heg limitedhegltd.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/intimation of...incl arcelormittal, nucor, posco,...
TRANSCRIPT
PROUD TO BE INDIAN PRIVILEGED TO BE GLOBAL
HEGSECTT2018 23rd November 2018
1 ESE Limited 2 National Stock Exchange of India Limited 25th Floor P JTowers Exchange Plaza 5th Floor Dalal Street Plot NoCl G Block Bandra - Kurla Complex MUMBAI - 400 001 Bandra (E) Scrip Code 509631 MUMBAI - 400 051
Scrip Code HEG
Reg Intimation of Schedule of Analyst I Institutional Investor Meeting and a Presentation to be made at the Investors meet under the SEEI (Listing Obligations and Disclosure Requirements) Regulations 2015
Dear Sirs
Pursuant to Regulation 30 of the SEBI (Listing Obligations and Disclosure Requirements) Regulations 2015 we wish to inform you that Senior Management of the Company is scheduled to meet Analysts I Investors from 29th November 2018 to 30th November 2018 at Hongkong as organized by Bank of America Merill Lynch
The schedule is subject to changes due to any exigencies on behalf of the Investors or the Company
We would like to inform further that the presentation to be made in the aforesaid meeting is attached herewith for your reference
The same is also being uploaded on the Company website ie wwwhegltdcom
We request you to kindly take the same on record
Thanking you
Yours faithfully For H EG Limited
heginvestorlnjbhilwaracom
Encl as above
HEG LIMITED Corporate Office Regd Office
Bhilwara Towers A-12 Sector-1 Mandideep (Near Bhopal) Distt Raisen - 462046 Noida shy 201 301 (NCR-Delhi) India (Madhya Pradesh) India
Tel +91-120-4390300 (EPABX) Tel +91-7480-405500 233524 to 233527 Fax +91-120-4277841 Fax +91-7480-233522
Website wwwlnjbhilwaracom Website wwwhegltdcom
Corporate Identification No L23109MP1972PLC008290 1
0 April 2018
November 2018 Investor Presentation
2
1
HEG is part of LNJ Bhilwara group a diversified reputed and large Indian business house having more than five decades of industrial experience and presence in
Textiles Graphite Electrodes
Power Generation amp
Power Consultancy IT Enabled Services
3
2
Nationwide Presence
Listed Companies
bull HEG Limited
bull RSWM Limited
bull Maral Overseas Limited
bull BSL Limited
bull BTTL Limited
Plants amp Office Locations
bull Group has 5 of its companies listed on Indian Stock
Exchanges with over one million stakeholders
bull Corporate office amp Production units at 37 locations
with over 25000 workforce
LNJ Group - Key Financials 2017-18
Turnover USD 1242 mn
Net Fixed Assets USD 673 mn
Networth USD 894 mn
EBITDA USD 382 mn
4
3
Worldrsquos Largest Single Site Graphite Electrode Plant ndash 80000 MT per annum
5
4 4
Highlights
bull 1977 - Established in Financial (appx 25 equity) Technical
participation of Pechiney France
bull 1992 - Pechiney sold their Graphite business to SGL Germany
amp Indian Promoters bought these shares in HEG
bull 1995 2011 ndash Kept expanding from 10000 mt in small tranches
amp in 2011 took a quantum leap from 60000 to 80000 mt
bull Single largest Graphite plant in the world under one roof
bull Consistently exporting appx 65-70 of production to more than
30 countries and to more than 100 customers around the world
incl ArcelorMittal Nucor Posco Tata Sail Jindals Sabic
Gerdau Ferroatlantica Celsa etc
bull Possibility to expand to 100000 mt in 18-24 months at a small
investment
6
5
Graphite Electrode (GE) Industry ndash Our Unique Strengths
bull GE- An indispensable material for Electric Arc Furnaces (EAF) for
Steel production
bull EAF accounts for appx 45 of total World Steel Production (Without
China)
bull High Entry Barrier ndash HEG the last new entrant in the world -1977
bull Uses 100 Captive Power
bull State of the art manufacturing facility ndash due to constant expansions
amp investments
bull Capable of producing 100 UHP Electrodes
bull Facilities suitable for manufacturing up to 32rdquo electrodes
7
6
bull RampD set up to corroborate the
Quality amp Improvement Drives
with small scale production
facilities
bull The focus is also on development
of new product lines
bull Development is focused towards
Carbon
RampD Center
8
7
Capacity Build Up
100
80
66
52
30
14
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
2009 1990 2006 2002 2011 2020
777777
44
14
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
2002 2006 2020 2009 2011
Graphite Electrode (In 000 tonne)
Captive Power (MW) (In 000 tonne)
Probable
9
8
EAF Steel
10
9
Global EAF steel production
0
100
200
300
400
500
2012
2006
1993
1997
2001
1989
1998
2003
2004
1990
1988
1992
2005
2008
2009
1987
1994
2002
1999
1991
1995
2011
2000
2018
2017
-2
8-10
1996
2013
2014
2015
2016
2010
2007
35
1984
1986
1985
Source WSA
bull EAF steel production grew at the CAGR of 35 from 1984-2011
bull Due to financial meltdown in 2009 and sudden surge of large BOF capacity built in China between 2010-15 EAF
steel production dropped at the CAGR of 2 amp now started to grow at the rate of about 8-10 from 2016 onwards
11
10
EAF World Production ndashWithout China amp China
Source WSA
Figures in mmt 66 71 65 57 54 47 52 75
100
160 175
353 373 366 301 356
383 383 372 380 360 366
398 415
432 449
9
2011
12
2009 2006 2020 2013 2018(P) 2012 2010 2007 2008 2014
6
2015
6
2016 2017
20 21
2022
+11
134 China EAF EAF World wo China of EAF China
The estimates between 2018 amp 2022 are taken at growth rate of 3 per annum for rest of the world Additional EAF capacity of 110 mmt between 2016 and 2020 would mean an additional demand of appx 275000 mt of GE in China Which may further go
upto 310000 mt by 2022 There could be a window of opportunity for companies like us to export electrodes to china in this period as new electrode capacities in china would take
longer time to come up than steel capacity 12
11 HEG Ltd copy LNJ Bhilwara Group
This year the application of the restriction will be more rigid amp strict amp have been
advanced from 1 Oct to 31 Mar compared to 15 Oct to 15 Mar last year
Export of Steel is likely to keep falling in near future
China likely to add around 200 million tons scrap per annum for the next few
years
In order to discourage export of scrap they have imposed a 40 export duty
Central Government has given limits on Environment and if limits are breached
Governors will be removed
50 of Chinese steel is produced within 700-800 kms radius of Beijing
Blue Sky Policy
Chinese Government is taking air pollution control measures seriously
13
12 HEG Ltd copy LNJ Bhilwara Group
China is in the fifth year of a ldquowar on pollutionrdquo
2017 environment control was not very serious ndash being first year allowed 60-
65 capacity utilization against 50 orders but this year it will be much more
stringent amp the impact may be higher
Last year Environmental Policy affected 28 cities within China this year more
than 80 cities may be affected
EAF carbon emissions is 86 less than BOF gas amp 72 less than BOF solid gas
Chinarsquos Hebei Province Gets Tough on Steel Mills to Meet Low Emissions
Targets until 31 Octrsquo18 in case of failure to meet the targets companies will be
ordered to shut down
Two Chinese Cities of Hebei Province Set to Observe 50 Production Cuts
during Winter Heating Season
China Pollution Crack Down
14
13
Chinarsquos Steel Capacity outlook 2018
bull Capacity reduction ahead of expectations net capacity reduction
achieved 115 mmt vs 150 mmt target The balance is expected
to close down in this year
bull Additional ~155 mmt illegal induction furnace capacity closed
bull Many of these is being replaced by new electric arc furnaces
bull 105 new EAFs with capacity of 66 mmt have been installed or
commenced construction in China in 2017
bull Steel replacement policy in favour of EAF v BF New measure
requires capacity replacement in Beijing and 6 other provinces to
keep the ratio at 1251 level or more For other regions the ratio
become higher than 11 effectively reducing steel capacity
bull As per CISA China steel capacity to be brought below 1 bn mt
by 2025
IFs capacity closure in Major Regions
Source ndash WSA 15
14 HEG Ltd copy LNJ Bhilwara Group
74
58
76
65
70
68
70
65
51
50
47
49
57
65
69
69
58
59
60
May
Jan
Feb
Apr
Mar
Jun
Aug
Jul
Sep
Oct
CY17
CY 18
Monthly Chinese Exports in MnT
Chinese Steel Exports Further Down 11 Y-o-Y Jan-Seprsquo18
CY-14
112
CY-17 CY-15 CY-16 CY-18 (e)
70
93
108
76
China Steel Exports
(MT)
Annualized based on 8 months actuals
16
15
Chinese Steel Exports
10801120 120
100
20
0
50
80
40
60
40
30
20
10
00
MT
CY17
756
CY16 CY15 CY14
930
EU (28) Africa Middle-East World USA India
Fall of gt50 in
most geographies
from CY15 levels
bull In Jan-Sep 2018 it further fell down to annualized 70 million tons
Exhibit 1 Chinese steel exports have fallen sharply in CY17
Source Bloomberg Centrum Research 17
16 16
Conclusion on EAF Steel
EAF Steel production is expected to grow at a faster
pace compared to BOF because of following reasons
bull Replacement of Induction furnaces amp polluting blast
furnaces in China by EAFs
bull EAF Share in China to grow from 6 in 2016 to 20 in
2020
bull Chinese scrap availability to increase at the CAGR of 4
(approx 200 million tons scrap per annum) for the next
20-25 years facilitating growth of EAF
bull Continuous increase in share of EAF in rest of the world
due to pollution concerns on BOF and less capital
intensive nature of EAFs
bull As Chinarsquos steel exports keep dropping the Rest of the
World Steel production keeps increasing where EAF
accounts for 45 of Steel Production
18
17
Graphite Electrode (GE) Industry
19
18
Industry Overview ndash Indiarsquos Rising Share (wo China amp Russia)
0
20
40
60
33
14
30
3
23
32 32
23
54
0
26
Graftech SGL Japan
32
India
2010 1990 2017
20
19
GE Capacity Evolution (wo China amp Russia)
S No Company Name 2010 2014 2017 No of plants
1 SDK 105 105 225 5
2 Tokai 100 100 95 4
3 NCK SEC 60 60 60 2
Sub-Total Japan (A) 265 265 380 11
4 Graftech 245 185 167 3
5 SGL 230 180 0 0
Sub-Total USEurope (B) 475 365 167 3
Sub-Total ( A + B ) 740 630 547 14
6 HEG 60 80 80 1
7 GIL 60 98 98 4
Sub-Total India (C) 120 178 178 5
Grand Total 860 808 725 19
Total of 7 plants closed between 2010 amp 2016 in USA Canada Brazil Germany Italy amp South Africa 21
20
GE Industry Development
7 GE plants got closed
between 2010 and 2016 20
of world capacity due to
demand supply imbalance
Currently 19 plants in 15
countries comprising 725000
tons capacity are working at
85-90 capacity utilization amp
are unable to cope with the
additional demand due to rise
in EAF steel production
causing shooting up of GE
prices
Almost 300000 tons of
inefficientpolluting GE
capacity in China has been
shut down thereby causing
shortage of GE within China amp
reduction of Chinese exports
further contributing to price
rise of GE
22
21 21
Needle Coke Scenario
bull Needle coke is the main raw material for GE production amp is very critical
for the growth of GE industry
bull Due to excess capacity of needle coke in the recent past some of the
needle coke producers have been trying to find a new application for coke
in the Lithium Ion batteries
bull In the last couple of years needle coke has been successfully used in this
application and a reasonably large part of needle coke is now being used in
China in Lithium Ion batteries
bull With the sudden increase in demand of GE needle coke availability has
become a bottleneck
bull All Global GE manufacturers are not able to operate beyond 85-90 capacity
utilization
bull One of the largest producers of needle coke is debottlenecking its capacity
enabling them to increase its production by around 50-60000 mt
bull This is likely to be on stream in the 2nd half of 2018 and should help the
Graphite Industry to some extend for short term Q4 2018 onwards
23
22
Financial Snapshot
Jul-Sep 2018 (Quarterly)
Apr-Jun 2018 (Quarterly)
Jul-Sep 2017 (Quarterly)
Aprrsquo17-Marrsquo18 (Annually)
REVENUE 1794 1587 410 2758
EBITDA 1389 1197 192 1734
EBITDA Margin 7657 75 4666 63
EBIT 1371 1180 174 1661
EBIT Margin 76 74 43 60
PAT 889 770 114 1081
PAT Margin 50 49 28 39
EPS 22245 19277 2844 27061
in Rs Crore (except EPS)
EBITDA includes Other Income
24
23
Thank You
25
0 April 2018
November 2018 Investor Presentation
2
1
HEG is part of LNJ Bhilwara group a diversified reputed and large Indian business house having more than five decades of industrial experience and presence in
Textiles Graphite Electrodes
Power Generation amp
Power Consultancy IT Enabled Services
3
2
Nationwide Presence
Listed Companies
bull HEG Limited
bull RSWM Limited
bull Maral Overseas Limited
bull BSL Limited
bull BTTL Limited
Plants amp Office Locations
bull Group has 5 of its companies listed on Indian Stock
Exchanges with over one million stakeholders
bull Corporate office amp Production units at 37 locations
with over 25000 workforce
LNJ Group - Key Financials 2017-18
Turnover USD 1242 mn
Net Fixed Assets USD 673 mn
Networth USD 894 mn
EBITDA USD 382 mn
4
3
Worldrsquos Largest Single Site Graphite Electrode Plant ndash 80000 MT per annum
5
4 4
Highlights
bull 1977 - Established in Financial (appx 25 equity) Technical
participation of Pechiney France
bull 1992 - Pechiney sold their Graphite business to SGL Germany
amp Indian Promoters bought these shares in HEG
bull 1995 2011 ndash Kept expanding from 10000 mt in small tranches
amp in 2011 took a quantum leap from 60000 to 80000 mt
bull Single largest Graphite plant in the world under one roof
bull Consistently exporting appx 65-70 of production to more than
30 countries and to more than 100 customers around the world
incl ArcelorMittal Nucor Posco Tata Sail Jindals Sabic
Gerdau Ferroatlantica Celsa etc
bull Possibility to expand to 100000 mt in 18-24 months at a small
investment
6
5
Graphite Electrode (GE) Industry ndash Our Unique Strengths
bull GE- An indispensable material for Electric Arc Furnaces (EAF) for
Steel production
bull EAF accounts for appx 45 of total World Steel Production (Without
China)
bull High Entry Barrier ndash HEG the last new entrant in the world -1977
bull Uses 100 Captive Power
bull State of the art manufacturing facility ndash due to constant expansions
amp investments
bull Capable of producing 100 UHP Electrodes
bull Facilities suitable for manufacturing up to 32rdquo electrodes
7
6
bull RampD set up to corroborate the
Quality amp Improvement Drives
with small scale production
facilities
bull The focus is also on development
of new product lines
bull Development is focused towards
Carbon
RampD Center
8
7
Capacity Build Up
100
80
66
52
30
14
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
2009 1990 2006 2002 2011 2020
777777
44
14
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
