genworth slides q4_2013_final

13
Fourth Quarter 2013 February 5, 2014 Genworth MI Canada Inc.

Upload: genworthfinancial

Post on 27-Jan-2015

104 views

Category:

Economy & Finance


2 download

DESCRIPTION

 

TRANSCRIPT

Page 1: Genworth slides q4_2013_final

Fourth Quarter 2013February 5, 2014

Genworth MI Canada Inc.

Page 2: Genworth slides q4_2013_final

Q4 2013 February 5, 2014Genworth MI Canada Inc. 2

Forward-looking and non-IFRS statements

This presentation includes certain forward-looking statements. These forward-looking statements include, but are not limited to, statements with respect to the Company’s future operating and financial results, expectations regarding premiums written, capital expenditure plans, dividend policy and the ability to execute on its future operating, investing and financial strategies, and other statements that are not historical facts. These forward-looking statements may be identified by their use of words such as “may,” “would,” “could,” “will,” “expects,” “anticipates,” “contemplates,” “intends,” “plans,” “believes,” “seeks,” “estimates,” or words of similar meaning. These statements are based on the Company’s current assumptions, including assumptions regarding economic, global, political, business, competitive, market and regulatory matters. These forward-looking statements are inherently subject to significant risks, uncertainties and changes in circumstances, many of which are beyond the control of the Company. The Company’s actual results may differ materially from those expressed or implied by such forward-looking statements, including as a result of changes in the facts underlying the Company’s assumptions, and the other risks described in the Company’s Annual Information Form dated March 29, 2013, its Short Form Base Shelf Prospectus dated May 31, 2012, the Prospectus Supplements thereto and all documents incorporated by reference in such documents. Other than as required by applicable laws, the Company undertakes no obligation to publicly update or revise any forward-looking statement, whether as a result of new information, future developments or otherwise.

To supplement its financial statements, the Company uses select non-IFRS financial measures. Non-IFRS measures used by the Company to analyze performance include underwriting ratios such as loss ratio, expense ratio and combined ratio, as well as other performance measures such as net operating income and return on net operating income. The Company believes that these non-IFRS financial measures provide meaningful supplemental information regarding its performance and may be useful to investors because they allow for greater transparency with respect to key metrics used by management in its financial and operational decision making. Non-IFRS measures do not have standardized meanings and are unlikely to be comparable to any similar measures presented by other companies. These measures are defined in the Company’s glossary, which is posted on the Company’s website at http://investor.genworthmicanada.ca. A reconciliation from non-IFRS financial measures to the most readily comparable measures calculated in accordance with IFRS can be found in the Company’s most recent financial statements, which are posted on the Company’s website and are also available at www.sedar.com.

Page 3: Genworth slides q4_2013_final

Q4 2013 February 5, 2014Genworth MI Canada Inc. 3

2013 Financial highlights

2013 Y/Y1

Net Operating Income $349 million +3%

Operating ROE 12% (1pt)

Operating EPS (diluted) $3.60 +5%

MCT 222% +12 pts (from Jan 1/13)

Book Value Per Share (diluted, including AOCI)

$30.62$31.32 $30.94

$31.82$32.53

Q4 2012 Q1 2013 Q2 2013 Q3 2013 Q4 2013

Key messages: Solid earnings performance and Y/Y book

value growth of 6% Low loss ratio driven by strong portfolio

quality and favourable economic conditions Steady investment income Strong capital position - 2013 actions

include share buy back and increased Q4 dividends

Operating EPS (diluted)

$0.90$0.86

$0.89$0.94

$0.90

Q4 2012 Q1 2013 Q2 2013 Q3 2013 Q4 20131. YoY comparison is to the adjusted net operating income and operating EPS (diluted) which exclude the impact of the government guarantee fund exit fee reversal of $123 million after taxes.2. Operating EPS (diluted) in the fourth quarter excludes the favourable impact of the government guarantee fund exit fee reversal of $137 million after taxes.

2

Page 4: Genworth slides q4_2013_final

Q4 2013 February 5, 2014Genworth MI Canada Inc. 4

Market influencers Dynamics

Housing Market: Balanced supply and demand Resale volumes and home prices up

modestly

Macro-environment: Unemployment stable around 7% Modest increase in GDP Relatively flat rates expected

Business implications

Premiums Written: Flat to modest premium growth Credit quality expected to remain high

Losses on Claims: Losses should continue to perform well

with loss ratios within a 25-35% range

Investment Income: Stable investment yield

Stable housing market in 2014

Page 5: Genworth slides q4_2013_final

Q4 2013 February 5, 2014Genworth MI Canada Inc. 5

Insurance portfolio strength

08 09 10 11 12 13

720 726 727 727 730 733

08 09 10 11 12 13

256 266 284 296 301 302

($000’s)

08 09 10 11 12 13

2322

2425

2423

(%)

Credit score

Contributing to lower losses on claims

Home price

Gross debt

Key highlights:

High quality insurance written in 2013 Average credit score remains strong – up 13

pts since 2008 Average home price relatively stable – up an

average of 3% per year since 2008 Average gross debt ratios well below industry

standard

Page 6: Genworth slides q4_2013_final

Q4 2013 February 5, 2014Genworth MI Canada Inc. 6

Q4'12 Q1'13 Q2'13 Q3'13 Q4'13

619 533 453 461 517

342337

318 311 295

437337

301 284 284

515507

451 463 482

240249

255 259 252

Number of Reported Delinquencies

Delinquency trends

15% Decline YoY

Ontario

BC

Alberta

Quebec

Other

Key highlights:

