gasoline_voc_ppt_9thapril2015
TRANSCRIPT
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Effects of Temperature on Gasoline Exhaust VOC speciation
Anirban Roy1, Darrell Sonntag2, Charles Schenk2, Joseph McDonald2, Rich Cook2, Catherine Yanca2, David Hawkins2, Yunsoo Choi1
1 University of Houston2 USEPA, Ann Arbor
USEPA’s Annual Emissions Inventory ConferenceApril 16th, San Diego
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The VOC ozone problem
• VOC major contributor to ozone in urban regions, which are NOx-saturated i.e. VOC sensitive.
Choi et al., 2012
NOx-sensitiveVOC-sensitive
What drives ozone?
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Motor Vehicle VOC emissions
• Two urban counties – New York (NYC-Manhattan) and Harris (Houston)• Major contributor to urban VOC emissions.• Gasoline VOCs- comprise of Mobile Source Air Toxics (MSATs)• Gasoline dominates the split for both emission cases.
New York, NY Harris, TX 0
5
10
15
20
25
30
VO
C, k
tons
per
yea
r
Gasoline Diesel
New York, NY Harris, TX 0
1
2
3
4
5
6
MS
AT
VO
Cs,
kto
ns p
er y
ear Gasoline
Diesel
(a) Total VOCs (b) MSATs
USEPA NEI, 2011
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Temperature dependence of VOC emissions
Total hydrocarbons vs. T
Temperature Catalytic efficiency Emissions
Stump et al .
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Motivation for current work
• Previous studies focused on total hydrocarbons and MSATS at different temperatures.
• Little quantification of uncertainty in emission factors• No comprehensive evaluation of speciation profiles -
imperative for air quality modeling.• This work intends to build on previous work to develop
comprehensive temperature dependent speciation profiles.
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Key questions
• How do the speciation profiles for gasoline exhaust vary under temperature?
• What is the uncertainty in the emission factors for species classes?
• How does the MSAT content (both species and total) in VOCs vary with temperature?
• What implications do the results have for air quality modeling?
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Vehicle fleet
• Driving conditions
• FTP (urban conditions)• US-06 (aggressive highway)
Temperatures
• 0 oF• 20oF• 75oF
Name Year Technology Standard Mileage Configuration
Buick Lucerne 2010 MPFI Tier 2/Bin 4 22000 3.9L V-6
Honda Accord 2010 MPFI Tier 2/Bin 5 24000 2.4L I-4
Jeep Patriot 2010 MPFI Tier 2/Bin 5 22000 2.0L I-4
Kia Forte EX 2010 MPFI Tier 2/Bin 5 25000 2.0L I-4
Mazda 6 2010 MPFI Tier 2/Bin 5 24000 2.5L I-4
Mitsubishi Galant 2010 MPFI Tier 2/Bin 5 38000 2.4L I-4
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Additional details
• Testing done at the USEPA’s OTAQ premises.• All vehicles used 10% ethanol by volume.• 160 compounds, grouped into following species classes
AromaticsAlkanesCyclic AlkanesAlkenesAlkynesEthersAldehydesKetones
• Methane evaluated separately• FTP – 3 phases: Cold Start, Running and Hot Start.• Cold Start evaluated separately
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Bootstrap Method
• Example with FTP Cold Start at 0oF.• Distribution of means from random sampling.• Uncertainty shown by 95% confidence interval.
0 1 2 30.0
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
0.5
R
elat
ive
freq
uenc
y
Aromatics EF, g mi-1
Draw SampleCalculate Mean
Repeat 1000 times
0.8 1.0 1.2 1.4 1.6 1.8 2.00.00
0.05
0.10
0.15
0.20
Rel
ativ
e fr
eque
ncy
Aromatics EFs, g mi-1
0.6 0.8 1.0 1.2 1.4 1.6 1.80.0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1.095% C.I
Mean
Per
cent
ile
Aromatics EFs, g mi-1
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FTP Composite Emissions: Monte Carlo method
0.43*Cold Start+Running+0.57*Hot Start
Means, Cold Start Means, Running Means, Hot Start
0.1 0.2 0.3 0.40
20
40
60
80
100
Per
cent
ile
Composite Aromatics EFs, g mi-1
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Temperature dependence of mean emission factors
(a) FTP (b) US-06
• Significant decrease with temperature due to increasing catalyst efficiency.
• US-06 emissions significantly lower than FTP-Composite.