2002 2006 2020 2009 2011
Graphite Electrode (In 000 tonne)
Captive Power (MW) (In 000 tonne)
Probable
9
8
EAF Steel
10
9
Global EAF steel production
0
100
200
300
400
500
2012
2006
1993
1997
2001
1989
1998
2003
2004
1990
1988
1992
2005
2008
2009
1987
1994
2002
1999
1991
1995
2011
2000
2018
2017
-2
8-10
1996
2013
2014
2015
2016
2010
2007
35
1984
1986
1985
Source WSA
bull EAF steel production grew at the CAGR of 35 from 1984-2011
bull Due to financial meltdown in 2009 and sudden surge of large BOF capacity built in China between 2010-15 EAF
steel production dropped at the CAGR of 2 amp now started to grow at the rate of about 8-10 from 2016 onwards
11
10
EAF World Production ndashWithout China amp China
Source WSA
Figures in mmt 66 71 65 57 54 47 52 75
100
160 175
353 373 366 301 356
383 383 372 380 360 366
398 415
432 449
9
2011
12
2009 2006 2020 2013 2018(P) 2012 2010 2007 2008 2014
6
2015
6
2016 2017
20 21
2022
+11
134 China EAF EAF World wo China of EAF China
The estimates between 2018 amp 2022 are taken at growth rate of 3 per annum for rest of the world Additional EAF capacity of 110 mmt between 2016 and 2020 would mean an additional demand of appx 275000 mt of GE in China Which may further go
upto 310000 mt by 2022 There could be a window of opportunity for companies like us to export electrodes to china in this period as new electrode capacities in china would take
longer time to come up than steel capacity 12
11 HEG Ltd copy LNJ Bhilwara Group
This year the application of the restriction will be more rigid amp strict amp have been
advanced from 1 Oct to 31 Mar compared to 15 Oct to 15 Mar last year
Export of Steel is likely to keep falling in near future
China likely to add around 200 million tons scrap per annum for the next few
years
In order to discourage export of scrap they have imposed a 40 export duty
Central Government has given limits on Environment and if limits are breached
Governors will be removed
50 of Chinese steel is produced within 700-800 kms radius of Beijing
Blue Sky Policy
Chinese Government is taking air pollution control measures seriously
13
12 HEG Ltd copy LNJ Bhilwara Group
China is in the fifth year of a ldquowar on pollutionrdquo
2017 environment control was not very serious ndash being first year allowed 60-
65 capacity utilization against 50 orders but this year it will be much more
stringent amp the impact may be higher
Last year Environmental Policy affected 28 cities within China this year more
than 80 cities may be affected
EAF carbon emissions is 86 less than BOF gas amp 72 less than BOF solid gas
Chinarsquos Hebei Province Gets Tough on Steel Mills to Meet Low Emissions
Targets until 31 Octrsquo18 in case of failure to meet the targets companies will be
ordered to shut down
Two Chinese Cities of Hebei Province Set to Observe 50 Production Cuts
during Winter Heating Season
China Pollution Crack Down
14
13
Chinarsquos Steel Capacity outlook 2018
bull Capacity reduction ahead of expectations net capacity reduction
achieved 115 mmt vs 150 mmt target The balance is expected
to close down in this year
bull Additional ~155 mmt illegal induction furnace capacity closed
bull Many of these is being replaced by new electric arc furnaces
bull 105 new EAFs with capacity of 66 mmt have been installed or
commenced construction in China in 2017
bull Steel replacement policy in favour of EAF v BF New measure
requires capacity replacement in Beijing and 6 other provinces to
keep the ratio at 1251 level or more For other regions the ratio
become higher than 11 effectively reducing steel capacity
bull As per CISA China steel capacity to be brought below 1 bn mt
by 2025
IFs capacity closure in Major Regions
Source ndash WSA 15
14 HEG Ltd copy LNJ Bhilwara Group
74
58
76
65
70
68
70
65
51
50
47
49
57
65
69
69
58
59
60
May
Jan
Feb
Apr
Mar
Jun
Aug
Jul
Sep
Oct
CY17
CY 18
Monthly Chinese Exports in MnT
Chinese Steel Exports Further Down 11 Y-o-Y Jan-Seprsquo18
CY-14
112
CY-17 CY-15 CY-16 CY-18 (e)
70
93
108
76
China Steel Exports
(MT)
Annualized based on 8 months actuals
16
15
Chinese Steel Exports
10801120 120
100
20
0
50
80
40
60
40
30
20
10
00
MT
CY17
756
CY16 CY15 CY14
930
EU (28) Africa Middle-East World USA India
Fall of gt50 in
most geographies
from CY15 levels
bull In Jan-Sep 2018 it further fell down to annualized 70 million tons
Exhibit 1 Chinese steel exports have fallen sharply in CY17
Source Bloomberg Centrum Research 17
16 16
Conclusion on EAF Steel
EAF Steel production is expected to grow at a faster
pace compared to BOF because of following reasons
bull Replacement of Induction furnaces amp polluting blast
furnaces in China by EAFs
bull EAF Share in China to grow from 6 in 2016 to 20 in
2020
bull Chinese scrap availability to increase at the CAGR of 4
(approx 200 million tons scrap per annum) for the next
20-25 years facilitating growth of EAF
bull Continuous increase in share of EAF in rest of the world
due to pollution concerns on BOF and less capital
intensive nature of EAFs
bull As Chinarsquos steel exports keep dropping the Rest of the
World Steel production keeps increasing where EAF
accounts for 45 of Steel Production
18
17
Graphite Electrode (GE) Industry
19
18
Industry Overview ndash Indiarsquos Rising Share (wo China amp Russia)
0
20
40
60
33
14
30
3
23
32 32
23
54
0
26
Graftech SGL Japan
32
India
2010 1990 2017
20
19
GE Capacity Evolution (wo China amp Russia)
S No Company Name 2010 2014 2017 No of plants
1 SDK 105 105 225 5
2 Tokai 100 100 95 4
3 NCK SEC 60 60 60 2
Sub-Total Japan (A) 265 265 380 11
4 Graftech 245 185 167 3
5 SGL 230 180 0 0
Sub-Total USEurope (B) 475 365 167 3
Sub-Total ( A + B ) 740 630 547 14
6 HEG 60 80 80 1
7 GIL 60 98 98 4
Sub-Total India (C) 120 178 178 5
Grand Total 860 808 725 19
Total of 7 plants closed between 2010 amp 2016 in USA Canada Brazil Germany Italy amp South Africa 21
20
GE Industry Development
7 GE plants got closed
between 2010 and 2016 20
of world capacity due to
demand supply imbalance
Currently 19 plants in 15
countries comprising 725000
tons capacity are working at
85-90 capacity utilization amp
are unable to cope with the
additional demand due to rise
in EAF steel production
causing shooting up of GE
prices
Almost 300000 tons of
inefficientpolluting GE
capacity in China has been
shut down thereby causing
shortage of GE within China amp
reduction of Chinese exports
further contributing to price
rise of GE
22
21 21
Needle Coke Scenario
bull Needle coke is the main raw material for GE production amp is very critical
for the growth of GE industry
bull Due to excess capacity of needle coke in the recent past some of the
needle coke producers have been trying to find a new application for coke
in the Lithium Ion batteries
bull In the last couple of years needle coke has been successfully used in this
application and a reasonably large part of needle coke is now being used in
China in Lithium Ion batteries
bull With the sudden increase in demand of GE needle coke availability has
become a bottleneck
bull All Global GE manufacturers are not able to operate beyond 85-90 capacity
utilization
bull One of the largest producers of needle coke is debottlenecking its capacity
enabling them to increase its production by around 50-60000 mt
bull This is likely to be on stream in the 2nd half of 2018 and should help the
Graphite Industry to some extend for short term Q4 2018 onwards
23
22
Financial Snapshot
Jul-Sep 2018 (Quarterly)
Apr-Jun 2018 (Quarterly)
Jul-Sep 2017 (Quarterly)
Aprrsquo17-Marrsquo18 (Annually)
REVENUE 1794 1587 410 2758
EBITDA 1389 1197 192 1734
EBITDA Margin 7657 75 4666 63
EBIT 1371 1180 174 1661
EBIT Margin 76 74 43 60
PAT 889 770 114 1081
PAT Margin 50 49 28 39
EPS 22245 19277 2844 27061
in Rs Crore (except EPS)
EBITDA includes Other Income
24
23
Thank You
25
1
HEG is part of LNJ Bhilwara group a diversified reputed and large Indian business house having more than five decades of industrial experience and presence in
Textiles Graphite Electrodes
Power Generation amp
Power Consultancy IT Enabled Services
3
2
Nationwide Presence
Listed Companies
bull HEG Limited
bull RSWM Limited
bull Maral Overseas Limited
bull BSL Limited
bull BTTL Limited
Plants amp Office Locations
bull Group has 5 of its companies listed on Indian Stock
Exchanges with over one million stakeholders
bull Corporate office amp Production units at 37 locations
with over 25000 workforce
LNJ Group - Key Financials 2017-18
Turnover USD 1242 mn
Net Fixed Assets USD 673 mn
Networth USD 894 mn
EBITDA USD 382 mn
4
3
Worldrsquos Largest Single Site Graphite Electrode Plant ndash 80000 MT per annum
5
4 4
Highlights
bull 1977 - Established in Financial (appx 25 equity) Technical
participation of Pechiney France
bull 1992 - Pechiney sold their Graphite business to SGL Germany
amp Indian Promoters bought these shares in HEG
bull 1995 2011 ndash Kept expanding from 10000 mt in small tranches
amp in 2011 took a quantum leap from 60000 to 80000 mt
bull Single largest Graphite plant in the world under one roof
bull Consistently exporting appx 65-70 of production to more than
30 countries and to more than 100 customers around the world
incl ArcelorMittal Nucor Posco Tata Sail Jindals Sabic
Gerdau Ferroatlantica Celsa etc
bull Possibility to expand to 100000 mt in 18-24 months at a small
investment
6
5
Graphite Electrode (GE) Industry ndash Our Unique Strengths
bull GE- An indispensable material for Electric Arc Furnaces (EAF) for
Steel production
bull EAF accounts for appx 45 of total World Steel Production (Without
China)
bull High Entry Barrier ndash HEG the last new entrant in the world -1977
bull Uses 100 Captive Power
bull State of the art manufacturing facility ndash due to constant expansions
amp investments
bull Capable of producing 100 UHP Electrodes
bull Facilities suitable for manufacturing up to 32rdquo electrodes
7
6
bull RampD set up to corroborate the
Quality amp Improvement Drives
with small scale production
facilities
bull The focus is also on development
of new product lines
bull Development is focused towards
Carbon
RampD Center
8
7
Capacity Build Up
100
80
66
52
30
14
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
2009 1990 2006 2002 2011 2020
777777
44
14
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
2002 2006 2020 2009 2011
Graphite Electrode (In 000 tonne)
Captive Power (MW) (In 000 tonne)
Probable
9
8
EAF Steel
10
9
Global EAF steel production
0
100
200
300
400
500
2012
2006
1993
1997
2001
1989
1998
2003
2004
1990
1988
1992
2005
2008
2009
1987
1994
2002
1999
1991
1995
2011
2000
2018
2017
-2
8-10
1996
2013
2014
2015
2016
2010
2007
35
1984
1986
1985
Source WSA
bull EAF steel production grew at the CAGR of 35 from 1984-2011
bull Due to financial meltdown in 2009 and sudden surge of large BOF capacity built in China between 2010-15 EAF
steel production dropped at the CAGR of 2 amp now started to grow at the rate of about 8-10 from 2016 onwards
11
10
EAF World Production ndashWithout China amp China
Source WSA
Figures in mmt 66 71 65 57 54 47 52 75
100
160 175
353 373 366 301 356
383 383 372 380 360 366
398 415
432 449
9
2011
12
2009 2006 2020 2013 2018(P) 2012 2010 2007 2008 2014
6
2015
6
2016 2017
20 21
2022
+11
134 China EAF EAF World wo China of EAF China
The estimates between 2018 amp 2022 are taken at growth rate of 3 per annum for rest of the world Additional EAF capacity of 110 mmt between 2016 and 2020 would mean an additional demand of appx 275000 mt of GE in China Which may further go
upto 310000 mt by 2022 There could be a window of opportunity for companies like us to export electrodes to china in this period as new electrode capacities in china would take
longer time to come up than steel capacity 12
11 HEG Ltd copy LNJ Bhilwara Group
This year the application of the restriction will be more rigid amp strict amp have been
advanced from 1 Oct to 31 Mar compared to 15 Oct to 15 Mar last year
Export of Steel is likely to keep falling in near future
China likely to add around 200 million tons scrap per annum for the next few
years
In order to discourage export of scrap they have imposed a 40 export duty
Central Government has given limits on Environment and if limits are breached
Governors will be removed
50 of Chinese steel is produced within 700-800 kms radius of Beijing
Blue Sky Policy
Chinese Government is taking air pollution control measures seriously
13
12 HEG Ltd copy LNJ Bhilwara Group
China is in the fifth year of a ldquowar on pollutionrdquo
2017 environment control was not very serious ndash being first year allowed 60-
65 capacity utilization against 50 orders but this year it will be much more
stringent amp the impact may be higher
Last year Environmental Policy affected 28 cities within China this year more
than 80 cities may be affected
EAF carbon emissions is 86 less than BOF gas amp 72 less than BOF solid gas
Chinarsquos Hebei Province Gets Tough on Steel Mills to Meet Low Emissions
Targets until 31 Octrsquo18 in case of failure to meet the targets companies will be
ordered to shut down
Two Chinese Cities of Hebei Province Set to Observe 50 Production Cuts
during Winter Heating Season
China Pollution Crack Down
14
13
Chinarsquos Steel Capacity outlook 2018
bull Capacity reduction ahead of expectations net capacity reduction
achieved 115 mmt vs 150 mmt target The balance is expected
to close down in this year
bull Additional ~155 mmt illegal induction furnace capacity closed
bull Many of these is being replaced by new electric arc furnaces
bull 105 new EAFs with capacity of 66 mmt have been installed or
commenced construction in China in 2017
bull Steel replacement policy in favour of EAF v BF New measure
requires capacity replacement in Beijing and 6 other provinces to
keep the ratio at 1251 level or more For other regions the ratio
become higher than 11 effectively reducing steel capacity
bull As per CISA China steel capacity to be brought below 1 bn mt
by 2025
IFs capacity closure in Major Regions
Source ndash WSA 15
14 HEG Ltd copy LNJ Bhilwara Group
74
58
76
65
70
68
70
65
51
50
47
49
57
65
69
69
58
59
60
May
Jan
Feb
Apr
Mar
Jun
Aug
Jul
Sep
Oct
CY17
CY 18
Monthly Chinese Exports in MnT
Chinese Steel Exports Further Down 11 Y-o-Y Jan-Seprsquo18
CY-14
112
CY-17 CY-15 CY-16 CY-18 (e)
70
93
108
76
China Steel Exports
(MT)
Annualized based on 8 months actuals
16
15
Chinese Steel Exports
10801120 120
100
20
0
50
80
40
60
40
30
20
10
00
MT
CY17
756
CY16 CY15 CY14
930
EU (28) Africa Middle-East World USA India
Fall of gt50 in
most geographies
from CY15 levels
bull In Jan-Sep 2018 it further fell down to annualized 70 million tons
