gordon borrell's address to texas assoc. of broadcasters aug. 8, 2012

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Texas Association of Broadcasters Convention and Trade Show August 8, 2012 Let’s Get Real: How Much Digital Advertising Is REALLY Out There?

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This was presented to a packed room at the TAB annual convention. The hourlong presentation not only showed how much broadcasters are making in digital sale but also challenged them to think of themselves as digital-only entities in competition with all media, not just TV or radio stations.

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Page 1: Gordon Borrell's Address to Texas Assoc. of Broadcasters Aug. 8, 2012

Texas Association of Broadcasters Convention and Trade ShowAugust 8, 2012

Let’s Get Real:How Much Digital AdvertisingIs REALLY Out There?

Page 2: Gordon Borrell's Address to Texas Assoc. of Broadcasters Aug. 8, 2012

About this presentation

The following presentation was made by CEO Gordon Borrell at the Texas Association of Broadcasters Convention and Trade Show at the Renaissance Austin Hotel on Aug. 8, 2012

© 2012 Borrell Associates Inc.

Page 3: Gordon Borrell's Address to Texas Assoc. of Broadcasters Aug. 8, 2012

What You’re About to Witness… Advertising

Online spending data: Info on 23 million advertisers Online revenue data: Info from 5,700 media companies Verification/Forecasting: Annual surveys of 40,000+ local businesses

Consumer Usage Scarborough, Claritas Ongoing surveys of web users

Media company strategies More than 1,100 clients

Page 4: Gordon Borrell's Address to Texas Assoc. of Broadcasters Aug. 8, 2012

Benchmarking Annual Report

• 10th year• 5,756 companies

Specific reports for:• Arbitron• Television Bureau of Advertising• Local Media Association• Individual media companies

Page 5: Gordon Borrell's Address to Texas Assoc. of Broadcasters Aug. 8, 2012

The Digital Stream: How Big?

Page 6: Gordon Borrell's Address to Texas Assoc. of Broadcasters Aug. 8, 2012

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Local Online: Stream of Dollars Keeps Flowing

$2.0 $2.1

$4.2 $5.5

$8.2

$12.9 $13.4 $13.6

$16.4

$19.9

$22.7

$24.8 $26.6

$27.9

$-

$30

2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012f 2013f 2014f 2015f 2016f

$ in Billions

+21%

11.2% CAGR

Mobile Ad $

Page 7: Gordon Borrell's Address to Texas Assoc. of Broadcasters Aug. 8, 2012

© 2012 Borrell Associates Inc.

Page 8: Gordon Borrell's Address to Texas Assoc. of Broadcasters Aug. 8, 2012

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Radio’s Online Performance

Source: Borrell Associates Inc. Digital Sales AE Survey, Nov. 2011-Jan. 2012

+35%How $303 million stacks up

against $16.4b 2011

Page 9: Gordon Borrell's Address to Texas Assoc. of Broadcasters Aug. 8, 2012

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TV’s Online Performance

Source: Borrell Associates Inc. Digital Sales AE Survey, Nov. 2011-Jan. 2012

+35%How $2.0 billion stacks up

against $16.4b 2011

Page 10: Gordon Borrell's Address to Texas Assoc. of Broadcasters Aug. 8, 2012

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‘Digital Ready’ Local Sales Forces

Source: Borrell Associates Inc. Digital Sales AE Survey, Nov. 2011-Jan. 2012

Page 11: Gordon Borrell's Address to Texas Assoc. of Broadcasters Aug. 8, 2012

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Gross Online Revenue Per Sales Rep

Source: Borrell Associates Inc. Digital Sales AE Survey, Nov. 2011-Jan. 2012

Broadcast sites that have a digital-only sales staff enjoy 2x to 3x digital ad

revenue per rep.

Page 12: Gordon Borrell's Address to Texas Assoc. of Broadcasters Aug. 8, 2012

How Much Do Sites Make?

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What RadioClustersMade in2011

Source: Borrell Associates Inc.; Borrell/Arbitron Benchmarking Report, April 2012

Three-fourths of radio clusters made

< $500,000

Page 14: Gordon Borrell's Address to Texas Assoc. of Broadcasters Aug. 8, 2012

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Source: Borrell Associates Inc.; Borrell/Arbitron Benchmarking Report, April 2012

Per-Cluster Revenue by Market Size

Page 15: Gordon Borrell's Address to Texas Assoc. of Broadcasters Aug. 8, 2012

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TV SitesMade in2011

Source: Borrell Associates Inc.; Borrell/Arbitron Benchmarking Report, April 2012

More than two-thirds of TV stations made

< $1 million

Page 16: Gordon Borrell's Address to Texas Assoc. of Broadcasters Aug. 8, 2012

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Source: Borrell Associates Inc.; Borrell/Arbitron Benchmarking Report, April 2012

TV Site Revenue by Market Size

Page 17: Gordon Borrell's Address to Texas Assoc. of Broadcasters Aug. 8, 2012

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Share of Locally Spent Online Advertising for 5,700 Media Companies

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Share of Locally Spent Online Advertising for 5,700 Media Companies

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Share of Locally Spent Online Advertising for 5,700 Media Companies

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Page 22: Gordon Borrell's Address to Texas Assoc. of Broadcasters Aug. 8, 2012

How Much is Out There?

Page 23: Gordon Borrell's Address to Texas Assoc. of Broadcasters Aug. 8, 2012

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Source: Borrell Associates Inc.; www.adspending.com

Market: Austin

Online media buys now account $101 million in local ad spending in the Austin TMA. This 20.9% share now surpasses newspapers and all

other media.

Competing Media Share Estimates:

• A local daily newspaper: 5% -10% share.• A local TV station: 1% to 4% share.

• A local radio cluster: 1% share.

Page 24: Gordon Borrell's Address to Texas Assoc. of Broadcasters Aug. 8, 2012

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Source: Borrell Associates Inc.; www.adspending.com

Market: Sherman

Online media buys now account $12 .3 million in local ad spending in the Sherman-Ada TMA. This

18.5% share is the second highest among all media.

Competing Media Share Estimates:

• A local daily newspaper: 1% -3% share.• A local TV station: 1% to 6% share.• A local radio cluster: <1% share.

Page 25: Gordon Borrell's Address to Texas Assoc. of Broadcasters Aug. 8, 2012

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Ad Spending in Texas DMRs

Source: Borrell Associates Inc.; www.adspending.com $ in Millions

Get Ready for Digital Marketing Regions (DMRs)

Page 26: Gordon Borrell's Address to Texas Assoc. of Broadcasters Aug. 8, 2012

The Mass Media Mindset

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Print Yellow Pages

Print Magazines

Print Newspapers

Radio

Online Devices*

Television

0.02

0.30

0.42

1.65

2.22

4.67

Sources: Veronis Suhler Stevenson, eMarketer; 2012.

(hours per day)

* Includes non-work time spent using computers, smart phones, or tablets.

Average daily time spent

Page 28: Gordon Borrell's Address to Texas Assoc. of Broadcasters Aug. 8, 2012

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Print Yellow Pages

Print Magazines

Print Newspapers

Online Devices*

Television

Radio

$0 $2 $4 $6 $8 $10 $12 $14

$12.48

$2.29

$2.25

$0.73

$0.35

$0.31

In $ Thousands

Ad revenue per minute spentwith each medium—all adults

Sources: Veronis Suhler Stevenson, eMarketer; 2012.

* Includes non-work time spent using computers, smart phones, or tablets.

A minute of your time is worth…

Page 29: Gordon Borrell's Address to Texas Assoc. of Broadcasters Aug. 8, 2012

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Source: SEC Documents, company statements, Inc. Magazine, B. Riley & Co., Borrell Associates Inc., 2011

Top 20 LocalOnline MediaCompanies

Page 30: Gordon Borrell's Address to Texas Assoc. of Broadcasters Aug. 8, 2012

Biggest Mistakes Chasing after shiny new things Thinking this is a mere brand extension Not knowing the size of the pie Comparing yourselves against other broadcasters

Page 31: Gordon Borrell's Address to Texas Assoc. of Broadcasters Aug. 8, 2012

Questions? Gordon Borrell, CEOPhone: [email protected]