gr-1-team-5-2015
TRANSCRIPT
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Q1. Assuming Swedish Match faces a 28% tax rate on income and can issue bonds at a fixed krona
yield of .!%" how much will the com#any sa$e in taxes for a S& billion reca#itali'ation( )hat isthe $alue of this interest tax shield(
A1. *he com#any will sa$e 28% of the interest #aid i.e. .!% of +illion S&. *he tax
shield would be the total #resent $alue of sa$ings each year discounted at .!%
Q2. )hat will SM,s book $alue balance sheet look like after it com#letes the debt issuance
and share re#urchase(
A2. Swedish Match,s book value balance sheet for the year 2-- #ost the reca#italisation
Assuming that the debt issuance of S& billion was com#letely for the share
re#urchase" the long term debt and hence the total interest bearing debt would
increase by SEK 4000 million. Also" the book value of equity after the share
re#urchase would decrease by SEK 4000 million.
Q/. What will Swedish Match’s market value balance sheet look like:
a. 0ight after it announces the le$eraged reca#(
b. )hen it com#letes the issuance of S& billion in debt(
c. )hen it com#letes the share re#urchase(
A/a. Swedish Match,s market value balance sheet for the year 2-- #ost the
announcement
Assuming market $alue of e3uity as on year end 2-- 488./ #er share 5 S& 28!
million.
*he book $alue of e3uity 5 !-6-
*he com#any has to #ay a #remium when it buys back the e3uity. *his #remium i.e.
the difference between the market $alue and book $alue of e3uity will be accounted in
the asset side of the balance sheet as intangible assets.
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Also #ost the announcement" the debt tax sa$ings will be added to the market $alue of
e3uity and hence will be reflected in the intangible assets in the assets side.
A/b. Swedish Match,s market value balance sheet for the year 2-- #ost the issuance of
debt
7ost the debt issuance of S& billion" the cash and short-term investments would
increase by SEK 4000 million. And the corres#onding entry in the entry would be
increase in the total interest bearing debt by S& --- million.
A/ c. Swedish Match,s market value balance sheet for the year 2-- #ost the re#urchaseof shares
*he cash and shortterm in$estments will decrease by S& --- million and
corres#ondingly the market $alue of e3uity will be reduced by the same amount.
Q. 9an Swedish Match afford to borrow this much money( )hat are the risks( :s it realistic
to ex#ect a +++; rating( Should the com#any go ahead with a le$eraged reca#( :f so" would
you a##ro$e a larger reca#itali'ation(
A.
a <es" the com#any Swedish Match can afford to borrow S& billion.
)orst case scenario
+:*=A 5 S& 1.! billion.
:nterest 5 S& 266 million ; .!% of S& --- million 5 S& 6 million
+:=*A > :nterest 5 S& 1.- billion
So" Swedish match has sufficient cash flow to cater to the current ca#ital ex#enditure and
working ca#ital re3uirements.
b 0isks in$ol$ed
• *he increased debt will lead to large #art of 9ash flows to be used for interest
#ayments will inhibit future ex#ansion and ac3uisitions.
• Swedish Match will be ex#osed to fluctuations of +ond market• +ankru#tcy #ossibility and forced sale of assets" in case of default
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c Swedish Match would be able to maintain +++; rating after reca#itali'ation.
• +:*=A would be around / billion as ex#ected by analysts and the interest on its #re
existing debt in 2--! would be lower than in 2-- #re existing debt is being ra#idly
#aid off
• Swedish Match has a lower interest co$erage ratio and higher *otal =ebt?+:*=A
ratio than the a$erage @S industrial firm ha$ing a +++ ;rating" interest co$erage
ratio will be higher once debt is #aid off
d <es" it should go forward with the reca#itali'ation.
•
Swedish Match will be able to #roduce large and stable cash flows to add $aluethrough tax sa$ing returns ca#ital to shareholders
• :n line with ex#ectations of institutional in$estors
e )e would not recommend larger reca#itali'ation
• :t would lead to lower credit rating as its cash flows are barely able to maintain +++;
rating" a further increase of debt will increase its borrowing cost.
• *he additional debt would also #ose a risk of default