l a s t h o s e y o u r e f ai l i n g t o m a k e b e c au s e o f l a c k o f d e t a i l e d , a d v a n c ed a n d d e e p a w a r e n e s s ] wi l l i mp a c t w h er e y o u l i v e , w h at y o u e a r n , w h a t y o u r g r an d c h i ld r en w i l l l o o k l i k e, h o w l on g y o u l i v e . I t a l l s t a r t s b e c au s e w e a r e m i xi n g a p p l e s , or a n g e s , a n d f l o p p y d i s k s . [ 1 6 3 ] W ha t i s i t m e a n t b y F u t u r e ? W h e n s p e a k in g a b o u t F UT U R E a s t h e u n d e r s i g n e d i s s p e a k in g a b o u t c ha n g e , t h e r e i s i n c lu d e d positive change and negative change (as well as the grave tradeoffs b e t w e e n [ a ] p o s i t i v e c h a n g e a n d [ b] n e g a t i v e c ha n g e ) . H o w e v e r ,
  19. 19. 19 t h e e m p h a s i s i s t o u n d e r p i n t h e u p s i d e c h a n g e s a n d t o c r i p p le t h e downside changes. Theundersigned willalsobe reflecting aboutsomeofthe c o n s e q u e n c e s a n d p o s s i b i l i t i e s b y s a i d c ha n g e s a n d t r a d e o f f s . F r o m p e r e n n i a l l y u p g r a d e d k n o w l e dg e i n t o d e c i s i v e , r u l i n g empires? J u a n E n r i q u e z : T h e k n o w l e d g e r e v o lu t i on i s t a k i n g p l ac e i n s m a l l , s h a r p l y d e f i n e d a r e a s . O n e c o m p a n y g e n e r at e s m o r e U . S . p at e n t s t h a n 1 3 9 c ou n t r i e s d o t o g e t h e r T h i s [ r e v o lu t i on ] g e n er a t e s n e w E M P I R E S a n d n e w g h e t t o s . I t s l a m s i n t o e x i s t i n g s y s t e m s an d d e s t r o y s t h e m w h i l e c r e at i n g n e w s y s t e m s . C o u n t r i e s and individuals can either surf new and powerful waves of change or try to stop them and get crushed. [163] S h o c k i n g t i m e s e q u a t e t o s h o c k i n g fu t u r es ? J o s e O r t e g a y G a s s e t : L i f e i s a s e r i e s o f c o l l i s i on s w i t h t h e fu t u r e ; i t i s n o t t h e s u m o f w h a t w e h a v e b e e n , b u t w h at w e y e a r n t o b e . [149] W hy e v e r y t h i n g c h a n g e s , b e g i n n i n g w i t h c h a n g e i t s e l f ?
  20. 20. 20 N i c o l a T e s l a , 1 8 9 6 , I n v e n t o r o f A l t e r n a t i v e C u r r e n t : I d o n ot t h i n k t h e r e i s a n y t h r i l l t h at c a n g o t h r ou g h t h e h u m a n h e a r t li k e t h at f e l t b y t h e i n v e n t o r a s h e s e e s s o m e c r e at i o n o f t h e b r ai n unfolding to success. [142] Is the new paradigm changing to so many paradigms simultaneouslyr es u l t i n gimpossibleto figure out any paradigm correctly? Juan Enriquez: M an y people,even someofthe h e ad s of m e g a c or p o r a t i on s , f e e l t h a t t h e w o r l d i s m o v i n g t o o f a s t a s companies, even industries, disappear. [163] W h a t a r e t h e b r a i n s p r i o r i t i e s b e y on d s e i z i n g l i f e - s u p p o r t capabilities for its own sustainability? Michael Polanyi: The mind isattracted by b e au t i fu l [and ad v a n c e d ] p r o b l e m s , p r o m i s i n g b e a u t i f u l [ a n d u s e fu l s o l u t i o n s ] . [160] What hasbecomeof fate and d es t i n yintimes that neuroscienceresearchersare comingoutwithsome
  21. 21. 21 PRELIMINARYoutcomes that seem tosuggest: The p r e s en t i s a f u n c t i o n o f t h e f u t u r e ? R o b e r t T h e o b a l d : O u r f u t u r e i s d e t er m i n ed b y t h e a c t i o n s o f a l l o f u s a l i v e t od a y . O u r c h o i c e s d et e r m i n e o u r d e s t i n y . [ 1 6 0 ] Which destiny is that? W i l l i a m J e n n i n g s B r y a n : D e s t i n y i s n o t a m at t e r o f c h an c e i t i s a m a t t e r o f c h o i c e . I t i s n o t a t h i n g t o b e w a i t ed f o r i t i s a t h i n g t o be achieved. [174] W h a t a r e t h e c o s m o l o g i c a l t r a i t s o f t h i s o v e r - f r a g m e n t ed society? Indeed! D a v i d B r i n : W h a t d i st i n g u i s h e s s o c i e t y t o d a y i s n o t o n l y t h e p a c e o f e v e n t s , b u t a l s o t h e n at u r e o f t h e t o o l k i t f o r f a c i n g t h e fu t u r e . [160] What are the origins of future? Donot presume thatpastsuccess i n d i c at e s future i mp r e g n ab i l i t y . [ 1 5 4]
  22. 22. 22 There is here a point of view about change (as change is partly explored here): A d a m G o r d o n : W e h a v e s e e n e y e - p o p p i n g d e v e l o p m e n t s ac r o s s s o c i e t y , t ec h n o l o g y , i n s t i t u t i on s , a n d p r od u c t s an d s e r v i c e s i n t h e l a s t g en e r a t i o n ; t h i s wi l l s u r e l y c o n t i n u e i n t o t h e fu t u r e . i f w e d e c i d e t o d a y t o l au n c h a pr o d u c t , b u y a h ou s e , s t u d y f o r a d e g r e e , b u i l d a n e w l i gh t r ai l s y s t e m , o r t a k e a n y s i m i l a r d e c i s i on o f s i g n i f i c a n c e, t h e e n v i r o n m e n t o f t o m o r r o w wi l l b e a k e y f a c t o r i n t h e s u c c e s s o r f ai l u r e o f t h at d e c i s i on . O u r d ec i s i o n s ar e o n l y a s good astheviewofthefu t u r e they reston[profound understanding of all of the driving forces shaping and re-shaping t h e en v i r o n m en t ] . A l l o p p or t u n i t i e s a n d s u c c e s s e s an d pr o f i t s ar e r e a l i z e d i n t h e f u t u r e . A l l t h r e at s , f a i l u r e s , a n d l o s s e s a r e r e a l i z ed i n t h e f u t u r e . E i t h er w a y , t h e e a r l i e r a n d c l e a r er w e s e e f u t u r e c i r c u m s t an c e s , t h e b e t t e r w e wi l l b e a b l e t o b e n e f i t b y c h a n gi n g ou r c u r r e n t r e c i p e s f or s u c c e s s t o k e e p u p wi t h t h e c h a n g e s i n t h e w o r l d . T h e b e t t e r m an a g e r s v i e w o f t h e fu t u r e , t h e b et t e r t h ei r d e c i s i o n s w i l l t u r n ou t t o b e . [ 1 0 2 ] H o w d o e s c h a n g e a n d fu t u r e i n t e r r e l a t e ? Alvin Toffler: Change is the process by which the future invades our lives. [147]
  23. 23. 23 W e h a v e g o n e u b i q u i t o u s l y d i g i t a l a n d g en e t i c a n d t h e c o n s eq u e n c e s areu n p r on o u n c e a b l e eveninor d e r sof magnitude? J u a n E n r i q u e z : D i g i t a l c o d e i s w h a t d r i v e s r a p i d s p e e d g r o wt h t od a y . I t a l l o w s m er g e r s li k e A O L T i m e W ar n e r I t d r i v e s t h e I n t er n et , TV, music, f i n an c e , IT,news coverage,research, m a n u f a c t u r i n g . A f e w c o u n t r i e s an d c o m p an i e s u n d e r s t o o d t h e c h a n g e . T h a t i s h o w p o o r c ou n t r i e s l i k e Fi n l a n d , S i n g a p o r e , a n d T ai w a n g o t s o w e a l t h y S o q u i c k l y B u t a l o t o f f o l k s j u s t d i d n ot l e a r n t o r e a d a n d w r i t e a n e w l a n g u a g e An d e v e n t h o u g h t h e y p r od u c e d m or e a n d m o r e g o o d s , p ar t i c u l a r l y c o m m o d i t i e s A n d e v e n t h ou g h t h e y r e s t r u c t u r e d c o m p a n i e s a n d g o v e r n m en t s C u t b u d g e t s , r a i s e d t a x e s , b u i l t l a r g e f a c t o r i e s an d b u i l d i n g s T h e y g o t a l o t p o o r e r . ( I n 1 9 3 8 t h e r i c h e s t c ou n t r y p er p e r s o n i n A s i a w a s t h e P h i l i p p i n e s . I n 1 9 5 4 , ac c or d i n g t o t h e W o r l d B an k , t h e m o s t p r o m i s i n g A s i a n e c on o m y w a s B u r m a . B ot h r e m a i n c o m m o d i t y ec o n o m i e s B o t h a r e s i d e l i n ed fr o m t h e d i gi t a l r e v o l u t i on A n d y o u p r ob a b l y w ou l d n ot li k e t o l i v e i n e i t h e r c o u n t r y ) . Y o u r w o r l d c h an g e d wh e n y o u w en t O n L i n e . O n e d a y y o u u s e d a f a x or e - m a i l An d i t s o o n b e c a m e h a r d t o c o n c ei v e o f li v i n g w i t h on l y s n a i l m a i l. I f y o u u n d e r s t o o d t h i s c h a n g e e a r l y A n d i n v e s t e d o r w o r k ed i n s o m e o f t h e c o m p a n i e s d r i v i n g t h e
