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Earl Res lts from Clo dSat Earl Res lts from Clo dSat Early Results from CloudSat Early Results from CloudSat Graeme Stephens Cast of many - incredible dedicated incredible dedicated teams, JPL, Ball, algs, DPC, etc ARM

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Page 1: Graeme Stephens Cast of many - incredible ... · Modeling Implications: IPCC GCMs IPCC Models: Global Average Total Cloud IceIPCC Models: Global Average Ice Water 0.20 0.25 (kg/m^2)

Earl Res lts from Clo dSatEarl Res lts from Clo dSatEarly Results from CloudSatEarly Results from CloudSat

Graeme Stephens

Cast of many

- incredible dedicatedincredible dedicatedteams, JPL, Ball, algs,DPC, etc

ARM

Page 2: Graeme Stephens Cast of many - incredible ... · Modeling Implications: IPCC GCMs IPCC Models: Global Average Total Cloud IceIPCC Models: Global Average Ice Water 0.20 0.25 (kg/m^2)

CloudSat Partners

Data processing

Mission management & payload development

CIRA

Spacecraft

Radar subsystem development,

SMC

SPACE TEST SPACE TEST PROGRAMPROGRAM

SPACE TEST SPACE TEST PROGRAMPROGRAM

Ground operations system + Northrupp Grumman

Radar subsystem development,algorithms, validation, analyses

94 GHz EIK engineering model development

Formation flying

Algorithms, validation and analyses

Algorithms, validation and analyses + Universities/agencies in USA, Japan, Europe & Canada

Page 3: Graeme Stephens Cast of many - incredible ... · Modeling Implications: IPCC GCMs IPCC Models: Global Average Total Cloud IceIPCC Models: Global Average Ice Water 0.20 0.25 (kg/m^2)

Science background

H t t h t dHow we got to where we are today

Preliminary results

What’s new

Challenges & a look to the future

The mission science and aspirations parallel those of ARM

ARM provides a critical anchoring of the information at fixed it Cl dS t d th A T i th d thi k l dsites, CloudSat and the A-Train then spreads this knowledge

globally.

Page 4: Graeme Stephens Cast of many - incredible ... · Modeling Implications: IPCC GCMs IPCC Models: Global Average Total Cloud IceIPCC Models: Global Average Ice Water 0.20 0.25 (kg/m^2)

1. Science background1. Science background

Page 5: Graeme Stephens Cast of many - incredible ... · Modeling Implications: IPCC GCMs IPCC Models: Global Average Total Cloud IceIPCC Models: Global Average Ice Water 0.20 0.25 (kg/m^2)

8.5 %/KColumnWaterVaporVapor change year 70 minus

1year 1

IPCC, FAR Stephens and Ellis, 2007

Page 6: Graeme Stephens Cast of many - incredible ... · Modeling Implications: IPCC GCMs IPCC Models: Global Average Total Cloud IceIPCC Models: Global Average Ice Water 0.20 0.25 (kg/m^2)

8.5 %/K2%/K

Models predict water vapor accumulating at a rate thataccumulating at a rate that exceeds the models ability to precipitate it out - implies a ‘ l i ’ f th h d l i l

IPCC, FAR Stephens and Ellis, 2007

‘slowing’ of the hydrological cycle

Page 7: Graeme Stephens Cast of many - incredible ... · Modeling Implications: IPCC GCMs IPCC Models: Global Average Total Cloud IceIPCC Models: Global Average Ice Water 0.20 0.25 (kg/m^2)

clouds?

