gartner: top 10 technology trends 2015
TRANSCRIPT
Technology Adoption and Market Disruption
Strategic Technology Trends
Time
Gro
wth
Emerging Growth Mainstream
Disruption Clarified and Starting Disruption
Uncertain
Disruption Happening or Happened
Top 10 Strategic Technology Trends for 2015
The New IT Reality Emerges
Intelligence Everywhere
Merging the Real World and the Virtual World
1 Computing Everywhere 2 The Internet of Things
4 Advanced, Pervasive and Invisible Analytics
6 Smart Machines
7 Cloud/Client Computing
3 3D Printing
5 Context-Rich Systems
8 Software-Defined Applications and Infrastructure 9 Web-Scale IT 10 Risk-Based Security and Self-protection
Top 10 Strategic Technology Trends for 2015
The New IT Reality Emerges
Intelligence Everywhere
Merging the Real World and the Virtual World
1 Computing Everywhere 2 The Internet of Things
4 Advanced, Pervasive and Invisible Analytics
6 Smart Machines
7 Cloud/Client Computing
3 3D Printing
5 Context-Rich Systems
8 Software-Defined Applications and Infrastructure 9 Web-Scale IT 10 Risk-Based Security and Self-protection
Computing Everywhere — Look Beyond Mobile Form Factors
Inside everything All around
Pocketable Portable Shared areas Desk
Touch, voice, etc. Keyboard, mouse
Gesture
Portable screen Wearable Convertible
• Many form factors, screen sizes, interaction styles, platforms, architectures
• Technology advances accelerate: Sensors, displays, wireless and more
• Embrace heterogeneity and loss of complete control
• Use containment and isolation as a foundational security strategy
The User Experience in a Hyper Connected World
Richer I/O Models
Emotionally Impactful
Consumer- Driven
People- Centric
Think "Outside in" and Focus on Solution Architecture, Design Thinking and Development
Exploit the natural affinity between agile development methodologies and UX — Pilot and iterate
Create UX pattern libraries that guide application development teams — Personas and use cases
Tool software, so usage data can be extracted and analyzed — Continuous feedback
1
2
3
The Internet of Things Links to Everything
Internet of Things 25B Things by 2020
Internet of Information 30T Web Pages in Google Index, 2013
Internet of Places 6 Foursquare Check-Ins,
January 2015
Manage
Monetize
Operate
Extend
Internet of People 1.35 billion monthly active users
July 2014
Identify New Patterns and Define New Technical Architectures for the Internet of Things
Enterprise/ Thing Gateway Cloud/"Internet" On-Premises
Analytics Data Application Logic and Rules
User Interface
10101001010100 11010101010010 10110101011
Experiment! A $75 Proof of Concept …
Can Save $75,000 "Customer down, magnet down, $75,000 magnet recovery problem to recool the magnet.
These have really worked well monitoring our magnets at our office in Ohio."
… and embrace the "maker culture."
Source: http://supermechanical.tumblr.com/post/51173089463/in-an- internet-of-medical-devices-weve-got-the
… "3d printing is not new but is newly strategic"
2014
Enterprise
2015
Consumer
3 2 1 0
4
5
6
2012 2013 2016 2017
Billions of Dollars
7
81.9% CAGR
Consumer Shipments Point to More Pervasive Use
400,000 200,000
0
600,000
800,000
1,000,000
Shipments 1,200,000
2012 2013 2014
Enterprise
2015
Consumer
2016 2017
95.4% CAGR
Look for Innovation Opportunities From the Simple & Mundane to the Complex and Critical
Airbus A320 Redesigned Nacelle
Hinge Bracket
Injection Molds Cut Tooling Costs
by Up to 97%
M1 Abrams Tank Engine Material Added to Worn Components
Not Impossible Labs "Project Daniel" Prosthetic Limbs
Courtesy of EOS
Courtesy of Not Impossible Labs
Is 3D Print for You? Five Key Questions Responsive Will we be able to focus more on our customers'
needs and less on our manufacturing processes?
Knowledge Do we need to develop our staff's additive manufacturing skills?
Agile Will we make our product development and production processes more nimble?
Cost How much can we reduce product development, operating and support costs?
Will we be able to create items that were difficult or impossible to produce before? Innovation
Top 10 Strategic Technology Trends for 2015
The New IT Reality Emerges
Intelligence Everywhere
Merging the Real World and the Virtual World
1 Computing Everywhere 2 The Internet of Things
4 Advanced, Pervasive and Invisible Analytics
6 Smart Machines
7 Cloud/Client Computing
3 3D Printing
5 Context-Rich Systems
8 Software-Defined Applications and Infrastructure 9 Web-Scale IT 10 Risk-Based Security and Self-protection
Big Data Security Analytics at the Heart of Next-Generation Security Platforms
Information Collect, Correlate
Big Data
Knowledge Analyze
Data Data Data Data
Logs, Events, Costs, Usage, Attacks, Breaches
Community
Patterns, Meaningful Anomalies
Dependencies, Relationships
Context Continuous Monitoring
and Analytics
Context-Aware Intelligence Model, Simulate, Act, Protect
Context-Rich Systems Understand Who, What, When, Where, How and Why
User-Facing Context Content Sources Process Models
Environment
Community
Identity and Pref.