  24. 24. 24 d i g i t a l r e v o l u t i o n Y o u a r e p r ob a b l y q u i t e w e l l o f f ( a s a c o u n t r y a n d / or a s a n i n d i v i d u a l ) . I f y o u c a m e l a t e, a s a s p e c u l a t or , w i t h ou t u n d er s t a n d i n g w h a t a d i gi t a l l a n g u a g e d o e s , o r d o e s n ot d o Y o u p r o b a b l y l o s t a l o t o f m o n e y d u r i n g t h e y e a r 2 0 0 0 . Y o u r w o r l d a n d y o u r l a n g u a g e ar e a b ou t t o c h an g e a g a i n . T h e t w o n u c l e o t i d e b a s e p ai r s t h at c od e a l l li f e A - T , C - G H a v e a l r e ad y l e d s o m e o f t h e w o r ld s l a r g e s t c o m p an i e s M on s a n t o D u P o n t N o v a r t i s I B M H o e s c h s t C o m p a q G l a x o S m i t h K l i n e T o d ec l a r e t h at t h ei r f u t u r e li e s i n l i f e s c i en c e . T h e y h a v e a b a n d o n ed , s o l d , s p u n o f f c o r e b u si n e s s d i vi s i o n s A n d l a u n c h e d t h e m s e l v e s i n t o s e l l i n g c o m pl e t e l y n e w p r o d u c t s Whichis wh y so many chemical,seed, cosmetic,food, p h a r m a c eu t i c a l c o m p an i e s Ar e p a r t n e r i n g , M e r g i n g , G r o w i n g . S o m e l i f e - s c i e n c e c o m p a n i e s w i l l c r a s h s p ec t a c u l a r l y Ot h e r s w i l l g et l ar g e r t h an M i c r o s o f t an d C i s c o ( C o m p a n i e s t h a t a r e alreadyl ar g e r t h an the e c o n o mi e sofmostof the w o r ld s c o u n t r i e s . ) . T h e w or l d s m e g a - m e r g er s a r e g o i n g t o b e d r i v e n b y d i g i t a l an d g e n e t i c c od e . C o n s i d e r w h a t i s a b o u t t o h a p p e n t o m ed i c i n e . Y o u c u r r e n t l y s p e n d a b o u t n i n e t i m e s a s m u c h f o r d o c t or s a n d m e d i c a l i n t er v e n t i on s A s y o u d o o n m ed i c i n e s a n d p r e v e n t i o n . I n t h e m e a s u r e t h at w e u n d e r s t a n d h o w v i r u s e s , b a c t er i a , a n d o u r b o d i e s a r e pr o g r a m m e d An d h o w t h e y c a n b e reprogrammed Treatmentwi l l shift frome m e r g en c y i n t er v e n t i o n s T o w a r d d e l i b e r a t e a n d p e r s o n a l i z ed p r e v e n t i o n
  25. 25. 25 ( Ju s t a s d en t i st r y d i d . ) . An d w e m a y e n d u p s p e n d i n g j u s t a s mu c h o n p h ar m a c e u t i c a l s a s w e d o o n d oc t or s . T h e s e m ed i c i n e s d o n ot h a v e t o b e p i l l s or i n j ec t i o n s T h e y c ou ld b e a p a r t o f t h e food you eat every day, your soap or cosmetics Perhaps you w i l l i n h a l e t h e m o r s i m p l y pu t v a r i o u s p a t c h e s o n y o u r s k i n . ( T h i s iswh y P r o c t er & Gamble isthinking of m er g i n g wi t ha p h a r m a c eu t i c a lc o m p an y , whyLOral is hiring m o l ec u l ar b i o l o g i s t s , a n d w h y C a m p b e l l s i s s e l l i n g s o u p s d e s i gn e d f o r h o s p i t a l p a t i e n t s wi t h s p e c i f i c d i s e a s e s . ) . [ 1 6 3 ] Can we exercise our brains to solve complex problems e m b e d d e d i n t h e f u t u r e f o r t h e s a k e o f t h e c u r r en t p r e s e n t ? D r . M a r s h a l l M c L u h a n , P h . D . ( 1 9 6 2 ) : O u r w o r ld t o m or r o w w i l l b e u t t e r l y d i f f e r en t , i n w a y s w e c an n o t e v e n c on c ei v e . [ 1 7 5 ] What hijacks what? Dr. Stephen Covey: Again,yesterdayh o ld s tomorrow h o s t a g e . M e m or y i s p a s t . I t i s f i n i t e . V i s i o n i s fu t u r e . I t i s i n f i n i t e. V i s i o n i s g r e a t er t h an h i s t o r y [ 1 5 3 ] T h e c o n s e q u en c e s o f a w or l d g o i n g f r o m r ou n d t o f l a t ?
  26. 26. 26 Thomas Friedman: the flattening of the world is going to be h u g e l y d i s r u p t i v e t o b ot h t r ad i t i o n a l a n d d e v e l o p e d s o c i et i e s . T h e w e a k wi l l f a l l f u r t h e r b e h i n d f a s t e r . T h e t r ad i t i o n a l w i ll f e e l t h e f o r c e o f m od e r n i z a t i o n m u c h m o r e pr o f o u n d l y . T h e n e w w i l l g et t u r n e d i n t o o l d q u i c k er . T h e d e v e l o p e d w i l l b e c h a l l en g e d b y t h e u n d e r d e v e l o p e d mu c h m or e pr o f o u n d l y . I w o r r y , b e c a u s e s o m u c h p o l i t i c a l s t a b i l i t y i s b u i lt o n ec o n o m i c s t a b i l i t y , a n d e c o n o m i c s t ab i l i t y i s n ot g o i n g t o b e a f e a t u r e o f t h e f l a t w o r ld . A d d i t a l l u p a n d y o u c a n s e e t h a t t h e d i s r u p t i o n s a n d g o i n g t o c o m e f a s t er a n d h ar d er . N o o n e i s i m m u n e n ot m e , n o t y o u , n o t M i c r o s o f t . W e ar e en t er i n g a n e r a o f c r e at i v e d e s t r u c t i o n o n s t er o i d s . D e a l i n g w i t h f l at i s m i s g o i n g t o b e a c h al l e n g e o f a w h o l e n e w d i m e n s i on e v e n i f y o u r c o u n t r y h a s a s t r a t e g y . B u t i f y o u d o n t h a v e a s t r a t e g y a t a l l , w e l l , a g a i n , y o u v e w a r n ed [ 1 3 9 ] W hy t h i s c h a n g e d c h a n g e i s u n pr e c e d e n t e d a n d d i f f e r e n t ? S a n F r a n c i s c o fu t u r i s t J a m e s C a n t o n o f f er s i n s i g h t . C I O I n s i g h t : I n T h e E x t r e m e Fu t u r e, y o u s a y t h e 2 1 s t c en t u r y i s g o i n g t o b e l i g h t n i n g - f a s t , c o m p l e x an d d r i v en b y d i s r u p t i v e changes.Buta r en ' twea lr e a d y in thisextremefuture? [RESPONDING THE QUESTION,] JAMES CANTON [INDICATES]: WE ARE TO A CERTAIN EXTENT. BUT THE POINT OF MY BOOK IS THAT THINGS ARE GOING TO GET EVEN MORE DISRUPTIVE,
  27. 27. 27 C O M P L E X A N D C O M P E T I T I V E ; T H I N G S A R E N O T G OI N G T O E A S E O F F , T H E Y ' R E A C T U A L L Y G OI N G T O A C C E L E R A T E . [ 1 3 8 ] W h a t a r e t h e o r g a n i c p r o p e rt i e s o f c h a n g e a n d i t s i m p a c t ? David Schlesinger, global managing director at Reuters, indicates: C h a n g e i s h ar d . C h an g e i s h ar d e s t o n t h o s e c au g h t b y s u r pr i s e . C h a n g e i s h ar d e s t o n t h o s e w h o h a v e d i f f i c u lt y c h a n g i n g t o o . B u t c h a n g e i s n a t u r a l ; c h an g e i s n ot n e w ; c h an g e i s i m p or t a n t . [ 1 3 9 ] T h e u n i v e r s e a n d t h e m o r r ow ? I sa a c A s i m o v : Hu m a n i t y h a s t h e s t a r s i n i t s fu t u r e , a n d t h at f u t u r e i s t o o i m p o r t an t t o b e l o s t u n d er t h e b u r d e n o f j u v e n i l e f o l l y a n d i gn o r a n t s u p er s t i t i o n . [ 1 4 1 ] Understanding the universe as we dont think it is and as many people cannot align it with their belief system? D r . C a r l S a ga n , P h D : I t i s f a r b e t t er t o g r a s p t h e u n i v e r s e a s i t r e a l l y i s t h an t o p e r s i s t i n d e l u s i on , h o w e v e r s a t i s f y i n g a n d r e a s s u r i n g. [ 1 5 7 ] W h o s e r e a l i t i e s a n d m y t hs a r e t h o s e?
