gerdau group ubs sixth annual ceo conference rio de janeiro, march 7-8, 2005

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Gerdau Group UBS Sixth Annual CEO Conference Rio de Janeiro, March 7-8, 2005

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Page 1: Gerdau Group UBS Sixth Annual CEO Conference Rio de Janeiro, March 7-8, 2005

Gerdau Group

UBSSixth Annual

CEOConference

Rio de Janeiro, March 7-8, 2005

Page 2: Gerdau Group UBS Sixth Annual CEO Conference Rio de Janeiro, March 7-8, 2005

Steel Sector

Gerdau S.A. Consolidated

Consolidated Figures

Capital Markets

All data presented in R$ and metric tons, except when indicated

Page 3: Gerdau Group UBS Sixth Annual CEO Conference Rio de Janeiro, March 7-8, 2005

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

Chin

a

Japan

US

A

Russ

ia

South

Kore

a

Germ

any

Ukra

ine

Bra

zil

India

Italy

+23.2%

+2.6% +3.5% +4.9% +5.7% +2.7% +5.3%

+2.0%+5.6%

+4.6%

20032004

World OutputCrude Steel

In million tons

3

The world production of crude steel surpassed themark of 1 billion tons in 2004, an increase of 8.9% over the previous year. The growth average has been 4.6% year over year if China was not included.

Source: IISI

Page 4: Gerdau Group UBS Sixth Annual CEO Conference Rio de Janeiro, March 7-8, 2005

4Source: Metal Bulletin

8 US Steel (USA) 17.9 10

9 Thyssen Krupp Steel (GER) 17.0 6

10 Riva Group (ITA) 15.7 9

11 Nucor (USA) 15.8 12

12 Sumitomo Metal (J AP) 13.3 13

13 Sail (IND) 12.4 14

14 Grupo Gerdau (BRA) 12.3 19

15 Evraz Holding (RUS) 12.1 nd

1 Arcelor (LUX) 42.8 1

2 Nippon Steel (JAP) 31.8 2

3 LNM Group (NED) 31.1 4

4 JFE Group (JAP) 29.8 nd

5 Posco (KOR) 29.7 3

6 Shanghai Baosteel (CHI ) 19.9 5

7 Corus Group (ENG) 18.9 7

COMPANYOUTPUT

2003RANKING

2002

After the investment program in Brazil is

completed, Gerdau will have an installed capacity of 21 million tons of crude steel

per year.

Mittal Steel (Ispat, LNM and ISG) will be

the biggest world steel company with 60 million tons of installed capacity.

World Top ProducersCrude Steel

COMPANYOUTPUT

2003RANKING

2002

In million tons

Page 5: Gerdau Group UBS Sixth Annual CEO Conference Rio de Janeiro, March 7-8, 2005

Steel Sector

Gerdau S.A. Consolidated

Consolidated Figures

Capital Markets

Page 6: Gerdau Group UBS Sixth Annual CEO Conference Rio de Janeiro, March 7-8, 2005

NORTH AMERICA

14 mills and 1 strategic shareholding (Gallatin Steel)

29 fabrication shops

13 downstream operations and special sections

BRAZIL

10 mills

11 fabrication shops

8 downstream operations and special sections

75 sales points (Comercial Gerdau) and flat steel service centers

SOUTH AMERICA

2 mills and 1 strategic shareholding (Sipar)

4 fabrication shops

4 sales pointsSipar**

Laisa

Gerdau Açominas S.A.

Aza

Gerdau Ameristeel Corp.Gallatin Steel*

Units Distribution

** Rolling mill, 38% stake JV

* Flat steel mill, 50% stake JV6

Page 7: Gerdau Group UBS Sixth Annual CEO Conference Rio de Janeiro, March 7-8, 2005

12,970

7,630

610

4,730

ROLLEDPRODUCTS

Billets, merchant bars, rebars, wire rod, drawn products, welded meshes, nails, downstream products, fabricated steel products, flat steel products and grinding balls.

-8,290NORTH

AMERICA

2,610

-

2,610

SLABS, BLOOMS &

BILLETS

16,380TOTAL

Billets, merchant bars, rebars and wire rod.

