genworth mi canada inc. – first quarter 2013

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Page 1: Genworth MI Canada Inc. – First Quarter 2013

First  Quarter  2013  May  1,  2013  

Genworth MI Canada Inc.

Page 2: Genworth MI Canada Inc. – First Quarter 2013

Q1 2013 May 1, 2013 Genworth MI Canada Inc. 2

Forward-­‐looking  and  non-­‐IFRS  statements  This  presenta>on  includes  certain  forward-­‐looking  statements.  These  forward-­‐looking  statements  include,  but  are  not  limited  to,  statements  with  respect  to  the  Company’s  future  opera>ng  and  financial  results,  expecta>ons  regarding  premiums  wriIen,  capital  expenditure  plans,  dividend  policy  and  the  ability  to  execute  on  its  future  opera>ng,  inves>ng  and  financial  strategies,  and  other  statements  that  are  not  historical  facts.  These  forward-­‐looking  statements  may  be  iden>fied  by  their  use  of  words  such  as  “may,”  “would,”  “could,”  “will,”  “expects,”  “an>cipates,”  “contemplates,”  “intends,”  “plans,”  “believes,”  “seeks,”  “es>mates,”  or  words  of  similar  meaning.  These  statements  are  based  on  the  Company’s  current  assump>ons,  including  assump>ons  regarding  economic,  global,  poli>cal,  business,  compe>>ve,  market  and  regulatory  maIers.  These  forward-­‐looking  statements  are  inherently  subject  to  significant  risks,  uncertain>es  and  changes  in  circumstances,  many  of  which  are  beyond  the  control  of  the  Company.  The  Company’s  actual  results  may  differ  materially  from  those  expressed  or  implied  by  such  forward-­‐looking  statements,  including  as  a  result  of  changes  in  the  facts  underlying  the  Company’s  assump>ons,  and  the  other  risks  described  in  the  Company’s  Annual  Informa>on  Form  dated  March  29,  2013,  its  Short  Form  Base  Shelf  Prospectus  dated  May  31,  2012,  the  Prospectus  Supplements  thereto  and  all  documents  incorporated  by  reference  in  such  documents.  Other  than  as  required  by  applicable  laws,  the  Company  undertakes  no  obliga>on  to  publicly  update  or  revise  any  forward-­‐looking  statement,  whether  as  a  result  of  new  informa>on,  future  developments  or  otherwise.      To  supplement  its  financial  statements,  the  Company  uses  select  non-­‐IFRSs  financial  measures.  Non-­‐IFRSs  measures  used  by  the  Company  to  analyze  performance  include  underwri>ng  ra>os  such  as  loss  ra>o,  expense  ra>o  and  combined  ra>o,  as  well  as  other  performance  measures  such  as  net  opera>ng  income  and  return  on  net  opera>ng  income.  The  Company  believes  that  these  non-­‐IFRSs  financial  measures  provide  meaningful  supplemental  informa>on  regarding  its  performance  and  may  be  useful  to  investors  because  they  allow  for  greater  transparency  with  respect  to  key  metrics  used  by  management  in  its  financial  and  opera>onal  decision  making.  Non-­‐IFRSs  measures  do  not  have  standardized  meanings  and  are  unlikely  to  be  comparable  to  any  similar  measures  presented  by  other  companies.  These  measures  are  defined  in  the  Company’s  glossary,  which  is  posted  on  the  Company’s  website  at  hIp://investor.genworthmicanada.ca.  A  reconcilia>on  from  non-­‐IFRSs  financial  measures  to  the  most  readily  comparable  measures  calculated  in  accordance  with  IFRSs  can  be  found  in  the  Company’s  most  recent  financial  statements,  which  are  posted  on  the  Company’s  website  and  are  also  available  at  www.sedar.com.      

