george mason university foundation - politics & global warming · 2018-08-01 · politics &...

politics &

global warming

March 2018

Politics&GlobalWarming,March2018 1

TableofContentsIntroduction....................................................................................................................................................................2ReadingNotes.................................................................................................................................................................3ExecutiveSummary.....................................................................................................................................................41.ThePoliticsofGlobalWarmingBeliefs........................................................................................................72.ShouldtheUnitedStatesActonGlobalWarming?..............................................................................103.WhoisResponsibleforActiononGlobalWarming?...........................................................................124.SupportforPoliciestoAddressthePollutionthatCausesGlobalWarming............................145.GlobalWarmingasaVotingIssue................................................................................................................226.IndividualandCollectiveActiontoReduceGlobalWarming..........................................................23AppendixI:DataTables..........................................................................................................................................26AppendixII:SurveyMethod.................................................................................................................................62AppendixIII:SampleDemographics................................................................................................................64


IntroductionThisreportisbasedonfindingsfromanationallyrepresentativesurvey–ClimateChangeintheAmericanMind–conductedbytheYaleProgramonClimateChangeCommunication(climatecommunication.yale.edu)andtheGeorgeMasonUniversityCenterforClimateChangeCommunication(climatechangecommunication.org).Interviewdates:March7–24,2018.Interviews:1,278Adults(18+),1,067ofwhomareregisteredtovote.Averagemarginoferrorforboththefullsampleandregisteredvotersubset:+/-3percentagepointsatthe95%confidencelevel.Theresearchwasfundedbythe11thHourProject,theEndeavorFoundation,theEnergyFoundation,theGranthamFoundation,andtheMacArthurFoundation.PrincipalInvestigators:AnthonyLeiserowitz,PhD YaleProgramonClimateChangeCommunicationanthony.leiserowitz@yale.eduEdwardMaibach,MPH,PhD GeorgeMasonUniversityCenterforClimateChangeCommunicationemaibach@gmu.edu ConnieRoser-Renouf,PhD GeorgeMasonUniversityCenterforClimateChangeCommunicationcroserre@gmu.eduSethRosenthal,PhD YaleProgramonClimateChangeCommunicationseth.rosenthal@yale.eduMatthewCutler,PhD YaleProgramonClimateChangeCommunicationmatthew.cutler@yale.eduJohnKotcher,PhD GeorgeMasonUniversityCenterforClimateChangeCommunicationjkotcher@gmu.eduCiteas:Leiserowitz,A.,Maibach,E.,Roser-Renouf,C.,Rosenthal,S.,Cutler,M.,&Kotcher,J.(2018).Politics&GlobalWarming,March2018.YaleUniversityandGeorgeMasonUniversity.NewHaven,CT:YaleProgramonClimateChangeCommunication.

http://climatecommunication.yale.edu

http://climatecommunication.yale.edu

https://www.climatechangecommunication.org

https://www.climatechangecommunication.org


Readingnotes• Thisreportincludesonlyregisteredvoters.

• ReferencestoRepublicansandDemocratsthroughoutincluderespondentswhoinitially

identifyaseitheraRepublicanorDemocrat,aswellasthosewhodonotinitiallyidentifyasRepublicansorDemocratsbutwhosaythey"arecloserto"onepartyortheother(i.e.,"leaners")inafollow-upquestion.Thecategory"Independents"doesnotincludeanyofthese"leaners."

• Inalltablesandcharts,basesspecifiedareunweighted,butpercentagesareweighted.• Weightedpercentagesamongregisteredvotersofeachofthegroupsdiscussedinthisreport:

Ø Democrats(total)includingleaners:47%o LiberalDemocrats:26%o Moderate/ConservativeDemocrats:20%

§ (ModerateDemocrats:17%;ConservativeDemocrats:3%)Ø Independentsexcludingleaners:10%Ø Republicans(total)includingleaners:38%

o Liberal/ModerateRepublicans:14%§ (LiberalRepublicans:2%;ModerateRepublicans:12%)

o ConservativeRepublicans:23%Ø Noparty/Notinterestedinpolitics/Refused:6%(includedinresultsreportedfor"All

RegisteredVoters"only)• Intheappendixtables,notethat:--=0;*=>0but<0.5.• Fortabulationpurposes,percentagepointsareroundedofftothenearestwholenumber.Asa

result,percentagesinagivenchartmaytotalslightlyhigherorlowerthan100%.Summedresponsecategories(e.g.,"stronglysupport"+"somewhatsupport")areroundedaftersumsarecalculated(e.g.,1.3%+1.3%=2.6%,which,afterrounding=3%).


ExecutiveSummaryDrawingonanationallyrepresentativesurvey(n=1,278;including1,067registeredvoters),thisreportdescribeshowDemocratic,Independent,andRepublicanregisteredvotersviewglobalwarming,climatechangeandenergypolicies,andpersonalandcollectiveaction.Amongotherimportantfindings,thissurveydocumentsanincreaseinRepublicanunderstandingoftherealityofhuman-causedglobalwarming,worryaboutthethreat,andsupportforseveralclimatepoliciesoverthepast6months.

GlobalWarmingBeliefsandAttitudes

• Mostregisteredvoters(73%)thinkglobalwarmingishappening,including95%ofliberalDemocrats,88%ofmoderate/conservativeDemocratsand68%ofliberal/moderateRepublicans,butonly40%ofconservativeRepublicans.

• Amajorityofregisteredvoters(59%)thinkglobalwarmingiscausedmostlybyhumanactivities,including84%ofliberalDemocrats,70%ofmoderate/conservativeDemocrats,and55%ofliberal/moderateRepublicans(14percentagepointshigherthaninOctober2017),butonly26%ofconservativeRepublicans.

• Amajorityofregisteredvoters(63%)areworriedaboutglobalwarming,including88%ofliberalDemocrats,76%ofmoderate/conservativeDemocrats,and58%ofliberal/moderateRepublicans,butonly30%ofconservativeRepublicans.Worryaboutglobalwarminghasincreasedamongliberal/moderateRepublicansby15percentagepointssinceMay2017andbysevenpointsamongconservativeRepublicanssinceOctober2017.

GlobalWarmingandEnergyPolicies

Largemajoritiesofregisteredvotersacrossthepoliticalspectrumsupportarangeofpoliciesthatpromotecleanenergyandreducecarbonpollutionanddependenceonfossilfuels.Theseinclude:

• Fundingmoreresearchintorenewableenergysourcessuchassolarandwindpower(87%ofregisteredvoters,94%ofDemocrats,83%ofIndependents,and79%ofRepublicans).

• GeneratingrenewableenergyonpubliclandintheUnitedStates(86%ofregisteredvoters,91%ofDemocrats,82%ofIndependents,and81%ofRepublicans).

• Providingtaxrebatestopeoplewhopurchaseenergy-efficientvehiclesorsolarpanels(85%ofregisteredvoters,91%ofDemocrats,82%ofIndependents,and77%ofRepublicans).

• Regulatingcarbondioxideasapollutant(81%ofregisteredvoters,91%ofDemocrats,80%ofIndependents,and69%ofRepublicans).

• Settingstrictcarbondioxideemissionlimitsonexistingcoal-firedpowerplantstoreduceglobalwarmingandimprovepublichealth,evenifthecostofelectricitytoconsumersandcompanieswouldlikelyincrease(73%ofregisteredvoters,87%ofDemocrats,70%ofIndependents,and56%ofRepublicans,aninepercentage-pointincreasesinceOctober2017).

• Requiringfossilfuelcompaniestopayacarbontaxandusingthemoneytoreduceothertaxes(suchasincometax)byanequalamount(71%ofregisteredvoters,84%ofDemocrats,68%of


Independents,and56%ofRepublicans,asevenpercentage-pointincreasesinceOctober2017).

• Threeinfourregisteredvoters(77%)supportcontinuedU.S.participationintheParisClimateAgreement,includingalmostallDemocrats(92%),threeinfourIndependents(75%),andamajorityofRepublicans(60%).

• Amajorityofregisteredvoters(66%)opposePresidentTrump'sdecisiontopulloutoftheParisClimateAgreement,including91%ofDemocratsand63%ofIndependents,butonly36%ofRepublicans.

• Amajorityofregisteredvoters(59%)thinkprotectingtheenvironmentimproveseconomicgrowthandprovidesnewjobs.Anadditional21%thinkprotectingtheenvironmenthasnoeffectoneconomicgrowthorjobs.Bycontrast,only18%thinkprotectingtheenvironmentreducesgrowthandcostsjobs.ConservativeRepublicansaretheonlypoliticalgroupmorelikelytothinkprotectingtheenvironmentreducesgrowthandjobs(39%)versusimprovesit(32%).

• Whenthereisaconflictbetweenenvironmentalprotectionandeconomicgrowth,71%ofregisteredvotersthinkenvironmentalprotectionismoreimportant,including85%ofDemocrats,threeinfourIndependents(75%),andmorethanhalfofRepublicans(52%).

• Alargemajorityofregisteredvoters(81%,including94%ofDemocrats,81%ofIndependents,and65%ofRepublicans)saythatschoolsshouldteachchildrenaboutthecauses,consequences,andpotentialsolutionstoglobalwarming.

• SolidmajoritiesofDemocrats,Independents,andRepublicanssaytheUnitedStatesshouldusemoresolarenergy(80%ofregisteredvoters,84%ofDemocrats,80%ofIndependents,and75%ofRepublicans)andwindenergy(73%ofregisteredvoters,82%ofDemocrats,75%ofIndependents,and62%ofRepublicans).

• OnlyaboutoneintenregisteredvotersthinktheUnitedStatesshouldusemorecoal(12%ofregisteredvoters;6%ofDemocrats,14%ofIndependents,and18%ofRepublicans)andoil(11%ofregisteredvoters;7%ofDemocrats,and16%ofbothIndependentsandRepublicans).SlightlymorethanoneinthreethinktheUnitedStatesshouldusemorenaturalgas(36%ofregisteredvoters;31%ofDemocrats,39%ofIndependents,and42%ofRepublicans),andaboutoneinfour(23%)thinktheUnitedStatesshouldusemorenuclearenergy(19%ofDemocrats,36%ofIndependents,and26%ofRepublicans).

• AbouthalfofregisteredvoterssupportexpandingdrillingforoilandnaturalgasofftheU.S.coast(49%ofregisteredvoters,31%ofDemocrats,43%ofIndependents,and73%ofRepublicans).

• Forty-fivepercentofregisteredvoterssupportdrillingandminingforcoal,oil,andnaturalgasonpubliclandintheUnitedStates(27%ofDemocrats,35%ofIndependents,and69%ofRepublicans).

• OnlyoneinthreeregisteredvoterssupportdrillingforoilinAlaska'sArcticNationalWildlifeRefuge(32%ofregisteredvoters,15%ofDemocrats,28%ofIndependents,and52%ofRepublicans).


GlobalWarmingasaVotingIssue

• Nearlyfourintenregisteredvoters(38%)sayacandidates'positionglobalwarmingwillbeveryimportantwhentheydecidewhotheywillvoteforinthe2018Congressionalelection.

• Of28issuesaskedabout,globalwarmingwasrankedthe15thmostimportantvotingissueamongallregisteredvoters.However,itwasthefourthmostimportantissueforliberalDemocrats.

ActingonGlobalWarming

• Acrosspartylines,amajorityofregisteredvoterssaycorporationsandindustryshoulddomoretoaddressglobalwarming(70%ofregisteredvoters;84%ofDemocrats,70%ofIndependents,and55%ofRepublicans).

• Atleasthalfofregisteredvoters–includingDemocrats,Independents,andliberal/moderateRepublicans,butnotconservativeRepublicans–thinkcitizens,theU.S.Congress,PresidentTrump,theirownmemberofCongress,and/ortheirlocalgovernmentofficialsshoulddomoretoaddressglobalwarming.HalformoreDemocratsandIndependentsthinktheirgovernorand/orthemediashoulddomore.

• Amajorityofregisteredvoters(54%)thinkglobalwarmingshouldbeahighorveryhighpriorityforthepresidentandCongress,includingamajorityofDemocrats(78%)andIndependents(58%),butfewerRepublicans(25%).

• Astrongmajorityofregisteredvoters(70%)thinktheUnitedStatesshouldreduceitsgreenhousegasemissions,regardlessofwhatothercountriesdo.MajoritiesofliberalDemocrats(91%),moderate/conservativeDemocrats(77%),andliberal/moderateRepublicans(63%)takethisposition,aswellas46%ofconservativeRepublicans.

IndividualandCollectiveAction

• Atotalofoneinthreeregisteredvoters(34%)areeitherparticipating(3%),orwoulddefinitely(10%)orprobably(22%)participate,inacampaigntoconvinceelectedofficialstotakeactiontoreduceglobalwarming(51%ofDemocrats,31%ofIndependents,butonly15%ofRepublicans).

• However,fewerthanhalfofthatnumber(13%)saytheyhaveactuallycontactedanelectedofficialduringthepast12monthstourgethemtotakeactiontoreduceglobalwarming,includingoneinfiveliberalDemocrats(21%).

• Amajorityofregisteredvoters(54%)wouldvoteforacandidateforpublicofficebecauseoftheirpositiononglobalwarming(72%ofDemocrats,42%ofIndependents,and36%ofRepublicans).

• Aboutonethirdofregisteredvoterssaythat,ifaskedbysomeonetheylikeandrespect,theywoulddonatemoneytoanorganizationworkingonglobalwarming(37%),contactagovernmentofficialaboutglobalwarming(35%),volunteerforanorganizationworkingonglobalwarming(33%),and/ormeetwithanelectedofficialortheirstaffaboutglobalwarming(32%).


1.ThePoliticsofGlobalWarmingBeliefs1.1.Mostregisteredvotersthinkglobalwarmingishappening.Nearlythreeinfourregisteredvoters(73%)thinkglobalwarmingishappening.ThisincludesnearlyallliberalDemocrats(95%),aboutnineintenmoderate/conservativeDemocrats(88%),andamajorityofliberal/moderateRepublicans(68%,fivepercentagepointshigherthaninOctober2017;seeTable,pp.26–27).Incontrast,fewerthanhalfofconservativeRepublicans(40%)thinkglobalwarmingishappening.

Do you think global warming is happening? [% responding “yes”]March 2018. Base: Registered American Voters.

Most Registered Voters

Think Global Warming Is Happening

71% 73%

91%95%

81%88%

62%68%

50%

40%

0%

25%

50%

75%

100%

11/08 1/10 6/10 5/11 11/11 3/12 9/12 4/13 11/13 4/14 10/14 3/15 10/15 3/16 11/16 5/17 10/17 3/18

All Reg Voters Lib Ds Mod/Con Ds Lib/Mod Rs Con Rs


1.2.Amajorityofregisteredvotersthinkglobalwarmingiscausedbyhumanactivities.Aboutsixintenregisteredvoters(59%)thinkglobalwarmingiscausedmostlybyhumanactivities,thehighestpercentagesinceoursurveysbeganin2008andfivepercentagepointshigherthaninOctober2017(seeTable,pp.28-31).ThisincludesalargemajorityofliberalDemocrats(84%).Sevenintenmoderate/conservativeDemocrats(70%)alsothinkglobalwarmingismostlyhuman-caused.Morethanhalfofliberal/moderateRepublicans(55%)thinkglobalwarmingiscausedmostlybyhumanactivities,anincreaseof14percentagepointssinceOctober2017.OnlyoneinfourconservativeRepublicans(26%)thinkglobalwarmingismostlyhuman-caused,butthatisafive-pointincreasesinceOctober2017.

Assuming global warming is happening, do you think it is…? (a) caused mostly by human activities; (b) caused mostly by

natural changes in the environment; (c) Other (please specify); (d) None of the above because global warming isn’t

happening. [% responding “caused mostly by human activities”]

March 2018. Base: Registered American Voters.

A Majority of Registered Voters Think

Global Warming Is Caused Mostly By Human Activities

55%

59%

78%

84%

64%

70%

52%55%

28%26%

0%

25%

50%

75%

100%

11/08 1/10 6/10 5/11 11/11 3/12 9/12 4/13 11/13 4/14 10/14 3/15 10/15 3/16 11/16 5/17 10/17 3/18



1.3.Amajorityofregisteredvotersareworriedaboutglobalwarming.Amajorityofregisteredvoters(63%)are"very"or"somewhat"worriedaboutglobalwarming.ThisincludeslargemajoritiesofliberalDemocrats(88%,adecreaseofsixpercentagepointssinceOctober2017;seeTablepp.32-33)andmoderate/conservativeDemocrats(76%,afour-pointdecrease).Morethanhalfofliberal/moderateRepublicans(58%)areworriedaboutglobalwarming(anincreaseofthreepercentagepointssinceOctober2017and15percentagepointssinceMay2017).OnlythreeintenconservativeRepublicans(30%)areworriedaboutglobalwarming,butthatissevenpercentagepointshigherthaninourprevioussurveyinOctober2017.

How worried are you about global warming?


A Majority of Registered Voters AreWorried About Global Warming

- % who say “very” or “somewhat” worried -

62%63%

82%

88%

74%76%

61%58%

31%30%

0%

25%

50%

75%

100%

11/08 1/10 6/10 5/11 11/11 3/12 9/12 4/13 11/13 4/14 10/14 3/15 10/15 3/16 11/16 5/17 10/17 3/18



2.ShouldtheUnitedStatesActonGlobalWarming?2.1.MostregisteredvoterssaytheUnitedStatesshouldreducegreenhousegasemissions,regardlessofwhatothercountriesdo.

MostregisteredvotersthinktheUnitedStatesshouldreduceitsgreenhousegasemissions,regardlessofwhatothercountriesdo(70%).MajoritiesofliberalDemocrats(91%),moderate/conservativeDemocrats(77%),andliberal/moderateRepublicans(63%)takethisposition,asdo46%ofconservativeRepublicans.Only4%ofregisteredvoters(includingnoDemocrats,but5%ofIndependentsand8%ofRepublicans)saytheUnitedStatesshouldnotreduceitsemissions(seeTable,p.34).

Most Registered Voters Say the U.S. Should Reduce Greenhouse

Gas Emissions Regardless of What Other Countries Do

The United States should reduce its greenhouse gas emissions…(a) regardless of what other counties do; (b) only if other industrialized countries reduce their emissions; (c) only if other industrialized and developing countries reduce their emissions; (d) The U.S. should not reduce its emissions; (e) don’t know.March 2018. Base: Registered American Voters.

70%

84%

67%

53%

91%

77%

63%

46%

0%

25%

50%

75%

100%

All RegVoters

(n=1,067)

Total Dem(n=472)

Ind(n=120)

Total Rep(n=430)

Lib D(n=265)

Mod/Con D(n=204)

Lib/Mod R(n=149)

Con R(n=276)

“The U.S. should reduce its greenhouse gas emissions…regardless of what other countries do”


2.2.BipartisansupportforU.S.participationintheParisClimateAgreement.InDecember2015,officialsfrom197countries(nearlyeverycountryintheworld)metinParisattheUnitedNationsClimateChangeConferenceandnegotiatedaglobalagreementtolimitglobalwarming.OnEarthDay,April2016,theUnitedStatesand174othercountriessignedtheagreement,withalloftheothercountriesfollowingsuitsincethen.OnJune12017,PresidentTrumpannouncedthattheUnitedStateswillwithdrawfromtheagreement.IndirectcontrasttoPresidentTrump'sdecision,morethanthreeinfourregisteredvoters(77%)supportU.S.participationintheParisClimateAgreement.Supportrangesacrossmostofthepoliticalspectrum,includingalargemajorityofDemocrats(92%,including95%ofliberalDemocrats),threeinfourIndependents(75%),andamajorityofRepublicans(60%,including51%ofconservativeRepublicans,anincreaseofeightpercentagepointssinceOctober2017,seeTables,pp.34-35).Similarly,twointhreeregisteredvoters(66%)opposePresidentTrump'sdecisiontopulloutoftheParisClimateAgreement,including91%ofDemocratsand63%ofIndependents,butonly36%ofRepublicans.

66%

77%

OPPOSE the U.S.'s

decision to pull out of

the Paris Climate

Agreement

SUPPORT the U.S.'s

participation in the Paris

Climate Agreement

Bipartisan Support For U.S.Participation in the Paris Climate Agreement

• In 2015, the U.S. signed an international agreement in Paris with 196 other countries to limit the pollution that cases global warming. Do you

strongly support, somewhat support, somewhat oppose, or strongly oppose the U.S.’s participation in the Paris agreement

• The U.S. is the world’s second largest emitter of the pollution that causes global warming. President Trump recently announced his decision to

pull out of the Paris Agreement, but all other countries responded that they remain committed to the agreement. Do you strongly support,

somewhat support, somewhat oppose, or strongly oppose President Trump’s decision to pull out of the Paris agreement?

March 2018. Base: Registered American Voters (n=1,067).

DEMLib

Dem

Mod/

Con

Dem IND REP

Lib/

Mod

Rep

Con

Rep

(472) (265) (204) (120) (430) (149) (276)

% % % % % % %

92 95 89 75 60 74 51

91 92 91 63 36 53 26


3.WhoisResponsibleforActiononGlobalWarming?3.1.Sevenintenregisteredvoterswantcorporationsandindustrytodomoretoaddressglobalwarming.Votersalsowantmoreactionfromcitizensandgovernment.Acrosspartylines,amajorityofregisteredvoterssaycorporationsandindustryshoulddomoretoaddressglobalwarming(70%ofallregisteredvoters;84%ofDemocrats,70%ofIndependents,and55%ofRepublicans).Halformoreofregisteredvoters,includingDemocrats,Independents,andliberal/moderateRepublicans,butnotconservativeRepublicans,thinkcitizens,theU.S.Congress,PresidentTrump,theirownmemberofCongress,and/ortheirlocalgovernmentofficialsshoulddomoretoaddressglobalwarming.HalformoreDemocratsandIndependentsthinktheirgovernorand/orthemediashoulddomore.

53%

57%

58%

60%

62%

64%

67%

70%

The media

Your governor

Your local government officials

Your member of Congress

President Trump

U.S. Congress

Citizens themselves

Corporations and industry

Seven in Ten Registered Voters Want Corporations and IndustryTo Do More to Address Global Warming- % who say should be doing “much more” or “more” -

Do you think each of the following should be doing more or less to address global warming?March 2018. Base: Registered American Voters (n=1,067).

DEMLib

Dem

Mod/Con Dem IND REP

Lib/ModRep

Con Rep

(472) (265) (204) (120) (430) (149) (276)% % % % % % %

84 90 77 70 55 67 46

83 88 77 66 47 57 40

83 88 77 61 42 59 30

85 90 79 62 35 51 24

80 83 76 58 37 52 27

77 81 74 54 36 50 27

76 80 72 55 35 47 27

73 79 67 50 29 37 23


3.2.Amajorityofregisteredvotersthinkglobalwarmingshouldbea"high"or"veryhigh"priorityforthepresidentandCongress.Amajorityofregisteredvoters(54%)thinkglobalwarmingshouldbeahighorveryhighpriorityforthepresidentandCongress,includingmorethanthreeinfourDemocrats(78%),overhalfofIndependents(58%),butonlyoneinfourRepublicans(25%).LiberalDemocratsareaboutfivetimesmorelikelythanconservativeRepublicanstothinkglobalwarmingshouldbeapriority(84%versus16%,respectively).

A Majority of Registered Voters Think Global Warming Should Be

a “High” or “Very High” Priority For the President and Congress

- % who say �high� or �very high� priority -

Do you think…global warming should be a low, medium, high, or very high priority for the president and Congress?March 2018. Base: Registered American Voters.

54%

78%

58%

25%

84%

71%

37%

16%

0%

25%

50%

75%

100%

All RegVoters

(n=1,067)

Total Dem(n=472)

Ind(n=120)

Total Rep(n=430)

Lib D(n=265)

Mod/Con D(n=204)

Lib/Mod R(n=149)

Con R(n=276)


4.SupportforPoliciestoAddressthePollutionthatCausesGlobalWarming4.1.Registeredvoterssupportsettingstrictcarbondioxideemissionlimitsoncoal-firedpowerplants.Nearlythreeinfourregisteredvoters(73%)supportsettingstrictcarbondioxideemissionlimitsonexistingcoal-firedpowerplantstoreduceglobalwarmingandimprovepublichealth,evenifthecostofelectricitytoconsumersandcompanieswouldlikelyincrease.AmajorityofDemocrats(87%)andIndependents(70%)supportsettingstrictlimitsoncoal-firedpowerplants.AmajorityofRepublicans(56%,ninepercentagepointshigherthaninOctober2017;seeTables,p.39),includingaboutsevenintenliberal/moderateRepublicans(69%,+5points)andnearlyhalfofconservativeRepublicans(47%,+10points),alsosupportsuchlimits.

Registered Voters Support Setting

Strict CO2 Emission Limits on Existing Coal-Fired Power Plants

- % who �strongly� or �somewhat support� -

How much do you support or oppose the following policy? Set strict carbon dioxide emission limits on existing coal-fired

power plants to reduce global warming and improve public health. Power plants would have to reduce their emissions

and/or invest in renewable energy and energy efficiency. The cost of electricity to consumers and companies would likely

increase.


73%

87%

70%

56%

92%

81%

69%

47%

0%

25%

50%

75%

100%

All Reg

Voters

(n=1,067)

Total Dem

(n=472)

Ind

(n=120)

Total Rep

(n=430)

Lib D

(n=265)

Mod/Con D

(n=204)

Lib/Mod R

(n=149)

Con R

(n=276)


4.2.Registeredvoterssupportrequiringfossilfuelcompaniestopayacarbontax.Aboutsevenintenregisteredvoters(71%)supportrequiringfossilfuelcompaniestopayacarbontaxandusingthemoneytoreduceothertaxes(suchasincometax)byanequalamount–aplanoftenreferredtoasa"revenueneutralcarbontax."AlargemajorityofDemocrats(84%)andtwointhreeIndependents(68%)supportrequiringfossilfuelcompaniestopayacarbontax.AmajorityofRepublicans(56%,sevenpercentagepointshigherthaninOctober2017;seeTables,p.40),includingaboutsevenintenliberal/moderateRepublicans(69%;+9points)andnearlyhalfofconservativeRepublicans(47%;+4points),alsosupportsuchatax.

Registered Voters SupportRequiring Fossil Fuel Companies to Pay a Carbon Tax

- % who �strongly� or �somewhat support� -

How much do you support or oppose the following policy? Require fossil fuel companies to pay a carbon tax and use the

money to reduce other taxes (such as income tax) by an equal amount.


71%

84%

68%

56%

87%82%

69%

47%

0%

25%

50%

75%

100%

All Reg

Voters

(n=1,067)

Total Dem

(n=472)

Ind

(n=120)

Total Rep

(n=430)

Lib D

(n=265)

Mod/Con D

(n=204)

Lib/Mod R

(n=149)

Con R

(n=276)


4.3.Registeredvoterssupportclimate-friendlyenergypolices.Registeredvoterssupportclimate-friendlyenergypolicies,includingmanydesignedtoreducecarbonpollutionanddependenceonfossilfuels,andtopromotecleanenergy.Democratsarethemostlikelytosupportsuchpolicies,butmajoritiesofIndependentsandRepublicansdoaswell.Majoritiesacrossthepoliticalspectrumsupport:

• Fundingmoreresearchintorenewableenergysources:87%ofregisteredvoters,94%ofDemocrats,83%ofIndependents,and79%ofRepublicans.

• GeneratingrenewableenergyonpubliclandintheUnitedStates:86%ofregisteredvoters,91%ofDemocrats,82%ofIndependents,and81%ofRepublicans.

• Providingtaxrebatestopeoplewhopurchaseenergy-efficientvehiclesorsolarpanels:85%ofregisteredvoters,91%ofDemocrats,82%ofIndependents,and77%ofRepublicans.

• Regulatingcarbondioxideasapollutant:81%ofregisteredvoters,91%ofDemocrats,80%ofIndependents,and69%ofRepublicans.

MajoritiesofconservativeRepublicanssupportfundingmoreresearchintorenewableenergy(76%),generatingrenewableenergyonpubliclands(76%),providingtaxrebatestopeoplewhopurchaseenergy-efficientvehiclesorsolarpanels(73%),andregulatingcarbondioxideasapollutant(61%).

Democrats Republicans

All RegVoters Total Lib

Mod/Con Ind Total

Lib/Mod Con

(Unweighted base) (1,067) (472) (265) (204) (120) (430) (149) (276)

% % % % % % % %

Fund more research into renewable energy sources such as solar and wind power 87 94 95 93 83 79 86 76

Generate renewable energy (solar and wind) on public land in the U.S. 86 91 93 90 82 81 90 76

Provide tax rebates for people who purchase energy-efficient vehicles or solar panels 85 91 94 89 82 77 85 73

Regulate carbon dioxide (the primary greenhouse gas) as a pollutant 81 91 94 89 80 69 81 61

Require electric utilities to produce at least 20% of their electricity from…renewables, even if it costs the average household an extra $100/year

66 81 84 80 60 50 68 39

Registered Voters Support Climate-Friendly Energy Policies

- % who say �strongly� or �somewhat support� policy -

How much do you support or oppose the following policies?



4.4.Registeredvotersaresplitonfossil-fuelproductionpolicies.Abouthalfofregisteredvoters(49%)supportexpandingoffshoredrillingforoilandnaturalgasofftheU.S.coast,including73%ofRepublicans,43%ofIndependents,and31%ofDemocrats.Fewerregisteredvoters(45%)supportdrillingandminingforfossilfuelsonpubliclandintheUnitedStates,including69%ofRepublicansand35%ofIndependents,butonly27%ofDemocrats.Bycontrast,fewerregisteredvoters(32%)supportdrillingforoilinAlaska'sArcticNationalWildlifeRefuge(ANWR),whilealargemajority(66%)opposeit(seeTable,p.44).MorethanhalfofconservativeRepublicans(59%)supportthispolicy,butliberal/moderateRepublicans(43%),Independents(28%),andDemocrats(15%)aremuchlesslikelytosupportoildrillinginANWR.


All Reg

Voters Total Lib

Mod/

Con Ind Total

Lib/

Mod Con

(Unweighted base) (1,067) (472) (265) (204) (120) (430) (149) (276)

% % % % % % % %

Expand offshore drilling for oil and natural gas

off the U.S. coast49 31 22 45 43 73 67 79

Drill and mine for fossil fuels (coal, oil, and

natural gas) on public land in the U.S.45 27 20 37 35 69 63 73

Drill for oil in the Arctic National Wildlife Refuge 32 15 11 22 28 52 43 59

Registered Voters Are Split On

Fossil-Fuel Production Policies- % who say �strongly� or �somewhat support� policy -

How much do you support or oppose the following policies?



4.5.LargemajoritiesofvotersthinktheUnitedStatesshouldusemoresolarand/orwindpower.Fewsupportmoreoil,coal,and/ornuclear.Acrossthepoliticalspectrum,amajorityofregisteredvoterssaythatinthefuture,theUnitedStatesshouldusemorerenewablesourcesofenergyincludingsolar(80%ofallregisteredvoters;84%ofDemocrats,80%ofIndependents,and75%ofRepublicans)and/orwind(73%ofallregisteredvoters;82%ofDemocrats,75%ofIndependents,and62%ofRepublicans).Abouthalfofregisteredvoters(48%)saytheUnitedStatesshouldusemoregeothermalenergy,butaboutoneinfour(26%)respondedthatthey"don'tknow"(seeTable,p.45).Incontrast,onlyaboutoneintenregisteredvotersthinktheUnitedStatesshouldusemorefossilfuels,includingcoal(12%ofallregisteredvoters;6%ofDemocrats,14%ofIndependents,and18%ofRepublicans,includingjust22%ofconservativeRepublicans)and/oroil(11%ofallregisteredvoters;7%ofDemocrats,and16%ofbothIndependentsandRepublicans,includingjust19%ofconservativeRepublicans).MorethinktheUnitedStatesshouldusemorenaturalgas(36%ofallregisteredvoters;31%ofDemocrats,39%ofIndependents,and42%ofRepublicans).Aboutoneinfourregisteredvoters(23%)thinktheUnitedStatesshouldusemorenuclearenergy(19%ofDemocrats,36%ofIndependents,and26%ofRepublicans).

11%

12%

23%

36%

48%

73%

80%

Oil

Coal

Nuclear

Natural gas

Geothermal

Wind

Solar

Large Majorities of Voters Think the U.S. ShouldUse More Solar and/or Wind Power

- Few support more oil, coal, and/or nuclear -

In the future, do you think the United States should use the following sources of energy less, more, or about the same as

we do today?

March 2018. Base: Registered American Voters (n=1,067).

DEMLib

Dem

Mod/

Con

Dem IND REP

Lib/

Mod

Rep

Con

Rep

(472) (265) (204) (120) (430) (149) (276)

% % % % % % %

84 88 81 80 75 82 71

82 86 77 75 62 74 55

48 52 44 61 44 45 45

31 29 35 39 42 33 49

19 19 20 36 26 22 30

6 4 9 14 18 13 22

7 6 8 16 16 12 19

- % who say “much more” or “somewhat more” -


4.6.Mostregisteredvotersthinkprotectingtheenvironmentimproveseconomicgrowthandprovidesnewjobs.Amajorityofregisteredvoters(59%)thinkprotectingtheenvironmentimproveseconomicgrowthandprovidesnewjobs.Anadditional21%thinkprotectingtheenvironmenthasnoeffectoneconomicgrowthorjobs.Bycontrast,only18%thinkprotectingtheenvironmentreducesgrowthandcostsjobs.Democratsarethemostlikelytothinkthatprotectingtheenvironmentimprovesgrowthandjobs(75%).MorethanhalfofIndependents(55%)andfourintenRepublicans(40%,including54%ofliberal/moderateRepublicans)alsoagree.ConservativeRepublicansarelesslikelytothinkprotectingtheenvironmentimprovesgrowthandjobs(32%),butonlyfourintenthinkprotectingtheenvironmentreduceseconomicgrowthandjobs(39%).

Most Registered Voters Think Protecting the EnvironmentImproves Economic Growth and Provides New Jobs

Do you think that protecting the environment: (a) improves economic growth and provides new jobs, (b) reduces economic growth and costs jobs, (c) has no effect on economic growth or jobs?March 2018. Base: Registered American Voters.

59%

75%

55%

40%

78%73%

54%

32%

21%16%

24%

27%

14%18%

22%

28%

18%

8%

20%

33%

7% 9%

24%

39%

0%

25%

50%

75%

100%

All RegVoters

(n=1,067)

Total Dem(n=472)

Ind(n=120)

Total Rep(n=430)

Lib D(n=265)

Mod/Con D(n=204)

Lib/Mod R(n=149)

Con R(n=276)

Improves growth & jobs No effect Reduces growth & jobs


4.7.Mostregisteredvotersthinkprotectingtheenvironmentismoreimportantthaneconomicgrowth.Whenthereisaconflictbetweenenvironmentalprotectionandeconomicgrowth,71%ofregisteredvotersthinkenvironmentalprotectionismoreimportant.Thisistrueacrossmostofthepoliticalspectrum,includingalargemajorityofDemocrats(85%),threeinfourIndependents(75%),andmorethanhalfofRepublicans(52%,63%ofliberal/moderateRepublicans).OnlyconservativeRepublicansthinkeconomicgrowthismoreimportant–althoughjustoverhalf(53%)thinkso,whilejustunderhalf(45%)thinkenvironmentalprotectionismoreimportant.

Most Registered Voters Think Protecting the Environment Is More Important Than Economic Growth

When there is a conflict between environmental protection and economic growth, which do you think is more important?March 2018. Base: Registered American Voters.

71%

85%

75%

52%

89%82%

63%

45%

27%

12%

24%

46%

9%16%

36%

53%

0%

25%

50%

75%

100%

All RegVoters

(n=1,067)

Total Dem(n=472)

Ind(n=120)

Total Rep(n=430)

Lib D(n=265)

Mod/Con D(n=204)

Lib/Mod R(n=149)

Con R(n=276)

Protecting the environment Economic growth


4.8.Fourinfiveregisteredvoterssayschoolsshouldteachchildrenaboutglobalwarming.TheNextGenerationScienceStandardsforK-12STEM(Science,Technology,Engineering,andMathematics)educationintheUnitedStates1requirethatclimatechangebeincludedinthecurriculum,amandatethatiscontroversialinsomepartsofthecountry.Alargemajorityofregisteredvoters(81%)supportschoolsteachingchildrenaboutthecauses,consequences,andpotentialsolutionstoglobalwarming.SupportspansthepoliticalspectrumwithnearlyallDemocrats(94%),fourinfiveIndependents(81%),andabouttwointhreeRepublicans(65%,includingamajorityofconservativeRepublicans–55%)sayingtheysupportteachingaboutglobalwarming.

1TheNextGenerationScienceStandardsweredevelopedbyacollaborationofscientistsandeducatorsattheNationalResearchCounciloftheNationalAcademyofSciences;theAmericanAcademyfortheAdvancementofScience;theNationalTeacher’sAssociation;26states;andAchieve(anon-profitorganization).Releasedin2013,thestandardsrepresentthemostcurrent,research-basedmethodofeducatingK-12studentsinSTEMandpreparingthemforSTEMcareers.See:http://www.nextgenscience.org/

Four In Five Registered Voters SaySchools Should Teach Children About Global Warming

- % who agree �strongly� or �somewhat� -

How much do you agree or disagree with the following statement…?

Schools should teach our children about the causes, consequences, and potential solutions to global warming.


81%

94%

81%

65%

94% 93%

79%

55%

0%

25%

50%

75%

100%

All Reg

Voters

(n=1,067)

Total Dem

(n=472)

Ind

(n=120)

Total Rep

(n=430)

Lib D

(n=265)

Mod/Con D

(n=204)

Lib/Mod R

(n=149)

Con R

(n=276)

http://nextgenscience.org


5.GlobalWarmingasaVotingIssue5.1.MostliberalDemocratssayglobalwarmingwillbeaveryimportantissuewhendecidingforwhomtovoteinthe2018Congressionalelection.ComparedtomostotherissuesdiscussedbyCongressionalcandidates,globalwarmingisonethatfewerthanfourintenregisteredvoters(38%)saywillbeveryimportanttotheirvote(seeTables,pp.48-57).LiberalDemocratsaretheclearexception:aboutseveninten(69%)sayglobalwarmingwillbeaveryimportantissuedeterminingtheirvotein2018.AmongtheissuesvoterssaywillinfluencetheirvoteforCongressin2018,globalwarmingranked15thinimportanceofthe28issuesaskedabout.However,itwasthefourthmostimportantissuetoliberalDemocrats(andtheninthmostimportantforallDemocrats,seeTables,pp.48-57).Bycontrast,globalwarmingwasthe14thmostimportantvotingpriorityforIndependents,andnearoratthebottomofCongressionalvotingprioritiesforRepublicans.Whenaskedtoidentifytheirmostimportantissuewhenvotingforacongressionalcandidate,2%ofregisteredvoterssayitisglobalwarming(seeTable,p.58).Thisincludes3%ofDemocrats,1%ofIndependents,and1%ofRepublicans.

How important will the candidates’ positions on the following issues be when you decide who you will vote for in the 2018 Congressional election?March 2018. Base: Registered American Voters.

Most Liberal Democrats Say Global Warming Will Be a Very Important Issue When Deciding For Whom to Vote in the 2018 Congressional Election

Rank by “very

important”All Registered Voters

(n = 1,067)

Liberal Democrats(n = 265)

Moderate/Conservative Democrats(n = 204)

Liberal/Moderate Republicans

(n = 149)

Conservative Republicans

(n = 276)1 Healthcare Healthcare Healthcare The economy The economy2 The economy Gun policies Education Social Security Terrorism3 Social Security Environmental protection Social Security Terrorism Immigration reform4 Gun policies Global warming The economy Gun policies Social Security5 Education Income gap Gun policies Healthcare Gun policies6 Terrorism Education Terrorism Education Federal budget deficit7 Improving roads, etc. Russian election interference Russian election interference Federal budget deficit Healthcare8 Environmental protection Social Security Environmental protection Improving roads, etc. Tax reform9 Federal budget deficit The economy Improving roads, etc. Tax reform Abortion

10 Immigration reform Developing clean energy Income gap Immigration reform Education11 Tax reform Improving roads, etc. Disaster relief Environmental protection Improving roads, etc.12 Russian election interference Race relations Tax reform Foreign policy Foreign policy13 Income gap Disaster relief Developing clean energy Energy independence Same-sex marriage14 Developing clean energy Federal budget deficit Federal budget deficit Opioid crisis Energy independence15 Global warming Immigration reform Race relations Income gap Criminal justice reform16 Disaster relief Criminal justice reform Global warming Criminal justice reform Opioid crisis17 Race relations Same-sex marriage Energy independence Russian election interference International trade18 Criminal justice reform Tax reform Criminal justice reform Developing clean energy Russian election interference19 Energy independence Campaign finance reform Immigration reform Campaign finance reform Campaign finance reform20 Abortion Foreign policy Opioid crisis International trade War in Afghanistan21 Foreign policy Terrorism Foreign policy Disaster relief Disaster relief22 Opioid crisis Wall Street reform Abortion Race relations Environmental protection23 Campaign finance reform Abortion Campaign finance reform Global warming Legalizing marijuana24 Same-sex marriage Energy independence Wall Street reform Abortion Developing clean energy25 International trade Opioid crisis Legalizing marijuana War in Afghanistan Race relations26 Wall Street reform Legalizing marijuana War in Afghanistan Wall Street reform Wall Street reform27 War in Afghanistan International trade International trade Legalizing marijuana Income gap28 Legalizing marijuana War in Afghanistan Same-sex marriage Same-sex marriage Global warming


6.IndividualandCollectiveActiontoReduceGlobalWarming6.1.Amajorityofregisteredvoterssaytheywouldvoteforacandidatebecauseoftheirpositiononglobalwarming.Themajorityofregisteredvoterssaytheywouldvoteforacandidateforpublicofficebecauseoftheirpositiononglobalwarming(54%),includingalargemajorityofDemocrats(72%),butonlyaminorityofIndependents(42%)andRepublican(36%).Morethanthreeintenregisteredvoterssaytheywoulddonatemoneytoanorganizationworkingonglobalwarming(37%),writeletters,email,orphonegovernmentofficialsaboutglobalwarming(35%),volunteertheirtimetoanorganizationworkingonglobalwarming(33%),and/ormeetwithelectedofficialsortheirstaffaboutglobalwarming(32%).Democratswouldbemostlikelytosaytheywouldtaketheseactions.IndependentsandRepublicansarelesslikely.

A Majority of Registered Voters Would

Vote For a Candidate Because of Their Position On Global Warming

- % who say �definitely� or �probably� would -

How likely would you be to do each of the following things if a person you like and respect asked you to?



All Reg

Voters Total Lib

Mod/

Con Ind Total

Lib/

Mod Con

(Unweighted base) (1,067) (472) (265) (204) (120) (430) (149) (276)

% % % % % % % %

Vote for a candidate for public office because of

their position on global warming54 72 80 63 42 36 45 31

Donate money to an organization working on

global warming37 53 59 47 32 19 29 13

Write letters, email, or phone government

officials about global warming35 50 57 41 34 19 23 16

Volunteer your time to an organization working

on global warming33 48 56 38 31 16 23 12

Meet with an elected official or their staff about

global warming32 43 46 39 36 20 24 19


6.2.Fewregisteredvotershaveurgedanelectedofficialtotakeactiontoreduceglobalwarmingduringthepast12months.OnlyoneinfiveliberalDemocratshavedoneso.Onlyaboutoneineightregisteredvoters(13%)saytheyhavecontactedanelectedofficialduringthepast12monthstourgethemtotakeactiontoreduceglobalwarming.However,18%ofDemocrats,including21%ofliberalDemocrats,and16%ofbothIndependentsandmoderate/conservativeDemocratssaytheyhavedoneso.Only6%ofRepublicanssaytheyhavedoneso.

Few Registered Voters Have Urged An Elected Official To Take Action To Reduce Global Warming During the Past 12 Months

- Only one in five liberal Democrats have done so -

(a) Over the past 12 months, how many times have you written letters, emailed, or phones government officials about

global warming? (b) [If one or more times] When you contacted a government official, did you…[urge them to take action

to reduce global warming]?


13%

18%16%

6%

21%

16%

8%

4%

0%

25%

50%

All Reg

Voters

(n=1,067)

Total Dem

(n=472)

Ind

(n=120)

Total Rep

(n=430)

Lib D

(n=265)

Mod/Con D

(n=204)

Lib/Mod R

(n=149)

Con R

(n=276)


6.3.Oneinthreevoterswouldjoin,orarealreadyparticipatingin,acampaigntoconvinceelectedofficialstotakeactiontoreduceglobalwarming.Oneinthreeregisteredvoters(34%)areeitherparticipating(3%),orwoulddefinitely(10%)orprobably(22%)participate,inacampaigntoconvinceelectedofficialstotakeactiontoreduceglobalwarming.ThisincludeshalfofDemocrats(51%),including61%ofliberalDemocratsand40%ofmoderate/conservativeDemocrats.ThreeintenIndependents(31%)and15%ofRepublicans(23%ofliberal/moderateRepublicansand11%ofconservativeRepublicans)wouldjoin,orareparticipatingin,suchacampaign.


AppendixI:DataTables(Base:RegisteredAmericanVoters18+)Recently,youmayhavenoticedthatglobalwarminghasbeengettingsomeattentioninthenews.Globalwarmingreferstotheideathattheworld’saveragetemperaturehasbeenincreasingoverthepast150years,maybeincreasingmoreinthefuture,andthattheworld’sclimatemaychangeasaresult.Whatdoyouthink:Doyouthinkthatglobalwarmingishappening?

(Unweightedbase)

March2018

Oct2017

May2017

Nov2016

March2016

Oct2015

March2015

Oct2014

April2014

Nov2013

April2013

Sept2012

March2012

Nov2011

May2011

June2010

Jan2010

Nov2008

AllRegisteredVoters (1,067)(1,109)(1,070)(1,061)(1,004)(1,070)(1,025)(1,045) (860) (669) (889) (885) (849) (813) (827) (857) (856) (2,203)

% % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % %

Yes 73 72 71 72 73 68 65 67 66 64 64 70 67 64 64 60 58 71

No 14 12 15 14 11 17 20 18 21 24 16 13 15 18 19 19 21 10

Don’tknow 13 15 14 14 15 15 15 15 14 12 20 17 17 18 17 21 21 18

TotalDemocrats (472) (503) (459) (469) (451) (458) (441) (443) (399) (295) (389) (402) (378) (369) (359) (388) (330) (971)

Yes 92 94 91 90 88 86 85 84 89 84 84 86 82 80 81 77 81 86

No 2 2 2 1 2 3 4 4 5 8 5 2 5 6 6 4 4 2

Don’tknow 6 5 7 9 11 10 11 12 7 8 11 12 13 14 13 19 15 13

LiberalDemocrats (265) (289) (240) (239) (249) (254) (206) (214) (201) (144) (186) (208) (168) (160) (165) (162) (136) (459)

Yes 95 97 97 94 95 92 90 92 93 91 89 91 91 87 88 85 87 91

No 1 1 1 1 2 3 4 4 3 6 5 2 1 2 4 1 4 1

Don’tknow 4 2 2 5 3 5 6 4 4 3 6 7 8 9 7 14 9 8

Moderate/ConservativeDemocrats

(204) (212) (219) (227) (200) (204) (231) (227) (197) (150) (200) (191) (209) (205) (191) (224) (193) (503)

Yes 88 89 85 86 80 79 82 79 85 77 79 80 76 76 77 72 77 81

No 4 3 3 1 1 4 4 4 6 9 5 2 8 8 7 6 3 3

Don’tknow 8 8 12 12 19 17 15 17 10 13 16 18 16 15 16 22 18 16


(Base:RegisteredAmericanVoters18+)Recently,youmayhavenoticedthatglobalwarminghasbeengettingsomeattentioninthenews.Globalwarmingreferstotheideathattheworld’saveragetemperaturehasbeenincreasingoverthepast150years,maybeincreasingmoreinthefuture,andthattheworld’sclimatemaychangeasaresult.Whatdoyouthink:Doyouthinkthatglobalwarmingishappening?(Cont’d.)

(Unweightedbase)

March2018

Oct2017

May2017

Nov2016

March2016

Oct2015

March2015

Oct2014

April2014

Nov2013

April2013

Sept2012

March2012

Nov2011

May2011

June2010

Jan2010

Nov2008

% % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % %

Independents (120) (118) (120) (97) (103) (109) (102) (117) (85) (77) (92) (82) (84) (79) (79) (86) (96) (218)

Yes 70 65 70 57 74 68 61 73 58 66 44 78 63 61 60 60 55 74

No 16 16 9 20 11 17 24 16 25 26 18 11 17 18 16 17 28 11

Don’tknow 14 19 21 24 15 16 15 11 17 7 38 11 20 21 24 22 18 15

TotalRepublicans (430) (437) (442) (455) (399) (443) (428) (421) (334) (255) (374) (363) (322) (303) (333) (333) (357) (913)

Yes 51 47 48 54 56 51 41 43 40 39 47 49 47 45 45 36 39 54

No 29 28 31 27 24 32 39 37 41 43 28 28 30 36 38 41 38 22

Don’tknow 20 25 21 18 20 17 20 20 20 18 25 23 23 19 17 22 22 23

Moderate/LiberalRepublicans

(149) (165) (127) (143) (132) (137) (119) (126) (103) (72) (103) (100) (92) (93) (91) (82) (102) (304)

Yes 68 63 64 70 71 65 56 60 61 64 61 65 67 65 64 53 57 62

No 13 16 20 9 12 12 21 28 19 26 14 16 11 18 20 19 20 12

Don’tknow 19 19 16 22 17 23 24 12 20 10 26 18 22 17 16 28 23 26

ConservativeRepublicans (276) (271) (313) (310) (267) (304) (307) (295) (228) (183) (271) (263) (229) (206) (241) (249) (251) (604)

Yes 40 37 42 46 47 43 35 36 28 27 41 40 39 34 36 32 32 50

No 40 39 35 37 32 43 46 41 51 52 34 34 38 46 46 47 48 28

Don’tknow 21 24 23 17 21 14 19 23 20 21 24 24 23 20 17 20 20 22


(Base:RegisteredAmericanVoters18+)Assumingglobalwarmingishappening,doyouthinkitis…

(Unweightedbase)

March2018

Oct2017

May2017

Nov2016

March2016

Oct2015

March2015

Oct2014

April2014

Nov2013

April2013

Sept2012

March2012

Nov2011

May2011

June2010

Jan2010

Nov2008


% % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % %

Causedmostlybyhumanactivities 59 54 56 55 56 52 52 48 51 48 47 52 46 48 46 48 46 55

Causedmostlybynaturalchangesintheenvironment

30 33 31 31 35 34 33 36 34 36 36 34 37 35 36 37 36 33

Neitherbecauseglobalwarmingisn’thappening

5 5 6 6 5 7 9 8 8 8 8 7 4 7 8 6 9 3

Other(pleasespecify),causedbyhumanactivitiesandnaturalchanges

6 6 6 6 4 6 4 7 6 4 7 6 10 6 8 7 7 6

Other(pleasespecify),unclassified

1 1 1 1 -- 1 1 1 1 4 1 1 2 2 1 1 1 1

TotalDemocrats (472) (503) (459) (469) (451) (458) (441) (443) (399) (295) (389) (402) (378) (369) (359) (388) (330) (971)



18 17 19 20 19 19 19 25 24 28 22 20 28 28 26 22 22 21


2 * 1 1 1 1 4 3 2 3 5 3 1 3 2 1 1 1


3 6 5 6 4 6 4 5 5 6 8 8 11 6 8 9 8 6


* 1 * 1 * 1 1 1 * 2 * * 2 1 2 * * 1


(Base:RegisteredAmericanVoters18+)Assumingglobalwarmingishappening,doyouthinkitis…(Cont’d.)

(Unweightedbase)

March2018

Oct2017

May2017

Nov2016

March2016

Oct2015

March2015

Oct2014

April2014

Nov2013

April2013

Sept2012

March2012

Nov2011

May2011

June2010

Jan2010

Nov2008

% % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % %




12 11 9 13 15 12 15 15 19 20 12 14 17 20 17 11 13 14


* -- -- 2 -- * 4 * 1 2 2 2 -- 2 3 * * 1


3 5 4 5 2 6 6 5 5 9 8 7 12 8 9 9 11 7


-- -- -- 1 * 1 * * -- 2 * -- 1 -- 3 -- -- *


(204) (212) (219) (227) (200) (204) (231) (227) (197) (150) (200) (191) (209) (205) (191) (224) (193) (503)



24 24 30 27 24 28 23 32 28 35 31 25 36 35 32 30 28 27


3 * 1 1 3 2 4 5 3 4 7 3 3 4 1 1 1 1


3 6 5 7 6 6 3 6 4 3 9 9 11 5 7 9 6 6


* 2 1 1 -- 2 1 1 * 2 * * 3 2 1 * 1 1



(Unweightedbase)

March2018

Oct2017

May2017

Nov2016

March2016

Oct2015

March2015

Oct2014

April2014

Nov2013

April2013

Sept2012

March2012

Nov2011

May2011

June2010

Jan2010

Nov2008

% % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % %

Independents (120) (118) (120) (97) (103) (109) (102) (117) (85) (77) (92) (82) (84) (79) (79) (86) (96) (218)



30 37 28 28 39 26 34 36 43 33 47 27 27 30 41 38 38 24


6 8 5 10 6 3 13 5 8 11 4 5 5 7 10 5 12 2


12 8 10 14 5 4 9 12 9 5 8 7 15 11 15 9 2 6


* 4 1 -- -- 5 2 2 4 7 3 3 4 -- -- 1 1 1




45 52 48 44 53 50 50 51 46 49 51 52 57 46 50 54 49 50


10 12 11 11 8 14 14 14 16 14 12 12 8 13 14 11 16 6


7 6 6 6 4 6 3 7 6 3 5 3 7 6 5 6 6 6


1 1 * 1 1 1 1 1 1 5 3 2 2 4 1 2 2 1



(Unweightedbase)

March2018

Oct2017

May2017

Nov2016

March2016

Oct2015

March2015

Oct2014

April2014

Nov2013

April2013

Sept2012

March2012

Nov2011

May2011

June2010

Jan2010

Nov2008

% % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % %


(149) (165) (127) (143) (132) (137) (119) (126) (103) (72) (103) (100) (92) (93) (91) (82) (102) (304)



28 46 43 35 42 43 45 41 38 41 43 45 47 28 45 37 44 36


7 3 7 4 4 3 9 7 8 6 10 5 8 4 7 7 7 2


10 8 6 5 5 9 5 7 6 4 10 3 11 6 7 3 12 8


-- 1 -- 1 -- 2 1 -- 1 2 1 -- * 4 1 1 2 1




56 56 51 49 59 53 53 55 50 52 54 55 61 56 52 58 52 58


12 17 13 15 11 20 16 17 20 17 13 16 9 16 17 12 20 8


4 5 6 5 3 4 2 6 6 2 3 3 6 6 4 6 3 5


1 1 * 1 1 * 1 1 1 7 3 3 3 4 2 3 2 1


(Base:RegisteredAmericanVoters18+)Howworriedareyouaboutglobalwarming?

(Unweightedbase) March2018

Oct2017

May2017

Nov2016

March2016

Oct2015

March2015

Oct2014

April2014

Nov2013

April2013

Sept2012

March2012

Nov2011

May2011

June2010

Jan2010

Nov2008


% % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % %

Veryworried 23 23 18 20 15 15 12 12 16 16 14 16 11 12 8 11 12 15

Somewhatworried 40 41 37 41 41 40 41 44 40 37 36 42 40 41 43 41 38 47

Notveryworried 22 22 27 24 26 29 28 25 26 26 32 25 31 32 29 30 26 24

Notatallworried 15 15 17 15 18 16 19 19 17 21 18 17 17 15 21 19 24 14

TotalDemocrats (472) (503) (459) (469) (451) (458) (441) (443) (399) (295) (389) (402) (378) (369) (359) (388) (330) (971)

Veryworried 35 40 29 32 26 27 19 21 27 24 24 26 16 19 14 18 20 24


Notveryworried 13 10 16 14 17 21 19 18 14 23 26 21 27 22 21 23 19 20



Veryworried 44 53 38 42 33 35 29 29 31 33 32 34 21 21 18 19 25 29


Notveryworried 9 5 12 7 11 14 10 12 14 15 20 13 20 13 18 14 11 15



(204) (212) (219) (227) (200) (204) (231) (227) (197) (150) (200) (191) (209) (205) (191) (224) (193) (503)

Veryworried 23 26 20 23 19 18 11 15 24 14 17 18 12 17 10 17 16 19


Notveryworried 17 16 21 20 24 28 28 23 15 30 31 31 33 27 24 30 26 23



(Base:RegisteredAmericanVoters18+)Howworriedareyouaboutglobalwarming?(Cont’d.)

(Unweightedbase) March2018

Oct2017

May2017

Nov2016

March2016

Oct2015

March2015

Oct2014

April2014

Nov2013

April2013

Sept2012

March2012

Nov2011

May2011

June2010

Jan2010

Nov2008

% % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % %

Independents (120) (118) (120) (97) (103) (109) (102) (117) (85) (77) (92) (82) (84) (79) (79) (86) (96) (218)

Veryworried 22 13 23 12 7 12 5 7 11 14 9 17 4 13 1 6 11 16


Notveryworried 26 29 30 28 30 31 37 30 40 19 27 15 36 42 34 37 19 24



Veryworried 9 4 5 7 4 4 4 2 3 7 5 5 3 3 3 3 6 5


Notveryworried 33 35 38 36 37 36 37 34 37 34 41 31 38 40 33 37 33 30



(149) (165) (127) (143) (132) (137) (119) (126) (103) (72) (103) (100) (92) (93) (91) (82) (102) (304)

Veryworried 16 8 7 19 8 8 4 3 6 18 8 9 4 9 5 6 11 11


Notveryworried 26 33 37 30 33 39 47 27 38 27 45 25 32 39 36 37 29 23



Veryworried 5 1 4 1 2 3 4 2 2 2 4 3 2 1 3 2 4 2


Notveryworried 37 36 38 39 39 35 33 37 37 38 39 34 41 42 32 37 36 34



TheUnitedStatesshouldreduceitsgreenhousegasemissions... Democrats Republicans

TotalRegisteredVoters Total Liberal

Mod/Con

Ind/Other Total

Liberal/Mod Con

UnweightedBase (1,067) (472) (265) (204) (120) (430) (149) (276) % % % % % % % %Regardlessofwhatothercountriesdo 70 84 91 77 67 53 63 46Onlyifotherindustrializedcountries(suchasEngland,Germany,andJapan)reducetheiremissions

2 1 * 1 3 2 4 1

Onlyifotherindustrializedcountriesanddevelopingcountries(suchasChina,India,andBrazil)reducetheiremissions

9 3 2 4 10 17 10 22

TheU.S.shouldnotreduceitsemissions 4 -- -- -- 5 8 5 11

Don'tknow 16 13 7 18 15 19 18 20

In2015,theUnitedStatessignedaninternationalagreementinPariswith196othercountriestolimitthepollutionthatcausesglobalwarming.Doyoustronglysupport,somewhatsupport,somewhatoppose,orstronglyopposetheU.S.'sparticipationintheParisAgreement?[March2018] Democrats Republicans


Mod/Con

Ind/Other Total

Liberal/Mod Con

UnweightedBase (1,067) (472) (265) (204) (120) (430) (149) (276) % % % % % % % %Strongly/Somewhatsupport 77 92 95 89 75 60 74 51Stronglysupport 44 67 78 53 40 18 28 12Somewhatsupport 33 25 16 36 35 42 45 39Strongly/Somewhatoppose 22 7 5 10 23 40 26 49Somewhatoppose 12 4 2 7 10 22 17 24Stronglyoppose 11 3 3 3 14 18 9 25


In2015,theUnitedStatessignedaninternationalagreementinPariswith196othercountriestolimitthepollutionthatcausesglobalwarming.Doyoustronglysupport,somewhatsupport,somewhatoppose,orstronglyopposetheU.S.'sparticipationintheParisAgreement?[October2017] Democrats Republicans


Mod/Con

Ind/Other Total

Liberal/Mod Con

UnweightedBase (1,109) (503) (289) (212) (118) (437) (165) (271) % % % % % % % %Strongly/Somewhatsupport 76 94 98 90 67 56 76 43Stronglysupport 47 71 86 53 37 21 31 14Somewhatsupport 30 24 12 37 30 36 46 29Strongly/Somewhatoppose 23 5 2 10 32 43 23 56Somewhatoppose 10 4 2 7 16 16 16 16Stronglyoppose 12 1 * 2 15 27 7 40TheU.S.istheworld'ssecondlargestemitterofthepollutionthatcausesglobalwarming.PresidentTrumprecentlyannouncedhisdecisiontopulloutoftheParisAgreement,butallothercountriesrespondedthattheyremaincommittedtotheagreement.Doyoustronglysupport,somewhatsupport,somewhatopposeorstronglyopposePresidentTrump'sdecisiontopulloutoftheParisAgreement? Democrats Republicans


Mod/Con

Ind/Other Total

Liberal/Mod Con



Doyouthinkeachofthefollowingshouldbedoingmoreorlesstoaddressglobalwarming?Corporationsandindustry Democrats Republicans


Mod/Con

Ind/Other Total

Liberal/Mod Con

UnweightedBase (1,067) (472) (265) (204) (120) (430) (149) (276) % % % % % % % %Muchmore 43 60 68 50 46 22 31 16More 27 24 22 27 24 33 36 31Currentlydoingtherightamount 19 8 6 11 14 32 23 39Less 6 4 3 5 10 7 7 7MuchLess 5 3 1 7 5 6 4 7Citizensthemselves Democrats Republicans


Mod/Con

Ind/Other Total

Liberal/Mod Con

UnweightedBase (1,067) (472) (265) (204) (120) (430) (149) (276) % % % % % % % %Muchmore 29 41 45 35 31 14 21 9More 37 42 43 42 35 32 35 30Currentlydoingtherightamount 21 8 7 10 18 37 29 43Less 8 8 5 11 7 9 10 8MuchLess 4 1 * 2 8 7 3 9TheU.S.Congress Democrats Republicans


Mod/Con

Ind/Other Total

Liberal/Mod Con

UnweightedBase (1,067) (472) (265) (204) (120) (430) (149) (276) % % % % % % % %Muchmore 37 56 63 47 37 15 25 8More 27 27 26 30 24 27 34 21Currentlydoingtherightamount 20 8 7 9 20 33 24 40Less 10 6 4 7 7 17 13 19MuchLess 6 3 1 7 12 8 4 11


Doyouthinkeachofthefollowingshouldbedoingmoreorlesstoaddressglobalwarming?(Cont’d.)PresidentTrump Democrats Republicans


Mod/Con

Ind/Other Total

Liberal/Mod Con

UnweightedBase (1,067) (472) (265) (204) (120) (430) (149) (276) % % % % % % % %Muchmore 44 69 78 59 44 13 23 7More 19 16 12 21 19 22 28 18Currentlydoingtherightamount 24 5 5 6 20 48 35 57Less 5 3 * 6 5 9 7 11MuchLess 8 7 5 9 13 7 7 7YourmemberofCongress Democrats Republicans


Mod/Con

Ind/Other Total

Liberal/Mod Con

UnweightedBase (1,067) (472) (265) (204) (120) (430) (149) (276) % % % % % % % %Muchmore 30 44 47 40 33 11 21 5More 30 36 36 36 25 26 30 22Currentlydoingtherightamount 25 12 13 11 25 41 31 48Less 9 5 2 9 4 14 13 15MuchLess 6 3 2 5 12 8 4 10Yourlocalgovernmentofficials Democrats Republicans


Mod/Con

Ind/Other Total

Liberal/Mod Con

UnweightedBase (1,067) (472) (265) (204) (120) (430) (149) (276) % % % % % % % %Muchmore 24 36 36 35 25 10 18 5More 34 42 45 39 29 27 32 22Currentlydoingtherightamount 27 15 16 13 27 41 32 48Less 9 5 3 9 6 14 14 15MuchLess 6 2 * 4 12 8 4 10


Doyouthinkeachofthefollowingshouldbedoingmoreorlesstoaddressglobalwarming?(Cont’d.)Yourgovernor Democrats Republicans


Mod/Con

Ind/Other Total

Liberal/Mod Con

UnweightedBase (1,067) (472) (265) (204) (120) (430) (149) (276) % % % % % % % %Muchmore 24 35 39 31 25 9 17 5More 33 41 42 41 30 26 31 22Currentlydoingtherightamount 28 16 17 14 25 42 34 47Less 9 5 2 10 7 14 13 15MuchLess 6 3 1 4 12 9 5 11Themedia Democrats Republicans


Mod/Con

Ind/Other Total

Liberal/Mod Con

UnweightedBase (1,067) (472) (265) (204) (120) (430) (149) (276) % % % % % % % %Muchmore 24 35 37 32 23 11 17 8More 29 39 42 35 27 18 20 16Currentlydoingtherightamount 24 19 16 22 25 30 34 28Less 11 5 4 6 10 19 15 23MuchLess 12 3 1 5 15 22 14 26Doyouthink…globalwarmingshouldbealow,medium,high,orveryhighpriorityforthepresidentandCongress? Democrats Republicans


Mod/Con

Ind/Other Total

Liberal/Mod Con

UnweightedBase (1,067) (472) (265) (204) (120) (430) (149) (276) % % % % % % % %Low 22 6 3 10 20 42 24 54Medium 24 15 13 19 21 33 38 30High 29 37 38 38 37 15 21 10VeryHigh 26 41 47 33 22 10 16 6


Howmuchdoyousupportoropposethefollowingpolicies?Setstrictcarbondioxideemissionlimitsonexistingcoal-firedpowerplantstoreduceglobalwarmingandimprovepublichealth.Powerplantswouldhavetoreducetheiremissionsand/orinvestinrenewableenergyandenergyefficiency.Thecostofelectricitytoconsumersandcompanieswouldlikelyincrease.[March2018] Democrats Republicans


Mod/Con

Ind/Other Total

Liberal/Mod Con

UnweightedBase (1,067) (472) (265) (204) (120) (430) (149) (276) % % % % % % % %Strongly/Somewhatsupport 73 87 92 81 70 56 69 47Stronglysupport 25 39 48 27 22 10 17 5Somewhatsupport 47 48 44 55 48 46 52 42Strongly/Somewhatoppose 27 12 7 17 30 44 31 52Somewhatoppose 16 8 4 13 11 27 20 32Stronglyoppose 10 3 3 4 19 16 11 20Setstrictcarbondioxideemissionlimitsonexistingcoal-firedpowerplantstoreduceglobalwarmingandimprovepublichealth.Powerplantswouldhavetoreducetheiremissionsand/orinvestinrenewableenergyandenergyefficiency.Thecostofelectricitytoconsumersandcompanieswouldlikelyincrease.[October2017] Democrats Republicans


Mod/Con

Ind/Other Total

Liberal/Mod Con



Howmuchdoyousupportoropposethefollowingpolicies?(Cont’d.)Requirefossilfuelcompaniestopayacarbontaxandusethemoneytoreduceothertaxes(suchasincometax)byanequalamount.[March2018] Democrats Republicans


Mod/Con

Ind/Other Total

Liberal/Mod Con

UnweightedBase (1,067) (472) (265) (204) (120) (430) (149) (276) % % % % % % % %Strongly/Somewhatsupport 71 84 87 82 68 56 69 47Stronglysupport 24 35 39 31 19 12 23 5Somewhatsupport 48 49 48 51 49 43 46 42Strongly/Somewhatoppose 26 13 10 16 26 43 29 53Somewhatoppose 17 10 8 13 13 25 22 28Stronglyoppose 10 2 2 3 13 18 7 25Requirefossilfuelcompaniestopayacarbontaxandusethemoneytoreduceothertaxes(suchasincometax)byanequalamount.[October2017] Democrats Republicans


Mod/Con

Ind/Other Total

Liberal/Mod Con



Howmuchdoyousupportoropposethefollowingpolicies?(Cont’d.)Fundmoreresearchintorenewableenergysources,suchassolarandwindpower. Democrats Republicans


Mod/Con

Ind/Other Total

Liberal/Mod Con

UnweightedBase (1,067) (472) (265) (204) (120) (430) (149) (276) % % % % % % % %Strongly/Somewhatsupport 87 94 95 93 83 79 86 76Stronglysupport 47 64 68 61 40 27 41 19Somewhatsupport 40 29 28 32 43 52 45 57Strongly/Somewhatoppose 11 4 3 5 14 19 13 23Somewhatoppose 7 3 2 3 7 14 11 16Stronglyoppose 3 1 1 2 7 5 2 7Generaterenewableenergy(solarandwind)onpubliclandintheU.S. Democrats Republicans


Mod/Con

Ind/Other Total

Liberal/Mod Con



Howmuchdoyousupportoropposethefollowingpolicies?(Cont’d.)Providetaxrebatesforpeoplewhopurchaseenergy-efficientvehiclesorsolarpanels. Democrats Republicans


Mod/Con

Ind/Other Total

Liberal/Mod Con

UnweightedBase (1,067) (472) (265) (204) (120) (430) (149) (276) % % % % % % % %Strongly/Somewhatsupport 85 91 94 89 82 77 85 73Stronglysupport 41 54 60 48 34 26 35 21Somewhatsupport 44 37 34 41 48 51 50 52Strongly/Somewhatoppose 14 7 4 10 17 23 13 26Somewhatoppose 10 5 4 8 9 15 11 17Stronglyoppose 4 1 1 3 7 7 2 9Regulatecarbondioxide(theprimarygreenhousegas)asapollutant. Democrats Republicans


Mod/Con

Ind/Other Total

Liberal/Mod Con



Howmuchdoyousupportoropposethefollowingpolicies?(Cont’d.)Requireelectricutilitiestoproduceatleast20%oftheirelectricityfromwind,solar,orotherrenewableenergysources,evenifitcoststheaveragehouseholdanextra$100ayear. Democrats Republicans


Mod/Con

Ind/Other Total

Liberal/Mod Con

UnweightedBase (1,067) (472) (265) (204) (120) (430) (149) (276) % % % % % % % %Strongly/Somewhatsupport 66 81 84 80 60 50 68 39Stronglysupport 25 36 41 30 22 13 20 9Somewhatsupport 41 45 43 50 38 37 48 30Strongly/Somewhatoppose 32 17 14 20 37 48 30 60Somewhatoppose 20 11 10 14 25 27 18 33Stronglyoppose 12 5 5 6 12 21 13 26ExpandoffshoredrillingforoilandnaturalgasofftheU.S.coast. Democrats Republicans


Mod/Con

Ind/Other Total

Liberal/Mod Con



Howmuchdoyousupportoropposethefollowingpolicies?(Cont’d.)Drillforandminefossilfuels(coal,oil,andnaturalgas)onpubliclandintheU.S. Democrats Republicans


Mod/Con

Ind/Other Total

Liberal/Mod Con

UnweightedBase (1,067) (472) (265) (204) (120) (430) (149) (276) % % % % % % % %Strongly/Somewhatsupport 45 27 20 37 35 69 63 73Stronglysupport 11 5 4 6 10 18 14 21Somewhatsupport 34 22 15 31 25 50 49 52Strongly/Somewhatoppose 53 70 79 61 61 31 36 27Somewhatoppose 25 25 25 25 38 22 24 19Stronglyoppose 28 46 53 36 23 9 12 7DrillforoilintheArcticNationalWildlifeRefuge. Democrats Republicans


Mod/Con

Ind/Other Total

Liberal/Mod Con



Inthefuture,doyouthinktheUnitedStatesshouldusethefollowingsourcesofenergyless,more,oraboutthesameaswedotoday?Solar Democrats Republicans


Mod/Con

Ind/Other Total

Liberal/Mod Con

UnweightedBase (1,067) (472) (265) (204) (120) (430) (149) (276) % % % % % % % %Muchmorethantoday 52 65 70 60 49 36 44 32Somewhatmorethantoday 28 19 18 21 31 38 38 39Sameamountastoday 11 6 4 9 11 15 11 17Somewhatlessthantoday 1 1 1 1 3 1 1 2Muchlessthantoday 2 1 1 0 2 2 1 3Don’tknow 6 6 5 8 4 7 5 7Wind Democrats Republicans


Mod/Con

Ind/Other Total

Liberal/Mod Con

UnweightedBase (1,067) (472) (265) (204) (120) (430) (149) (276) % % % % % % % %Muchmorethantoday 43 56 63 48 44 27 35 23Somewhatmorethantoday 29 26 24 29 31 34 40 32Sameamountastoday 15 8 6 12 15 23 18 26Somewhatlessthantoday 2 2 1 2 3 2 0 4Muchlessthantoday 2 2 1 2 2 4 1 5Don’tknow 7 6 6 6 5 9 6 10Geothermal Democrats Republicans


Mod/Con

Ind/Other Total

Liberal/Mod Con

UnweightedBase (1,067) (472) (265) (204) (120) (430) (149) (276) % % % % % % % %Muchmorethantoday 24 27 31 23 24 18 22 16Somewhatmorethantoday 25 21 22 20 37 26 22 30Sameamountastoday 20 17 15 19 16 26 29 24Somewhatlessthantoday 3 4 3 4 1 4 5 4Muchlessthantoday 2 2 2 3 2 1 1 0Don’tknow 26 27 26 29 20 24 20 25


Inthefuture,doyouthinktheUnitedStatesshouldusethefollowingsourcesofenergyless,more,oraboutthesameaswedotoday?(Cont’d.)Naturalgas Democrats Republicans


Mod/Con

Ind/Other Total

Liberal/Mod Con

UnweightedBase (1,067) (472) (265) (204) (120) (430) (149) (276) % % % % % % % %Muchmorethantoday 14 13 9 17 20 14 10 17Somewhatmorethantoday 22 18 19 17 19 28 22 32Sameamountastoday 35 32 29 37 42 35 41 31Somewhatlessthantoday 12 15 18 10 5 11 14 8Muchlessthantoday 7 11 14 7 5 3 4 2Don’tknow 9 9 10 9 8 9 8 10Nuclear Democrats Republicans


Mod/Con

Ind/Other Total

Liberal/Mod Con

UnweightedBase (1,067) (472) (265) (204) (120) (430) (149) (276) % % % % % % % %Muchmorethantoday 9 7 7 7 18 10 6 13Somewhatmorethantoday 14 12 12 13 18 16 16 17Sameamountastoday 26 22 21 24 22 31 29 33Somewhatlessthantoday 17 20 21 18 15 15 19 13Muchlessthantoday 19 24 24 23 16 13 18 8Don’tknow 14 14 15 14 11 13 10 15Coal Democrats Republicans


Mod/Con

Ind/Other Total

Liberal/Mod Con

UnweightedBase (1,067) (472) (265) (204) (120) (430) (149) (276) % % % % % % % %Muchmorethantoday 4 3 2 4 6 5 6 5Somewhatmorethantoday 8 3 2 5 9 13 8 17Sameamountastoday 20 10 7 14 23 30 25 33Somewhatlessthantoday 23 22 20 26 16 26 25 26Muchlessthantoday 35 51 60 40 39 15 26 9Don’tknow 10 9 9 10 7 10 11 9


Inthefuture,doyouthinktheUnitedStatesshouldusethefollowingsourcesofenergyless,more,oraboutthesameaswedotoday?(Cont’d.)Oil Democrats Republicans


Mod/Con

Ind/Other Total

Liberal/Mod Con

UnweightedBase (1,067) (472) (265) (204) (120) (430) (149) (276) % % % % % % % %Muchmorethantoday 3 2 2 2 6 5 5 6Somewhatmorethantoday 8 5 4 6 10 11 7 13Sameamountastoday 28 21 15 28 31 36 32 40Somewhatlessthantoday 30 32 34 29 30 29 34 26Muchlessthantoday 22 32 38 25 17 10 14 6Don’tknow 8 7 7 8 6 8 6 8Overall,doyouthinkthatprotectingtheenvironment: Democrats Republicans


Mod/Con

Ind/Other Total

Liberal/Mod Con

UnweightedBase (1,067) (472) (265) (204) (120) (430) (149) (276) % % % % % % % %Improveseconomicgrowthandprovidesnewjobs 59 75 78 73 55 40 54 32

Hasnoeffectoneconomicgrowthorjobs 21 16 14 18 24 27 22 28

Reduceseconomicgrowthandcostsjobs 18 8 7 9 20 33 24 39

Whenthereisaconflictbetweenenvironmentalprotectionandeconomicgrowth,whichdoyouthinkismoreimportant? Democrats Republicans


Mod/Con

Ind/Other Total

Liberal/Mod Con

UnweightedBase (1,067) (472) (265) (204) (120) (430) (149) (276) % % % % % % % %Protectingtheenvironment,evenifitreduceseconomicgrowth 71 85 89 82 75 52 63 45

Economicgrowth,evenifitleadstoenvironmentalproblems 27 12 9 16 24 46 36 53


Howmuchdoyouagreeordisagreewiththefollowingstatement?"Schoolsshouldteachourchildrenaboutthecauses,consequences,andpotentialsolutionstoglobalwarming." Democrats Republicans


Mod/Con

Ind/Other Total

Liberal/Mod Con

UnweightedBase (1,067) (472) (265) (204) (120) (430) (149) (276) % % % % % % % %Strongly/Somewhatagree 81 94 94 93 81 65 79 55Stronglyagree 45 66 72 58 43 20 30 13Somewhatagree 36 27 21 35 38 44 49 42Strongly/Somewhatdisagree 19 6 6 6 19 35 21 45Somewhatdisagree 9 3 4 2 6 18 13 22Stronglydisagree 9 3 2 4 14 17 7 23InNovember,therewillbeelectionstochoosethemembersoftheU.S.HouseofRepresentativesineverydistrict,includingyours.Howimportantwillthecandidates'positionsofthefollowingissuesbewhenyoudecidewhoyouwillvoteforinthe2018Congressionalelection?Healthcare Democrats Republicans


Mod/Con

Ind/Other Total

Liberal/Mod Con

UnweightedBase (1,067) (472) (265) (204) (120) (430) (149) (276) % % % % % % % %Veryimportanttomyvote 65 77 78 77 64 52 54 50Moderatelyimportant 23 16 16 16 22 32 34 32Onlyalittleimportant 6 2 2 1 7 9 6 12Notatallimportanttomyvote 2 1 1 1 4 3 4 3Notsure 2 3 2 3 1 2 3 2Prefernottoanswer/Refused 2 1 * 2 2 1 -- 1


InNovember,therewillbeelectionstochoosethemembersoftheU.S.HouseofRepresentativesineverydistrict,includingyours.Howimportantwillthecandidates'positionsofthefollowingissuesbewhenyoudecidewhoyouwillvoteforinthe2018Congressionalelection?(Cont’d.)Theeconomy Democrats Republicans


Mod/Con

Ind/Other Total

Liberal/Mod Con

UnweightedBase (1,067) (472) (265) (204) (120) (430) (149) (276) % % % % % % % %Veryimportanttomyvote 64 63 59 68 63 68 65 71Moderatelyimportant 27 29 35 22 26 24 24 24Onlyalittleimportant 4 4 3 4 6 4 5 3Notatallimportanttomyvote 1 0 0 1 3 1 0 1Notsure 3 3 2 4 2 2 5 0Prefernottoanswer/Refused 1 1 * 1 1 1 2 *SocialSecurity Democrats Republicans


Mod/Con

Ind/Other Total

Liberal/Mod Con

UnweightedBase (1,067) (472) (265) (204) (120) (430) (149) (276) % % % % % % % %Veryimportanttomyvote 61 64 62 68 59 59 60 58Moderatelyimportant 24 23 25 21 22 27 23 30Onlyalittleimportant 8 7 8 5 11 9 10 8Notatallimportanttomyvote 3 1 2 6 3 2 3Notsure 2 3 2 4 1 1 3 0Prefernottoanswer/Refused 2 2 * 2 2 2 2 1Guncontrol/rights Democrats Republicans


Mod/Con

Ind/Other Total

Liberal/Mod Con

UnweightedBase (1,067) (472) (265) (204) (120) (430) (149) (276) % % % % % % % %Veryimportanttomyvote 61 68 74 61 51 55 54 56Moderatelyimportant 25 20 17 25 37 28 29 28Onlyalittleimportant 6 5 5 6 6 8 8 8Notatallimportanttomyvote 4 2 2 2 4 6 5 7Notsure 2 3 2 4 1 2 3 1Prefernottoanswer/Refused 2 1 -- 2 2 2 * 2


InNovember,therewillbeelectionstochoosethemembersoftheU.S.HouseofRepresentativesineverydistrict,includingyours.Howimportantwillthecandidates'positionsofthefollowingissuesbewhenyoudecidewhoyouwillvoteforinthe2018Congressionalelection?(Cont’d.)Education Democrats Republicans


Mod/Con

Ind/Other Total

Liberal/Mod Con

UnweightedBase (1,067) (472) (265) (204) (120) (430) (149) (276) % % % % % % % %Veryimportanttomyvote 55 65 63 69 52 44 50 41Moderatelyimportant 30 24 28 19 30 36 31 40Onlyalittleimportant 8 4 3 5 11 13 11 15Notatallimportanttomyvote 3 2 2 3 5 3 5 2Notsure 2 3 3 4 1 1 3 0Prefernottoanswer/Refused 1 2 1 2 1 1 1 1Terrorism Democrats Republicans


Mod/Con

Ind/Other Total

Liberal/Mod Con

UnweightedBase (1,067) (472) (265) (204) (120) (430) (149) (276) % % % % % % % %Veryimportanttomyvote 52 46 37 58 53 61 55 64Moderatelyimportant 30 33 38 27 30 25 24 27Onlyalittleimportant 12 14 19 7 13 8 13 6Notatallimportanttomyvote 2 3 3 2 2 2 2 1Notsure 3 4 3 5 1 3 6 1Prefernottoanswer/Refused 1 1 -- 1 1 1 -- 1Improvingthenation'sroads,bridges,andpowerlines Democrats Republicans


Mod/Con

Ind/Other Total

Liberal/Mod Con

UnweightedBase (1,067) (472) (265) (204) (120) (430) (149) (276) % % % % % % % %Veryimportanttomyvote 48 53 53 55 55 42 48 38Moderatelyimportant 35 32 33 32 30 41 37 43Onlyalittleimportant 11 8 8 8 9 13 11 15Notatallimportanttomyvote 3 2 3 1 3 3 1 3Notsure 2 3 2 4 1 1 3 0Prefernottoanswer/Refused 1 1 1 1 1 1 -- 1


InNovember,therewillbeelectionstochoosethemembersoftheU.S.HouseofRepresentativesineverydistrict,includingyours.Howimportantwillthecandidates'positionsofthefollowingissuesbewhenyoudecidewhoyouwillvoteforinthe2018Congressionalelection?(Cont’d.)Protectingtheenvironment Democrats Republicans


Mod/Con

Ind/Other Total

Liberal/Mod Con

UnweightedBase (1,067) (472) (265) (204) (120) (430) (149) (276) % % % % % % % %Veryimportanttomyvote 48 66 73 57 48 27 34 22Moderatelyimportant 31 23 20 27 32 41 42 40Onlyalittleimportant 12 5 2 9 9 23 15 30Notatallimportanttomyvote 5 2 1 2 9 6 3 7Notsure 2 3 3 3 1 2 4 0Prefernottoanswer/Refused 2 2 * 2 2 2 2 1Thefederalbudgetdeficit Democrats Republicans


Mod/Con

Ind/Other Total

Liberal/Mod Con

UnweightedBase (1,067) (472) (265) (204) (120) (430) (149) (276) % % % % % % % %Veryimportanttomyvote 46 44 42 47 47 52 50 54Moderatelyimportant 34 33 32 33 31 35 33 35Onlyalittleimportant 13 16 19 13 12 9 11 7Notatallimportanttomyvote 2 1 2 0 6 2 1 2Notsure 3 5 5 5 1 2 3 2Prefernottoanswer/Refused 1 1 * 1 2 1 1 1Immigrationreform Democrats Republicans


Mod/Con

Ind/Other Total

Liberal/Mod Con

UnweightedBase (1,067) (472) (265) (204) (120) (430) (149) (276) % % % % % % % %Veryimportanttomyvote 46 40 42 39 47 54 43 61Moderatelyimportant 31 34 34 35 32 26 31 23Onlyalittleimportant 14 15 16 15 11 12 14 11Notatallimportanttomyvote 4 4 4 4 5 4 7 3Notsure 4 4 4 5 3 3 4 2Prefernottoanswer/Refused 2 2 1 1 2 1 * 1


InNovember,therewillbeelectionstochoosethemembersoftheU.S.HouseofRepresentativesineverydistrict,includingyours.Howimportantwillthecandidates'positionsofthefollowingissuesbewhenyoudecidewhoyouwillvoteforinthe2018Congressionalelection?(Cont’d.)Taxreform Democrats Republicans


Mod/Con

Ind/Other Total

Liberal/Mod Con

UnweightedBase (1,067) (472) (265) (204) (120) (430) (149) (276) % % % % % % % %Veryimportanttomyvote 45 43 40 48 48 48 46 50Moderatelyimportant 35 37 39 34 30 36 39 35Onlyalittleimportant 10 11 13 8 13 8 5 11Notatallimportanttomyvote 3 3 5 2 5 2 3 2Notsure 4 4 3 6 3 3 5 2Prefernottoanswer/Refused 2 2 * 1 1 1 2 1DefendingU.S.electionsfrominterferencebyRussiaorothercountries Democrats Republicans


Mod/Con

Ind/Other Total

Liberal/Mod Con

UnweightedBase (1,067) (472) (265) (204) (120) (430) (149) (276) % % % % % % % %Veryimportanttomyvote 44 60 63 58 44 25 27 24Moderatelyimportant 27 21 21 22 30 34 34 35Onlyalittleimportant 14 10 8 13 11 19 19 20Notatallimportanttomyvote 10 3 3 2 12 16 13 19Notsure 5 5 5 4 3 4 7 2Prefernottoanswer/Refused 1 1 * 1 1 1 -- 1Incomegapbetweenrichandpoor Democrats Republicans


Mod/Con

Ind/Other Total

Liberal/Mod Con

UnweightedBase (1,067) (472) (265) (204) (120) (430) (149) (276) % % % % % % % %Veryimportanttomyvote 41 59 65 54 37 19 30 13Moderatelyimportant 29 26 24 28 32 31 35 29Onlyalittleimportant 15 7 7 8 10 25 18 31Notatallimportanttomyvote 11 2 1 4 16 21 14 25Notsure 3 4 2 5 3 2 3 1Prefernottoanswer/Refused 1 2 -- 2 1 1 1 1


InNovember,therewillbeelectionstochoosethemembersoftheU.S.HouseofRepresentativesineverydistrict,includingyours.Howimportantwillthecandidates'positionsofthefollowingissuesbewhenyoudecidewhoyouwillvoteforinthe2018Congressionalelection?(Cont’d.)Developingsourcesofcleanenergy Democrats Republicans


Mod/Con

Ind/Other Total

Liberal/Mod Con

UnweightedBase (1,067) (472) (265) (204) (120) (430) (149) (276) % % % % % % % %Veryimportanttomyvote 38 53 59 47 38 21 27 17Moderatelyimportant 35 32 28 37 37 40 44 37Onlyalittleimportant 16 7 6 9 13 27 16 34Notatallimportanttomyvote 6 2 2 1 10 9 6 10Notsure 3 4 3 4 2 3 5 1Prefernottoanswer/Refused 2 2 2 1 1 1 2 1Globalwarming Democrats Republicans


Mod/Con

Ind/Other Total

Liberal/Mod Con

UnweightedBase (1,067) (472) (265) (204) (120) (430) (149) (276) % % % % % % % %Veryimportanttomyvote 38 59 69 46 40 13 22 9Moderatelyimportant 26 25 20 31 23 27 36 21Onlyalittleimportant 15 8 5 12 14 25 25 25Notatallimportanttomyvote 16 2 2 3 20 30 14 40Notsure 4 4 3 6 3 4 3 3Prefernottoanswer/Refused 1 1 * 1 1 1 -- 1Providingreliefafternaturaldisasters(suchashurricanes,wildfires,etc.) Democrats Republicans


Mod/Con

Ind/Other Total

Liberal/Mod Con

UnweightedBase (1,067) (472) (265) (204) (120) (430) (149) (276) % % % % % % % %Veryimportanttomyvote 36 47 46 50 36 24 25 23Moderatelyimportant 39 34 36 32 37 45 50 42Onlyalittleimportant 16 12 13 11 17 20 13 25Notatallimportanttomyvote 5 2 3 -- 8 9 10 9Notsure 3 4 3 5 2 1 3 1Prefernottoanswer/Refused 1 1 -- 2 1 1 -- 1


InNovember,therewillbeelectionstochoosethemembersoftheU.S.HouseofRepresentativesineverydistrict,includingyours.Howimportantwillthecandidates'positionsofthefollowingissuesbewhenyoudecidewhoyouwillvoteforinthe2018Congressionalelection?(Cont’d.)Racerelations Democrats Republicans


Mod/Con

Ind/Other Total

Liberal/Mod Con

UnweightedBase (1,067) (472) (265) (204) (120) (430) (149) (276) % % % % % % % %Veryimportanttomyvote 36 50 53 47 39 18 22 15Moderatelyimportant 34 31 32 31 31 39 42 38Onlyalittleimportant 16 10 8 12 14 23 20 26Notatallimportanttomyvote 10 3 3 3 11 16 12 19Notsure 3 4 4 6 3 2 3 1Prefernottoanswer/Refused 2 2 1 2 2 2 1 2Criminaljustice/sentencingreform Democrats Republicans


Mod/Con

Ind/Other Total

Liberal/Mod Con

UnweightedBase (1,067) (472) (265) (204) (120) (430) (149) (276) % % % % % % % %Veryimportanttomyvote 35 40 40 41 34 29 27 30Moderatelyimportant 39 38 38 37 39 40 40 41Onlyalittleimportant 18 14 14 14 19 22 20 24Notatallimportanttomyvote 4 2 3 2 6 6 9 4Notsure 4 5 4 5 2 3 4 2Prefernottoanswer/Refused 1 1 -- 1 1 1 -- *Energyindependence Democrats Republicans


Mod/Con

Ind/Other Total

Liberal/Mod Con

UnweightedBase (1,067) (472) (265) (204) (120) (430) (149) (276) % % % % % % % %Veryimportanttomyvote 35 37 35 41 41 31 33 30Moderatelyimportant 40 42 44 40 33 42 39 44Onlyalittleimportant 14 11 11 10 14 18 13 20Notatallimportanttomyvote 5 3 4 3 9 6 8 4Notsure 5 5 6 5 3 3 5 2Prefernottoanswer/Refused 2 1 * 1 1 1 2 *


InNovember,therewillbeelectionstochoosethemembersoftheU.S.HouseofRepresentativesineverydistrict,includingyours.Howimportantwillthecandidates'positionsofthefollowingissuesbewhenyoudecidewhoyouwillvoteforinthe2018Congressionalelection?(Cont’d.)Abortion Democrats Republicans


Mod/Con

Ind/Other Total

Liberal/Mod Con

UnweightedBase (1,067) (472) (265) (204) (120) (430) (149) (276) % % % % % % % %Veryimportanttomyvote 34 33 36 30 38 36 22 45Moderatelyimportant 29 32 31 33 33 25 28 22Onlyalittleimportant 18 18 19 16 9 21 32 14Notatallimportanttomyvote 12 8 6 11 15 15 15 15Notsure 4 6 7 5 2 2 3 2Prefernottoanswer/Refused 3 3 1 4 3 2 1 1Foreignpolicy Democrats Republicans


Mod/Con

Ind/Other Total

Liberal/Mod Con

UnweightedBase (1,067) (472) (265) (204) (120) (430) (149) (276) % % % % % % % %Veryimportanttomyvote 34 36 37 35 37 34 34 33Moderatelyimportant 41 41 43 39 48 41 39 43Onlyalittleimportant 14 13 11 15 9 17 15 19Notatallimportanttomyvote 4 4 4 3 3 3 5 1Notsure 5 6 5 6 1 5 6 3Prefernottoanswer/Refused 2 2 * 1 2 1 1 1Theopioidcrisis Democrats Republicans


Mod/Con

Ind/Other Total

Liberal/Mod Con

UnweightedBase (1,067) (472) (265) (204) (120) (430) (149) (276) % % % % % % % %Veryimportanttomyvote 33 36 34 39 33 30 31 30Moderatelyimportant 35 35 38 31 32 36 36 36Onlyalittleimportant 16 16 18 14 17 17 16 19Notatallimportanttomyvote 9 6 4 7 12 12 10 14Notsure 5 6 5 7 2 3 6 1Prefernottoanswer/Refused 2 1 -- 2 3 2 2 1


InNovember,therewillbeelectionstochoosethemembersoftheU.S.HouseofRepresentativesineverydistrict,includingyours.Howimportantwillthecandidates'positionsofthefollowingissuesbewhenyoudecidewhoyouwillvoteforinthe2018Congressionalelection?(Cont’d.)Campaignfinancereform Democrats Republicans


Mod/Con

Ind/Other Total

Liberal/Mod Con

UnweightedBase (1,067) (472) (265) (204) (120) (430) (149) (276) % % % % % % % %Veryimportanttomyvote 30 34 37 29 36 24 26 23Moderatelyimportant 30 31 30 33 33 29 26 31Onlyalittleimportant 22 18 19 18 15 29 32 27Notatallimportanttomyvote 10 9 8 10 6 12 9 14Notsure 7 6 5 8 8 5 6 4Prefernottoanswer/Refused 1 1 * 2 2 1 -- *Same-sexmarriage Democrats Republicans


Mod/Con

Ind/Other Total

Liberal/Mod Con

UnweightedBase (1,067) (472) (265) (204) (120) (430) (149) (276) % % % % % % % %Veryimportanttomyvote 27 32 40 21 21 24 13 30Moderatelyimportant 20 23 26 20 22 17 20 16Onlyalittleimportant 16 15 14 16 23 15 22 12Notatallimportanttomyvote 30 23 16 32 30 38 37 38Notsure 4 5 3 8 2 3 4 1Prefernottoanswer/Refused 3 3 1 3 3 3 3 2Internationaltrade Democrats Republicans


Mod/Con

Ind/Other Total

Liberal/Mod Con

UnweightedBase (1,067) (472) (265) (204) (120) (430) (149) (276) % % % % % % % %Veryimportanttomyvote 26 25 26 25 36 26 25 26Moderatelyimportant 44 46 48 43 36 45 48 44Onlyalittleimportant 18 19 18 21 18 17 11 21Notatallimportanttomyvote 4 3 2 4 3 6 9 4Notsure 5 6 5 6 5 5 5 4Prefernottoanswer/Refused 2 1 1 1 2 2 2 1


InNovember,therewillbeelectionstochoosethemembersoftheU.S.HouseofRepresentativesineverydistrict,includingyours.Howimportantwillthecandidates'positionsofthefollowingissuesbewhenyoudecidewhoyouwillvoteforinthe2018Congressionalelection?(Cont’d.)ReformingWallStreet Democrats Republicans


Mod/Con

Ind/Other Total

Liberal/Mod Con

UnweightedBase (1,067) (472) (265) (204) (120) (430) (149) (276) % % % % % % % %Veryimportanttomyvote 25 33 36 29 27 15 18 14Moderatelyimportant 32 34 35 32 32 31 32 31Onlyalittleimportant 23 18 19 18 20 31 30 31Notatallimportanttomyvote 11 6 4 8 14 17 15 18Notsure 6 8 6 10 7 5 5 5Prefernottoanswer/Refused 2 2 1 2 1 1 1 1ThewarinAfghanistan Democrats Republicans


Mod/Con

Ind/Other Total

Liberal/Mod Con

UnweightedBase (1,067) (472) (265) (204) (120) (430) (149) (276) % % % % % % % %Veryimportanttomyvote 24 25 24 27 30 22 20 23Moderatelyimportant 40 40 42 39 37 43 42 43Onlyalittleimportant 21 20 21 19 16 23 23 24Notatallimportanttomyvote 7 5 6 5 9 7 10 5Notsure 6 8 7 10 6 5 5 4Prefernottoanswer/Refused 1 1 * 1 2 1 * *Legalizingmarijuana Democrats Republicans


Mod/Con

Ind/Other Total

Liberal/Mod Con

UnweightedBase (1,067) (472) (265) (204) (120) (430) (149) (276) % % % % % % % %Veryimportanttomyvote 23 27 27 27 16 19 17 21Moderatelyimportant 24 25 30 19 32 20 26 16Onlyalittleimportant 20 21 23 19 18 20 23 18Notatallimportanttomyvote 28 20 16 26 29 36 28 41Notsure 4 5 3 7 2 4 4 3Prefernottoanswer/Refused 2 1 * 1 2 1 1 1


Earlieryousaidthatacandidate'sviewsaboutthefollowingissuesareimportanttoyouwhendecidingwhotovoteforforCongress.Whichoneoftheseissuesisthemostimportantissuetoyouwhenvotingforacandidate?[Programmingnotes:Ifmorethanoneissueisselectedaboveas"veryimportant"above,displayall"veryimportant"issues.Ifnoissuesareselectedaboveas"veryimportant,"butmorethanoneisselectedas"somewhatimportant,"displayallissuesselectedas"somewhatimportant."Ifonlyoneissueisselectedas"veryimportant,"donotdisplaythisquestion,butautomaticallyenterthatas"mostimportant"issue.Ifno"veryimportant"issuesareselected,andonlyone"somewhatimportant"issueisselected,donotdisplaythisquestion,butautomaticallyenterthatissueas"mostimportant."Ifnoissuesareidentifiedaseither"very"or"somewhatimportant,"donotdisplaythisquestionandautomaticallyenterresponseof"no'very'or'somewhat'importantissueidentified."]



Mod/Con

Ind/Other Total

Liberal/Mod Con

UnweightedBase (1,067) (472) (265) (204) (120) (430) (149) (276) % % % % % % % %Healthcare 12 16 15 17 5 8 13 5SocialSecurity 12 12 10 15 12 10 15 7Theeconomy 11 7 5 10 9 17 13 19Guncontrol/rights 9 8 10 6 9 9 9 9Education 8 10 10 10 9 5 9 3Immigrationreform 6 2 2 2 9 11 5 15Incomegapbetweenrichandpoor 5 8 10 7 6 1 4 --Abortion 4 3 4 1 3 8 -- 12Thefederalbudgetdeficit 4 2 1 3 4 6 2 9Terrorism 3 2 -- 4 5 5 6 4Legalizingmarijuana 3 3 4 1 1 3 4 1Improvingthenation'sroads,bridges,andpowerlines 2 1 1 2 3 4 5 3

Protectingtheenvironment 2 3 6 1 2 1 1 1Racerelations 2 3 3 4 6 -- -- --Globalwarming 2 3 3 2 1 1 2 1DefendingU.S.electionsfrominterferencebyRussiaorothercountries

2 2 2 3 3 1 2 1

Campaignfinancereform 2 2 2 1 3 1 2 1Same-sexmarriage 1 1 1 1 * 2 1 3Taxreform 1 1 2 1 -- 1 1 1Developingsourcesofcleanenergy 1 2 3 1 1 * -- *ThewarinAfghanistan 1 1 1 1 1 * 1 *Theopioidcrisis 1 1 1 1 1 1 * 1Criminaljustice/sentencingreform 1 1 1 -- 2 * -- 1Foreignpolicy 1 1 1 * 1 1 2 --ReformingWallStreet * * * -- 1 * -- *Energyindependence * -- -- -- 1 * * --Providingreliefafternaturaldisasters(suchashurricanes,wildfires,etc.)

* * * -- 1 -- -- --

Internationaltrade * * * -- -- -- -- --Noresponse/Noimportantissues 3 4 2 6 3 2 3 1


Howlikelywouldyoubetodoeachofthefollowingthingsifapersonyoulikeandrespectaskedyouto?Voteforacandidateforpublicofficebecauseoftheirpositiononglobalwarming Democrats Republicans


Mod/Con

Ind/Other Total

Liberal/Mod Con

UnweightedBase (1,067) (472) (265) (204) (120) (430) (149) (276) % % % % % % % %Definitelywould 24 37 43 29 19 11 13 9Probablywould 30 35 37 34 23 25 31 22Probablywouldnot 13 8 6 10 8 21 15 26Definitelywouldnot 10 2 2 2 15 18 14 20Don’tknow 18 14 11 18 29 20 22 19Prefernottoanswer/Refused 5 5 2 7 6 5 5 4Donatemoneytoanorganizationworkingonglobalwarming Democrats Republicans


Mod/Con

Ind/Other Total

Liberal/Mod Con

UnweightedBase (1,067) (472) (265) (204) (120) (430) (149) (276) % % % % % % % %Definitelywould 9 15 21 8 6 3 5 2Probablywould 28 38 38 39 26 15 24 10Probablywouldnot 21 17 16 19 15 29 27 30Definitelywouldnot 21 6 5 8 24 37 24 46Don’tknow 15 17 16 19 24 10 13 8Prefernottoanswer/Refused 6 6 5 7 5 6 7 4


Howlikelywouldyoubetodoeachofthefollowingthingsifapersonyoulikeandrespectaskedyouto?(Cont’d.)Writeletters,emails,orphonegovernmentofficialsaboutglobalwarming Democrats Republicans


Mod/Con

Ind/Other Total

Liberal/Mod Con

UnweightedBase (1,067) (472) (265) (204) (120) (430) (149) (276) % % % % % % % %Definitelywould 11 16 19 11 9 7 10 5Probablywould 24 34 38 30 24 12 13 12Probablywouldnot 26 23 22 26 15 32 31 33Definitelywouldnot 19 5 4 7 23 34 26 40Don’tknow 15 17 14 20 23 11 14 8Prefernottoanswer/Refused 5 5 4 6 5 4 6 2Volunteeryourtimetoanorganizationworkingonglobalwarming Democrats Republicans


Mod/Con

Ind/Other Total

Liberal/Mod Con

UnweightedBase (1,067) (472) (265) (204) (120) (430) (149) (276) % % % % % % % %Definitelywould 7 10 12 8 7 2 5 1Probablywould 26 37 44 30 23 13 18 11Probablywouldnot 25 23 21 26 20 30 28 32Definitelywouldnot 20 6 6 7 22 35 25 43Don’tknow 18 19 15 23 22 15 19 11Prefernottoanswer/Refused 5 5 2 6 5 4 5 3Meetwithanelectedofficialortheirstaffaboutglobalwarming Democrats Republicans


Mod/Con

Ind/Other Total

Liberal/Mod Con

UnweightedBase (1,067) (472) (265) (204) (120) (430) (149) (276) % % % % % % % %Definitelywould 10 14 17 10 11 5 7 5Probablywould 23 29 30 29 24 15 17 14Probablywouldnot 27 26 26 26 27 28 27 30Definitelywouldnot 19 7 8 6 17 33 25 39Don’tknow 16 19 16 25 16 13 17 9Prefernottoanswer/Refused 5 5 4 4 4 5 7 4


Overthepast12months,howmanytimeshaveyoudonethefollowing?Writtenletters,emailed,orphonedgovernmentofficialsaboutglobalwarming Democrats Republicans


Mod/Con

Ind/Other Total

Liberal/Mod Con

UnweightedBase (1,067) (472) (265) (204) (120) (430) (149) (276) % % % % % % % %Manytimes(6+) 2 3 5 1 1 1 3 1Severaltimes(4-5) 2 2 3 2 4 2 3 1Afewtimes(2-3) 6 9 9 9 9 2 4 1Once 4 6 7 5 11 2 1 2Never 81 76 74 80 71 90 84 93Don’tknow 4 4 3 4 4 3 5 2[Ifoneormoretimes]Whenyoucontactedagovernmentofficialdidyou… Democrats Republicans


Mod/Con

Ind/Other Total

Liberal/Mod Con

UnweightedBase (1,067) (472) (265) (204) (120) (430) (149) (276) % % % % % % % %Urgethemtotakeactiontoreduceglobalwarming 13 18 21 16 16 6 8 4

Urgethemnottotakeactiontoreduceglobalwarming 1 * * -- 8 1 3 *

Other(pleasespecify) 1 1 2 -- 2 * -- 1Never/Don'tknow/Refusedpreviousquestion 85 80 77 84 74 93 89 95

Howwillingorunwillingwouldyoubetojoinacampaigntoconvinceelectedofficialstoreduceglobalwarming? Democrats Republicans


Mod/Con

Ind/Other Total

Liberal/Mod Con

UnweightedBase (1,067) (472) (265) (204) (120) (430) (149) (276) % % % % % % % %Iamparticipatinginacampaignlikethisnow 3 3 4 1 6 1 2 *

Idefinitelywoulddoit 10 16 20 10 5 5 8 3Iprobablywoulddoit 22 33 36 29 20 10 13 8Iprobablywouldnotdoit 16 14 10 18 12 21 21 22Idefinitelywouldnotdoit 19 4 3 6 24 37 20 48Notsure 23 23 20 27 27 19 26 15Prefernottoanswer/Refused 8 7 6 8 6 7 10 5


AppendixII:SurveyMethodThedatainthisreportarebasedonanationallyrepresentativesurveyof1,278Americanadults,aged18andolder,1,067ofwhomareregisteredtovote.ThesurveywasconductedMarch7–24,2018.Allquestionnaireswereself-administeredbyrespondentsinaweb-basedenvironment.Thesurveytook,onaverage,about23minutestocomplete.ThesamplewasdrawnfromGfK’sKnowledgePanel®,anonlinepanelofmembersdrawnusingprobabilitysamplingmethods.Prospectivemembersarerecruitedusingacombinationofrandomdigitdialandaddress-basedsamplingtechniquesthatcovervirtuallyall(non-institutional)residentphonenumbersandaddressesintheUnitedStates.ThosecontactedwhowouldchoosetojointhepanelbutdonothaveaccesstotheInternetareloanedcomputersandgivenInternetaccesssotheymayparticipate.Thesamplethereforeincludesarepresentativecross-sectionofAmericanadults–irrespectiveofwhethertheyhaveInternetaccess,useonlyacellphone,etc.Keydemographicvariableswereweighted,postsurvey,tomatchUSCensusBureaunorms.ThesurveyinstrumentwasdesignedbyAnthonyLeiserowitz,SethRosenthal,andMatthewCutlerofYaleUniversity,andEdwardMaibach,ConnieRoser-Renouf,andJohnKotcherofGeorgeMasonUniversity.MarginsoferrorAllsamplesaresubjecttosomedegreeofsamplingerror–thatis,statisticalresultsobtainedfromasamplecanbeexpectedtodiffersomewhatfromresultsthatwouldbeobtainedifeverymemberofthetargetpopulationwasinterviewed.Averagemarginsoferror,atthe95%confidencelevel,areasfollows:• Totalregisteredvoters:Plusorminus3percentagepoints.• Democrats(total):Plusorminus5points.• LiberalDemocrats:Plusorminus6points.• Moderate/conservativeDemocrats:Plusorminus7points.• Independents:Plusorminus9points.• Republicans(total):Plusorminus5points.• Liberal/moderateRepublicans:Plusorminus8points.• ConservativeRepublicans:Plusorminus6points.


RoundingerrorFortabulationpurposes,percentagepointsareroundedofftothenearestwholenumber.Asaresult,percentagesinagivenchartmaytotalslightlyhigherorlowerthan100%.Summedresponsecategories(e.g.,"stronglysupport"+"somewhatsupport")areroundedaftersumsarecalculated(e.g.,1.3%+1.3%=2.6%,which,afterrounding=3%).


AppendixIII:DemographicsRegisteredVoters

N

(unweighted)%

(weighted)Total 1,067 100Men 526 50Women 541 50

iGen(18-21) 32 6Millennial(22-37) 167 21GenerationX(38-53) 241 26BabyBoomer(54-72) 485 37SilentGeneration(73+) 142 10

Lessthanhighschool 41 6Highschoolgraduate 269 26Somecollege/Associatedegree/Technicaldegree 339 31Collegegraduate 212 19Postgraduate 206 17

<$25K 122 12$25K-<$50K 227 19$50K-<$75K 203 18$75K-<$100K 161 15$100K-<$125K 127 12$125K+ 227 25

White,non-Hispanic 813 68Black,African-Americannon-Hispanic 89 12Hispanic 102 13Othernon-Hispanic 63 7

Northeast 195 18Midwest 266 23South 350 35West 256 24


FullSample

N

(unweighted)%

(weighted)Total 1,278 100Men 609 48Women 669 52

iGen(18-21) 56 8Millennial(22-37) 243 25GenerationX(38-53) 285 25BabyBoomer(54-72) 546 34SilentGeneration(73+) 148 8

Lessthanhighschool 92 11Highschoolgraduate 361 29Somecollege/Associatedegree/Technicaldegree 380 28Collegegraduate 231 17Postgraduate 214 15

<$25K 189 15$25K-<$50K 278 20$50K-<$75K 234 17$75K-<$100K 181 14$100K-<$125K 149 12$125K+ 247 22

White,non-Hispanic 934 64Black,African-Americannon-Hispanic 111 12Hispanic 149 16Othernon-Hispanic 84 8

Northeast 235 18Midwest 298 21South 443 38West 302 24

george mason university foundation - politics & global warming · 2018-08-01 · politics &...

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