510SOUTHAMERICA

Billets, slabs, blooms, merchant

bars, rebars, wire rod, drawn

products, welded wire meshes,

structurals, nails, downstream

products, fabricated steel

products and specialty steel.

7,580BRAZIL

MAIN PRODUCTSCRUDESTEEL

7

In thousand tons

Installed Capacity December 2004

Page 8: Gerdau Group UBS Sixth Annual CEO Conference Rio de Janeiro, March 7-8, 2005

0

2,000

4,000

6,000

8,000

10,000

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004

10,274

9,045

6,9335,9685,836

8

Output Evolution CRUDE STEELIn thousand tons

ROLLED PRODUCTSIn thousand tons

AbroadBrazil

0

2,000

4,000

6,000

8,000

10,000

12,000

14,000

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004

13,44812,343

9,441

7,2517,065

Utilization rate:

• Brazil: 91.7%

• Abroad: 83.7%

Utilization rate:

• Brazil: 96.2%

• Abroad: 83.9%

Page 9: Gerdau Group UBS Sixth Annual CEO Conference Rio de Janeiro, March 7-8, 2005

0

2,600

5,200

7,800

10,400

13,000

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004-

300

600

900

1,200

1,500

1,800 12,560

12,144

9,151

7,394

7,213

ShipmentsIn thousand tons

74% increase in sales in the last 5 years

9

AbroadBrazil Average price (Net sales (R$)/ton)

Page 10: Gerdau Group UBS Sixth Annual CEO Conference Rio de Janeiro, March 7-8, 2005

10

ASIA 51%SOUTH

AMERICA6%

NORTHAMERICA

9%

CENTRALAMERICA

11% AFRICA11%

EUROPE12%

ASIA 34%

SOUTHAMERICA

15%

NORTHAMERICA

15%

CENTRALAMERICA

17%AFRICA

8%

EUROPE11%

Exports

2003 2004

EXPORTS 2004

• Shipments from Brazil reached 2.7 million tons in 2004

• Revenues generated by exports reached US$ 1.1 billion in 2004

• Average price 57.9% greater than in 2003 (in US$)

Page 11: Gerdau Group UBS Sixth Annual CEO Conference Rio de Janeiro, March 7-8, 2005

20032004

Financials

In R$ million

11

GROSS SALES REVENUE 23,408 15,783

Net sales revenue 19,597 13,367

Cost of sales (13,352) (10,077)

Gross profit 6,245 3,290

SG&A (1,459) (1,212)

Net Financial expenses (176) (647)

Other operating income 188 15

Equity pick-up (343) (299)

Operating profit 4,455 1,147

Non-operating expense (25) (8)

Profit before taxes 4,430 1,139

Provision for income tax (1,154) 141

Other (41) (26)

Net Profit for the period 3,235 1,254

NET SALES REVENUE +46.6%- Better prices in the international market;- Recovery of the domestic demand; - Consolidation of the units acquired in 2004.

NET FINANCIAL EXPENSES -72.8%- Increase in financial investments of the cash generated in the period;

OTHER OPERATING INCOME +1,153.3%- Favorable outcome of a legal suite due to the improper collection of PIS.

EQUITY PICK UP +14.7%- FX variation over investments abroad;- Fiscal incentives reserves; - Goodwill amortization.

MAIN VARIATIONS (YoY):

Page 12: Gerdau Group UBS Sixth Annual CEO Conference Rio de Janeiro, March 7-8, 2005

12

Results by Region 2004

Var. %BRAZIL

NORTH

AMERICA

SOUTH

AMERICA 2004 2003In R$ million

Gross Revenue 12,914 9,453 1,040 23,407 15,783 48%

Net Revenue 9,976 8,857 764 19,597 13,367 47%

Gross Profit 4,307 1,662 276 6,245 3,290 90%

EBITDA 3,705 1,597 251 5,553 2,683 107%

Net Income 2,165 896 174 3,235 1,255 158%

In R$/Ton

Gross Revenue 1,948 1,747 1,996 1,864 1,300 43%

Net Revenue 1,505 1,637 1,466 1,560 1,101 42%

Gross Profit 650 307 530 497 271 83%

EBITDA 559 295 482 442 221 100%

Net Income 327 166 334 258 103 150%

In %

Gross Margin 43% 19% 36% 32% 25%

EBITDA Margin 37% 18% 33% 28% 20%

Net Margin 22% 10% 23% 17% 9%

Page 13: Gerdau Group UBS Sixth Annual CEO Conference Rio de Janeiro, March 7-8, 2005

