genworth mi canada inc. – first quarter 2013
TRANSCRIPT
First Quarter 2013 May 1, 2013
Genworth MI Canada Inc.
Q1 2013 May 1, 2013 Genworth MI Canada Inc. 2
Forward-‐looking and non-‐IFRS statements This presenta>on includes certain forward-‐looking statements. These forward-‐looking statements include, but are not limited to, statements with respect to the Company’s future opera>ng and financial results, expecta>ons regarding premiums wriIen, capital expenditure plans, dividend policy and the ability to execute on its future opera>ng, inves>ng and financial strategies, and other statements that are not historical facts. These forward-‐looking statements may be iden>fied by their use of words such as “may,” “would,” “could,” “will,” “expects,” “an>cipates,” “contemplates,” “intends,” “plans,” “believes,” “seeks,” “es>mates,” or words of similar meaning. These statements are based on the Company’s current assump>ons, including assump>ons regarding economic, global, poli>cal, business, compe>>ve, market and regulatory maIers. These forward-‐looking statements are inherently subject to significant risks, uncertain>es and changes in circumstances, many of which are beyond the control of the Company. The Company’s actual results may differ materially from those expressed or implied by such forward-‐looking statements, including as a result of changes in the facts underlying the Company’s assump>ons, and the other risks described in the Company’s Annual Informa>on Form dated March 29, 2013, its Short Form Base Shelf Prospectus dated May 31, 2012, the Prospectus Supplements thereto and all documents incorporated by reference in such documents. Other than as required by applicable laws, the Company undertakes no obliga>on to publicly update or revise any forward-‐looking statement, whether as a result of new informa>on, future developments or otherwise. To supplement its financial statements, the Company uses select non-‐IFRSs financial measures. Non-‐IFRSs measures used by the Company to analyze performance include underwri>ng ra>os such as loss ra>o, expense ra>o and combined ra>o, as well as other performance measures such as net opera>ng income and return on net opera>ng income. The Company believes that these non-‐IFRSs financial measures provide meaningful supplemental informa>on regarding its performance and may be useful to investors because they allow for greater transparency with respect to key metrics used by management in its financial and opera>onal decision making. Non-‐IFRSs measures do not have standardized meanings and are unlikely to be comparable to any similar measures presented by other companies. These measures are defined in the Company’s glossary, which is posted on the Company’s website at hIp://investor.genworthmicanada.ca. A reconcilia>on from non-‐IFRSs financial measures to the most readily comparable measures calculated in accordance with IFRSs can be found in the Company’s most recent financial statements, which are posted on the Company’s website and are also available at www.sedar.com.
Q1 2013 May 1, 2013 Genworth MI Canada Inc. 3
Solid Q1 2013 results across key metrics
Net opera>ng income $ 85 MM $76 MM Opera>ng Return on equity 12% 12% Opera>ng earnings per share (diluted) $0.86 $0.77
Q1 2013 Q1 2012
Book Value Per Share (diluted, including AOCI)
$27.31 $27.88$28.72
$30.62 $31.32
Q1 2012 Q2 2012 Q3 2012 Q4 2012 Q1 2013
15% YoY growth
Q1 2013 May 1, 2013 Genworth MI Canada Inc. 4
Consistent results
PrioriFes First Quarter 2013
Premiums wriIen $84 million of new premiums wriIen
Prudent risk management Loss ra>o of 31%
Investment pordolio return $5.3 billion investment pordolio Book yield of 3.7% as at March 31, 2013
Capital strength Minimum capital test of 216%
Dividends and return to shareholders
Quarterly dividend of $0.32 per common share Normal course issuer bid announced
Q1 2013 May 1, 2013 Genworth MI Canada Inc. 5
Posi>ve trends in delinquency rate
Mortgage insurance portfolio delinquency rate
Insurance in-‐force
March 31 2013
Dec 31 2012
Sept 30 2012
March 31 2013
Ontario 0.08% 0.09% 0.09% 46%
BC 0.20% 0.18% 0.18% 15%
Alberta 0.18% 0.22% 0.24% 16%
Quebec 0.19% 0.19% 0.20% 14%
Other 0.15% 0.14% 0.15% 9%
Canada 0.14% 0.14% 0.15% 100%
Q1 2013 May 1, 2013 Genworth MI Canada Inc. 6
Recent federal budget
ConsultaFons with government underway
No changes to high loan-‐to-‐value products
Proposal to limit use of pordolio insurance to gov’t sponsored securi>za>on programs
Proposal to prohibit use of insured mortgages in private securi>za>on programs
MIC insured mortgages eligible for gov’t sponsored securi>za>on programs
Majority of MIC insured mortgages currently securi>zed through these programs
March budget overview
Impact on MIC
Q1 2013 May 1, 2013 Genworth MI Canada Inc. 7
Canadian market outlook
Economy to grow modestly in 2013 … Second half stronger than first
Moderate income growth
Stable employment outlook
Housing market
Low rates and steady employment con>nues to support housing
Balanced market expected to keep prices rela>vely flat
Market adap>ng to lower more sustainable level of housing ac>vity
Borrower quality remains high
Macroeconomic environment
Q1 2013 May 1, 2013 Genworth MI Canada Inc. 8
Book value con>nues to grow
$ millions (except EPS) Q1 2013 Q4 2012 Q1 2012 Net premiums wriZen $84 $ 117 $79
Premiums earned 144 147 147
Losses on claims (44) (46) (56)
UnderwriFng income 74 73 65
Adjusted net investment income (excluding gains/losses)
45 46 43
Adjusted net operaFng income $85 $89 $76
Adjusted operaFng EPS (diluted) $0.86 $ 0.90 $0.77
Book value per share (diluted and including AOCI)
$31.32 $ 30.62 $27.31
Demonstrated track record of performance
Q1 2013 May 1, 2013 Genworth MI Canada Inc. 9
Core business outpaced market
69
121
160
99 71
9
11
10
3
3 3
47
11
17
11
Q1 2012 Q2 2012 Q3 2012 Q4 2012 Q1 2013
($millions)
Refinance
Gross PW 82 179 181 119 84
Risk premium (3) (2) (3) (2) -‐
Net PW $79 $176 $178 $117 $84
Purchase
Porcolio
3
Premiums wriZen
Q1‘12 Q2‘12 Q3‘12 Q4‘12 Q1‘13
$1.7 billion in unearned premiums
Lower housing ac>vity as housing market transi>ons to more sustainable level
Resale volumes down 15% year-‐over-‐year
Improved market penetra>on par>ally offset smaller higher loan-‐to-‐value market
Con>nued demand for pordolio insurance
(PW represents premiums wriIen)
Q1 2013 May 1, 2013 Genworth MI Canada Inc. 10
Solid underwri>ng performance
65 76 77 73 74
2625 26 28 26
56 48 4446 44
Q1'12 Q2'12 Q3'12 Q4'12 Q1'13
$147
UnderwriFng profit
$144 Premiums earned
UnderwriFng profit
Expenses
Losses on claims
$147
Loss ra>o 38% 32% 30% 31% 31%
Expense ra>o 18% 17% 18% 19% 18%
Combined raFo
56% 49% 48% 50% 49%
New reported delinquencies declined by 6% sequen>ally despite typical seasonal pressures
Q1 loss ra>o flat sequen>ally
Con>nued success with loss mi>ga>on programs
$148 $147
Consistent underwriFng profit
($millions)
Q1 2013 May 1, 2013 Genworth MI Canada Inc. 11
Cash5%
Federal35%
Provincial14%
Corporates 40%
Common Equity6%
Investment pordolio remains high quality
Balanced high quality pordolio • 49% federal & provincial bonds • 40% corporate bonds • 96% of bonds ‘A’ or higher
$324 million posi>ve mark-‐to-‐market Total
$5.3 billion
1Pre-‐tax equivalent book yield amer dividend gross-‐up of general pordolio (as at March 31, 2013)
$ Billion Porcolio
Assets (MV) $5.3
Pre-‐tax yield1 3.7 %
Dura>on 3.6 years
Q1 2013 May 1, 2013 Genworth MI Canada Inc. 12
Strong capital posi>on with flexibility
145% 145% 145%
185% 185%11% 17% 25%
25% 31%
156% 162%170%
210% 216%
2010 2011 2012 1-‐Jan-‐13 31-‐Mar-‐13
Minimum Capital Test RaFo
Buffer
Internal MCT raFo target
MCT raFo
Normal course issuer bid announced
Q1 2013 May 1, 2013 Genworth MI Canada Inc. 13
Disciplined execuFon
Proven business model
Solid financial foundaFon
Strategic priori>es remain the same!
Profitability remains a key focus
Q1 2013 May 1, 2013 Genworth MI Canada Inc. 14
Ques>on and Answer
SAMANTHA CHEUNG VP INVESTOR RELATIONS 905 287 5482 [email protected] www.genworth.ca
For further info: