hardwood growth and yield model (growth & yield 1.1.0) project report 2005 tim mcgrath rob...

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Hardwood Growth and Yield Model (Growth & Yield 1.1.0) Project Report 2005 Tim McGrath Rob O’Keefe Brad MacPhee

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Page 1: Hardwood Growth and Yield Model (Growth & Yield 1.1.0) Project Report 2005 Tim McGrath Rob O’Keefe Brad MacPhee

Hardwood Growth and Yield Model(Growth & Yield 1.1.0)

Project Report 2005

Tim McGrathRob O’KeefeBrad MacPhee

Page 2: Hardwood Growth and Yield Model (Growth & Yield 1.1.0) Project Report 2005 Tim McGrath Rob O’Keefe Brad MacPhee

Hardwood GNY Model

Computer model Predicts yields of even-aged single species

hardwood stands Compare results of managed vs unmanaged Help prescribe treatment timing and

intensity

Page 3: Hardwood Growth and Yield Model (Growth & Yield 1.1.0) Project Report 2005 Tim McGrath Rob O’Keefe Brad MacPhee

CFRU Deliverables

Re-measurement of Hardwood PSPsCompleted 2004

Refinement of Hardwood GNY ModelCompleted 2005

User Manual/Model descriptionDraft 2005

Page 4: Hardwood Growth and Yield Model (Growth & Yield 1.1.0) Project Report 2005 Tim McGrath Rob O’Keefe Brad MacPhee

Hardwood GNY 1.1.0

Items to Cover:Model DevelopmentDemonstrationApplication

Page 5: Hardwood Growth and Yield Model (Growth & Yield 1.1.0) Project Report 2005 Tim McGrath Rob O’Keefe Brad MacPhee

Development

Objectives:Refit existing growth function to a PSP database

that has nearly doubled in size since 1997

Investigate updating existing or developing new functions to better capture species group and site class variation

Page 6: Hardwood Growth and Yield Model (Growth & Yield 1.1.0) Project Report 2005 Tim McGrath Rob O’Keefe Brad MacPhee

Development HighlightsThe Data

Key Classifications:Treatment, Species Group, Site Index

Page 7: Hardwood Growth and Yield Model (Growth & Yield 1.1.0) Project Report 2005 Tim McGrath Rob O’Keefe Brad MacPhee

Dev

elop

men

t Hig

hlig

hts

The

Mod

el 2005 Hardwood Growth and Yield ModelFlow diagram of primary functions:

Page 8: Hardwood Growth and Yield Model (Growth & Yield 1.1.0) Project Report 2005 Tim McGrath Rob O’Keefe Brad MacPhee

Development HighlightsExample: Manage Stand Diameter Function (F18)

Species Group Incorporation

TD as ƒ(SIB,TBA,Species Group)

Model:

251410 32 DVDVeSIBTD TBASIB

Page 9: Hardwood Growth and Yield Model (Growth & Yield 1.1.0) Project Report 2005 Tim McGrath Rob O’Keefe Brad MacPhee

Eva

luat

ion

Res

ults

2005 Hardwood Growth and Yield Model 1997 and 2005 Model Performance Comparison:

TolerantGroup

IntolerantGroup

AspenGroup

Page 10: Hardwood Growth and Yield Model (Growth & Yield 1.1.0) Project Report 2005 Tim McGrath Rob O’Keefe Brad MacPhee

Demonstration

Single Run Mode Input

The 7 steps, Help Output

Definitions, Graphing

Batch Mode Input

Text files Output

Text, HTML

Page 11: Hardwood Growth and Yield Model (Growth & Yield 1.1.0) Project Report 2005 Tim McGrath Rob O’Keefe Brad MacPhee

Hardwood GNY 1.1.0Input

Page 12: Hardwood Growth and Yield Model (Growth & Yield 1.1.0) Project Report 2005 Tim McGrath Rob O’Keefe Brad MacPhee

Hardwood GNY 1.1.0Output

Page 13: Hardwood Growth and Yield Model (Growth & Yield 1.1.0) Project Report 2005 Tim McGrath Rob O’Keefe Brad MacPhee

Hardwood GNY 1.1.0Output

Page 14: Hardwood Growth and Yield Model (Growth & Yield 1.1.0) Project Report 2005 Tim McGrath Rob O’Keefe Brad MacPhee

Application Samples

Pre-commercial Thinning spacing Commercial Thinning timing Commercial Thinning vs no treatment

Page 15: Hardwood Growth and Yield Model (Growth & Yield 1.1.0) Project Report 2005 Tim McGrath Rob O’Keefe Brad MacPhee

Pre-Commercial Spacing?

8’x8’6’x6’

6” Dbh

4” Dbh

Page 16: Hardwood Growth and Yield Model (Growth & Yield 1.1.0) Project Report 2005 Tim McGrath Rob O’Keefe Brad MacPhee

Commercial Thinning Timing?(Pre-commercial Thin@ 20 to 8’)

Thin@35 Thin@50

Page 17: Hardwood Growth and Yield Model (Growth & Yield 1.1.0) Project Report 2005 Tim McGrath Rob O’Keefe Brad MacPhee

Commercial Thinning or Not?

Thin@60&85

Page 18: Hardwood Growth and Yield Model (Growth & Yield 1.1.0) Project Report 2005 Tim McGrath Rob O’Keefe Brad MacPhee

Growth & Yield 1.1.0

Download modelhttp://www.gov.ns.ca/natr/forestry/gny2004/gro

wthandyield.htm

CommentsTim McGrath NSDNR (902) 893-5683 [email protected]