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Hale & Tempest Global Generics & Companies Chesapeake Dr. Brian W Tempest www.briantempest.com [email protected] UK March 2014

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Page 1: Hale & Tempest Global Generics & Companies Chesapeake Dr. Brian W Tempest  brian.tempest@clara.co.uk UK March 2014

Hale & Tempest

Global Generics & Companies

Chesapeake

Dr. Brian W Tempest

www.briantempest.com

[email protected]

UK

March 2014

Page 2: Hale & Tempest Global Generics & Companies Chesapeake Dr. Brian W Tempest  brian.tempest@clara.co.uk UK March 2014

Hale & Tempest

3. Global Generic

Marketplace

Page 3: Hale & Tempest Global Generics & Companies Chesapeake Dr. Brian W Tempest  brian.tempest@clara.co.uk UK March 2014

Hale & Tempest

Patent Thickets (for Perindopril)

Page 4: Hale & Tempest Global Generics & Companies Chesapeake Dr. Brian W Tempest  brian.tempest@clara.co.uk UK March 2014

Hale & Tempest

Branded Generics

Promotion to doctors rather than pharmacists Relevant to Central Europe, East Europe,

Latam, Asia Consistent sales year on year No huge highs & lows for sales and profits Need field force to promote products Tend to be profitable Promoted in conventional manner Global generic brands

Page 5: Hale & Tempest Global Generics & Companies Chesapeake Dr. Brian W Tempest  brian.tempest@clara.co.uk UK March 2014

Hale & Tempest

Niches

Injectables OTC - brands last forever NDDS - once a day technology Difficult Chemistry - hormones, penems, peptides Natural Products Fermentation technology Aerosols Implants Patches Branded generics Biosimilars Para 4 180 days USA exclusivity/first day EU launches

Page 6: Hale & Tempest Global Generics & Companies Chesapeake Dr. Brian W Tempest  brian.tempest@clara.co.uk UK March 2014

Hale & Tempest

Generic Global Volume Share Source: Sandoz

Page 7: Hale & Tempest Global Generics & Companies Chesapeake Dr. Brian W Tempest  brian.tempest@clara.co.uk UK March 2014

Hale & Tempest

Generics 35% Premium over last 10yearsSource: Societe Generale June 2013

Page 8: Hale & Tempest Global Generics & Companies Chesapeake Dr. Brian W Tempest  brian.tempest@clara.co.uk UK March 2014

Hale & Tempest

Generics versus Big Pharma

Page 9: Hale & Tempest Global Generics & Companies Chesapeake Dr. Brian W Tempest  brian.tempest@clara.co.uk UK March 2014

Hale & Tempest

Generic Profit Margin Profile in descending order source: Deutsche Bank July 2010

Page 10: Hale & Tempest Global Generics & Companies Chesapeake Dr. Brian W Tempest  brian.tempest@clara.co.uk UK March 2014

Hale & Tempest

Molecules - Cost of development

source: Societe Generale

Page 11: Hale & Tempest Global Generics & Companies Chesapeake Dr. Brian W Tempest  brian.tempest@clara.co.uk UK March 2014

Hale & Tempest

Global Pharma Market Size

Page 12: Hale & Tempest Global Generics & Companies Chesapeake Dr. Brian W Tempest  brian.tempest@clara.co.uk UK March 2014

Hale & Tempest

Global Pharma Spending 2011 to 2016

source: IMS 17 June 2013, Brand/Generic//Other

Page 13: Hale & Tempest Global Generics & Companies Chesapeake Dr. Brian W Tempest  brian.tempest@clara.co.uk UK March 2014

Hale & Tempest

66 Cos received WLs between 2010 and June 2013 with 8 from India source: Daily Mail 13 October 2013

Page 14: Hale & Tempest Global Generics & Companies Chesapeake Dr. Brian W Tempest  brian.tempest@clara.co.uk UK March 2014

Hale & Tempest

Generics - Rising Risk & Competition

Page 15: Hale & Tempest Global Generics & Companies Chesapeake Dr. Brian W Tempest  brian.tempest@clara.co.uk UK March 2014

Hale & Tempest

Patent Expiries to 2018 source: EvaluatePharma 2012

Page 16: Hale & Tempest Global Generics & Companies Chesapeake Dr. Brian W Tempest  brian.tempest@clara.co.uk UK March 2014

Hale & Tempest

Products Going Off Patent in 2015 $33bSource: Evaluate Pharma 14 February 2013

Page 17: Hale & Tempest Global Generics & Companies Chesapeake Dr. Brian W Tempest  brian.tempest@clara.co.uk UK March 2014

Hale & Tempest

Counterfeit Medicines source WHO fact sheet N275; India level at 3% Source IPF-WHO

Page 18: Hale & Tempest Global Generics & Companies Chesapeake Dr. Brian W Tempest  brian.tempest@clara.co.uk UK March 2014

Hale & Tempest

Generic Cos by Sales over last Decade

source: Citi Research August 2013

Page 19: Hale & Tempest Global Generics & Companies Chesapeake Dr. Brian W Tempest  brian.tempest@clara.co.uk UK March 2014

