group profile as at 30 june 2015
TRANSCRIPT
MB Group
30 June 2015
2
Mediobanca Banking Group
Mediobanca is the leading Italian player in Corporate & Investment Banking, Consumer Finance and Online Banking
For over 60 years we have helped our clients grow, offering
high-quality advisory services and providing finance in all its
various forms, from more traditional bank credit to the most
sophisticated solutions available on capital markets
Today Mediobanca is:
the leading Italian investment bank, with operations in
lending, advisory and capital market services and branches
in Frankfurt, Istanbul, London, Madrid, Mexico City,
Moscow, New York, and Paris
a top player in consumer credit in Italy
a prominent multi-channel retail bank with CheBanca!, set
to become the leading digital Italian bank
Revenues: €2.0bn
Net profit: €590m
ROE adj.2: 7%
C/I ratio: 41%
Total assets: €53bn
Loan book: €33bn
AUM3: €35bn
No. of staff: 3,790
CETI B3 phased-in: 12.0%
CETI B3 fully phased: 13.2%
S&P rating: BBB-
Fitch rating: BBB+
DPS: €0.25
Stated payout: 36%
Loan/funding ratio: 77%
Market cap.4: €8.5bn
Key financial information1
1) Figures as at June-end 2015 (annual period)
2) Profit/losses from AFS disposals, impairments and positive one-off items excluded
3) Including Cairn Capital AUM
4) As at 10 August 2015
1.628 1.819
2.045
June13 June14 June15
Revenues (€m)
(176)
465
590
June13 June14 June15
Net profit (€m)
6% 6%
7%
June13 June14 June15
ROE adjusted2
3
History and mission
Supporting corporate and private customers with a unique culture since the 1950s
Founded in 1946 by three state-owned banks (Comit, Credit and Banco di Roma), Mediobanca’s mission was initially to support
the rebuilding of Italian industry.
In performing such a pivotal role, Mediobanca became close to the most important Italian industrial families, supporting the
growth of their businesses also through equity investments. Mediobanca worked with Italian corporates in their restructuring,
privatization and internationalization processes, easing their access to capital markets.
Mediobanca also pioneered also retail/mid-corporate banking activities, entering the consumer credit sector with Compass
(1960), leasing with Selma (1970), residential mortgages with Micos (1992) and private banking with Banca Esperia (2001) and
CMB (2003).
Listed since 1956, Mediobanca was privatized in 1988. The banking shareholders reduced their stake to 25%, entering into a
shareholder agreement with some industrial corporates holding another 25%. The agreement is still alive today, but with a
reduced weight (roughly 30%) compared to the past and an higher presence of institutional investors (~35% of the capital).
Since 2003, the current management team has focused the corporate strategy on banking activities, concentrating on:
Global CIB operations: offices have been opened in Paris (2004), New York (2006), Madrid (2007), Frankfurt (2007), London
(2008), Istanbul (2013) and Mexico City(2015)
Growing retail and consumer credit operations: in 2008 Compass doubled its size with the acquisition of Linea, thus
catching up with the top three consumer lending Italian players; in same year the multi-channel digital bank CheBanca was
set up, which quickly rose in importance as a deposit and asset gatherer in the domestic market
Entering alternative AM business with the acquisition of the London based credit specialist Cairn Capital in 2015
In the meantime Mediobanca has actively managed its equity portfolio, selling off cross-shareholdings, exiting shareholder
agreements and disposing of non-strategic stakes.
4
Mediobanca shareholders’ structure
Mediobanca shareholders’ agreement1 Institutional investors by region
Mediobanca Shareholders
1) Expiring in December 2015.