1Q03 2Q03 3Q03 4Q03 1Q04 2Q04 3Q04 4Q04

992 1,0551,195 1,217

1,435

1,7051,830 1,844

US$ million

NET REVENUE

1Q03 2Q03 3Q03 4Q03 1Q04 2Q04 3Q04 4Q04

210 225 230 229

304

552582

486

US$ million

EBITDA

Brazil North America South America

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

1Q03 2Q03 3Q03 4Q03 1Q04 2Q04 3Q04 4Q04

GROSS MARGIN EBITDA MARGIN

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

1Q03 2Q03 3Q03 4Q03 1Q04 2Q04 3Q04 4Q04

2.9%

14.9%

42.0%43.6%

34.1%30.3%

3.6%13.5%

36.2%35.8%

32.1%25.3%

Evolution of Results

13

Page 14: Gerdau Group UBS Sixth Annual CEO Conference Rio de Janeiro, March 7-8, 2005

COST OF DEBT (per annum)

Brazil - Domestic currency 15.2%

Brazil – Foreign currency FX+4.4%

Companies abroad 7.2%

Indebtedness

GROSS DEBT 6,377 100% 6,263

SHORT TERM 1,972 31% 2,418

Domestic currency 202 3% 281

Foreign currency 705 11% 1,343

Companies abroad 1,065 17% 794

LONG TERM 4,405 69% 3,845

Domestic currency 1,211 19% 717

Foreign currency 1,653 26% 1,031

Companies abroad 1,541 24% 2,097

CASH & CASH EQUIV. 2,042 100% 1,017

Domestic currency 649 32% 430

Companies abroad 1,393 68% 587

NET DEBT 4,335 5,246

2004 2003

HEDGE

In R$ million

Foreign currency debt 2,358

Swap operations 225

Exports 2,904

Cash in US$ 1,393

TOTAL HEDGE 4,522

COVERAGE RATIO 1.9x

DEBT AVERAGE LIFE 4.1 years

In R$ million

14

Page 15: Gerdau Group UBS Sixth Annual CEO Conference Rio de Janeiro, March 7-8, 2005

-

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

1,400

2004 2005 2006 2007

15

In US$ million

Capital Expenditures

772

AbroadBrazil Scheduled

1,140

1,260

770

North Star Assets (USA)Investments in São PauloAcquisition of stakes in Colombia

Melt shop start up in São PauloAcquisition of stakes in ColombiaImprovements at PiratiniImprovements at Cosigua

Rolling mill start up in São PauloImprovements in Colombia

New blast furnace in Ouro BrancoImprovements at Brazilian millsNew Specialty Steel mill in Rio

Page 16: Gerdau Group UBS Sixth Annual CEO Conference Rio de Janeiro, March 7-8, 2005

Main InvestmentsBrazil

16

DISBURSEMENT SCHEDULEDISBURSEMENT SCHEDULE

Brazil: Expansion: US$ 1,620 mm

Update: US$ 750 mm

Brazil: Expansion: US$ 1,620 mm

Update: US$ 750 mm

TOTAL INVESTMENT: US$ 3.2 BILLIONTOTAL INVESTMENT: US$ 3.2 BILLION

Abroad: Update: US$ 800 mmAbroad: Update: US$ 800 mm

INSTALLED CAPACITYINSTALLED CAPACITY

Brazil – Crude Steel

Current: 7,580 k tons

New: 11,720 k tons

Brazil – Crude Steel

Current: 7,580 k tons

New: 11,720 k tons

Brazil – Rolled Products

Current : 4,730 k tons

New: 6,610 k tons

Brazil – Rolled Products

Current : 4,730 k tons

New: 6,610 k tons

Consolidated – Crude Steel

Current : 16,380 k tons

New: 20,950 k tons

Consolidated – Crude Steel

Current : 16,380 k tons

New: 20,950 k tons

Consolidated – Rolled Products

Current : 12,970 k tons

New: 15,490 k tons

Consolidated – Rolled Products

Current : 12,970 k tons

New: 15,490 k tons

2005: US$ 1,140 mm

2006: US$ 1,260 mm

2007: US$ 770 mm

2005: US$ 1,140 mm

2006: US$ 1,260 mm

2007: US$ 770 mm

Page 17: Gerdau Group UBS Sixth Annual CEO Conference Rio de Janeiro, March 7-8, 2005

Outlook

In general terms, the expectation is that 2005 will be similar to 2004 both in Brazil and abroad.

