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El Paso Electric R June 2013 1 Goldman Sachs Marketing Tour June 2013

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Page 1: G sachs mrktingtourpres

El Paso Electric

RJune 2013 1

Goldman Sachs Marketing Tour

June 2013

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El Paso Electric

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El Paso Electric

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June 2013 2

Safe Harbor Statement This news release includes statements that may constitute forward-looking statements made pursuant to the safe harbor provisions of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. This information may involve risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from such forward-looking statements. Factors that could cause or contribute to such differences include, but are not limited to:

Increased prices for fuel and purchased power and the possibility that regulators may not permit EE to pass through all such increased costs to customers or to recover previously incurred fuel costs in rates

Recovery of capital investments and operating costs through rates in Texas and New Mexico

Uncertainties and instability in the general economy and the resulting impact on EE’s sales and profitability

Potential delays in our construction schedule due to legal challenges or other reasons

Unanticipated increased costs associated with scheduled and unscheduled outages of generating plant

The size of our construction program and our ability to complete construction on budget

Costs at Palo Verde

Deregulation and competition in the electric utility industry

Possible increased costs of compliance with environmental or other laws, regulations and policies

Possible income tax and interest payments as a result of audit adjustments proposed by the IRS or state taxing authorities

Uncertainties and instability in the financial markets and the resulting impact on EE’s ability to access the capital and credit markets

Other factors detailed by EE in its public filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission. Please refer to EE’s 2012 Form 10K and other 1934 Act Filings

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El Paso Electric

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El Paso Electric

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3

ee 1 1,852

MW

1,714

MW

Approx

384,000 $2.37

S&P

BBB

Moody’s

Baa2

$1.06

Per

Share

$2.20

(Low)

$2.60 (High)

NYSE Ticker

Symbol

Net

Dependable

Generating

Capability

2011 Native

System Peak

Demand *

Retail

Customers 12 Months

Ended March

2013 EPS

(Basic)

Credit

Ratings

Annual

Dividend

2013 EPS

Guidance

(Basic)

* Did not set a new Native Peak record in 2012

June 2013

El Paso Electric Profile

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El Paso Electric

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El Paso Electric

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4 June 2013

Service

Territory

Rate

Regulated

Growth

Potential

CAPEX

Financial

Environmental

Regional electric utility serving west Texas and

southern New Mexico

Rate regulated business – no retail competition

– fuel “pass through”

Above average customer and retail sales growth

Sizeable capital expenditures plan and resulting

rate base growth for the next several years

Financially strong utility with good credit metrics

Favorable environmental profile – low carbon

footprint

EE Overview

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El Paso Electric

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El Paso Electric

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* Represents revenues with no related kWh sales

**Off-System Sales are sales made to power marketers and other utilities with the exception of the

Rio Grande Electric Cooperative which is a full requirements customer.

Effective July 1, 2010, 90% of off-system sales margins are shared with retail customers.

12 Months Ended 3/31/2013

Service

Territory Texas 6,075,989 77% $438,251 76%

New Mexico 1,706,681 22% 124,386 21%

FERC 64,459 1% 2,308 <1%

NM PV3 Stipulation 0 0% 10,291 2%

Total Native Load

Sales 7,847,129 100.00% $575,236 100%

Other * 0 28,313

Off-System Margins ** 2,581,380 1,434

Total 10,428,509 $604,983

Operating Revenues, Net of

Energy Expenses ($000)MWH Sales

June 2013

Service Territory

No interconnection with ERCOT

Interconnected with Mexico

Approximately 384,000 retail customers

EPE owns 1,820 miles of transmission and distribution lines

Clean dependable generating capability 1,852 MW (net) – nuclear (34%), natural gas (60%) and limited coal (6%)

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El Paso Electric

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El Paso Electric

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Regulated in Texas by PUCT, in New Mexico by NMPRC and by FERC

No current plans for a Texas rate

case prior to 2015*

No current plans for a

New Mexico rate case prior

to 2015*

FERC rates are formula

based

6

* Texas and New Mexico rate cases are likely to be deferred until 2015

June 2013

Regulatory Overview

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El Paso Electric

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El Paso Electric

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EE continues to have above average

growth as compared to the industry

7 June 2013

Above Average Customer and

Retail Sales Growth

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El Paso Electric

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El Paso Electric

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June 2013 8

El Paso Growth Summary El Paso economy heavily influenced by growing Mexican

economy

El Paso’s economy provides services to the growing

Mexico economy

Fort Bliss build out nearing completion; hospital

construction has started

Customer growth & usage per customer growth

Quality of life projects adding to growth

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El Paso Electric

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El Paso Electric

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June 2013 9

-0.50%

0.00%

0.50%

1.00%

1.50%

2.00%

2.50%

3.00%

1.61%

-0.32%

EE Avg. Customer Growth

(2007-2012)