Exhibit 1 Chinese steel exports have fallen sharply in CY17
Source Bloomberg Centrum Research 17
16 16
Conclusion on EAF Steel
EAF Steel production is expected to grow at a faster
pace compared to BOF because of following reasons
bull Replacement of Induction furnaces amp polluting blast
furnaces in China by EAFs
bull EAF Share in China to grow from 6 in 2016 to 20 in
2020
bull Chinese scrap availability to increase at the CAGR of 4
(approx 200 million tons scrap per annum) for the next
20-25 years facilitating growth of EAF
bull Continuous increase in share of EAF in rest of the world
due to pollution concerns on BOF and less capital
intensive nature of EAFs
bull As Chinarsquos steel exports keep dropping the Rest of the
World Steel production keeps increasing where EAF
accounts for 45 of Steel Production
18
17
Graphite Electrode (GE) Industry
19
18
Industry Overview ndash Indiarsquos Rising Share (wo China amp Russia)
0
20
40
60
33
14
30
3
23
32 32
23
54
0
26
Graftech SGL Japan
32
India
2010 1990 2017
20
19
GE Capacity Evolution (wo China amp Russia)
S No Company Name 2010 2014 2017 No of plants
1 SDK 105 105 225 5
2 Tokai 100 100 95 4
3 NCK SEC 60 60 60 2
Sub-Total Japan (A) 265 265 380 11
4 Graftech 245 185 167 3
5 SGL 230 180 0 0
Sub-Total USEurope (B) 475 365 167 3
Sub-Total ( A + B ) 740 630 547 14
6 HEG 60 80 80 1
7 GIL 60 98 98 4
Sub-Total India (C) 120 178 178 5
Grand Total 860 808 725 19
Total of 7 plants closed between 2010 amp 2016 in USA Canada Brazil Germany Italy amp South Africa 21
20
GE Industry Development
7 GE plants got closed
between 2010 and 2016 20
of world capacity due to
demand supply imbalance
Currently 19 plants in 15
countries comprising 725000
tons capacity are working at
85-90 capacity utilization amp
are unable to cope with the
additional demand due to rise
in EAF steel production
causing shooting up of GE
prices
Almost 300000 tons of
inefficientpolluting GE
capacity in China has been
shut down thereby causing
shortage of GE within China amp
reduction of Chinese exports
further contributing to price
rise of GE
22
21 21
Needle Coke Scenario
bull Needle coke is the main raw material for GE production amp is very critical
for the growth of GE industry
bull Due to excess capacity of needle coke in the recent past some of the
needle coke producers have been trying to find a new application for coke
in the Lithium Ion batteries
bull In the last couple of years needle coke has been successfully used in this
application and a reasonably large part of needle coke is now being used in
China in Lithium Ion batteries
bull With the sudden increase in demand of GE needle coke availability has
become a bottleneck
bull All Global GE manufacturers are not able to operate beyond 85-90 capacity
utilization
bull One of the largest producers of needle coke is debottlenecking its capacity
enabling them to increase its production by around 50-60000 mt
bull This is likely to be on stream in the 2nd half of 2018 and should help the
Graphite Industry to some extend for short term Q4 2018 onwards
23
22
Financial Snapshot
Jul-Sep 2018 (Quarterly)
Apr-Jun 2018 (Quarterly)
Jul-Sep 2017 (Quarterly)
Aprrsquo17-Marrsquo18 (Annually)
REVENUE 1794 1587 410 2758
EBITDA 1389 1197 192 1734
EBITDA Margin 7657 75 4666 63
EBIT 1371 1180 174 1661
EBIT Margin 76 74 43 60
PAT 889 770 114 1081
PAT Margin 50 49 28 39
EPS 22245 19277 2844 27061
in Rs Crore (except EPS)
EBITDA includes Other Income
24
23
Thank You
25
2
Nationwide Presence
Listed Companies
bull HEG Limited
bull RSWM Limited
bull Maral Overseas Limited
bull BSL Limited
bull BTTL Limited
Plants amp Office Locations
bull Group has 5 of its companies listed on Indian Stock
Exchanges with over one million stakeholders
bull Corporate office amp Production units at 37 locations
with over 25000 workforce
LNJ Group - Key Financials 2017-18
Turnover USD 1242 mn
Net Fixed Assets USD 673 mn
Networth USD 894 mn
EBITDA USD 382 mn
4
3
Worldrsquos Largest Single Site Graphite Electrode Plant ndash 80000 MT per annum
5
4 4
Highlights
bull 1977 - Established in Financial (appx 25 equity) Technical
participation of Pechiney France
bull 1992 - Pechiney sold their Graphite business to SGL Germany
amp Indian Promoters bought these shares in HEG
bull 1995 2011 ndash Kept expanding from 10000 mt in small tranches
amp in 2011 took a quantum leap from 60000 to 80000 mt
bull Single largest Graphite plant in the world under one roof
bull Consistently exporting appx 65-70 of production to more than
30 countries and to more than 100 customers around the world
incl ArcelorMittal Nucor Posco Tata Sail Jindals Sabic
Gerdau Ferroatlantica Celsa etc
bull Possibility to expand to 100000 mt in 18-24 months at a small
investment
6
5
Graphite Electrode (GE) Industry ndash Our Unique Strengths
bull GE- An indispensable material for Electric Arc Furnaces (EAF) for
Steel production
bull EAF accounts for appx 45 of total World Steel Production (Without
China)
bull High Entry Barrier ndash HEG the last new entrant in the world -1977
bull Uses 100 Captive Power
bull State of the art manufacturing facility ndash due to constant expansions
amp investments
bull Capable of producing 100 UHP Electrodes
bull Facilities suitable for manufacturing up to 32rdquo electrodes
7
6
bull RampD set up to corroborate the
Quality amp Improvement Drives
with small scale production
facilities
bull The focus is also on development
of new product lines
bull Development is focused towards
Carbon
RampD Center
8
7
Capacity Build Up
100
80
66
52
30
14
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
2009 1990 2006 2002 2011 2020
777777
44
14
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
2002 2006 2020 2009 2011
Graphite Electrode (In 000 tonne)
Captive Power (MW) (In 000 tonne)
Probable
9
8
EAF Steel
10
9
Global EAF steel production
0
100
200
300
400
500
2012
2006
1993
1997
2001
1989
1998
2003
2004
1990
1988
1992
2005
2008
2009
1987
1994
2002
1999
1991
1995
2011
2000
2018
2017
-2
8-10
1996
2013
2014
2015
2016
2010
2007
35
1984
1986
1985
Source WSA
bull EAF steel production grew at the CAGR of 35 from 1984-2011
bull Due to financial meltdown in 2009 and sudden surge of large BOF capacity built in China between 2010-15 EAF
steel production dropped at the CAGR of 2 amp now started to grow at the rate of about 8-10 from 2016 onwards
11
10
EAF World Production ndashWithout China amp China
Source WSA
Figures in mmt 66 71 65 57 54 47 52 75
100
160 175
353 373 366 301 356
383 383 372 380 360 366
398 415
432 449
9
2011
12
2009 2006 2020 2013 2018(P) 2012 2010 2007 2008 2014
6
2015
6
2016 2017
20 21
2022
+11
134 China EAF EAF World wo China of EAF China
The estimates between 2018 amp 2022 are taken at growth rate of 3 per annum for rest of the world Additional EAF capacity of 110 mmt between 2016 and 2020 would mean an additional demand of appx 275000 mt of GE in China Which may further go
upto 310000 mt by 2022 There could be a window of opportunity for companies like us to export electrodes to china in this period as new electrode capacities in china would take
longer time to come up than steel capacity 12
11 HEG Ltd copy LNJ Bhilwara Group
This year the application of the restriction will be more rigid amp strict amp have been
advanced from 1 Oct to 31 Mar compared to 15 Oct to 15 Mar last year
Export of Steel is likely to keep falling in near future
China likely to add around 200 million tons scrap per annum for the next few
years
In order to discourage export of scrap they have imposed a 40 export duty
Central Government has given limits on Environment and if limits are breached
Governors will be removed
50 of Chinese steel is produced within 700-800 kms radius of Beijing
Blue Sky Policy
Chinese Government is taking air pollution control measures seriously
13
12 HEG Ltd copy LNJ Bhilwara Group
China is in the fifth year of a ldquowar on pollutionrdquo
2017 environment control was not very serious ndash being first year allowed 60-
65 capacity utilization against 50 orders but this year it will be much more
stringent amp the impact may be higher
Last year Environmental Policy affected 28 cities within China this year more
than 80 cities may be affected
EAF carbon emissions is 86 less than BOF gas amp 72 less than BOF solid gas
Chinarsquos Hebei Province Gets Tough on Steel Mills to Meet Low Emissions
Targets until 31 Octrsquo18 in case of failure to meet the targets companies will be
ordered to shut down
Two Chinese Cities of Hebei Province Set to Observe 50 Production Cuts
during Winter Heating Season
China Pollution Crack Down
14
13
Chinarsquos Steel Capacity outlook 2018
bull Capacity reduction ahead of expectations net capacity reduction
achieved 115 mmt vs 150 mmt target The balance is expected
to close down in this year
bull Additional ~155 mmt illegal induction furnace capacity closed
bull Many of these is being replaced by new electric arc furnaces
bull 105 new EAFs with capacity of 66 mmt have been installed or
commenced construction in China in 2017
bull Steel replacement policy in favour of EAF v BF New measure
requires capacity replacement in Beijing and 6 other provinces to
keep the ratio at 1251 level or more For other regions the ratio
become higher than 11 effectively reducing steel capacity
bull As per CISA China steel capacity to be brought below 1 bn mt
by 2025
IFs capacity closure in Major Regions
Source ndash WSA 15
14 HEG Ltd copy LNJ Bhilwara Group
74
58
76
65
70
68
70
65
51
50
47
49
57
65
69
69
58
59
60
May
Jan
Feb
Apr
Mar
Jun
Aug
Jul
Sep
Oct
CY17
CY 18
Monthly Chinese Exports in MnT
Chinese Steel Exports Further Down 11 Y-o-Y Jan-Seprsquo18
CY-14
112
CY-17 CY-15 CY-16 CY-18 (e)
70
93
108
76
China Steel Exports
(MT)
Annualized based on 8 months actuals
16
15
Chinese Steel Exports
10801120 120
100
20
0
50
80
40
60
40
30
20
10
00
MT
CY17
756
CY16 CY15 CY14
930
EU (28) Africa Middle-East World USA India
Fall of gt50 in
most geographies
from CY15 levels
bull In Jan-Sep 2018 it further fell down to annualized 70 million tons
Exhibit 1 Chinese steel exports have fallen sharply in CY17
Source Bloomberg Centrum Research 17
16 16
Conclusion on EAF Steel
EAF Steel production is expected to grow at a faster
pace compared to BOF because of following reasons
bull Replacement of Induction furnaces amp polluting blast
furnaces in China by EAFs
bull EAF Share in China to grow from 6 in 2016 to 20 in
2020
bull Chinese scrap availability to increase at the CAGR of 4
(approx 200 million tons scrap per annum) for the next
20-25 years facilitating growth of EAF
bull Continuous increase in share of EAF in rest of the world
due to pollution concerns on BOF and less capital
intensive nature of EAFs
bull As Chinarsquos steel exports keep dropping the Rest of the
World Steel production keeps increasing where EAF
accounts for 45 of Steel Production
18
17
Graphite Electrode (GE) Industry
19
18
Industry Overview ndash Indiarsquos Rising Share (wo China amp Russia)
0
20
40
60
33
14
30
3
23
32 32
23
54
0
26
Graftech SGL Japan
32
India
2010 1990 2017
20
19
GE Capacity Evolution (wo China amp Russia)
S No Company Name 2010 2014 2017 No of plants
1 SDK 105 105 225 5
2 Tokai 100 100 95 4
3 NCK SEC 60 60 60 2
Sub-Total Japan (A) 265 265 380 11
4 Graftech 245 185 167 3
5 SGL 230 180 0 0
Sub-Total USEurope (B) 475 365 167 3
Sub-Total ( A + B ) 740 630 547 14
6 HEG 60 80 80 1
7 GIL 60 98 98 4
Sub-Total India (C) 120 178 178 5
Grand Total 860 808 725 19
Total of 7 plants closed between 2010 amp 2016 in USA Canada Brazil Germany Italy amp South Africa 21
20
GE Industry Development
7 GE plants got closed
between 2010 and 2016 20
of world capacity due to
demand supply imbalance
Currently 19 plants in 15
countries comprising 725000
tons capacity are working at
85-90 capacity utilization amp
are unable to cope with the
additional demand due to rise
in EAF steel production
causing shooting up of GE
prices
Almost 300000 tons of
inefficientpolluting GE
capacity in China has been
shut down thereby causing
shortage of GE within China amp
reduction of Chinese exports
further contributing to price
rise of GE
22
21 21
Needle Coke Scenario
bull Needle coke is the main raw material for GE production amp is very critical
for the growth of GE industry
bull Due to excess capacity of needle coke in the recent past some of the
needle coke producers have been trying to find a new application for coke
in the Lithium Ion batteries
bull In the last couple of years needle coke has been successfully used in this
application and a reasonably large part of needle coke is now being used in
China in Lithium Ion batteries
bull With the sudden increase in demand of GE needle coke availability has
become a bottleneck
bull All Global GE manufacturers are not able to operate beyond 85-90 capacity
utilization
bull One of the largest producers of needle coke is debottlenecking its capacity
enabling them to increase its production by around 50-60000 mt
bull This is likely to be on stream in the 2nd half of 2018 and should help the
Graphite Industry to some extend for short term Q4 2018 onwards
23
22
Financial Snapshot
Jul-Sep 2018 (Quarterly)
Apr-Jun 2018 (Quarterly)
Jul-Sep 2017 (Quarterly)
Aprrsquo17-Marrsquo18 (Annually)
REVENUE 1794 1587 410 2758
EBITDA 1389 1197 192 1734
EBITDA Margin 7657 75 4666 63
EBIT 1371 1180 174 1661
EBIT Margin 76 74 43 60
PAT 889 770 114 1081
PAT Margin 50 49 28 39
EPS 22245 19277 2844 27061
in Rs Crore (except EPS)
EBITDA includes Other Income
24
23
Thank You
25
3
Worldrsquos Largest Single Site Graphite Electrode Plant ndash 80000 MT per annum
5
4 4
Highlights
bull 1977 - Established in Financial (appx 25 equity) Technical
participation of Pechiney France
bull 1992 - Pechiney sold their Graphite business to SGL Germany
amp Indian Promoters bought these shares in HEG
bull 1995 2011 ndash Kept expanding from 10000 mt in small tranches
amp in 2011 took a quantum leap from 60000 to 80000 mt
bull Single largest Graphite plant in the world under one roof
bull Consistently exporting appx 65-70 of production to more than
30 countries and to more than 100 customers around the world
incl ArcelorMittal Nucor Posco Tata Sail Jindals Sabic
Gerdau Ferroatlantica Celsa etc
bull Possibility to expand to 100000 mt in 18-24 months at a small
investment
6
5
Graphite Electrode (GE) Industry ndash Our Unique Strengths
bull GE- An indispensable material for Electric Arc Furnaces (EAF) for
Steel production
bull EAF accounts for appx 45 of total World Steel Production (Without
China)
bull High Entry Barrier ndash HEG the last new entrant in the world -1977
bull Uses 100 Captive Power
