gliding and the weather. nothing makes as much difference as picking the right days to fly on. so:...
TRANSCRIPT
Nothing makes as much difference aspicking the right days to fly on.
So:
●What is “good gliding weather”?●How can we forecast it?
Air masses and Fronts
●Air in different places has different temperture, humidity etc.
●Call a large area of similar air an air mass
●Fronts occur where air masess meet
●A cold front occurs where cold air is undercutting warmer air
●A warm front is where warm air is overriding cold air
●Both lead to cloud and precipitation
●We get lots of them!
Mid-latitude Depressions
●Usually associated with fronts and precipitation
●Often also high winds near centre
●Move from west to east
●This is why we get lots of fronts!
Gliding Weather
●For a day to be any good we need to be able to stay up
●Can get lift from:
●Hills
●Thermals
●Wave
●What sort of weather do we need for each one?
Hill Lift
●Wind must be blowing towards ridge—within about 45°
●Must be strong enough—about 10kts minimum
●Not too strong—depends on direction but about 25kts max
●Not raining!
Thermals
●Sun heats ground
●Ground heats air
●Air rises in bubbles
●Gliders and soaring birds circle in rising air
●Thermals may be topped by cumulus clouds or “blue”
What do we need?
●Sunshine (spring or summer)
●Air must be unstable enough to allow convection but not too unstable or it gets showery
●Not too windy
●Not easterly (at Portmoak)
How does it work?
●Wind blows over mountains
●Standing waves set up downwind
●Glider sits in rising part of wave and goes up
What do we need?
●Right wind direction—roughly NW
●Stable layer
●Moderate wind strength, typically 15–20kts at surface
●Increasing wind strength with height
●Roughly constant wind direction at height
●Straight isobars or slight anticyclonic curve
●Luck!
What can go wrong?
●Depressions and Fronts
●Showers and Storms
●Sea Breezes
●Fog
●Flooding
●Easterlies
Depressions and Fronts
●Forecasting depressions is not too hard
●But forecasting the timing of fronts is (e.g. last Sunday)
●Look for gaps, even short ones
●Keep checking—long range forecasts are often wrong
Showers and Storms
●Can occur when there is deep instability (e.g. last Sunday)
●Common in northerly airstreams in winter
●Winter showers generally worst near coast so more of a problem in north-easterly winds than north-westerlies
●Summer showers and thunderstorms generally require some heating by the sun to get them started so most likely in afternoon
Sea Breezes
●Happen when heating inland produces inflow of air
●Thermals on the front often enhanced
●Sea air behind front is cold and damp, therefore dead
●Can cause a change of wind direction
●Can be held back by westerly wind
●Only solution to get away before it arrives
Easterlies
●No reliable ridges
●Poor or no thermals due to sea air
●Cold and damp in winter
●Can bring fog
Stability
●Rising air exapands and therefore cools (PV = nRT etc.)
●This is the Dry Adiabatic Lapse Rate (DALR)
●Approximately 3°C per 1000ft
●Saturated air (i.e. clouds) release latent heat
●Therefore cool more slowly
●At the Saturated Adiabatic Lapse Rate SALR
Stability
●Actual decrease of temperature with height is the Environmental Lapse Rate (ELR)
●Lapse rate > DALR => unstable
●Lapse rate < SALR => stable
●SALR > Lapse rate > DALR => conditionally unstable
Weather Forecasts
●Check 24, 48, 72 hour forecast synoptics for position of depressions, fronts, wind strength & direction
●Keep checking back—they can change a lot
●Compare with, say, met office 3-day forecast
●If there’s a chance of thermals or wave check the forecast sounding