Location
Calendar
Etc.
History
Connectivity
Patterns
System-Facing Context
Real-Time, Context-Aware, Risk-Aware and Active: Adaptive Access Control
Risk engine.
Trust elevation.
Step-up authentication.
Transaction verification.
Contextual information.
Get more information!
Allow access.
STOP Deny access.
Allow access with fine-grained audit.
Other obligation.
Emerging Trend: The Contextual User Experience
Personal Assistants as Intermediaries Contextual Information: • Location Information • Available Endpoints • Human Request for Action • Relevant Services and Content
User Experience Platform: • Intermediary Between Users and
Content/Capabilities • Acts for or Interacts With the User to
Accomplish Goals: - The Invisible User Interface • Dynamically Assembles UI Screens/Forms
Image © Apple
Siri Image © Microsoft
Cortana Image © Google
Google Now
… Just the Beginning!
Information-Based Helpers
Machine-Focused Helpers
Sages
Doers
Autonomous Vehicles
Smart Machine Categories Based on What They Do
Movers
(Related market terms - Artificial Intelligence, Robots, Cognitive Computing, Anticipatory Computing)
Cornell Robot Credit: Hema Koppula and Ashutosh Saxena, 2013. Robot Learning Lab, Computer Science Department, Cornell University. See http://pr.cs.cornell.edu/anticipation
Cornell's Observant, Predictive Servant
Maturity, Adoption and Diffusion
Segment Smart Advisor
Virtual Personal Assistant1
Early Emerging Use Cases
Adoption Accelerates
90% Adoption for Addressable
Market
Autonomous Personal Transport
Semiautonomous Robotic Assistants
1 Growth of use of virtual personal assistants for work purposes in 2017 to 2018 will exceed iPad's growth in its first 2 years.
2014 2017 Segments Merge (and Fragment) 2020 to 2022 2013 2017
2020 (±2)
2030 (±5)
2044 (±10)
2025 (2020 to 2030)
2032 (2025 to 2040)
?
Top 10 Strategic Technology Trends for 2015
The New IT Reality Emerges
Intelligence Everywhere
Merging the Real World and the Virtual World
1 Computing Everywhere 2 The Internet of Things
4 Advanced, Pervasive and Invisible Analytics
6 Smart Machines
7 Cloud/Client Computing
3 3D Printing
5 Context-Rich Systems
8 Software-Defined Applications and Infrastructure 9 Web-Scale IT 10 Risk-Based Security and Self-protection
Unify Cloud and Mobile Strategies: Cloud/Client Computing
• The application is in the cloud. • Cloud is the coordination point and system of record. • Clients can be anything with varying levels of data
and logic. • Applications can span multiple clients. • Multichannel, Multi-scn., ensemble interactions. • The experience flows to the user in context. • Mobile is not about devices … it is about people.
UX logic
Business logic
UX logic
Business logic
Data
Data
Software-Defined Applications and Infrastructure: The Future Is Software-Defined
Networking Cloud Services
Real-Time Infrastructure
Fabric-Based Computing
Service-Oriented Architecture
Model-Driven Architecture
Storage
Security
Data Centers
OpenStack Open Compute
Everything Is Programmable
The API Economy
Software-Defined Architecture for Application Services
Source: "Software-Defined Architecture for Application in Digital Business" (G00264171)
Outer View Resource Virtualization
Inner View Managed Resources
Inner APIs
Outer APIs
Inner View
Outer View
Web-Scale IT: The Foundation for the Digital Future
Web-scale IT is a pattern of global class computing that delivers the capabilities of large cloud services providers to the enterprise
Web-Scale IT
Infrastructure as Code
Web-Oriented Architecture
Collaborative Aligned
Organization
Velocity- F o c u s e d Processes
Risk- Embracing
Culture
Open
Industrially Designed Data
Centers
Source
Create Your Blueprint and Road Map for Web-Scale IT
DevOps API-Based Management Velocity-Focused Processes Collaboratively-Aligned Organization Risk-Embracing Culture
Web-Oriented Architecture
Industrially Designed
Infrastructure
1 2 3
Security Myth: Perimeter Defense Will Protect My Applications
Mobile Internet of Things
Insider Attacks
Enable Applications to Protect Themselves Application Runtime
Dynamic Interaction Application
Source Code Output:
High-Assurance Security
Vulnerabilities Runtime
Application Self-Protection
Security-Aware Application
Design
Top 10 Strategic Technology Trends for 2015
ü Proactively analyze disruptive technology trends and create a vision of the future technology landscape
ü Link trend analysis to the impact on people (employees and customers), the business and IT
ü Establish strategic decision models to take action on disruptive impacts
ü Focus on the EA role as a visionary, an analyst and a catalyst for disruptive trend analysis across IT and the business
The New IT Reality Emerges
Intelligence Everywhere
Merging the Real World and the Virtual World