bull State of the art manufacturing facility ndash due to constant expansions
amp investments
bull Capable of producing 100 UHP Electrodes
bull Facilities suitable for manufacturing up to 32rdquo electrodes
7
6
bull RampD set up to corroborate the
Quality amp Improvement Drives
with small scale production
facilities
bull The focus is also on development
of new product lines
bull Development is focused towards
Carbon
RampD Center
8
7
Capacity Build Up
100
80
66
52
30
14
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
2009 1990 2006 2002 2011 2020
777777
44
14
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
2002 2006 2020 2009 2011
Graphite Electrode (In 000 tonne)
Captive Power (MW) (In 000 tonne)
Probable
9
8
EAF Steel
10
9
Global EAF steel production
0
100
200
300
400
500
2012
2006
1993
1997
2001
1989
1998
2003
2004
1990
1988
1992
2005
2008
2009
1987
1994
2002
1999
1991
1995
2011
2000
2018
2017
-2
8-10
1996
2013
2014
2015
2016
2010
2007
35
1984
1986
1985
Source WSA
bull EAF steel production grew at the CAGR of 35 from 1984-2011
bull Due to financial meltdown in 2009 and sudden surge of large BOF capacity built in China between 2010-15 EAF
steel production dropped at the CAGR of 2 amp now started to grow at the rate of about 8-10 from 2016 onwards
11
10
EAF World Production ndashWithout China amp China
Source WSA
Figures in mmt 66 71 65 57 54 47 52 75
100
160 175
353 373 366 301 356
383 383 372 380 360 366
398 415
432 449
9
2011
12
2009 2006 2020 2013 2018(P) 2012 2010 2007 2008 2014
6
2015
6
2016 2017
20 21
2022
+11
134 China EAF EAF World wo China of EAF China
The estimates between 2018 amp 2022 are taken at growth rate of 3 per annum for rest of the world Additional EAF capacity of 110 mmt between 2016 and 2020 would mean an additional demand of appx 275000 mt of GE in China Which may further go
upto 310000 mt by 2022 There could be a window of opportunity for companies like us to export electrodes to china in this period as new electrode capacities in china would take
longer time to come up than steel capacity 12
11 HEG Ltd copy LNJ Bhilwara Group
This year the application of the restriction will be more rigid amp strict amp have been
advanced from 1 Oct to 31 Mar compared to 15 Oct to 15 Mar last year
Export of Steel is likely to keep falling in near future
China likely to add around 200 million tons scrap per annum for the next few
years
In order to discourage export of scrap they have imposed a 40 export duty
Central Government has given limits on Environment and if limits are breached
Governors will be removed
50 of Chinese steel is produced within 700-800 kms radius of Beijing
Blue Sky Policy
Chinese Government is taking air pollution control measures seriously
13
12 HEG Ltd copy LNJ Bhilwara Group
China is in the fifth year of a ldquowar on pollutionrdquo
2017 environment control was not very serious ndash being first year allowed 60-
65 capacity utilization against 50 orders but this year it will be much more
stringent amp the impact may be higher
Last year Environmental Policy affected 28 cities within China this year more
than 80 cities may be affected
EAF carbon emissions is 86 less than BOF gas amp 72 less than BOF solid gas
Chinarsquos Hebei Province Gets Tough on Steel Mills to Meet Low Emissions
Targets until 31 Octrsquo18 in case of failure to meet the targets companies will be
ordered to shut down
Two Chinese Cities of Hebei Province Set to Observe 50 Production Cuts
during Winter Heating Season
China Pollution Crack Down
14
13
Chinarsquos Steel Capacity outlook 2018
bull Capacity reduction ahead of expectations net capacity reduction
achieved 115 mmt vs 150 mmt target The balance is expected
to close down in this year
bull Additional ~155 mmt illegal induction furnace capacity closed
bull Many of these is being replaced by new electric arc furnaces
bull 105 new EAFs with capacity of 66 mmt have been installed or
commenced construction in China in 2017
bull Steel replacement policy in favour of EAF v BF New measure
requires capacity replacement in Beijing and 6 other provinces to
keep the ratio at 1251 level or more For other regions the ratio
become higher than 11 effectively reducing steel capacity
bull As per CISA China steel capacity to be brought below 1 bn mt
by 2025
IFs capacity closure in Major Regions
Source ndash WSA 15
14 HEG Ltd copy LNJ Bhilwara Group
74
58
76
65
70
68
70
65
51
50
47
49
57
65
69
69
58
59
60
May
Jan
Feb
Apr
Mar
Jun
Aug
Jul
Sep
Oct
CY17
CY 18
Monthly Chinese Exports in MnT
Chinese Steel Exports Further Down 11 Y-o-Y Jan-Seprsquo18
CY-14
112
CY-17 CY-15 CY-16 CY-18 (e)
70
93
108
76
China Steel Exports
(MT)
Annualized based on 8 months actuals
16
15
Chinese Steel Exports
10801120 120
100
20
0
50
80
40
60
40
30
20
10
00
MT
CY17
756
CY16 CY15 CY14
930
EU (28) Africa Middle-East World USA India
Fall of gt50 in
most geographies
from CY15 levels
bull In Jan-Sep 2018 it further fell down to annualized 70 million tons
Exhibit 1 Chinese steel exports have fallen sharply in CY17
Source Bloomberg Centrum Research 17
16 16
Conclusion on EAF Steel
EAF Steel production is expected to grow at a faster
pace compared to BOF because of following reasons
bull Replacement of Induction furnaces amp polluting blast
furnaces in China by EAFs
bull EAF Share in China to grow from 6 in 2016 to 20 in
2020
bull Chinese scrap availability to increase at the CAGR of 4
(approx 200 million tons scrap per annum) for the next
20-25 years facilitating growth of EAF
bull Continuous increase in share of EAF in rest of the world
due to pollution concerns on BOF and less capital
intensive nature of EAFs
bull As Chinarsquos steel exports keep dropping the Rest of the
World Steel production keeps increasing where EAF
accounts for 45 of Steel Production
18
17
Graphite Electrode (GE) Industry
19
18
Industry Overview ndash Indiarsquos Rising Share (wo China amp Russia)
0
20
40
60
33
14
30
3
23
32 32
23
54
0
26
Graftech SGL Japan
32
India
2010 1990 2017
20
19
GE Capacity Evolution (wo China amp Russia)
S No Company Name 2010 2014 2017 No of plants
1 SDK 105 105 225 5
2 Tokai 100 100 95 4
3 NCK SEC 60 60 60 2
Sub-Total Japan (A) 265 265 380 11
4 Graftech 245 185 167 3
5 SGL 230 180 0 0
Sub-Total USEurope (B) 475 365 167 3
Sub-Total ( A + B ) 740 630 547 14
6 HEG 60 80 80 1
7 GIL 60 98 98 4
Sub-Total India (C) 120 178 178 5
Grand Total 860 808 725 19
Total of 7 plants closed between 2010 amp 2016 in USA Canada Brazil Germany Italy amp South Africa 21
20
GE Industry Development
7 GE plants got closed
between 2010 and 2016 20
of world capacity due to
demand supply imbalance
Currently 19 plants in 15
countries comprising 725000
tons capacity are working at
85-90 capacity utilization amp
are unable to cope with the
additional demand due to rise
in EAF steel production
causing shooting up of GE
prices
Almost 300000 tons of
inefficientpolluting GE
capacity in China has been
shut down thereby causing
shortage of GE within China amp
reduction of Chinese exports
further contributing to price
rise of GE
22
21 21
Needle Coke Scenario
bull Needle coke is the main raw material for GE production amp is very critical
for the growth of GE industry
bull Due to excess capacity of needle coke in the recent past some of the
needle coke producers have been trying to find a new application for coke
in the Lithium Ion batteries
bull In the last couple of years needle coke has been successfully used in this
application and a reasonably large part of needle coke is now being used in
China in Lithium Ion batteries
bull With the sudden increase in demand of GE needle coke availability has
become a bottleneck
bull All Global GE manufacturers are not able to operate beyond 85-90 capacity
utilization
bull One of the largest producers of needle coke is debottlenecking its capacity
enabling them to increase its production by around 50-60000 mt
bull This is likely to be on stream in the 2nd half of 2018 and should help the
Graphite Industry to some extend for short term Q4 2018 onwards
23
22
Financial Snapshot
Jul-Sep 2018 (Quarterly)
Apr-Jun 2018 (Quarterly)
Jul-Sep 2017 (Quarterly)
Aprrsquo17-Marrsquo18 (Annually)
REVENUE 1794 1587 410 2758
EBITDA 1389 1197 192 1734
EBITDA Margin 7657 75 4666 63
EBIT 1371 1180 174 1661
EBIT Margin 76 74 43 60
PAT 889 770 114 1081
PAT Margin 50 49 28 39
EPS 22245 19277 2844 27061
in Rs Crore (except EPS)
EBITDA includes Other Income
24
23
Thank You
25
4 4
Highlights
bull 1977 - Established in Financial (appx 25 equity) Technical
participation of Pechiney France
bull 1992 - Pechiney sold their Graphite business to SGL Germany
amp Indian Promoters bought these shares in HEG
bull 1995 2011 ndash Kept expanding from 10000 mt in small tranches
amp in 2011 took a quantum leap from 60000 to 80000 mt
bull Single largest Graphite plant in the world under one roof
bull Consistently exporting appx 65-70 of production to more than
30 countries and to more than 100 customers around the world
incl ArcelorMittal Nucor Posco Tata Sail Jindals Sabic
Gerdau Ferroatlantica Celsa etc
bull Possibility to expand to 100000 mt in 18-24 months at a small
investment
6
5
Graphite Electrode (GE) Industry ndash Our Unique Strengths
bull GE- An indispensable material for Electric Arc Furnaces (EAF) for
Steel production
bull EAF accounts for appx 45 of total World Steel Production (Without
China)
bull High Entry Barrier ndash HEG the last new entrant in the world -1977
bull Uses 100 Captive Power
bull State of the art manufacturing facility ndash due to constant expansions
amp investments
bull Capable of producing 100 UHP Electrodes
bull Facilities suitable for manufacturing up to 32rdquo electrodes
7
6
bull RampD set up to corroborate the
Quality amp Improvement Drives
with small scale production
facilities
bull The focus is also on development
of new product lines
bull Development is focused towards
Carbon
RampD Center
8
7
Capacity Build Up
100
80
66
52
30
14
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
2009 1990 2006 2002 2011 2020
777777
44
14
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
2002 2006 2020 2009 2011
Graphite Electrode (In 000 tonne)
Captive Power (MW) (In 000 tonne)
Probable
9
8
EAF Steel
10
9
Global EAF steel production
0
100
200
300
400
500
2012
2006
1993
1997
2001
1989
1998
2003
2004
1990
1988
1992
2005
2008
2009
1987
1994
2002
1999
1991
1995
2011
2000
2018
2017
-2
8-10
1996
2013
2014
2015
2016
2010
2007
35
1984
1986
1985
Source WSA
bull EAF steel production grew at the CAGR of 35 from 1984-2011
bull Due to financial meltdown in 2009 and sudden surge of large BOF capacity built in China between 2010-15 EAF
steel production dropped at the CAGR of 2 amp now started to grow at the rate of about 8-10 from 2016 onwards
11
10
EAF World Production ndashWithout China amp China
Source WSA
Figures in mmt 66 71 65 57 54 47 52 75
100
160 175
353 373 366 301 356
383 383 372 380 360 366
398 415
432 449
9
2011
12
2009 2006 2020 2013 2018(P) 2012 2010 2007 2008 2014
6
2015
6
2016 2017
20 21
2022
+11
134 China EAF EAF World wo China of EAF China
The estimates between 2018 amp 2022 are taken at growth rate of 3 per annum for rest of the world Additional EAF capacity of 110 mmt between 2016 and 2020 would mean an additional demand of appx 275000 mt of GE in China Which may further go
upto 310000 mt by 2022 There could be a window of opportunity for companies like us to export electrodes to china in this period as new electrode capacities in china would take
longer time to come up than steel capacity 12
11 HEG Ltd copy LNJ Bhilwara Group
This year the application of the restriction will be more rigid amp strict amp have been
advanced from 1 Oct to 31 Mar compared to 15 Oct to 15 Mar last year
Export of Steel is likely to keep falling in near future
China likely to add around 200 million tons scrap per annum for the next few
years
In order to discourage export of scrap they have imposed a 40 export duty
Central Government has given limits on Environment and if limits are breached
Governors will be removed
50 of Chinese steel is produced within 700-800 kms radius of Beijing
Blue Sky Policy
Chinese Government is taking air pollution control measures seriously
13
12 HEG Ltd copy LNJ Bhilwara Group
China is in the fifth year of a ldquowar on pollutionrdquo
2017 environment control was not very serious ndash being first year allowed 60-
65 capacity utilization against 50 orders but this year it will be much more
stringent amp the impact may be higher
Last year Environmental Policy affected 28 cities within China this year more
than 80 cities may be affected
EAF carbon emissions is 86 less than BOF gas amp 72 less than BOF solid gas
Chinarsquos Hebei Province Gets Tough on Steel Mills to Meet Low Emissions
Targets until 31 Octrsquo18 in case of failure to meet the targets companies will be
ordered to shut down
Two Chinese Cities of Hebei Province Set to Observe 50 Production Cuts
during Winter Heating Season
China Pollution Crack Down
14
13
Chinarsquos Steel Capacity outlook 2018
bull Capacity reduction ahead of expectations net capacity reduction
achieved 115 mmt vs 150 mmt target The balance is expected
to close down in this year
bull Additional ~155 mmt illegal induction furnace capacity closed
bull Many of these is being replaced by new electric arc furnaces
bull 105 new EAFs with capacity of 66 mmt have been installed or
commenced construction in China in 2017
bull Steel replacement policy in favour of EAF v BF New measure
requires capacity replacement in Beijing and 6 other provinces to
keep the ratio at 1251 level or more For other regions the ratio
become higher than 11 effectively reducing steel capacity
bull As per CISA China steel capacity to be brought below 1 bn mt
by 2025
IFs capacity closure in Major Regions
Source ndash WSA 15
14 HEG Ltd copy LNJ Bhilwara Group
74
58
76
65
70
68
70
65
51
50
47
49
57
65
69
69
58
59
60
May
Jan
Feb
Apr
Mar
Jun
Aug
Jul
Sep
Oct
CY17
CY 18
Monthly Chinese Exports in MnT
Chinese Steel Exports Further Down 11 Y-o-Y Jan-Seprsquo18
CY-14
112
CY-17 CY-15 CY-16 CY-18 (e)
70
93
108
76
China Steel Exports
(MT)
Annualized based on 8 months actuals
16
15
Chinese Steel Exports
10801120 120
100
20
0
50
80
40
60
40
30
20
10
00
MT
CY17
756
CY16 CY15 CY14
930
EU (28) Africa Middle-East World USA India
Fall of gt50 in
most geographies
from CY15 levels
bull In Jan-Sep 2018 it further fell down to annualized 70 million tons
Exhibit 1 Chinese steel exports have fallen sharply in CY17
Source Bloomberg Centrum Research 17
16 16
Conclusion on EAF Steel
EAF Steel production is expected to grow at a faster
