global perspectives on energy security
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Global Perspectives on Energy Security, Dr. Marianne Osterkorn, REEEPTRANSCRIPT
The Renewable Energy and Energy Efficiency Partnership (REEEP)
Marianne OsterkornInternational Director REEEP
Global Perspectives on Energy SecurityRüschlikon, 9 March 2007
1. REEEP currently comprises more than 200 partnersrepresenting 35 governments, businesses and NGOscommitted to accelerating the uptake of renewable energyand energy efficiency.
2. REEEP is currently funded by the EU and 11 governments: Austria, Australia, Canada, Germany, Ireland, Italy, the Netherlands, Norway, Spain, US, and UK, the majordonor of REEEP
REEEP - the Renewable Energy and Energy Efficiency Partnership is an international NGO registered in A ustria
1. REEEP aims to reduce market barriers and financial obstacles for renewables and energy efficiency and so facilitate technology transfer
2. REEEP believes in action on the ground via project activitiesthat are targeted on policy improvements and innovativefinance mechanisms
3. REEEP focuses on emerging markets and developing countries and contributes to improving access to reliable energy for the poor
REEEP’s vision is to make energy systems sustainable
REEEP delivers value via Regional Secretariats
REEEP Regional Office Africa
REEEP Regional Office Central Europe
REEEP Regional Office
East Asia
REEEP Regional Office
Latin America &
Caribbean
REEEP Regional Office North America
REEEP Local Focal Point MEDREP
REEEP Regional OfficeSouth Asia
REEEP Regional OfficeSouth East Asia & Pacific
REEEP Regional OfficeRussiaREEEP International
Secretariat
The 50 REEEP projects encourage local initiatives i n 40 countries
Currently 50 projects
Locations – 40 countries
• Some projects – multiple countries
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5397
0
2000
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14000
16000
18000
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2003 2030
Mto
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15405
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16000
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2004 2030
Mto
e p.
a.
consumption efficiency savings consumption efficiency savings
Sources: IEA: World Energy Outlook 2006; Energy Information Administration: International Energy Outlook 2006
1709515347
-10%
- 35%
The savings of 1,690 Mtoe according to the IEA scena rio would be equal to the total current energy demand of China
Up to 35% of energy demand in 2030 could be absorbe dthrough energy efficiency measures
Global primary energy demand now and in 2030 (in Mt oe p.a.) and possible ‘efficiency savings’ according to the IEA (left) and EREC/Greenpeace (right)
Source: Energy Information Administration: International Energy Outlook 2006
Global delivered energy consumption by end-use sect or according to the Energy Information Administration (EIA), 200 3-2030
Sources: REEEP, EURIMAEurostat yearbook 2006-07
Households63%Agriculture
6%
Services28%
Other Sectors3%
Rail transport2%
Road transport84%
Air transport14%
Final energy consumption of EU-25 1990/2004 in toe (Total 2004: 1.2 bn toe) Households/Services
in 2004(Total: 472 mio toe)
Transport in 2004(Total: 350 mio toe)
40% of energy in Europe is used in buildings. Bringing existing buildings up to current newbuild standards could save 460 mio t of CO 2 p.a..,i.e. more than Europe’s total Kyoto commitment
In the EU25, energy consumption between 1990 and 20 04rose most in the transport and households sector
94 101
333 319
272 350
409
472
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1200
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1990 2004
Tho
usan
ds
Non-energy consumption Industry Transport Households/Services
Sources: IEA: World Energy Outlook 2006; Energy Information Administration: International Energy Outlook 2006
2607934080
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10000
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o2 p
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18628
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2003 2030
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o2 p
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CO2 emissions efficiency savings
Global CO 2 emissions now and in 2030 (in mio t p.a.) and possi ble ‘efficiency savings’ according to the IEA (left) and EREC/Greenp eace (right)
-54%
-16%
The savings of 6,340 mio t according to the IEA sce nario would be equal to the total current CO 2 emissions of the United States and Canada combined
More than 50% of CO 2 emissions can be avoided in 2030
Renewables and improved end-use efficiency canaccount for 90% of avoided CO 2 emissions until 2030
Source: IEA: World Energy Outlook 2006
Global achievable savings in CO 2 emissions until 2030 according to the IEA (in Gt)
The bulk of global energy and emissions savings wou ld come from energy efficiency improvements and an increased use of ren ewables in the US, the US but also in China.
REEEP International SecretariatVienna International Centre
Vienna, [email protected]
+43 1 26026 3425
www.reeep.orgwww.reegle.info
• EU RES directive defines consumption targets, i.e. Member States may reach their goals also via EE measures
• According to the latest EC report on progress in renewable electricity, Sweden and Poland, two countries with defined consumption targets, stand "a good chance of reaching the 2010 target "
• In Italy, small PV installations are eligible for "White Certificates"(tradable certificates for energy savings). Extraordinary large growth of electricity consumption currently offset benefits
• In Australia, solar water heaters are given green certificates based on the electricity consumption they displace
A real impact can only be achieved by combining the increased use of RES with accompanying EE measures
Sources: European Commission, REEEP
Source: World Energy Council
Africa, Asia and South America still have a high po tential for the use of hydropower
Ratio of usage and potential of hydropower resource s by continent
There is a huge potential for RES in developing andtransition countries - but still a long way to go
Global distribution ofdecentralised PV potential
based on the predictedstatus in 2050
Global distribution of onshoreand offshore wind potentialbased on predicted energyconversion efficiency in 2050
Source: WBGU
There is a huge potential for RES in developing andtransition Countries - but still a long way to go
Source: IEA
development of primary energyconsumption under theenergy [r]evolution scenario
Source: EREC/Greenpeace: energy [r]evolution, January 2007
projection of global final energy demandby sector in the energy [r]evolution scenarios