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Pre-Feasibility Study
Prime Minister’s Small Business Loan Scheme (Gemstone Lapidary)
Small and Medium Enterprises Development Authority
Ministry of Industries & Production Government of Pakistan
www.smeda.org.pk
HEAD OFFICE 4th Floor, Building No. 3, Aiwan e Iqbal, Egerton Road,
Lahore Tel 92 42 111 111 456, Fax 92 42 36304926-7
REGIONAL OFFICE PUNJAB
REGIONAL OFFICE SINDH
REGIONAL OFFICE KPK
REGIONAL OFFICE BALOCHISTAN
3rd Floor, Building No. 3,
Aiwan e Iqbal, Egerton Road Lahore,
Tel: (042) 111-111-456 Fax: (042)6304926-7
5TH Floor, Bahria Complex II, M.T. Khan Road,
Karachi. Tel: (021) 111-111-456
Fax: (021) 5610572 [email protected]
Ground Floor State Life Building
The Mall, Peshawar. Tel: (091) 9213046-47
Fax: (091) 286908 [email protected]
Bungalow No. 15-A Chaman Housing Scheme
Airport Road, Quetta. Tel: (081) 831623, 831702
Fax: (081) 831922 [email protected]
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Pre-Feasibility Study Gemstone Lapidary
Table of Contents 1. DISCLAIMER .......................................................................................................................................... 2
2. PURPOSE OF THE DOCUMENT ......................................................................................................... 3
3. INTRODUCTION TO SMEDA .............................................................................................................. 3
4. INTRODUCTION TO SCHEME ........................................................................................................... 4 5. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY ...................................................................................................................... 4
6. BRIEF DESCRIPTION OF PROJECT & PRODUCT ........................................................................ 4
7. CRITICAL FACTORS ............................................................................................................................ 5
8. INSTALLED & OPERATIONAL CAPACITY .................................................................................... 5
9. GEOGRAPHICAL POTENTIAL FOR INVESTMENT/SUITABLE LOCATIONS ........................ 5
10. POTENTIAL TARGET MARKETS/CITIES ................................................................................. 6 11. PRODUCTION PROCESS FLOW .................................................................................................. 7
12. PROJECT COST SUMMARY ......................................................................................................... 7 12.1. PROJECT ECONOMICS .................................................................................................................................. 7 12.2. PROJECT FINANCING ................................................................................................................................... 8 12.3. PROJECT COST ............................................................................................................................................. 8 12.4. SPACE REQUIREMENT.................................................................................................................................. 8 12.5. MACHINERY AND EQUIPMENT ..................................................................................................................... 9 12.6. RAW MATERIAL REQUIREMENTS .............................................................................................................. 10 12.7. ROUGH GEMSTONES .................................................................................................................................. 10 12.8. LAPIDARY CONSUMABLES INVENTORY ..................................................................................................... 10 12.9. HUMAN RESOURCE REQUIREMENT ........................................................................................................... 11 12.10. REVENUE GENERATION ............................................................................................................................. 11 12.11. OTHER COSTS............................................................................................................................................ 11
13. CONTACTS ...................................................................................................................................... 12
14. ANNEXURE ..................................................................................................................................... 13 14.1. INCOME STATEMENT ................................................................................................................................. 13 14.2. STATEMENT OF CASH FLOW ............................................................................................................. 14 14.3. BALANCE SHEET .................................................................................................................................. 15 14.4. USEFUL PROJECT MANAGEMENT TIPS ........................................................................................... 16 14.5. USEFUL LINKS ...................................................................................................................................... 17
15. KEY ASSUMPTIONS ..................................................................................................................... 19
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Pre-Feasibility Study Gemstone Lapidary
1. DISCLAIMER This information memorandum is to introduce the subject matter and provide a general idea and information on the said matter. Although, the material included in this document is based on data/information gathered from various reliable sources; however, it is based upon certain assumptions which may differ from case to case. The information has been provided on as is where is basis without any warranties or assertions as to the correctness or soundness thereof. Although, due care and diligence has been taken to compile this document, the contained information may vary due to any change in any of the concerned factors, and the actual results may differ substantially from the presented information. SMEDA, its employees or agents do not assume any liability for any financial or other loss resulting from this memorandum in consequence of undertaking this activity. The contained information does not preclude any further professional advice. The prospective user of this memorandum is encouraged to carry out additional diligence and gather any information which is necessary for making an informed decision, including taking professional advice from a qualified consultant/technical expert before taking any decision to act upon the information.
