generation expansion planning

8/13/2019 Generation Expansion Planning

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M I D

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T E R M P R E SE N TAT IO N

ST U DY ON RE NE WA B L E E NE RGY

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INTEGRATED

GE NE RA T ION E XPA NSION PL A NNING

AKIF ZIA KHANSTUDENT ID:1114201007

SUPERVISOR : DR. SUN YING YUN

NORTH CHINA ELECTRIC POWER UNIVERSITY

BEIJING, CHINA


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BRIEF OVERVIEW

MODELLING AND CASE STUDY

TIME LINE

SIMULATION AND RESULTS


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A lot of work has been done to integrate larger amount of RESin grid but if only from the economical aspects, renewable

generation technology cannot compete with traditional

generating technology.

If other factors are considered in the planning process, such as

the impacts on the environment or social benefits, the results

would be different


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Approach of merging production (or generation) cost with

external cost into a total specific cost increases competitiveness of

non-fossil generation sources.

To see the economic, environmental and structural impacts of a

full internalisation of external costs in the electricity generation

sector.


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(SocialCosts)

(External

Costs)

(Private Costs or

Internal Costs)


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External cost values used in this study have been taken from the

outcomes of the European Commission (EC) Extern-E Project.

The methodology used for this project applies the impactpathway approach

The consecutive negative impacts (damage) are quantified using a

damage function.

Economic valuation of the damage is obtained by the

willingness-to-payof the affected individual to avoid a negative

impact resulting


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External cost per unit is taken from the Extern-E project and it is

calculated as a function of Power Generation from a power plant

Further the external cost is scaled based on the population

density in the region and carbon, sulphur content in coal.

Finally,


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MATHEMATICALMODELLING


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Chance ConstrainedModel

Genetic Algorithm LinearProgramming


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Set consisting of all the available technologiesr Discount Rateit Number OF Units required of type i in year

Cfi Capacity factor of unit it Average annual utilization hours


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PDt= the largest load in year t;

= the availability rate of the generation

unit at peak load

S.R = the spinning reserves ratio

requirement of system.

1, 2 = the pre-defined confidential level of

power constraints


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SIMUULATION,CODINGAND RESULTS


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Opti Toolbox

GA

LP

VS


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UNIT TYPE 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

WIND 400 500 500 600 700

PV 0 100 150 150 250

COAL 350 700 700 700 1000

UNIT TYPE 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

WIND 100 100 200 200 300

PV 0 0 50 100 100

COAL 1000 1000 1000 1000 1000


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CASE NAME Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year5

CASE 1(External Cost Considered)

Power Generation of Wind Power 400 500 500 600 700

Power Generation of Solar Power 0 100 150 150 250

Power Generation of Coal Power 350 700 700 700 1000

Capital investment cost 70,000 73,530 74,680 79,890 80,685

Operation cost 48,748 52,780 53,890 54,963 56,742

External Costs of Energy 13,375 26,750 26,750 26,750 40,125

Total Annual Costs 132,123 153,060 155,320 161,603 177,552

Total Cummulative Cost 145,498 285,183 440,503 602106 779658

CASE 2(External Cost Neglected)

Power Generation of Wind Power 100 100 200 200 300

Power Generation of Solar Power 0 0 50 100 100

Power Generation of Coal Power 1000 1000 1000 1000 1000Capital investment cost 72,000 72,000 74,450 75,000 76,500

Operation cost 45,500 45,500 47,000 47,500 48,000

Total Annual Costs 117,500 117,500 121,450 122,500 124,500

Total Cummulative Cost 117,500 235000 356450 478950 603450


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Progress Chart: Task Completed

Impending Task

75%:Literature Review

Data Gathering

Mathematical Modeling

Coding and Simulation

25%:

Paper Publication

Final Thesis Write up

July13-Sep13 Paper Submission

Oct13-Dec13 Thesis Submission


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RECOMMENDATIONSAND SUGGESTIONS


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