Industry Avg. Customer Growth (2007-2012)

-3.00%

-2.00%

-1.00%

0.00%

1.00%

2.00%

3.00%

4.00%

5.00%4.30%

2.50%

-2.47%

EE Excluding Industrial

(2007-2012)

EE

(2007-2012)

Industry Avg. (2007-2012)

5 Year Retail Customer Growth 5 Year Retail KWh Sales Growth

Source: Industry data detailed in EEI-2012 Financial Review Report

Five Year Total Customer and

KWh Sales Growth

Source: Industry data detailed in EEI-2012 Financial Review Report

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El Paso Electric

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El Paso Electric

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June 2013 10

800

1,000

1,200

1,400

1,600

1,800

2,000

2,200

2,400

2,600

2,800

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

GW

H S

ale

s

GWH Sales by Class

Residential C & I Small C & I Large Public AuthoritiesCAGR 3.5% CAGR 1.3% CAGR -2.0% CAGR 3.2%

Sales Growth by Class

Above-average customer and retail kWh sales growth exceeds the industry

average; reflects the expansion at Fort Bliss and economic growth in the service

territory

Fort Bliss currently represents approximately 67 MW’s of load

Current active duty soldier population of approximately 34,000

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El Paso Electric

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El Paso Electric

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11

Number of

Customers

Usage per

Customer

* Source EEI-2012 Financial Review Report

10 Year CAGR

EE Industry*

Usage per Customer 1.50% -0.36%

Customer Growth 2.01% 0.54%

June 2013

200,000 220,000 240,000 260,000 280,000 300,000 320,000 340,000 360,000

2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

6,694 6,761 6,769 6,954 6,852 7,085 6,955

7,244 7,560

7,832 7,767 8,000

7,500

7,000

6,500

6,000

5,500

5,000

4,500

Residential customers at end of year Avg. annual kWh use per residential customer

Residential Customer and Usage per

Customer Growth

Refrigerated air conditioning is being installed in 99% of new homes; approximately 35% of El Paso residences have refrigerated air conditioning

Refrigerated air conditioning uses 85% less water and 3 times more electricity than evaporative coolers

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El Paso Electric

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El Paso Electric

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June 2013 12

El Paso Economic Perspective Maquiladoras impact on El Paso

10 percent increase in maquiladora output in Ciudad Juarez

leads to an increase in El Paso employment as follows:

2.8 percent increase in total employment

5.3 percent in transportation employment

1.3 percent in retail trade employment

2.1 percent in finance, insurance and real estate (FIRE)

employment

1.8 percent in services employment

(-) 1.3 percent in manufacturing employment

For the 10 months ended October 31, 2012, the

maquiladoras added 22,335 new employees

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El Paso Electric

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El Paso Electric

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June 2013 13

Fort Bliss El Paso Community College (2015)

New branch to be built on 250 acre site at Fort Bliss

Residential and Mixed Commercial Development

Anticipate 1,800 acres of public land will be sold to developers for mixed commercial and residential development

William Beaumont Army Medical Center (2017)

Total expected cost of $1 billion

Will include 135 private rooms, 30 specialty

clinics, and a four-story administration building

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El Paso Electric

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El Paso Electric

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June 2013 14

New Baseball Franchise and 2012

Quality-of-Life Bond Projects A group of El Paso business leaders

recently entered into a partnership to

acquire a Triple-A baseball franchise from

the Tucson Padres

A new $50mm baseball stadium will be

constructed in the heart of downtown El

Paso, and is slated to open in time for the

start of the 2014 season

Approximately $473mm in Quality-of-Life bonds were approved by voters in

November 2012

Bond proceeds will be used for parks, pools, museums, libraries and

community center expansions and upgrades and the continued revitalization of

the zoo; also includes the construction of a new children’s museum and new

downtown multipurpose performing arts and entertainment facility

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El Paso Electric

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El Paso Electric

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Capital requirements are being driven by the need to build infrastructure to meet customer

demand

15 June 2013

Expanding Rate Base

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El Paso Electric

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El Paso Electric

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Newman

•Natural Gas

•732 MW

Palo Verde

•Nuclear

•633 MW

Rio Grande

• Natural Gas

• 316 MW *

Four Corners

• Coal

• 108 MW

Copper

•Natural Gas

•62 MW

Hueco Mountain

• Wind

• 1 MW

Solar Power

47 MW’s

Includes Purchases

Resource Purchases

•65 MW’s

16

Company Owned Generation 1,852 MW’s Solar & Purchases

112 MW’s

2013 Total Energy Resources 1,964 MW’s

Record Native Peak 1,714 MW’s set in 2011

June 2013

* Rio Grande 9 (87 MW) placed into service May 2013

Load and Resources

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El Paso Electric

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El Paso Electric

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June 2013 17

2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

1,852 1,852 1,983

2,071 2,055

Generating Capacity at Summer Peak (MW)

Existing Generation Generation Additions

Existing capacity 1,852 MW*

Additions

2014 MPS Unit 1 (88 MW) (a)

2015 MPS Unit 2 (88 MW)

2016 MPS Unit 3 (88 MW)

2017 MPS Unit 4 (88 MW)

Unit Retirements (b)

2014 Rio Grande 6 (45 MW)

2016 Four Corners 4 & 5 (104MW)

(a) Unit 1 expected to be commercially operational by

December 2014

(b) Unit retirements occur in December and impact capacity available in the following year

Generation Additions Schedule

* Includes Rio Grande Unit 9 which became

commercially operational in May 2013

Projected Peak

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El Paso Electric

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El Paso Electric

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June 2013 18

Generation Additions Rio Grande 9 began commercial operation May 2013

The quick start General Electric LMS 100 aero-derivative

unit is capable of producing 87MW’s

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El Paso Electric

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El Paso Electric

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June 2013 19

Generation Additions EE’s next investment to prepare for the region’s growing customer

demand is a new power station in east El Paso

The Montana Power Station will consist of four state of the art 88

megawatt simple-cycle LMS 100 aero-derivative combustion turbines

The plan calls for one unit per year to be placed into service annually

from 2014-2017

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El Paso Electric

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El Paso Electric

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$0

$50,000

$100,000

$150,000

$200,000

$250,000

$300,000

$350,000

2013 Est 2014 Est 2015 Est 2016 Est 2017 Est

EE Estimated Costs

Generation Transmission Distribution General

June 2013 20

$258mm

$326mm

$222mm $209mm

$179mm

($000’s)

Five Year Cash Capital Expenditures

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El Paso Electric

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El Paso Electric

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Pro forma Rate Base Balances for Future Rate Case Filings ($000)

(1) Includes Palo Verde Unit 3 rate base of approximately $35mm for 2013 & 2014, $36mm for 2015 and $37mm for 2016 & 2017

(2) Rate Base totals exclude year end CWIP balances

(3) Represents a pro-forma rate base amount that EE would use in rate filings for test year ending, calendar year presented

Rio 9 MPS 1 MPS 2 MPS 3 MPS 4

2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

Beginning Rate Base (1)(2)$1,537 $1,676 $1,881 $2,100 $2,231

Plant Additions:

Excluding new generating units 175 188 238 158 172

New generating units:

Rio Grande U9 (expected in-service 2013) 93

Montana Site - Common Plant 57 8 5 2

Montana Site - U1 (expected in-service 2014) 71

Montana Site - U2 (expected in-service 2015) 72

Montana Site - U3 (expected in-service 2016) 77

Montana Site - U4 (expected in-service 2017) 79

Total 268 316 318 240 253

Depreciation Expense (83) (90) (96) (104) (110)

Change in Deferred Income Taxes & Other (46) (21) (3) (5) (6)

Total Rate Base (3)$1,676 $1,881 $2,100 $2,231 $2,368

Year End CWIP Balances ($ in millions) $274 $307 $229 $213 $149

June 2013

Projected Rate Base and CWIP

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El Paso Electric

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El Paso Electric

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June 2013 22

December 2014

MPS Unit1 begins

Operation

December 2014

Historical Test Year End

April

2015

File Texas Rate Case

February 2016

New Rates in Effect

* Example of a potential rate case timeline assuming Montana Unit #1 is

placed into service in November 2014

Example Rate Case Timeline

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El Paso Electric

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El Paso Electric

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EE has solid credit metrics, which should allow continued access to capital markets while at the same time providing cash for

common dividends and construction expenditures

23 June 2013

Financial Stability

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El Paso Electric

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El Paso Electric

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June 2013 24

Capital Requirements and Liquidity

EE expended $55.4mm for additions to utility plant during

the first quarter

Capital expenditures for utility plant in 2013 are anticipated

to be approximately $258mm

EE dividend payments during the first quarter were

$10.1mm

In May, increased quarterly cash dividend by 6% to

$0.265 per share

EE had a cash balance of $43.7mm at March 31, 2013

At March 31, 2013, EE had liquidity of $318.2mm

including cash and the revolving credit facility

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El Paso Electric

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El Paso Electric

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** Regulatory Capitalization excludes borrowings for NF by the Rio Grande Resources

Trust (RGRT), while book capitalization includes nuclear fuel borrowings in the debt

portion of capitalization.

* Capital structure includes current maturities and short-term

borrowings

As of 3/31/2013 * (thousands)

Capital Structure Regulatory Capitalization** Book Capitalization

Moody's S&P

EE (unsecured) Baa2 BBB

Stable Stable

Debt

55.3%

June 2013

Common Stock Equity $829,481

Long-term & short-term debt, net of RGRT 889,556

Total Capitalization Before RGRT $1,719,037

RGRT - LT & ST Debt 135,039

Total Capitalization After RGRT $1,854,076

Debt

55.3%

Equity

44.7%

Debt

51.7%

Equity

48.3%

Commitment to Credit Quality

Well positioned to finance planned investments

Investment grade credit ratings

S&P reaffirmed its BBB rating and Stable Outlook in October 2012

Moody’s reaffirmed its Baa2 rating and Stable Outlook in August 2012

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El Paso Electric

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El Paso Electric

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MARKET PRICE PER SHARE

ANNUAL VALUE OF SHARE

REPURCHASES AND DIVIDENDS *

2012 – $31.91

2011 – $34.64

2010 – $27.53

2009 – $20.28

2012 – $38.9

2011 – $113.7

2010 – $33.7

2009 – $24.1

(in millions)

* EE Initiated a quarterly cash dividend in 2011 distributing a total of $27.2mm in 2011 and $38.9mm during 2012

June 2013

$0

$50

$100

$150

Dec. 31, 2007 Dec. 31, 2008 Dec. 31, 2009 Dec. 31, 2010 Dec.31, 2011 Dec. 31, 2012

Total Return Comparison $100 Investment on December 31, 2007

EE EEI NYSE

EE $130

EEI $108

NYSE $87

Shareholder Return

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El Paso Electric

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El Paso Electric

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June 2013 27

2013 Earnings Guidance range of $2.20 to $2.60 per basic share

$2.27

$2.40

($0.07) ($0.06)

($0.06) ($0.02) ($0.02)

$0.03

$1.50

$1.70

$1.90

$2.10

$2.30

$2.50

Depr & Amort Interest on LTdebt

TX rate casesettlement

Weather O&M Other Dereg. PV3,off-system

sales, & other

AFUDC &capitalized

interest

Underlyinggrowth

$0.05

$0.10

$0.18

2012

EPS

Actual

Mid-Point

2013 earnings

guidance

2013 Earnings Guidance

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El Paso Electric

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El Paso Electric

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EE has a favorable environmental profile and is well-positioned to comply with proposed

environmental regulations

28 June 2013

Favorable Environmental Profile

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El Paso Electric

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EE vs. U.S. Carbon Footprint (Short tons CO2 equivalent emissions/MWH)

2009 National Average 0.61 2011 EE 0.32

2012 Energy Sources (by MWh’s)

Nuclear 46% Natural

Gas 32%

Purchased

Power 16%*

Coal

6%

*Renewable energy purchases represent 6% of total purchased power

June 2013

Diversified Energy Portfolio and

Low Carbon Footprint

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El Paso Electric

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El Paso Electric

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30 June 2013

Environmental Regulations Recent Environmental Rulemaking

Cross State Air Pollution Rule (CSAPR) was vacated by the D.C. Circuit Court of Appeals on August 21, 2012

A request for a re-hearing by the EPA was denied on January 24, 2013

On March 29, 2013, EPA petitioned the Supreme Court to review the D.C. Circuit Court’s decision that vacated CSAPR

EE’s exposure to possible cross state air pollution rules are minimal due to natural gas-fired generation in Texas

Mercury and Air Toxics Standards (Utility MACT) requires significant reductions in emissions of mercury and other air toxics

EPA estimates the cost to U.S. utilities could reach $35 billion

EE will not have any costs associated with MACT requirement

Rule will not apply to EE’s local generation due to natural gas-fired units; fuel oil for back-up/emergency usage will be below rule applicability levels

