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  • 7/29/2019 Government Expenditure and Budget

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    1.Government expenditure: For the year ending March2013, the Indian government set a expenditure target of

    Rs 14,90,925 crore, according to budget estimates. The

    government expenditure falls into two categories: plan-expenditure and non-plan expenditure. Plan

    expenditure is incurred according to the proposals put

    in the five-year plans. Non-plan expenditure is

    maintenance of existing assets, administrative services,

    interest payments, subsidies, among other things. The

    spending on defence is part of both plan and non-plan

    expenditure. less

    2.Revenue and Capital expenditure:Both plan and non-plan expenditures include a revenue

    and capital expenditure component. Revenue

    expenditure is the money spent to run the day-to-day

    business of the government. Subsidies and interest

    payments are a key component of the revenue

    expenditure. Capital expenditure is the money spent forcreating new infrastructure in the economy. So the

    government investment in education, roads, bridges,

    airports, urban infrastructure form a part of the capital

    expenditure.

    3.What is the problem:India spends 65% of its total expenditure funds in a

    year on non-plan expenditure. This means two-thirds of

    the government revenue is spent on simply maintaining

    the day-to-day affairs of the government. Over a third

    of the government expenditure or over Rs 5,10,000

    crore goes for repaying loans or paying interest on them

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    or subsidizing food, fuel and fertilizer for the poor.

    Experts say that it is essential for India to spend more

    on creating new assets to build the infrastructure in the

    economy.

    3.Spending right:When governments spend on building a countrys

    infrastructure, it gives a push to the economic growth.

    However, the spending for growth in India actually fell

    over three months to December 2012. Totalexpenditure less subsidy and interest payments has

    decelerated to 3% in the Sep-Dec 2012 period from

    11.4% in Apr-Aug 2012, said Morgan Stanley, a global

    bank in a note last week. This means Indias spending

    for creating new assets to stimulate growth has gone

    down.

    What next:

    When the budget is presented, you need to watch out for the

    overall expenditure the government proposes to incur. It

    should relatively lower than the previous year. It is also

    important to see how the government proposes to allocate

    resources. If the government allocates more money tostimulate growth by increasing the spending on the

    infrastructure sector, that would be good news for the

    economy.

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    1. United States

    United States of America is the largest importer of goods

    and services and tops the list of countries for its highest

    budget. It has a mixed economy which is backed by natural

    resources and a very well developed infrastructure.

    Revenues (million USD): 2,303,000

    Expenditures (million USD): 3,599,000

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    Deficit/Surplus (million USD): -1,296,000

    2.2. JapanJapan is one of the largest economies in the world and

    has a large industrial capacity. The country leads inscientific machinery, research and technology. It is also

    known as the most technologically advanced producers

    of machines in the world.

    Revenues (million USD): 1,971,000

    Expenditures (million USD): 2,495,000

    Deficit/Surplus (million USD): -524,000

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    2.3. ChinaChina is the worlds fastest growing economy and has

    an upper hand in the in the manufacturing sector. Wellknown for its population growth, the country is the

    largest exporter and manufacturer of goods. The

    countrys rapid economic growth has led to severe

    consumer inflation.

    Revenues (million USD): 1,646,000

    Expenditures (million USD): 1,729,000Deficit/Surplus (million USD): -83,000

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    4.4. GermanyGermany is a major economic power in Europe and

    ranks number four for its government budget. Thecountry has developed a very high standard of living

    and is recognized for its small and medium enterprises.

    The country boasts its highly skilled labour and its level

    of innovation.

    Revenues (million USD): 1,551,000

    Expenditures (million USD): 1,588,000Deficit/Surplus (million USD): -37,000

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    5. France

    France has a mixed economy in which banking,

    financial services and insurance are the key sectors of

    the countrys economy. France has been a major

    economic influence in Europe and also considered to bethe wealthiest nation there.

    Revenues (million USD): 1,386,000

    Expenditures (million USD): 1,535,000

    Deficit/Surplus (million USD): -149,000

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    6. Italy

    Italy is a democratic republic and its economic influence

    makes it a major regional power. The nation rapidly

    transformed from agriculture based economy into one of the

    worlds most industrialized nations. Italy has a free market

    economy which focuses on exports of luxury products and

    niche market.

    Revenues (million USD): 1,025,100

    Expenditures (million USD): 1,112,000

    Deficit/Surplus (million USD): -86,900

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    7. United Kingdom

    United Kingdom is a partially regulated market economy, in

    which, the service sector makes up more than 70 percent of

    the countrys GDP. The automotive, pharmaceutical and

    aerospace industries are a significant part of the United

    Kingdoms economy.

    Revenues (million USD): 986,500

    Expenditures (million USD): 1,188,000

    Deficit/Surplus (million USD): -201,500

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    8. Brazil

    Brazil is the largest country in South America and is known

    as one of the fastest growing economies of the world. With

    new generation tycoons and booming exports, Brazil has a

    mixed economy. Since the nation has abundant natural

    resources, its economy is growing rapidly.

    Revenues (million USD): 978,300

    Expenditures (million USD): 901,000

    Deficit/Surplus (million USD): +77,300

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    9. Canada

    Canada has one of the most advanced economies in theworld and is recognized as an economic power

    internationally. The nation ranks among the highest in

    economic freedom, quality of life and government

    transparency.

    Revenues (million USD): 660,200

    Expenditures (million USD): 747,800

    Deficit/Surplus (million USD): -87,600

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    10. Spain

    Spain has a capitalist mixed economy that has a strong

    economic growth. With a balanced government budgetwhich got inflation under control, Spain was admitted into

    the Eurozone in 1999. Tourism in Spain plays a key role for

    the countrys economic health.

    Revenues (million USD): 545,200

    Expenditures (million USD): 672,100

    Deficit/Surplus (million USD): -126,900

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    11. Australia

    Australia is recognized as one of the wealthiest and highly

    developed countries in the world. The nation has a marketeconomy which emphasizes on exporting commodities.

    Tourism, education and financial services account to more

    than 70 percent of the nations GDP.

    Revenues (million USD): 473,200

    Expenditures (million USD): 521,800

    Deficit/Surplus (million USD): -48,600

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    12. Russia

    Russia has one of the most powerful economies worldwide.

    Oil and gas is a major natural economy resource in Russias

    market economy. Apart from oil and gas, timber and metals

    make up for a major portion of the countrys exports.

    Revenues (million USD): 382,800

    Expenditures (million USD): 376,200

    Deficit/Surplus (million USD): +6,600

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    13. Netherlands

    Netherland is a constituent country which leads Europeannations in attracting foreign direct investment. This

    developed economy is one of the major investors in the

    United States of America. Trade, shipping, banking and

    fishing are the leading sectors of the Dutch economy.

    Revenues (million USD): 381,300

    Expenditures (million USD): 420,400

    Deficit/Surplus (million USD): -39,100

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    14. Norway

    Norway is categorized as one of the worlds wealthiest

    nations and is a perfect example of a mixed economy. The

    revenue that the nation receives from its natural resourcesadds to be a major contribution to the economic health.

    Revenues (million USD): 280,500

    Expenditures (million USD): 209,500

    Deficit/Surplus (million USD): +71,000

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    15. Sweden

    Sweden is ranked among other highly developed

    countries worldwide. This country is has a mixed

    economy that is export oriented. The nations

    engineering sector accounts for more than 50 percent ofexports. Services and manufacturing industries

    dominate the Swedish economy.

    Revenues (million USD): 277,600

    Expenditures (million USD): 277,100

    Deficit/Surplus (million USD): +0,500

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    . South Korea

    South Korea is a developed country with a high standard of

    living. It has an export driven economy which mainlyfocuses on automobiles, electronics, machinery, ships and

    pharmaceuticals. The countrys credit rating suffers in times

    of military crisis with North Korea.

    Revenues (million USD): 267,900

    Expenditures (million USD): 242,000

    Deficit/Surplus (million USD): +25,900

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    17. Mexico

    Mexico is a regional power as a newly industrialized

    country. The country is known to produce some of the most

    complex components which are mostly engaged in research

    and development activities. According to Goldman Sachs,

    Mexico will have the fifth largest economy in the world by

    2050.

    Revenues (million USD): 263,200

    Expenditures (million USD): 292,200

    Deficit/Surplus (million USD): -29,000

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    18. Belgium

    Belgium is a prosperous commerce and cultural hub. The

    nations strong globalized economy and transport

    infrastructure are integrated with the rest of Europe. It is a

    highly industrialized economy with a highly productive workforce.

    Revenues (million USD): 249,600

    Expenditures (million USD): 271,200

    Deficit/Surplus (million USD): -21,600

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    19. Saudi Arabia

    Saudi Arabia is a wealthy nation with a concentration of

    large oil reserves. Oil accounts to more than 70 percent of

    government reserves and 95 percent of exports. The oil

    sector in the country has allowed the economy to grow at a

    rapid pace.

    Revenues (million USD): 221,100

    Expenditures (million USD): 218,700

    Deficit/Surplus (million USD): +2,400

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    20. Switzerland

    Switzerland is one of the worlds richest countries and

    largest exporters. Among other economies, its economy isconsidered to be the most competitive in the world.

    Switzerland is high-tech and prosperous economy.

    Revenues (million USD): 217,900

    Expenditures (million USD): 214,500

    Deficit/Surplus (million USD): +3,400

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    21. Austria

    Austria is a developed country with a high standard of

    living. It has a well developed social market economy that

    has a major influence on labour politics. Tourism plays an

    integral part in terms of the countrys economic revenues.

    Revenues (million USD): 202,600

    Expenditures (million USD): 216,600

    Deficit/Surplus (million USD): -14,000

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    22. India

    India is one of the fastest growing economies in the world

    and is considered to be a newly industrialized country.

    Textiles, telecommunications, chemicals, pharmaceuticals,transport, machinery and mining are among the major

    sectors of the Indian economy.

    Revenues (million USD): 196,400

    Expenditures (million USD): 308,800

    Deficit/Surplus (million USD): -112,400

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    23. Turkey

    Turkeys growing economy has given it recognition as a

    regional power. Tourism is a key industry that attractsrevenue for the government and has experienced a rapid

    growth in the last two decades. The nations economy is

    becoming dependent on industries in major cities.

    Revenues (million USD): 176,700

    Expenditures (million USD): 187,100

    Deficit/Surplus (million USD): -10,400

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    24. Finland

    Finland is ranked among other wealthiest countries in the

    world despite it being a latecomer to industrialization. Theeconomic development was rapid and is considered to be one

    of the most competitive nations in the world. It is also known

    to a have high quality of life.

    Revenues (million USD): 136,200

    Expenditures (million USD): 137,600

    Deficit/Surplus (million USD): -1,400

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    25. Indonesia

    Indonesia has a mixed economy and serves as the largest

    economy in Southeast Asia. The industry sector contributes

    the most for the countrys GDP. The rapidly developing

    export oriented sector attracts foreign investment for the

    nation.

    Revenues (million USD): 134,200

    Expenditures (million USD): 144,100

    Deficit/Surplus (million USD): -9,900

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    Measures taken positively by markets:

    - Measures to reduce fiscal deficit

    - Any increase in foreign investor participation

    - Thrust to infrastructure- Roads, Power etc.

    - Reduction in taxes

    Measures taken negatively by markets:

    Added pressure on fiscal deficit

    New tax measures, mostly higher taxes or change in tax

    policy

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    Policy measures that hinder investment climate

    Budget and market performance

    - Last 20 years, MSCI India outperformed MSCI EM (MSCIEmerging Markets Index) 8 out of 20 times in the month

    after budget

    - 20 year average shows Indian markets are down 2.3% in

    month after Budget underperforming EM by 1.5%,

    - MSCI India outperformed MSCI EM (years): 1997, 1999,

    2001 , 2004 , 2005, 2006, 2010, 2011

    1.Measures taken positively by markets:- Measures to reduce fiscal deficit

    - Any increase in foreign investor participation

    - Thrust to infrastructure- Roads, Power etc.

    - Reduction in taxes

    (AFP PHOTO/ Punit PARANJPE)

    2.Measures taken negatively by markets:Added pressure on fiscal deficit

    New tax measures, mostly higher taxes or change in taxpolicy

    Policy measures that hinder investment climate

    (AFP PHOTO/Indranil MUKHERJEE)

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    3.Budget and market performance- Last 20 years, MSCI India outperformed MSCI EM

    (MSCI Emerging Markets Index) 8 out of 20 times in

    the month after budget

    - 20 year average shows Indian markets are down 2.3%

    in month after Budget underperforming EM by 1.5%,

    - MSCI India outperformed MSCI EM (years): 1997,

    1999, 2001 , 2004 , 2005, 2006, 2010, 2011

    (REUTERS/Ajay Verma)

    4.1. UNION BUDGET 1992-93Finance Minister: Manmohan Singh

    Stock market reaction: Feb 29, 1992: Sensex up (+)

    9.37%

    - Indian economy liberalized thorough reforms acrossthe board

    - New import-export policy encouraged FDI

    - Foreign investment limit in high-priority industries

    was raised to 51%

    - Private sector expansion and participation encouraged

    - Licences and quotas were abolished

    - Interest rates were made flexible

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    - Banks got freedom to set lending rates according to

    risk profile

    2. UNION BUDGET: 1997 -98

    Finance Minister: P Chidambaram

    Stock market reaction: Feb 28, 1997: Sensex up (+) 6.54%

    - This Budget was called a Dream Budget

    - Budget presented a plan for economic reforms in India

    - Tax policy (Direct and indirect) was reormed

    - FII investment limit was raised from 24% to 30%

    - Maximum income tax rate for individuals was cut from

    40% to 30%

    - Income tax rate for companies was decreased to 35% per

    from 40%

    - Peak customs duty was reduced to 40% from 50%

    - Dividend tax on individual investors was abolished

    - Budget launched Voluntary Disclosure of Income Scheme

    or VDS to recover of black money

    3. UNION BUDGET: 1998

    Finance Minister: Yashwant Sinha

    Stock market reaction: June 1, 1998: Sensex fell (-) 11%

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    - Budget after India conducted Nuclear tests and US

    sanctions

    - Defence spending was hiked

    - Allocation for Department of Atomic Energy was hiked by

    68%

    - Import duties were increased

    4. UNION BUDGET: 2002

    Finance Minister: Yashwant Sinha

    Stock market reaction: Feb 28, 2002: Sensex fell (-) 3.87%

    - Dividend distribution tax was abolished: Dividends were to

    be taxed in the hands of the investors instead of taxing

    companies and mutual funds

    - Gujarat riots were an added pressure

    5. UNION BUDGET 2012

    Finance Minister: Pranab Mukherjee

    Stock market reaction: March 16, 2012: Sensex fell (-) 1.9%

    - Introduction of GAAR or General Anti Avoidance Rule

    - GAAR to counter aggressive tax avoidance sent marketsinto a tizzy

    - Budget sought to amend the Income Tax Act

    retrospectively from 1962

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    - Lack of clarity on retrospective tax on older deals further

    dipped market sentiment

    - A ballooning fiscal deficit at 5.1% of GDP further worried

    investors