gift card report december 21 2016 - deborah weinswig€¦ · 21-12-2016  · gift cards drive sales...

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1 December 21, 2016 Deborah Weinswig, Managing Director, Fung Global Retail & Technology [email protected] US: 917.655.6790 HK: 852.6119.1779 CN: 86.186.1420.3016 Copyright © 2016 The Fung Group. All rights reserved. 1) The gift card industry achieved a CAGR of 6.1% over the past six years, surpassing the growth rate of approximately 3%–4% for the retail industry overall. 2) Retailers generate additional sales from gift cards beyond the face value of the cards, as recipients spend an additional 38%, on average, when redeeming gifts cards. Gift card redemptions often drive traffic to stores and shopping centers. According to an International Council of Shopping Centers (ICSC) survey, 77% of gift card recipients planned to redeem the gift cards they received during the 2015 holiday season in whole or in part at physical stores. 3) The gift card resale market is estimated to be worth $1 billion, and a number of websites specialize in gift card resale, while others—such as Cardpool, Gift Card Granny and Raise—serve as gift card exchanges. Gift Cards: An Opportunity for Retailers to Generate Incremental Sales Through Higher Traffic Deborah Weinswig Managing Director, Fung Global Retail & Technology [email protected] US: 646.839.7017 HK: 852.6119.1779 CN: 86.186.1420.3016

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Page 1: Gift Card Report December 21 2016 - Deborah Weinswig€¦ · 21-12-2016  · Gift Cards Drive Sales and Traffic for Retailers Retailers generate additional sales from gift cards beyond

1

December21,2016

DeborahWeinswig,ManagingDirector,FungGlobalRetail&[email protected]:917.655.6790HK:852.6119.1779CN:86.186.1420.3016Copyright©2016TheFungGroup.Allrightsreserved.

1) ThegiftcardindustryachievedaCAGRof6.1%overthepastsixyears,surpassingthegrowthrateofapproximately3%–4%fortheretailindustryoverall.

2) Retailersgenerateadditionalsalesfromgiftcardsbeyondthefacevalueofthecards,asrecipientsspendanadditional38%,onaverage,whenredeeminggiftscards.Giftcardredemptionsoftendrivetraffictostoresandshoppingcenters.AccordingtoanInternationalCouncilofShoppingCenters(ICSC)survey,77%ofgiftcardrecipientsplannedtoredeemthegiftcardstheyreceivedduringthe2015holidayseasoninwholeorinpartatphysicalstores.

3) Thegiftcardresalemarketisestimatedtobeworth$1billion,andanumberofwebsitesspecializeingiftcardresale,whileothers—suchasCardpool,GiftCardGrannyandRaise—serveasgiftcardexchanges.

Gift Cards: An Opportunity for

Retailers to Generate

Incremental Sales Through Higher

Traffic

Deborah Weinswig

Managing Director,

Fung Global Retail & Technology

[email protected]

US: 646.839.7017

HK: 852.6119.1779

CN: 86.186.1420.3016

Page 2: Gift Card Report December 21 2016 - Deborah Weinswig€¦ · 21-12-2016  · Gift Cards Drive Sales and Traffic for Retailers Retailers generate additional sales from gift cards beyond

2

December21,2016

DeborahWeinswig,ManagingDirector,FungGlobalRetail&[email protected]:917.655.6790HK:852.6119.1779CN:86.186.1420.3016Copyright©2016TheFungGroup.Allrightsreserved.

GiftCardIndustryOverviewThegiftcardindustryachievedaCAGRof6.1%overthepastsixyears,surpassingthe3%–4%rateachievedbytheretailindustryoverall.In2015,theUSgenerated$129.7billioningiftcardtransactions,up6.3%yearoveryear.Thesalesfigureisontracktoreach$138billionin2016,accordingtoresearchconsultancyCEBTowerGroup.Closed-loopgiftcards,whichcanberedeemedonlyatdesignatedmerchants,accountforthemajorityofthemarket.

Figure1.USGiftCardIndustry:TotalSales(LeftAxis,USDBil.)andGrowthRate(RightAxis,%)

Source:CEBTowerGroup

Figure2.US:HolidaySeasonGiftCardSales(USDBil.)

Source:NationalRetailFederation/ProsperInsights&Analytics

99110 118 124 130 138

149160

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4%

6%

8%

10%

12%

$0

$40

$80

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2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016E 2017E 2018E

TotalGibCardIndustrySize GrowthRate

$0

$5

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2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016E

In2015,theUSgenerated$129.7billioningiftcardtransactions,up6.3%yearoveryear.Thesalesfigureisontracktoreach$138billionin2016.

Page 3: Gift Card Report December 21 2016 - Deborah Weinswig€¦ · 21-12-2016  · Gift Cards Drive Sales and Traffic for Retailers Retailers generate additional sales from gift cards beyond

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December21,2016

DeborahWeinswig,ManagingDirector,FungGlobalRetail&[email protected]:917.655.6790HK:852.6119.1779CN:86.186.1420.3016Copyright©2016TheFungGroup.Allrightsreserved.

GiftCardsDriveSalesandTrafficforRetailersRetailersgenerateadditionalsalesfromgiftcardsbeyondthefacevalueofthecards.Onaverage,recipientsspend38%morethanagiftcard’sfacevaluewhenredeemingacard.Millennialsaremorelikelytopurchaseadditionalitemsthanotheragegroupsare:accordingtotheICSC,64%ofmillennialspickupadditionalitemseitherin-storeoronlinewhenredeemingagiftcard.

Themostcommonlypurchasedgiftcardsrangeinvaluefrom$21to$50.Whenrecipientsredeemagiftcardatadepartmentstoreorrestaurant,theytendtospendmorethanthecard’svalueinordertocoverthefullpurchase.

Giftcardredemptionsoftendrivetraffictostoresandshoppingcenters.AccordingtoanICSCsurvey,77%ofgiftcardrecipientsplannedtoredeemthegiftcardstheyreceivedduringthe2015holidayseasoninwholeorinpartatphysicalstores.Whenredeeminggiftcardsonline,31%ofrecipientschoosetopickuptheirpurchasein-storeaccordingtothesamesurvey.Evenunwantedgiftscardscandrivetraffictostores,asretailerssuchasGameStopandTargethavedesignatedkioskswhererecipientscancashouttheirunwantedcards.

RobustGiftCardResaleMarketItisestimatedthat$1billionworthgiftcardsgounused,andthishasresultedinanactivesecondarymarketforthecardsintheUS.ThereareanumberofwebsitesthatspecializeingiftcardresaleaswellassitessuchasCardpool,GiftCardGrannyandRaisethatserveasexchanges.Thesemarketplacesallowsellerstoexchangeunwantedgiftcardsforcash.Inthebestcases,sellerscanget$0.80–$0.90perdollarofgiftcardvalue,dependingonthedemandforthecard.

Figure3.SelectedGiftCardExchanges:AverageBuyerDiscountforSelectedRetailers’GiftCards

HomeDepot Walmart Starbucks Amazon Target

Raise 6.4% 4.0% 2.3% 1.0% 2.6%

CardHub 3.6% 1.8% 5.0% 1.4% 2.4%

CardCash 5.0% 2.5% 5.2% N/A 1.7%

AsofDecember9,2016Source:Companywebsites/FungGlobalRetail&Technology

Giftcardredemptionsoftendrivetraffictostoresandshoppingcenters.Giftcardredemptionsoftendrivetraffictostoresandshoppingcenters.AccordingtoanICSCsurvey,77%ofgiftcardrecipientsplannedtoredeemthegiftcardstheyreceivedduringthe2015holidayseasoninwholeorinpartatphysicalstores.

Page 4: Gift Card Report December 21 2016 - Deborah Weinswig€¦ · 21-12-2016  · Gift Cards Drive Sales and Traffic for Retailers Retailers generate additional sales from gift cards beyond

4

December21,2016

DeborahWeinswig,ManagingDirector,FungGlobalRetail&[email protected]:917.655.6790HK:852.6119.1779CN:86.186.1420.3016Copyright©2016TheFungGroup.Allrightsreserved.

Figure4.CompanyGiftCardswiththeHighestResaleValue

Rank Company AverageResellValueper$100GiftCard

1 Nike $93.66

2 Walmart $83.94

3 BestBuy $83.12

4 Safeway $83.04

5 Costco $82.67

6 Target $81.88

7 Shell $81.87

8 Netflix $81.75

9 AppleStore $81.67

10 Ticketmaster $81.31

Average $83.49

Source:WalletHub

StartupsDriveInnovationintheGiftCardMarketAnumberofstartupsaretryingtoimprovethegiftingexperiencebymakinge-giftingpersonal,convenientandsocial.

LoopCommercehasestablishedpartnershipswithmajorretailerssuchasMacy’s,NeimanMarcus,SaksFifthAvenueandCoach.LoopCommercecreatedanalternativecheckouttechnologythatenablesshopperstoe-giftanitem(notjustacard)fromaretailer’sonlineproductselection.Itallowstherecipienttoeditthecolorandsizeofthatitembeforethegiftisshipped.Therecipientcanalsochoosetoexchangetheitembeforeitships.RoyErez,CofounderandCEOofLoopCommerce,notesthatmanyconsumersfeele-giftingisanimpersonalformofgivingthatdoesnoteffectivelycommunicatethethoughtandeffortthatwentintochoosingagift.LoopCommerceprovidesamorepersonale-giftalternativethatallowssenderstopickagiftfortherecipientwhilestillgivingtherecipientsomeflexibilitytofinalizethedetailsofthegift.

CashStarisanemergingB2Bmobilewalletsolutionthatintegratesandmanagese-giftcardsindigitalwalletssuchasApple’sPassbookandAndroidPay.CashStarworkswithmorethan300globalretailcompaniestoprovideaturnkeye-giftcardsolutionthatmakesiteasyforretailerstolaunchandoptimizetheirgiftcardofferings.OneofCashStar’srestaurantclients,Landry’s,sawasalesliftof33%initsonlinegiftcardsafterCashStarimprovedtheredemptionexperiencewithdigitalwallets.

CashStarisalsopartneringwithNordstromtolaunchapersonale-giftingservice.CustomerscanselectaproductasagiftfromNordstrom’ssiteandsendthegiftviaemail.Theemailincludesapersonalnotefromthegiverandarequestthattherecipientprovidedetailssuchassize,colorandshippingaddress.Iftherecipientdoesnotlikethegift,heorshecanexchangeitforadigitalgiftcardwithoutnotifyingthesender.

Page 5: Gift Card Report December 21 2016 - Deborah Weinswig€¦ · 21-12-2016  · Gift Cards Drive Sales and Traffic for Retailers Retailers generate additional sales from gift cards beyond

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December21,2016

DeborahWeinswig,ManagingDirector,FungGlobalRetail&[email protected]:917.655.6790HK:852.6119.1779CN:86.186.1420.3016Copyright©2016TheFungGroup.Allrightsreserved.

Giftlyisastartupthatmakestheexperienceofgivingopen-loopgiftcards(suchasVisaandAmericanExpresscards)morepersonalbyallowingthegivertosuggestplacesfortherecipienttousethecard;giverscansendapersonalsuggestionbasedontherecipient’slocation.Giftlyalsoenablesthegivertocustomizethegiftcarddesignusingoneofthehundredsoftemplatesprovidedonthewebsite.Intermsofdelivery,giftgivershavetheoptionofsendingthecardviaemail,textmessageorregularmail.

piSocietyisane-giftingwebsitethatallowsrecipientstochoosetheirowngiftcardsfromanextensivelistofmerchantsbasedonapointsexchangesystem.Participatingmerchantsrangefromrestaurantstosellersofhomecategories,toysandwomen’sapparel.Insteadofsendingagiftcardfromadesignatedmerchant,giftgiverssend“pipoints,”whichrecipientscanredeemforgiftcardsoftheirchoiceonpiSociety’ssite.Bothgiversandrecipientsarerewardedforpurchaseandredemptionactivities.Thesitealsoprovidesadigitalwalletthatcustomerscanusetomanagetheirgiftcards.

Giftcardmanagementandredemptionisanotherareathatstartupsarelookingtodisrupt.Eachyear,alargenumberofgiftcardsarelost,neverredeemedorleftwithsmallbalances.Onaverage,about6%–10%ofgiftcardsareneverredeemed.Americanhouseholdshaveanaverageof$300inunspentgiftcards,accordingtoaBlackhawkNetworksurvey.In2015,anestimated$1billionworthofgiftcardswentunused,downfrom$6.9billionin2008,accordingtoCEBTowerGroup.Thesharpdeclinewasdriveninpartbyfederallegislationdesignedtolimitshortexpirationperiodsonthecards.

Giftcardsdonotrepresentlocked-inrevenueforretailers,asgiftcardrevenuecannotberecognizeduntilagoodorserviceisprovided.Retailershavetoconsiderunusedgiftcardsanunearnedrevenueliabilityuntilthecardsareredeemed.Initsfiscal2015year,Starbucksrecognized$39millioningiftcardbreakage.

CoinstarExchangeisaninstantgiftcardexchangesitethatenablescustomerstoexchangetheirunwantedgiftcardsforcash.Coinstarwillmakeanofferand,ifthecustomeracceptsit,thecustomercanprintavoucheroffthewebsiteandtakeittotheissuingstore’scustomerservicedepartmenttoexchangeforcash.Thewebsiteacceptsgiftcardsfrommorethan150storesandrestaurants.

CentzislookingtosolvetheunusedgiftcardproblemintheUSbygivingconsumerstheoptiontocombinethebalancesfromunusedgiftcardsintoonelumpsumaccountwithCentz,denominatedinadigitalcurrencycalledCentzGoldBucks.UserscanthenuseGoldBuckstopurchasenewgiftcards.Thestartupisalsodevelopingadigitalwalletforuserstostoretheirdigitalgiftcardcredit.Thecompany’spatent-pendingtechnologyincludesatightsecuritysystemdesignedtopreventgiftcardfraud.

Raiseisanonlinepeer-to-peergiftcardmarketplacethatmakesresellingunwantedgiftcardseasier.Itsvisionistoallowgiftcardsellerstogetatleast$0.85backonthedollar,whichisinthehigherrangeofgiftcardresalevalue.Thesiteisnowprocessingtensofthousandsoftransactionseverydayandwasatop-ratedgiftcardresaledestinationin2016.Raise’ssitetraffichasexplodedinthepasttwoyears.AccordingtocomScore,thesitehad5.2millionuniquevisitorsinNovember2015,morethanfourtimesthe

Giftcardmanagementandredemptionisanotherareathatstartupsarelookingtodisrupt.

Page 6: Gift Card Report December 21 2016 - Deborah Weinswig€¦ · 21-12-2016  · Gift Cards Drive Sales and Traffic for Retailers Retailers generate additional sales from gift cards beyond

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December21,2016

DeborahWeinswig,ManagingDirector,FungGlobalRetail&[email protected]:917.655.6790HK:852.6119.1779CN:86.186.1420.3016Copyright©2016TheFungGroup.Allrightsreserved.

numberofvisitorsseenbypeerssuchasGiftCards.com,CardCash.comandCardpool.

GiftingFunctionsAreBeingAddedinMobileWalletsTraditionalwaysofe-giftingviaemailarebeingreplacedbymoreconvenientmobile-giftingoptions.Thetrendisdrivenbynewandimprovedgiftingfunctionsthatdifferentmobilewalletsareexperimentingwithinordertointegrategiftingfunctionalitieswithmobileapps.Sendingelectronicgiftsviamobilewalletmakesitseamlessforrecipientstomanageandspendthegiftcardstheyreceive.

PayPalhaspartneredwiththeNewYork–baseddesignerJonathanAdlertocreatepersonalizeddigitalholidaygiftcardsforPayPalcustomers.Giftgiversareabletoaddpersonalizeddesignelementstoagiftcard,makingthegiftmorethoughtfulandpersonal.

AndroidPayhasdevelopedagiftcardmanagementfunctionthatenablescustomerstosaveandspendalltheirdigitalgiftcardsseamlessly.

ApplePayislookingtoupgradeitsloyaltyprogramsthroughapartnershipwithBlackhawkNetwork.Thispartnershipwillenablecustomerstostoreandmanagetheirgiftcards,andmakepaymentswiththem,viaApplePay.

SocialGiftingMakesGivingGiftCardsMoreFunRetailersandsocialmediaappsaroundtheworldareworkingtogethertoconvertthelargenumberofactiveusersonsocialmediaplatformsintoconsumersandgiftgivers.Starbucksisaleaderinusingsocialmediafore-gifting.ThecompanyjustannouncedapartnershipwithWeChatthatenablesWeChatusersinChinatosendStarbucksdrinkswithapersonalizedmessageviatheplatform.ThecompanyaimstobecomethetopdigitallygiftedbrandinChina.In2011,Starbucksrolledoutane-giftingservicethatallowedcustomerstosendgiftcardsviaemail,Facebook,theStarbucksmobileapporregularmail.In2013,thecompanyintroducedabetatestof@TweetACoffee,wherebyuserswithlinkedaccountscouldsenda$5e-giftviaTwitter.Theprogramranforthreemonths,and27,000peoplesignedup,generatingsalesof$180,000.

Social-giftingappWhiloallowsuserstoadditemstotheirwishlistswhilebrowsingrecenttrends.Usersconnectwiththeirfriendsandfamilywithintheapptosharetheirwishlistsandsolicitgifts.Theappalsosendsoutremindersforimportantgiftingoccasionssuchasbirthdaysandanniversaries.

Differentmobilewalletsareexperimentingwithnewandimprovedgiftingfunctions,drivinggrowthinmobilegifting.

Retailersandsocialmediaplatformsaroundtheworldareworkingtogethertoconvertthelargenumberofactiveusersonsocialmediaplatformsintoconsumersandgiftgivers.

Page 7: Gift Card Report December 21 2016 - Deborah Weinswig€¦ · 21-12-2016  · Gift Cards Drive Sales and Traffic for Retailers Retailers generate additional sales from gift cards beyond

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December21,2016

DeborahWeinswig,ManagingDirector,FungGlobalRetail&[email protected]:917.655.6790HK:852.6119.1779CN:86.186.1420.3016Copyright©2016TheFungGroup.Allrightsreserved.

TheMostPopularRetailGiftCardsOfferaWideSelectionofProductsManyconsumerspreferretailgiftcardsfromonlinemarketplacessuchasAmazonandbig-boxmerchantssuchasWalmartandTargetbecausetheyofferawidearrayofproducts.Giftcardsfrombig-boxretailersalsotendtomaintainhigherresalevalueduetohigherdemand.AccordingtoWalletHub,a$100giftcardfromapopularmerchantsuchasWalmartcangenerate$83.12inresalevalueversus$61.17onaverageforacardfromForever21.

Figure5.MostPopularGiftCards:2016vs.2015

2016 20151 Amazon Visa

2 Visa Amazon

3 iTunes AmericanExpress

4 AmericanExpress iTunes

5 Walmart Walmart

6 Target Target

7 Starbucks Starbucks

8 GooglePlay Netflix

9 Netflix eBay

10 eBay GooglePlaySource:WalletHub

AccordingtoWalletHub,a$100giftcardfromapopularmerchantsuchasWalmartcangenerate$83.12inresalevalueversus$61.17onaverageforacardfromForever21.

Page 8: Gift Card Report December 21 2016 - Deborah Weinswig€¦ · 21-12-2016  · Gift Cards Drive Sales and Traffic for Retailers Retailers generate additional sales from gift cards beyond

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December21,2016

DeborahWeinswig,ManagingDirector,FungGlobalRetail&[email protected]:917.655.6790HK:852.6119.1779CN:86.186.1420.3016Copyright©2016TheFungGroup.Allrightsreserved.

DeborahWeinswig,CPAManagingDirectorFungGlobalRetail&TechnologyNewYork:917.655.6790HongKong:852.6119.1779China:86.186.1420.3016deborahweinswig@fung1937.comJingWangResearchAssociate

HongKong:8thFloor,LiFungTower888CheungShaWanRoad,KowloonHongKongTel:85223004406London:242-246MaryleboneRoadLondon,NW16JQUnitedKingdomTel:44(0)2076168988NewYork:1359Broadway,9thFloorNewYork,NY10018Tel:6468397017

FungGlobalRetailTech.com