For more information on services offered by SMEDA, please contact our website: www.smeda.org.pk
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Pre-Feasibility Study Gemstone Lapidary
2. PURPOSE OF THE DOCUMENT The objective of the pre-feasibility study is primarily to facilitate potential entrepreneurs in project identification for investment. The project pre-feasibility may form the basis of an important investment decision and in order to serve this objective, the document/study covers various aspects of project concept development, start-up, and production, marketing, finance and business management.
The purpose of this document is to facilitate potential investors in Gemstone Lapidary by providing them with a general understanding of the business with the intention of supporting potential investors in crucial investment decisions.
The need to come up with pre-feasibility reports for undocumented or minimally documented sectors attains greater imminence as the research that precedes such reports reveal certain thumb rules; best practices developed by existing enterprises by trial and error, and certain industrial norms that become a guiding source regarding various aspects of business set-up and it’s successful management.
Apart from carefully studying the whole document one must consider critical aspects provided later on, which form basis of any Investment Decision.
3. INTRODUCTION TO SMEDA The Small and Medium Enterprises Development Authority (SMEDA) was established in October 1998 with an objective to provide fresh impetus to the economy through development of Small and Medium Enterprises (SMEs).
With a mission "to assist in employment generation and value addition to the national income, through development of the SME sector, by helping increase the number, scale and competitiveness of SMEs" , SMEDA has carried out ‘sectoral research’ to identify policy, access to finance, business development services, strategic initiatives and institutional collaboration and networking initiatives.
Preparation and dissemination of prefeasibility studies in key areas of investment has been a successful hallmark of SME facilitation by SMEDA.
Concurrent to the prefeasibility studies, a broad spectrum of business development services is also offered to the SMEs by SMEDA. These services include identification of experts and consultants and delivery of need based capacity building programs of different types in addition to business guidance through help desk services.
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Pre-Feasibility Study Gemstone Lapidary
4. INTRODUCTION TO SCHEME Prime Minister’s ‘Small Business Loans Scheme’, for young entrepreneurs, with an allocated budget of Rs. 5.0 Billion for the year 2013-14, is designed to provide subsidised financing at 8% mark-up per annum for one hundred thousand (100,000) beneficiaries, through designated financial institutions, initially through National Bank of Pakistan (NBP) and First Women Bank Ltd. (FWBL).
Small business loans with tenure upto 7 years, and a debt : equity of 90 : 10 will be disbursed to SME beneficiaries across Pakistan, covering; Punjab, Sindh, Khyber Pakhtunkhwah, Balochistan, Gilgit Baltistan, Azad Jammu &Kashmir and Federally Administered Tribal Areas (FATA).
5. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY While, Lahore & Karachi with its large Gold and Gem studded jewellery making industry are suitable locations,Gems Lapidaryis proposed to be located at Peshawar since major trade/export is taking place in this city. Within Peshawar, Namak Mandi area is preferable as large Gem Cluster exists here. These jewelry markets are the main customers of the cut and polished gemstones. The proposed unit will process rough Gemstones, initially semi precious gems stones like Aquamarine, Peridot, Tourmaline etc. TheseGemstones mainly come from mines in Chitral, Mardan and Gilgit Baltistan in addition to gems from Afghanistan and other nearby locations.
Proposed unit will have the capacity to process 3,000 units (Cut & Polished Gemstones, (average 3carat weight per stone). In the first year of operation, the unit would run on 60% of the total production capacity which is processing 1,800 pieces.
The total cost of the project is Rs. 2.08 million, with capital cost of Rs. 1.19 million and operation cost of Rs. 0.89 million. Given the cost assumptions, IRR and payback are 37% and three yearsrespectively, thus making the project a profitable venture. The most critical considerations or factors for success of the project are:
1. Awareness about current market trends i.e the type of stone & type of cut required by the customers, which in this case are jewellers.
2. Availability of skilled labour.
6. BRIEF DESCRIPTION OF PROJECT & PRODUCT • Technology: This proposed unit with modern processing machines includ
faceting, cutting and polishing will produce cut and polished precious and semi-precious gem stones of both calibrated and non-calibrated types.
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• Location:The unit will be located in or near gems trading clusters such as Namak Mandi in Peshawar or Lahore and Karachi also where access to raw gemstones is easy.
