hazard and risk assessment. today’s session 1.taking a look at hazard and risk assessment. 2....
TRANSCRIPT
HAZARD AND RISK ASSESSMENT
Today’s Session
1. Taking a look at hazard and risk assessment.
2.Definitions.
3. What hazard and risk management does for
us.
4.Risk treatment.
5.Round off with some practice.
6.Information is Standards and Advisory
Circular based.2
Is there a Purpose – or Just More Buzz Words?
TO REDUCE UNCERTAINTY and AVOID CRISIS
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RECRIMINATIONSUNPLANNED COST
ADVERSE PUBLICITY
TRIAL BY MEDIA
ACCOUNTABILITY in LAW
What is Driving Hazard and Risk Assessment?
Piper Alpha oil rig disaster167 people lost their livesSystemic failure (planning)Human factors/fallibility
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Why Bring Hazard and Risk Assessment To Aviation?
1. Aircraft accident rate has plateaued 2. Many more aircraft flying = more accidents3. Technology is extremely reliable4. Focus on systems and human performance5. Good for triple bottom line6. Business becomes predictable7. Society is driving accountability
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Santiago Airport One Month After March 2010 Earthquake
Nairobi Airport Terminal Fire
What is a Hazard?
Hazard Definition (CAANZ)An object or condition with the potential to:• Cause injuries to personnel• Cause damage to equipment or structures• Cause loss of material• Reduce ability to perform a prescribed function
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Charles de Gaulle Design Failure
What is Risk?Risk Definition (CAANZ)The effect of uncertainty on objectives, resulting in a deviation from the expected.
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Objective:We want more sun on the deck…….!!!
Effect!
Uncertainty
Deviation
ExpectedTree lies here
Outcome: Great sun…. No House!!
Hazard Assessment 101
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What does hazard assessment enable PNAL to do?
1. Increase the likelihood of achieving objectives
2.Consider and plan to identify and treat risk
3. Improve the identification of opportunities and
threats
4. Improve on existing controls, be confident in their
effectiveness
5.Enhance your health and safety performance and
environmental protection
6. Improve organisational resilience (recover quickly)
What is Risk Management?
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Coordinated activities to direct and control an organisation, with regard to risk.
1. Set of standard principles and guidelines
2.Creates and protects value
3. Integral to the organisation ‘whole of operation’
4. Part of decision making
5. Clearly and in detail addresses uncertainty
6.Systematic, structured and timely
What is Risk Management?
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7. Based on best available information
8.Tailored to suit each organisation
9. Takes account of human and cultural factors
10.Is transparent and inclusive
11.Is dynamic, iterative (applied repeatedly)
and responsive to change
12.Facilitates continual improvement
Risk Management Simplified
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Put simply, an event, or series of events that:
• Generate an outcome
• Have consequences (positive or negative)
• Have a value of likelihood of occurring
• Something needs to be done
• Are managed through development and
implementation of control measures
A ‘Cycle of Managing’
Threat Management Criteria
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Increasing Expertise Required
Low hazard threat or simple process
High hazard threat or complex process
Operations people – observe, assess risk, make changes, hazard report.
Expert Team – define objectives, budget, analysis, procedures, reporting, implementation, monitoring
What is Risk Treatment?
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1. The process of modifying identified risks
2.Risk treatment can involve:
i. Not starting an activity
ii. Taking risk to pursue opportunity
iii. Remove risk source
iv. Changing likelihood
v. Changing the consequences
vi. Share risk with another party
vii. Retain risk by informed decision
BUT REMEMBER – risk treatment can create new
risks or modify existing risks = awareness!!
What Risk Management Isn’t…
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It is not a scatter gun attempt to cover all eventualities……
to the point where no one takes any notice of anything!
1. The aim is to be able to generate a comprehensive list of risks.
2. Including risks associated with not pursuing opportunities.
3. Important words:• Significant – extensive or important enough
to merit attention• Consequences – result or effect (good and
bad)• Likelihood – the chance of something
happening• Severity – the level to which something
happens4. Identify origin, probability, magnitude of
risks and action to take.
Risk Summary
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When in Doubt – STOP - Stay Cool and THINK!!!
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Let’s Try to Identify the Risks
Scenario:
Normal business at Palmerston North Airport, as the result of an earthquake doing long term damage to Wellington Airport’s runway.
Delays and Cancellations
Traffic Chaos
Congestion
Unplanned R and M
Adverse Publicity
Frustration/Anger