  28. 28. 28 Voltaire(1694 1778), French writer andphilosopher: E v e r y t h i n g s f i n e t o d a y , t h a t i s ou r i l l u s i on . [ 1 5 7 ] Is anyone exaggerating about the dynamics of change? I a n P e a r s o n : B y m i d - c e n t u r y , c o m p u t e r s w i l l b e l i n k e d d i r ec t l y i n t o o u r n e r v o u s s y s t e m s v i a n an o t e c h n o l o g y , wh i c h i s s o s m a l l i t c o u l d c on n ec t e v e r y n e u r o n i n o u r b r a i n s . B y a b ou t 2 0 4 0, t h e r e w i l l b e a b a c k u p o f o u r b r ai n s i n a c o m p u t e r s o m e w h e r e , s o t h a t w h en y o u d i e i t w on t b e a m a j o r c a r e e r p r o b l e m . [ 1 4 0] Q u e s t i o n : A l l e g e d l y , T o w h a t e x t e n t i s t h e w or l d c h a n g i n g and what are someofthec o n s e q u en c e s ,sometimes infamously ignored? D r . S t e p h e n C o v e y : T h e w o r ld h a s pr o f o u n d l y c h a n g ed T h e c h a l l e n g e s a n d c o m p l e x i t y w e f ac e i n o u r p e r s o n a l li v e s an d r e l a t i on s h i p s , i n o u r f a m i li e s , i n o u r p r o f e s s i o n a l li v e s , an d i n ou r o r g an i z a t i on s ar e o f a d i f f e r en t or d er o f m a g n i t u d e . I n f ac t , many mark 1989 the year we witnessed the fall of the Berlin W al l a s t h e b e g i n n i n g o f t h e I n f o r m a t i o n A g e , t h e b i r t h o f a n e w r e a l i t y , a s e a c h an g e o f i n c r e d i b l e s i g n i fi c a n c e t r u l y a n e w e r a B e i n g e f f e c t i v e a s i n d i v i d u a l s a n d o r g a n i z a t i o n s i s n o l o n g er
  29. 29. 29 m er e l y a n o p t i o n s u r v i v a l i n t o d a y s w o r l d r e q u i r e s i t . B u t i n o r d e r t o t h r i v e , i n n o v a t e , e x c el , a n d l e a d i n w h a t C o v e y c a l l s t h e n e w Kn o w l e d g e W o r k er A g e, w e m u s t b u i l d o n a n d m o v e b e y o n d e f f ec t i v en e s s [ l o n g - h e l d a s s u m p t i o n s , f a l l ac i e s a n d f l a w e d b e l i e f s a n d f au l t y c on v e n t i o n s ] Ac c e s s i n g t h e h i g h e r le v e l s o f h u m a n g e n i u s a n d m o t i v a t i o n i n t o d a y s n e w r e a li t y R E Q U I R E S A S E A C H A N G E I N T H I N K I N G : a n e w m i n d - s e t , a n e w s k i ll - s e t , a n e w t o o l - s e t i n s h or t , a w h o l e n e w h a b i t . [ 1 5 3 ] B r i n g i n g d o w n a h a n d fu l o f m i l l e n a r y f a l l a c i e s i n t h e twentieth-one century? G re g o r y S . P a u l a n d E a r l C o x : Fr o m C on v e n t i on a l W i s d o m t o S h o c k i n g P r o b ab i l i t y . M a y b e s o m e d a y , s o o n er o r l at e r , t r u l y i n t e l l i g e n t m ac h i n e s w i l l b e b u i l t . Un t i l t h a t t i m e , s p e c u l at i o n w i l l ab o u n d . M u c h o f t h a t s p e c u l a t i o n i s b a s e d o n w h a t m i g h t b e c a l l e d C o n v en t i on a l W i sd o m , t h e u n d e r l y i n g a s s u m p t i on s an d c o n v e n t i o n s w e c ol l e c t i v e l y s h a r e . W e c an l i s t s o m e o f t h e s e a s s u m p t i o n s a s f o l l o w s : T h e n e x t c en t u r y wi l l b e a n e x t en s i o n o f t h i s o n e , w i t h i n c r e a s i n g l y s m a r t e r m a c h i n e s b ei n g r u n b y p e o p l e a n d f o r p e o p l e B e c au s e t h e h u m a n m i n d i s l i n k e d t o a s o u l , c yb e r n e t i c m a c h i n e s wi l l n e v er b e f u l l y s e l f - a w a r e l i k e w e a r e I f i n t e l l i g e n t r o b o t s c an b e b u i l t , i t w i l l b e a l o n g t i m e b e f o r e t h e y c a n b e m a d e t o d o w h a t h u m a n s d o, a s w e l l a s h u m an s d o i t .
  30. 30. 30 P e r h a p s c e n t u r i e s w i l l b e r e q u i r ed E v e n a f t er i n t e l li g e n t r o b o t s a r e m a d e , mu l t i t u d e s o f h u m a n s w i l l c o n t i n u e t o e x i s t on e a r t h , a n d m a y b e e v e n i n s p a c e Hu m a n m i n d s a n d p er s o n a l i d e n t i t i e s w i l l n e v e r b e ab l e t o m e r g e w i t h a n e l e c t r o m e c h a n i c a l s y s t e m E v e n i f i t w e r e p o s s i b l e, w e h u m a n s w o u ld r e fu s e t o d o w n l o a d ou r m i n d s o n t o h ar d w a r e , n o m a t t e r h o w t e m pt i n g a n d i n t e l l i g e n t t h e n e w s u r r o u n d i n g s m i g h t b e . W e b e l i e v e t h a t c yb e r b e i n g s wi l l b e e m o t i o n l e s s , s o u l l e s s , a n d h u m o r l e s s m ec h a n i c a l z o m b i e s r a t h er li k e S t ar T r e k s L t . C o m m a n d e r D a t a , a s o m e w h a t s a d a n d r o i d p i n i n g f or a h u m a n i t y h e w i l l n e v e r ac h i e v e N o m a t t er h o w s m a r t t h e y ar e , d i g i t a l m i n d s w i l l n e v e r h a v e t h e i n s i g h t , i n t u i t i o n , a n d s m o o t h s a v v y o f t h e h u m an m i n d . T h e y w i l l f o r e v e r r e m a i n m e n t a l l y i n f e r i o r , a n d ou r f a i t h f u l , s e l f - m a i n t a i n i n g s e r v a n t s T h e r ob o t s w i l l s o o n pr o v e o u r m e n t a l a n d ph y s i c a l s u p er i o r s . S e l f - g e n e r at e d en h a n c e m e n t s w i l l r e f i n e t h e m b e y o n d ou r c o n t r o l . T h e y wi l l en s l a v e u s a l l e x c e p t , o f c ou r s e , f o r a r e n e g a d e b an d o f r e b el l i o u s , y o u n g , g o o d - l o o k i n g, d a r i n g h u m a n s a r m ed with b a t t er e d , r ec y c l eds u r pl u sweapons,fearlessly f o l l o w i n g t h e i r c r a g g y b u t wi s e l e ad e r i n t o a f i g h t f o r t r u t h , j u s t i c e , a n d t h e h o mi n i d w a y T H I S B O O K A R G U E S T H AT T H E N E X T C E N T U R Y W I L L P R O V E T O B E N O T H I N G L I K E T HI S O N E , NOR ANY FORECASTSO FAR. C O M P U T I NG POWER, NEUROSCIENCE, AND NANOTECHNOLOGIES ARE ADVANCING SO RAPIDLY THAT THEY WILL COMBINE TO PRODUCE THE
  31. 31. 31 M OS T S I G N I F I C A N T E V O L U T I O N A R Y D E V E L O P M E N T S S I N C E T H E O R I G I N O F L I F E I T S E L F W E M A I N T A I N T H AT T H E H U M A N M I N D A N D C O N S C I O US T H O U G HT A R E E X C L U S I V E L Y NATURAL ANDPHYSICALIN ORIGINANDNATURE. ULTIMATELY,THEIRNATURES ANDFUNDAMENTAL P R O C E S S E S A R E K N O W AB L E A N D C A N B E R E P L I C A T E D F O R THE PURPOSES OF PERSONAL IMMORTALITY. [169] Pervasive genetics, pervasive medicine, pervasive diagnostics and pervasive monitoring? Juan Enriquez: If it seems like your world has been topsy-turvy o v e r t h e p a s t f e w y e a r s C o n s i d e r w h at s c o m i n g . Y o u r g en e t i c c o d e w i l l b e i mp r i n t ed on an d I D c a r d F o r b e t t er a n d w o r s e . M ed i c i n e s w i l l b e t a i l o r ed t o y o u r g e n e s an d w i l l h e l p pr e v e n t s p e c i f i c d i s e a s e s f o r w h i c h y o u m a y b e at r i s k . ( B u t y o u r i n s u r a n c e c o m p an y a n d y o u r p r o s p e c t i v e e m pl o y e r m a y a l s o f i n d ou t t h at y o u a r e g e n et i c a l l y d i s p o s e d t o , s a y , h e a r t d i s e a s e , or b r e a s t c a n c e r , or A l z h ei m e r s . ) . [ 1 6 3 ] W h a t e v e r t h e l e t h a l c o n s e q u en c e s , A r e y o u s t i l l do g g e d l y insistingonnotu n d e rs t a n d i n g the r a t es of hy p e r - g e o m e t r i c a l e x p o n e n t i a l g r o w t h a n d h e n c e n ot h a v e a s e n s e
