Greenhouse Gas Greenhouse Gas Emissions in Minnesota: Emissions in Minnesota:

1970-20061970-2006

Peter CiborowskiPeter CiborowskiAnne ClaflinAnne Claflin

June 2009June 2009

Legislative RequestLegislative Request The Next Generation Energy Act established the

following GHG reduction goals: 15 % reduction from 2005 levels by 2015; 30 % reduction by 2025; and 80 % reduction by 2050.

The MPCA is obligated to report on statewide progress toward these GHG reduction goals. Annual legislative proposal Biennial Reduction Progress Report

The request included some specifications, such as estimating electricity imported to service Minnesota demand and separate tracking of emissions or sequestration associated with biomass

(Minn. Stat. § 216H)

Progress Towards GoalProgress Towards Goal

Emissions by SectorEmissions by Sector

Emissions by SectorEmissions by Sector

Emissions by ActivityEmissions by Activity

RulesRules Principles:Principles:

the long record of emissions covering periods of years to decades; a consistent time series of estimates; best international and US practices; high level of data disaggregation; and timeliness.

Geographical boundaries, except: Geographical boundaries, except: net electricity imports net electricity imports aviationaviation

Recalculation of previous and baseline year estimates as methods Recalculation of previous and baseline year estimates as methods changechange Limitations in protocols and available dataLimitations in protocols and available data

Downstream (combustion of fossil fuels and other noncombustion Downstream (combustion of fossil fuels and other noncombustion emissions)emissions)

Direct (physically occur at a facility)Direct (physically occur at a facility) Separately track biogenic emissions and sequestrationSeparately track biogenic emissions and sequestration

Emissions from Electric Power GenerationEmissions from Electric Power Generation

Emissions from TransportationEmissions from Transportation

Energy Use: Percent Fossil FuelEnergy Use: Percent Fossil Fuel

Energy Consumption by FuelEnergy Consumption by Fuel

IndicatorsIndicators1990 2000 2006

lb GHGs / $ real GSP (Chained 2000 $) 2.1 1.5

Tons GHGs (total) / Capita 29.1 29.6

lb GHGs / kWh Generated

lb GHGs / kWh Consumed 1.74 1.68

lb GHGs / Harvested Acres 1,467 1,440 1,557

lb GHGs / sq. ft. Residential Floor Space 5.6 5.9 4.4

lb direct and indirect GHGs / $ Industrial Economic Activity

2.10 2.49

lb GHGs / Vehicle Mile Traveled (passenger vehicles and light duty trucks)

1.05 0.97

Fossil Fuel Btu / Mile Traveled (passenger vehicles and light duty trucks)

6,348 5,828

ForestryForestry

Next StepsNext Steps Planned improvements for the next biennial

report, covering 1970-2008, include: an improved HFC/PFC inventory based on the full

implementation of the mandatory high GWP reporting rule;

new fuel use and feedstock reporting requirements for in-state petroleum refineries;

greater disaggregation of state-level energy use data to the end-use level;

a new stock model for monthly estimation of livestock populations on farms and feedlots;

development of an emission forecasting capability.

Full Report Available:Full Report Available:

Climate Change page:Climate Change page: http://www.pca.state.mn.us/climatechange/http://www.pca.state.mn.us/climatechange/

Legislative Reports pageLegislative Reports page http://www.pca.state.mn.us/hot/legislature/reports/index.htmlhttp://www.pca.state.mn.us/hot/legislature/reports/index.html