health earth: health for all on a single planet
TRANSCRIPT
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Institutional co-founders (to date)
Australia: Univ CanberraCanada: Victoria Univ
Finland: Univ OuluUK: Univ Liverpool
Strathclyde UniMalaysia: UNU International
Institute Global HealthNew Zealand: Massey UniUSA: Univ Cal San Diego
Univ Washington
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Kenneth Boulding (1910-93)
The Economics of the coming Spaceship Earth (1966)
“the only person who believes in perpetual economic growth is either a
madman or an economist”
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• Modelled world economy and environment
– Many scenarios modelled from 1900 to 2100
– Most lead to “overshoot and collapse”
• Widely believed to forecast resource scarcity and collapse by year 2000
– leading to false claims that it was wrong
Club of Rome’s Limits to Growth 1972
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A/Prof Colin D Butler ([email protected]) National Centre for Epidemiology and Population Health Australian National
University, Australia
Three wise epidemiologists Nikko Toshogu Shinto Shrine, Tokyo.
Photo: Rangaku 1976, 2008
Limits to growth and public health: where is environmental epidemiology?
APOLOGIES: future generations
23rd ISEE meeting, Barcelona,
September, 2011
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Planetary BoundariesA safe operating space
or humanity
Steffen et al, 2015
What does this mean for society? And for health?
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Integrated Science for Sustainable Transitionshttp://www.iiasa.ac.at/web/home/about/events/
150428-IGBP.html
State of the art lecture on sustainability science.. Yet nothing on health (including in Future Earth)
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Emerging issue in global health curricula but far too
little, given topic’s importance
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Towards:
“eco-social” determinants of health
Focus on either social or ecological often incomplete – need to see the inter-relationships, otherwise policy solution lacking
Health issue Illustrative determinant
social ecological
rural suicide indebtedness drought
conflict in Yemen “political” water scarcity
Rwandan genocide 1994
ethnic tension, “youth bulge”
fertile land scarcity
ebola in West Africa poor health services, poverty deforestation
heatstroke poverty, vulnerability global warming
famine, undernutrition discrimination, lack of “entitlement”
aquifer depletion, climate change
migration government policy, poverty, oppression
flooding - sea level rise, worse storms, or both
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Damascus, 2014. Line for food aid from UN Relief and Works Agency in a great city - large parts of which have been destroyed by civil war, along with basic food supply infrastructure
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Former PM John Howard (2013):
quoted as "compelling" one of Mr Lawson's claims .. that unmitigated warming would leave future generations 8.4 times better off, compared with 9.4 times richer in the absence of climate change
In other words – nothing to worry about
complete dismissal of thresholds, “dangerous” or – worse - “runaway” CC
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raise substantial funds
creativelyteach and train
publish and advocate
collaborate within and across disciplines
aims
Make these issues far more visible in the the global health agenda
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Wael Al-Delaimy* Univ California San Diego1,2
Sir Harry Burns* Strathclyde Uni former chief medical officer Scotland1,3
Colin Butler* Univ Canberra1,2,4,5,6,
Tony Capon* UN Univ Int’l Institute for Global Health – director1,3,7
Kristie Ebi^ Uni Washington1,2,4,6
Trevor Hancock*, Victoria Univ, 1st leader Canadian Green Party1,3
Jouni Jaakola* Univ Oulo, WHO Collaborating Centre Glob Envtl Change1,2
Andy Morse^ Univ Liverpool Centre for Infection and Global Health6
John Potter * Massey Univ, Univ Washington (emeritus Prof) former director Public Health Sciences division, Fred Hutchison Cancer Institute Seattle3
1. Global Health2. International Society for Environmental Epidemiology
3. Public Health4. Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change
5. Millennium Ecosystem Assessment6. Earth System Science Partnership
7. International Council for ScienceOther expertise includes medicine (*), climate science (^)
Individual co-founders/ expertise/ links/ distinctions (selected)
Collaborations with low-income settings and capacity building
recognised as a priority
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http://www.saskwind.ca/blogbackend/2014/9/17/wind-solar-cost-declines-renewables-growth