growing long term value through gift optimization strategies
DESCRIPTION
Implementing a sound long-term value plan through analytics, segmentation and continual testing gives organizations the insights they need to develop long term relationships with high value returns. Feeding America’s Philip Fertick and Paradysz’s Adam Hannah, Angelo Licursi and Patty Ruch shared their insights on finding Long Term Value at the 2014 New York Nonprofit Conference.TRANSCRIPT
Growing Long Term Value Through
Gift Optimization Strategies
Presenters
Angelo LicursiParadysz
Adam HannahParadysz
Philip FertickFeeding America
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Rising duplication rates along with soft performance have been contributing to a lower ROI and less revenue to fund mission.
The State of the Industry: Unbalanced
More nonprofits are competing for the same donor dollar.
Number of new donors down 3.2% in 2013 over prior year.
Number of acquisition campaigns is down 5% in 2013 after being down 3% in 2012.
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Number of acquisition campaigns is down 5% in 2013 after being down 3% in 2012.
Revenue per donor stats increased 3.6% with 82% of organizations reporting an increase in 2013.
Rising duplication rates along with soft performance have been contributing to a lower ROI and less revenue to fund mission.
More nonprofits are competing for the same donor dollar.
Number of new donors down 3.2% in 2013 over prior year.
Number of acquisition campaigns is down 5% in 2013 after being down 3% in 2012.
A More Balanced State
More nonprofits are competing for the same donor dollar.
Rising duplication rates along with soft performance have been contributing to a lower ROI and less revenue to fund mission.
Number of new donors down 3.2% in 2013 over prior year.
Viable 65+ audience – most responsive to direct mail.
Changes in organizational strategy have shifted emphasis to bottom line/ROI and improved donor quality.
Online donors and revenue steadily increasing over last 5 years – online gifts generally 2.5x larger than mail gifts.
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(Acquisition Net Revenue + Subsequent Net Revenue)
Acquisition DonorsLTV
Long Term Value (LTV) is the financial value of a donor relationship in future terms, generally 12 or 24 months from present.
“It is an indicator of how today’s investment decisions affect future revenue outcomes.”
LTV Definition
Cumulative Net Revenue over a set period of time
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In reviewing who your “best” donors are, many times organizations find that the initial acquisition gift level is a big predictor of high long term value and commitment.
The question becomes….How do I get more of them? And if I can’t get
high gift donors in acquisition, can I upgrade them in renewal?
LTV by Gift Level
($50.00) $0.00 $50.00 $100.00 $150.00 $200.00
$0-$14
$15-$19
$20-$24
$25-$34
$35-$49
$50-$99
$100+
12 Mo LTV - Net Rev/Donor
$0-$1417%
$15-$1916%
$20-$2442%
$25-$348%
$35-$498%
$50-$997%
$100+2%
Donors by Acq Gift Level
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HIGH GIFT DONORS COME FROM ALL ACQUISITION SOURCES.
The ability to separate high gift from low gift prospects for improved targeting
is a challenge for many organizations.
LTV by Gift Level: List Source
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
120%
List #1 List #2 List #3 List #4 List #5 List #6 List #7
$0-$14 $15-$19 $20-$24 $25-$34 $35-$49 $50-$99 $100+
New leadership from commercial sector
Increased scrutiny on Direct Mail
acquisition budget– Largest single expense source
Corporate giving overshadows DM due to
minimal cost of fundraising– Corporate food donors often become funds
donors – DM revenue is unrestricted – DM revenue creates steady stream of revenue
35%
62%
3%
Feeding America (2013)
73%
6%
14%
7%
Industry (2012)
Individuals Corporations
Foundations Other
Feeding America – Our Story
Significant growth of online channel
Online new donor metrics better than that of Direct Mail
initially…– Higher average gift– Ability to acquire new sustainers– Organic contributions further improve online metrics
Asked to invest more in digital than direct mail –
although digital not easily scalable
25%
75%
Digital Sourced DonorsDirect Mail Sourced Donors
Direct Mail vs. Online
CFO considers ROI at 12-month and 3-year views for
investment decisions
Became necessary to understand multi-channel LTV– Built acquisition tool to look at subsequent giving and true
ROI by donor source
Need to shift focus from channel metrics to overall new
donor metrics– Understand online attribution to offline
Investing more to test new channels
with lower costs – success with insert media
LTV and Investment Opportunities
Gift band analysis showed DM-sourced, higher average
gift donors performed better at 3-year LTV than online-
sourced
Goal to find higher value donors upfront
Mail Online$0
$100
$200
$300
$400
$500
$600
Lifetime Revenue by Origin Source
$10-$14 $15-$24 $25-$34 $35-$49$50-$99 $100-$249
LTV Analysis by Gift Band
Focus to increase LTV on Direct Mail acquisition program– A higher cost to acquire is not always bad!