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
75oF20oF0oF75oF20oF0oF
Composites
Cold Start
TOG
EFs
, mg
mi-1
0
10
20
30
40
50
20oF 75oF0oF
Methane Ketones Aldehydes Alcohols Ethers Alkynes Alkenes Cyclic Alkanes Alkanes Aromatics
TOG
EFs
, mg
mi-1
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Uncertainty in mean emission factors
• Example with FTP composite emissions, units in mg mi-1.• Broadly factor of 2, uncertainty.
0 oF 20 oF 75 oF
Aromatics 265 (188-356) 51 (76-99) 12 (9-15)
Alkanes 256 (189-317) 61 (46-74) 8 (7-10)
Cyclic Alkanes 41 (25-59) 11 (7-14) 1.1 (0.8-1.3)
Alkenes 125 (100-150) 36 (26-46) 5 (4-6)
Alkynes 19 (14-24) 3.3 (2.3-4.3) 0.4 (0.2-0.6)
Alcohols 54 (39-69) 18 (10-28) 7 (2-13)
Aldehydes 9 (8-11) 7 (6-8) 3 (4-11)
Ketones 1.2 (1-1.3) 1.7 (1-2.5) 0.6 (0.5-0.7)
Methane 34 (29-39) 12 (9-14) 5 (3-7)
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What influences composite emissions?
• Two scenarios:
• CASE 1 : Cold Start dominates by orders of magnitude.• Applicable to most hydrocarbons at all temperatures .
• CASE 2: Hot Start and Running comparable to Cold Start.• Applicable to all oxygenates - alcohols, aldehydes a nd ketones.
Cold S
tart
Hot Sta
rt
Running
100
101
102
103
Aro
mat
ics
EFs
, mg
mi-1
(a) FTP, 0F
Cold S
tart
Hot S
tart
Running
0
2
4
6
8
10
Alc
ohol
EFs
, mg
mi-1
(b) FTP, 75F
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Speciation profiles
• Significant increases seen in speciation for alcohols, aldehydes and methane.• Alkanes show definitive decrease with temperature for both Cold Start and composite
phases of the FTP cycle.• Aromatics significantly fall with temperature for the US-06 cycle.
Cold S
tart,
0F
Cold S
tart,
20F
Cold S
tart,
75F
Composit
e, 0F
Composit
e, 20
F
Composit
e, 75
FUS-0
6, 0F
US-06,
20F
US-06,
75F
0
20
40
60
80
100 US-06
Composites, FTPCold Start, FTP
Wei
ght %
TO
G Methane Ketones Aldehydes Alcohols Ethers Alkynes Alkenes Cyclic Alkanes Alkanes Aromatics
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MSAT fraction in TOG profile
• Three distinct patterns.• FTP, Cold Start – MSAT fraction increases marginally with temperature.
Speciation constant.• FTP, Composite – Substantial change in MSAT fraction and speciation.• US06- MSAT fraction unchanged, substantial change in speciation.
0.0
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
0.5
0.6
US06
75F75F20F 20F0F0F
FTP, CompositeFTP, Cold Start
75F20F0F
M
SA
T fr
actio
n in
TO
G
Other MSATs
Ethanol
Benzene, Toluene, Ethyl benzene, Xylene (BTEX)
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Ozone forming potential: the Carter MIR scale
• US-06: definitive changes with temperature, especially at 75oF.• Weaker trends for FTP-Composite profiles.• Need detailed air quality modeling representing varying NOx
conditions to accurately understand the impacts.
Cold
Start,
0F
Cold S
tart,
20F
Cold
Start,
75F
Compo
site,
0F
Compo
site,
20F
Compos
ite, 7
5FUS06
, 0F
US06, 2
0FUS06
, 75F
0
1
2
3
4
Ozo
ne fo
rmed
, ton
s/da
y
http://www.cert.ucr.edu/~carter/emitdb/
Ozone potential = VOC mass fraction x MIR x emission rate ( 1 ton/day)
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Conclusions
• Significant difference in speciation across temperatures and driving conditions.
• Cold Start emissions were the dominant FTP phase for most hydrocarbons, greater by at least 2 orders of magnitude than Running and Hot Start emissions .
• For alcohols and carbonyls, Cold Start, Running and Hot Start emissions were comparable.
• Three distinct patterns for MSAT fractions with temperature.Cold Start: Marginal change in MSAT fraction, speciation unchangedComposite : Significant change in MSAT fraction and speciationUS06: Marginal change in MSAT fraction, significant for speciation
• Ozone forming potential decreased at 75oF for Composite and US-06 profiles.
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Future directions
• Speciation results will be available at the USEPA’s SPECIATE database for the next version.
• Use these profiles to inform and update MOVES model to build motor vehicle emissions inventories.
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Acknowledgements
• University of Houston-College of Natural Sciences and Mathematics for funding.
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