pace compared to BOF because of following reasons
bull Replacement of Induction furnaces amp polluting blast
furnaces in China by EAFs
bull EAF Share in China to grow from 6 in 2016 to 20 in
2020
bull Chinese scrap availability to increase at the CAGR of 4
(approx 200 million tons scrap per annum) for the next
20-25 years facilitating growth of EAF
bull Continuous increase in share of EAF in rest of the world
due to pollution concerns on BOF and less capital
intensive nature of EAFs
bull As Chinarsquos steel exports keep dropping the Rest of the
World Steel production keeps increasing where EAF
accounts for 45 of Steel Production
18
17
Graphite Electrode (GE) Industry
19
18
Industry Overview ndash Indiarsquos Rising Share (wo China amp Russia)
0
20
40
60
33
14
30
3
23
32 32
23
54
0
26
Graftech SGL Japan
32
India
2010 1990 2017
20
19
GE Capacity Evolution (wo China amp Russia)
S No Company Name 2010 2014 2017 No of plants
1 SDK 105 105 225 5
2 Tokai 100 100 95 4
3 NCK SEC 60 60 60 2
Sub-Total Japan (A) 265 265 380 11
4 Graftech 245 185 167 3
5 SGL 230 180 0 0
Sub-Total USEurope (B) 475 365 167 3
Sub-Total ( A + B ) 740 630 547 14
6 HEG 60 80 80 1
7 GIL 60 98 98 4
Sub-Total India (C) 120 178 178 5
Grand Total 860 808 725 19
Total of 7 plants closed between 2010 amp 2016 in USA Canada Brazil Germany Italy amp South Africa 21
20
GE Industry Development
7 GE plants got closed
between 2010 and 2016 20
of world capacity due to
demand supply imbalance
Currently 19 plants in 15
countries comprising 725000
tons capacity are working at
85-90 capacity utilization amp
are unable to cope with the
additional demand due to rise
in EAF steel production
causing shooting up of GE
prices
Almost 300000 tons of
inefficientpolluting GE
capacity in China has been
shut down thereby causing
shortage of GE within China amp
reduction of Chinese exports
further contributing to price
rise of GE
22
21 21
Needle Coke Scenario
bull Needle coke is the main raw material for GE production amp is very critical
for the growth of GE industry
bull Due to excess capacity of needle coke in the recent past some of the
needle coke producers have been trying to find a new application for coke
in the Lithium Ion batteries
bull In the last couple of years needle coke has been successfully used in this
application and a reasonably large part of needle coke is now being used in
China in Lithium Ion batteries
bull With the sudden increase in demand of GE needle coke availability has
become a bottleneck
bull All Global GE manufacturers are not able to operate beyond 85-90 capacity
utilization
bull One of the largest producers of needle coke is debottlenecking its capacity
enabling them to increase its production by around 50-60000 mt
bull This is likely to be on stream in the 2nd half of 2018 and should help the
Graphite Industry to some extend for short term Q4 2018 onwards
23
22
Financial Snapshot
Jul-Sep 2018 (Quarterly)
Apr-Jun 2018 (Quarterly)
Jul-Sep 2017 (Quarterly)
Aprrsquo17-Marrsquo18 (Annually)
REVENUE 1794 1587 410 2758
EBITDA 1389 1197 192 1734
EBITDA Margin 7657 75 4666 63
EBIT 1371 1180 174 1661
EBIT Margin 76 74 43 60
PAT 889 770 114 1081
PAT Margin 50 49 28 39
EPS 22245 19277 2844 27061
in Rs Crore (except EPS)
EBITDA includes Other Income
24
23
Thank You
25
5
Graphite Electrode (GE) Industry ndash Our Unique Strengths
bull GE- An indispensable material for Electric Arc Furnaces (EAF) for
Steel production
bull EAF accounts for appx 45 of total World Steel Production (Without
China)
bull High Entry Barrier ndash HEG the last new entrant in the world -1977
bull Uses 100 Captive Power
bull State of the art manufacturing facility ndash due to constant expansions
amp investments
bull Capable of producing 100 UHP Electrodes
bull Facilities suitable for manufacturing up to 32rdquo electrodes
7
6
bull RampD set up to corroborate the
Quality amp Improvement Drives
with small scale production
facilities
bull The focus is also on development
of new product lines
bull Development is focused towards
Carbon
RampD Center
8
7
Capacity Build Up
100
80
66
52
30
14
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
2009 1990 2006 2002 2011 2020
777777
44
14
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
2002 2006 2020 2009 2011
Graphite Electrode (In 000 tonne)
Captive Power (MW) (In 000 tonne)
Probable
9
8
EAF Steel
10
9
Global EAF steel production
0
100
200
300
400
500
2012
2006
1993
1997
2001
1989
1998
2003
2004
1990
1988
1992
2005
2008
2009
1987
1994
2002
1999
1991
1995
2011
2000
2018
2017
-2
8-10
1996
2013
2014
2015
2016
2010
2007
35
1984
1986
1985
Source WSA
bull EAF steel production grew at the CAGR of 35 from 1984-2011
bull Due to financial meltdown in 2009 and sudden surge of large BOF capacity built in China between 2010-15 EAF
steel production dropped at the CAGR of 2 amp now started to grow at the rate of about 8-10 from 2016 onwards
11
10
EAF World Production ndashWithout China amp China
Source WSA
Figures in mmt 66 71 65 57 54 47 52 75
100
160 175
353 373 366 301 356
383 383 372 380 360 366
398 415
432 449
9
2011
12
2009 2006 2020 2013 2018(P) 2012 2010 2007 2008 2014
6
2015
6
2016 2017
20 21
2022
+11
134 China EAF EAF World wo China of EAF China
The estimates between 2018 amp 2022 are taken at growth rate of 3 per annum for rest of the world Additional EAF capacity of 110 mmt between 2016 and 2020 would mean an additional demand of appx 275000 mt of GE in China Which may further go
upto 310000 mt by 2022 There could be a window of opportunity for companies like us to export electrodes to china in this period as new electrode capacities in china would take
longer time to come up than steel capacity 12
11 HEG Ltd copy LNJ Bhilwara Group
This year the application of the restriction will be more rigid amp strict amp have been
advanced from 1 Oct to 31 Mar compared to 15 Oct to 15 Mar last year
Export of Steel is likely to keep falling in near future
China likely to add around 200 million tons scrap per annum for the next few
years
In order to discourage export of scrap they have imposed a 40 export duty
Central Government has given limits on Environment and if limits are breached
Governors will be removed
50 of Chinese steel is produced within 700-800 kms radius of Beijing
Blue Sky Policy
Chinese Government is taking air pollution control measures seriously
13
12 HEG Ltd copy LNJ Bhilwara Group
China is in the fifth year of a ldquowar on pollutionrdquo
2017 environment control was not very serious ndash being first year allowed 60-
65 capacity utilization against 50 orders but this year it will be much more
stringent amp the impact may be higher
Last year Environmental Policy affected 28 cities within China this year more
than 80 cities may be affected
EAF carbon emissions is 86 less than BOF gas amp 72 less than BOF solid gas
Chinarsquos Hebei Province Gets Tough on Steel Mills to Meet Low Emissions
Targets until 31 Octrsquo18 in case of failure to meet the targets companies will be
ordered to shut down
Two Chinese Cities of Hebei Province Set to Observe 50 Production Cuts
during Winter Heating Season
China Pollution Crack Down
14
13
Chinarsquos Steel Capacity outlook 2018
bull Capacity reduction ahead of expectations net capacity reduction
achieved 115 mmt vs 150 mmt target The balance is expected
to close down in this year
bull Additional ~155 mmt illegal induction furnace capacity closed
bull Many of these is being replaced by new electric arc furnaces
bull 105 new EAFs with capacity of 66 mmt have been installed or
commenced construction in China in 2017
bull Steel replacement policy in favour of EAF v BF New measure
requires capacity replacement in Beijing and 6 other provinces to
keep the ratio at 1251 level or more For other regions the ratio
become higher than 11 effectively reducing steel capacity
bull As per CISA China steel capacity to be brought below 1 bn mt
by 2025
IFs capacity closure in Major Regions
Source ndash WSA 15
14 HEG Ltd copy LNJ Bhilwara Group
74
58
76
65
70
68
70
65
51
50
47
49
57
65
69
69
58
59
60
May
Jan
Feb
Apr
Mar
Jun
Aug
Jul
Sep
Oct
CY17
CY 18
Monthly Chinese Exports in MnT
Chinese Steel Exports Further Down 11 Y-o-Y Jan-Seprsquo18
CY-14
112
CY-17 CY-15 CY-16 CY-18 (e)
70
93
108
76
China Steel Exports
(MT)
Annualized based on 8 months actuals
16
15
Chinese Steel Exports
10801120 120
100
20
0
50
80
40
60
40
30
20
10
00
MT
CY17
756
CY16 CY15 CY14
930
EU (28) Africa Middle-East World USA India
Fall of gt50 in
most geographies
from CY15 levels
bull In Jan-Sep 2018 it further fell down to annualized 70 million tons
Exhibit 1 Chinese steel exports have fallen sharply in CY17
Source Bloomberg Centrum Research 17
16 16
Conclusion on EAF Steel
EAF Steel production is expected to grow at a faster
pace compared to BOF because of following reasons
bull Replacement of Induction furnaces amp polluting blast
furnaces in China by EAFs
bull EAF Share in China to grow from 6 in 2016 to 20 in
2020
bull Chinese scrap availability to increase at the CAGR of 4
(approx 200 million tons scrap per annum) for the next
20-25 years facilitating growth of EAF
bull Continuous increase in share of EAF in rest of the world
due to pollution concerns on BOF and less capital
intensive nature of EAFs
bull As Chinarsquos steel exports keep dropping the Rest of the
World Steel production keeps increasing where EAF
accounts for 45 of Steel Production
18
17
Graphite Electrode (GE) Industry
19
18
Industry Overview ndash Indiarsquos Rising Share (wo China amp Russia)
0
20
40
60
33
14
30
3
23
32 32
23
54
0
26
Graftech SGL Japan
32
India
2010 1990 2017
20
19
GE Capacity Evolution (wo China amp Russia)
S No Company Name 2010 2014 2017 No of plants
1 SDK 105 105 225 5
2 Tokai 100 100 95 4
3 NCK SEC 60 60 60 2
Sub-Total Japan (A) 265 265 380 11
4 Graftech 245 185 167 3
5 SGL 230 180 0 0
Sub-Total USEurope (B) 475 365 167 3
Sub-Total ( A + B ) 740 630 547 14
6 HEG 60 80 80 1
7 GIL 60 98 98 4
Sub-Total India (C) 120 178 178 5
Grand Total 860 808 725 19
Total of 7 plants closed between 2010 amp 2016 in USA Canada Brazil Germany Italy amp South Africa 21
20
GE Industry Development
7 GE plants got closed
between 2010 and 2016 20
of world capacity due to
demand supply imbalance
Currently 19 plants in 15
countries comprising 725000
tons capacity are working at
85-90 capacity utilization amp
are unable to cope with the
additional demand due to rise
in EAF steel production
causing shooting up of GE
prices
Almost 300000 tons of
inefficientpolluting GE
capacity in China has been
shut down thereby causing
shortage of GE within China amp
reduction of Chinese exports
further contributing to price
rise of GE
22
21 21
Needle Coke Scenario
bull Needle coke is the main raw material for GE production amp is very critical
for the growth of GE industry
bull Due to excess capacity of needle coke in the recent past some of the
needle coke producers have been trying to find a new application for coke
in the Lithium Ion batteries
bull In the last couple of years needle coke has been successfully used in this
application and a reasonably large part of needle coke is now being used in
China in Lithium Ion batteries
bull With the sudden increase in demand of GE needle coke availability has
become a bottleneck
bull All Global GE manufacturers are not able to operate beyond 85-90 capacity
utilization
bull One of the largest producers of needle coke is debottlenecking its capacity
enabling them to increase its production by around 50-60000 mt
bull This is likely to be on stream in the 2nd half of 2018 and should help the
Graphite Industry to some extend for short term Q4 2018 onwards
23
22
Financial Snapshot
Jul-Sep 2018 (Quarterly)
Apr-Jun 2018 (Quarterly)
Jul-Sep 2017 (Quarterly)
Aprrsquo17-Marrsquo18 (Annually)
REVENUE 1794 1587 410 2758
EBITDA 1389 1197 192 1734
EBITDA Margin 7657 75 4666 63
EBIT 1371 1180 174 1661
EBIT Margin 76 74 43 60
PAT 889 770 114 1081
PAT Margin 50 49 28 39
EPS 22245 19277 2844 27061
in Rs Crore (except EPS)
EBITDA includes Other Income
24
23
Thank You
25
6
bull RampD set up to corroborate the
Quality amp Improvement Drives
with small scale production
facilities
bull The focus is also on development
of new product lines
bull Development is focused towards
Carbon
RampD Center
8
7
Capacity Build Up
100
80
66
52
30
14
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
2009 1990 2006 2002 2011 2020
777777
44
14
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
2002 2006 2020 2009 2011
Graphite Electrode (In 000 tonne)
Captive Power (MW) (In 000 tonne)
Probable
9
8
EAF Steel
10
9
Global EAF steel production
0
100
200
300
400
500
2012
2006
1993
1997
2001
1989
1998
2003
2004
1990
1988
1992
2005
2008
2009
1987
1994
2002
1999
1991
1995
2011
2000
2018
2017
-2
8-10
1996
2013
2014
2015
2016
2010
2007
35
1984
1986
1985
Source WSA
bull EAF steel production grew at the CAGR of 35 from 1984-2011
bull Due to financial meltdown in 2009 and sudden surge of large BOF capacity built in China between 2010-15 EAF
steel production dropped at the CAGR of 2 amp now started to grow at the rate of about 8-10 from 2016 onwards
11
10
EAF World Production ndashWithout China amp China
Source WSA
Figures in mmt 66 71 65 57 54 47 52 75
100
160 175
353 373 366 301 356
383 383 372 380 360 366
398 415
432 449
9
2011
12
2009 2006 2020 2013 2018(P) 2012 2010 2007 2008 2014
6
2015
6
2016 2017
20 21
2022
+11
134 China EAF EAF World wo China of EAF China
The estimates between 2018 amp 2022 are taken at growth rate of 3 per annum for rest of the world Additional EAF capacity of 110 mmt between 2016 and 2020 would mean an additional demand of appx 275000 mt of GE in China Which may further go
upto 310000 mt by 2022 There could be a window of opportunity for companies like us to export electrodes to china in this period as new electrode capacities in china would take
longer time to come up than steel capacity 12
11 HEG Ltd copy LNJ Bhilwara Group
This year the application of the restriction will be more rigid amp strict amp have been
advanced from 1 Oct to 31 Mar compared to 15 Oct to 15 Mar last year
Export of Steel is likely to keep falling in near future
China likely to add around 200 million tons scrap per annum for the next few
years
In order to discourage export of scrap they have imposed a 40 export duty
Central Government has given limits on Environment and if limits are breached
Governors will be removed
50 of Chinese steel is produced within 700-800 kms radius of Beijing
Blue Sky Policy
Chinese Government is taking air pollution control measures seriously
13
12 HEG Ltd copy LNJ Bhilwara Group