United States 30%
United Kindom
27% France
8%
Netherlands 5%
Italy 7%
Rest of Europe
7%
Rest of the world 16%
Unicredit 8.6%
Financière du Perguet (Bollorè)
7.9%
Mediolanum 3.4%
Edizione (Benetton)
2.2%
Pirelli & C. 1.8%
FINPRIV 1.7%
Italmobiliare 1.6%
Fininvest 1.0%
Other <1% 3.8%
Core Shareholders
31%
Institutional Investors
39%
Retail Investors 30%
5
Business model
Mediobanca Group
Principal
Investing (PI)
Retail and Consumer
Banking (RCB)
Corporate & Investment
Banking (CIB)
Wholesale Banking
Lending
Advisory
Capital markets
Ass.Generali (13.2%)
Retail banking
Consumer credit
Private banking/
Asset management
Corporate Centre
Leasing
Revenues1: 776m (37%)
Headcount: 900 (24%)
C/I ratio: 50%
ROAC adj.2: 8%
NII: 251 (22%)
Loan book: 14.6bn (44%)
RWA: 33.4bn
AUM³: 31.8 bn
Revenues1: 1,008m (48%)
Headcount: 2,481 (65%)
C/I ratio: 44%
ROAC adj.2: 11%
NII: 833 (73%)
Loan book: 15.5bn (47%)
RWA: 12.2bn
AUM: 2.9 bn
Revenues1: 254m (12%)
Headcount: n.m.
C/I ratio: n.m.
ROAC adj.2: 22%
Equity BV: 4.4bn
RWA: 11.7bn
Revenues1: 64m (3%)
Headcount: 409 (11%)
C/I ratio: n.m.
ROAC adj.2: 2%
NII: 55 (5%)
Loan book: 2.8bn (8%)
RWA: 2.4bn
Figures as at June-end 2015 (annual period)
1) Revenues by division; % of total aggregated revenues (gross of intercompany items)
2) Profit/losses from AFS disposals, impairments and positive one-off items excluded
3) Including Cairn Capital AUM
AFS stake ptf
Banking businesses Equity holding
6
Divisional rationale
Mediobanca Group
Principal
Investing (PI)
Retail and Consumer
Banking (RCB)
Corporate & Investment
Banking (CIB)
Wholesale banking
Retail banking
Consumer credit
Private banking
MAAM (setting up)
Specialized business
Resilient source of revenues,
with low K absorption
Business synergic with CIB
Business run since 1960s
Specialized business with
high entry barriers
Revenue stabilizer, group NII
flywheel, high profitability
High credit risk
fragmentation
Mission/investments
inherited from the past
AG stake: revenues/EPS
stabilizer – profitable
investment
AFS stake portfolio: no
longer core business
Low capital intensive
business, competence driven
Fee-based recurrent business
(non-proprietary)
“Solutions” business (large
scale not always needed)
Setting up through
acquisitions of small-size
asset management
businesses
focused on alternative
asset classes
serving institutional
investors
with strong management
teams and track records
scalable operational
infrastructure
Banking businesses Equity investment
Historical Mediobanca DNA
Niche/specialized business
High profitable but cyclical
business
Diversified and balanced
revenue pool
Open, effective, innovative,
multi-channel distribution
platform set to become
leading digital bank
Diversification of Group
funding sources
Resilient source of revenues
Asset management
7
AG 6%
Treasury & AFS 28%
Loans 62%
Equity 17%
Funding 80%
Asset Liabilities
Liquidity 8%
IT Govies
34%
Other Govies
9%
Corporate Bonds 36%
Equity 13%
Bonds to institutional
20% Bonds to retail 26%
Retail deposits
23%
PB deposits 6%
Other 4%
ECB 13%
Banks 9%
Loans by customer: 50% corporate, 50% retail
Loans by geography: 77% Italy, 23% non domestic
Funding: 55% from retail investors (26% bonds to retail, 23% CB! deposits and 6% PB deposits)
Mediobanca A&L structure
Balance sheet as at June 2015
Private Banking
3%
Consumer lending
33%
Large corporate
42%
Mortgages 14%
Leasing 9%
Total: €53.2bn
€42.7bn
€14.8bn
€32.9bn
B3 CET1phased-in: 12.0%
B3 CET1fully phased: 13.2%
B3 Leverage ratio phased-in: 11.0%
B3 Leverage ratio fully phased: 12.0%
NSFR well above 100%
NPLs/loans: 3.5%
NPLs coverage: 53%
Bad loans/loans: 0.8%
Bad loans coverage: 66%
Loans/
Funding:
77%
8
665
LLP 533
Costs 847
Total income Costs an LLP PBT adj.
Wholesale banking
31%
Private banking
6%
Consumer finance
40%
Retail banking
8%
Principal Investing
12% Leasing 3%
Mediobanca P&L structure
Profit and Loss as at June 2015
Cost/
income
41%
Figures by division: % of total aggregated revenues (gross of intercompany)
Profit/losses from AFS disposals, impairments and positive one-off items excluded
2,045
€2.0bn
NII 56%
Fees 23%
Trading 10%
Equity acc.co.
11%
CIB 47%
RCB 17%
PI 36%
€2.0bn
€665m
Revenues by client: 54% retail/private, 46% corporate/PI
Banking revenue by geography: 80% Italy, 20% Europe
PI revenues largely represented by 13% stake in Ass. Generali, which is equity accounted
Comp ratio: 20%
Other expenses ratio: 21%
Cost of risk: 168bps
9
Italy 55%
Germany 5%
France 5%
UK 24%
Spain 6%
Other 5%
Lending 33%
CapMkts 48%
M&A 19%
Trading 20%
NII 40%
Fees 39%
Wholesale banking
Revenue by product (2013-15 avg.) Leading investment bank in Italy ...
Revenue by country (2013-15 avg.)
€578m
45%
non-
Italian
Non-domestic countries largely covered by local IB and
bulge-bracket firms
Core Europe: mature but very large corporate market in
which MB has a sub-optimal market share
Even “small bites of the big cake” have material impact on
the relatively small-size MB balance sheet
... with an improving European footprint
Unique positioning in Italy:
leader in M&A and ECM (1st in 2001-15 cumulative
ranking by value and number of deals1);
sizeable market share also in lending and DCM
Recognized and trusted brand with strong history, culture
and corporate identity
Wide expertise and track record in Italian corporate world
with client relations-driven approach
€578m
Source: Thomson Financial, Dealogic, deals completed, “any Italian involvement”
Mission: to be recognized as high-quality specialized operator
10
GS JPM
BOFA
CS UBS
BNP
SG DB
4000 9000 14000 19000 24000 29000
MEDIOBANCA
LAZARD
INVESTEC
ROTHSCHILD GREENHILL
EVERCORE
150 650 1150 1650
MEDIOBANCA
LAZARD
INVESTEC
ROTHSCHILD GREENHILL
EVERCORE
150 650 1150 1650
MCQUARIE
80% customer-driven business, efficient structure
Cost/income ratio: <50%
Healthy balance sheet
Good asset quality
100%
80%
60%
40%
20%
0%
JEFFERIES
Trading % on
IB revenue
Revenue
size
GS JPM
BOFA
CS UBS
BNP SG
DB
4000 9000 14000 19000 24000 29000
100%
80%
60%
40%
20%
MCQUARIE
JEFFERIES
Cost/income
ratio Revenue
size
Focus on solutions vs flow
business
80% revenues customer-
driven (NII+fees)
Customer-driven/tailor-made business
Efficient structure
11
Wholesale banking: international operations
International presence since 2004 with branches in Paris,
New York, Frankfurt, Madrid, London, Istanbul and
Mexico City.
London as a hub for global investment banking coverage
activity
International operations Mediobanca CIB geographical footprint
Spain and
Portugal Italy, Greece, Turkey
UK, Ireland & Nordics
France, Belux &
MENA
Central Eastern
Europe
Focus on a synergic approach between industries,
products and countries
Visible positioning in EMEA investment banking market
Non-domestic revenues at 46% of total WB revenues
Lean structure (183 bankers, 28% of WB) with low
cost/income ratio
June13 June14 June15
Total income (€m) 222 258 298
% WB 35% 56% 46%
PBT (€m) 112 166
% WB 40% Nm
Loans (€bn) 5.7 5.4 7.0
% WB 37% 43% 51%
Headcount (n.) 125 141 183
Cost/income ratio 39% 35%
12
Private banking
Private banking: KPIs (€m)
CMB - Leading financial institution in Principality of Monaco
Founded in 2001, highly synergic with CIB operations
Top-ranked in Italy as specialist player for UHNWIs
AUM €17.6bn, breaking down as follows:
72% private investors, 28% institutional
investors
50% managed, 50% administered
Distribution network: 80 bankers, 12 branches in Italy
Banca Esperia - 50% partnership with Mediolanum
CMB: stake since 1989, fully owned since 2004
Leading financial institution in Principality of Monaco,
with around 10% market share
AUM €7.8bn, breaking down as follows:
mainly private investors
35% managed assets, 65% administered
Distribution network: 43 bankers
* Excluding one-off items
Private banking: AUM trend (€bn)
6.7 7.3 7.8
7.1 7.7
8.8
FY13 FY14 FY15
13.8 15.0
+7%
+14%
+9%
+8%
+9% +11%
CMB
Banca
Esperia
(50%)
€m FY13 FY14 FY15
Revenues 138 140 132
--of which fees 70 78 84
Cost/income ratio 63% 60% 69%
Net profit 41 51 36
16.6
13
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
45%
Without bank relations
Low mass (0-25k)
Mass (25-50k)
Low affluent (50-100k)
Top affluent (100-250k)
Low private (250-500k)
HNWI* (500-1500k)
V+U HNWI** (> 1500k)
MB Retail & Consumer: distinctive and value-driven positioning
Unbanked/Under-banked Target
Private banking
Asset management
Payment accounts
Pre-paid cards
Personal loans
* High Net Worth Individual
** Very + Ultra High Net Worth Individual
Current accounts
Time deposits/gov’t bonds
Point-of-sale loans
Current accounts
Asset management
Equity
Total return AM
Property management
Best-in-class consultancy
Divisional retail banks
Customer distribution vs asset s (%, €, aged 18+)
2.4m
current
customers
0.5m current customers
Source: Compass elaboration on ABI data
Family banking (4.7m) Private banking (0.8m)
Products
Mass banking (17.2m) No/early banking (28.3m)
14
-11.7%
-5.3%
2.5%
12.4%
-5.9%
8.2% 10.3%
8.8%
10.0% 11.4%
12.3% 11.6%
-5,0%
-3,0%
-1,0%
1,0%
3,0%
5,0%
7,0%
9,0%
11,0%
13,0%
15,0%
-20,0%
-10,0%
0,0%
10,0%
20,0%
30,0%
40,0%
2012 2013 2014 IH15
Market growth (YoY) Compass growth (YoY)
Salary guar. 6%
Cars 10%
Special pourpose
13%
Credit cards 19%
Personal loans 52%
By product
Consumer lending – Compass
New loans YoY trend, Compass market share (6m June15)
Compass new loans (12m June15)
With 2.4 million customers, a loan stock of more than
€10bn and new loans totalling €6bn, Compass is a
leading Italian consumer lending player (12% market
share)
With the acquisition of Linea in 2007, Compass
achieved its current distribution platform based on 164
Compass branches and a variety of distribution
agreements with banks (around 7,000 bank branches,
almost the largest network in Italy), post offices, car
retailers and other retailers.
Source: Assofin
€6.2bn
Compass: the Italian market leader
Compass Branches
33%
Post & Bank branches
36%
Partnerships 9%
Car retailers
10% Other
retailers 11%
By channel
€6.2bn
Top 5 Italian players
(6M15 Assofin) Mkt share
New loans
(€bn) Y.o.Y
Unicredit 12.8% 3.3 +31%
Compass 11.6% 3.0 +9%
Findomestic 11.1% 2.9 +11%
Agos Ducato 10.7% 2.8 +8%
Intesa 8.3% 2.2 +32%
Total market 100% 26.0 +12.4%
15
Retail banking – CheBanca!
CheBanca! positioning (distribution mix/product focus)
1. Best Italian online bank according to Istituto Tedesco Qualità e Finanza for Corriere Economia, May 2015 –
Customer Satisfaction
CheBanca!: the Mediobanca multi-channel retail bank
Launched in 2008 with a focus on deposit
gathering to diversify group funding.
CheBanca! today offers a full range of
banking, saving and investment products.
Best Italian online bank in 2013, 2014 and
20151
Awarded at the Superbrands Awards 2015
as one of the most valuable brands in Italy
Multi-channel distribution platform: web,
call centre and branches
Customer-centred service with distinctive
offering: transparent, high standardized,
price-efficient products
Affluent customer base (520k)
Product focus
Pure on-line
Distribution mix
multi-channel
Investment
(AUM>50% total asset)
Banking
(Deposits>60% total asset) ING Direct Ita
IW Bank
Fineco
Banca Generali
Mediolanum
Banca Fideuram
Term deposits
5.5
Sight deposits
4.1
Indirect deposits
2.9
Customer deposits breakdown (June 2015)
Securities 0.5
MB bonds 0.4
AM funds 0.9
Insurance products
1.0
€12.5bn
Trading
(AUC>45% total asset)
BinckBank
Boursorama
Comdirect
Deutsche
Kreditbank
16
Setting up MAAM with Cairn Capital acquisition
First step in MAAM set up, starting
from credit asset class: good fit with
MB DNA , high synergies with CIB
business (sharing product capabilities,
customer base, distribution)
Set up in 2004, Cairn is an asset
specialist with $5.6bn AUM and $9.1bn
AUA: strong skills and experience
across wide credit products spectrum
Strong reputation and management
team with robust institutional
relationships and previous CIB
experience
Based in London, 60 employees;
presence in Greenwich (US). Scalable
operational infrastructure
Deal announced in August 2015, to be
completed by year end
Cairn KPIs
Growth acceleration potential from MB institutional roof, brand and
balance sheet capabilities. Senior management to maintain key roles
Material revenue synergy opportunity from the combination of Cairn
Capital with MB:
Seed capital and distribution
Sourcing and origination of new loans
Leveraging on MB CIB business, e.g. restructuring, real estate
advisory, debt and solution business
$2.1bn AUM
$9.1bn
Assets under
Advisory
$3.5bn AUM
Real estate
debt advisory
and
restructuring
Real estate
new financing
Discretionary
Asset
Management
L/T Portfolio
Advisory
Legacy
Asset
Management
Real Estate
Advisory Services
Cairn Capital Platform
17
Mediobanca gaining more visibility in AUM world
MB AUM trend by business (€bn, June 2015)
7.8
8.8
2.2 2.9
13.0
CMB Banca Esperia (50%) Spafid CheBanca! Cairn Total MB Group AUM
€35bn
MB gathering roughly €35bn AUM, with different brands, customers, distribution and products:
~ €19bn related to private banking customers of Compagnie Monégasque de Banque, Spafid and Banca Esperia
~ €3bn related to mass/affluent customers of CheBanca!
~ €13bn related to institutional mandates of Cairn Capital (asset management and advisory)
18
Principal investing portfolio
Equity exposure: market value and book value (€bn, June15)
Assicurazioni Generali (13.2% )
AG unrealized
gain 0.2
AFS stakes 1.1
Ass.Generali 3.3
Total market value: €4.6bn
Total BV: €4.4bn
Disposals since FY13 totalling €1.1bn with €0.3bn cap gains (business plan targets: €1.5bn in 3Y)
Further reduction by €1.0bn planned in FY16: €200m disposals in AFS stakes and ~750m BV of Ass.Generali (stake
from 13% to 10%)
Profitable investment (RoBV: 7%, ROAC: 23%)
Revenues/EPS stabilizer for MB Group
K-accretive (€220m revenues in FY15)
Source of capital (disposal of 3pp scheduled in
FY16)
19
Full year financial results by division as at 30/6/15
(€ m) Corporate & Private
Banking
Principal
Investing
Retail &
Consumer
Banking
Corporate centre Group
Net interest income 251 - 833 55 1,143
Net treasury income 182 30 - - 207
Net fee and commission income 343 - 175 9 472
Equity-accounted companies - 224 - - 224
Total income 776 254 1,008 64 2,045
Labour costs (230) (9) (158) (32) (419)
Administrative expenses (155) (2) (291) (25) (428)
Operating costs (385) (11) (448) (57) (847)
Gains (losses) on equity AFS 3 123 - - 126
Loan loss provisions (75) - (443) (15) (533)
Provisions for other financial assets - (21) - - (20)
Other income (losses) (3) - - (14) (14)
Profit before tax 316 345 116 (22) 757
Income tax for the period (123) (10) (36) 1 (164)
Minority interest - - - (3) (3)
Net profit 193 335 80 (24) 590
Treasury, AFS and HTM 16,828 1,085 9,213 139 14,777
Equity investments - 3,318 - - 3,411
Loans and advances to customers 25,121 - 15,512 2,761 32,890
of which to Group companies 10,015 - n.m. n.m. n.m.
