good market activity continues - inovalis reit › template › img › doc_reports ›...

16
“Atrium Défense” – La Garenne-Colombes © JLL Good market activity continues The office market in the Greater Paris Region 3 rd quarter 2016

Upload: others

Post on 07-Jul-2020

0 views

Category:

Documents


0 download

TRANSCRIPT

Page 1: Good market activity continues - INOVALIS REIT › template › img › doc_reports › greater...2014 2015 2016 Source: JLL/ImmoStat Total take-up Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 In thousand sq m 665

“Atrium Défense” – La Garenne-Colombes

© JLL

Good market activity continues

The office market in the Greater Paris Region 3rd quarter 2016

Page 2: Good market activity continues - INOVALIS REIT › template › img › doc_reports › greater...2014 2015 2016 Source: JLL/ImmoStat Total take-up Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 In thousand sq m 665

2222222

Editorial

Key message

Shortage of office space in Paris

Since the beginning of the year, immediate office supply in Paris has fallen by

100,000 sq m leaving the average vacancy rate in the capital at 3.6% by the end of

September. With 592,000 sq m of availability, supply in Paris has not been this low for

8 years!

After a long period of balanced supply (2009-2015) with a vacancy rate of around 5%,

levels started to fall in Paris a year ago and immediate supply now stands at only 6 to

7 months of consumption in most submarkets.

Paris accounted for over half of all transactions carried out in the Greater Paris

Region since the beginning of the year and there was a particularly high level of

activity in the major transactions segment which posted 19 transactions for spaces over

5,000 sq m in 2016, compared with 14 last year over the same period. As well as being

more numerous, these transactions were also larger as there have been 13 deals for

spaces over 10,000 sq m since the beginning of the year whereas, over the last five

years the average for spaces over 10,000 sq m in Paris was 7 transactions per year.

The highest number of major moves since the beginning of the year was seen in

peripheral submarkets, with the 15th and 13th districts leading the way (5 and 4

transactions for spaces over 10,000 sq m respectively).

2

Page 3: Good market activity continues - INOVALIS REIT › template › img › doc_reports › greater...2014 2015 2016 Source: JLL/ImmoStat Total take-up Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 In thousand sq m 665

3

Live from the market

Good market activity continues

No slowdown in the rental market over the summer

The Greater Paris Region office market posted a further increase this summer.

With figures for Q1 already over the 500,000 sq m level, Q2 fared even better and

exceeded 600,000 sq m. Q3 also saw a good level of performance with 592,000 sq m

of take-up. By the end of September, transactions stood at over 1.7 million sq m

(+14% year on year) which is in line with the ten-year average normally seen for this

period.

Activity in the over 5,000 sq m segment has been consistently good since the

beginning of the year with no fewer than 17 transactions completed by major

corporates this summer while there were 16 and 15 over Q1 and Q2 respectively.

These transactions also demonstrate major corporate appetite for new space

(29 of the 48 transactions) as this type of space allows them to improve the quality of

their offices as a working tool. The major transactions over Q3 included RTE's lease

of “Window” (~38,000 sq m), currently being redeveloped in La Défense, RATP's

lease of “Elyps” (~32,000 sq m) which is currently under construction in Fontenay-

sous-Bois and INSEE's lease at “White” which was completed last quarter in

Montrouge.

Paris remains far in the lead and has accounted for over half of all transactions

since the beginning of the year. Markets on the Left Bank were particularly active due

to transactions for spaces over 5,000 sq m. Following leases in Paris 12-13 at both

“Elements” and “France Avenue” (~15,000 sq m in each), BPCE/NATIXIS has opted

for further expansion in “Austerlitz” (~14,000 sq m). In Paris 14-15, activity is still

being driven by companies in the press and media sectors, with moves including

LES ECHOS / LE PARISIEN in “10 Grenelle” (~18,000 sq m) as well as another well-

known company (~14,000 sq m) following ALTICE's lease in Q2.

The business district of La Défense posted a remarkable performance for this

point in the year with a take-up of 231,000 sq m. Since the beginning of the year,

large companies have shown a high degree of interest in this submarket which has

seen 10 major transactions, compared with only 4 over the same period in 2015.

Three of these were for spaces in excess of 30,000 sq m: following DELOITTE's

lease in Q1 and SAINT-GOBAIN's in Q2, RTE opted to remain in La Défense and

move to “Window”, a building which has been developed above the “Quatre Temps”

shopping centre.

2,183 2,269

1,732

0

500

1 000

1 500

2 000

2 500

3 000

2014 2015 2016

Source: JLL/ImmoStat

Total take-up

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4

In thousand sq m

665 530 614

0

500

1 000

1 500

2 000

2 500

3 000

Sources : JLL/ImmoStat

Number of large deals > 5,000 sq m

Demande placée cumulée 1T

En milliers de m²

Source: JLL/ImmoStat

20%

26%

6%

24%

10%

14%

18%

27%

13%

20%

9%

13%

Take-up by geographic areas(Q1-Q3 2016 vs Q1-Q3 2015)

Paris CBD Rest of ParisLa Défense Western CrescentInner suburbs Outer suburbs

Source: JLL/ImmoStat

Q1-Q3 2016

Q1-Q3 2015

Page 4: Good market activity continues - INOVALIS REIT › template › img › doc_reports › greater...2014 2015 2016 Source: JLL/ImmoStat Total take-up Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 In thousand sq m 665

4

As availability contracts, particularly in Inner Paris, we are starting to see

occupiers shift towards towns on the outskirts of Paris. The Inner Southern

Suburbs have also benefited from this phenomenon, particularly with INSEE's

transaction for “White”, the IONIS group's acquisition of 63 Boulevard de

Brandebourg in Ivry-sur-Seine and EUREST/COMPASS at “Smart up” in Châtillon as

the most recent examples.

Changes in prime headline rents vary by submarket. In the Central Business

District, the prime rent posted a further increase – mainly due to additional

completions at rents of more than €750 per sq m/year – reaching €770 per sq

m/year. In La Défense the prime rent fell to €515 per sq m/year over Q3 2016 -

with a rent of less than €500, the RTE transaction had an impact on values. In terms

of incentives, we are now seeing a slight decrease, particularly for small spaces in the

Central Business District and this is starting to spread to other submarkets. Rental

incentives reached 20% in the Greater Paris Region, ranging from 17% in Inner

Paris (or lower in some districts of Paris) to an average of 21% across the whole of

the Inner Suburbs.

Immediate supply in the Greater Paris Region posted a decrease for the fifth

consecutive quarter and stood at 3.6 million at the end of September, this

equates to a vacancy rate of 6.8% for the region. This reduction in supply has

particularly affected new supply which now only accounts for 17% of overall supply, a

level not seen since 2006.

There is now a lack of supply in Paris which has a vacancy rate of less than 4% and

rates of less than 3% in Paris 5-6-7 and Paris 12-13. The substantial gap between

Paris and the Inner Suburbs persists as most markets in the latter have vacancy

rates of more than 10%. Supply in the Inner Suburbs is plentiful with the Western

Crescent accounting for most of this availability (960,000 sq m). Finally, the vacancy

rate in La Défense stabilised over Q3 at 8.6%.

665 530 614

0

500

1 000

1 500

2 000

2 500

3 000

Sources : JLL/ImmoStat

Rents (in €/sq m/yr)Central Business District

Demande placée cumulée 1T

En milliers de m²

Source: JLL

Page 5: Good market activity continues - INOVALIS REIT › template › img › doc_reports › greater...2014 2015 2016 Source: JLL/ImmoStat Total take-up Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 In thousand sq m 665

4

1-5 rue d’Astorg – Paris 8th

© Jean-Marc Lavigne

Page 6: Good market activity continues - INOVALIS REIT › template › img › doc_reports › greater...2014 2015 2016 Source: JLL/ImmoStat Total take-up Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 In thousand sq m 665

108

8

6

Market driven by foreign investor transactions

Following a timid start to the year, investments in the Greater Paris Region market

have increased quarter on quarter. €5.5 billion was therefore invested over Q3 2016,

taking the overall performance since the beginning of the year to €12.4 billion;

this equates to a 6% year-on-year increase and is 36% higher than the long-term

average.

Following the sale of “Tour First” in Q2 for an estimated €800 million, a further 2

transactions for values over €500 million boosted the market over the

summer. AMUNDI acquired three assets in the Greater Paris Region from KANAM

as part of a European portfolio for an estimated €700 million and GIC sold two iconic

buildings in Paris to a French institutional investor for approximately €500 million. This

activity managed to offset a slight downturn in transactions in the €100 to €300 million

segment. There have been 28 transactions for values over €100 million since the

beginning of the year, amounting to a total of €7.3 billion, compared with 38 over

the same period in 2015 for a total of €7.8 billion (-6%). Activity in other market

segments continued to rise, with a 39% increase for transactions under €50 million

totalling €2.8 billion in investments (still very liquid) and a 19% increase for

transactions in the €50 to €100 million segment (€2.3 billion) – despite a lack of

product. The number of transactions across all segments was markedly higher than

levels seen in recent years, with 213 transactions recorded over the last nine months

compared with an average of only 156 over the same period for the last five years.

In terms of geographic distribution, investments remain fairly balanced across the

various submarkets of the Greater Paris Region. The Central Business District,

which has seen its performance double year on year, remains in the lead with

€2.6 billion in investments. The Western Crescent came in a very close second place

(€2.5 billion) with particularly good performances seen in Neuilly-Levallois and

Péri-Défense. In La Défense (€1.7 billion in investments since the beginning of the

year), recent disposals of the “CBX”, “Egée” and “Europe” towers confirmed the good

level of activity seen over the first half of the year. The Outer Suburbs also posted a

good level of activity with €912 million in investments. In fact, it was only the Inner

Suburbs that bucked the trend with only €1.2 billion in investments resulting in a 30%

year-on-year decrease in volume. The Inner Eastern Suburbs posted reasonable

results following the recent disposal of the “Elyps” project for approximately €180

million whereas volumes halved in the Northern and Eastern areas.

Offices (€10.3 billion) and retail (€1.4 billion) may have seen similar levels of

performance year on year, but those for industrial and logistics assets have more

than doubled over the same period. With €545 million in investments, warehouses

posted their highest level of performance since 2007.

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

Q1-Q3 2014 Q1-Q3 2015 Q1-Q3 2016

Source: JLL/ImmoStat

Investments by geographic areas

Paris CBD Rest of Paris La Défense

Western Crescent Inner suburbs Outer suburbs

GPR portfolios

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

Q1-Q3 2014 Q1-Q3 2015 Q1-Q3 2016

Source: JLL/ImmoStat

Investment volume by deal size

< € 50 M From € 50 to € 100 MFrom € 100 to € 500 M > € 500 M

In € bn

Page 7: Good market activity continues - INOVALIS REIT › template › img › doc_reports › greater...2014 2015 2016 Source: JLL/ImmoStat Total take-up Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 In thousand sq m 665

108

8

7

The Greater Paris Region investment market clearly remains dominated by

French investors who accounted for 80% of investments. However, this share has

fallen over the last three months due to an increase in activity from international

investors of various nationalities. American and Korean investors were the most

active with €500 million in investments. This variety can also be seen on the sell-

side where there were no fewer than 7 nationalities represented over Q3 2016.

Overall, since the beginning of the year, foreign investors have been net-vendors

with almost €5.2 billion of disposals, but only €2.4 billion in acquisitions.

German investors were particularly active in terms of disposals (€1.6 billion) –

especially KANAM as it continues to clear assets as part of its liquidation. Alongside

this, the Greater Paris Region market has also been driven by foreign investors

trading as they seek value-add opportunities.

Given the high degree of competition for core assets, investors have continued

to shift their interest towards riskier assets; assets classed as “value-add or

opportunistic” have therefore accounted for 34% of investments since the beginning

of the year, representing a slight year-on-year increase (31% in 2015). The number of

forward funding sales (VEFA) carried out since the beginning of the year

demonstrates this element of risk taking.

Already at a historic low, prime yields reached a new record following further

compression over Q3. The prime yield now stands at 3.00% in the CBD and 4.25%

in La Défense. Even so, with the OAT having fallen to 0.12% at the end of

September, real estate retains its attractiveness compared with other investment

vehicles with a risk premium of 288 basis points.

10-16 rue de la Ville l’Evêque – Paris 8th

© Jean-Marc Lavigne

0%

1%

2%

3%

4%

5%

6%

7%

Q32006

Q32007

Q32008

Q32009

Q32010

Q32011

Q32012

Q32013

Q32014

Q32015

Q32016

Source: JLL/Banque de France

Risk premium

CBD office prime yield 10-year bond rate

Page 8: Good market activity continues - INOVALIS REIT › template › img › doc_reports › greater...2014 2015 2016 Source: JLL/ImmoStat Total take-up Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 In thousand sq m 665

108

8

8

Outlook

While INSEE had initially forecast growth of 0.3% in Q2 2016, GDP fell (-0.1%) for

the first time since 2014, surprising most economic observers. Some claim that the

French economy is drawing to a halt, while others see this decline as a simple bad

patch following a particularly active start to the year (+0.7% of growth over Q1).

The main driver of growth, household consumption, remained stable over the

last three months (0.0%) following a 1.7% upturn over Q1. The same applied to

corporate investments which slowed as expected over Q2 following a marked

increase at the beginning of the year with the government incentive allowing for

additional depreciation initially planned to end on 14 April 2016 before being extended

to 14 April 2017. Output, which fell by 0.2%, was also affected by social action

against employment laws in May and June.

Another bad surprise was unemployment which, after an encouraging start to

the year, posted one of its largest increases of the last 5 years in August (+1.4%

in one month) resulting in an additional 50,200 category A job seekers. Even so, the

year-on-year unemployment rate still posted a 0.5-point decrease to 9.6% in mainland

France in Q2 2016.

Paradoxically, the business climate, which has been above its long-term average for

over a year, posted a slight improvement over September reaching 102 points.

The retail trade fell by 1 point (from 103 to 102), whereas services and industry

gained 1 point and 2 points respectively. The French PMI Market index is also

positive and came out at 53.3 for September compared with 51.9 in August. Despite

this, INSEE's turning point indicator still shows economic uncertainty.

In spite of this summer dip, the government, based on good figures for the

Business Climate and the PMI Markit index as well as an increase in householder

confidence, is maintaining its growth forecast for 2016 at 1.5%; this is more

optimistic than forecasts from the Banque de France (1.4%) and INSEE, which has

recently revised down its forecast to 1.3%. The government's forecast would need

growth to be at least 0.5% over Q3 and Q4, a level that will be difficult to achieve

according to many market observers.

Rental market

On a positive note, the decline in the outlook for economic growth has not yet

had an impact on corporate stated demand. We are currently seeing active

demand across all space segments. Many transactions are currently underway and

should be concluded before the end of the year. Given these conditions, we expect

the overall volume of take-up for the full year 2016 to stand at between 2.4 and

2.5 million sq m.

-0,4%

-0,2%

0,0%

0,2%

0,4%

0,6%

0,8%

1,0%

1,2%

Q2

2010

Q3

2010

Q4

2010

Q1

2011

Q2

2011

Q3

2011

Q4

2011

Q1

2012

Q2

2012

Q3

2012

Q4

2012

Q1

2013

Q2

2013

Q3

2013

Q4

2013

Q1

2014

Q2

2014

Q3

2014

Q4

2014

Q1

2015

Q2

2015

Q3

2015

Q4

2015

Q1

2016

Q2

2016

Source: Insee

GDP in France (QoQ change)

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

0

500

1 000

1 500

2 000

2 500

3 000

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

(f)

In thousand sq m

Source: ImmoStat, Insee

Business climate and take-up

Take-up in the Greater Paris Region

Annual average business climate

Page 9: Good market activity continues - INOVALIS REIT › template › img › doc_reports › greater...2014 2015 2016 Source: JLL/ImmoStat Total take-up Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 In thousand sq m 665

108

8

9

In terms of supply, with a low level of completions due in 2016, most of which have

been pre-let, there will be a low level of supply renewal. Given the buoyant level of

demand, immediate supply should continue to fall over 2016 and into 2017.

Investment market

Rates for the French OAT fell once again to a new historic low (0.123% at the

end of September 2016), thereby maintaining a substantial risk premium for real

estate. The Brexit announcement led to downward revisions for growth forecasts for

most European countries and, given that the outlook for inflation remains weak, the

low-rates policy of the Central European Bank (CEB) should continue over the

months ahead and sustain an attractive risk premium for the real estate category.

The investment market, apart from the low-rate climate, will continue to benefit

from an abundance of capital over the coming months – as demonstrated in

particular by the numerous transactions underway involving Korean investors – but

also from the end of the Franco-Luxembourg tax treaty. We therefore expect the

investment volume for 2016 as a whole to stand between €18 and €20 billion in the

Greater Paris Region.

The JLL potential indicator has now entered into the ‘balance zone’; this is due

to a slight fall in the ability to create value following further prime yield

compression and increases in the prime rent in the Paris CBD.

-10

-8

-6

-4

-2

0

2

4

6

8

10

Q3

2010

Q4

2010

Q1

2011

Q2

2011

Q3

2011

Q4

2011

Q1

2012

Q2

2012

Q3

2012

Q4

2012

Q1

2013

Q2

2013

Q3

2013

Q4

2013

Q1

2014

Q2

2014

Q3

2014

Q4

2014

Q1

2015

Q2

2015

Q3

2015

Q4

2015

Q1

2016

Q2

2016

Q3

2016

Source: JLL/ImmoStat/Banque de France

JLL potential indicator

Potential zone Balance zone Risk zone

Page 10: Good market activity continues - INOVALIS REIT › template › img › doc_reports › greater...2014 2015 2016 Source: JLL/ImmoStat Total take-up Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 In thousand sq m 665

108

8

11 10

Notebook

Paris: pedestrianisation of bankside routes approved

On the 26 September 2016, the Conseil de Paris officially adopted the

pedestrianisation of the Right Bank of the Seine. A municipal by-law should follow

in October.

The 3.3 km of the Georges Pompidou section from the entrance of the Tuileries

tunnel to the exit of the Henri IV tunnel, currently used by 45,000 vehicles per day,

will therefore be closed to traffic from Paris Plages. This decision, made in spite

of an unfavourable response to a public enquiry in August, follows many months of

debate between the left majority and ecologists who argue on the basis of improving

air quality in Paris and elected representatives on the right and neighbouring mayors

who argue that, beside the results of the regional consultation, the changes will also

cause traffic difficulties and extended journey times. These arguments are also put

forward by business owners, Medef and the Chamber of Commerce and Industry for

Paris and the Greater Paris Region (CCIP).

The final pedestrianisation of these bankside roads does still require agreement

from the Chief Constable/Police Commissioner for Paris who has indicated a

favourable stance, subject to a number of conditions. These include a six-month

observation period during which modifications may be made to the project,

assurances for optimal access for police and rescue vehicles, the suspension of other

changes to the road network that would impact traffic on bankside routes and the

establishment of a technical monitoring committee.

As for residents, the project appears to be a welcome one – according to a

survey by IFOP carried out between 16 and 21 September 2016, 55% of Parisians

were in favour, even when the Georges Pompidou lane had already been closed to

traffic. This figure rose to 60% in April.

The pedestrianisation of city centres does appear to be in fashion in Europe. Brussels

now has the largest pedestrian area in Europe and Oslo is planning to ban all cars

from the city centre by 2019, there are also projects in many French regional cities.

Neuilly-sur-Seine has also just presented “Les Allées de Neuilly”, a pedestrianisation

project for the side lanes which run alongside Avenue Charles-de-Gaulle, also

referred to as RN 13.

Page 11: Good market activity continues - INOVALIS REIT › template › img › doc_reports › greater...2014 2015 2016 Source: JLL/ImmoStat Total take-up Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 In thousand sq m 665

8

11

Markets holding up to political and economic

uncertainty

The main markets around the world have so far fared relatively well through this

period of instability seen since the beginning of 2016. Despite rising concerns,

investment volumes should remain high in 2016, while rental market fundamentals

and corporate demand remain robust in the United States and Europe. At this stage,

the main areas of concern are the consequences of Brexit as well as the slowdown in

the Chinese economy.

At the end of H1 2016, the investment market posted a volume of $292 billion

(€263 bn), representing a 10% decrease compared with 2015. Due to the rise in

political uncertainty and greater investor prudence, the investment market could see a

10 to 15% decrease in activity in 2016. However, even with a reduction to around

$600 billion (€540 bn), this is one of the highest ever levels. In Europe, investment

volume at the half-year point reached $109 billion (€98 bn) and is only 5% down on

2015; this is due to sustained activity in continental Europe which has virtually offset

the reduction in activity seen in Great Britain. Yields continued to fall in some markets

but the overall trend is stabilisation.

As corporates are adopting a more prudent stance, the position for rental markets

is more mixed. Activity is holding well in the United States, most European countries

and in Japan; of the main markets, only Great Britain and China have seen reductions

in activity. Given the context of uncertainty, the rental market could see a slight

reduction of around 5% in 2016 compared with the 2015 record of 41 million sq m.

Supply has continued to fall and reached 12.1% at the half-year. Levels are not

expected to change considerably by the end of the year, with Europe and the United

States posting a fall while Asia could see a slight increase in vacancy rates. Because

of tightening levels of supply, rents are on an upward trend with a 5% year-on-year

increase. However, the rate of increase should slow to 3% towards the end of the

year.

Page 12: Good market activity continues - INOVALIS REIT › template › img › doc_reports › greater...2014 2015 2016 Source: JLL/ImmoStat Total take-up Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 In thousand sq m 665

12

Paris: misses out on podium spot for most attractive

cities

In September, audit firm PricewaterhouseCoopers (PwC) published its 2016 ranking

of “Cities of Opportunity”, this selection is determined based on a number of

economic, social and cultural indicators. Whatever the proponents of “French

bashing” may say, Paris remains attractive as this year the capital came in fourth

place behind London, Singapore and Toronto. Despite the Brexit announcement at

the beginning of the year, three European capitals managed to make it into the top 5.

Of the 30 cities ranked this year, Paris came top in 9 out of 10 of the criteria

groups used in the report, meaning that it is the most consistent of the global cities

listed. Paris took the top spot for quality of life, even though this is not necessarily

the first impression one may have. Paris achieved good scores due to its public

transport (ranked number 1), its cultural diversity (2nd) and public gardens (3rd),

placing it in joint position alongside New York. In this criteria group, Paris was only

placed in 7th position in 2014.

In terms of intellectual property and innovation, Paris fell to 4th place whereas it

was ranked in first place in 2014. Although the capital may be good at training

researchers, it does have difficulties in transforming that potential into

entrepreneurship.

Fourth most expensive city, it comes as no surprise that Parisian rents (for both

commercial and residential) are high, even though purchasing power in Paris is

substantial (ranked 9).

Finally, Paris was penalised by the economic climate's lack of attractiveness. It

may hold 7th place in terms of productivity, 9th in foreign investment and 3rd for

headquarters, but economic indicators knock it back into 8th place, particularly

employment growth.

The capital should not therefore be embarrassed by its 2016 results. However,

given the effects of the threat of terrorism or even Brexit, it remains to be seen if Paris

can retain its ranking for the report’s next edition.

2016’s ranking “City of opportunity”

1 London

2 Singapore

3 Toronto

4 Paris

5 Amsterdam

6 New York

7 Stockholm

8 San Francisco

9 Hong Kong

10 Sydney

Source: PwC

Page 13: Good market activity continues - INOVALIS REIT › template › img › doc_reports › greater...2014 2015 2016 Source: JLL/ImmoStat Total take-up Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 In thousand sq m 665

13

Work becomes lifestyle as generations Y and Z reinvent

offices

According to a JLL report1, 49% of employees aged under 35 believe that they

would be more committed to their company if it were to introduce a democratic

model based on shared decision making and responsibilities.

The report reveals that young people dream of involvement and responsibility,

recognition from management, flexible working practices and involvement in important

projects. More than freedom, they dream of belonging to a community that

embodies the values in which they believe. They dream of fluidity, of a world without

silos, without dress codes, with no distinction between professional and personal and

no longer want the environment to be imposed.

As part of the report, the young people interviewed devised 15 new forms of

workspace with a range of complementary uses.

By 2030, the office will of course remain a place where we go to work, but in addition

the workplace will sometimes:

be hyper productive, working in PERFORMANCE TUBES, or be highly

collaborative, within PROJECT SPACES, FABLABS which allow

experimentation, or using PITCH THEATRES for idea creation.

be a place of inspiration, which would allow one to withdraw to a HIDEAWAY

or to experience art installations in a DISRUPTIVE space, designed like a

curiosity cabinet.

allow for the formation of new relationships in a RECEPTION LOUNGE,

completely open to all, to work at a POP-UP DESK in an unexpected location,

or to stroll through an AGORA dedicated to connections and the organisation of

meet-ups within the company.

By 2030, the office will have finally become a regenerative space:

It will offer disconnection COCOONS, playgrounds to let off steam,

ASSOCIATIONS to fulfil the need for civic engagement.

It will be a community space: parties and FLASH MOBS will form part of the

daily routine and workers will meet at COMMUNAL KITCHEN GARDENS where

they can cultivate tomatoes alongside interpersonal relationships.

In light of these rising expectations, some companies in the digital economy

have already made the first steps. BlaBlaCar, Deezer and Allo Resto are already

experimenting with tribal working, games rooms and disconnection areas. Their

spaces have been jointly designed with the employees and create an experience that

workers deem to be unique - and which brings them closer to the company. This

longed-for managerial vision should soon become reality and offices will, without a

doubt, have a decisive role to play.

1 Quantitative survey of 200 young people, carried out by the CSA institute - and qualitative with 3 focus

groups comprised of high-school pupils, students and young start-up owners.

Page 14: Good market activity continues - INOVALIS REIT › template › img › doc_reports › greater...2014 2015 2016 Source: JLL/ImmoStat Total take-up Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 In thousand sq m 665

14

ICC, ILAT and ILC: all indicators are positive

After posting a downturn last quarter, the ICC recovered over Q2 2016. With a 0.5%

increase in the index, it now stands at 1,622 points compared with 1,615 last quarter.

In parallel, the ILAT still saw annual growth post a moderate increase with a 0.5%

year-on-year increase. The index stood at 108.41 in Q2 2016, compared with 107.86

over the same period last year.

In conclusion for commercial leases, the ILC index remained stable and positive

over Q2 2016. Its value remained unchanged quarter on quarter: 108.40 points,

representing a slight 0.02% year-on-year increase. The retail rents index has

remained relatively stable for over three years, fluctuating in a range from 108.32 to

108.53.

-6%

-4%

-2%

0%

2%

4%

6%

8%

Q4

2009

Q1

2010

Q2

2010

Q3

2010

Q4

2010

Q1

2011

Q2

2011

Q3

2011

Q4

2011

Q1

2012

Q2

2012

Q3

2012

Q4

2012

Q1

2013

Q2

2013

Q3

2013

Q4

2013

Q1

2014

Q2

2014

Q3

2014

Q4

2014

Q1

2015

Q2

2015

Q3

2015

Q4

2015

Q1

2016

Q2

2016

Source: INSEE

Comparison of ICC, ILAT and ILC changes

ICC annual change ILAT annual change ILC annual change

Page 15: Good market activity continues - INOVALIS REIT › template › img › doc_reports › greater...2014 2015 2016 Source: JLL/ImmoStat Total take-up Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 In thousand sq m 665

Virginie Houzé MRICS

Head of Research France

Research department – Paris

T : +33 1 40 55 15 94

[email protected]

Delphine Mahé

Research manager

Research department – Paris

T : +33 1 40 55 15 91

[email protected]

Manuela Moura

Consultant

Research department – Paris

T : +33 1 40 55 85 73

[email protected]

Page 16: Good market activity continues - INOVALIS REIT › template › img › doc_reports › greater...2014 2015 2016 Source: JLL/ImmoStat Total take-up Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 In thousand sq m 665

www.jll.fr

COPYRIGHT © JONES LANG LASALLE IP, inc. 2016 - This publication is the sole property of Jones Lang LaSalle IP, Inc. and must not be copied, reproduced or transmitted in any form or by any means,

either in whole or in part, without the prior written consent of Jones Lang LaSalle IP, Inc. The information contained in this publication has been obtained from Source generally regarded to be reliable.

However, no representation is made, or warranty given, in respect of the accuracy of this information. We would like to be informed of any inaccuracies so that we may correct them. Jones Lang LaSalle IP,

Inc does not accept any liability in negligence or otherwise for any loss or damage suffered by any party resulting from reliance on this publication.

Paris

40-42, rue La Boétie

75008 Paris

T : +33 (0)1 40 55 15 15

F : +33 (0)1 46 22 28 28

Le Plessis-Robinson

“La Boursidière” - BP 171

92357 Le Plessis-Robinson

T : +33 (0)1 40 55 15 15

F : +33 (0)1 46 22 28 28

Lyon

55, avenue Foch

69006 Lyon

T : +33 (0)4 78 89 26 26

F : +33 (0)4 78 89 04 76

La Défense

“Cœur Défense”

100-110, esplanade Charles de Gaulle

92932 Paris La Défense Cedex

T : +33 (0)1 40 55 15 15

F : +33 (0)1 49 00 32 59

Saint-Denis

3, rue Jesse Owens

93210 Saint-Denis

T : +33 (0)1 40 55 15 15

F : +33 (0)1 48 22 52 83

Marseille

21, rue de la République

13002 Marseille

T : +33 (0)4 95 09 13 13

F : +33 (0)4 95 09 13 00