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January 2020 Gonzales Poll Gonzales Maryland Poll

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Page 1: Gonzales Maryland Poll - NFIB...analyze the results in an impartial, evenhanded manner. Mr. Gonzales frequently appears on radio and television in the Baltimore-D.C. region as a guest

January 2020

Gonzales Poll

Gonzales Maryland Poll

Page 2: Gonzales Maryland Poll - NFIB...analyze the results in an impartial, evenhanded manner. Mr. Gonzales frequently appears on radio and television in the Baltimore-D.C. region as a guest

Gonzales Maryland Poll

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Mid-Atlantic Petroleum Distributors Association - January 2020

Table of Contents

Background and Methodology ............................................................................................ 3

Gonzales January 2020 Poll Results .................................................................................. 4

Appendix A: Data Tables .................................................................................................... 8

QUESTION: Gas Tax Increase To Fight Climate Change .............................................. 8

QUESTION: Gas Tax Increase To Fight Climate Change - Intensity ............................. 11

QUESTION: Regional Group Authority Over Sale of Gasoline .................................... 14

QUESTION: Regional Group Authority Over Sale of Gasoline - Intensity .................... 17

QUESTION: Regional Group Authority To Impose New Taxes ................................... 20

QUESTION: Regional Group Authority To Impose New Taxes - Intensity ................... 23

QUESTION: Regional Group Authority To Establish Rules Revenue Use .................... 26

QUESTION: Regional Group Authority To Establish Rules Revenue Use - Intensity .... 29

Appendix B: Maryland Poll Sample Demographics ......................................................... 32

Region Classifications ............................................................................................. 33

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Mid-Atlantic Petroleum Distributors Association - January 2020

Background and Methodology

Patrick E. Gonzales graduated magna cum laude from the University of

Baltimore with a degree in political science.

His career in the field of public opinion research began in the mid-1980s as an

analyst with Mason-Dixon Opinion Research. During this time, Mr. Gonzales

helped develop, craft and implement election surveys and exit polls for

television and radio in the Baltimore-Washington D.C. metro area.

Mr. Gonzales has polled and analyzed well over a thousand elections in

Maryland and across the country since that time. Furthermore, he and his

associates have conducted numerous market research projects, crafting

message development plans and generating strategy blueprints for businesses

and organizations throughout the state.

Over his 35 years conducting public opinion polls, Patrick Gonzales has been

widely recognized by his peers for his ability to conduct unbiased surveys, and

analyze the results in an impartial, evenhanded manner.

Mr. Gonzales frequently appears on radio and television in the Baltimore-D.C.

region as a guest commentator.

This poll was conducted by Gonzales Research & Media Services from

December 23rd through January 4th, 2020. A total of 838 registered voters in

Maryland, who indicated that they are likely to vote in the 2020 general election,

were queried by live telephone interviews, utilizing both landline (39%) and cell

phone (61%) numbers. A cross-section of interviews was conducted throughout

the state, reflecting general election voting patterns.

The margin of error (MOE), per accepted statistical standards, is a range of plus

or minus 3.5 percentage points. If the entire population was surveyed, there is

a 95% probability that the true numbers would fall within this range.

Page 4: Gonzales Maryland Poll - NFIB...analyze the results in an impartial, evenhanded manner. Mr. Gonzales frequently appears on radio and television in the Baltimore-D.C. region as a guest

Gonzales Maryland Poll

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Mid-Atlantic Petroleum Distributors Association - January 2020

Gonzales January 2020 Poll Results

Among voters, 24% support increasing the gasoline tax in Maryland in order to fight

climate change (10% “strongly support” and 14% “somewhat support”), while 73%

oppose increasing the gasoline tax in the state to fight climate change (62% “strongly

oppose” and 11% “somewhat oppose”), with 3% providing no answer.

Opposition to a gas tax to fight climate change is across the board:

Gas Tax to Fight Climate Change Support Oppose

Democrat 30% 66% Republican 9% 90% Unaffiliated 30% 66%

Men 21% 77% Women 27% 70%

Under 50 32% 66% 50 and older 18% 79%

White 23% 74% African-American 28% 70%

Page 5: Gonzales Maryland Poll - NFIB...analyze the results in an impartial, evenhanded manner. Mr. Gonzales frequently appears on radio and television in the Baltimore-D.C. region as a guest

Gonzales Maryland Poll

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Mid-Atlantic Petroleum Distributors Association - January 2020

Gas Tax In MD To Fight Climate Change

Baltimore City

Support 26% Oppose 72%

Baltimore Suburbs

Support 22% Oppose 75%

Western MD

Support 11% Oppose 86%

Washington Metro

Support 33% Oppose 63%

Eastern Shore/ Southern MD

Support 14% Oppose 84%

Page 6: Gonzales Maryland Poll - NFIB...analyze the results in an impartial, evenhanded manner. Mr. Gonzales frequently appears on radio and television in the Baltimore-D.C. region as a guest

Gonzales Maryland Poll

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Mid-Atlantic Petroleum Distributors Association - January 2020

Regulate Sale of Gasoline

Seventy-eight percent of Maryland voters oppose the idea of Maryland being part of a

regional group that would have the authority to restrict the sale of gasoline (63%

“strongly oppose” and 15% “somewhat oppose”), while only 16% support Maryland

being part of a regional group that would have such authority (5% “strongly support”

and 11% “somewhat support”), with 6% providing no answer.