Atmospheric radiative heating, clouds and precipitationclouds? precipitation

ΔR=LΔP+ΔS

ΔS~-0.9 Wm-2

It is energy that controls the gross global changes to gy g g gprecipitation - changes to the column-wise radiative heating grossly influence (ie control) of the global precipitation response -response The uncertain effects of clouds on this heating is one potential and significant cause for model spread in precip

Page 8: Graeme Stephens Cast of many - incredible ... · Modeling Implications: IPCC GCMs IPCC Models: Global Average Total Cloud IceIPCC Models: Global Average Ice Water 0.20 0.25 (kg/m^2)

Cloud vertical structure and heating

The amount of l h ti b

g

column heating by clouds is grossly influenced by yvertical structure of clouds

The profile of heating too is f d t ll

Slingo & Slingo, 1988fundamentally governed by cloud profile

Page 9: Graeme Stephens Cast of many - incredible ... · Modeling Implications: IPCC GCMs IPCC Models: Global Average Total Cloud IceIPCC Models: Global Average Ice Water 0.20 0.25 (kg/m^2)

Workshop identified profiles of diabatic p pheating, water & ice contents as critical issues for climate modeling.

Subsequent workshops circa 1990s appealed specifically for better ice info

Page 10: Graeme Stephens Cast of many - incredible ... · Modeling Implications: IPCC GCMs IPCC Models: Global Average Total Cloud IceIPCC Models: Global Average Ice Water 0.20 0.25 (kg/m^2)

The effects of clouds on the vertical profile of radiative heating and on moisture

heating

g

+- Treatment of falling ice grossly

influenced the UT humidity of the forecast model

ConvectionUT Cloud +

+

Numerous model studies point to the importance of this feedbackfeedback

Page 11: Graeme Stephens Cast of many - incredible ... · Modeling Implications: IPCC GCMs IPCC Models: Global Average Total Cloud IceIPCC Models: Global Average Ice Water 0.20 0.25 (kg/m^2)

Modeling Implications: IPCC GCMsModeling Implications: IPCC GCMs

IPCC Models: Global Average Ice WaterIPCC Models: Global Average Total Cloud IceIPCC Models: Global Average Total Cloud Ice

0.20

0.25

(kg

/m

^2

)

Factor of 20 DifferenceFactor of 20 Difference

0 05

0.10

0.15

Ice

Path

( Factor of ~20 DifferenceFactor of ~20 Difference

0.00

0.05

bccr

mat4

7m

at63

cnrm

csiro

gfdl2

0gfd

l21

gisseh

gisseria

pin

mcm ip

slm

iroch

riro

cmr

mpi

mri

ncar

mocm

3ogem

1C

lou

d

cccm

cccm

c g g g g in mir

mir

ukmo

ukmog

ModelModel

Page 12: Graeme Stephens Cast of many - incredible ... · Modeling Implications: IPCC GCMs IPCC Models: Global Average Total Cloud IceIPCC Models: Global Average Ice Water 0.20 0.25 (kg/m^2)

Modeling Implications: IPCC GCMsModeling Implications: IPCC GCMs

IPCC Models: Global Average Ice Water PatIPCC Models: Global Average Total Cloud IceIPCC Models: Global Average Total Cloud Ice

Courtesy Duane Waliser & JPL colleagues

0.070.080.090.10

kg

/m

^2

)

0.030.040.050.06

Ice P

ath

(k

Factor of ~7 DifferenceFactor of ~7 Difference

0.000.010.02

bccr

at47

at63

cnrm

csiro

fdl2

0fd

l21

isseh

isseria

pm

cm ipsl

roch

rocm

rm

pim

rinca

rocm

3em

1C

lou

d

bcc

cma

cccm

a cn cs gfd gfd giss gis

inm

miro

miro

c m nukm

ocukm

oge

ModelModel

Cl d I t t t d l l t li f d fCloud Ice water content - modelers last line of defense against measured TOA fluxes (Tony Del Genio)

Page 13: Graeme Stephens Cast of many - incredible ... · Modeling Implications: IPCC GCMs IPCC Models: Global Average Total Cloud IceIPCC Models: Global Average Ice Water 0.20 0.25 (kg/m^2)

