harvard presentation
TRANSCRIPT
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The Future
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The Futureof
Interaction
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Different Life CyclesRequire a Different Kind of Programming
- Users- Content- Display- Furniture- Interior- Sensors- Shell
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Fantasy
Technology Practicality
Drivers
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Fantasy
Media Shape Our Vision
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Fantasy
But They Shape a Different Visionfor Each Generation
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Machine as Point Solution
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Man vs. Machine
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Man Orchestrates immersive Computation
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Man and Machine Are One
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- Boomers build telecom backbone and invests in platforms. - Gen X builds WWW on top
- Gen Y Builds Social Computing
It takes 10-20 years to build a new technology platform
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Each Generationhas a different vision
of the Future
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Here is How 40 Year olds at MicrosoftSees 2019 Today
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Aweful Cool,But Theyre Stuckon the Holodeck.
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In the future,there isnt a difference between
the user and the system.
The people building it grew up in the Matrix.
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Its Minority Report vs.
Avatar
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Fantasy
Technology Practicality
Drivers
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Technology
Materials and DistributionShape Whats Possible
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Sensor Network Processing NetworkTrigger Display
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Now- Mobile Computing- Location Aware Apps- Tablet PCs
2-5 Years- Intenet TV- Social Software- Video Telepresence- Online Video- Public Virtual Worlds- Cloud Computing- SOA
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5-10 Years
- 3D Flat-Panel Displays- Context Delivery Architecture- Video Search- Surface Computers- Augmented Reality- Personal Monitoring
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Always On the Horizon
- Wireless Power- Case-level RFID- Speech Recognition- Mesh/Ad Hoc Networks
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Sensing
Sensor Network Processing NetworkTrigger Display
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1 MP Digital Camera
Era Cost1994-95 $10,000 2010 $1-3 2020 ?
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Types of Sensing
3DVisionMotionSound
RFCapacitance/Resistance
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What This Means
It will cost very little for materials to be aware.
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Key Trade Off
Installation vs. Security vs. Lifespan
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Processing
Sensor Network Processing NetworkTrigger Display
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Rendering Toystory
Era Computer Hours Cost1994-95 800,000 $20,000,0002010 12.5 $42020 5 Seconds $.02
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What This Means
We can compute really fastor really energy efficiently.
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Key Trade Off
Speed vs. Heat
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Network
Sensor Network Processing NetworkTrigger Display
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Display
Era Cost1994-95 $10,000 2010 $4502020 ?
42 Display
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Types of DisplayASS
PlasmaLCDLED
OLEDBistable
Roll to RollEmissive Materials
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Types of Display
Autostereoscopic
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Types of Display
Roll to Roll
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What This Means
Order of magnitude price drop in electronics and lighting cost.
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Key Trade Off
electronics vs. light vs. mechanical
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Network
Sensor Network Processing NetworkTrigger Display
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Network
Era Speed1994-95 56k 2010 1.5 Mbps2020 2.5 GBps
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Types of Network
Wired vs. Wireless
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What This Means
Streaming Realtime Media
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Key Trade Off
Wiredcost/time of install/upgrade vs. speed
WirelessSpeed vs. Concrete
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The Future is Here
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It Just Isnt Evenly Distributed
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Interface still existsin frames
Today system is aware of actions.
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Tomorrow, the system is aware of users
Technology isnt on the walls.It is the walls.
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Its Minority Report vs.
Avatar
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Fantasy
Technology Practicality
Drivers
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It will cost very little for materials to be aware.
We can compute really fastor really energy efficiently.
Order of magnitude price drop in video electronics and lighting cost.
Streaming Realtime, interactive Media
The Future of Interaction
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Different Life CyclesRequire a Different Kind of Programming
- Users- Content- Display- Furniture- Interior- Sensors- Shell
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This Makes Strange Things Happen
Physical Environment Modelled in Virtual Environment
Light = VideoVideo = Surface Finish
Sound = PartitionsSensors = User-centered Environments
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So, What Do We Need to Invent for You?
Physical Environment Modelled in Virtual Environment
Light = VideoVideo = Surface Finish
Sound = PartitionsSensors = User-centered Environments