greenstreet berman

Using data to help save the lives of those most at risk from

fire

Greenstreet Berman Ltd, Michael Wright www.greenstreet.co.uk

Michael.Wright@greenstreet.co.uk T: 020-3102-2117

Research, evaluation, consultancy

Dying for data - 30th April 2014

greenstreet berman

Who is most at risk?

Lone pensioners

45%

Lone adults28%

Pensioner couples

10%

Adults with child/ren

6%

Lone parent5%

Adults no children

6%

73% of fatal fire casualties lived alone

greenstreet berman Age

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

0 to 10 11 to 19

20 to 29

30 to 39

40 to 49

50 to 59

60 to 69

70 to 79

80+

Age (years)

greenstreet berman

Disability

0%

1%

2%

3%

4%

5%

6%

7%

8%

9%

10%

Disabled Not disabled

% of casualties who die

3 times more likely to die if

disabled

greenstreet berman

Drugs or alcohol, 14.3%

Immobility, 13.7%

Asleep, 11.3%

Trapped by fire etc, 10.6%

Fell onto fire, 6.4%

Injured discovering or fighting fire, 6.9%

Fatal fires Factors

greenstreet berman Dwelling fire deaths vs non fatal injuries

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

Smokers' materials Cooking

% o

f cas

ualti

es Fatal Non fatal

greenstreet berman Dwelling fire deaths vs non fatal injuries

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

Pensioners Lone adult Couple/adults with or without children

Lone parent

% o

f cas

ualti

es

Deaths Non fatal injuries

Victim profiles differ

greenstreet berman Smoke alarms

1.4%

2.6%

1.5%

10.6%

5.29%

1.6%

0.5%

1.3%

5.4%

3.28%

0%

2%

4%

6%

8%

10%

12%

Couple without children

Couple with child/ren

Lone parent Lone pensioner Lone adult

% o

f cas

ualti

es th

at d

ieNo alarms

Alarms

greenstreet berman Mission not yet accomplished!

2009-2011, GB

36%

18%

36%

10%

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

40%

No alarm Prersent but failed to operate

Yes and raised alarm Yes, but did not raise alarm

% o

f all

dwel

ling

fires

88% of English homes had an alarm in 2011. Homes without an alarm are 3 times more likely to have a fire.

greenstreet berman

81%

73% 71%67% 68%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

Lone pensioners

Lone adults Lone parents Couples without children

Couples with child/ren

% o

f dw

ellin

g fir

e ca

sual

ties

with

a s

mok

e al

arm

pre

sent

greenstreet berman Fire risk indicators

X No smoke detector Elderly

Alone Smoker

Disabled

Depressed

greenstreet berman

Data sharing

Address point data

e.g. Mosaic

Referrals from other

agencies

Community advocates

Identifying those most at risk

greenstreet berman

Other data sources? • DWP

– Attendance allowance - >65 physical or mental disability. (1.5m claimants)

– Disability Living Allowance/ Personal Independence Payment (16 to 64) (3.3m claimants)

– Single persons state pension – State pension, long term incapacity benefit, – Lone parent income support allowance (~0.5m

claimants) • Council tax

– Single person discount – Disabled persons discount

greenstreet berman

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

Dw

ellin

g fir

e de

aths

Conclusions

• Fewer deaths • Same victim profile as

2002-05

• Absence of smoke alarms remains a major issue (>2.5m homes in England)

• In age of austerity need to target most at risk more tightly than ever

70%

75%

80%

85%

90%

95%

100%

2001 2011

% E

nglis

h ho

mes

with

sm

oke

alar

m

(EH

S)

12% to go

14% increase

greenstreet berman

Thank you

Great Britain accidental dwelling fire casualty profile 2009-2011. Greenstreet Berman Ltd report for the Department for Communities

and Local Government, 2012.

Learning Lessons from Real Fires: Findings Research Bulletin no. from Fatal Fire Investigation Reports. Research

Bulletin 9. Arson control forum. June 2006