  32. 32. 32 o f p r o p o r t i o n s i n a l i g n m e n t w i t h t h e dr i v i n g f o r c e s o f t h e twentieth-one century? J a m e s J o h n B e l l : W e w on t j u s t e x p e r i e n c e 1 0 0 y e a r s o f p r o gr e s s i n t h e t w en t y - f i r s t c en t u r y i t w i l l b e m or e l i k e 2 0 , 0 0 0 y e a r s o f progress. [161] H o w c a n w e g e t t o a n ew t e rr a i n c o g n i t a w i t h a n o l d m a p ? R o w a n G i b s o n : T h e l e s s o n o f t h e l a s t t h r e e d ec a d e s i s t h a t n ob o d y c a n d r i v e t o t h e f u t u r e o n c r u i s e c on t r o l . [ 1 6 1 ] Where and how do we live? G re g o r y S . P a u l a n d E a r l C o x : W e li v e i n s t r a n g e t i m e s , i n c a s e y o u h a v e n o t n o t i c e d . H e r e w e a r e w i t h ou r h o m e c o m p u t e r s a n d o t h e r h i g h - t ec h a p p l i a n c e s , li v i n g wh a t w e r e g a r d a s a n o r m a l li f e T h e w o r l d w e a r e l i v i n g i n a w o r l d t h a t c o u p l e s H o m oli s a p i en s w i t h f a s t - p ac e d h y p e r t e c h n o l o g y i s s t r a n g e t o u s b e c au s e s o m e t i m e s i t f e el s li k e w h at i t i s , a t r an s i e n t d r e a m . W e a r e d r e a m i n g a s t r an g e , w a k i n g d r e a m ; a n i n e v i t a b l y b r i e f i n t er l u d e s a n d w i c h ed b e t w e en t h e l o n g a g e o f l o w - t e c h h u m a n i t y o n t h e o n e h an d , a n d t h e a g e o f h u m a n b ei n g s t r an s c e n d e d o n t h e other. We ar e livingin thel a t t er days of humanity;
  33. 33. 33 c yb e r t e c h n o l o g i e s w i l l q u i c k l y r ep l a c e u s. J u s t i n c h e s o f t i m e a w a y e x i s t s a s p e ed y r e a l i t y b e a r i n g d o w n o n u s t h a t w e m a y s e n s e , b u t d o n o t s h o w o n o u r f a c e s . W h i l e o n e m a y b e m a d e u n c o m f or t a b l e b y t h e t h ou g h t o f a t r u l y s t r an g e 2 1 s t c en t u r y , t h e r e i s a r o u n d u s a n i m p en d i n g s e n s e o f a r r i v a l a s t r a n g e n e s s in the air, an uneasiness, a feeling that deep down, things are s t ar t i n g t o c h a n g e i n s w i ft , f u n d a m e n t a l w a y s t o o fu z z y t o p u t a f i n g e r o n . M o r e t h an j u s t t h e o n s e t o f t h e t h i r d mi l l e n n i u m, i t i s t h e q u i e t b e f or e t h e s t o r m . T h e pr o d u c t s o f t ec h n o l o g y ar e becoming more curious a little too smart, a little too fast. Its d o w n r i g h t u n s et t l i n g . A n d , h e y , p e o p l e a r e n t d u mb . T h e y k n o w t h a t w e h a v e j u s t b e g u n t o b u i ld s m a r t d u mb m a c h i n e s ; s o o n i t w i l l b e d u m b s m a r t m a c h i n e s . W h er e w i l l i t s t o p ? I f w e c on t i n u e t o b u i l d m a c h i n e s s m a r t e r t h an t h e l a s t o n e s , a n d t h e n o n e t h a t i s s m a r t er t h an t h a t a n d s o o n w e l l, y o u d o n ot h a v e t o b e a p ar t i c l e p h y s i c i st t o s e e t h at t h e m a c h i n e s c a n n o t k e e p g e t t i n g s m a r t er a n d s m a r t er , y e t f o r e v e r r e m a i n d u mb e r t h an u s . G ar r y J o h n H e n r y K a s p a r o v , c h e s s G r an d M a s t e r , l o s t a c h a m pi o n s h i p game to a machine for the first time in history this year. Perhaps s o m e d a y , w e l l h e ar t h e b at t l e c r y o f h u m an i t y r a l l y i n g i n d e s p e r a t i on : R e m e m b e r D e e p B l u e [ 1 6 5] Technologies, societies and possibilities?
  34. 34. 34 Freeman Dyson: There is nothing so big nor so crazy that one out o f a mi l l i o n t e c h n o l o g i c a l s o c i et i e s m a y n o t f e e l i t s e l f d r i v e n t o d o , p r o v i d e d i t i s p h y s i c a l l y p o s s i b l e. [ 1 7 4 ] D o es t h e p r o g r e s s i v e a n d a l w a y s - s u d d e n ( e x p l o s i v e l y s o ) adventof the future bringaboutadversaries of such future? If so, Are those the same ones that like to stay in rooms of stalemate air in which the status quo is invariably for the own sake and enjoyment of said those perpetually? V i r g i n i a P o s t r e l : T h at i n s t ab i l i t y [ b et w e e n s t a s i s a n d d y n a m i s m ] , o r o u r a w a r e n e s s o f i t , h ei g h t en e d b y t h e f l u i d i t y o f c on t e m p o r a r y li f e : b y t h e e a s e w i t h wh i c h i d e a s an d m e s s a g e s , g o o d s an d p e o p l e, c r o s s b or d er s ; b y t e c h n o l o g i e s t h a t s e e k t o su r p a s s t h e q u i c k n e s s o f t h e h u m a n m i n d a n d o v e r c o m e t h e c on s t r a i n t s o f t h e h u m a n b od y ; b y t h e u n i v e r s a l s o l v e n t s o f c o m m e r c e a n d p o pu l a r culture; by thedissolutionor r e f o r m at i o nof e s t a b l i s h ed i n s t i t u t i o n s , p a r t i c u l a r l y l a r g e c or p o r a t i on s , an d t h e r i s e o f n e w ones; bythe synthesis ofEast and W e st , ofa n c i en t an d m o d er n b y t h e c o m b i n a t i o n a n d r ec o m b i n a t i o n o f s e e m i n g l y e v e r y a r t i f a c t o f h u m an c u lt u r e . O u r s i s a m a g n i f i c en t l y c r e a t i v e er a . B u t t h e c r e a t i v i t y p r o d u c e s c h an g e , an d t h at c h an g e a t t r ac t s en e m i e s , p h i l o s o p h i c a l a s w e l l a s s e l f - i n t e r e s t ed W i t h s o m e e xc e p t i on s , t h e e n e m i e s o f t h e f u t u r e ai m t h e i r at t a c k s n ot at
  35. 35. 35 c r e a t i v i t y i t s e l f b u t at t h e d y n a m i c pr o c e s s e s t h r ou g h w h i c h i t i s carried. In our postCold War era, for instance, free markets are recognizedas powerful forcesfor socialcultural,an d t e c h n o l o g i c a l c h an g e l i b er a t i n g i n t h e e y e s o f s o m e , t h r e a t e n i n g t o o t h e r s . T h e s a m e i s t r u e f o r m a r k et s i n i d e a s : f o r fr e e s p e ec h a n d w o r l d wi d e c o m mu n i c a t i on ; f o r w h a t J o h n S t u a r t M i l l c a l l ed e x p e r i m e n t s i n l i v i n g ; f o r s c i e n t i fi c r e s e a r c h , a r t i s t i c e x p r e s s i o n , a n d t ec h n o l o g i c a l i n n o v a t i o n . A l l o f t h e s e p r o c e s s e s a r e s h a p i n g an unknown, and unknowable, future. Some people look at such d i v e r s e , d ec e n t r a l i z ed , c h oi c e - d r i v e n s y s t e m s a n d r ej o i c e, e v e n w h en t h e y d o n t l i k e p ar t i c u l a r c h o i c e s . O t h er r ec o i l . I n p u r s u i t o f s t ab i l i t y a n d c o n t r o l , t h e y s e e k t o e l i m i n a t e or c u r b t h e s e u n r u l y , t o o - c r e a t i v e f o r c e s S t a s i st s a n d d y n a m i s t s a r e t h u s d i v i d e d n o t j u s t b y s i m p l e , s h o r t - t e r m p o l i c y i s s u e s b u t b y fu n d a m e n t a l d i s a g r e e m e n t s ab o u t t h e w a y t h e w o r l d w o r k s . T h e y c l a s h o v e r t h e n at u r e o f p r o g r e s s a n d o v e r i t s d e s i r a b i l i t y : D o e s i t r e q u i r e a p l an t o r e a c h a s p e c i f i e d g o a l ? O r i s i t a n u n b o u n d ed p r oc e s s o f e x p l o r at i o n a n d d i sc o v e r y ? D o e s t h e q u e s t f or i m pr o v e m e n t e x p r e s s d e s t r u c t i v e , n i h i li s t i c d i sc o n t e n t , o r t h e h i g h e s t h u m a n q u a l i t i e s ? D o e s p r o g r e s s d e p e n d o n p u r i t an i c a l r e p r e s s i o n o r a p l a y f u l s p i r i t ? S t a s i s t s a n d d yn a m i s t s d i s a g r e e a b o u t t h e l i mi t s a n d u s e o f k n o w l ed g e . S t a s i s t s demand that knowledge be a r t i c u l at e d an d e a s i l y s h a r ed . D yn a m i s t s , b y c o n t r a s t , a p pr e c i a t e d i s p e r s e d , o f t e n t ac i t k n o w l e d g e . T h e y r ec o g n i z e t h e li m i t s o f
  36. 36. 36 h u m a n m i n d s e v en a s t h e y c e l eb r a t e l e a r n i n g T h o s e c on f l i c t s l e ad t o v e r y d i f f er e n t b e li e f s a b o u t g o o d i n s t i t u t i o n s a n d r u l e s : S t a s i s t s s e e k s p e c i f i c s t o g o v e r n e a c h n e w s i t u at i o n a n d k e e p t h i n g s u n d e r c o n t r o l . D yn a m i c i s t s w a n t t o l i mi t u n i v er s a l r u l e m a k i n g t o b r o a d l y a p p l i c a b l e a n d r a r e l y c h an g e d p r i n c i p l e s , within which people can create and test countless combinations. S t a s i s t s w an t t h ei r d et a i l ed r u l ed t o a p p l y t o e v e r y o n e ; d yn a m i s t s p r e f e r c o m p et i n g , n e s t e d r u l e s e t s S u c h d i s a g r e e m e n t s h a v e p o l i t i c a l r a m i f i c at i o n s t h a t g o mu c h d e e p er t h an t h e s h o r t - t e r m b u s i n e s s o f c a m p a i g n s an d l e g i s l a t i o n . T h e y a f f e c t ou r g o v e r n i n g a s s u m p t i o n s a b o u t h o w p o li t i c a l , ec o n o m i c , s o c i a l , i n t e l l ec t u a l , a n d c u l t u r a l s y s t e m s w o r k ; w h a t t h o s e s y s t e m s s h o u l d v a l u e; an d w h at t h e y m e an . T h e s e ar e n o t t h e c o m f o r t ab l e o ld C o l d W a r d i v i s i o n s o f h a w k s an d d o v e s , e g a li t a r i a n s a n d i n d i v i d u a li s t s , l e f t a n d r i gh t . N o r a r e t h e y t h e o n e - d i m e n s i o n a l l a b el s o f t e c h n o p h i l e a n d t e c h n o p h o b e, o p t i mi s t a n d p e s s i m i s t , o r li b e r t a r i an a n d s t a s i s t t h a t p u n d i t s s o m e t i m e s g r a b t o r e p l a c e t h e o ld c at e g o r i e s . T h e y c o n t ai n e l e m e n t s o f t h o s e s i m p l e r c l a s s i f i c a t i on s , b u t t h e y a r e mu c h r i c h e r , e n c o m p a s s i n g m o r e a s p e c t s o f l i f e m o r e a s p e c t s o f t h e e m er g e n t , c o m p l e x fu t u r e . [ 1 7 0 ] Minds vs. computationalalgorithms,man-made computational algorithms?
  37. 37. 37 F u n n y t h i n g , ou r mi n d . T h e m o m e n t o u r s o f t w a r e c at c h e s u p , t h e m i n d s e e m s t o t r a v e l b e y o n d t h e c ap a b i li t y o f t h e s o f t w ar e . [ H o w e v e r , ] O u r mi n d s f o c u s o n r e n d i t i o n s , d a r li n g , n ot t h e u n d e r l y i n g a l g o r i t h m . Y o u r an a l y s t s a n d pr o g r a m m e r s h a v e t o d e a l w i t h a l g o r i t h m t h a t pr o d u c e s n e w r en d i t i o n s . [ 1 6 1 ] D r . C o v e y s l u c i d p e r s p e c t i v e b e c o m e s g r e a t l y s u p p o r t ed and refined by Peter Drucker. P e t e r D r u c k e r : I n a f e w h u n d r ed y e a r s , w h en t h e s t o r y o f o u r [ c u r r e n t ] t i m e i s w r i t t en fr o m a l o n g - t er m p er s p e c t i v e , i t i s l i k e l y t h a t t h e m o s t i m p o r t an t e v e n t t h o s e h i s t o r i a n s w i l l s e e i s n o t t e c h n o l o g y , n o t t h e I n t e r n et , n o t e - c o m m er c e [ n o t s o c i a l m e d i a s o - c a l l e d ] . I T I S A N U N P R E C E D E N T E D C H A N G E I N T H E H UM A N CONDITION.FORTHE FIRSTTIME LITERALLY SUBSTANTIAL AND GROWING NUMBERS OF PEOPLE HAVE CHOICES. FOR THE FIRST TIME, THEY WILL HAVE TO MANAGE THEMSELVES. AND SOCIETY IS TOTALLY UNPREPARED FOR IT. [153] A n d t h e p o l i t i c a l a n g l e o f t h e fu t u r e? T h e H o n o r a b l e T o m R i d g e , F i r s t S e c r e t a r y o f t h e U . S . De p a r t m e n t o f H o m e l a n d S e c u r i t y a n d F o r m e r G o v e r n o r o f P e n n s y l v a n ia : T h e
  38. 38. 38 p o l i t i c a l w o r l d p r o mi s e s c h a n g e a n d t h e d i g i t a l w o r l d d e li v e r s i t . Andwh e n thatchangepotentially affects ourprivacy an d f r e e d o m , w e s h o u l d a l l p a y a t t en t i o n . T h i s i s a f a s c i n at i n g , p r o v o c a t i v e a n d t h o r o u g h l y r e ad a b l e l o o k i n t o a n u n c e r t ai n future. [155] Internet and yesterday? S c o u t B ra d n e r : W e h a v e t h e I n t e r n e t t h a t w e h a v e t od a y b e c au s e t h e I n t er n et o f y e s t e r d a y d i d n ot f o c u s o n t h e t od a y o f y e s t e r d a y . [155] T h e r i g h t s a n d t h e fu t u r e? Legal scholars can debate whether copyright law mandates a f u t u r e o f a u t h o r i z e d u s e o n l y f o r d i g i t a l i n f or m a t i o n . T h e a n s w e r m a y n ot m a t t er m u c h , b ec a u s e t h at fu t u r e i s c o m i n g t o p a s s t h r ou g ht h e t ec h n o l o g i e s o f digital rightsmanagementan d t r u st e d s y s t e m s . [ 1 5 5 ] Future and forces embedded? T h e f o r c e s s h a p i n g y o u r fu t u r e a r e d i gi t a l , a n d y o u n e e d t o understand them. [155]
  39. 39. 39 Can we picture the future? C an w e e n v i s i on t h e f u t u r e t r a n s c o n t i n e n t a l f l i g h t s , w h e r e b o o k s , mu s i c , i m a g e s , a n d v i d e o s a r e au t o m a t i c a l l y e x t r a c t ed , s a m p l e d , m i x ed , a n d r e m i x e d ; f ed i n t o m a s s i v e a u t o m a t e d r e a s o n i n g en g i n e s ; a s s i m i l a t e d i n t o t h e c o r e s o f t w a r e o f e v e r y p e r s o n a l c o m p u t er a n d e v e r y c e l l p h on e a n d t h o u s a n d s o f o t h er t h i n g s f o r w h i c h t h e w o r d s d o n t e v e n e x i s t y e t ? [ 1 5 5] History vs. future? W i l l t h e v a s t a m o u n t s o f i n f o r m a t i o n n o w a v a i l ab l e b ec a u s e o f t h e a d v a n c e s i n s t o r a g e a n d c o m mu n i c a t i o n t ec h n o l o g y a c t u a l l y b e u s a b l e a h u n d r ed o r a t h o u s a n d y e a r s i n t h e f u t u r e , o r W I L L THE SHIFT FROM PAPER TO DIGITAL MEDIA MEAN THE LOSS O F HI S T O R Y ? [ 1 5 5 ] R eg a r d i n g t h e C y b e r s p a c e , a p r i m e r t o C o m p u t r on i u m ? J o h n P e r r y B a r l o w : G o v e r n m e n t s o f t h e I n d u st r i a l W or l d , y o u r w e a r y g i a n t s o f f l e s h an d s t e e l , I c o m e fr o m C y b er s p a c e , t h e n e w h o m e o f M i n d . On b eh a l f o f t h e f u t u r e , I a s k y o u o f t h e p a s t t o l e a v e u s a l on e . Y o u h a v e n o s o s o v e r e i g n t y w h er e w e g a t h e r .