China is in the fifth year of a ldquowar on pollutionrdquo
2017 environment control was not very serious ndash being first year allowed 60-
65 capacity utilization against 50 orders but this year it will be much more
stringent amp the impact may be higher
Last year Environmental Policy affected 28 cities within China this year more
than 80 cities may be affected
EAF carbon emissions is 86 less than BOF gas amp 72 less than BOF solid gas
Chinarsquos Hebei Province Gets Tough on Steel Mills to Meet Low Emissions
Targets until 31 Octrsquo18 in case of failure to meet the targets companies will be
ordered to shut down
Two Chinese Cities of Hebei Province Set to Observe 50 Production Cuts
during Winter Heating Season
China Pollution Crack Down
14
13
Chinarsquos Steel Capacity outlook 2018
bull Capacity reduction ahead of expectations net capacity reduction
achieved 115 mmt vs 150 mmt target The balance is expected
to close down in this year
bull Additional ~155 mmt illegal induction furnace capacity closed
bull Many of these is being replaced by new electric arc furnaces
bull 105 new EAFs with capacity of 66 mmt have been installed or
commenced construction in China in 2017
bull Steel replacement policy in favour of EAF v BF New measure
requires capacity replacement in Beijing and 6 other provinces to
keep the ratio at 1251 level or more For other regions the ratio
become higher than 11 effectively reducing steel capacity
bull As per CISA China steel capacity to be brought below 1 bn mt
by 2025
IFs capacity closure in Major Regions
Source ndash WSA 15
14 HEG Ltd copy LNJ Bhilwara Group
74
58
76
65
70
68
70
65
51
50
47
49
57
65
69
69
58
59
60
May
Jan
Feb
Apr
Mar
Jun
Aug
Jul
Sep
Oct
CY17
CY 18
Monthly Chinese Exports in MnT
Chinese Steel Exports Further Down 11 Y-o-Y Jan-Seprsquo18
CY-14
112
CY-17 CY-15 CY-16 CY-18 (e)
70
93
108
76
China Steel Exports
(MT)
Annualized based on 8 months actuals
16
15
Chinese Steel Exports
10801120 120
100
20
0
50
80
40
60
40
30
20
10
00
MT
CY17
756
CY16 CY15 CY14
930
EU (28) Africa Middle-East World USA India
Fall of gt50 in
most geographies
from CY15 levels
bull In Jan-Sep 2018 it further fell down to annualized 70 million tons
Exhibit 1 Chinese steel exports have fallen sharply in CY17
Source Bloomberg Centrum Research 17
16 16
Conclusion on EAF Steel
EAF Steel production is expected to grow at a faster
pace compared to BOF because of following reasons
bull Replacement of Induction furnaces amp polluting blast
furnaces in China by EAFs
bull EAF Share in China to grow from 6 in 2016 to 20 in
2020
bull Chinese scrap availability to increase at the CAGR of 4
(approx 200 million tons scrap per annum) for the next
20-25 years facilitating growth of EAF
bull Continuous increase in share of EAF in rest of the world
due to pollution concerns on BOF and less capital
intensive nature of EAFs
bull As Chinarsquos steel exports keep dropping the Rest of the
World Steel production keeps increasing where EAF
accounts for 45 of Steel Production
18
17
Graphite Electrode (GE) Industry
19
18
Industry Overview ndash Indiarsquos Rising Share (wo China amp Russia)
0
20
40
60
33
14
30
3
23
32 32
23
54
0
26
Graftech SGL Japan
32
India
2010 1990 2017
20
19
GE Capacity Evolution (wo China amp Russia)
S No Company Name 2010 2014 2017 No of plants
1 SDK 105 105 225 5
2 Tokai 100 100 95 4
3 NCK SEC 60 60 60 2
Sub-Total Japan (A) 265 265 380 11
4 Graftech 245 185 167 3
5 SGL 230 180 0 0
Sub-Total USEurope (B) 475 365 167 3
Sub-Total ( A + B ) 740 630 547 14
6 HEG 60 80 80 1
7 GIL 60 98 98 4
Sub-Total India (C) 120 178 178 5
Grand Total 860 808 725 19
Total of 7 plants closed between 2010 amp 2016 in USA Canada Brazil Germany Italy amp South Africa 21
20
GE Industry Development
7 GE plants got closed
between 2010 and 2016 20
of world capacity due to
demand supply imbalance
Currently 19 plants in 15
countries comprising 725000
tons capacity are working at
85-90 capacity utilization amp
are unable to cope with the
additional demand due to rise
in EAF steel production
causing shooting up of GE
prices
Almost 300000 tons of
inefficientpolluting GE
capacity in China has been
shut down thereby causing
shortage of GE within China amp
reduction of Chinese exports
further contributing to price
rise of GE
22
21 21
Needle Coke Scenario
bull Needle coke is the main raw material for GE production amp is very critical
for the growth of GE industry
bull Due to excess capacity of needle coke in the recent past some of the
needle coke producers have been trying to find a new application for coke
in the Lithium Ion batteries
bull In the last couple of years needle coke has been successfully used in this
application and a reasonably large part of needle coke is now being used in
China in Lithium Ion batteries
bull With the sudden increase in demand of GE needle coke availability has
become a bottleneck
bull All Global GE manufacturers are not able to operate beyond 85-90 capacity
utilization
bull One of the largest producers of needle coke is debottlenecking its capacity
enabling them to increase its production by around 50-60000 mt
bull This is likely to be on stream in the 2nd half of 2018 and should help the
Graphite Industry to some extend for short term Q4 2018 onwards
23
22
Financial Snapshot
Jul-Sep 2018 (Quarterly)
Apr-Jun 2018 (Quarterly)
Jul-Sep 2017 (Quarterly)
Aprrsquo17-Marrsquo18 (Annually)
REVENUE 1794 1587 410 2758
EBITDA 1389 1197 192 1734
EBITDA Margin 7657 75 4666 63
EBIT 1371 1180 174 1661
EBIT Margin 76 74 43 60
PAT 889 770 114 1081
PAT Margin 50 49 28 39
EPS 22245 19277 2844 27061
in Rs Crore (except EPS)
EBITDA includes Other Income
24
23
Thank You
25
7
Capacity Build Up
100
80
66
52
30
14
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
2009 1990 2006 2002 2011 2020
777777
44
14
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
2002 2006 2020 2009 2011
Graphite Electrode (In 000 tonne)
Captive Power (MW) (In 000 tonne)
Probable
9
8
EAF Steel
10
9
Global EAF steel production
0
100
200
300
400
500
2012
2006
1993
1997
2001
1989
1998
2003
2004
1990
1988
1992
2005
2008
2009
1987
1994
2002
1999
1991
1995
2011
2000
2018
2017
-2
8-10
1996
2013
2014
2015
2016
2010
2007
35
1984
1986
1985
Source WSA
bull EAF steel production grew at the CAGR of 35 from 1984-2011
bull Due to financial meltdown in 2009 and sudden surge of large BOF capacity built in China between 2010-15 EAF
steel production dropped at the CAGR of 2 amp now started to grow at the rate of about 8-10 from 2016 onwards
11
10
EAF World Production ndashWithout China amp China
Source WSA
Figures in mmt 66 71 65 57 54 47 52 75
100
160 175
353 373 366 301 356
383 383 372 380 360 366
398 415
432 449
9
2011
12
2009 2006 2020 2013 2018(P) 2012 2010 2007 2008 2014
6
2015
6
2016 2017
20 21
2022
+11
134 China EAF EAF World wo China of EAF China
The estimates between 2018 amp 2022 are taken at growth rate of 3 per annum for rest of the world Additional EAF capacity of 110 mmt between 2016 and 2020 would mean an additional demand of appx 275000 mt of GE in China Which may further go
upto 310000 mt by 2022 There could be a window of opportunity for companies like us to export electrodes to china in this period as new electrode capacities in china would take
longer time to come up than steel capacity 12
11 HEG Ltd copy LNJ Bhilwara Group
This year the application of the restriction will be more rigid amp strict amp have been
advanced from 1 Oct to 31 Mar compared to 15 Oct to 15 Mar last year
Export of Steel is likely to keep falling in near future
China likely to add around 200 million tons scrap per annum for the next few
years
In order to discourage export of scrap they have imposed a 40 export duty
Central Government has given limits on Environment and if limits are breached
Governors will be removed
50 of Chinese steel is produced within 700-800 kms radius of Beijing
Blue Sky Policy
Chinese Government is taking air pollution control measures seriously
13
12 HEG Ltd copy LNJ Bhilwara Group
China is in the fifth year of a ldquowar on pollutionrdquo
2017 environment control was not very serious ndash being first year allowed 60-
65 capacity utilization against 50 orders but this year it will be much more
stringent amp the impact may be higher
Last year Environmental Policy affected 28 cities within China this year more
than 80 cities may be affected
EAF carbon emissions is 86 less than BOF gas amp 72 less than BOF solid gas
Chinarsquos Hebei Province Gets Tough on Steel Mills to Meet Low Emissions
Targets until 31 Octrsquo18 in case of failure to meet the targets companies will be
ordered to shut down
Two Chinese Cities of Hebei Province Set to Observe 50 Production Cuts
during Winter Heating Season
China Pollution Crack Down
14
13
Chinarsquos Steel Capacity outlook 2018
bull Capacity reduction ahead of expectations net capacity reduction
achieved 115 mmt vs 150 mmt target The balance is expected
to close down in this year
bull Additional ~155 mmt illegal induction furnace capacity closed
bull Many of these is being replaced by new electric arc furnaces
bull 105 new EAFs with capacity of 66 mmt have been installed or
commenced construction in China in 2017
bull Steel replacement policy in favour of EAF v BF New measure
requires capacity replacement in Beijing and 6 other provinces to
keep the ratio at 1251 level or more For other regions the ratio
become higher than 11 effectively reducing steel capacity
bull As per CISA China steel capacity to be brought below 1 bn mt
by 2025
IFs capacity closure in Major Regions
Source ndash WSA 15
14 HEG Ltd copy LNJ Bhilwara Group
74
58
76
65
70
68
70
65
51
50
47
49
57
65
69
69
58
59
60
May
Jan
Feb
Apr
Mar
Jun
Aug
Jul
Sep
Oct
CY17
CY 18
Monthly Chinese Exports in MnT
Chinese Steel Exports Further Down 11 Y-o-Y Jan-Seprsquo18
CY-14
112
CY-17 CY-15 CY-16 CY-18 (e)
70
93
108
76
China Steel Exports
(MT)
Annualized based on 8 months actuals
16
15
Chinese Steel Exports
10801120 120
100
20
0
50
80
40
60
40
30
20
10
00
MT
CY17
756
CY16 CY15 CY14
930
EU (28) Africa Middle-East World USA India
Fall of gt50 in
most geographies
from CY15 levels
bull In Jan-Sep 2018 it further fell down to annualized 70 million tons
Exhibit 1 Chinese steel exports have fallen sharply in CY17
Source Bloomberg Centrum Research 17
16 16
Conclusion on EAF Steel
EAF Steel production is expected to grow at a faster
pace compared to BOF because of following reasons
bull Replacement of Induction furnaces amp polluting blast
furnaces in China by EAFs
bull EAF Share in China to grow from 6 in 2016 to 20 in
2020
bull Chinese scrap availability to increase at the CAGR of 4
(approx 200 million tons scrap per annum) for the next
20-25 years facilitating growth of EAF
bull Continuous increase in share of EAF in rest of the world
due to pollution concerns on BOF and less capital
intensive nature of EAFs
bull As Chinarsquos steel exports keep dropping the Rest of the
World Steel production keeps increasing where EAF
accounts for 45 of Steel Production
18
17
Graphite Electrode (GE) Industry
19
18
Industry Overview ndash Indiarsquos Rising Share (wo China amp Russia)
0
20
40
60
33
14
30
3
23
32 32
23
54
0
26
Graftech SGL Japan
32
India
2010 1990 2017
20
19
GE Capacity Evolution (wo China amp Russia)
S No Company Name 2010 2014 2017 No of plants
1 SDK 105 105 225 5
2 Tokai 100 100 95 4
3 NCK SEC 60 60 60 2
Sub-Total Japan (A) 265 265 380 11
4 Graftech 245 185 167 3
5 SGL 230 180 0 0
Sub-Total USEurope (B) 475 365 167 3
Sub-Total ( A + B ) 740 630 547 14
6 HEG 60 80 80 1
7 GIL 60 98 98 4
Sub-Total India (C) 120 178 178 5
Grand Total 860 808 725 19
Total of 7 plants closed between 2010 amp 2016 in USA Canada Brazil Germany Italy amp South Africa 21
20
GE Industry Development
7 GE plants got closed
between 2010 and 2016 20
of world capacity due to
demand supply imbalance
Currently 19 plants in 15
countries comprising 725000
tons capacity are working at
85-90 capacity utilization amp
are unable to cope with the
additional demand due to rise
in EAF steel production
causing shooting up of GE
prices
Almost 300000 tons of
inefficientpolluting GE
capacity in China has been
shut down thereby causing
shortage of GE within China amp
reduction of Chinese exports
further contributing to price
rise of GE
22
21 21
Needle Coke Scenario
bull Needle coke is the main raw material for GE production amp is very critical
for the growth of GE industry
bull Due to excess capacity of needle coke in the recent past some of the
needle coke producers have been trying to find a new application for coke
in the Lithium Ion batteries
bull In the last couple of years needle coke has been successfully used in this
application and a reasonably large part of needle coke is now being used in
China in Lithium Ion batteries
bull With the sudden increase in demand of GE needle coke availability has
become a bottleneck
bull All Global GE manufacturers are not able to operate beyond 85-90 capacity
utilization
bull One of the largest producers of needle coke is debottlenecking its capacity
enabling them to increase its production by around 50-60000 mt
bull This is likely to be on stream in the 2nd half of 2018 and should help the
Graphite Industry to some extend for short term Q4 2018 onwards
23
22
Financial Snapshot
Jul-Sep 2018 (Quarterly)
Apr-Jun 2018 (Quarterly)
Jul-Sep 2017 (Quarterly)
Aprrsquo17-Marrsquo18 (Annually)
REVENUE 1794 1587 410 2758
EBITDA 1389 1197 192 1734
EBITDA Margin 7657 75 4666 63
EBIT 1371 1180 174 1661
EBIT Margin 76 74 43 60
PAT 889 770 114 1081
PAT Margin 50 49 28 39
EPS 22245 19277 2844 27061
in Rs Crore (except EPS)
EBITDA includes Other Income
24
23
Thank You
25
8
EAF Steel
10
9
Global EAF steel production
0
100
200
300
400
500
2012
2006
1993
1997
2001
1989
1998
2003
2004
1990
1988
1992
2005
2008
2009
1987
1994
2002
1999
1991
1995
2011
2000
2018
2017
-2
8-10
1996
2013
2014
2015
2016
2010
2007
35
1984
1986
1985
Source WSA
bull EAF steel production grew at the CAGR of 35 from 1984-2011
bull Due to financial meltdown in 2009 and sudden surge of large BOF capacity built in China between 2010-15 EAF
steel production dropped at the CAGR of 2 amp now started to grow at the rate of about 8-10 from 2016 onwards
11
10
EAF World Production ndashWithout China amp China
Source WSA
Figures in mmt 66 71 65 57 54 47 52 75
100
160 175
353 373 366 301 356
383 383 372 380 360 366
398 415
432 449
9
2011
12
2009 2006 2020 2013 2018(P) 2012 2010 2007 2008 2014
6
2015
6
2016 2017
20 21
2022
+11
134 China EAF EAF World wo China of EAF China
The estimates between 2018 amp 2022 are taken at growth rate of 3 per annum for rest of the world Additional EAF capacity of 110 mmt between 2016 and 2020 would mean an additional demand of appx 275000 mt of GE in China Which may further go
upto 310000 mt by 2022 There could be a window of opportunity for companies like us to export electrodes to china in this period as new electrode capacities in china would take
longer time to come up than steel capacity 12
11 HEG Ltd copy LNJ Bhilwara Group
This year the application of the restriction will be more rigid amp strict amp have been
advanced from 1 Oct to 31 Mar compared to 15 Oct to 15 Mar last year
Export of Steel is likely to keep falling in near future
China likely to add around 200 million tons scrap per annum for the next few
years
In order to discourage export of scrap they have imposed a 40 export duty
Central Government has given limits on Environment and if limits are breached
Governors will be removed
50 of Chinese steel is produced within 700-800 kms radius of Beijing
Blue Sky Policy
Chinese Government is taking air pollution control measures seriously
13
12 HEG Ltd copy LNJ Bhilwara Group
China is in the fifth year of a ldquowar on pollutionrdquo
2017 environment control was not very serious ndash being first year allowed 60-
65 capacity utilization against 50 orders but this year it will be much more
stringent amp the impact may be higher
Last year Environmental Policy affected 28 cities within China this year more
than 80 cities may be affected
EAF carbon emissions is 86 less than BOF gas amp 72 less than BOF solid gas
Chinarsquos Hebei Province Gets Tough on Steel Mills to Meet Low Emissions
Targets until 31 Octrsquo18 in case of failure to meet the targets companies will be
ordered to shut down
Two Chinese Cities of Hebei Province Set to Observe 50 Production Cuts
during Winter Heating Season
China Pollution Crack Down
14
13
Chinarsquos Steel Capacity outlook 2018
bull Capacity reduction ahead of expectations net capacity reduction
achieved 115 mmt vs 150 mmt target The balance is expected
to close down in this year
bull Additional ~155 mmt illegal induction furnace capacity closed
bull Many of these is being replaced by new electric arc furnaces
bull 105 new EAFs with capacity of 66 mmt have been installed or
commenced construction in China in 2017
bull Steel replacement policy in favour of EAF v BF New measure
requires capacity replacement in Beijing and 6 other provinces to
keep the ratio at 1251 level or more For other regions the ratio
become higher than 11 effectively reducing steel capacity
bull As per CISA China steel capacity to be brought below 1 bn mt
by 2025
IFs capacity closure in Major Regions
Source ndash WSA 15
14 HEG Ltd copy LNJ Bhilwara Group
74
58
76
65
70
68
70
65
51
50
47
49
57
65
69
69
58
59
60
May
Jan
Feb
Apr
Mar
Jun
Aug
Jul
Sep
Oct
CY17
CY 18
Monthly Chinese Exports in MnT
Chinese Steel Exports Further Down 11 Y-o-Y Jan-Seprsquo18
CY-14
112
CY-17 CY-15 CY-16 CY-18 (e)
70
93
108
76
China Steel Exports
(MT)
Annualized based on 8 months actuals
16
15
Chinese Steel Exports
10801120 120
100
20
0
50
80
40
60
40
30
20
10
00
MT
CY17
756
CY16 CY15 CY14
930
EU (28) Africa Middle-East World USA India
Fall of gt50 in
most geographies
from CY15 levels
bull In Jan-Sep 2018 it further fell down to annualized 70 million tons
Exhibit 1 Chinese steel exports have fallen sharply in CY17
Source Bloomberg Centrum Research 17
16 16
Conclusion on EAF Steel
EAF Steel production is expected to grow at a faster
pace compared to BOF because of following reasons
bull Replacement of Induction furnaces amp polluting blast
furnaces in China by EAFs
bull EAF Share in China to grow from 6 in 2016 to 20 in
2020
bull Chinese scrap availability to increase at the CAGR of 4
(approx 200 million tons scrap per annum) for the next
20-25 years facilitating growth of EAF
bull Continuous increase in share of EAF in rest of the world
due to pollution concerns on BOF and less capital
intensive nature of EAFs
bull As Chinarsquos steel exports keep dropping the Rest of the
World Steel production keeps increasing where EAF
accounts for 45 of Steel Production
18
17
Graphite Electrode (GE) Industry
19
18
Industry Overview ndash Indiarsquos Rising Share (wo China amp Russia)
0
20
40
60
33
14
30
3
23
32 32
23
54
0
26
Graftech SGL Japan
32
India
2010 1990 2017
20
19
GE Capacity Evolution (wo China amp Russia)
S No Company Name 2010 2014 2017 No of plants
1 SDK 105 105 225 5
2 Tokai 100 100 95 4
3 NCK SEC 60 60 60 2
Sub-Total Japan (A) 265 265 380 11
4 Graftech 245 185 167 3
5 SGL 230 180 0 0
Sub-Total USEurope (B) 475 365 167 3
Sub-Total ( A + B ) 740 630 547 14
6 HEG 60 80 80 1
7 GIL 60 98 98 4
Sub-Total India (C) 120 178 178 5
Grand Total 860 808 725 19
Total of 7 plants closed between 2010 amp 2016 in USA Canada Brazil Germany Italy amp South Africa 21
20
GE Industry Development
7 GE plants got closed
between 2010 and 2016 20
of world capacity due to
demand supply imbalance
Currently 19 plants in 15
countries comprising 725000
tons capacity are working at
85-90 capacity utilization amp
are unable to cope with the
additional demand due to rise
in EAF steel production
causing shooting up of GE
prices
Almost 300000 tons of
inefficientpolluting GE
capacity in China has been
shut down thereby causing
shortage of GE within China amp
reduction of Chinese exports
further contributing to price
rise of GE
22
21 21
Needle Coke Scenario
bull Needle coke is the main raw material for GE production amp is very critical
for the growth of GE industry
bull Due to excess capacity of needle coke in the recent past some of the
needle coke producers have been trying to find a new application for coke
in the Lithium Ion batteries
bull In the last couple of years needle coke has been successfully used in this
application and a reasonably large part of needle coke is now being used in
China in Lithium Ion batteries
bull With the sudden increase in demand of GE needle coke availability has
become a bottleneck
bull All Global GE manufacturers are not able to operate beyond 85-90 capacity
utilization
bull One of the largest producers of needle coke is debottlenecking its capacity
enabling them to increase its production by around 50-60000 mt
bull This is likely to be on stream in the 2nd half of 2018 and should help the
Graphite Industry to some extend for short term Q4 2018 onwards
23
22
Financial Snapshot
Jul-Sep 2018 (Quarterly)
Apr-Jun 2018 (Quarterly)
Jul-Sep 2017 (Quarterly)
Aprrsquo17-Marrsquo18 (Annually)
REVENUE 1794 1587 410 2758
EBITDA 1389 1197 192 1734
EBITDA Margin 7657 75 4666 63
EBIT 1371 1180 174 1661
EBIT Margin 76 74 43 60
PAT 889 770 114 1081
PAT Margin 50 49 28 39
EPS 22245 19277 2844 27061
in Rs Crore (except EPS)
EBITDA includes Other Income
24
23
Thank You
25
9
Global EAF steel production
0
100
200
300
400
500
2012
2006
1993
1997
2001
1989
1998
2003
2004
1990
1988
1992
2005
2008
2009
1987
1994
2002
1999
1991
1995
2011
2000
2018
2017
-2
8-10
1996
2013
2014
2015
2016
2010
2007
35
1984
1986
1985
Source WSA
bull EAF steel production grew at the CAGR of 35 from 1984-2011
bull Due to financial meltdown in 2009 and sudden surge of large BOF capacity built in China between 2010-15 EAF
steel production dropped at the CAGR of 2 amp now started to grow at the rate of about 8-10 from 2016 onwards
11
10
EAF World Production ndashWithout China amp China
Source WSA
Figures in mmt 66 71 65 57 54 47 52 75
100
160 175
353 373 366 301 356
383 383 372 380 360 366
398 415
432 449
9
2011
12
2009 2006 2020 2013 2018(P) 2012 2010 2007 2008 2014
6
2015
6
2016 2017
20 21
2022
+11
134 China EAF EAF World wo China of EAF China
The estimates between 2018 amp 2022 are taken at growth rate of 3 per annum for rest of the world Additional EAF capacity of 110 mmt between 2016 and 2020 would mean an additional demand of appx 275000 mt of GE in China Which may further go
upto 310000 mt by 2022 There could be a window of opportunity for companies like us to export electrodes to china in this period as new electrode capacities in china would take
longer time to come up than steel capacity 12
11 HEG Ltd copy LNJ Bhilwara Group
This year the application of the restriction will be more rigid amp strict amp have been
advanced from 1 Oct to 31 Mar compared to 15 Oct to 15 Mar last year
Export of Steel is likely to keep falling in near future
China likely to add around 200 million tons scrap per annum for the next few
years
In order to discourage export of scrap they have imposed a 40 export duty
Central Government has given limits on Environment and if limits are breached
Governors will be removed
50 of Chinese steel is produced within 700-800 kms radius of Beijing
Blue Sky Policy
Chinese Government is taking air pollution control measures seriously
13
12 HEG Ltd copy LNJ Bhilwara Group
China is in the fifth year of a ldquowar on pollutionrdquo
2017 environment control was not very serious ndash being first year allowed 60-
65 capacity utilization against 50 orders but this year it will be much more
stringent amp the impact may be higher
Last year Environmental Policy affected 28 cities within China this year more
than 80 cities may be affected
EAF carbon emissions is 86 less than BOF gas amp 72 less than BOF solid gas
Chinarsquos Hebei Province Gets Tough on Steel Mills to Meet Low Emissions
Targets until 31 Octrsquo18 in case of failure to meet the targets companies will be
ordered to shut down
Two Chinese Cities of Hebei Province Set to Observe 50 Production Cuts
during Winter Heating Season
China Pollution Crack Down
14
13
Chinarsquos Steel Capacity outlook 2018
bull Capacity reduction ahead of expectations net capacity reduction
achieved 115 mmt vs 150 mmt target The balance is expected
to close down in this year
bull Additional ~155 mmt illegal induction furnace capacity closed
bull Many of these is being replaced by new electric arc furnaces
bull 105 new EAFs with capacity of 66 mmt have been installed or
commenced construction in China in 2017
bull Steel replacement policy in favour of EAF v BF New measure
requires capacity replacement in Beijing and 6 other provinces to
keep the ratio at 1251 level or more For other regions the ratio
become higher than 11 effectively reducing steel capacity
bull As per CISA China steel capacity to be brought below 1 bn mt
by 2025
IFs capacity closure in Major Regions
Source ndash WSA 15
14 HEG Ltd copy LNJ Bhilwara Group
74
58
76
65
70
68
70
65
51
50
47
49
57
65
69
69
58
59
60
May
Jan
Feb
Apr
Mar
Jun
Aug
Jul
Sep
Oct
CY17
CY 18
Monthly Chinese Exports in MnT
Chinese Steel Exports Further Down 11 Y-o-Y Jan-Seprsquo18
CY-14
112
CY-17 CY-15 CY-16 CY-18 (e)
70
93
108
76
China Steel Exports
(MT)
Annualized based on 8 months actuals
16
15
Chinese Steel Exports
10801120 120
100
20
0
50
80
40
60
40
30
20
10
00
MT
CY17
756
CY16 CY15 CY14
930
EU (28) Africa Middle-East World USA India
Fall of gt50 in
most geographies
from CY15 levels
bull In Jan-Sep 2018 it further fell down to annualized 70 million tons
Exhibit 1 Chinese steel exports have fallen sharply in CY17
Source Bloomberg Centrum Research 17
16 16
Conclusion on EAF Steel
EAF Steel production is expected to grow at a faster
pace compared to BOF because of following reasons
bull Replacement of Induction furnaces amp polluting blast
furnaces in China by EAFs
bull EAF Share in China to grow from 6 in 2016 to 20 in
2020
bull Chinese scrap availability to increase at the CAGR of 4
(approx 200 million tons scrap per annum) for the next
20-25 years facilitating growth of EAF
bull Continuous increase in share of EAF in rest of the world
due to pollution concerns on BOF and less capital
intensive nature of EAFs
bull As Chinarsquos steel exports keep dropping the Rest of the
World Steel production keeps increasing where EAF
accounts for 45 of Steel Production
18
17
Graphite Electrode (GE) Industry
19
18
Industry Overview ndash Indiarsquos Rising Share (wo China amp Russia)
0
20
40
60
33
14
30
3
23
32 32
23
54
0
26
Graftech SGL Japan
32
India
2010 1990 2017
20
19
GE Capacity Evolution (wo China amp Russia)
S No Company Name 2010 2014 2017 No of plants
1 SDK 105 105 225 5
2 Tokai 100 100 95 4
3 NCK SEC 60 60 60 2
Sub-Total Japan (A) 265 265 380 11
4 Graftech 245 185 167 3
5 SGL 230 180 0 0
Sub-Total USEurope (B) 475 365 167 3
Sub-Total ( A + B ) 740 630 547 14
6 HEG 60 80 80 1
7 GIL 60 98 98 4
Sub-Total India (C) 120 178 178 5
Grand Total 860 808 725 19
Total of 7 plants closed between 2010 amp 2016 in USA Canada Brazil Germany Italy amp South Africa 21
20
GE Industry Development
7 GE plants got closed
between 2010 and 2016 20
of world capacity due to
demand supply imbalance
Currently 19 plants in 15
countries comprising 725000
tons capacity are working at
85-90 capacity utilization amp
are unable to cope with the
additional demand due to rise
in EAF steel production
causing shooting up of GE
prices
Almost 300000 tons of
inefficientpolluting GE
capacity in China has been
shut down thereby causing
shortage of GE within China amp
reduction of Chinese exports
further contributing to price
rise of GE
22
21 21
Needle Coke Scenario
bull Needle coke is the main raw material for GE production amp is very critical
for the growth of GE industry
bull Due to excess capacity of needle coke in the recent past some of the
needle coke producers have been trying to find a new application for coke
in the Lithium Ion batteries
bull In the last couple of years needle coke has been successfully used in this
application and a reasonably large part of needle coke is now being used in
China in Lithium Ion batteries
bull With the sudden increase in demand of GE needle coke availability has
become a bottleneck
bull All Global GE manufacturers are not able to operate beyond 85-90 capacity
utilization
bull One of the largest producers of needle coke is debottlenecking its capacity
enabling them to increase its production by around 50-60000 mt
bull This is likely to be on stream in the 2nd half of 2018 and should help the
Graphite Industry to some extend for short term Q4 2018 onwards
23
22
Financial Snapshot
Jul-Sep 2018 (Quarterly)
Apr-Jun 2018 (Quarterly)
Jul-Sep 2017 (Quarterly)
Aprrsquo17-Marrsquo18 (Annually)
REVENUE 1794 1587 410 2758
EBITDA 1389 1197 192 1734
EBITDA Margin 7657 75 4666 63
EBIT 1371 1180 174 1661
EBIT Margin 76 74 43 60
PAT 889 770 114 1081
PAT Margin 50 49 28 39
EPS 22245 19277 2844 27061
in Rs Crore (except EPS)
EBITDA includes Other Income
24
23
Thank You
25
10
EAF World Production ndashWithout China amp China
Source WSA
Figures in mmt 66 71 65 57 54 47 52 75
100
160 175
353 373 366 301 356
383 383 372 380 360 366
398 415
432 449
9
2011
12
2009 2006 2020 2013 2018(P) 2012 2010 2007 2008 2014