Modest increase in Q4 due to typical seasonality

Decrease in delinquencies driven by stable employment and improving housing markets

Declining YoY trend in most regions Alberta down 35% YoY Quebec continues to be a watch area

21531963

1778 1778 1830

Page 7: Genworth slides q4_2013_final

Q4 2013 February 5, 2014Genworth MI Canada Inc. 7

Q4 2013 Financial highlights

$MM except EPS and BVPS Q4’13 Q3’13 Q4’12Net premiums written $129 $161 $117Net premiums earned 142 143 147Losses on claims 31 32 46

Expenses 33 27 28Underwriting income 78 84 73Net investment income(Excl. realized gains / losses)

44 51 471

Net Operating Income1 $85 $91 $89Operating EPS1 $0.90 $0.94 $0.90Book value per share $32.53 $31.82 $30.62

Key messages:

Strong business execution contributing to solid profitability and BVPS growth Lower premiums written reflect

typical seasonality Loss ratio of 22% flat QoQ Increase in expenses related to

impact of higher share price on share-based compensation

1. Net Investment Income, net operating income and operating EPS (diluted) in the fourth quarter of 2012 excludes the one-time favourable impact of the government guarantee fund exit fee reversal of $186 million or $137 million after taxes.

Strong execution contributing to solid profitability and BVPS growth

Page 8: Genworth slides q4_2013_final

Q4 2013 February 5, 2014Genworth MI Canada Inc. 8

Top line impacted by seasonality

Q4'12 Q1'13 Q2'13 Q3'13 Q4'13

102 74

111

144 119

17

11

26

18

11

($millions)

Flow

Portfolio

Premiums Written

$1.7 billion in unearned premiums

Key highlights:High loan-to-value: $119 MM in Q4 17 % lower QoQ consistent with seasonality 16% increase YoY reflects normalization of market

size resulting from prior product change impact

Portfolio: $11 MM in Q4, lower by 39% QoQ Continue to capitalize on market opportunities Monitoring developments on proposed portfolio

insurance restrictions

$119

$84

$137

$161

$129

Page 9: Genworth slides q4_2013_final

Q4 2013 February 5, 2014Genworth MI Canada Inc. 9

73 74 82 84 78

28 26 26 27 33

46 44 35 32 31

Q4'12 Q1'13 Q2'13 Q3'13 Q4'13

Profitability driven by low losses

Underwriting profitability

Underwriting profit

Expenses

Losses on claims

Loss ratio 31% 31% 25% 22% 22%

Expense ratio 19% 18% 18% 19% 23%

Combined ratio 50% 49% 43% 41% 45%

($millions)Key highlights: Premiums earned primarily driven by average

size of recent books Low loss ratio of 22% in Q4 and 25% for 2013 Expense ratio of 23% in Q4 ... expected to trend

back to 19 to 20% range in 2014

Favourable economic conditions contributing to solid results

Premiums earned $147 $144 $143 $143 $142

Page 10: Genworth slides q4_2013_final

Q4 2013 February 5, 2014Genworth MI Canada Inc. 10

Cash4%

Federal35%

Provincial16%

Corporates 42%

Common Equity3%

Investments contribute steady income

Total $5.4 billion

1. Pre-tax equivalent book yield after dividend gross-up of general portfolio (as at December 31, 2013)

Portfolio

Assets (market value)

$5.4 billion

Pre-tax yield1 3.7 %

Duration 3.7 years

Key highlights: High quality mandate continues to drive

investment decisions Reduced equities by $35 million and realized

$8 million gain in Q4 Near term reinvestment pressure due to low

yields, but well-positioned for future

Page 11: Genworth slides q4_2013_final

Q4 2013 February 5, 2014Genworth MI Canada Inc. 11

Strong capital position

185% 185% 185% 185% 185%

25% 31% 31% 33% 35%

210%216% 216% 218% 222%

Jan. 1 2013 Q1'13 Q2'13 Q3'13 Q4'13

Minimum Capital Test Ratio (MCT)

Internal MCT targetBuffer

Key highlights: Successful actions taken to balance capital

strength and efficiency • MCT up 4 points QoQ• $105 MM share buyback in 2013• 9% ordinary dividend increase in Q4’13• Holding company cash of $85 MM

Well-positioned in 2014 for capital strength and flexibility

Page 12: Genworth slides q4_2013_final

Q4 2013 February 5, 2014Genworth MI Canada Inc. 12

Strategic priorities

Maintain disciplined underwriting and insurance portfolio quality strength

Capitalize on sales momentum

Enhance customer experience through innovation

Ongoing focus on balancing capital strength with efficiency

Continue to help shape regulatory environment

Invest in our people

Driving shareholder value

Page 13: Genworth slides q4_2013_final

Q4 2013 February 5, 2014Genworth MI Canada Inc. 13

Question and Answer

SAMANTHA CHEUNG VP INVESTOR RELATIONS 905 287 [email protected]

www.genworth.ca

Contact: