global perspectives on energy security

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The Renewable Energy and Energy Efficiency Partnership (REEEP) Marianne Osterkorn International Director REEEP Global Perspectives on Energy Security Rüschlikon, 9 March 2007

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Global Perspectives on Energy Security, Dr. Marianne Osterkorn, REEEP

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Page 1: Global Perspectives on Energy Security

The Renewable Energy and Energy Efficiency Partnership (REEEP)

Marianne OsterkornInternational Director REEEP

Global Perspectives on Energy SecurityRüschlikon, 9 March 2007

Page 2: Global Perspectives on Energy Security

1. REEEP currently comprises more than 200 partnersrepresenting 35 governments, businesses and NGOscommitted to accelerating the uptake of renewable energyand energy efficiency.

2. REEEP is currently funded by the EU and 11 governments: Austria, Australia, Canada, Germany, Ireland, Italy, the Netherlands, Norway, Spain, US, and UK, the majordonor of REEEP

REEEP - the Renewable Energy and Energy Efficiency Partnership is an international NGO registered in A ustria

Page 3: Global Perspectives on Energy Security

1. REEEP aims to reduce market barriers and financial obstacles for renewables and energy efficiency and so facilitate technology transfer

2. REEEP believes in action on the ground via project activitiesthat are targeted on policy improvements and innovativefinance mechanisms

3. REEEP focuses on emerging markets and developing countries and contributes to improving access to reliable energy for the poor

REEEP’s vision is to make energy systems sustainable

Page 4: Global Perspectives on Energy Security

REEEP delivers value via Regional Secretariats

REEEP Regional Office Africa

REEEP Regional Office Central Europe

REEEP Regional Office

East Asia

REEEP Regional Office

Latin America &

Caribbean

REEEP Regional Office North America

REEEP Local Focal Point MEDREP

REEEP Regional OfficeSouth Asia

REEEP Regional OfficeSouth East Asia & Pacific

REEEP Regional OfficeRussiaREEEP International

Secretariat

Page 5: Global Perspectives on Energy Security

The 50 REEEP projects encourage local initiatives i n 40 countries

Currently 50 projects

Locations – 40 countries

• Some projects – multiple countries

1

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Page 6: Global Perspectives on Energy Security

10440 9949

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0

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2003 2030

Mto

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2004 2030

Mto

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consumption efficiency savings consumption efficiency savings

Sources: IEA: World Energy Outlook 2006; Energy Information Administration: International Energy Outlook 2006

1709515347

-10%

- 35%

The savings of 1,690 Mtoe according to the IEA scena rio would be equal to the total current energy demand of China

Up to 35% of energy demand in 2030 could be absorbe dthrough energy efficiency measures

Global primary energy demand now and in 2030 (in Mt oe p.a.) and possible ‘efficiency savings’ according to the IEA (left) and EREC/Greenpeace (right)

Page 7: Global Perspectives on Energy Security

Source: Energy Information Administration: International Energy Outlook 2006

Global delivered energy consumption by end-use sect or according to the Energy Information Administration (EIA), 200 3-2030

Page 8: Global Perspectives on Energy Security

Sources: REEEP, EURIMAEurostat yearbook 2006-07

Households63%Agriculture

6%

Services28%

Other Sectors3%

Rail transport2%

Road transport84%

Air transport14%

Final energy consumption of EU-25 1990/2004 in toe (Total 2004: 1.2 bn toe) Households/Services

in 2004(Total: 472 mio toe)

Transport in 2004(Total: 350 mio toe)

40% of energy in Europe is used in buildings. Bringing existing buildings up to current newbuild standards could save 460 mio t of CO 2 p.a..,i.e. more than Europe’s total Kyoto commitment

In the EU25, energy consumption between 1990 and 20 04rose most in the transport and households sector

94 101

333 319

272 350

409

472

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1990 2004

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Non-energy consumption Industry Transport Households/Services

Page 9: Global Perspectives on Energy Security

Sources: IEA: World Energy Outlook 2006; Energy Information Administration: International Energy Outlook 2006

2607934080

6340

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2003 2030

mio

t C

o2 p

.a.

40420

34545

CO2 emissions efficiency savings

Global CO 2 emissions now and in 2030 (in mio t p.a.) and possi ble ‘efficiency savings’ according to the IEA (left) and EREC/Greenp eace (right)

-54%

-16%

The savings of 6,340 mio t according to the IEA sce nario would be equal to the total current CO 2 emissions of the United States and Canada combined

More than 50% of CO 2 emissions can be avoided in 2030

Page 10: Global Perspectives on Energy Security

Renewables and improved end-use efficiency canaccount for 90% of avoided CO 2 emissions until 2030

Source: IEA: World Energy Outlook 2006

Global achievable savings in CO 2 emissions until 2030 according to the IEA (in Gt)

The bulk of global energy and emissions savings wou ld come from energy efficiency improvements and an increased use of ren ewables in the US, the US but also in China.

Page 11: Global Perspectives on Energy Security

REEEP International SecretariatVienna International Centre

Vienna, [email protected]

+43 1 26026 3425

www.reeep.orgwww.reegle.info

Page 12: Global Perspectives on Energy Security

• EU RES directive defines consumption targets, i.e. Member States may reach their goals also via EE measures

• According to the latest EC report on progress in renewable electricity, Sweden and Poland, two countries with defined consumption targets, stand "a good chance of reaching the 2010 target "

• In Italy, small PV installations are eligible for "White Certificates"(tradable certificates for energy savings). Extraordinary large growth of electricity consumption currently offset benefits

• In Australia, solar water heaters are given green certificates based on the electricity consumption they displace

A real impact can only be achieved by combining the increased use of RES with accompanying EE measures

Sources: European Commission, REEEP

Page 13: Global Perspectives on Energy Security

Source: World Energy Council

Africa, Asia and South America still have a high po tential for the use of hydropower

Ratio of usage and potential of hydropower resource s by continent

There is a huge potential for RES in developing andtransition countries - but still a long way to go

Page 14: Global Perspectives on Energy Security

Global distribution ofdecentralised PV potential

based on the predictedstatus in 2050

Global distribution of onshoreand offshore wind potentialbased on predicted energyconversion efficiency in 2050

Source: WBGU

There is a huge potential for RES in developing andtransition Countries - but still a long way to go

Page 15: Global Perspectives on Energy Security

Source: IEA

Page 16: Global Perspectives on Energy Security

development of primary energyconsumption under theenergy [r]evolution scenario

Source: EREC/Greenpeace: energy [r]evolution, January 2007

projection of global final energy demandby sector in the energy [r]evolution scenarios

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