• Product:The unit would initially process semi precious gem stones like Aquamarine, Tourmaline, Peridot etc which comes from Chitral and Northern areas.
• Target Market: An enormous export market for the Pakistani gemstones exists in Europe, USA, Middle East, Hong Kong, Taiwan, etc. It is of significance that the Gem industry and the Government of Pakistan are recognizing the potential for the local value addition and consequently import duty on lapidary equipment has been waived off.
• Employment:The proposed project will provide direct employment to 9 people.
• Profitability: Financial analysis shows the unit shall be profitable from the very first year of operation.
7. CRITICAL FACTORS The commercial viability of the Gemstone Lapidary depends primarily on the regular orders from the customers. Following are some other points that have to be ensured to make the business successful:
1. Awareness about current market trends i.e the type of stone & type of cuts required by the customers, which in this case are the jewellers.
2. Availability of skilled labour. 3. Timely delivery of orders 4. Availability of raw material (rough, uncut and unpolished gemstones).
8. INSTALLED & OPERATIONAL CAPACITY The installed capacity shall be 3,000 pieces per year. The project will run with approximately 60% capacity in first year of its operations with annual increase of 3% in production, constraint being skill levels.
9. GEOGRAPHICAL POTENTIAL FOR INVESTMENT/SUITABLE LOCATIONS
The most appropriate location for setting up a Gem lapidary would be Peshawar since major trade/export is taking place in this city. Within Peshawar, Namak Mandi area is preferable as large Gem Cluster exists here. Similarly, Lahore & Karachi with its large Gold and Gem studded jewellery making industry are other suitable locations. Chitral and Mingora as well as Gilgit and Skardu are also suitable locations for establishment of Gems Lapidary due to proximity of raw material sources.
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10. POTENTIAL TARGET MARKETS/CITIES Initially the products, mainly semi-precious nature gemstones will be processed by focusing on demand of the jewellery manufactures of Karachi, Lahore and Peshawar. After having reasonable domestic customers base, export market can be targeted provided exports standards are met. The main export markets for Pakistani Gemstone are U.A.E, United Kingdom, Thailand, Canada, Italy, China, Netherlands, Saudi Arabia, USA, Hong Kong and Germany
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Pre-Feasibility Study Gemstone Lapidary
11. PRODUCTION PROCESS FLOW The process of Lapidary includes grading, cutting and polishing of Gemstones. Raw stones are either purchased from the market or provided by the customers (Jewellers). Individual stone is then examined (graded) and cut into smaller stones along its major line of fracture and inclusions. The smaller pieces are then mounted on cutting tools, which are then faceted on faceting machines. The final operation involves polishing of the faceted stones. Polished stones are then delivered to the customers or sold in the market. 12. PROJECT COST SUMMARY A detailed financial model has been developed to analyze the commercial viability of Gemstone Lapidary under the Prime Minister’s Small Business Loan Scheme. Various cost and revenue related assumptions along with results of the analysis are outlined in this section.
12.1. PROJECT ECONOMICS A target processing and production of 3000 units (cut & polished gemstones) whereby units processed and produced by Gemstone lapidary in year one will be around 1800 units (cut & polished Gemstones) running at 60% production capacity. The following table shows internal rates of return and payback period.
Table 1 - Project Economics Description Details
Internal Rate of Return (IRR) 37% Payback Period (yrs) 3 years Net Present Value (NPV) 4,671,546
Some of the critical factors influencing the commercial viability of this Gemstone Lapidary depend primarily on the regular orders from the customers and supply of rough Gems from mines. Apart from this awareness about current market trends i.e. the type
RawStones of Customers
Purchaseof RawStones
Grading Cutting Polishing
DeliverytoCustomers
SaletoMarket
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Pre-Feasibility Study Gemstone Lapidary
of stone & type of cut required by the consumers, delivering orders on time, availability of raw material (gemstones), reliability and contacts with the traders proximity to the Gem cluster for easy availability of raw material must be taken care off for smooth running of the project A return on the investment and profitability of the project is highly dependent on the above mentioned factors.
12.2. PROJECT FINANCING Following table provides details of the equity required and variables related to bank loan;
Table 2 - Project Financing Description Details
Total Equity (10%) Rs 208,200 Bank Loan (90 %.) Rs. 1,873,800 Markup to the Borrower (%age/annum) 8% Tenure of the Loan (Years) 7
12.3. PROJECT COST Following requirements have been identified for operations of the proposed business.
Table 3: Capital Investment for the Project
Cost description Total Cost (Rs.) Plant and Machinery 990,000 Furniture/ Fixture 150,000 Pre-operational Expenses 50,000 Total Fixed Cost 1,190,000 Lapidary Consumables Inventory 90,000 Raw material inventory 300,000 Upfront Building Rent (12 Months) 252,000 Working Capital 250,000 Total Project Cost 2,082,000
12.4. SPACE REQUIREMENT The project is proposed to setup in a rented building. In this way, the initial capital cost of the project will be far less. The area has been calculated on the basis of space requirement for processing area and office. The Units operating in the industry do not follow any set pattern. Following table shows calculations for project space requirement.
Table 4: Space Requirement Space Requirement (in ft.) Rs/Sqft Sqft Amount
(Rs.) Cutting & Polishing Room 26 500 13,000 Offices & Strong Room 28 250 7,000
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Pre-Feasibility Study Gemstone Lapidary
Total Area 27 750 21,000 12.5. MACHINERY AND EQUIPMENT
Following combination of machinery is required for cutting and polishing of approximately 3000 units (cut & polished gemstone, with average weight of 3 carats) per year. Approximate prices for machinery of different origins are given below:
Table 5: List of Machinery and Equipment
Machinery Description
Replacement Year
Capacity Units/Hr Quantity Cost
Rs/unit Total Rs.
Trim Saw 2 60,000 120,000 Faceting unit 2 60,000 120,000 Calibrating machines with wheels
1 350,000 350,000
Dual Grinder 2 40,000 80,000 Wet belt sander
• Horizontal 1 70,000 70,000 • Vertical 1 80,000 80,000
Faceting Accessories 1 150,000 150,000 Faceting Table 1 20,000 20,000 Total 990,000 Main equipments for Gemstone Lapidary is the Trim saw for initial trimming of rough Gemstone. After the initial trimming the faceting takes place followed by polishing.
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Pre-Feasibility Study Gemstone Lapidary
12.6. RAW MATERIAL REQUIREMENTS Details of Lapidary Consumables and rough (uncut and unpolished) Gemstones are given below:
12.7. ROUGH GEMSTONES Table 6 – Raw material (Rough Gemstones)
Raw Material Weight
(grams) Carat Weight Rate/carat Total Cost (Rs.)
Rough Aquamarine 1,500 7,500 20 150,000 Rough Tourmaline 1,500 7,500 20 150,000 Total 3,000 15,000 20 300,000 In the first stage the rough gemstone are graded on the basis of quality for further processing. According to industry sources, when 3000 grams of rough Gemstones are processed almost 30% i.e. 900 grams turns out which are not suitable for cutting and polishing and around 70% i.e. 2100 grams are process able.
12.8. LAPIDARY CONSUMABLES INVENTORY Basic raw material required for cutting and polishing gemstones is Silicon Carbide Paper, which comes in three sizes of 220, 400 and 1000 meshes. Raw material required for grinding and polishing of precious stones includes Diamond Powder, Cerium Oxide and Crome Oxide, Expandable Drum and Grinding Wheels etc.
Table 7: Lapidary Consumables Inventory
Raw Material Qty Cost (Rs.) Silicon Carbide Paper 220 mesh 200 Carats 5,000 600 mesh 300 Carats 9,000 1000 mesh 300 Carats 9,000 Diamond Powder 0.5 micron (Rs.25/carat) 200 Carats 5,000 1 micron (Rs.30/carat) 300 Carats 9,000 15 micron (Rs.30/carat) 300 Carats 9,000 Sanding belt – 6 X 0.5 220 (75/piece) 50pc 3,750 600 (75/piece) 50pc 3,750 Sanding disk 220 (75/pc) 50pc 3,750 600 (75/pc) 50pc 3,750 Cerium Oxide (500/lbs) 5 lbs. 2,500 Crome Oxide (500/lbs) 10 Kg 5,000
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Grinding Wheels (1200/piece) 12 14,400 Expandable Drum 6 X 0.5 (3000/drum) 2 6,000 Leather Belt for polishing (1000/belt) 5 5,000 MISC/Contingencies - 8,300 Total Rs. 90,000
12.9. HUMAN RESOURCE REQUIREMENT
Table 8: Human Resource Requirement Description No. of Employees Salary per month
Manager/Supervisor 1 35,000 Cutters @10000 5 50,000 Accounts/Administration Incharge
1 12,000
Helper/Peons 1 10,000 Security Services Fees 1 10,000 Total 9 117,000
12.10. REVENUE GENERATION
In the first year of production, the unit will process 1800 units @60% production capacity with 3% annual production increase, and process the finished product with an average weight of 3 carats. Initially semi- precious stones i.e Aquamarine, tourmaline etc will be processed and later on cutting and polishing of precious stone like emerald and ruby will be undertaken.