The emergence of the CloudSatThe emergence of the CloudSat science objectives

Page 14: Graeme Stephens Cast of many - incredible ... · Modeling Implications: IPCC GCMs IPCC Models: Global Average Total Cloud IceIPCC Models: Global Average Ice Water 0.20 0.25 (kg/m^2)

CloudSat Objectives

Provide, from space, the first global survey of cloud Provide, from space, the first global survey of cloud profiles (height thickness) and cloud physicalprofiles (height thickness) and cloud physicalprofiles (height, thickness) and cloud physical profiles (height, thickness) and cloud physical properties (water, ice, properties (water, ice, precipitationprecipitation) needed to ) needed to evaluate and improve the way clouds, moisture and evaluate and improve the way clouds, moisture and energy are represented in global models used for energy are represented in global models used for weather forecasts and climate prediction.weather forecasts and climate prediction.

A prevailing theme that emerged during this time was an emphasis on the notion that clouds and precipitation are part of a continuum of connected processes. Much understanding is thwarted through a generalunderstanding is thwarted through a general artificial separation of cloud science and precipitation science

Page 15: Graeme Stephens Cast of many - incredible ... · Modeling Implications: IPCC GCMs IPCC Models: Global Average Total Cloud IceIPCC Models: Global Average Ice Water 0.20 0.25 (kg/m^2)

CloudSat Mission science goals•Measure vertical structure of clouds quantify their ice and water

•Products•Geometrical profiles =Radar profilesMeasure vertical structure of clouds, quantify their ice and water

contents as a step toward improved weather prediction and understanding of climatic processes

What are the fundamental vertical structures of global clouds?

Geometrical profiles Radar profiles Mace& Marchand=Hydrometeor profiles

Cloud incidence dittoHow do structure & properties differ in the presence of precipitation?What fraction of clouds of Earth precipitate?

What is the mass of ice suspended in the atmosphere?Q tif th l ti hi b t l d fil d th di ti

•Cloud incidence ditto•Cloud type Zhien Wang•Cloud physics = water content profiles

•Quantify the relationship between cloud profiles and the radiative heating by clouds

Do clouds heat or cool the atmosphere (relative to clear skies)?Do the radiative properties of precipitation and non-precipitating

Austin•Cloud contribution to atmospheric radiative

heating - derived from geometricDo the radiative properties of precipitation and non-precipitating clouds differ?

•Evaluate cloud information derived from other research and operational satellites

heating derived from geometric profiles, cloud physics, T,q analysis

L’Ecuyer•Precipitation incidence Wang Haynes

•Improve our understanding of aerosol indirect effect on clouds and precipitationT h t t t th ti b ( t i i it ti ti l

•Precipitation incidence Wang, Haynes•Quantitative precipitation Mitrescu,

Miller,L’EcuyerTo what extent are the properties above (water, ice, precipitation, vertical

structure) influenced by aerosol?

Page 16: Graeme Stephens Cast of many - incredible ... · Modeling Implications: IPCC GCMs IPCC Models: Global Average Total Cloud IceIPCC Models: Global Average Ice Water 0.20 0.25 (kg/m^2)

How the mission evolvedHow the mission evolved

Page 17: Graeme Stephens Cast of many - incredible ... · Modeling Implications: IPCC GCMs IPCC Models: Global Average Total Cloud IceIPCC Models: Global Average Ice Water 0.20 0.25 (kg/m^2)

Mm radars have become a key tool to

t d l dstudy clouds

ASTEX, 1992

Page 18: Graeme Stephens Cast of many - incredible ... · Modeling Implications: IPCC GCMs IPCC Models: Global Average Total Cloud IceIPCC Models: Global Average Ice Water 0.20 0.25 (kg/m^2)

What emerged was a satellite concept that largely outlined a combined CloudSat and CALIPSO (with some ofCloudSat and CALIPSO (with some of the A-Train) mission elements and also what later became EarthCare.

One of the great challenges at that time was the paucity of information on the (mm) reflectivity of clouds - what we knew at that time was limited to awe knew at that time was limited to a few field experiment activities (e.g. FIRE, ASTEX, …)

Clearly the introduction of the MMCR in ARM was seminal to this understanding

Page 19: Graeme Stephens Cast of many - incredible ... · Modeling Implications: IPCC GCMs IPCC Models: Global Average Total Cloud IceIPCC Models: Global Average Ice Water 0.20 0.25 (kg/m^2)

1995 - early mission1995 early mission concept emerged,… Early

concept

Radar + lidar,Spectrometer

bp

1996- ESSP was born, $

+ sub-mm radiometer +

missions under $90M1998 - ESSP II- cap raised to $120M. This forced the

1998 ESSP

Radar + spectrometer $

separation of lidar/radar<$120M

The selection of bothThe A Train

spectrometer

The selection of both CloudSat and PICASSO (CALIPSO), opened the path f i t l d /lid

The A-Train

for a virtual radar/lidar observing system

Page 20: Graeme Stephens Cast of many - incredible ... · Modeling Implications: IPCC GCMs IPCC Models: Global Average Total Cloud IceIPCC Models: Global Average Ice Water 0.20 0.25 (kg/m^2)

Two key components to themission designmission design

1. Formation with the A-Train

•Nadir pointing 94 GHz radar

2. The Cloud Profiling Radar (CPR)

•Nadir pointing, 94 GHz radar• 3.3μs pulse 480m vertical res, over- sampled at ~240m• 1.4 km horizontal res.• Sensitivity ~ -28 dBZ (-31 dBZ)

500m • Dynamic Range: 80 dB

CloudSat is a pathfinder mission -~1.4 km

CloudSat is a pathfinder mission a step in a journey

Page 21: Graeme Stephens Cast of many - incredible ... · Modeling Implications: IPCC GCMs IPCC Models: Global Average Total Cloud IceIPCC Models: Global Average Ice Water 0.20 0.25 (kg/m^2)

CloudSat is the FIRST spaceborne 94 GHz radar- millimeter wave technology

EIK contributed by the C di SCanadian Space Agency

20 kV power supply 20 kV power supply developed by JPL

Page 22: Graeme Stephens Cast of many - incredible ... · Modeling Implications: IPCC GCMs IPCC Models: Global Average Total Cloud IceIPCC Models: Global Average Ice Water 0.20 0.25 (kg/m^2)

94GHz Radar

Spacecraft

9 G adaAntenna

Spacecraft Communications

Antenna

Ball Aerospace RS2000

Spacecraft

Solar Arrays

Page 23: Graeme Stephens Cast of many - incredible ... · Modeling Implications: IPCC GCMs IPCC Models: Global Average Total Cloud IceIPCC Models: Global Average Ice Water 0.20 0.25 (kg/m^2)

2+ years after initial proposed launch

April, 28th, 03.02am

Page 24: Graeme Stephens Cast of many - incredible ... · Modeling Implications: IPCC GCMs IPCC Models: Global Average Total Cloud IceIPCC Models: Global Average Ice Water 0.20 0.25 (kg/m^2)
Page 25: Graeme Stephens Cast of many - incredible ... · Modeling Implications: IPCC GCMs IPCC Models: Global Average Total Cloud IceIPCC Models: Global Average Ice Water 0.20 0.25 (kg/m^2)

A few highlights•May 20, 2006 - CPR switched to Operate Mode for y , pthe first-time to check out science data collection functions and performance

•June 2, 2006 - CPR switched to operate mode and CloudSat science data acquisition phase began

•June 6, 2006 - First CPR 10˚ clear-ocean Calibration exercise - these reinforce the calibration assessmente e c se ese e o ce e ca b a o assess e•July First Validation project (CCVEX)• Nov 2006 release of selected data products followed in Jan 2007 by full release•Feb 2007 Senior review proposal for continued operationsoperations• March 2007 - first science papers

Page 26: Graeme Stephens Cast of many - incredible ... · Modeling Implications: IPCC GCMs IPCC Models: Global Average Total Cloud IceIPCC Models: Global Average Ice Water 0.20 0.25 (kg/m^2)

1 F i i h h A T i1. Formation with the A-TrainGoal - overlap ~50% achieved Overlap footprints ~90% time (analysis)

, MS

L)

cloudsatcloudsat

achieved - Overlap footprints ~90% time (analysis)

ght (

km,

calipsocalipso

heig

This is a remarkable technical achievement that has clearly demonstrated the viability (for science) of precision formation flying as a future EO strategy

Page 27: Graeme Stephens Cast of many - incredible ... · Modeling Implications: IPCC GCMs IPCC Models: Global Average Total Cloud IceIPCC Models: Global Average Ice Water 0.20 0.25 (kg/m^2)

2. The Cloud Profiling Radar (CPR)Requirement - BOL ~ -28dBZ

calibration < ~-2dBZΔz~ 500m (480m subsampled at 240m)

cloudsat

ER2 crsCalibration within 2dBZER2 crs

Multiple scattering in

difference

scattering in rain > 5mm/hr

Page 28: Graeme Stephens Cast of many - incredible ... · Modeling Implications: IPCC GCMs IPCC Models: Global Average Total Cloud IceIPCC Models: Global Average Ice Water 0.20 0.25 (kg/m^2)

Validation

D th

Validation is an endeavor that can only ever declared as ‘done’ under two circumstances:

Death

Walk away in frustration

Field expts

NAMMA CCVEXNAMMA, CCVEX, C3VP, …TC4,

Systematic obsSystematic obs, ARM, …

Page 29: Graeme Stephens Cast of many - incredible ... · Modeling Implications: IPCC GCMs IPCC Models: Global Average Total Cloud IceIPCC Models: Global Average Ice Water 0.20 0.25 (kg/m^2)

Meas re ertical str ct re of clo ds q antif their ice and ater

Early Results

•Measure vertical structure of clouds, quantify their ice and water contents as a step toward improved weather prediction and understanding of climatic processesWhat are the fundamental vertical structures of global clouds?What are the fundamental vertical structures of global clouds?How do structure & properties differ in the presence of

precipitation?What fraction of clouds of Earth precipitate?

What is the mass of ice suspended in the atmosphere?•Quantify the relationship between cloud profiles and the radiative heating by cloudsDo clouds heat or cool the atmosphere (relative to clear skies)?Do clouds heat or cool the atmosphere (relative to clear skies)?Do the radiative properties of precipitation and non-precipitating clouds differ?

Page 30: Graeme Stephens Cast of many - incredible ... · Modeling Implications: IPCC GCMs IPCC Models: Global Average Total Cloud IceIPCC Models: Global Average Ice Water 0.20 0.25 (kg/m^2)

Progress on validating the l d fil i f ticloud profile information

(2B-geoprof) using ARM

Courtesy, Jay Mace

Page 31: Graeme Stephens Cast of many - incredible ... · Modeling Implications: IPCC GCMs IPCC Models: Global Average Total Cloud IceIPCC Models: Global Average Ice Water 0.20 0.25 (kg/m^2)

What are the fundamental vertical structures of global clouds? Cloud base differences from

other satellite products

Base < 3km Top < 3km

Base 5-10 km Top 5-10 kmrms differences 2-4 km500m ~ 5-10 W/m2

Base > 10km Top > 10km

Mace et al, 2007

Page 32: Graeme Stephens Cast of many - incredible ... · Modeling Implications: IPCC GCMs IPCC Models: Global Average Total Cloud IceIPCC Models: Global Average Ice Water 0.20 0.25 (kg/m^2)

How do structure & properties differ in the presence of precipitation?

Composite vertical profile for west pac, JJA

Minim m clo d top heights distrib tionsMinimum cloud top heights distributionsprecipitating clouds

Of note:

•Trimodality (quadra-modal) heights

non- precipclouds

modal) heights

• precipitating clouds are deeper than non precipitating clouds

Haynes and Stephens, 2007

Page 33: Graeme Stephens Cast of many - incredible ... · Modeling Implications: IPCC GCMs IPCC Models: Global Average Total Cloud IceIPCC Models: Global Average Ice Water 0.20 0.25 (kg/m^2)

What fraction of the clouds precipitate?

Example of precipitation incidence placed in the context of clouds

Haynes & Stephens, 2007

Page 34: Graeme Stephens Cast of many - incredible ... · Modeling Implications: IPCC GCMs IPCC Models: Global Average Total Cloud IceIPCC Models: Global Average Ice Water 0.20 0.25 (kg/m^2)

•Quantify the relationship between cloud profiles and the radiative heating by cloudsDo clouds heat or cool the atmosphere (relative to clear skies)?

L’Ecuyer & Stephens, 2007

Page 35: Graeme Stephens Cast of many - incredible ... · Modeling Implications: IPCC GCMs IPCC Models: Global Average Total Cloud IceIPCC Models: Global Average Ice Water 0.20 0.25 (kg/m^2)

Steps toward improvingp p grepresentation of clouds related processes in models ---- Modelprocesses in models Model evaluation

Page 36: Graeme Stephens Cast of many - incredible ... · Modeling Implications: IPCC GCMs IPCC Models: Global Average Total Cloud IceIPCC Models: Global Average Ice Water 0.20 0.25 (kg/m^2)

CloudSat simulator activityCloudSat simulator (Quickbeam)CloudSat simulator (Quickbeam)

Emulates observations (in the spirit of ISCCP simulator)Requires Cloud and Precipitation as input Has been integrated into certain versions of global modelsHas been integrated into certain versions of global models Being adapted to more ‘conventional’ low-resolution models.

Sub-grid sampling

Haynes et al., 2007

Page 37: Graeme Stephens Cast of many - incredible ... · Modeling Implications: IPCC GCMs IPCC Models: Global Average Total Cloud IceIPCC Models: Global Average Ice Water 0.20 0.25 (kg/m^2)

The simulator in NWP courtesyNWP, courtesy

Alejandro Bodas

Page 38: Graeme Stephens Cast of many - incredible ... · Modeling Implications: IPCC GCMs IPCC Models: Global Average Total Cloud IceIPCC Models: Global Average Ice Water 0.20 0.25 (kg/m^2)

July

The simulator in MMF, courtesy of Roj Marchand

Page 39: Graeme Stephens Cast of many - incredible ... · Modeling Implications: IPCC GCMs IPCC Models: Global Average Total Cloud IceIPCC Models: Global Average Ice Water 0.20 0.25 (kg/m^2)

December

Page 40: Graeme Stephens Cast of many - incredible ... · Modeling Implications: IPCC GCMs IPCC Models: Global Average Total Cloud IceIPCC Models: Global Average Ice Water 0.20 0.25 (kg/m^2)

Cloud Ice water content (2B-CWC)

MLS ECMWF CloudSatMLS ECMWF CloudSat

1 Tony DelGenio

Page 41: Graeme Stephens Cast of many - incredible ... · Modeling Implications: IPCC GCMs IPCC Models: Global Average Total Cloud IceIPCC Models: Global Average Ice Water 0.20 0.25 (kg/m^2)

0.6

0.7

60N/S incidenc

0.6

0.7

40N/S Incidenc

NWP model

Cloud & precipitation

0.3

0.4

0.5

0.3

0.4

0.5

0.6

CloudSat

12

3

0

0.1

0.2

12

3

0

0.1

0.2

TRMMTMI

3Cloud Top Categor

60N/S accumulatio

3Cloud Top Catego

40N/S accumulatio

CloudSat suggests that

0.3

0.35

0.4

0.45

0.4

0.5

0.6CloudSat suggests that shallow precip contributes significantly to total rainfall -thi t ib ti ( t d)

0 05

0.1

0.15

0.2

0.25

0

0.1

0.2

0.3 this contribution (as expected) grows in significance with latitude

12

3

0

0.05

Cloud Top Categor

12

3

0

Cloud Top Catego

Page 42: Graeme Stephens Cast of many - incredible ... · Modeling Implications: IPCC GCMs IPCC Models: Global Average Total Cloud IceIPCC Models: Global Average Ice Water 0.20 0.25 (kg/m^2)

Whats new

Page 43: Graeme Stephens Cast of many - incredible ... · Modeling Implications: IPCC GCMs IPCC Models: Global Average Total Cloud IceIPCC Models: Global Average Ice Water 0.20 0.25 (kg/m^2)

1. What’s new: 2B-Geoprof-lidar

CloudSatCloudSat

CALIPSO

Polar cloud example

Page 44: Graeme Stephens Cast of many - incredible ... · Modeling Implications: IPCC GCMs IPCC Models: Global Average Total Cloud IceIPCC Models: Global Average Ice Water 0.20 0.25 (kg/m^2)

2. What’s new: Tropical storm data base

•More than 170 passes over named storms •For each storm overpass:•(A) Storm specific variables(A) Storm specific variables

•lat, lon, mslp, max winds, SST’s•(B) Radial/Azimuthal Data

•Brightness Temperature (MODIS 11 um)g p ( )•MODIS Cloud top height, pressure and temperature•AMSR-E SST, Wind Speed, LWP/IWP, Precipitation

L t l 2007

Precipitation•(C) Numerical Weather Prediction Analyses (Naval Operational Global Atmospheric Prediction System (NOGAPS™)

Luo et al. 2007•Temperature and Moisture Profiles•Wind Vector Profiles

•(D) CloudSat CPR DataL2 GEOPROF Radar Reflectivity Profiles•L2 GEOPROF Radar Reflectivity Profiles

•L2 LWC/IWC Profiles

Page 45: Graeme Stephens Cast of many - incredible ... · Modeling Implications: IPCC GCMs IPCC Models: Global Average Total Cloud IceIPCC Models: Global Average Ice Water 0.20 0.25 (kg/m^2)

3. What’s new: A TRMM-CloudSat data base

Clo dSatCloudSat

TRMM PR

Page 46: Graeme Stephens Cast of many - incredible ... · Modeling Implications: IPCC GCMs IPCC Models: Global Average Total Cloud IceIPCC Models: Global Average Ice Water 0.20 0.25 (kg/m^2)

4. What’s new: lidar/radar combined ice microphysics Mace & Wang -

Preliminary example from Zhieno e

Page 47: Graeme Stephens Cast of many - incredible ... · Modeling Implications: IPCC GCMs IPCC Models: Global Average Total Cloud IceIPCC Models: Global Average Ice Water 0.20 0.25 (kg/m^2)

5. What’s new: Precipitation profiling product(includes snow)

CloudSatNEXRAD KCLXCharleston, SC09/07/200618:46:46 UTC

NEXRAD and CPR Rainfall

-1)

DefaultM-PTropical

nra

te (

mm

h CloudSat

CPR Reflectivity (09/07/2006 – 18:43 UTC)

Distance (km)

Rai

Distance (km)

Mitrescu et al

Page 48: Graeme Stephens Cast of many - incredible ... · Modeling Implications: IPCC GCMs IPCC Models: Global Average Total Cloud IceIPCC Models: Global Average Ice Water 0.20 0.25 (kg/m^2)

6. What’s new: Surface Clutter fixes (reprocessing , July 2007)

Receiver bandwidth 350 kHz results in finite rise time, which causes clutter in bins above surface (rise time ~ 1/B)( / )Actual performance (surface return) matches pre-launch testsThese results indicate that 3

sfcbins above ocean surface are contaminated; at least 2 were expected from EM test data.

#4 ~ -30dBZ720m-960m

#3 ~ -23dBZ (-26dBZ)480m-720m

#2 ~ +3dBZ240m-480m

Page 49: Graeme Stephens Cast of many - incredible ... · Modeling Implications: IPCC GCMs IPCC Models: Global Average Total Cloud IceIPCC Models: Global Average Ice Water 0.20 0.25 (kg/m^2)

7. Whats new: Matched CloudSat and MODIS cloud productsMODIS cloud products

Th bi ti f

NEP

The combination of active and passive cloud information offers the

14 minutes potential for deriving ‘new information’

33 minutes

Stephens and Haynes, 2007

Page 50: Graeme Stephens Cast of many - incredible ... · Modeling Implications: IPCC GCMs IPCC Models: Global Average Total Cloud IceIPCC Models: Global Average Ice Water 0.20 0.25 (kg/m^2)

Challenges &outlooks

Many challenges -Water contents of Mixed phase cloudsMixed phase clouds,Deep complex cloudsDetailed, quantitative validation ….. and science that matters

Senior review - proposal toSenior review proposal to continue CloudSat & A-train beyond 2008 to 2011..

The next step of the journey t t d… stay tuned

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CloudSat Data Processing Center (DPC)( )

http://www cloudsat cira colostate eduhttp://www.cloudsat.cira.colostate.edu

Page 52: Graeme Stephens Cast of many - incredible ... · Modeling Implications: IPCC GCMs IPCC Models: Global Average Total Cloud IceIPCC Models: Global Average Ice Water 0.20 0.25 (kg/m^2)

0.6

0.7

20N/S incidenc

0.4

0.45

WestPac Incidenc Cloud & precipitation

0.3

0.4

0.5

0 15

0.2

0.25

0.3

0.35

12

3

0

0.1

0.2

12

3

0

0.05

0.1

0.15

11k< 4.75km

3Cloud top categor

20N/S accumulatio

W t P l ti

3Clout top categor

NWP d l

> 11km

0.5

0.6

0.7

0.5

0.6

0.7

West Pac accumulatio NWP model

CloudSat

Work in progress

0.1

0.2

0.3

0.4

0 1

0.2

0.3

0.4

TRMMTMI

12

3

0

Cloud Top Categor

12

3

0

0.1

Cloud Top Catego

TMI

Page 53: Graeme Stephens Cast of many - incredible ... · Modeling Implications: IPCC GCMs IPCC Models: Global Average Total Cloud IceIPCC Models: Global Average Ice Water 0.20 0.25 (kg/m^2)

Revealing the bimodality of tropical precipitationRevealing the bimodality of tropical precipitation

West pac Global tropics

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Inputs (blue):CloudSat FLXHR Algorithm

p ( )LWC/IWC profiles from CloudSat level-2B algorithmsGas extinction profiles from ECMWF analysesReflectivityReflectivity ySurface albedo, solar zenith angle, etc. from ancillary datasets

Procedure:Composite geophysical parameters

ReflectivityReflectivity

Cloud MaskCloud Mask

ARM WoodComposite geophysical parametersRun broadband RT model (BUGSrad)Compute heating rate profiles

Outputs (green): Outputs (green):

Cloud TypeCloud Type

Initial Water ContentInitial Water Content

ARM, Wood et al., 2007

p (g )p (g )Output consists of vertical profiles of upwelling and downwelling LW and SW fluxes at CPR resolution.Profiles of radiative heating.

Initial Water ContentInitial Water Content

Optical DepthOptical Depth g

Constrained Water ContentConstrained Water Content

Fluxes/Heating RateFluxes/Heating RateCERES/ssf (‘validation’)

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The 2006 Dec/Jan MJO

17

1630 km

15

km

1400

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A case study exampleof comparisonof comparison between CloudSat and AMSRE -

passive microwave methods are missing gsignificant fractions of light precipitation

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2. Comparison AMSR-E

PIA-basedprecipprecip