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12/4/2019 Gross Domestic Panic: Rating agencies slice India's GDP growth by 1.5% https://www.indiatoday.in/diu/story/gross-domestic-panic-rating-agencies-slice-india-s-gdp-growth-by-1-5-1624923-2019-12-04 1/4 News / DIU / Gross Domestic Panic: Rating agencies slice India's GDP growth by 1.5% Nikhil Rampal New Delhi December 4, 2019 UPDATED: December 4, 2019 09:29 IST The slowing Indian economy has become a headache for Prime Minister Narendra Modi and his Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman (Getty le photo) Gross Domestic Panic: Rating agencies slice India's GDP growth by 1.5% At the beginning of the year, almost all these nancial institutions had hoped that India's GDP growth will be better than 2018. W ith recession, job loss and companies winding up operations, 2019 has proved to be a bad year for India's economy. The GDP growth rate for the second quarter dropped to its lowest in six years. Gross Domestic Product gures released by the Central Statistics Oce (CSO) showed that India's GDP for the second quarter of the nancial year 2019 (Jul-Sep 19) was 4.5 - lowest since 2012-13. NEWS LIVE TV APP MAGAZINE Story in Audio

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Page 1: GDP growth by 1.5% Gross Domestic Panic: Rating agencies slice … agencies slice... · By the end of the year, between October and December, the average GDP growth prediction for

12/4/2019 Gross Domestic Panic: Rating agencies slice India's GDP growth by 1.5%

https://www.indiatoday.in/diu/story/gross-domestic-panic-rating-agencies-slice-india-s-gdp-growth-by-1-5-1624923-2019-12-04 1/4

News / DIU / Gross Domestic Panic: Rating agencies slice India's GDP growth by 1.5%

Nikhil RampalNew DelhiDecember 4, 2019UPDATED: December 4, 2019 09:29 IST

The slowing Indian economy has become a headache for Prime Minister Narendra Modi and his Finance MinisterNirmala Sitharaman (Getty �le photo)

Gross Domestic Panic: Rating agencies slice India'sGDP growth by 1.5%At the beginning of the year, almost all these �nancial institutions had hoped thatIndia's GDP growth will be better than 2018.

W ith recession, job loss and companies winding up operations, 2019 has proved

to be a bad year for India's economy. The GDP growth rate for the second

quarter dropped to its lowest in six years. Gross Domestic Product �gures released by

the Central Statistics O�ce (CSO) showed that India's GDP for the second quarter of

the �nancial year 2019 (Jul-Sep 19) was 4.5 - lowest since 2012-13.

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Page 2: GDP growth by 1.5% Gross Domestic Panic: Rating agencies slice … agencies slice... · By the end of the year, between October and December, the average GDP growth prediction for

12/4/2019 Gross Domestic Panic: Rating agencies slice India's GDP growth by 1.5%

https://www.indiatoday.in/diu/story/gross-domestic-panic-rating-agencies-slice-india-s-gdp-growth-by-1-5-1624923-2019-12-04 2/4

With consecutive declines for six quarters, the expectations of almost all major

�nancial institutions and rating agencies for India's GDP growth have also come down.

India Today Data Intelligence Unit (DIU) compared the GDP forecast �gures announced

by rating agencies at the beginning of the year with the current statistics and found

that in less than a year, they have cut down GDP predictions for FY 2019-20 by 1.5 per

cent on an average.

DIU analysed eight �nancial institutions/rating agencies - Reserve Bank of India, State

Bank of India, World Bank, Asian Development Bank, International Monetary Fund, and

credit rating agencies CRISIL, Moody's and CARE RATINGS.

At the beginning of the year, almost all these �nancial institutions had hoped that

India's GDP growth will be better than 2018. However, that did not happen.

Between January and April this year, on an average, rating agencies had predicted a

7.3 per cent GDP growth for India. By the end of the year, between October and

December, the average GDP growth prediction for FY 2019-20 by all the eight agencies

has come down to 5.8 per cent - a 1.5 per cent cut in a year.

DIU had done a detailed study on how these institutions narrowed down their

prospects from India, majorly due to slow domestic demand.

Of all the agencies, the State Bank of India's outlook for the economy was the worst. In

November this year, the SBI had reduced the GDP forecast from 6.1 per cent to 5 per

cent for the current �nancial year.

"There can be no recession"

Though rating agencies have lowered their expectations for the country's economic

performance, �nance minister Nirmala Sitharaman believes the situation is not

recessionary.

Responding to queries over the economic situation in the country, Sitharaman

recently said in Parliament, "Economic growth may have slowed, but there is no

recession, there can be no recession."

Also Read | Why India slips further among emerging economies race

Also Read | Gross Domestic Product growth falls to 4.5% in Q2 of 2019-20

Also Read | Why this economic slowdown is serious

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Page 3: GDP growth by 1.5% Gross Domestic Panic: Rating agencies slice … agencies slice... · By the end of the year, between October and December, the average GDP growth prediction for

12/4/2019 Gross Domestic Panic: Rating agencies slice India's GDP growth by 1.5%

https://www.indiatoday.in/diu/story/gross-domestic-panic-rating-agencies-slice-india-s-gdp-growth-by-1-5-1624923-2019-12-04 3/4

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Page 4: GDP growth by 1.5% Gross Domestic Panic: Rating agencies slice … agencies slice... · By the end of the year, between October and December, the average GDP growth prediction for

12/4/2019 Gross Domestic Panic: Rating agencies slice India's GDP growth by 1.5%

https://www.indiatoday.in/diu/story/gross-domestic-panic-rating-agencies-slice-india-s-gdp-growth-by-1-5-1624923-2019-12-04 4/4

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