Table 8: Revenue
Product Unit Sales Price
(Rs./Unit)
First Year Production
Units
First Year Sales
Revenue (Rs)
Category A(Cut & polished Aquamarine&Tourmaline)
3 carat 5000 306 1,530,000
Category B(Cut & polished Aquamarine&Tourmaline)
3 carat 1800 630 1,134,000
Category C(Cut & polished Aquamarine&Tourmaline)
3 carat 700 864 604,800
Total Sales Revenue 1800 3,268,800 12.11. OTHER COSTS
An essential cost to be borne is the monthly rent @ 20,000/month and utilities charges @ 10,000/ which are projected to increase at the rate of 10% per year. In year one the total rent cost amounts to Rs. 240,000. Similarly, electricity expense is estimated to be about 10,000 per month which comes to Rs.120,000 per annum.
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13. CONTACTS
1. Mr. Pervez Ellahi Malik
M/S Malik Gems International
Namak Mandi Peshawar
Ph# 0321-8592517
091-5252517
2. Mr. Afzal Khan
Lapidary Instructor
GJTMC, Peshawar
Ph# 091-5269253
3. Mr. Naveed Masood
Director GGIP,
Peshawar
Ph# 091-9213197
0333-9155097
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Pre-Feasibility Study Gemstone Lapidary
14. ANNEXURE 14.1. INCOME STATEMENT
Projected Income Statement
YEAR- 1 YEAR- 2 YEAR- 3 YEAR- 4 YEAR- 5 YEAR- 6 YEAR- 7 YEAR- 8 YEAR- 9 YEAR- 10
ALESGem Stone (Cut & Polished) 1,530,000 1,767,150 2,041,058 2,357,422 2,722,823 3,144,860 3,632,314 4,195,322 4,845,597 5,596,665
1,134,000 1,309,770 1,512,784 1,747,266 2,018,092 2,330,896 2,692,185 3,109,474 3,591,443 4,148,116 604,800 698,544 806,818 931,875 1,076,316 1,243,145 1,435,832 1,658,386 1,915,436 2,212,329
- - - - - - - - - -
272400 3,268,800 3,775,464 4,360,661 5,036,563 5,817,231 6,718,901 7,760,331 8,963,182 10,352,476 11,957,110
OST OF SALESGem Stone (Cut & Polished) 390,000 471,900 570,999 690,909 836,000 1,011,560 1,223,987 1,481,024 1,792,039 2,168,368
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
OST OF GOODS SOLD 390,000 471,900 570,999 690,909 836,000 1,011,560 1,223,987 1,481,024 1,792,039 2,168,368
ectricity Expanse 120,000 132,000 145,200 159,720 175,692 193,261 212,587 233,846 257,231 282,954 ayroll Expanse (All Staff) 1,404,000 1,544,400 1,698,840 1,868,724 2,055,596 2,261,156 2,487,272 2,735,999 3,009,599 3,310,559 eprecition Expanse 57,000 54,150 51,443 48,870 46,427 44,106 41,900 39,805 37,815 35,924 achine Maintenance Expanse 22,800 21,660 20,577 19,548 18,571 17,642 16,760 15,922 15,126 14,370
ent Expanse 252,000 264,600 277,830 291,722 306,308 321,623 337,704 354,589 372,319 390,935
mortization of Preliminary Expanses 10,000 10,000 10,000 10,000 10,000 - - - - -
OTAL OPERATING EXPANSES 1,865,800 2,026,810 2,203,890 2,398,584 2,612,594 2,837,788 3,096,223 3,380,161 3,692,089 4,034,741
ARNINGS BEFORE INTEREST & TAXES 1,013,000 1,276,754 1,585,772 1,947,071 2,368,637 2,869,554 3,440,121 4,101,997 4,868,347 5,754,001
INANCIAL EXPENSESnancial Charges on Long term loan 149,904 133,104 114,960 95,364 74,201 51,345 26,660 - - -
OTAL FINANCIAL EXPENSES 149,904 133,104 114,960 95,364 74,201 51,345 26,660 - - -
ROFIT BEFORE TAX 863,096 1,143,650 1,470,813 1,851,706 2,294,437 2,818,209 3,413,461 4,101,997 4,868,347 5,754,001