Implemented strategies to improve response, lower costs and
increase average gift:– Shift in list selection based on LTV vs. Net Rev/Donor and Cost of
Acquisition (COA)– Shift to non-premium offer
to generate higher upfront gift– Ask array strategies by list– Gift optimization model
Shifted volume from labels/notepad to simple appeal
LTV Focus
Targeting High Gift
Donors & Prospects
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Targeted Offers/A
sks
Predictive
Segmentation
Marry gift modeling & segmentation techniques with targeted asks or offers that maximize the giving potential of each prospect.
Goal:
Strategy:
Improve prospect campaign performance and the overall quality of the donor acquired (LTV).
Gift Optimization: Acquisition
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HIGH $ MED $ LOW $0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
200
91 95
131
172
94
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FEEDING AMERICA GIFT OPTIMIZATION MODEL
RESP INDEX AVG $ INDEX
Combining demographic and lifestyle data variables with campaign response behavior leads to predictive model segmentation.
Gift Optimization: Model Development
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Key Differences Between “High Gift” and “Low Gift” prospects…
Recent Retirees: Ages 65-74 Married Male
Higher Income & Net Worth More likely to donate to Wildlife and Art causes
Older Retirees: Ages 75+ Single Female
Lower Income & Net Worth More likely to donate to Cancer, Children, or
Catholic causes
High Gift
Low Gift
Gift Optimization: Audience Profile
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Panel Audience Test: Open Ask
Test: High Ask #1
Test: High Ask #2
Control Ask
Control Random Nth 20,000 20,000 20,000 20,000
TestHigh Gift
Prospects20,000 20,000 20,000 20,000
TestMedium Gift Prospects
20,000 20,000
TestLow Gift
Prospects20,000
Total 40,000 60,000 80,000
Gift Optimization: Ask Array Testing
A CB D
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Gift Optimization: Ask Array TestingIn addition to the control ask array; two higher arrays and an open ask
were tested across audience segments.
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Panel AudienceTest: Open
AskTest: High
Ask #1Test: High
Ask #2Control
Ask
Control Random Nth $87 $126 $129 $120
TestHigh Gift
Prospects$127 $125 $167 $168
TestMedium Gift Prospects
$87 $140
TestLow Gift
Prospects $74
Panel AudienceTest: Open
AskTest: High
Ask #1Test: High
Ask #2Control
Ask
Control Random Nth $17.18 $29.46 $22.77 $20.30
TestHigh Gift
Prospects$51.28 $31.24 $32.05 $31.54
TestMedium Gift Prospects
$21.60 $24.90
TestLow Gift
Prospects $10.82
Gross Revenue/M
Average Gift
Gift Optimization: Results
A B C D
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“High Value” segments had a 20% increase in upgraded giving
compared to other donor segments receiving same offer.
Identify NPO’s best donors based on
fundraising value speed of upgrade to higher giving
levels.
Leverage past campaign performances and 3rd party data append to
develop a new donor segmentation strategy that predicts tomorrow’s “Best Donor” upgrade
candidates.
Build out an offer and ask array framework & test plan to increase giving in
“High Value” upgrade segments.
1 2 3
}GOALS• Increase the # of mid-level giving donors on file.
SCOPE & SOLUTION
RESULTS
Gift Optimization: Donor Upgrade
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Reviewing donor upgrade trends also highlighted Holiday/Year End giving
opportunities that could be maximized.
Higher ask array testing around this season is
recommended.
Gift Optimization: Timing
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• The recipe of receiving higher gifts from your prospects and donors requires all the ingredients…– Audience– Timing– Offer– Ask
• Define objective, test strategy & measurement upfront– Should include specific audience that is being targeted– Testing strategy should include creative, timing, offer and ask array
variables– Be very specific about the key performance metrics used to evaluate
success (ex. Avg Gift or # of upgraded donors)
Best Practices & Methodology
Thank you
Philip FertickDirector, Acquisition and New Media
Feeding America
Growing Long Term Value Through Gift Optimization Strategies
Angelo LicursiVice President, Research Advisory Services
Paradysz
Adam HannahDirector, Relationship Management
Paradysz