Increase in cost of coking coal and iron ore brings repercussions to the steel products international prices.

In the short term there is a decline in scrap and pig iron prices.

In Brazil the trend is to see margins in the 1Q05 at the same levels as those of the 4Q04.

In the 1Q05, volumes in Brazil seasonally low, compensated by exports.

In Brazil GDP should grow around 4% leading to an increase in the demand for steel products.

Investments in infrastructure in Brazil are expected to grow sharply in 2005.

The increase in interest rates in North America brings uncertainties.

The role of China. 17

Page 18: Gerdau Group UBS Sixth Annual CEO Conference Rio de Janeiro, March 7-8, 2005

Steel Sector

Gerdau S.A. Consolidated

Consolidated Figures

Capital Markets

Page 19: Gerdau Group UBS Sixth Annual CEO Conference Rio de Janeiro, March 7-8, 2005

0

50

100

150

200

Jan-04 Apr-04 Jul-04 Oct-04 Jan-05

0

50

100

150

200

250

Jan-04 Apr-04 Jul-04 Oct-04 Jan-05

0

50

100

150

200

Jan-04 Apr-04 Jul-04 Oct-04 Jan-05

0

50

100

150

200

Jan-04 Apr-04 Jul-04 Oct-04 Jan-05

GGBR4 – GERDAU S.A.GGBR4 – GERDAU S.A.

GNA – GERDAU AMERISTEEL CORP.GNA – GERDAU AMERISTEEL CORP.GGB – GERDAU S.A. ADRsGGB – GERDAU S.A. ADRs

GOAU4 – METALÚRGICA GERDAU S.A.GOAU4 – METALÚRGICA GERDAU S.A.

Stock Performance

Source: Economática/Bloomberg - Period: 01.01.2004 to 02.17.2005 (Base 100).

Metalúrgica Gerdau S.A.

Ibovespa

Market Cap: US$ 1.9 biMarket Cap: US$ 1.9 bi

+99% +99%

+22% +22%

ADRs - Gerdau S.A.

Dow Jones

Market Cap: US$ 5.1 biMarket Cap: US$ 5.1 bi

+68% +68%

+3% +3%

Gerdau Ameristeel Corp.

S&P TSX

Market Cap: US$ 2.0 biMarket Cap: US$ 2.0 bi

+71% +71%

+17% +17%

+54% +54%

+22% +22%

Gerdau S.A.

Ibovespa

Market Cap: US$ 5.1 biMarket Cap: US$ 5.1 bi

19

Page 20: Gerdau Group UBS Sixth Annual CEO Conference Rio de Janeiro, March 7-8, 2005

37240.1

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

10

11

12

13

14

15

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

1,100

1,200

1,300

1,000

900

100

Dec03

Dec03

Jan04Jan04

Feb04

Feb04

Mar04

Mar04

Apr04

Apr04

May04

May04

Jun04Jun04

Jul04Jul04

Aug04

Aug04

Sep04

Sep04

Oct04

Oct04

Nov04

Nov04

Dec04

Dec04

Jan05Jan05

30% Stock bonus + 70% Split (GOAU)100% Stock bonus (GGBR)

METALÚRGICA GERDAU S.A. (GOAU4)

Monthly daily average # of trades Monthly daily volume

Monthly daily average # of trades Monthly daily volume

GERDAU S.A. (GGBR4)

20

GOAU4:109

tradesUS$ 1.6 mm

GGBR4:492

tradesUS$ 5.4 mm

Stock LiquidityBovespa

GOAU4:240

tradesUS$ 2.5 mm

GGBR4:862

tradesUS$ 8.7 mm

Source: Economática

Page 21: Gerdau Group UBS Sixth Annual CEO Conference Rio de Janeiro, March 7-8, 2005

+55 (51) 3323 2703

www.gerdau.com.br

[email protected]