Page 3: Genworth MI Canada Inc. – First Quarter 2013

Q1 2013 May 1, 2013 Genworth MI Canada Inc. 3

Solid  Q1  2013  results  across  key  metrics  

Net  opera>ng  income   $  85  MM   $76  MM  Opera>ng  Return  on  equity   12%   12%  Opera>ng  earnings  per  share  (diluted)   $0.86     $0.77  

Q1  2013   Q1  2012  

Book  Value  Per  Share  (diluted,  including  AOCI)  

$27.31 $27.88$28.72

$30.62 $31.32

Q1  2012 Q2  2012 Q3  2012 Q4  2012 Q1  2013

15%  YoY  growth  

Page 4: Genworth MI Canada Inc. – First Quarter 2013

Q1 2013 May 1, 2013 Genworth MI Canada Inc. 4

Consistent  results  

PrioriFes   First  Quarter  2013  

  Premiums    wriIen   $84  million  of  new  premiums  wriIen  

  Prudent  risk  management   Loss  ra>o  of  31%  

  Investment  pordolio  return   $5.3  billion  investment  pordolio  Book  yield  of  3.7%  as  at  March  31,  2013  

  Capital  strength   Minimum  capital  test  of  216%  

   

Dividends  and  return  to  shareholders  

Quarterly  dividend  of  $0.32  per  common  share  Normal  course  issuer  bid  announced  

Page 5: Genworth MI Canada Inc. – First Quarter 2013

Q1 2013 May 1, 2013 Genworth MI Canada Inc. 5

Posi>ve  trends  in  delinquency  rate  

Mortgage insurance portfolio delinquency rate

Insurance  in-­‐force  

March  31    2013  

Dec  31    2012  

Sept  30    2012  

March  31    2013  

Ontario   0.08%   0.09%   0.09%   46%  

BC   0.20%   0.18%   0.18%   15%  

Alberta   0.18%   0.22%   0.24%   16%  

Quebec   0.19%   0.19%   0.20%   14%  

Other   0.15%   0.14%   0.15%   9%  

Canada   0.14%   0.14%   0.15%   100%  

Page 6: Genworth MI Canada Inc. – First Quarter 2013

Q1 2013 May 1, 2013 Genworth MI Canada Inc. 6

Recent  federal  budget  

 

ConsultaFons  with  government  underway  

 

  No  changes  to  high  loan-­‐to-­‐value  products  

  Proposal  to  limit  use  of  pordolio  insurance  to  gov’t  sponsored  securi>za>on  programs  

  Proposal  to  prohibit  use  of  insured  mortgages  in  private  securi>za>on  programs  

 

  MIC  insured  mortgages  eligible  for  gov’t  sponsored  securi>za>on  programs  

  Majority  of  MIC  insured  mortgages  currently  securi>zed  through  these  programs  

 

 

 

March  budget  overview  

Impact  on  MIC  

Page 7: Genworth MI Canada Inc. – First Quarter 2013

Q1 2013 May 1, 2013 Genworth MI Canada Inc. 7

Canadian  market  outlook  

  Economy  to  grow  modestly  in  2013  …  Second  half  stronger  than  first  

  Moderate  income  growth  

  Stable  employment  outlook  

Housing  market  

  Low  rates  and  steady  employment  con>nues  to  support  housing  

  Balanced  market  expected  to  keep  prices  rela>vely  flat  

  Market  adap>ng  to  lower  more  sustainable  level  of  housing  ac>vity  

  Borrower  quality  remains  high  

 

 

Macroeconomic  environment  

Page 8: Genworth MI Canada Inc. – First Quarter 2013

Q1 2013 May 1, 2013 Genworth MI Canada Inc. 8

Book  value  con>nues  to  grow  

$  millions  (except  EPS)   Q1    2013   Q4    2012   Q1    2012  Net  premiums  wriZen   $84   $  117   $79  

Premiums  earned   144   147   147  

Losses  on  claims   (44)   (46)   (56)  

UnderwriFng  income   74   73   65  

Adjusted  net  investment  income    (excluding  gains/losses)  

45   46   43  

Adjusted  net  operaFng  income   $85   $89   $76  

Adjusted  operaFng  EPS  (diluted)   $0.86   $  0.90   $0.77  

Book  value  per  share  (diluted  and  including  AOCI)  

$31.32   $  30.62   $27.31  

Demonstrated  track  record  of  performance  

Page 9: Genworth MI Canada Inc. – First Quarter 2013

Q1 2013 May 1, 2013 Genworth MI Canada Inc. 9

Core  business  outpaced  market  

 69    

 121    

 160    

 99      71    

 9    

 11    

 10    

 3    

 3      3    

 47    

 11    

 17    

 11    

Q1  2012  Q2  2012  Q3  2012  Q4  2012  Q1  2013  

($millions)  

Refinance  

Gross    PW   82   179   181   119   84  

Risk  premium   (3)   (2)   (3)   (2)   -­‐  

Net    PW   $79   $176   $178   $117   $84  

Purchase  

Porcolio  

3  

Premiums  wriZen  

Q1‘12   Q2‘12   Q3‘12   Q4‘12   Q1‘13  

$1.7  billion  in  unearned  premiums  

  Lower  housing  ac>vity  as  housing  market  transi>ons  to  more  sustainable  level  

   Resale  volumes  down  15%  year-­‐over-­‐year  

  Improved  market  penetra>on  par>ally  offset  smaller  higher  loan-­‐to-­‐value  market  

   Con>nued  demand  for  pordolio  insurance    

 (PW  represents  premiums  wriIen)  

Page 10: Genworth MI Canada Inc. – First Quarter 2013

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Solid  underwri>ng  performance  

65 76 77 73 74

2625 26 28 26

56 48 4446 44

Q1'12 Q2'12 Q3'12 Q4'12 Q1'13

$147  

UnderwriFng  profit  

$144  Premiums  earned  

UnderwriFng  profit  

Expenses  

Losses  on  claims  

$147  

Loss  ra>o   38%   32%   30%   31%   31%  

Expense    ra>o   18%   17%   18%   19%   18%  

Combined  raFo  

56%   49%   48%   50%   49%  

  New  reported  delinquencies  declined  by  6%  sequen>ally  despite  typical  seasonal  pressures  

 

  Q1  loss  ra>o  flat  sequen>ally    

  Con>nued  success  with  loss  mi>ga>on  programs  

$148   $147  

Consistent  underwriFng  profit  

($millions)  

Page 11: Genworth MI Canada Inc. – First Quarter 2013

Q1 2013 May 1, 2013 Genworth MI Canada Inc. 11

Cash5%

Federal35%

Provincial14%

Corporates 40%

Common Equity6%

Investment  pordolio  remains  high  quality  

  Balanced    high  quality  pordolio  •  49%  federal  &  provincial  bonds  •  40%  corporate  bonds  •  96%    of  bonds  ‘A’  or  higher  

  $324  million  posi>ve  mark-­‐to-­‐market    Total      

$5.3  billion  

1Pre-­‐tax  equivalent  book  yield  amer  dividend  gross-­‐up  of  general  pordolio  (as  at  March  31,  2013)  

$  Billion   Porcolio  

Assets  (MV)                     $5.3  

Pre-­‐tax  yield1   3.7  %  

Dura>on   3.6  years  

Page 12: Genworth MI Canada Inc. – First Quarter 2013

Q1 2013 May 1, 2013 Genworth MI Canada Inc. 12

Strong  capital  posi>on  with  flexibility  

145% 145% 145%

185% 185%11% 17% 25%

25% 31%

156% 162%170%

210% 216%

2010 2011 2012 1-­‐Jan-­‐13 31-­‐Mar-­‐13

Minimum  Capital  Test  RaFo  

Buffer    

Internal  MCT  raFo  target  

MCT  raFo  

Normal  course  issuer  bid  announced  

Page 13: Genworth MI Canada Inc. – First Quarter 2013

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Disciplined  execuFon  

Proven  business  model  

Solid  financial  foundaFon    

Strategic  priori>es  remain  the  same!

Profitability  remains  a  key  focus  

Page 14: Genworth MI Canada Inc. – First Quarter 2013

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Ques>on  and  Answer  

SAMANTHA  CHEUNG    VP  INVESTOR  RELATIONS    905  287  5482  [email protected]    www.genworth.ca  

For  further  info: