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Georgia’s Input Subsidy Program Agricultural Transitions along the Silk Road Restructuring, Resources and Trade in the Central Asia Region IAAE Inter-Conference Symposium Almaty (Kazakhstan) | 4 – 6 April 2016 Pati Mamardashvili, Irakli Kochlamazashvili, Salome Gelashvili, Ia Katsia

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Page 1: Georgia’s Input Subsidy Program - iamo.de · Content Input subsidy programs in developing countries The program in Georgia Overview of the program Key statistics Assessing the effectiveness

Georgia’s Input Subsidy Program

Agricultural Transitions along the Silk Road

Restructuring, Resources and Trade in the Central Asia Region

IAAE Inter-Conference Symposium

Almaty (Kazakhstan) | 4 – 6 April 2016

Pati Mamardashvili, Irakli Kochlamazashvili, Salome Gelashvili, Ia Katsia

Page 2: Georgia’s Input Subsidy Program - iamo.de · Content Input subsidy programs in developing countries The program in Georgia Overview of the program Key statistics Assessing the effectiveness

Content

Input subsidy programs in developing countries

The program in Georgia

Overview of the program

Key statistics

Assessing the effectiveness of the program

Outlook

Pati Mamardashvili, ISET 2

Page 3: Georgia’s Input Subsidy Program - iamo.de · Content Input subsidy programs in developing countries The program in Georgia Overview of the program Key statistics Assessing the effectiveness

3 Pati Mamardashvili, ISET

Input subsidy programs in developing countries

Since the mid-2000s: Programs are back on policy agendas

’’Smart subsidies’’:

(i) targeted to poor farmers who otherwise could not afford

buying inputs

(ii) contribute to commercially viable input supply systems,

(iii) limited in time

1) Economic objective

2) Social objective

Killing two birds

with one stone

Page 4: Georgia’s Input Subsidy Program - iamo.de · Content Input subsidy programs in developing countries The program in Georgia Overview of the program Key statistics Assessing the effectiveness

4 Pati Mamardashvili, ISET

The program in Georgia

• Total number of agricultural holding: 700,000

• Average farm size: 1.22 ha

60% 5%

35%

Area of holdings by size

under 4.99 ha 5-9.99 ha 10 ha and over

98%

1%

Number of holdings by size

under 4.99 ha 5-9.99 ha 10 ha and over

Source: Geostat, Agricultural Census 2004

Page 5: Georgia’s Input Subsidy Program - iamo.de · Content Input subsidy programs in developing countries The program in Georgia Overview of the program Key statistics Assessing the effectiveness

The program in Georgia

Agricultural Card Program (ACP)

• Started in Spring 2013

• Budget

• 2013: 200 mln GEL*

• 2014: 90 mln GEL

• 2015: 50 mln GEL

• 2016: 50 mln GEL

1. Plowing card

2. Agro card (for seeds, fertilizers, pesticides)

Pati Mamardashvili, ISET 5

Total state budget for the

Ministry of Agriculture:

260-280 mln GEL

* 1 GEL = 0.44 USD

Page 6: Georgia’s Input Subsidy Program - iamo.de · Content Input subsidy programs in developing countries The program in Georgia Overview of the program Key statistics Assessing the effectiveness

6 Pati Mamardashvili, ISET

The program in Georgia

Key statistics

0.0

500.0

1000.0

1500.0

2000.0

2500.0

3000.0

3500.0

4000.0

mln

GE

L

Output of Georgian Agriculture

(in current mln GEL)

Total Output ofAgriculture

Crop Production

Livestock Producton

Agricultural Service

Source: Geostat, 2016

Page 7: Georgia’s Input Subsidy Program - iamo.de · Content Input subsidy programs in developing countries The program in Georgia Overview of the program Key statistics Assessing the effectiveness

7 Pati Mamardashvili, ISET

The program in Georgia

Key statistics

0.0

50.0

100.0

150.0

200.0

250.0

300.0

350.0

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015*

Sown Areas in Georgia

(thousand ha)

Sown Areas for Maize Total Sown Areas of Annual Crops

Source: Geostat, 2016

Page 8: Georgia’s Input Subsidy Program - iamo.de · Content Input subsidy programs in developing countries The program in Georgia Overview of the program Key statistics Assessing the effectiveness

8 Pati Mamardashvili, ISET

The program in Georgia

Key statistics

-

1'000.0

2'000.0

3'000.0

4'000.0

5'000.0

6'000.0

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

Total Value of Imported Herbicides (in current thousand USD)

Total Value of Imported Herbicides (in current thousand USD)

-

5'000.0

10'000.0

15'000.0

20'000.0

Value of Imported Fertilizers (in current thousand USD)

Value of Imported Fertilizers (thousand USD)

Source: Geostat, 2016

Page 9: Georgia’s Input Subsidy Program - iamo.de · Content Input subsidy programs in developing countries The program in Georgia Overview of the program Key statistics Assessing the effectiveness

Assessing the effectiveness of the program

Method: Qualitative assessment of the program

Collection of data (March-April 2015)

Focus Group Discussions with farmers

Individual interviews with input suppliers and service providers

In 6 regions of Georgia: different agro-economic zones (e.g. irrigated arable

lowland east, arable and fruit west, upland mixed crop and livestock including

some close to input/output markets and others more distant from markets).

Pati Mamardashvili, ISET 9

Page 10: Georgia’s Input Subsidy Program - iamo.de · Content Input subsidy programs in developing countries The program in Georgia Overview of the program Key statistics Assessing the effectiveness

10 Pati Mamardashvili, ISET

Assessing the effectiveness of the program

Results

Overall: a positive feedback from farmers/input suppliers

Program administration

Information about the land ownership: mostly informal

Some problems with timely delivery of vouchers

A lot of cases of returning plowing cards

Page 11: Georgia’s Input Subsidy Program - iamo.de · Content Input subsidy programs in developing countries The program in Georgia Overview of the program Key statistics Assessing the effectiveness

11 Pati Mamardashvili, ISET

Assessing the effectiveness of the program

Results

Access to machinery and inputs

access to machinery and fertilizers increased

more input suppliers are available in the municipality centers

variety of inputs increased

access to quality seeds is still a problem

Plowed land, input use and output

Increase in the amount of land plowed

Increase in the amount of fertilizers applied

No increase in outputs due to damages from droughts

Page 12: Georgia’s Input Subsidy Program - iamo.de · Content Input subsidy programs in developing countries The program in Georgia Overview of the program Key statistics Assessing the effectiveness

12 Pati Mamardashvili, ISET

Assessing the effectiveness of the program

Results

Input suppliers and input prices

Increase in the turnover and revenues of input suppliers.

Threshold for maximum price was set by the government

Some increase in input prices (mostly because of the exchange rate)

Linkages

New linkages

Strengthening of linkages

Sometime consultations are also provided (seldom)

Page 13: Georgia’s Input Subsidy Program - iamo.de · Content Input subsidy programs in developing countries The program in Georgia Overview of the program Key statistics Assessing the effectiveness

13 Pati Mamardashvili, ISET

Assessing the effectiveness of the program

Results

General problems identified

Some more important issues than plowing and input use

Absence of irrigation is a big problem in East Georgia

Remoteness to markets in a big issue in West Georgia

No targeting, neither geographic (priorities for different

regions) nor by poverty considerations

No clear exit strategy

No consideration of farmers knowledge (e.g., proper use of

fertilizer and pesticides)

Page 14: Georgia’s Input Subsidy Program - iamo.de · Content Input subsidy programs in developing countries The program in Georgia Overview of the program Key statistics Assessing the effectiveness

14 Pati Mamardashvili, ISET

Assessing the effectiveness of the program

Main recommendations and outlook

Phasing out??? But 2016 is the election year in Georgia…

Improving access of farmers to information about better agricultural practices.

Better targeting. Targeting possibilities:

• Marginal productivity of inputs (e.g., fertilizers)

• Poverty scores

But high administration costs and higher risk of “elite capturing”

Agricultural Input Survey 2014 (4000 farmers)

Follow up survey is planned in autumn 2016

Quantitative assessments

Page 15: Georgia’s Input Subsidy Program - iamo.de · Content Input subsidy programs in developing countries The program in Georgia Overview of the program Key statistics Assessing the effectiveness

Questions

Pati Mamardashvili, ISET

Thank you!

[email protected]

Page 16: Georgia’s Input Subsidy Program - iamo.de · Content Input subsidy programs in developing countries The program in Georgia Overview of the program Key statistics Assessing the effectiveness

Annex

Pati Mamardashvili, ISET 16

0.0

50.0

100.0

150.0

200.0

250.0

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

Output of permanent crops by category (thousand tons)

Fruits Grapes Citrus Tea

Source: Geostat, 2016

Page 17: Georgia’s Input Subsidy Program - iamo.de · Content Input subsidy programs in developing countries The program in Georgia Overview of the program Key statistics Assessing the effectiveness

Annex

0.0

5.0

10.0

15.0

20.0

25.0

30.0

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

Productivity of Melons (tons per ha)

0.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

2.5

3.0

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

To

ns

Productivity of Maize (tons per ha)

Source: Geostat, 2016

To

ns