  40. 40. 40 W e a r e c r e at i n g a w or l d t h a t a l l m a y e n t er w i t h o u t p r i v i l e g e o r p r e j u d i c e a c c o r d e d b y r ac e , ec o n o m i c p o w e r , mi l i t ar y f o r c e, o r s t at i o n o f b i r t h . W e a r e c r e at i n g a w o r l d w h er e an y o n e , a n y w h e r e m a y e x p r e s s h i s or h e r b e li e f s , n o m a t t e r h o w s i n gu l a r , wi t h ou t f e a r o f b ei n g c o e r c e d i n t o s i l e n c e o r c o n f or m i t y I n o u r w o r l d , a l l t h e s e n t i m en t s a n d e x p r e s s i o n s o f h u m a n i t y , f r o m d e b a s i n g t o the angelic, areparts of aseamlesswhole, theglobal c o n v e r s a t i on o f b i t s . [ Y ] o u ar e t r yi n g t o w a r d o f f t h e v i r u s o f li b er t y b y er e c t i n g gu a r d p o s t s a t t h e fr o n t i e r s o f C y b er s p a c e . [155] C a n w e u s e a c h a i n t o r e p r e s en t a m e t a p h o r a b o u t t h e future? Youcantu n d er s t a n dthe knotw i t h ou tu n d e r s t an d i n gthe s t r a n d s , b u t i n t h e f u t u r e , t h e st r a n d s n e ed n o t r e m a i n t i e d u p i n t h e s a m e w a y a s t h e y a r e t o d a y . [ 1 5 5] To get engaged in a sea change in thinking, along with the m a x i m u m a n d m o s t s o p h i s t i c a t e d c o n s c ie n t i o u s a wa r e n e s s s o m e v o i c e s m u s t b e i g n o r e d w h i l e pa y i n g i m m e n s e a t t e n t i o n t o o n e o f A m e r i c a s f i n e s t , n a m e l y He n r y B u c k m i n s t e r F u l l e r . H e a r gu e s , A L L C H I L D R E N A R E B O R N G E N I US E S ; 9 , 9 9 9 O U T O F E V E R Y
  41. 41. 41 10,000 ARE SWIFTLY, INADVERTENTLY DEGENIUNIZED BY G R OW N U P S . [ 1 5 3 ] T h e w o r l d i s n o t a n a l o g a n y m o r e . I t s qu a l i t y i s o n l y d i g i t a l a n d hence emphatically over-mathematical. Ergo, if you dont attach t h e f u t u r e , t h e f u tu r e w i l l a t t a c k y ou a n d o u t s m a r t y o u w i t h o u t a fail. S u p p o r t i n g t h e m o t i o n s o f a l l o f t h e a b o v e i n t h i s d i g i t a l u n iv e r s e o f o u r s , c h e c k o u t t h e t a ke b y t h e a u t h o r o f T h e W o r l d i s F la t . T h o m a s F r i e d m a n i n d i c a t e s : P e o p l e a r e a l w a y s [ a n d w r o n g fu l l y ] a s s u m i n g t h at e v e r y t h i n g t h a t i s g o i n g t o b e i n v e n t ed mu s t h a v e been invented already. But it hasnt. [139] I could easily offer, b a s e d o n u n i m p e a c h a b l e f a c t s , ma n y i n s t a n c e s o f w h y F r i e d m a n i s a b s o l u t e l y r i g h t t o t h e d i s m a y o f s o m e w i s h i n g b u t n o t s u f f ic i e n t l y enculturating themselves. W h a t h a p p e n s t o y o u r v i s i o n w h e n y o u do n t u n d e r s t a n d that the world is not ana log but pervasively increasingly so over-digital? M u h a m a d Y u n u s : T h e r e e y e s w e r e b li n d e d b y t h e k n o w l e d g e t h e y h ad . [ 1 5 3 ]
  42. 42. 42 Brainy discoveries and the IT revolution? J. G. Taylor, B. Horowitz, K. J. Friston: Now, for the first time, w e a r e o b s e r v i n g t h e b r ai n a t w o r k i n a g l o b a l m a n n e r w i t h su c h c l a r i t y t h a t w e s h o u l d b e ab l e t o d i sc o v e r t h e o v e r a l l pr o g r a m s b e h i n d i t s m a g n i f i c en t p o w er s . [ 1 4 2 ] F r o m D a r w i n a n d w e l l i n t o t h e p r e s en t t w en t i e t h - o n e century? G re g o r y S . P a u l a n d E a r l C o x : W h en Q u e en V i c t o r i a w a s i n h er p r i m e , an E n g l i s h m a n , C h a r l e s D ar w i n , d i sc o v e r e d a f u n d a m e n t a l t r u t h t h a t s h o o k m a n k i n d s o s e v e r e l y t h at i t r e m a i n s t od a y a m a t t e r o f e x t r e m e d i st r e s s an d m a s s i v e d e n i a l. D ar w i n r e a l i z e d t h a t l i f e o n o u r p l a n e t i s n ot t h e r ec e n t a n d f i x e d pr o d u c t o f d ei t y - m ed i a t ed s p e c i a l c r e a t i o n , b u t h a s b e en c on s t a n t l y c h a n g i n g o v e r a long span of time The paleontologist who followed Darwin h a v e t a u gh t u s t h at t i m e h a s n o r e s p e c t f o r s p e c i e s . W h o l e d yn a s t i e s o f l i f e h a v e b e en s w e p t a w a y a n d r e p l ac e d wi t h n e w o n e s . M or e t h a n 6 5 mi l l i o n y e a r s a g o , t h e w or l d w a s f i l l e d w i t h s w i f t , d e a d l y m e a t - e a t e r s , i n c lu d i n g h u g e t yr a n n o s a u r s s t a l k i n g elephant-sized h o r n ed dinosaursandduck-billed herbivores. F l y i n g p t er o s a u r s w e r e a s b i g a n d h e a v y a s s a i l p l a n e s . S m a l l, g r ac e f u l , p r e d ac e o u s d i n o s a u r s h ad b i n o c u l a r v i s i o n , b i g b r ai n s ,
  43. 43. 43 andgraspinghands.After17 0 mi l l i o n years ofsuccessful e v o l u t i o n , t h e y ac h i e v e d t h e h e i g h t o f v a r i at i o n a n d p o w er . R e s p l e n d e n t an d n u m e r o u s o n t h e f er t i l e Cr e t a c e ou s p l ai n s , h o w c o u l d i t b e t h a t w i t h i n a f e w y e a r s t h e y a l l w o u l d b e g on e f o r e v er ? T h i s c h i l l i n g s t or y s u g g e s t s a t i c k i n g c l oc k f or h u m a n i t y , as well; dare we think of our own extinction? There is ticking c l o c k f or h u m a n i t y , a n d i t m a y b e m er e s e c o n d s b e f o r e m i d n i g h t . T OM O R R O W I S U P O N U S , A N D W HA T I S AB O U T T O H A P P E N I N THE NEW DAY IS FAR, FAR STRANGER THAN MOST PEOPLE D A R E T O T H I N K E v e n D ar w i n d i d n o t r e a l i z e h o w r i gh t h e w a s , o r h o w f a r e v o l u t i o n w i l l t a k e u s . W e s h ou l d n ot f au l t D a r wi n f o r h i s l ac k o f v i s i o n . D ar w i n li v e d i n a t i m e w h en t h e m o d e r n scientific revolution was just beginning. It was also a time of s t e a m en g i n e s , g a s l a m p s , a n d p h r e n o l o g y . S c i en c e , i n o u r l a t e 20th century sense, was still a few years away. Yet even today, f e w n o n s c i e n t i s t s h a v e m o r e t h a n an i n k l i n g o f h o w l i f e e v o l v e d o r h o w t ec h n o l o g i e s s u c h a s t h e au t o m o b i l e, t h e l i g h t s w i t c h , o r t h e a i r p l a n e ac t u a l l y w o r k W E L I V E I N A HI G H - T E C H N O L O G Y WORLD, WITH LITTLE APPRECIATION FOR HOW THINGS GOT THE WAY THEY ARE. [169] What is the personal cosmology in the orbit of a person seeking foresight?
  44. 44. 44 Antonio Machado: M an , i n c u r ab l efuturist,is the only t r a d i t i on a l i s t an i m a l . [ 1 3 0 ] D o n t w i n t h e i r h e a r t s , j u s t w i n t h e i r m i n ds k i n d l y a n d r es p e c t f u l l y ? T h e u n d e r s i g n e d a n d t h e p r e s e n t m a t e r i a l s a u t h o r in d i c a t e d : I f y o u r e a l l y w a n t t o m a k e a n o p e r a t i o n a l d i f f e r en c e i n y o u r p r o f e s s i o n a l t h e at e r o f o p er a t i o n s , g o a n d g e t a fu l l i m m er s i o n i n thefringe. Right in their,underthattense an dpr e s s i n g d yn a m i c s , y o u l l h a v e t h e v a n t a g e f l u x o f t h e ou t pu t t e d mi r a g e . [129] I just wonder: Is it about Scientific Method or is it about Scientific MethodU n d er TheTutelageofApplied O mn i s c i e n c e a n d W it h T h e A p p l i c a t i o n o f T h e S y s t e m s MethodologyApproach?Idesigned, to thiseffect, the i l lu s t r a t i o n viewable at http://bit.ly/d6d84w and alsonote http://slidesha.re/omisci The more scientific and technological knowledge doubling, the most indispensablebecomesthegraspingof the applied omniscience notion in every execution for Life.
  45. 45. 45 A technological andacademicinstitutionoutsmarting cutting-edge science and technology to a point to generate more wealth than the combination of many countries? J u a n E n r i q u e z : W e a l t h i s c o n c e n t r a t ed a n d p or t a b l e. M I T f a c u l t y a n d a l u m n i p r o d u c e a s mu c h w e a l t h a s a l l b u t t w e n t y - t w o c o u n t r i e s i n t h e w or l d . [ 1 6 3 ] B e f o r e w e p r o c e e d a n y f u rt h e r , p l e a s e a l w a y s r e m e m b e r the following. E v e r y t h in g i s r el a t e d t o ev e r y t h i n g el s e . [ 1 0 9 ] . W h e n invoking Everything is related to everything else, it is succinctly to say (that is) by way of matter-of-fact example: E v e r y t h i n g i s i n t er r e l at e d t o e v e r y t h i n g e l s e . E v e r y t h i n g i s c o n n ec t ed t o e v e r y t h i n g e l s e . E v e r y t h i n g i s i n t er c on n e c t e d t o e v e r y t h i n g e l s e . Everything is intricate to everything else. Everything is involved in everything else. E v e r y t h i n g i s i n t er - a s s o c i at e d t o e v e r y t h i n g e l s e . E v e r y t h i n g i s i n t er l o c k ed t o e v e r y t h i n g e l s e . E v e r y t h i n g i s i n t er - c o u p l ed t o e v e r y t h i n g e l s e . E v e r y t h i n g i s i n t er - j o i n ed t o e v e r y t h i n g e l s e .
  46. 46. 46 Everything is conjoint to everything else. E v e r y t h i n g i s i n t er - t i ed t o e v er y t h i n g e l s e . E v e r y t h i n g i s i n t er d e p en d en t t o e v e r y t h i n g e l s e . E v e r y t h i n g i s c o r r e l at e d t o e v e r y t h i n g e l s e . E v e r y t h i n g i s i n t er t w i n e d w i t h e v e r y t h i n g e l s e . E v e r y t h i n g i s i n t er - m e s h ed w i t h e v e r y t h i n g el s e . E v e r y t h i n g i s i mp l i c at e d i n e v er y t h i n g e l s e . E v e r y t h i n g i s en t a n g l ed w i t h e v e r y t h i n g e l s e . E v e r y t h i n g i s en t w i n e d wi t h e v e r y t h i n g e l s e . E v e r y t h i n g i s t an g l e d w i t h e v e r y t h i n g e l s e . E v e r y t h i n g i s k n o t t ed w i t h e v e r y t h i n g e l s e . E v e r y t h i n g i s i n t er w o v e n i n t o e v e r y t h i n g e l s e . E v e r y t h i n g i s en g a g e d w i t h e v e r y t h i n g e l s e . E v e r y t h i n g i s p ar e n t h e t i c a l t o e v e r y t h i n g e l s e . Everything is related to everything else does not make any sense a t a l l f o r pe o p l e w h o h a v e c h o s e n n o t t o g e t e d u c a t e d a n d s e l f - e du c a t e d o n i n d i s p e n s a b l e b a s i c s c ie n c e f o r E t e r n i t y . Einstein has an appropriate thought to share: ... [the h u m a n b e i n g ] e x p er i e n c e s h i m s e l f , h i s t h ou g h t s an d f e e l i n g s a s s o m e t h i n g s e p a r a t e d f r o m t h e r e s t a k i n d o f o p t i c a l d e lu s i o n o f ou r c o n sc i o u s n e s s . T h i s d e l u s i o n i s a k i n d o f pr i s o n f o r u s , r e s t r i c t i n g u s t o o u r p er s o n a l d e s i r e s a n d t o a f f e c t i o n f o r a f e w
  47. 47. 47 p er s o n s n e a r e s t t o u s . O u r t a s k m u s t b e t o f r e e o u r s e l v e s f r o m t h i s p r i s o n b y w i d en i n g o u r c i r c l e o f c o m p a s s i o n t o e m b r ac e a l l li v i n g creatures and the whole of nature in its beauty... [108] C O N T EN T S CONTENT BY THEME AND PAGE ( O n l y t h e d u l y b o u n d b o o k v e r s i o n s h a v e a p r e c i s e pa g e n u m b e r . However, the rest of the structure is as indicated.) CHAPTER 1 NOTICE TO READERS 10 14 PAG. (S) CHAPTER 1 THE IMPERATIVE NOTE 14 24 PAG. (S) CHAPTER 1 OBJECTIVE 24 64 PAG. (S) CHAPTER 1 PROLOGUE 64 99 PAG. (S) CHAPTER 2 THE CHALLENGE 98 109 PAG. (S) C H A P T E R 2 A N A C T U A L DI A L O G U E O F D A R W I N , K A N T , NEWTON, GOETHE 99 112 PAG. (S) CHAPTER 2 AN EPIC OMISSION(S)? 113 115 PAG. (S) CHAPTER 2 THE PEER-TO-PEER MESSAGEAM O N G IGNORAMUSES 116 117 PAG. (S) C H A P T E R 2 C OM P L E X I T Y A N D T H E D E A T H O F S I M P L I C I T Y 117 118 PAG. (S) CHAPTER 2 TO BE OR NOT TO BE IN EXECUTION? 118 119 PAG. (S)
  48. 48. 48 CHAPTER 2 THE INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY REVOLUTION AND THE ABSENCE OF COHESIVE LANGUAGE? 119 121 PAG. (S) CHAPTER 2 BONAPARTES PROPHECIES ON HURRICANE KATRINA AND GULF OF MEXICOS 132 134 PAG. (S) CHAPTER 2 STRATEGOSI N S T I T UT E S FOUNDERAND L O N D O N B U S I N E S S S C H O O L S P R O F E S S O R O N T H E F UT U R E 125 128 PAG. (S) C H A P T E R 3 R O C K E T S C I E N C E AB O U T A C T U A L DI S CI P L I N E D S U C C E S S C A P T U R I N G ? 1 2 8 1 3 1 P AG . ( S ) C H A P T E R 3 I N T R O D U CT O R Y Q U O T A T I O N S A N D W I T H COMMENTARIES BY ENLIGHTENED MINDS! 131 163 PAG. (S) CHAPTER 3 THE F UT U R E AND THETECHNOLOGICAL SINGULARITY AS PER RAY KURZWEIL, PH.D. 165 167 PAG. (S) CHAPTER 3 WHAT IS HAPPENING NOW? HOW MANY NOWS ARE THERE? ARE THOSE NOWS STILL RELEVANT? 163 173 PAG. (S) C H A P T E R 3 M E T H O D FI R S T , T E C H N O L O G Y S E C O N D ! 1 7 3 PAG. (S) CHAPTER4 DEEPENING OURM U L T I DI M E N S I O N A L APPROACH IN AND TO THIS BOOK! 174 222 PAG. (S)
  49. 49. 49 CHAPTER 5 RELEVANT COMMENTARIES TOCLARIFY HI D E O U SM I S U N D E R S T A N D I NG S (UNDERS YS T E M A T I C COMMISSION) BY MAGNIFICENT PEOPLE 222 251 PAG. (S) C H A P T E R 5 O N P R E D I C T I O N S 2 5 1 2 5 2 P AG . ( S ) CHAPTER 6 D E M Y S T I F YI N GTHE REAL DEALIN PROFESSION,TECHNOLOGY, LEADERSHIP, MANAGEMENT, S T R A T E G Y , A N D B U S I N E S S , A S W E L L AS O F F E R I N G T H E CLEAREST BLUEPRINT! 251 255 PAG. (S) CHAPTER 6 QUESTION: WHAT DO RALPH WALDO EMERSON, JAMESD.WATSON,T H O M AS JEFFERSON, THEODORE ROOSEVELT,WINSTON CHURCHILL,ARTHUR C.CLARKE, BERNARD D'ESPAGNAT,A LB E R TEINSTEIN, CARL S AG A N , M A L C O L M S . K N O W L E S , B E R T R A N D R US S E L L , F R A N C I S B A C O N , H E N R Y K I S S I N G E R , OT T O H E R M A N K H A N , B U R R H U S F R E D E R I C S KI N N E R , A N D 2 5 5 2 6 4 P A G . ( S ) CHAPTER 6 CONCLUSION 264 265 PAG. (S) C H A P T E R 6 Q U E S T I O N : A R E W E A D RI F T I N A S E A O F CONFUSION? CAN THE UNDERSIGNED OFFER A REASONABLE P A T HW A Y ? 2 6 5 2 6 8 P A G . ( S ) CHAPTER 6 GLOBAL SEISMIC SHIFTS BY DR. STEPHEN COVEY, PHD! CHAPTER 6 THE TOP TRENDS FOR 2010 BY SAN FRANCISCO FUTURIST DR. JAMES CANTON, PH.D. 268 274 PAG. (S)
  50. 50. 50 C H A P T E R 6 F O U RT E E N F U T U R E T R E N D S F O R B US I N E S S I N 2 0 0 9 A N D B E Y O N D B Y T H O M A S F R E Y , S E N I O R F UT U R I S T A T THE DAVINCI INSTITUTE C H A P T E R 6 S I X P R O F O U N D S H I FT S B Y D R . S H O S T A K C H A P T E R 6 T H E F UT U R E E N V I S I O N E D B Y A R E S E A R C H PHYSICIST AND SCIENTIST! C H A P T E R 6 2 0 1 1 T R E N D S B Y D R. J A M E S C A N T O N , P H . D . ( A S SEEN ON NOV 30, 2010) CHAPTER 6 THE MESSAGE 274 PAG. (S) CHAPTER 6 ANSWERED QUESTIONS? 274 275 PAG. (S) CHAPTER 7 EPILOGUE 275 280 PAG. (S) CHAPTER 7 CAVEAT 280 284 PAG. (S) C H A P T E R 7 T H E H O P E 2 8 4 2 8 5 P AG . ( S ) CHAPTER 7 HOW TO COPE WITH CENTURY TWENTIETH ONE! 289 290 CHAPTER 7 WHAT ARE THE TYPES OF THINKING THAT JOINTLY AND SIMULTANEOUSLY MUST BE EXERCISED TO FIRSTGUESSTHEFUTURE RIGHTIN THE THIRD MILLENNIUM? 291 304 CHAPTER 8 REFLECTING ON THEEDUCATION WE IMMEDIATELY NEED 305 316 CHAPTER8APPENDIX OFDEFINITIONOF APPLIED OMNISCIENCE 316 322
  51. 51. 51 C H A P T E R 8 T H E M O S T T H O U G H T FU L S T A T E M E N T B Y A N Y A M E R I C A N P R E S I D E N T T O D AT E ! 3 2 2 3 2 3 CHAPTER 8 NASA LEWIS RESEARCH CENTER, THE OHIO AEROSPACE INSTITUTE, THE VISION-21 SYMPOSIUM AND SAN DIEGO STATE UNIVERSITY 323 345 CHAPTER 8 THE FUTURIST MAGAZINE'S TOP-10 FORECASTS FOR 2010 AND BEYOND PLUS MORE THAN 250 FORECASTS 345 451 CHAPTER 8 GLOSSARY 451 459 CHAPTER 9 WHAT IVE GIVEN YOU! 459 460 CHAPTER 9 ANNOTATED BIBLIOGRAPHY 460 473 CONTACT C H A P T E R 9 A D D I T I O N A L B I B L I O G R A P H Y F O R S UG G E S T E D READING 473 475 C H A P T E R 9 A B O U T T H E A UT H O R 4 7 5 4 8 8 CHAPTER 1 NOTICE TO READERS! S o m e r e a d e r s m i g h t f i n d h e l pf u l t o h a v e h a n d y a n O x f o r d Dictionary, American Heritage Dictionary andeven the Encyclopedia Britannica. There are explained entries such as: c r i n k u m - c r a n k u m , c r i s s - c r o s s , t e r z e t t o , t h d an s a n t , t er t i u m q u i d , among others.
  52. 52. 52 C a n a n y o n e r e m e m b e r t h e K i n g s s e n t e n c e : A p er s o n s w o r ld i s c o m m e n s u r at e t o t h e s i z e h i s ( h e r ) o w n v o c ab u l a r y . B y a n y m e a s u r e , y o u r t e c h n i c a l a n d p h i l o s o p h i c a l v oc a b u l a r y m o s t b e multiplied by athousand-foldas youke e p progressingit exponentially. S i n c e t h e r e h a s b e e n a g r e a t d e a l o f f u t i l e d e b a t e a b o u t t h e c ha n g e , its rate and scale, the undersigned has approached the subject m a t t e r t h r o u g h n a r r a t i v e i l lu s t r a t i o n s a t t i m e s . H e i s in d e e d seriousand rigorousabout understandingthe dynamics and i m p l i c a t i o n s o f c h a n g e in t h i s f i r s t d e c a d e o f T we n t i e t h - O n e Century and onward. Accuracy and accuracy, too, are beyond sine qua no to the undersigned. Y o u ' l l c e r t a i n l y f i n d e v e r y t h i n g i n t h e O x f o r d D ic t i o n a r y a s h e b e l i e v e s t h a t y ou s h o u l d s u c c e s s f u l l y s e a r c h f o r t h e s a m e i n t h e A m e r i c a n He r i t a g e D i c t i o n a r y . S i n c e I h a v e n e v e r b e e n a le x i c o g r a p h e r a n d s i n c e I a m n o t outsourcing my linguistics capabilities to you and since I am not soliciting anything from you, it is only your sole duty and your sole duty alone to verify the root meaning of every term here contained. I w o u l d c ou n s e l t o a v o i d , a s s e m a n t i c s s u g g e s t , t h e i l lu s i o n o f
  53. 53. 53 meaning, in a world mired of confusions. It suffices to me the f o r t u n e s t o b e , w i t h i n m y s t a n d a r d s , i n t h e g r e a t e s t c on t e x t s o f confusion.Tomy a dv a n ta g e , thatallows methesovereign o p p o r t u n i t y t o i m m e d i a t e l y t a c k l e t h e in d i s p e n s a b l e c ha l l e n g e a n d thus keeping my brains commutating blood streams lighter. This book has mostly to do with all forms of change and the impact s t e m m i n g f r o m s a i d i m p a c t . T o p ic s r e l a t e d t o s c ie n c e , t e c h n o l o g y , methodology, leadership, and management are all addressed. Given the abrupt rise of change, this is also a management book about how to mitigate, modulate and terminate hazards and risks, thus c a p tu r i n g the upsides of everyprofessional or organizational endeavor. This book is multifaceted and generate insights and ideas so that the readers themselves can operate them from a mental framework and as per the perceptions of "real" and virtual realities. This is a b o o k o f m a n y f a c e t s w i t h m a n y a n d a m p l e n u a n c e s i n e a c h f a c e t. To the undersigned s u p e r f i c ia l i t yandespecially universal s u pe r f i c i a l i t y i s p r e p o s t e r o u s t o h i s n a tu r e . S u b s e q u e n t l y , t h e present exploration is profound and responsibly profound.

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Portfolio Camila Agostini

AGOSTINI GROUP,

f1 Citrus - COREBeauty 99.4 Hickson 100.0 Late Emperor 100.0 Shiikuwasha Calamondin 100.0 100.0 Tachibana Cravo 100.0 100.0 MANDARIN HYBRIDS Encore S8.3 99.5 62.7 Kara Pixie Fortune

MCE · 2017. 11. 21. · 113 077.94 26 472.55 40 820 080.00 1 708.50 0.85 16 800.00 10 000.00 254 079.22 249 599.22 171 619.82 4 479.40 100.4% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%

CURRICULUM VITAE ORESTE FABRIZIO DE AGOSTINI · CV Oreste Fabrizio De Agostini - maggio 2017 1 CURRICULUM VITAE ORESTE FABRIZIO DE AGOSTINI a) GENERALITÀ Cognome e nome: De Agostini

QUESTION: Are the PAST and PRESENT a sole function of the FUTURE? By Copyright 2010 Andres Agostini

Breakout by Race / Ethnicity [Weighted] - CCSSE · Total 7,861 100.0 25,667 100.0 1,138 100.0 50,617 100.0 234,634 100.0 74,299 100.0 18,695 100.0 4g. Worked with classmates outside

Usability of parallel processing computers in numerical weather preeprints.iisc.ac.in/1467/1/usability.pdf · 2010. 9. 19. · CaseA Case B CaseB 1 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 2 95.5

I nvesto r's Guide - KENEDIXˆ計 金額 19,040 68,477 83,799 105,880 240,393 385,663 比率 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% ＜顧客投資家別＞ （単位：百万円）

1 De Agostini Group Milan, month year. 2 1.The De Agostini Group 2.De Agostini Editore – Publishing business Contents De Agostini Group Division

Aligarh Muslim University, Aligarh Kavita Singh 0 100.0 100.0 3 Esha Khursheed 50.0 63.63 100.0 4 Fizza Askari 100.0 100.0 100.0 5 Supriya Varshney 0 100.0 100.0 6. Asra Nasir Khan