Registered independents, at 24%, are most likely to support the idea, but even among

this group, 69% oppose it.

Regulate Sale of Gasoline Support Oppose

Democrat 21% 71% Republican 1% 97% Unaffiliated 24% 69%

Men 13% 81% Women 18% 75%

Under 50 20% 74% 50 and older 12% 81%

White 14% 80% African-American 21% 73%

Page 7: Gonzales Maryland Poll - NFIB...analyze the results in an impartial, evenhanded manner. Mr. Gonzales frequently appears on radio and television in the Baltimore-D.C. region as a guest

Gonzales Maryland Poll

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Mid-Atlantic Petroleum Distributors Association - January 2020

Impose Taxes on Gasoline

Voters also do not want Maryland part of a regional group that could impose taxes on

gasoline: 71% oppose the idea of the state being part of a regional group that would have

the authority to impose a gas tax (60% “strongly oppose” and 11% “somewhat oppose”),

while 25% support this (12% “strongly support” and 13% “somewhat support”), with 4%

offering no opinion.

Ninety-three percent of Republicans, 64% of Democrats, and 59% of unaffiliated voters

oppose the idea of Maryland being part of a regional group that would have the

authority to impose taxes on gasoline.

Establish Rules on Regional Gas Tax Revenue

Among Marylanders, 57% oppose the idea the state being part of a regional group that

would have the authority to establish rules on how states could use revenue from a

regional gasoline tax (40% “strongly oppose” and 17% “somewhat oppose”), while 34%

support Maryland being part of a regional group having the authority to establish rules

on how to use revenue from a regional gas tax (12% “strongly support” and 22%

“somewhat support”), with 9% contributing no opinion.

Forty-four percent of Democrats support this idea and 46% oppose it.

Regulate Sale of Gasoline Support Oppose

Democrat 44% 46% Republican 15% 77% Unaffiliated 34% 60%

Men 31% 61% Women 37% 54%

Under 50 35% 56% 50 and older 34% 57%

White 29% 62% African-American 46% 46%

Page 8: Gonzales Maryland Poll - NFIB...analyze the results in an impartial, evenhanded manner. Mr. Gonzales frequently appears on radio and television in the Baltimore-D.C. region as a guest

Gonzales Maryland Poll

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Mid-Atlantic Petroleum Distributors Association - January 2020

Appendix A: Data Tables

QUESTION: Gas Tax Increase To Fight Climate Change Maryland is part of a 12-state group

working on a regional plan to reduce the sale of gasoline in order to fight climate change. The

group recently released a proposal that would raise gasoline prices at the pump anywhere from

5 cents to 17 cents per gallon.

Do you support or oppose a gasoline tax increase in Maryland?

GASOLINE TAX INCREASE FOR CLIMATE CHANGE Number Percent

Support 202 24.1 %

Oppose 611 72.9 %

No answer 25 3.0 %

Total 838 100.0 %

N=838 GASOLINE TAX INCREASE FOR CLIMATE CHANGE

Support Oppose No answer

PARTY

Democrat 142 311 17

30.2% 66.2% 3.6%

Republican 20 211 3

8.5% 90.2% 1.3%

Unaffiliated 40 89 5

29.9% 66.4% 3.7%

N=838 GASOLINE TAX INCREASE FOR CLIMATE CHANGE

Support Oppose No answer

GENDER

Male 79 294 9

20.7% 77.0% 2.4%

Female 123 317 16

27.0% 69.5% 3.5%

Page 9: Gonzales Maryland Poll - NFIB...analyze the results in an impartial, evenhanded manner. Mr. Gonzales frequently appears on radio and television in the Baltimore-D.C. region as a guest

Gonzales Maryland Poll

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Mid-Atlantic Petroleum Distributors Association - January 2020

N=838 GASOLINE TAX INCREASE FOR CLIMATE CHANGE

Support Oppose No answer

AGE GROUP

Under 50 117 242 9

31.8% 65.8% 2.4%

50 or older 85 369 16

18.1% 78.5% 3.4%

N=838 GASOLINE TAX INCREASE FOR CLIMATE CHANGE

Support Oppose No answer

AGE

18 to 39 70 113 5

37.2% 60.1% 2.7%

40 to 49 47 129 4

26.1% 71.7% 2.2%

50 to 59 35 147 9

18.3% 77.0% 4.7%

60 and older 50 222 7

17.9% 79.6% 2.5%

N=838 GASOLINE TAX INCREASE FOR CLIMATE CHANGE

Support Oppose No answer

RACE

White 123 400 16

22.8% 74.2% 3.0%

African- 67 170 6

American 27.6% 70.0% 2.5%

Other/ 12 41 3

Refused 21.4% 73.2% 5.4%

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Gonzales Maryland Poll

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Mid-Atlantic Petroleum Distributors Association - January 2020

N=838 GASOLINE TAX INCREASE FOR CLIMATE CHANGE

Support Oppose No answer

REGION

Baltimore 83 267 10

Metro 23.1% 74.2% 2.8%

Washington 95 180 10

Metro 33.3% 63.2% 3.5%

Rural 24 164 5

Maryland 12.4% 85.0% 2.6%

N=838 GASOLINE TAX INCREASE FOR CLIMATE CHANGE

Support Oppose No answer

COUNTY

Anne 15 65 1

Arundel Co. 18.5% 80.2% 1.2%

Baltimore 28 82 7

County 23.9% 70.1% 6.0%

Charles 8 16 0

County 33.3% 66.7% 0.0%

Harford 9 30 1

County 22.5% 75.0% 2.5%

Howard 12 38 0

County 24.0% 76.0% 0.0%

Montgomery 49 89 4

County 34.5% 62.7% 2.8%

Prince 38 75 6

George's Co. 31.9% 63.0% 5.0%

Baltimore 19 52 1

City 26.4% 72.2% 1.4%

Eastern Shore 13 79 2

13.8% 84.0% 2.1%

Western 11 85 3

Maryland 11.1% 85.9% 3.0%

Page 11: Gonzales Maryland Poll - NFIB...analyze the results in an impartial, evenhanded manner. Mr. Gonzales frequently appears on radio and television in the Baltimore-D.C. region as a guest

Gonzales Maryland Poll

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Mid-Atlantic Petroleum Distributors Association - January 2020

QUESTION: Gas Tax Increase To Fight Climate Change - Intensity Maryland is part of a 12-

state group working on a regional plan to reduce the sale of gasoline in order to fight climate

change. The group recently released a proposal that would raise gasoline prices at the pump

anywhere from 5 cents to 17 cents per gallon. Do you support or oppose a gasoline tax increase

in Maryland?

Is that strongly or somewhat support/oppose?

GASOLINE TAX INCREASE FOR CLIMATE CHANGE Number Percent

Strongly Support 81 9.7 %

Somewhat Support 121 14.4 %

Somewhat Oppose 91 10.9 %

Strongly Oppose 520 62.1 %

No answer 25 3.0 %

Total 838 100.0 %

N=838 GASOLINE TAX INCREASE FOR CLIMATE CHANGE

Strongly

Support

Somewhat

Support

Somewhat

Oppose

Strongly

Oppose

No answer

PARTY

Democrat 65 77 57 254 17

13.8% 16.4% 12.1% 54.0% 3.6%

Republican 7 13 13 198 3

3.0% 5.6% 5.6% 84.6% 1.3%

Unaffiliated 9 31 21 68 5

6.7% 23.1% 15.7% 50.7% 3.7%

N=838 GASOLINE TAX INCREASE FOR CLIMATE CHANGE

Strongly

Support

Somewhat

Support

Somewhat

Oppose

Strongly

Oppose

No answer

GENDER

Male 37 42 47 247 9

9.7% 11.0% 12.3% 64.7% 2.4%

Female 44 79 44 273 16

9.6% 17.3% 9.6% 59.9% 3.5%

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Mid-Atlantic Petroleum Distributors Association - January 2020

N=838 GASOLINE TAX INCREASE FOR CLIMATE CHANGE

Strongly

Support

Somewhat

Support

Somewhat

Oppose

Strongly

Oppose

No answer

AGE GROUP

Under 50 49 68 60 182 9

13.3% 18.5% 16.3% 49.5% 2.4%

50 or older 32 53 31 338 16

6.8% 11.3% 6.6% 71.9% 3.4%

N=838 GASOLINE TAX INCREASE FOR CLIMATE CHANGE

Strongly

Support

Somewhat

Support

Somewhat

Oppose

Strongly

Oppose

No answer

AGE

18 to 39 28 42 38 75 5

14.9% 22.3% 20.2% 39.9% 2.7%

40 to 49 21 26 22 107 4

11.7% 14.4% 12.2% 59.4% 2.2%

50 to 59 14 21 14 133 9

7.3% 11.0% 7.3% 69.6% 4.7%

60 and older 18 32 17 205 7

6.5% 11.5% 6.1% 73.5% 2.5%

N=838 GASOLINE TAX INCREASE FOR CLIMATE CHANGE

Strongly

Support

Somewhat

Support

Somewhat

Oppose

Strongly

Oppose

No answer

RACE

White 47 76 59 341 16

8.7% 14.1% 10.9% 63.3% 3.0%

African- 26 41 23 147 6

American 10.7% 16.9% 9.5% 60.5% 2.5%

Other/ 8 4 9 32 3

Refused 14.3% 7.1% 16.1% 57.1% 5.4%

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Gonzales Maryland Poll

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Mid-Atlantic Petroleum Distributors Association - January 2020

N=838 GASOLINE TAX INCREASE FOR CLIMATE CHANGE

Strongly

Support

Somewhat

Support

Somewhat

Oppose

Strongly

Oppose

No answer

REGION

Baltimore 22 61 40 227 10

Metro 6.1% 16.9% 11.1% 63.1% 2.8%

Washington 46 49 31 149 10

Metro 16.1% 17.2% 10.9% 52.3% 3.5%

Rural 13 11 20 144 5

Maryland 6.7% 5.7% 10.4% 74.6% 2.6%

N=838 GASOLINE TAX INCREASE FOR CLIMATE CHANGE

Strongly

Support

Somewhat

Support

Somewhat

Oppose

Strongly

Oppose

No answer

COUNTY

Anne 3 12 10 55 1

Arundel Co. 3.7% 14.8% 12.3% 67.9% 1.2%

Baltimore 8 20 16 66 7

County 6.8% 17.1% 13.7% 56.4% 6.0%

Charles 5 3 2 14 0

County 20.8% 12.5% 8.3% 58.3% 0.0%

Harford 3 6 3 27 1

County 7.5% 15.0% 7.5% 67.5% 2.5%

Howard 3 9 5 33 0

County 6.0% 18.0% 10.0% 66.0% 0.0%

Montgomery 26 23 15 74 4

County 18.3% 16.2% 10.6% 52.1% 2.8%

Prince 15 23 14 61 6

George's Co. 12.6% 19.3% 11.8% 51.3% 5.0%

Baltimore 5 14 6 46 1

City 6.9% 19.4% 8.3% 63.9% 1.4%

Eastern Shore 7 6 12 67 2

7.4% 6.4% 12.8% 71.3% 2.1%

Western 6 5 8 77 3

Maryland 6.1% 5.1% 8.1% 77.8% 3.0%

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Gonzales Maryland Poll

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Mid-Atlantic Petroleum Distributors Association - January 2020

QUESTION: Regional Group Authority Over Sale of Gasoline Do you support or oppose the

idea of Maryland being part of a regional group that would have the authority to restrict the sale

of gasoline?

REGIONAL GROUP RESTRICT SALE OF GASOLINE Number Percent

Support 132 15.8 %

Oppose 652 77.8 %

No answer 54 6.4 %

Total 838 100.0 %

N=838 REGIONAL GROUP RESTRICT SALE OF GASOLINE

Support Oppose No answer

PARTY

Democrat 97 334 39

20.6% 71.1% 8.3%

Republican 3 226 5

1.3% 96.6% 2.1%

Unaffiliated 32 92 10

23.9% 68.7% 7.5%

N=838 REGIONAL GROUP RESTRICT SALE OF GASOLINE

Support Oppose No answer

GENDER

Male 50 310 22

13.1% 81.2% 5.8%

Female 82 342 32

18.0% 75.0% 7.0%

N=838 REGIONAL GROUP RESTRICT SALE OF GASOLINE

Support Oppose No answer

AGE GROUP

Under 50 74 272 22

20.1% 73.9% 6.0%

50 or older 58 380 32

12.3% 80.9% 6.8%

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Mid-Atlantic Petroleum Distributors Association - January 2020

N=838 REGIONAL GROUP RESTRICT SALE OF GASOLINE

Support Oppose No answer

AGE

18 to 39 41 134 13

21.8% 71.3% 6.9%

40 to 49 33 138 9

18.3% 76.7% 5.0%

50 to 59 21 154 16

11.0% 80.6% 8.4%

60 and older 37 226 16

13.3% 81.0% 5.7%

N=838 REGIONAL GROUP RESTRICT SALE OF GASOLINE

Support Oppose No answer

RACE

White 75 430 34

13.9% 79.8% 6.3%

African- 50 177 16

American 20.6% 72.8% 6.6%

Other/ 7 45 4

Refused 12.5% 80.4% 7.1%

N=838 REGIONAL GROUP RESTRICT SALE OF GASOLINE

Support Oppose No answer

REGION

Baltimore 56 283 21

Metro 15.6% 78.6% 5.8%

Washington 60 198 27

Metro 21.1% 69.5% 9.5%

Rural 16 171 6

Maryland 8.3% 88.6% 3.1%

Page 16: Gonzales Maryland Poll - NFIB...analyze the results in an impartial, evenhanded manner. Mr. Gonzales frequently appears on radio and television in the Baltimore-D.C. region as a guest

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Mid-Atlantic Petroleum Distributors Association - January 2020

N=838 REGIONAL GROUP RESTRICT SALE OF GASOLINE

Support Oppose No answer

COUNTY

Anne 13 64 4

Arundel Co. 16.0% 79.0% 4.9%

Baltimore 18 90 9

County 15.4% 76.9% 7.7%

Charles 4 19 1

County 16.7% 79.2% 4.2%

Harford 5 32 3

County 12.5% 80.0% 7.5%

Howard 8 40 2

County 16.0% 80.0% 4.0%

Montgomery 32 95 15

County 22.5% 66.9% 10.6%

Prince 24 84 11

George's Co. 20.2% 70.6% 9.2%

Baltimore 12 57 3

City 16.7% 79.2% 4.2%

Eastern Shore 9 84 1

9.6% 89.4% 1.1%

Western 7 87 5

Maryland 7.1% 87.9% 5.1%

Page 17: Gonzales Maryland Poll - NFIB...analyze the results in an impartial, evenhanded manner. Mr. Gonzales frequently appears on radio and television in the Baltimore-D.C. region as a guest

Gonzales Maryland Poll

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Mid-Atlantic Petroleum Distributors Association - January 2020

QUESTION: Regional Group Authority Over Sale of Gasoline - Intensity Do you support or

oppose the idea of Maryland being part of a regional group that would have the authority to

restrict the sale of gasoline?

Is that strongly or somewhat support/oppose?

REGIONAL GROUP RESTRICT SALE OF GASOLINE Number Percent

Strongly Support 43 5.1 %

Somewhat Support 89 10.6 %

Somewhat Oppose 129 15.4 %

Strongly Oppose 523 62.4 %

No answer 54 6.4 %

Total 838 100.0 %

N=838 REGIONAL GROUP RESTRICT SALE OF GASOLINE

Strongly

Support

Somewhat

Support

Somewhat

Oppose

Strongly

Oppose

No answer

PARTY

Democrat 31 66 81 253 39

6.6% 14.0% 17.2% 53.8% 8.3%

Republican 1 2 25 201 5

0.4% 0.9% 10.7% 85.9% 2.1%

Unaffiliated 11 21 23 69 10

8.2% 15.7% 17.2% 51.5% 7.5%

N=838 REGIONAL GROUP RESTRICT SALE OF GASOLINE

Strongly

Support

Somewhat

Support

Somewhat

Oppose

Strongly

Oppose

No answer

GENDER

Male 19 31 59 251 22

5.0% 8.1% 15.4% 65.7% 5.8%

Female 24 58 70 272 32

5.3% 12.7% 15.4% 59.6% 7.0%

N=838 REGIONAL GROUP RESTRICT SALE OF GASOLINE

Strongly

Support

Somewhat

Support

Somewhat

Oppose

Strongly

Oppose

No answer

AGE GROUP

Under 50 22 52 66 206 22

6.0% 14.1% 17.9% 56.0% 6.0%

50 or older 21 37 63 317 32

4.5% 7.9% 13.4% 67.4% 6.8%

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Mid-Atlantic Petroleum Distributors Association - January 2020

N=838 REGIONAL GROUP RESTRICT SALE OF GASOLINE

Strongly

Support

Somewhat

Support

Somewhat

Oppose

Strongly

Oppose

No answer

AGE

18 to 39 11 30 43 91 13

5.9% 16.0% 22.9% 48.4% 6.9%

40 to 49 11 22 23 115 9

6.1% 12.2% 12.8% 63.9% 5.0%

50 to 59 6 15 26 128 16

3.1% 7.9% 13.6% 67.0% 8.4%

60 and older 15 22 37 189 16

5.4% 7.9% 13.3% 67.7% 5.7%

N=838 REGIONAL GROUP RESTRICT SALE OF GASOLINE

Strongly

Support

Somewhat

Support

Somewhat

Oppose

Strongly

Oppose

No answer

RACE

White 20 55 81 349 34

3.7% 10.2% 15.0% 64.7% 6.3%

African- 18 32 36 141 16

American 7.4% 13.2% 14.8% 58.0% 6.6%

Other/ 5 2 12 33 4

Refused 8.9% 3.6% 21.4% 58.9% 7.1%

N=838 REGIONAL GROUP RESTRICT SALE OF GASOLINE

Strongly

Support

Somewhat

Support

Somewhat

Oppose

Strongly

Oppose

No answer

REGION

Baltimore 13 43 52 231 21

Metro 3.6% 11.9% 14.4% 64.2% 5.8%

Washington 24 36 48 150 27

Metro 8.4% 12.6% 16.8% 52.6% 9.5%

Rural 6 10 29 142 6

Maryland 3.1% 5.2% 15.0% 73.6% 3.1%

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Mid-Atlantic Petroleum Distributors Association - January 2020

N=838 REGIONAL GROUP RESTRICT SALE OF GASOLINE

Strongly

Support

Somewhat

Support

Somewhat

Oppose

Strongly

Oppose

No answer

COUNTY

Anne 4 9 13 51 4

Arundel Co. 4.9% 11.1% 16.0% 63.0% 4.9%

Baltimore 4 14 17 73 9

County 3.4% 12.0% 14.5% 62.4% 7.7%

Charles 1 3 6 13 1

County 4.2% 12.5% 25.0% 54.2% 4.2%

Harford 1 4 6 26 3

County 2.5% 10.0% 15.0% 65.0% 7.5%

Howard 1 7 3 37 2

County 2.0% 14.0% 6.0% 74.0% 4.0%

Montgomery 12 20 23 72 15

County 8.5% 14.1% 16.2% 50.7% 10.6%

Prince 11 13 19 65 11

George's Co. 9.2% 10.9% 16.0% 54.6% 9.2%

Baltimore 3 9 13 44 3

City 4.2% 12.5% 18.1% 61.1% 4.2%

Eastern Shore 2 7 14 70 1

2.1% 7.4% 14.9% 74.5% 1.1%

Western 4 3 15 72 5

Maryland 4.0% 3.0% 15.2% 72.7% 5.1%

Page 20: Gonzales Maryland Poll - NFIB...analyze the results in an impartial, evenhanded manner. Mr. Gonzales frequently appears on radio and television in the Baltimore-D.C. region as a guest

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Mid-Atlantic Petroleum Distributors Association - January 2020

QUESTION: Regional Group Authority To Impose New Taxes Do you support or oppose the

idea of Maryland being part of a regional group that would have the authority to impose taxes

on gasoline?

REGIONAL GROUP IMPOSE NEW TAXES Number Percent

Support 210 25.1 %

Oppose 598 71.4 %

No answer 30 3.6 %

Total 838 100.0 %

N=838 REGIONAL GROUP IMPOSE NEW TAXES

Support Oppose No answer

PARTY

Democrat 154 301 15

32.8% 64.0% 3.2%

Republican 7 218 9

3.0% 93.2% 3.8%

Unaffiliated 49 79 6

36.6% 59.0% 4.5%

N=838 REGIONAL GROUP IMPOSE NEW TAXES

Support Oppose No answer

GENDER

Male 91 279 12

23.8% 73.0% 3.1%

Female 119 319 18

26.1% 70.0% 3.9%

N=838 REGIONAL GROUP IMPOSE NEW TAXES

Support Oppose No answer

AGE GROUP

Under 50 110 245 13

29.9% 66.6% 3.5%

50 or older 100 353 17

21.3% 75.1% 3.6%

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Mid-Atlantic Petroleum Distributors Association - January 2020

N=838 REGIONAL GROUP IMPOSE NEW TAXES

Support Oppose No answer

AGE

18 to 39 57 122 9

30.3% 64.9% 4.8%

40 to 49 53 123 4

29.4% 68.3% 2.2%

50 to 59 41 145 5

21.5% 75.9% 2.6%

60 and older 59 208 12

21.1% 74.6% 4.3%

N=838 REGIONAL GROUP IMPOSE NEW TAXES

Support Oppose No answer

RACE

White 122 393 24

22.6% 72.9% 4.5%

African- 74 165 4

American 30.5% 67.9% 1.6%

Other/ 14 40 2

Refused 25.0% 71.4% 3.6%

N=838 REGIONAL GROUP IMPOSE NEW TAXES

Support Oppose No answer

REGION

Baltimore 82 259 19

Metro 22.8% 71.9% 5.3%

Washington 94 187 4

Metro 33.0% 65.6% 1.4%

Rural 34 152 7

Maryland 17.6% 78.8% 3.6%

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Mid-Atlantic Petroleum Distributors Association - January 2020

N=838 REGIONAL GROUP IMPOSE NEW TAXES

Support Oppose No answer

COUNTY

Anne 15 59 7

Arundel Co. 18.5% 72.8% 8.6%

Baltimore 26 84 7

County 22.2% 71.8% 6.0%

Charles 8 16 0

County 33.3% 66.7% 0.0%

Harford 7 30 3

County 17.5% 75.0% 7.5%

Howard 12 37 1

County 24.0% 74.0% 2.0%

Montgomery 46 95 1

County 32.4% 66.9% 0.7%

Prince 40 76 3

George's Co. 33.6% 63.9% 2.5%

Baltimore 22 49 1

City 30.6% 68.1% 1.4%

Eastern Shore 15 76 3

16.0% 80.9% 3.2%

Western 19 76 4

Maryland 19.2% 76.8% 4.0%

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Mid-Atlantic Petroleum Distributors Association - January 2020

QUESTION: Regional Group Authority To Impose New Taxes - Intensity Do you support or

oppose the idea of Maryland being part of a regional group that would have the authority to

impose taxes on gasoline?

Is that strongly or somewhat support/oppose?

REGIONAL GROUP IMPOSE NEW TAXES Number Percent

Strongly Support 100 11.9 %

Somewhat Support 110 13.1 %

Somewhat Oppose 95 11.3 %

Strongly Oppose 503 60.0 %

No answer 30 3.6 %

Total 838 100.0 %

N=838 REGIONAL GROUP IMPOSE NEW TAXES

Strongly

Support

Somewhat

Support

Somewhat

Oppose

Strongly

Oppose

No answer

PARTY

Democrat 79 75 53 248 15

16.8% 16.0% 11.3% 52.8% 3.2%

Republican 2 5 27 191 9

0.9% 2.1% 11.5% 81.6% 3.8%

Unaffiliated 19 30 15 64 6

14.2% 22.4% 11.2% 47.8% 4.5%

N=838 REGIONAL GROUP IMPOSE NEW TAXES

Strongly

Support

Somewhat

Support

Somewhat

Oppose

Strongly

Oppose

No answer

GENDER

Male 46 45 40 239 12

12.0% 11.8% 10.5% 62.6% 3.1%

Female 54 65 55 264 18

11.8% 14.3% 12.1% 57.9% 3.9%

N=838 REGIONAL GROUP IMPOSE NEW TAXES

Strongly

Support

Somewhat

Support

Somewhat

Oppose

Strongly

Oppose

No answer

AGE GROUP

Under 50 49 61 51 194 13

13.3% 16.6% 13.9% 52.7% 3.5%

50 or older 51 49 44 309 17

10.9% 10.4% 9.4% 65.7% 3.6%

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Mid-Atlantic Petroleum Distributors Association - January 2020

N=838 REGIONAL GROUP IMPOSE NEW TAXES

Strongly

Support

Somewhat

Support

Somewhat

Oppose

Strongly

Oppose

No answer

AGE

18 to 39 29 28 33 89 9

15.4% 14.9% 17.6% 47.3% 4.8%

40 to 49 20 33 18 105 4

11.1% 18.3% 10.0% 58.3% 2.2%

50 to 59 18 23 21 124 5

9.4% 12.0% 11.0% 64.9% 2.6%

60 and older 33 26 23 185 12

11.8% 9.3% 8.2% 66.3% 4.3%

N=838 REGIONAL GROUP IMPOSE NEW TAXES

Strongly

Support

Somewhat

Support

Somewhat

Oppose

Strongly

Oppose

No answer

RACE

White 56 66 66 327 24

10.4% 12.2% 12.2% 60.7% 4.5%

African- 38 36 23 142 4

American 15.6% 14.8% 9.5% 58.4% 1.6%

Other/ 6 8 6 34 2

Refused 10.7% 14.3% 10.7% 60.7% 3.6%

N=838 REGIONAL GROUP IMPOSE NEW TAXES

Strongly

Support

Somewhat

Support

Somewhat

Oppose

Strongly

Oppose

No answer

REGION

Baltimore 35 47 43 216 19

Metro 9.7% 13.1% 11.9% 60.0% 5.3%

Washington 52 42 32 155 4

Metro 18.2% 14.7% 11.2% 54.4% 1.4%

Rural 13 21 20 132 7

Maryland 6.7% 10.9% 10.4% 68.4% 3.6%

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Mid-Atlantic Petroleum Distributors Association - January 2020

N=838 REGIONAL GROUP IMPOSE NEW TAXES

Strongly

Support

Somewhat

Support

Somewhat

Oppose

Strongly

Oppose

No answer

COUNTY

Anne 4 11 9 50 7

Arundel Co. 4.9% 13.6% 11.1% 61.7% 8.6%

Baltimore 13 13 17 67 7

County 11.1% 11.1% 14.5% 57.3% 6.0%

Charles 6 2 3 13 0

County 25.0% 8.3% 12.5% 54.2% 0.0%

Harford 1 6 4 26 3

County 2.5% 15.0% 10.0% 65.0% 7.5%

Howard 6 6 4 33 1

County 12.0% 12.0% 8.0% 66.0% 2.0%

Montgomery 28 18 14 81 1

County 19.7% 12.7% 9.9% 57.0% 0.7%

Prince 18 22 15 61 3

George's Co. 15.1% 18.5% 12.6% 51.3% 2.5%

Baltimore 11 11 9 40 1

City 15.3% 15.3% 12.5% 55.6% 1.4%

Eastern Shore 5 10 9 67 3

5.3% 10.6% 9.6% 71.3% 3.2%

Western 8 11 11 65 4

Maryland 8.1% 11.1% 11.1% 65.7% 4.0%

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Mid-Atlantic Petroleum Distributors Association - January 2020

QUESTION: Regional Group Authority To Establish Rules Revenue Use Do you support or

oppose the idea of Maryland being part of a regional group that would have the authority to

establish rules on how states could use revenue from a regional gasoline tax?

REGIONAL GROUP ESTABLISH RULES Number Percent

Support 287 34.2 %

Oppose 476 56.8 %

No answer 75 8.9 %

Total 838 100.0 %

N=838 REGIONAL GROUP ESTABLISH RULES

Support Oppose No answer

PARTY

Democrat 206 216 48

43.8% 46.0% 10.2%

Republican 35 180 19

15.0% 76.9% 8.1%

Unaffiliated 46 80 8

34.3% 59.7% 6.0%

N=838 REGIONAL GROUP ESTABLISH RULES

Support Oppose No answer

GENDER

Male 117 232 33

30.6% 60.7% 8.6%

Female 170 244 42

37.3% 53.5% 9.2%

N=838 REGIONAL GROUP ESTABLISH RULES

Support Oppose No answer

AGE GROUP

Under 50 127 206 35

34.5% 56.0% 9.5%

50 or older 160 270 40

34.0% 57.4% 8.5%

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Mid-Atlantic Petroleum Distributors Association - January 2020

N=838 REGIONAL GROUP ESTABLISH RULES

Support Oppose No answer

AGE

18 to 39 66 101 21

35.1% 53.7% 11.2%

40 to 49 61 105 14

33.9% 58.3% 7.8%

50 to 59 64 114 13

33.5% 59.7% 6.8%

60 and older 96 156 27

34.4% 55.9% 9.7%

N=838 REGIONAL GROUP ESTABLISH RULES

Support Oppose No answer

RACE

White 155 333 51

28.8% 61.8% 9.5%

African- 112 112 19

American 46.1% 46.1% 7.8%

Other/ 20 31 5

Refused 35.7% 55.4% 8.9%

N=838 REGIONAL GROUP ESTABLISH RULES

Support Oppose No answer

REGION

Baltimore 116 217 27

Metro 32.2% 60.3% 7.5%

Washington 110 144 31

Metro 38.6% 50.5% 10.9%

Rural 61 115 17

Maryland 31.6% 59.6% 8.8%

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Mid-Atlantic Petroleum Distributors Association - January 2020

N=838 REGIONAL GROUP ESTABLISH RULES

Support Oppose No answer

COUNTY

Anne 25 50 6

Arundel Co. 30.9% 61.7% 7.4%

Baltimore 43 64 10

County 36.8% 54.7% 8.5%

Charles 10 13 1

County 41.7% 54.2% 4.2%

Harford 8 26 6

County 20.0% 65.0% 15.0%

Howard 16 32 2

County 32.0% 64.0% 4.0%

Montgomery 58 70 14

County 40.8% 49.3% 9.9%

Prince 42 61 16

George's Co. 35.3% 51.3% 13.4%

Baltimore 24 45 3

City 33.3% 62.5% 4.2%

Eastern Shore 28 60 6

29.8% 63.8% 6.4%

Western 33 55 11

Maryland 33.3% 55.6% 11.1%

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Mid-Atlantic Petroleum Distributors Association - January 2020

QUESTION: Regional Group Authority To Establish Rules Revenue Use - Intensity Do you

support or oppose the idea of Maryland being part of a regional group that would have the

authority to establish rules on how states could use revenue from a regional gasoline tax?

Is that strongly or somewhat support/oppose?

REGIONAL GROUP ESTABLISH RULES Number Percent

Strongly Support 105 12.5 %

Somewhat Support 182 21.7 %

Somewhat Oppose 139 16.6 %

Strongly Oppose 337 40.2 %

No answer 75 8.9 %

Total 838 100.0 %

N=838 REGIONAL GROUP ESTABLISH RULES

Strongly

Support

Somewhat

Support

Somewhat

Oppose

Strongly

Oppose

No answer

PARTY

Democrat 72 134 71 145 48

15.3% 28.5% 15.1% 30.9% 10.2%

Republican 9 26 44 136 19

3.8% 11.1% 18.8% 58.1% 8.1%

Unaffiliated 24 22 24 56 8

17.9% 16.4% 17.9% 41.8% 6.0%

N=838 REGIONAL GROUP ESTABLISH RULES

Strongly

Support

Somewhat

Support

Somewhat

Oppose

Strongly

Oppose

No answer

GENDER

Male 44 73 60 172 33

11.5% 19.1% 15.7% 45.0% 8.6%

Female 61 109 79 165 42

13.4% 23.9% 17.3% 36.2% 9.2%

N=838 REGIONAL GROUP ESTABLISH RULES

Strongly

Support

Somewhat

Support

Somewhat

Oppose

Strongly

Oppose

No answer

AGE GROUP

Under 50 41 86 56 150 35

11.1% 23.4% 15.2% 40.8% 9.5%

50 or older 64 96 83 187 40

13.6% 20.4% 17.7% 39.8% 8.5%

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Mid-Atlantic Petroleum Distributors Association - January 2020

N=838 REGIONAL GROUP ESTABLISH RULES

Strongly

Support

Somewhat

Support

Somewhat

Oppose

Strongly

Oppose

No answer

AGE

18 to 39 22 44 32 69 21

11.7% 23.4% 17.0% 36.7% 11.2%

40 to 49 19 42 24 81 14

10.6% 23.3% 13.3% 45.0% 7.8%

50 to 59 26 38 32 82 13

13.6% 19.9% 16.8% 42.9% 6.8%

60 and older 38 58 51 105 27

13.6% 20.8% 18.3% 37.6% 9.7%

N=838 REGIONAL GROUP ESTABLISH RULES

Strongly

Support

Somewhat

Support

Somewhat

Oppose

Strongly

Oppose

No answer

RACE

White 57 98 94 239 51

10.6% 18.2% 17.4% 44.3% 9.5%

African- 40 72 35 77 19

American 16.5% 29.6% 14.4% 31.7% 7.8%

Other/ 8 12 10 21 5

Refused 14.3% 21.4% 17.9% 37.5% 8.9%

N=838 REGIONAL GROUP ESTABLISH RULES

Strongly

Support

Somewhat

Support

Somewhat

Oppose

Strongly

Oppose

No answer

REGION

Baltimore 47 69 59 158 27

Metro 13.1% 19.2% 16.4% 43.9% 7.5%

Washington 38 72 52 92 31

Metro 13.3% 25.3% 18.2% 32.3% 10.9%

Rural 20 41 28 87 17

Maryland 10.4% 21.2% 14.5% 45.1% 8.8%

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Mid-Atlantic Petroleum Distributors Association - January 2020

N=838 REGIONAL GROUP ESTABLISH RULES

Strongly

Support

Somewhat

Support

Somewhat

Oppose

Strongly

Oppose

No answer

COUNTY

Anne 11 14 11 39 6

Arundel Co. 13.6% 17.3% 13.6% 48.1% 7.4%

Baltimore 16 27 21 43 10

County 13.7% 23.1% 17.9% 36.8% 8.5%

Charles 4 6 4 9 1

County 16.7% 25.0% 16.7% 37.5% 4.2%

Harford 1 7 6 20 6

County 2.5% 17.5% 15.0% 50.0% 15.0%

Howard 5 11 5 27 2

County 10.0% 22.0% 10.0% 54.0% 4.0%

Montgomery 25 33 25 45 14

County 17.6% 23.2% 17.6% 31.7% 9.9%

Prince 9 33 23 38 16

George's Co. 7.6% 27.7% 19.3% 31.9% 13.4%

Baltimore 14 10 16 29 3

City 19.4% 13.9% 22.2% 40.3% 4.2%

Eastern Shore 9 19 16 44 6

9.6% 20.2% 17.0% 46.8% 6.4%

Western 11 22 12 43 11

Maryland 11.1% 22.2% 12.1% 43.4% 11.1%

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Mid-Atlantic Petroleum Distributors Association - January 2020

Appendix B: Maryland Poll Sample Demographics

PARTY Number Percent

Democrat 470 56.1 %

Republican 234 27.9 %

Unaffiliated 134 16.0 %

Total 838 100.0 %

AGE Number Percent

18 to 39 188 22.4 %

40 to 49 180 21.5 %

50 to 59 191 22.8 %

60 and older 279 33.3 %

Total 838 100.0 %

AGE GROUP Number Percent

Under 50 368 43.9 %

50 or older 470 56.1 %

Total 838 100.0 %

RACE Number Percent

White 539 64.3 %

African-American 243 29.0 %

Hispanic 56 6.7 %

Total 838 100.0 %

GENDER Number Percent

Male 382 45.6 %

Female 456 54.4 %

Total 838 100.0 %

REGION Number Percent

Baltimore Metro 360 43.0 %

Washington Metro 285 34.0 %

Rural Maryland 193 23.0 %

Total 838 100.0 %

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Mid-Atlantic Petroleum Distributors Association - January 2020

Region Classifications

Baltimore Metro Number Percent

Baltimore City 72 20.0 %

Anne Arundel County 81 22.5 %

Baltimore County 117 32.5 %

Harford County 40 11.1 %

Howard County 50 13.9 %

Total 360 100.0 %

Washington Metro Number Percent

Montgomery County 142 49.8 %

Prince George's County 119 41.8 %

Charles County 24 8.4 %

Total 285 100.0 %

Rural Maryland Number Percent

Eastern Shore/Southern Maryland 94 48.7 %

Western Maryland 99 51.3 %

Total 193 100.0 %