georgia: lg monitoring and project impact evaluation washington dc, 23 march, 2015 david labadze –...

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Georgia: LG Monitoring and Project Impact Evaluation Washington DC, 23 March, 2015 David Labadze – LG Monitoring Expert David Egiashvili – LGAF Country Coordinator Denys Nizalov – Land Monitoring Coordinator, Kyiv School of Economics Kateryna Chmelova – Data Analyst 1

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1

Georgia: LG Monitoring andProject Impact

Evaluation

Washington DC, 23 March, 2015

David Labadze – LG Monitoring Expert

David Egiashvili – LGAF Country Coordinator

Denys Nizalov – Land Monitoring Coordinator, Kyiv School of Economics

Kateryna Chmelova – Data Analyst

2

Background for Land Governance Monitoring

• LGAF – 2011;

• LGAF Update 2012;

• Pilot implementation of Land Governance Monitoring System – 2013;

• Retrospective monitoring of Land Governance – 2011-2014;

• Land Governance Monitoring System – 2013;

3

Monitoring Indicators

A. Number (and prices where possible) of registered transactions of different types – (2011-2014);

B. Receipts of land tax revenue – (2011-2014);C. Share of communal, private, and state land mapped – (2013);D. Cases of expropriation and privatization – (2013);E. Number of land-related conflicts in the courts – (2011-2014);F. Share of agricultural/residential land registered and mapped in

women’s/men’s name or in joint ownership – (2011-2014);

Note: Pilot Implementation (2013); Retrospective update (2011-2014)

4

Data Sources

Note: Pilot Implementation (2013); Retrospective update (2011-2014)

National Agency of Public RegistryLand Inventory (2006)Land Cadaster (31.12.2014)Registry of Real Estate and Immovable Property (2011- 2014)

Court (from District Level) (2011-2014);Neighbor disputesImmovable property ownershipLease, agricultural land leaseMortgageInheritance-related disputes, etc.

Revenue Service (2011- 2014) Land and real estate tax revenues by municipalities

Road Department (Ministry of Infrastructure and Regional Development) (2013);

5

Group A. Number and prices of registered transactions

6

* 2012 is adjusted for number of transactions of ownership registration of agricultural land connected with the reform of 2012 (472,446 transactions )

Indicator A.Number of Land and Real Estate Transactions

Data: Registry of Real Estate and Immovable Property (2011- 2014)

2011 2012 2013 2014

total 000 pop

% of all trans total 000

pop% of all

trans total 000 pop

% of all trans total 000

pop% of all

trans

Linear Objects 3,271 0.73 0.68 3,455 0.77 0.65 5,039 1.12 1.07 4,548 1.01 0.88

Real Estate 212,279 47.50 43.88 249,243 55.42 47.03 220,161 49.10 46.82 242,719 54.05 47.16

Agricultural Land 158,014 35.36 32.66 176,598 39.26 33.33 152,316 33.97 32.39 170,681 38.01 33.17

Non-agricultural Land 110,234 24.67 22.79 100,621 22.37 18.99 92,719 20.68 19.72 96,690 21.53 18.79

Total 483,798 108.25 100.00 529,917 117.82 100.00 470,235 104.87 100.00 514,638 114.61 100.00

7

  2013 2014

Region Housing (%)

Agr (%)

non-agr (%)

Housing (%)

Agr (%)

non-agr (%)

Tbilisi 64.46 5.69 40.5 65.11 4.91 40.96Ajara A.R. 14.03 6.34 9.98 13.99 5.76 9.89Guria 0.35 4.44 1.71 0.31 4.88 1.83Imereti 7.79 12.98 13.87 7.73 14.72 13.49Kakheti 1.01 20.41 4.76 0.91 19.37 5.15Mtskheta-Mtianeti 0.66 8.48 2.77 0.71 8.7 3.32Racha-Lechkhumi and Kvemo Svaneti 0.05 1.02 0.64 0.05 1.14 0.59

Samegrelo-Zemo Svaneti 2.01 6.48 7.17 2.09 7.57 7.5Samtskhe-Javakheti 1.38 5.74 4.76 1.27 4.77 4.37Kvemo Kartli 6.48 19.5 8.01 6.16 18.79 6.88Shida Kartli 1.8 8.91 5.84 1.66 9.39 6.03Georgia 100 100 100.00 100 100 100

Regional distribution of transactions

Data: Registry of Real Estate and Immovable Property (2011- 2014)

Indicator A.

8

Indicator A.

Data: Registry of Real Estate and Immovable Property (2011-2014)

1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 42011 2012 2013 2014

900

9,000

90,000

900,000

Dynamics of sales, mortgage and primary registration transactions by quarters, 2011-2014

Primary registrationsSalesMortgagesAll transactionsReform registrations

9

Agricultural

Average and

Median Sale Price

Data: Registry of Real Estate and Immovable Property (2011- 2014)

1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 42011 2012 2013 2014

0

20000

40000

60000

80000

100000

120000

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

3000

3500

4000

4500

5000

Average Prices Median Prices

Aver

age

Pric

es, U

SD/s

q.m

Med

ian

Pric

es, U

SD/s

q.m

Indicator A.

10

Non-Agricultur

al Average

and Median

Sale Price

Data: Registry of Real Estate and Immovable Property (2011- 2014)

1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 42011 2012 2013 2014

0

100000

200000

300000

400000

500000

600000

700000

Average Prices Median Prices

USD

/ s

q.m

Indicator A.

11

2011 2012 2013 2014Non-agricultural

land 3.338 1.680 8.537 12.58

Agricultural land 0.046 0.033 0.035 0.076

Housing 338.4 397.9 441.1 468.5

Median Price per Sq. M, real USD

*Corrected for outliers

Indicator A.

Data: Registry of Real Estate and Immovable Property (2011- 2014)

12

Agricultural Land

Sale Median

Prices and Total

Revenue. 2014

Indicator A.

Data: Registry of Real Estate and Immovable Property (2011- 2014)

Median prices (USD per HA)

Total Revenue (per 1000 of population)

13

Non-Agricultur

al Land Sale

Median Prices and

Total Revenue.

2014

Indicator A.

Data: Registry of Real Estate and Immovable Property (2011- 2014)

Median prices (USD per HA)

Total Revenue (per 1000 of population)

14

*Total area includes land sold to organizations

resident80%

non-resident0.2%

undefined20%

Total area sold (HA): 28,823

Area (HA) sold by Citizenship of owners, Agricultural land

resident82%

non-resident1%

undefined17%

Total area sold (HA): 51,471

2013 2014

Indicator A.

Data: Registry of Real Estate and Immovable Property (2011- 2014)

15

resident34%

non-resident6%

undefined60%

Total area sold (HA): 1166

Area (HA) sold by Citizenship of owners, Non-Agricultural land

*Total area includes land sold to organizations

resident39%

non-resident14%

undefined47%

2013

Total area sold (HA): 1,263.43

2013 2014

Indicator A.

Data: Registry of Real Estate and Immovable Property (2011- 2014)

16

Average Price by Citizenship of owners, 2011-2014

Agricultural land

Non-Agricultural

landHousing

USD/ha USD/ha USD/sqm

Native 77,016 834,777 497

Foreign 151,355 1,083,349 755

* Difference in means is statistically significant

Indicator A.

Data: Registry of Real Estate and Immovable Property (2011- Sept 2014)

17

Group B. Receipts of land tax revenue

18

Taxes, 2014 Indicator B.

Data: Revenue Service (2014)

Agricultural Land Non-Agricultural Land

Regions Tax payers

Declared # of parcels

Declared area (HA)

Taxes collected (1000 GEL)

Tax payers

Declared # of parcels

Declared area (HA)

Taxes collected (1000 GEL)

Ajara A.R. 10273 13136 10.91 221.5 2710 3654 1288.55 2827.5Apkhazeti A.R. 20 25 7.54 0 17 21 7.08 0.3Guria 5363 7285 8.23 440.6 1444 1724 603.89 1243.7Imereti 5702 7308 41.09 712.9 5925 7299 3022.41 3123.2Kakheti 18232 25092 142.54 10565.8 3004 3575 1289.78 1368.4Kvemo Kartli 21744 25575 35.31 6222.4 3887 4822 5035.65 7391.7Mtskheta 11881 14249 33.01 426.4 1303 1777 4219.86 2322.9Racha-Lechkhumi 521 801 13.38 33.1 256 335 105.78 53.5

Samegrelo-Zemo Svaneti 4466 5611 86.4 1661.2 3531 4459 3617.76 4688.9

Samtskhe-Javakheti 4363 6203 97.08 1187 2163 3034 1641.59 2169.3

Shida Kartli 9408 13698 65.98 1683.6 2164 2612 738.56 1019.8Tbilisi 8383 10450 20.89 247 20874 27623 4791.59 11671.6Total 100356 129433 562.37 23401.5 47278 60935 26362.51 37880.9

19

Taxes (in 10000 GEL) and Area (in HA), 2011-2014 Indicator B.

Data: Revenue Service (2011-2014)

2011 2012 2013 20141000000

10000000

100000000

1000000000

non-agricultural area taxes for non-agricultural landagricultural area taxes for agricultural land

20

Group C. Share of communal, private, and state land mapped

21

Land area by categoryCategory Area (Ha) %

Residential 33,200 1%Industry 92,000 2%Agriculture 1,600,000 39%Pasture 899,000 22%Wood and forestry 890,000 21%Public 12,000 0%Infrastructure 58,600 1%Water 70,300 2%Other 422,000 10%No visible use 64,600 2%Total (Georgia) 4,141,700 100%

Indicator C.

* For inventoried territories Data: land inventory, 2004-2006

22

Group D. Cases of expropriation and privatization

23

Cases of Expropriation, 2013

Name Number Rate(GEL per Sq.M)

Area(Ha)

Ajara A.R. 243 15.61 32.17Imereti 254 3.14 16.25Shida Kartli 178 3.59 11.69Total (Georgia) 675 5.41 60.11

Indicator D.

Data: Road Department (Ministry of Infrastructure and Regional Development) (2013)

24

2011 2012 2013 2014Non-

agricultural land

#of parcels 874 1,052 743 525

area (HA) 137.35 677.73 139.26 407.06

Agricultural land

#of parcels 2,117 6,268 720 251

area (HA) 26,978.57 13,054.74 2,012.33 927.81

Real Estate #of transactions 484 1,876 794 209

Data: Registry of Real Estate and Immovable Property (2011-2014)

Cases of Privatization, 2011-2014Indicator D.

25

Group E. Number of land-related conflicts in the courts

26

Dispute Cases in District (City) Courts Indicator E.

Data: Court (2014)

Regions Cases started % of total

per 000 of

popul.Accept

edReject

edUnconsidere

dTermin

atedArchieve

dAppeal

edCases closed

Closed/Started cases

Tbilisi 2386 51.65 2.03 344 25 62 24 1505 146 497 0.21Ajara A.R. 515 11.15 1.30 248 27 46 34 254 66 428 0.83Guria 32 0.69 0.23 0 0 0 0 14 3 0 0.00Imereti 461 9.98 0.66 215 24 27 16 223 41 337 0.73Kakheti 208 4.50 0.51 87 10 12 4 21 16 156 0.75Mtskheta-Mtianeti 35 0.76 0.32 19 3 1 2 0 8 27 0.77Racha-Lechkhumi and Kvemo Svaneti 8 0.17 0.17 5 1 0 0 0 1 4 0.50

Samegrelo-Zemo Svaneti 189 4.09 0.40 72 20 5 6 14 22 115 0.61Samtskhe-Javakheti 202 4.37 0.95 98 14 8 10 17 34 164 0.81Kvemo Kartli 355 7.68 0.69 51 13 5 8 160 46 102 0.29Shida Kartli 226 4.89 0.72 62 9 13 4 17 35 83 0.37Apkhazeti A.R. 3 0.06 n\a 2 0 0 0 3 0 3 1.00Total (Georgia) 4620 100.00 1.03 1203 146 179 108 2228 418 1916 0.41

27

Dynamics of Dispute Cases in Courts Indicator E.

Data: Court (2011-2014)

2011 2012 2013 20140

1000

2000

3000

4000

5000

6000

7000

Cases started Cases closed Accepted Rejected

28

Group F. Share of agricultural/residential land registered and mapped in women’s and men’s name and in joint propertyIn progress:

• NAPR has linked the Registry of Real Estate and Immovable Property and CRA DB’s and imported the gender information.

Indicator F.

29

Agricultural Land Parcels by Owners

2011 2012 2013 20140

20000

40000

60000

80000

100000

120000

140000

160000

180000

200000

female male organizations

Indicator F.

30

Residential Land Parcels by Owners

2011 2012 2013 20140

5000

10000

15000

20000

25000

female male org

Indicator F.

32

Stakeholders Workshops

TbilisiWorld Bank Regional Office

33

A. Number (and prices where possible) of registered transactions of different types;

B. Receipts of land tax revenue;C. Share of communal, private, and state land mapped;D. Cases of expropriation and privatization;E. Number of land-related conflicts in the courts;F. Share of agricultural/residential land registered and mapped in

women’s/men’s name or in joint ownership;

Monitoring Indicators for Sakrebulo Level

34

Project Impact Evaluation

• Retrospective monitoring of pilot sakrebulos;• Retrospective monitoring of neighbor sakrebulos (raions);• Quarterly monitoring sakrebulos during and after project

implementation;

• Comparative analysis for project impact evaluation;

35

Next Steps

• Better engagement of Stakeholders and providers of information;• Involving decision makers;• Start Project Impact Evaluation;• Development of analytical and dissemination of results;• Short and long term development of monitoring system;

36

Thank you for your attention

David Labadze

LGAF Data Expert – [email protected]

David Egiashvili

LGAF Country Coordinator - [email protected]

Denys Nizalov

Land Monitoring Coordinator, Kyiv School of Economics – [email protected]

Kateryna Chmelova

Data Analyst - [email protected]