getting connected: social science in the age of networks capstone presentation presenters: david...

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GETTING CONNECTED: SOCIAL SCIENCE IN THE AGE OF NETWORKS CAPSTONE PRESENTATION Presenters: David Easley, Jon Kleinberg, Kathleen O’Connor, Michael Macy, Dan Huttenlocher Rest of the Team: John Abowd, Larry Blume, Geri Gay, Jeffrey Prince, David Strang Team Postdocs: Mary Still, Ted Welser April 23, 2008

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Page 1: GETTING CONNECTED: SOCIAL SCIENCE IN THE AGE OF NETWORKS CAPSTONE PRESENTATION Presenters: David Easley, Jon Kleinberg, Kathleen O’Connor, Michael Macy,

GETTING CONNECTED:SOCIAL SCIENCE IN THE AGE OF NETWORKS

CAPSTONE PRESENTATION

Presenters: David Easley, Jon Kleinberg, Kathleen O’Connor, Michael Macy, Dan Huttenlocher

Rest of the Team: John Abowd, Larry Blume, Geri Gay, Jeffrey Prince, David Strang

Team Postdocs: Mary Still, Ted Welser

April 23, 2008

Page 2: GETTING CONNECTED: SOCIAL SCIENCE IN THE AGE OF NETWORKS CAPSTONE PRESENTATION Presenters: David Easley, Jon Kleinberg, Kathleen O’Connor, Michael Macy,

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The Cornell Networks Team

From across Cornell: Arts & Sciences, CALS, CIS, ILR, Johnson School

Page 3: GETTING CONNECTED: SOCIAL SCIENCE IN THE AGE OF NETWORKS CAPSTONE PRESENTATION Presenters: David Easley, Jon Kleinberg, Kathleen O’Connor, Michael Macy,

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What are Networks?

Transportation Network

Page 4: GETTING CONNECTED: SOCIAL SCIENCE IN THE AGE OF NETWORKS CAPSTONE PRESENTATION Presenters: David Easley, Jon Kleinberg, Kathleen O’Connor, Michael Macy,

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Social Networks with Data Collected by Hand

Nodes-people, Edges-friendships

Friendships in a 34-person karate club that split apart---Zachary, 1977

Page 5: GETTING CONNECTED: SOCIAL SCIENCE IN THE AGE OF NETWORKS CAPSTONE PRESENTATION Presenters: David Easley, Jon Kleinberg, Kathleen O’Connor, Michael Macy,

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Social Network Discovered from Traces of Online Data

Email communication between 436 employees in HP Research Lab—Adamic and Adar, 2005

Page 6: GETTING CONNECTED: SOCIAL SCIENCE IN THE AGE OF NETWORKS CAPSTONE PRESENTATION Presenters: David Easley, Jon Kleinberg, Kathleen O’Connor, Michael Macy,

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Social Science and Networks

Trade flows between countriesStructure and Power

Krempel+Plumper, 2003 Blume, Easley, Kleinberg+Tardos, 2007

Page 7: GETTING CONNECTED: SOCIAL SCIENCE IN THE AGE OF NETWORKS CAPSTONE PRESENTATION Presenters: David Easley, Jon Kleinberg, Kathleen O’Connor, Michael Macy,

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Cascades, the Spread of Rumors, the Reliability of Information

Links between political blogs prior to 2004 election---Adamic+Glance, 2005

Page 8: GETTING CONNECTED: SOCIAL SCIENCE IN THE AGE OF NETWORKS CAPSTONE PRESENTATION Presenters: David Easley, Jon Kleinberg, Kathleen O’Connor, Michael Macy,

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Networks are Everywhere

The study of networks integrates ideas from the social sciences and computer science, as well as information science, statistics, biology, physics…

The growth of the Internet has provided us with data that previously was difficult or impossible to obtain

Cornell is a leader in this area

Page 9: GETTING CONNECTED: SOCIAL SCIENCE IN THE AGE OF NETWORKS CAPSTONE PRESENTATION Presenters: David Easley, Jon Kleinberg, Kathleen O’Connor, Michael Macy,

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Networks and the ISS

Encourage collaboration across disciplinary boundaries– Ongoing research between economists,

sociologists, psychologists, and computer and information scientists

Engage the Cornell community (faculty, graduate students and undergrads) in cutting-edge research– Post docs– Graduate students– New undergrad courses with large enrollment

Page 10: GETTING CONNECTED: SOCIAL SCIENCE IN THE AGE OF NETWORKS CAPSTONE PRESENTATION Presenters: David Easley, Jon Kleinberg, Kathleen O’Connor, Michael Macy,

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Theme Project Activities

Workshops, seminars, reading groups

Educational initiatives

Funding and recruiting opportunities

New inter-disciplinary research directions

Page 11: GETTING CONNECTED: SOCIAL SCIENCE IN THE AGE OF NETWORKS CAPSTONE PRESENTATION Presenters: David Easley, Jon Kleinberg, Kathleen O’Connor, Michael Macy,

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Conferences

Ran conferences on aspects of project theme– “Search and Diffusion in Social Networks”

– “Symposium on Self-Organizing Online Communities” (co-sponsored by Microsoft)

Brought national leaders from academia and industry to campus– E.g., Ron Burt, Nosh Contractor, Paul Dimaggio, Matt

Jackson, Michael Kearns, Bob Kraut, Peter Monge, Duncan Watts, Barry Wellman …

Page 12: GETTING CONNECTED: SOCIAL SCIENCE IN THE AGE OF NETWORKS CAPSTONE PRESENTATION Presenters: David Easley, Jon Kleinberg, Kathleen O’Connor, Michael Macy,

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Educational Initiatives

New courses in all project areas, from introductory to graduate– Network material incorporated into existing

courses

– ECON, SOC, COMM, ILR, CIS, JGSM

“Networks”: new intro undergrad course– Cross-listed in ECON, SOC, CS, INFO

– This spring: 280 students from 33 different majors

Page 13: GETTING CONNECTED: SOCIAL SCIENCE IN THE AGE OF NETWORKS CAPSTONE PRESENTATION Presenters: David Easley, Jon Kleinberg, Kathleen O’Connor, Michael Macy,

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Networks(ECON/SOC/CS/INFO 204)

A course on how the social, natural, and technological worlds are connected, and how the study of networks shed light on these connections. Topics include: how opinions, fads, and political movements spread through society; the robustness and fragility of food webs and financial markets; and the technology, economics, and politics of Web information and on-line communities.

High-school dating (Bearman, Moody, & Stovel 2004)

Corporate e-mail (Adamic and Adar, 2005)

Page 14: GETTING CONNECTED: SOCIAL SCIENCE IN THE AGE OF NETWORKS CAPSTONE PRESENTATION Presenters: David Easley, Jon Kleinberg, Kathleen O’Connor, Michael Macy,

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Networks Class Blog

Page 15: GETTING CONNECTED: SOCIAL SCIENCE IN THE AGE OF NETWORKS CAPSTONE PRESENTATION Presenters: David Easley, Jon Kleinberg, Kathleen O’Connor, Michael Macy,

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Recruiting and Funding

Networks activity on campus enhanced many other efforts

Recruiting directions related to networks in Sociology, Communication, and CIS

Large-Scale NSF funding– Cyberinfrastructure tools (2005-present)– New proposals being pursued by expanded

version of project team

Page 16: GETTING CONNECTED: SOCIAL SCIENCE IN THE AGE OF NETWORKS CAPSTONE PRESENTATION Presenters: David Easley, Jon Kleinberg, Kathleen O’Connor, Michael Macy,

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New Research Directions

Networks activity drew in many faculty beyond original project team

New research informed by perspectives from multiple areas

Next: two examples (out of many)– Social cognition and individual behavior– Social contagion and on-line communities

Page 17: GETTING CONNECTED: SOCIAL SCIENCE IN THE AGE OF NETWORKS CAPSTONE PRESENTATION Presenters: David Easley, Jon Kleinberg, Kathleen O’Connor, Michael Macy,

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Social Networks Represent Relationships Among People

People work collaboratively, share opinions, create new knowledge through their decisions to build a relationship (or not)

How do people understand and navigate their social environments to gain resources they care about—ideas, opinions, social support, political allies, status, for example? (Stephen Sauer and Ted Welser)

Page 18: GETTING CONNECTED: SOCIAL SCIENCE IN THE AGE OF NETWORKS CAPSTONE PRESENTATION Presenters: David Easley, Jon Kleinberg, Kathleen O’Connor, Michael Macy,

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Micro-Foundations of Social Networks

Systematic investigations into factors that influence people’s– Cognitions about their social networks

– Intentions to create relationships (ties)

– Efforts to create relationships

Goals– Understanding how networks evolve

– A psychological account of the spread of influence and ideas in social systems

Page 19: GETTING CONNECTED: SOCIAL SCIENCE IN THE AGE OF NETWORKS CAPSTONE PRESENTATION Presenters: David Easley, Jon Kleinberg, Kathleen O’Connor, Michael Macy,

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People and their Network Positions

Personality psychology perspective– People are endowed with traits that are

heritable, unaffected by external influences, and stable across the life span

Links between people’s traits and their positions in their social networks (Klein, Lim, Saltz, & Mayer, 2004)– People who are high in neuroticism tend to be

less central in their networks (advice and friendship)

Page 20: GETTING CONNECTED: SOCIAL SCIENCE IN THE AGE OF NETWORKS CAPSTONE PRESENTATION Presenters: David Easley, Jon Kleinberg, Kathleen O’Connor, Michael Macy,

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A Novel Social Network on Second Life

Mary(brown pants)

Ben (glasses)

Emma (penguin)

Jill (pink)

James (beard)

Mark (UK)

Scene from Second Life

Page 21: GETTING CONNECTED: SOCIAL SCIENCE IN THE AGE OF NETWORKS CAPSTONE PRESENTATION Presenters: David Easley, Jon Kleinberg, Kathleen O’Connor, Michael Macy,

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Where We Are Going

How do people understand and navigate their social environments to gain resources they care about?

Develop interventions to teach people strategies to make them more effective

– Better able to spot opportunities to build social capital

– Better able to translate those opportunities into advantageous network positions

New forms of social engagement and interaction give us new (and improved?) ways of studying social cognition and social behavior

Page 22: GETTING CONNECTED: SOCIAL SCIENCE IN THE AGE OF NETWORKS CAPSTONE PRESENTATION Presenters: David Easley, Jon Kleinberg, Kathleen O’Connor, Michael Macy,

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It certainly is a small world!

A Chance Encounter in a Distant Land Leads to Small Talk…That’s amazing you know my Uncle Charlie!

Page 23: GETTING CONNECTED: SOCIAL SCIENCE IN THE AGE OF NETWORKS CAPSTONE PRESENTATION Presenters: David Easley, Jon Kleinberg, Kathleen O’Connor, Michael Macy,

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Six Degrees of Separation

Yet the world is small: 6˚

The planet is very large: 6.5b!

How is this possible?

Page 24: GETTING CONNECTED: SOCIAL SCIENCE IN THE AGE OF NETWORKS CAPSTONE PRESENTATION Presenters: David Easley, Jon Kleinberg, Kathleen O’Connor, Michael Macy,

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Adding to the Mystery…

Easy to explain if the social ties were random

But friendships tend to be highly clustered

B

A

C

Page 25: GETTING CONNECTED: SOCIAL SCIENCE IN THE AGE OF NETWORKS CAPSTONE PRESENTATION Presenters: David Easley, Jon Kleinberg, Kathleen O’Connor, Michael Macy,
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Solved by Watts & Strogatz

– While preserving the clustering of a social network

A few long-range ties– Create “shortcuts” between otherwise distant nodes

Page 27: GETTING CONNECTED: SOCIAL SCIENCE IN THE AGE OF NETWORKS CAPSTONE PRESENTATION Presenters: David Easley, Jon Kleinberg, Kathleen O’Connor, Michael Macy,

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The “Strength of Weak Ties”

Long-range ties tend to be relationally weak– Less frequent interaction

– Lower trust and influence

But structurally strong– Access to new ideas and information

– Accelerate the spread of disease

Page 28: GETTING CONNECTED: SOCIAL SCIENCE IN THE AGE OF NETWORKS CAPSTONE PRESENTATION Presenters: David Easley, Jon Kleinberg, Kathleen O’Connor, Michael Macy,

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“Whatever is to be diffused can reach a larger number of people, and traverse a greater social distance, when passed through weak ties rather than strong.”

-- Mark Granovetter, 1973

Weak Ties Are Key

A truism across the social & information sciences

But there are some intriguing anomalies...

Page 29: GETTING CONNECTED: SOCIAL SCIENCE IN THE AGE OF NETWORKS CAPSTONE PRESENTATION Presenters: David Easley, Jon Kleinberg, Kathleen O’Connor, Michael Macy,

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The Chain-Letter Paradox*

If most people are separated by only six degrees, why are chain letters hundreds of links long?

*Liben-Nowell & Kleinberg 2008, “Tracing information flow on a global scale using Internet chain-letter data,” PNAS 105:4633-38.

Sequence of signatures on e-mail chain letter protesting the Iraq war, with 18,119 nodes, median depth is 288.

Page 30: GETTING CONNECTED: SOCIAL SCIENCE IN THE AGE OF NETWORKS CAPSTONE PRESENTATION Presenters: David Easley, Jon Kleinberg, Kathleen O’Connor, Michael Macy,

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The Problem of “Critical Mass”

If an epidemic can quickly leap continents and reach millions of people in a few days, why do social movements often spread spatially and incrementally prior to reaching a “take-off” point?

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Why Are Communities Clustered?

A cluster is a dense “cloud” of mutual friends

How do these form?– Conventional wisdom: people join communities

and then become mutual friends

– Maybe it is actually the other way around: people join communities to be with mutual friends?

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Social Cloud Formation

875 LiveJournal (blogging) communities

Individuals one degree removed

Joining as a function of– Number of friends who are already members

– Clustering among friends

*Backstrom, Huttenlocher, Kleinberg, Lan, 2006. “Group Formation in Large Social Networks: Membership, Growth, & Evolution,” Proc. 12th ACM SIGKDD Intl. Conf. on Knowledge Discovery & Data Mining.

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Number and clustering of friends

Time 1

A B C

Page 34: GETTING CONNECTED: SOCIAL SCIENCE IN THE AGE OF NETWORKS CAPSTONE PRESENTATION Presenters: David Easley, Jon Kleinberg, Kathleen O’Connor, Michael Macy,

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Time 2

A B C

Number and clustering of friends

Page 35: GETTING CONNECTED: SOCIAL SCIENCE IN THE AGE OF NETWORKS CAPSTONE PRESENTATION Presenters: David Easley, Jon Kleinberg, Kathleen O’Connor, Michael Macy,

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Time 3

A B C

Number and clustering of friends

Page 36: GETTING CONNECTED: SOCIAL SCIENCE IN THE AGE OF NETWORKS CAPSTONE PRESENTATION Presenters: David Easley, Jon Kleinberg, Kathleen O’Connor, Michael Macy,

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Time 4

A B C

Number and clustering of friends

Page 37: GETTING CONNECTED: SOCIAL SCIENCE IN THE AGE OF NETWORKS CAPSTONE PRESENTATION Presenters: David Easley, Jon Kleinberg, Kathleen O’Connor, Michael Macy,

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Time 5

A B C

Number and clustering of friends

Page 38: GETTING CONNECTED: SOCIAL SCIENCE IN THE AGE OF NETWORKS CAPSTONE PRESENTATION Presenters: David Easley, Jon Kleinberg, Kathleen O’Connor, Michael Macy,

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Time 6

A B C

Number and clustering of friends

Page 39: GETTING CONNECTED: SOCIAL SCIENCE IN THE AGE OF NETWORKS CAPSTONE PRESENTATION Presenters: David Easley, Jon Kleinberg, Kathleen O’Connor, Michael Macy,

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Time 7

A B C

Number and clustering of friends

Page 40: GETTING CONNECTED: SOCIAL SCIENCE IN THE AGE OF NETWORKS CAPSTONE PRESENTATION Presenters: David Easley, Jon Kleinberg, Kathleen O’Connor, Michael Macy,

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Time 8

A B C

Number and clustering of friends

Page 41: GETTING CONNECTED: SOCIAL SCIENCE IN THE AGE OF NETWORKS CAPSTONE PRESENTATION Presenters: David Easley, Jon Kleinberg, Kathleen O’Connor, Michael Macy,

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Why is Clustering Important?

Chain-letters and social movements seem to avoid taking “shortcuts”

It’s the mutual friends that seem to be key to growth of communities

If disease and information can take “shortcuts,” why can’t social contagions?