No modifications expected at Four Corners due to this rule

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El Paso Electric

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El Paso Electric

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31 June 2013

Renewable Energy Initiatives EE solar initiatives are designed to meet regulatory demands

as well as identify opportunities where solar or purchased

solar power make sound economic sense

A power-purchase agreement with First Solar for the total output

from the Macho Springs Solar Project (50MW), which is

expected to come online in 2014, was approved by the NMPRC

in May 2013

With the First Solar purchase power agreement, EE’s owned

solar energy projects and purchase power agreements represent

over 5.5% of the Company’s dedicated generating capacity,

which represents one of the largest percentages in the United

States for an investor-owned utility

EE partnered with El Paso Community College to install solar

panels that will be used in EPCC’s renewable energy education

curriculum

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El Paso Electric

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El Paso Electric

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32 June 2013

Texas Renewables Requirements

EE must obtain approximately 2% of Texas energy sales from

renewables through renewable generation or purchase of Renewable

Energy Credits (REC’s)

Compliance EE primarily purchases REC’s

Cost Recovery REC costs recovered through base rates

EE capital investments included in rate base

Purchased energy costs (including REC’s) recovered through fuel

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El Paso Electric

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33 June 2013

New Mexico Renewables Requirements

EE is required to meet 10% of its current retail

energy sales in New Mexico via renewables;

escalates to 15% in 2015 and to 20% in 2020

Must be from diverse sources – at least 20% solar, 30% wind, 5% biomass and 1.5% renewable distributed generation (increases to 3% in 2015)

Compliance Purchase of wind RECs from Southwestern Public Service (SPS)

Purchase 47MW of solar PV energy as of July 2012

Cost Recovery Renewable energy with RECs recovered through fuel clause; RECs without

energy recovered through base rates

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El Paso Electric

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El Paso Electric

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Appendix

June 2013

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El Paso Electric

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June 2013 35

First Quarter Key Earnings Drivers

Basic EPS Description

March 31, 2012 0.08$

Changes In:

Retail Non-Fuel Base Revenue 0.04Increased retail non-fuel base revenues mainly

due to colder weather in 2013 compared to 2012

Fossil Fuel Plant O&M 0.04

Decreased O&M at our fossil-fuel plants primarily

due to Q1 2012 planned maintenance at Rio

Grande Unit 8 and Newman Unit 1

Palo Verde O&M 0.02

Due to timing of outages in 2012 compared to

2013. 2012 outage began in mid-March and 2013

outage began at the end of March

Allowance for Funds Used During Construction 0.02 Increased due to higher construction balances

Administrative and General Expense (0.03)

Increased administrative and general expenses

due to information technology and other outside

services. Also due to forfeiture of stock awards in

2012

Other 0.02

March 31, 2013 0.19$

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El Paso Electric

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El Paso Electric

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June 2013 36

1st Quarter Non-Fuel Base Revenues

Description

Amount

Percent

Change

Rate Decrease (2,463)$ (2.3%)

Weather 814 0.7%

Other (sales mix & growth) 4,004 3.8%

Total Retail Non-Fuel Base Revenues 2,355$ 2.2%

Q1 2013

vs.

Q1 2012

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El Paso Electric

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El Paso Electric

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Public Utility Commission of Texas - Appointed by Governor

Name Position Term Ends Party

Donna L. Nelson Chair 08/31/2015 Republican

Kenneth W. Anderson Commissioner 08/31/2017 Republican

Vacant* Commissioner 08/31/2013

New Mexico Public Regulation Commission - Elected

Name District Term Ends Party

Karen Montoya 1 12/31/2016 Democrat

Patrick Lyons Chair 2 12/31/2014 Republican

Valerie Espinoza Commissioner 3 12/31/2016 Democrat

Theresa Bencenti-Aguilar

(Vice Chair) Commissioner 4 12/31/2014 Democrat

Ben Hall (Chair) Commissioner 5 12/31/2014 Republican

June 2013

*Commissioner Rolando Pablos resigned March 1, 2013

State Regulatory Commissioners

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El Paso Electric

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El Paso Electric

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Tom Shockley El Paso Electric Headquarters

Chief Executive Officer Stanton Tower

(915) 521-5721 100 North Stanton

[email protected] El Paso, Texas 79901

(800) 592-1634

David G. Carpenter

Senior Vice President - Chief Financial Officer

(915) 543-5945 Richard S. Gonzalez

[email protected] Supervisor Investor Relations

(915) 543-2236

Steven P. Busser [email protected]

Vice President –Treasurer

(915) 543-5983

[email protected]

Lisa D. Budtke

Assistant Treasurer

(915) 543-5947

[email protected]

38 June 2013

EE Contact Information