Funding (39,034) - (23,731) (2,794) (42,711)
RWAs 33,376 11,672 12,160 2,370 59,577
No. of staff 1,034 * - 2,481 409 3,790
* Includes 134 staff employed by Banca Esperia pro-forma, not included in the Group total.
20
Business plan 2014/16: goals and actions
Reducing equity exposure and optimizing use of capital
Investing in banking businesses, chiefly in fee-generating and capital-light ones
Improving assets profitability, maintaining risk and quality control
Mediobanca aims to be:
a simpler, more valuable banking group
focused on three growing, highly specialized banking businesses
delivering a sustainable profitability over the cycle
by:
1
2
3
21
2016 main targets by division
Mediobanca Group
Principal
Investing (PI)
Retail and Consumer
Banking (RCB)
Corporate & Investment
Banking (CIB)
Retail banking
Consumer credit
MAAM1
Revenues €1bn, CAGR +10%
o/w 45% non-domestic
ROAC = 12-13%
Loans up to €11bn, CAGR +4%
ROAC = 13-14%
Reduce equity exposure by
€2bn o/w 3pp AG stake
Redeploy capital into banking
business
Revenues up to 15%
of Group banking
revenue in 5Y
Banking businesses Equity holding
Revenues €1bn, CAGR +7%
Chebanca! at break-even
ROAC = 10-11%
1) MAAM contribution not included in BP targets
Total deposits up to €14bn,
CAGR +5%
Direct deposits: from €12bn
to €10bn
AUM: from €1bn to €4bn
Asset Management
Private banking
Wholesale Banking
Enlarge customer base
Enhance international reach
Complete product mix
Reduce K needs
CMB: enhance distribution
and product range
Esperia: improve profitability,
cost management
Reduce equity exposure by €2bn
Resume banking revenues growth: €2.1bn, CAGR +10%
ROE up to 10-11%
CET1: 11-12%
Payout 40%
Mediobanca Group
22
Revenues, capital absorption and ROAC* trend by business
CIB
CheBanca!
Compass
PB/WM
-15%
-10%
-5%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
CIB * less K-intensive
* more international
* improving ROAC
Compass * manage leadership
* preserve ROAC
CheBanca! * establish leadership
* boost revenues
* reach breakeven
WM/PB * more K allocated
* higher contribution
* K absorbed = 8% RWAs
K absorption
ROAC
Last 3Y avg revenues Medium term revenue projection
MB Group
higher profitability
from smaller balance sheet
Growing and profitable banking businesses
23
Prices and performance at year end
Market performance (30/06/2012 - 10/08/2015)
Price (as at 10 August 2015): €9.75
52-week high: €9.9
52-week low : €6.0
No. of shares outstanding: 867m
Market Cap (as at 10 August 2015): €8,457m
Key market data
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
giu
-12
lug-1
2
ago-1
2
set-
12
ott
-12
nov-1
2
dic
-12
gen-1
3
feb-1
3
mar-
13
apr-
13
mag-1
3
giu
-13
lug-1
3
ago-1
3
set-
13
ott
-13
nov-1
3
dic
-13
gen-1
4
feb-1
4
mar-
14
apr-
14
mag-1
4
giu
-14
lug-1
4
ago-1
4
set-
14
ott
-14
nov-1
4
dic
-14
gen-1
5
feb-1
5
mar-
15
apr-
15
mag-1
5
giu
-15
lug-1
5
MB 180.7% EU Banks 75.2% ITA Banks 145.6%
30/06/12 30/06/13 30/06/14 30/06/15
Price (€) 3.5 4.0 7.3 8.8
Performance (%, to 30/06/15)
153.2% 119.9% 20.8% -
Market Cap (€m) 2,992 3,445 6,271 7,627
EPS (€) 0.09 neg. 0.54 0.68
DPS (€) 0.05 - 0.15 0.25
BVPS (€) 7.5 8.1 8.6 9.4
P/TBV 0.5x 0.5x 0.9x 1.0x
P/E 37.0x neg. 13.5x 12.9x