INCOME TAX 51,964 94,048 143,122 217,841 306,387 427,052 575,865 753,099 983,004 1,248,700
ROFIT AFTER TAX 811,132 1,049,603 1,327,691 1,633,865 1,988,049 2,391,157 2,837,596 3,348,898 3,885,343 4,505,301
etained Earnings at the beginning of year - 811,132 1,455,168 2,258,058 3,228,078 4,399,194 5,796,327 7,438,344 9,368,444 11,579,338
ividend 405,566 524,801 663,845 816,933 994,025 1,195,579 1,418,798 1,674,449 1,942,672
etained Earnings at the end of year 811,132 1,455,168 2,258,058 3,228,078 4,399,194 5,796,327 7,438,344 9,368,444 11,579,338 14,141,967
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14.2. STATEMENT OF CASH FLOW Projected Cash Flow Statement
YEAR- 0 YEAR- 1 YEAR- 2 YEAR- 3 YEAR- 4 YEAR- 5 YEAR- 6 YEAR- 7 YEAR- 8 YEAR- 9 YEAR- 10OPERATING ACTIVITIESNet Profit - 586,077 1,118,677 1,724,100 2,400,777 3,161,409 4,015,038 4,971,636 6,042,197 7,208,850 8,512,545
Add: Depreciation - 9,125 8,669 8,235 7,824 7,432 7,061 6,708 6,372 6,054 5,751
Amortization (Pre-operational Expenses) (9,000) 4,500 4,500 - - - - - - - -
Net profit before working capital changes (9,000) 599,702 1,131,846 1,732,335 2,408,601 3,168,841 4,022,099 4,978,344 6,048,569 7,214,904 8,518,296
Working Capital changesRaw materials stock (1,590,840) 960,797 (24,842) (25,835) (26,869) (27,944) (29,061) (30,224) (31,433) (32,690) (33,998)
W.I.P - (20,635) (825) (858) (893) (928) (966) (1,004) (1,044) (1,086) (1,130)
Finished goods stock - (141,277) (5,651) (5,877) (6,112) (6,357) (6,611) (6,875) (7,150) (7,436) (7,734)
Accounts payable - 524,744 20,990 21,829 22,703 23,611 24,555 25,537 26,559 27,621 28,726
Accounts receivable - (660,201) (66,020) (72,622) (79,884) (87,873) (96,660) (106,326) (116,959) (128,655) (141,520)
Working capital changes (1,590,840) 663,428 (76,349) (83,364) (91,056) (99,491) (108,743) (118,892) (130,027) (142,246) (155,655)
- (58,608) (90,302) (192,320) (327,655) (512,852) (727,011) (1,013,991) (1,337,269) (1,745,598) (2,201,891)
Cash provided by/ used in operations (1,599,840) 1,204,522 965,196 1,456,651 1,989,890 2,556,498 3,186,345 3,845,461 4,581,273 5,327,060 6,160,750
FINANCING ACTIVITIESLong term loan 1,951,664 (218,728) (236,226) (255,124) (275,534) (297,577) (321,383) (347,093) - - -
Owner equity 216,852
Dividend paid - (263,735) (514,188) (765,890) (1,036,561) (1,324,278) (1,644,013) (1,978,823) (2,352,464) (2,731,626)
Cash provided by/ used in Financing activities 2,168,516 (218,728) (499,961) (769,312) (1,041,424) (1,334,137) (1,645,661) (1,991,107) (1,978,823) (2,352,464) (2,731,626)
INVESTING ACTIVITIESCapital Expenditure (182,500) - - - - - - - - -
Cash provided by/ used in Investing activities (182,500) - - - - - - - - - -
Net Cash Flow 386,176 985,794 465,235 687,339 948,466 1,222,361 1,540,684 1,854,354 2,602,450 2,974,596 3,429,124
Cash balance B/ F - 386,176 1,371,970 1,837,206 2,524,545 3,473,011 4,695,372 6,236,056 8,090,410 10,692,860 13,667,456
Cash balance C/ F 386,176 1,371,970 1,837,206 2,524,545 3,473,011 4,695,372 6,236,056 8,090,410 10,692,860 13,667,456 17,096,580