Hale & Tempest

Generic Cos – Operating Cash Flow

source: Citi Research August 2013

Page 20: Hale & Tempest Global Generics & Companies Chesapeake Dr. Brian W Tempest  brian.tempest@clara.co.uk UK March 2014

Hale & Tempest

4. Global Generic

Companies

Page 21: Hale & Tempest Global Generics & Companies Chesapeake Dr. Brian W Tempest  brian.tempest@clara.co.uk UK March 2014

Hale & Tempest

Top 21 Global Generic Companies Source 8 June 2012 Generics Bulletin 8/21

Page 22: Hale & Tempest Global Generics & Companies Chesapeake Dr. Brian W Tempest  brian.tempest@clara.co.uk UK March 2014

Hale & Tempest

Next 26 Global Generic Companies Source 8 June 2012 Generics Bulletin 8/26

Page 23: Hale & Tempest Global Generics & Companies Chesapeake Dr. Brian W Tempest  brian.tempest@clara.co.uk UK March 2014

Hale & Tempest

The Teva Future – Standing Still Source: RBC Capital 12 December 2012

Page 24: Hale & Tempest Global Generics & Companies Chesapeake Dr. Brian W Tempest  brian.tempest@clara.co.uk UK March 2014

Hale & Tempest

Teva Losing Control of Costs in the EU source: Teva June 2012

Page 25: Hale & Tempest Global Generics & Companies Chesapeake Dr. Brian W Tempest  brian.tempest@clara.co.uk UK March 2014

Hale & Tempest

Sandoz Sales 2012

source: Novartis, Generics Bulletin June 7 2013

Page 26: Hale & Tempest Global Generics & Companies Chesapeake Dr. Brian W Tempest  brian.tempest@clara.co.uk UK March 2014

Hale & Tempest

Actavis Sales Momentum Source: RBC 12 March 2013

Page 27: Hale & Tempest Global Generics & Companies Chesapeake Dr. Brian W Tempest  brian.tempest@clara.co.uk UK March 2014

Hale & Tempest

Actavis Sales Momentum Source: RBC 12 March 2013

Page 28: Hale & Tempest Global Generics & Companies Chesapeake Dr. Brian W Tempest  brian.tempest@clara.co.uk UK March 2014

Hale & Tempest

Actavis R&D Assets

source: Actavis Promotional Material before Warner Chilcott acquisition

Page 29: Hale & Tempest Global Generics & Companies Chesapeake Dr. Brian W Tempest  brian.tempest@clara.co.uk UK March 2014

Hale & Tempest

Actavis Manufacturing Assets

source: Actavis Promotional Material before Warner Chilcott acquisition

Page 30: Hale & Tempest Global Generics & Companies Chesapeake Dr. Brian W Tempest  brian.tempest@clara.co.uk UK March 2014

Hale & Tempest

Global footprint of Watson/Actavis

Page 31: Hale & Tempest Global Generics & Companies Chesapeake Dr. Brian W Tempest  brian.tempest@clara.co.uk UK March 2014

Hale & Tempest

Cash Acquisitions vs free cash flowsource: FT 19 February 2014

Page 32: Hale & Tempest Global Generics & Companies Chesapeake Dr. Brian W Tempest  brian.tempest@clara.co.uk UK March 2014

Hale & Tempest

Actavis is favoured by Investorssource: Daily Finance 21 January 2014

Page 33: Hale & Tempest Global Generics & Companies Chesapeake Dr. Brian W Tempest  brian.tempest@clara.co.uk UK March 2014

Hale & Tempest

Mylan Sales Momentum Source: RBC 12 March 2013

Page 34: Hale & Tempest Global Generics & Companies Chesapeake Dr. Brian W Tempest  brian.tempest@clara.co.uk UK March 2014

Hale & Tempest

Mylan Sales Momentum Source: RBC 12 March 2013

Page 35: Hale & Tempest Global Generics & Companies Chesapeake Dr. Brian W Tempest  brian.tempest@clara.co.uk UK March 2014

Hale & Tempest

Mylan acquires 9 plants source: FiercePharma February 2014

Page 36: Hale & Tempest Global Generics & Companies Chesapeake Dr. Brian W Tempest  brian.tempest@clara.co.uk UK March 2014

Hale & Tempest

Stada focus on Russia Source: Stada

Page 37: Hale & Tempest Global Generics & Companies Chesapeake Dr. Brian W Tempest  brian.tempest@clara.co.uk UK March 2014

Hale & Tempest

Stadasource: Jefferies March 2014

Page 38: Hale & Tempest Global Generics & Companies Chesapeake Dr. Brian W Tempest  brian.tempest@clara.co.uk UK March 2014

Hale & Tempest

Stadasource: Jefferies March 2014

Page 39: Hale & Tempest Global Generics & Companies Chesapeake Dr. Brian W Tempest  brian.tempest@clara.co.uk UK March 2014

Hale & Tempest

Sanofi Generics 2012 Source: Generics bulletin 15 February 2013

Page 40: Hale & Tempest Global Generics & Companies Chesapeake Dr. Brian W Tempest  brian.tempest@clara.co.uk UK March 2014

Hale & Tempest

Thank [email protected]

www.briantempest.com