generalized trust through civic engagement? evidence from five national panel studies rené bekkers...

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Generalized Trust Through Civic Engagement? Evidence from Five National Panel Studies René Bekkers Philanthropic Studies VU University Amsterdam September 17, 2013 1 MZES-A Colloquium, Mannheim Erik van Ingen Sociology Tilburg University

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Generalized Trust Through Civic Engagement?

Evidence from Five National Panel Studies

René BekkersPhilanthropic Studies

VU University Amsterdam

September 17, 2013 1MZES-A Colloquium, Mannheim

Erik van IngenSociologyTilburg

University

Our question

• What is the influence of civic engagement on generalized trust?–Not: particularized trust, or risky

investments in social dilemma situations;– But: the belief that most people can be

trusted

• Does the level of trust change after people change their involvement in voluntary associations?

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Additional questions

• How long does it take the participation effect to emerge?

• Is it robust across countries?• What types of civic engagement

make the largest contribution to trust?

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Why Trust Matters

• More trusting societies have lower corruption and crime, and higher participation in elections and economic growth.

• More trusting individuals are more satisfied with their lives, have more positive social relations, do better in education and are in better health.

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Virtuous circles in social capital

• “Civic engagement and trust are mutually reinforcing”

• “The causal arrows among civic involvement, [..] and social trust are as tangled as well-tossed spaghetti”

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Robert D. Putnam (2000). Bowling Alone: The Collapse and Revival of American Community. New York: Simon & Schuster, page 137

How it might work

• Socialization: Engagement in voluntary associations produces positive social experiences, reinforcing the belief that most people can be trusted.

• Contact, peer influence: Engagement in voluntary associations exposes participants to the beliefs of others, ‘risking infection’ with the belief that most people can be trusted.

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An alternative perspective

• Volunteering requires trust.• If you don’t trust fellow citizens to

be honest and keep their promises, contributions are wasted easily.

• Free riders are distrustors.• Trustors are optimists by nature,

and trust doesn’t change much over time.

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Eric Uslaner (2002). The Moral Foundations of Trust. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.

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Data and methods of previous studies

• Most studies use cross-sectional data, including a limited set of controls.

• Selection and omitted variables are a huge problem here.

• Studies using longitudinal panel data have almost all used inadequate regression models.

• Selection and omitted variables are still a problem here.

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The evidence thus far

• Delhey & Newton (2003): trust and membership are only weakly correlated in most countries – due to low reliability

• Brehm & Rahn (1997): reciprocal influences between trust and membership in US using 2SLS

• Uslaner (2002): results obtained from 2SLS not robust in different specifications

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Collecting better data

• D.H. Smith (1966) and Stolle (2003): we need panel data

• Claibourn & Martin (2000): no effect of changes in memberships on changes in trust in US panel study of political socialization

• Giving in the Netherlands Panel Study includes trust + volunteering questions since 2002

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A theory on selection for trust

• ‘Interactionism’ in personality and social psychology

• Individual differences in trust shape perceptions of contributions to collective goods

• Failures to contribute by others are ‘noise’ to trustors; ‘evidence’ for misanthropists

• Justification-effects reinforce prior differences in trust

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As a result…

• Trustors are more likely to (be asked to) start volunteering, and less likely to quit

• Misanthropists are less likely to (be asked to) start volunteering, and more likely to quit

• Trustors may become more trusting and misanthropists may become less trusting as a result of changes in volunteering

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It’s all about selection!

• BTW, note also:– Individuals with larger networks are

more likely to be asked to start and continue volunteering

– Individuals in better (mental) health are more able to continue volunteering

–More happy/satisfied individuals are more likely to help others (and be helped in return)

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Development of generalized social trust (‘most people can

be trusted’)

Source: GINPS

Bekkers, R. (2012). ‘Trust and Volunteering: Selection or Causation? Evidence From a 4 Year Panel Study’. Political Behaviour, 32 (2): 225-247. DOI 10.1007/s11109-011-9165-x. (open access)

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How to get this published…

• At APSR, you can suggest reviewers. I suggested a protagonist and an antagonist.

• The protagonist googled me, and sent me a (very positive) review by email.

• The antagonist said the English language required editing work, asked *basic* questions about the fixed effects model results, and complained that concepts were used inconsistently.

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Reminder

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Further evidence: volunteering and charitable confidence in

2006

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Bekkers, R. & Bowman, W. (2009). The Relationship Between Confidence and Charitable Organizations and Volunteering Revisited. Nonprofit & Voluntary Sector Quarterly, 38: 884-897. Source:

GINPS

Selection based on…

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Bekkers, R. & Bowman, W. (2009). The Relationship Between Confidence and Charitable Organizations and Volunteering Revisited. Nonprofit & Voluntary Sector Quarterly, 38: 884-897. Source:

GINPS

The importance of replication

• Could the result be particular to the Netherlands?

• Or to a selective sample of online panel survey respondents?

• Perhaps volunteering doen’t produce trust, but other forms of participation do?

• Let’s examine other countries, other forms of participation, other survey modes.

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New data & additional models

• Main source: Swiss Household Panel • Additionally: BHPS, LISS, SHARE,

GINPS Hilda• Fixed effects regression• Change score models– Two-wave transitions• Enter / start ( 0 1 ) vs. Stay uninvolved ( 0

0 ) • Exit / quit ( 1 0 ) vs. Stay involved (1 1)

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Adequate Testing, Please!

• Cross-sectional data are useless here• We need longitudinal data to disentangle

causes and consequences of voluntary participation

• We should look at how people change over time when they have started and quit volunteering

• Halaby (2004, Annual Review of Sociology): controlling for Yt-1 is not enough

• Use fixed effects regression models, eliminating variance between individuals

• XT in STATASeptember 17, 2013 27MZES-A Colloquium, Mannheim

Changes in Trust - Switzerland

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Changes in Trust – UK (BHPS)

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Changes in Trust – AU & NL

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Conclusions• The relationship between

participation and trust mainly reflects between-person variance.

• Within-person changes in trust are small and not systematically related to changes in participation.

• Prolonged participation seems to encourage trust but that change disappears over time.

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Remaining questions

• What makes people trusting of others? We still don’t know.

• There is a genetic basis for trust.• As social scientists we should ask: which

environmental influences change trust?• Experiences with strangers or friends? • Life events such as completing

education, marriage, victimization, divorce?

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How to get this published…

• At AJPS, you cannot suggest reviewers. • Editors and reviewers dislike

replications: ‘there is nothing new here’.

• Social Networks ‘liked the paper’ but did not want to publish because ‘it is not about social networks’.

• Political Psychology accepted the paper with minimal revisions.

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Reminder

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Implications

• The methods and data used here can be used to test other ‘benefits’ of civic engagement, such as higher subjective well being, better health, lower depression and mortality.

• These ‘benefits’ will be quantified in a new FP7 project called ‘ITSSOIN’.

• Does volunteering make you happy, bring you a job, increase networks?

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Further lessons

Learn.Be fair.

Replicate.Don’t give up.

Test adequately.Spread the word.

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Thanks, says

• René Bekkers, [email protected]• Blog: renebekkers.wordpress.com• Twitter: @renebekkers• ‘Giving in the Netherlands’, Center

for Philanthropic Studies, Faculty of Social Sciences, VU University Amsterdam: www.geveninnederland.nl

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