Cash Balance from BS 215,176 1,380,970 1,846,206 2,533,545 3,482,011 4,704,372 6,245,055 8,099,409 10,701,859 13,676,455 17,105,579
215,176 1,380,970 1,846,206 2,533,545 3,482,011 4,704,372 6,245,055 8,099,409 10,701,859 13,676,455 17,105,579
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14.3. BALANCE SHEET
PROJECTIONS
Projected Balance Sheet
YEAR-0 YEAR - 1 YEAR - 2 YEAR - 3 YEAR - 4 YEAR - 5 YEAR - 6 YEAR - 7 YEAR - 8 YEAR - 9 YEAR - 10
ASSETS
Current Assets
Cash & Bank Balance 250,000 1,091,738 1,547,543 2,134,100 2,857,207 3,748,040 4,818,379 6,093,555 7,972,682 10,112,863 12,582,265
Raw materials stock 390,000 38,464 46,542 56,315 68,142 82,452 99,766 120,717 146,068 176,742 213,858
W.I.P - 1,278 1,546 1,871 2,264 2,740 3,315 4,011 4,853 5,873 7,106
Finished goods stock - 8,750 10,588 12,811 15,501 18,756 22,695 27,461 33,228 40,206 48,649
Receivables 272,400 314,622 363,388 419,714 484,769 559,908 646,694 746,932 862,706 996,426
640,000 1,412,630 1,920,841 2,568,485 3,362,828 4,336,757 5,504,064 6,892,438 8,903,763 11,198,390 13,848,304 TOTAL CURRENT ASSETS
Fixed Assets
At Cost less: Acc. Depreciation 1,140,000 1,083,000 1,028,850 977,408 928,537 882,110 838,005 796,105 756,299 718,484 682,560
Intangible Assets
Upfront Insurance 252,000 180,000 160,000 140,000 120,000 100,000 80,000 60,000 40,000 20,000
Pre-operational Expenses Worth 50,000 40,000 30,000 20,000 10,000 TOTAL ASSETS 2,082,000 2,715,630 3,139,691 3,705,893 4,421,365 5,318,867 6,422,069 7,748,543 9,700,062 11,936,875 14,530,864
LIABILITIES AND EQUITY
Current Liabilities
Current maturity of long term loan 226,801 244,945 264,541 285,704 308,561 333,246 - - - -
Accounts Payable - 32,500 39,325 47,583 57,576 69,667 84,297 101,999 123,419 149,337 180,697
TOTAL CURRENT LIABILITIES - 259,301 284,270 312,124 343,280 378,227 417,542 101,999 123,419 149,337 180,697
Non current Liabilities
Long term Loan 1,873,800 1,436,997 1,192,052 927,511 641,806 333,246 - - - - -
EQUITY
Paid up Capital 208,200 208,200 208,200 208,200 208,200 208,200 208,200 208,200 208,200 208,200 208,200
Retained Earnings - 811,132 1,455,168 2,258,058 3,228,078 4,399,194 5,796,327 7,438,344 9,368,444 11,579,338 14,141,967
Total Equity 208,200 1,019,332 1,663,368 2,466,258 3,436,278 4,607,394 6,004,527 7,646,544 9,576,644 11,787,538 14,350,167
TOTAL LIABILITIES & EQUITY 2,082,000 2,715,630 3,139,691 3,705,893 4,421,365 5,318,867 6,422,069 7,748,543 9,700,062 11,936,875 14,530,864
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14.4. USEFUL PROJECT MANAGEMENT TIPS Technology
• Required spare parts & consumables:Suppliers credit agreements and availability as per schedule of maintenance be ensured before start of operations
• Energy Requirement: Should not be overestimated or installed in excess and alternate source of energy for critical operations be arranged in advance
• Machinery Suppliers: Should be asked for training and after sales services under the contract with the machinery suppliers. They must be communicated about the timely availability with clear mutual understanding of the required time period.
• Quality Assurance Equipment & Standards:Whatever means required products quality standards need to be defined on the packaging and a system to check them instituted, this improves credibility
Marketing
• Product Development & Packaging:Expert's help may be engaged for product/service and packaging design & development
• Sales & Distribution Network:Strong contacts with the civil works contractors focusing upon house constructions for middle class people and owners of retail shops.
• Price - Bulk Discounts, Cost plus Introductory Discounts:Price should never be allowed to compromise quality. Price during introductory phase may be lower and used as promotional tool. Product cost estimates should be carefully documented before price setting. Government controlled prices shall be displayed.
Human Resources
• Adequacy & Competencies: Skilled and experienced staff should be considered an investment even to the extent of offering share in business profit.
• Performance Based Remuneration:Attempt to manage human resource cost should be focused through performance measurement and performance based compensation.
• Training & Skill Development:Encouraging training and skill of self & employees through experts and exposure of best practices is route to success.
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Least cost options for Training and Skill Development (T&SD) may be linked with compensation benefits and awards.
14.5. USEFUL LINKS
Prime Minister’s Office
www.pmo.gov.pk
Small & Medium Enterprises Development Authority (SMEDA)
www.smeda.org.pk
National Bank of Pakistan (NBP)
www.nbp.com.pk
First Women Bank Limited (FWBL)
www.fwbl.com.pk
Government of Pakistan
www.pakistan.gov.pk
Ministry of Industries & Production
www.moip.gov.pk
Ministry of Education, Training & Standards in Higher Education
http://moptt.gov.pk
Government of Punjab
www.punjab.gov.pk
Government of Sindh
www.sindh.gov.pk
Government of Khyber Pakhtoonkhwa
www.khyberpakhtunkhwa.gov.pk
Government of Balochistan
www.balochistan.gov.pk
Government of Gilgit Baltistan
www.gilgitbaltistan.gov.pk
Government of Azad Jammu &Kashmir
www.ajk.gov.pk
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Trade Development Authority of Pakistan (TDAP)
www.tdap.gov.pk
Security Exchange Commission of Pakistan (SECP)
www.secp.gov.pk
Federation of Pakistan Chambers of Commerce and Industry (FPCCI)
www.fpcci.com.pk
State Bank of Pakistan (SBP)
www.sbp.org.pk
Pakistan Institute of Fashion Design(PIFD)
www.pifd.edu.pk
Pakistan Fashion Design Council (PFDC)
www.pfdc.org
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15. KEY ASSUMPTIONS
PRODUCTION ASSUMPTIONSMaximum Capacity Utilization 100%Maximum Capacity Utilization (Year-1) 60%At 100% capacity, the following will be the per day production break-up;
Gem Stone (Cut & Polished) 100% 10 Total production per day 10
Gem Stone (Cut & Polished) 100% 3,000
3,000
Per Annum 3,000 OPERATING ASSUMPTIONSAnnual Production Capacity(Gem Stone (Cut & Polished)) year 1 1,800 Total Production Capacity (Year 1)Growth Rate in Production (3%) OR (times) 1.03 Hours operational per day 8Days operational per month 26Days operational per year 312 ECONOMY-RELATED ASSUMPTIONSElectricity growth rate (10%) OR (times) 1.1
Pay roll growth (10%) OR (times) 1.1
KEY ASSUMPTIONS
CASH FLOW ASSUMPTIONS
Accounts receivable cycle (in days) 30Accounts payable cycle (in days) 30WIP (Days) 1Finished Goods (Days) 7Raw Materials Inventory (Days) 30Cash on Hand 260,000
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REVENUE ASSUMPTIONS
Sales price per unit in year 1Gem Stone (Cut & Polished) 1800
Sale price growth rate (5%) OR (times) 1.05
EXPENSES ASSUMPTIONS
Electricity Expenses Per/Year(RS) 120,000
Machine maintenance Cost /year (% of total machinery cost) 2%Growth in maintenance cost 3 %) OR (times) 1.03Pre-paid land rent (12 months) 252,000 Cost of Rough Gem Stones 390,000
Raw material cost growth rate 5%Rent growth rate 5%
COST OF GOODS SOLD ASSUMPTIONS
COGS Year 1Gem Stone (Cut & Polished) 216.67
COGS Growth Rate (4%) OR (times) 1.04
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FINANCIAL ASSUMPTIONS
Project Life (Years) 10Debt 90%Equity 10%Interest rate on long term loan 8%Debt tenure (years) 7Debt payments per year 1
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