Page 42: GETTING CONNECTED: SOCIAL SCIENCE IN THE AGE OF NETWORKS CAPSTONE PRESENTATION Presenters: David Easley, Jon Kleinberg, Kathleen O’Connor, Michael Macy,

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A Simple Explanation*

Social contagions differ from disease and information– Acquiring information is not the same thing as

acting on it• The same information from two friends is redundant

• The same advice from two friends is not

– Credibility, legitimacy & utility of adoption usually increase with the number of prior adopters

*Centola, D. and M. Macy. 2007. “Complex Contagions & the Weakness of Long Ties.” American Journal of Sociology 113:702-34

Page 43: GETTING CONNECTED: SOCIAL SCIENCE IN THE AGE OF NETWORKS CAPSTONE PRESENTATION Presenters: David Easley, Jon Kleinberg, Kathleen O’Connor, Michael Macy,

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Maybe It’s Not Such a Small World After All?

Information and disease benefit from “weak ties” that create shortcuts– A single contact is sufficient for transmission

– Clustering is therefore redundant

Social contagions benefit from clustering– “Redundancy” provides social reinforcement

– Long-range ties inform but do not persuade

Page 44: GETTING CONNECTED: SOCIAL SCIENCE IN THE AGE OF NETWORKS CAPSTONE PRESENTATION Presenters: David Easley, Jon Kleinberg, Kathleen O’Connor, Michael Macy,

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0 .1 .2 .3 .4 .5 .6 .7 .8 .9 1

10000

100000

100000

1000000

Proportion of Random Ties

Tim

este

ps

Random ties promote the spread of information (lower is faster)

(High Clustering)

(NoClustering)

Simple contagion that requires adoption by 1 neighbor

Page 45: GETTING CONNECTED: SOCIAL SCIENCE IN THE AGE OF NETWORKS CAPSTONE PRESENTATION Presenters: David Easley, Jon Kleinberg, Kathleen O’Connor, Michael Macy,

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0 .1 .2 .3 .4 .5 .6 .7 .8 .9 1

10000

100000

1000000

10000000

Proportion of Random Ties

Tim

este

ps

Phase transition in the social fabric:Contagion can no longer spread

(High Clustering)

(NoClustering)

Simple contagion that requires adoption by 1 neighbor

Social contagion that requires adoption by 2 neighbors

Social contagion that requires adoption by 3 neighbors

But not the spread of social contagions

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Small Worlds in a Bigger Picture

Social life is hard to observe

You can interview friends, but you cannot interview a friendship– Fleeting interaction

– In private

– Tedious to record over time, especially in large groups

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Why This is Changing

Humans increasingly interact publicly online– Web pages, Facebook, blogs, wikis, games

– Computer-mediated interaction leaves digital traces

– New era of “connectionist” social science?• Interactions among people, not just variables

• Networks, not just aggregates of individuals

• Dynamics, not just comparative statics

• Links the talents & tools of social, computer, and information scientists

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Some closing observations

What’s next

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Observations

What does it mean to do interdisciplinary work with a dozen faculty across such broad range of fields?– Sociology, economics, communications, social

psychology, information science, computer science

More than joint projects across disciplinary boundaries – catalyst for research– Investigations deeply informed and motivated

by research of members in other fields – but published in established (disciplinary) venues

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Observations

Importance of residential year, with lead-in and follow-up years– Build deeper ties and understanding across

disciplines through seminars, visitors, workshops, proposals, informal discussion

– Exposure to both classical literature and current work in several areas

Educational initiatives at both graduate and undergraduate level also engage team members in broader understanding– Research that happened as a result

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Observations

Qualitative change in external visibility of Cornell in networks area– In both social sciences and computer science

– Had good basis for this in prior activities by various individuals – both on team and others

– Institutional commitment and increased activity level both important for the boost

Holding interdisciplinary workshops with the best people in the world – they leave impressed with Cornell

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What’s Next

The team, plus a number of others, is planning to continue working together– The Information Science program provides a

natural inter-disciplinary venue for continued interaction

We are seeking large-scale external funding for this research– NSF CISE Expeditions proposal would be 5

years at $2M/yr

– Will pursue that program and others at similar scale

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What’s Next

Build on the increased visibility and momentum in research activity– Long-term institutional impact

Best way we see to do this is coordinated faculty hiring in networks area– Joint appointments, or joint recruiting

committees for single department hires

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We want to give our thanks to the ISS for supporting this project!

Thanks also to Microsoft for additional support of postdocs and workshops