6
2015
6
2016 2017
20 21
2022
+11
134 China EAF EAF World wo China of EAF China
The estimates between 2018 amp 2022 are taken at growth rate of 3 per annum for rest of the world Additional EAF capacity of 110 mmt between 2016 and 2020 would mean an additional demand of appx 275000 mt of GE in China Which may further go
upto 310000 mt by 2022 There could be a window of opportunity for companies like us to export electrodes to china in this period as new electrode capacities in china would take
longer time to come up than steel capacity 12
11 HEG Ltd copy LNJ Bhilwara Group
This year the application of the restriction will be more rigid amp strict amp have been
advanced from 1 Oct to 31 Mar compared to 15 Oct to 15 Mar last year
Export of Steel is likely to keep falling in near future
China likely to add around 200 million tons scrap per annum for the next few
years
In order to discourage export of scrap they have imposed a 40 export duty
Central Government has given limits on Environment and if limits are breached
Governors will be removed
50 of Chinese steel is produced within 700-800 kms radius of Beijing
Blue Sky Policy
Chinese Government is taking air pollution control measures seriously
13
12 HEG Ltd copy LNJ Bhilwara Group
China is in the fifth year of a ldquowar on pollutionrdquo
2017 environment control was not very serious ndash being first year allowed 60-
65 capacity utilization against 50 orders but this year it will be much more
stringent amp the impact may be higher
Last year Environmental Policy affected 28 cities within China this year more
than 80 cities may be affected
EAF carbon emissions is 86 less than BOF gas amp 72 less than BOF solid gas
Chinarsquos Hebei Province Gets Tough on Steel Mills to Meet Low Emissions
Targets until 31 Octrsquo18 in case of failure to meet the targets companies will be
ordered to shut down
Two Chinese Cities of Hebei Province Set to Observe 50 Production Cuts
during Winter Heating Season
China Pollution Crack Down
14
13
Chinarsquos Steel Capacity outlook 2018
bull Capacity reduction ahead of expectations net capacity reduction
achieved 115 mmt vs 150 mmt target The balance is expected
to close down in this year
bull Additional ~155 mmt illegal induction furnace capacity closed
bull Many of these is being replaced by new electric arc furnaces
bull 105 new EAFs with capacity of 66 mmt have been installed or
commenced construction in China in 2017
bull Steel replacement policy in favour of EAF v BF New measure
requires capacity replacement in Beijing and 6 other provinces to
keep the ratio at 1251 level or more For other regions the ratio
become higher than 11 effectively reducing steel capacity
bull As per CISA China steel capacity to be brought below 1 bn mt
by 2025
IFs capacity closure in Major Regions
Source ndash WSA 15
14 HEG Ltd copy LNJ Bhilwara Group
74
58
76
65
70
68
70
65
51
50
47
49
57
65
69
69
58
59
60
May
Jan
Feb
Apr
Mar
Jun
Aug
Jul
Sep
Oct
CY17
CY 18
Monthly Chinese Exports in MnT
Chinese Steel Exports Further Down 11 Y-o-Y Jan-Seprsquo18
CY-14
112
CY-17 CY-15 CY-16 CY-18 (e)
70
93
108
76
China Steel Exports
(MT)
Annualized based on 8 months actuals
16
15
Chinese Steel Exports
10801120 120
100
20
0
50
80
40
60
40
30
20
10
00
MT
CY17
756
CY16 CY15 CY14
930
EU (28) Africa Middle-East World USA India
Fall of gt50 in
most geographies
from CY15 levels
bull In Jan-Sep 2018 it further fell down to annualized 70 million tons
Exhibit 1 Chinese steel exports have fallen sharply in CY17
Source Bloomberg Centrum Research 17
16 16
Conclusion on EAF Steel
EAF Steel production is expected to grow at a faster
pace compared to BOF because of following reasons
bull Replacement of Induction furnaces amp polluting blast
furnaces in China by EAFs
bull EAF Share in China to grow from 6 in 2016 to 20 in
2020
bull Chinese scrap availability to increase at the CAGR of 4
(approx 200 million tons scrap per annum) for the next
20-25 years facilitating growth of EAF
bull Continuous increase in share of EAF in rest of the world
due to pollution concerns on BOF and less capital
intensive nature of EAFs
bull As Chinarsquos steel exports keep dropping the Rest of the
World Steel production keeps increasing where EAF
accounts for 45 of Steel Production
18
17
Graphite Electrode (GE) Industry
19
18
Industry Overview ndash Indiarsquos Rising Share (wo China amp Russia)
0
20
40
60
33
14
30
3
23
32 32
23
54
0
26
Graftech SGL Japan
32
India
2010 1990 2017
20
19
GE Capacity Evolution (wo China amp Russia)
S No Company Name 2010 2014 2017 No of plants
1 SDK 105 105 225 5
2 Tokai 100 100 95 4
3 NCK SEC 60 60 60 2
Sub-Total Japan (A) 265 265 380 11
4 Graftech 245 185 167 3
5 SGL 230 180 0 0
Sub-Total USEurope (B) 475 365 167 3
Sub-Total ( A + B ) 740 630 547 14
6 HEG 60 80 80 1
7 GIL 60 98 98 4
Sub-Total India (C) 120 178 178 5
Grand Total 860 808 725 19
Total of 7 plants closed between 2010 amp 2016 in USA Canada Brazil Germany Italy amp South Africa 21
20
GE Industry Development
7 GE plants got closed
between 2010 and 2016 20
of world capacity due to
demand supply imbalance
Currently 19 plants in 15
countries comprising 725000
tons capacity are working at
85-90 capacity utilization amp
are unable to cope with the
additional demand due to rise
in EAF steel production
causing shooting up of GE
prices
Almost 300000 tons of
inefficientpolluting GE
capacity in China has been
shut down thereby causing
shortage of GE within China amp
reduction of Chinese exports
further contributing to price
rise of GE
22
21 21
Needle Coke Scenario
bull Needle coke is the main raw material for GE production amp is very critical
for the growth of GE industry
bull Due to excess capacity of needle coke in the recent past some of the
needle coke producers have been trying to find a new application for coke
in the Lithium Ion batteries
bull In the last couple of years needle coke has been successfully used in this
application and a reasonably large part of needle coke is now being used in
China in Lithium Ion batteries
bull With the sudden increase in demand of GE needle coke availability has
become a bottleneck
bull All Global GE manufacturers are not able to operate beyond 85-90 capacity
utilization
bull One of the largest producers of needle coke is debottlenecking its capacity
enabling them to increase its production by around 50-60000 mt
bull This is likely to be on stream in the 2nd half of 2018 and should help the
Graphite Industry to some extend for short term Q4 2018 onwards
23
22
Financial Snapshot
Jul-Sep 2018 (Quarterly)
Apr-Jun 2018 (Quarterly)
Jul-Sep 2017 (Quarterly)
Aprrsquo17-Marrsquo18 (Annually)
REVENUE 1794 1587 410 2758
EBITDA 1389 1197 192 1734
EBITDA Margin 7657 75 4666 63
EBIT 1371 1180 174 1661
EBIT Margin 76 74 43 60
PAT 889 770 114 1081
PAT Margin 50 49 28 39
EPS 22245 19277 2844 27061
in Rs Crore (except EPS)
EBITDA includes Other Income
24
23
Thank You
25
11 HEG Ltd copy LNJ Bhilwara Group
This year the application of the restriction will be more rigid amp strict amp have been
advanced from 1 Oct to 31 Mar compared to 15 Oct to 15 Mar last year
Export of Steel is likely to keep falling in near future
China likely to add around 200 million tons scrap per annum for the next few
years
In order to discourage export of scrap they have imposed a 40 export duty
Central Government has given limits on Environment and if limits are breached
Governors will be removed
50 of Chinese steel is produced within 700-800 kms radius of Beijing
Blue Sky Policy
Chinese Government is taking air pollution control measures seriously
13
12 HEG Ltd copy LNJ Bhilwara Group
China is in the fifth year of a ldquowar on pollutionrdquo
2017 environment control was not very serious ndash being first year allowed 60-
65 capacity utilization against 50 orders but this year it will be much more
stringent amp the impact may be higher
Last year Environmental Policy affected 28 cities within China this year more
than 80 cities may be affected
EAF carbon emissions is 86 less than BOF gas amp 72 less than BOF solid gas
Chinarsquos Hebei Province Gets Tough on Steel Mills to Meet Low Emissions
Targets until 31 Octrsquo18 in case of failure to meet the targets companies will be
ordered to shut down
Two Chinese Cities of Hebei Province Set to Observe 50 Production Cuts
during Winter Heating Season
China Pollution Crack Down
14
13
Chinarsquos Steel Capacity outlook 2018
bull Capacity reduction ahead of expectations net capacity reduction
achieved 115 mmt vs 150 mmt target The balance is expected
to close down in this year
bull Additional ~155 mmt illegal induction furnace capacity closed
bull Many of these is being replaced by new electric arc furnaces
bull 105 new EAFs with capacity of 66 mmt have been installed or
commenced construction in China in 2017
bull Steel replacement policy in favour of EAF v BF New measure
requires capacity replacement in Beijing and 6 other provinces to
keep the ratio at 1251 level or more For other regions the ratio
become higher than 11 effectively reducing steel capacity
bull As per CISA China steel capacity to be brought below 1 bn mt
by 2025
IFs capacity closure in Major Regions
Source ndash WSA 15
14 HEG Ltd copy LNJ Bhilwara Group
74
58
76
65
70
68
70
65
51
50
47
49
57
65
69
69
58
59
60
May
Jan
Feb
Apr
Mar
Jun
Aug
Jul
Sep
Oct
CY17
CY 18
Monthly Chinese Exports in MnT
Chinese Steel Exports Further Down 11 Y-o-Y Jan-Seprsquo18
CY-14
112
CY-17 CY-15 CY-16 CY-18 (e)
70
93
108
76
China Steel Exports
(MT)
Annualized based on 8 months actuals
16
15
Chinese Steel Exports
10801120 120
100
20
0
50
80
40
60
40
30
20
10
00
MT
CY17
756
CY16 CY15 CY14
930
EU (28) Africa Middle-East World USA India
Fall of gt50 in
most geographies
from CY15 levels
bull In Jan-Sep 2018 it further fell down to annualized 70 million tons
Exhibit 1 Chinese steel exports have fallen sharply in CY17
Source Bloomberg Centrum Research 17
16 16
Conclusion on EAF Steel
EAF Steel production is expected to grow at a faster
pace compared to BOF because of following reasons
bull Replacement of Induction furnaces amp polluting blast
furnaces in China by EAFs
bull EAF Share in China to grow from 6 in 2016 to 20 in
2020
bull Chinese scrap availability to increase at the CAGR of 4
(approx 200 million tons scrap per annum) for the next
20-25 years facilitating growth of EAF
bull Continuous increase in share of EAF in rest of the world
due to pollution concerns on BOF and less capital
intensive nature of EAFs
bull As Chinarsquos steel exports keep dropping the Rest of the
World Steel production keeps increasing where EAF
accounts for 45 of Steel Production
18
17
Graphite Electrode (GE) Industry
19
18
Industry Overview ndash Indiarsquos Rising Share (wo China amp Russia)
0
20
40
60
33
14
30
3
23
32 32
23
54
0
26
Graftech SGL Japan
32
India
2010 1990 2017
20
19
GE Capacity Evolution (wo China amp Russia)
S No Company Name 2010 2014 2017 No of plants
1 SDK 105 105 225 5
2 Tokai 100 100 95 4
3 NCK SEC 60 60 60 2
Sub-Total Japan (A) 265 265 380 11
4 Graftech 245 185 167 3
5 SGL 230 180 0 0
Sub-Total USEurope (B) 475 365 167 3
Sub-Total ( A + B ) 740 630 547 14
6 HEG 60 80 80 1
7 GIL 60 98 98 4
Sub-Total India (C) 120 178 178 5
Grand Total 860 808 725 19
Total of 7 plants closed between 2010 amp 2016 in USA Canada Brazil Germany Italy amp South Africa 21
20
GE Industry Development
7 GE plants got closed
between 2010 and 2016 20
of world capacity due to
demand supply imbalance
Currently 19 plants in 15
countries comprising 725000
tons capacity are working at
85-90 capacity utilization amp
are unable to cope with the
additional demand due to rise
in EAF steel production
causing shooting up of GE
prices
Almost 300000 tons of
inefficientpolluting GE
capacity in China has been
shut down thereby causing
shortage of GE within China amp
reduction of Chinese exports
further contributing to price
rise of GE
22
21 21
Needle Coke Scenario
bull Needle coke is the main raw material for GE production amp is very critical
for the growth of GE industry
bull Due to excess capacity of needle coke in the recent past some of the
needle coke producers have been trying to find a new application for coke
in the Lithium Ion batteries
bull In the last couple of years needle coke has been successfully used in this
application and a reasonably large part of needle coke is now being used in
China in Lithium Ion batteries
bull With the sudden increase in demand of GE needle coke availability has
become a bottleneck
bull All Global GE manufacturers are not able to operate beyond 85-90 capacity
utilization
bull One of the largest producers of needle coke is debottlenecking its capacity
enabling them to increase its production by around 50-60000 mt
bull This is likely to be on stream in the 2nd half of 2018 and should help the
Graphite Industry to some extend for short term Q4 2018 onwards
23
22
Financial Snapshot
Jul-Sep 2018 (Quarterly)
Apr-Jun 2018 (Quarterly)
Jul-Sep 2017 (Quarterly)
Aprrsquo17-Marrsquo18 (Annually)
REVENUE 1794 1587 410 2758
EBITDA 1389 1197 192 1734
EBITDA Margin 7657 75 4666 63
EBIT 1371 1180 174 1661
EBIT Margin 76 74 43 60
PAT 889 770 114 1081
PAT Margin 50 49 28 39
EPS 22245 19277 2844 27061
in Rs Crore (except EPS)
EBITDA includes Other Income
24
23
Thank You
25
12 HEG Ltd copy LNJ Bhilwara Group
China is in the fifth year of a ldquowar on pollutionrdquo
2017 environment control was not very serious ndash being first year allowed 60-
65 capacity utilization against 50 orders but this year it will be much more
stringent amp the impact may be higher
Last year Environmental Policy affected 28 cities within China this year more
than 80 cities may be affected
EAF carbon emissions is 86 less than BOF gas amp 72 less than BOF solid gas
Chinarsquos Hebei Province Gets Tough on Steel Mills to Meet Low Emissions
Targets until 31 Octrsquo18 in case of failure to meet the targets companies will be
ordered to shut down
Two Chinese Cities of Hebei Province Set to Observe 50 Production Cuts
during Winter Heating Season
China Pollution Crack Down
14
13
Chinarsquos Steel Capacity outlook 2018
bull Capacity reduction ahead of expectations net capacity reduction
achieved 115 mmt vs 150 mmt target The balance is expected
to close down in this year
bull Additional ~155 mmt illegal induction furnace capacity closed
bull Many of these is being replaced by new electric arc furnaces
bull 105 new EAFs with capacity of 66 mmt have been installed or
commenced construction in China in 2017
bull Steel replacement policy in favour of EAF v BF New measure
requires capacity replacement in Beijing and 6 other provinces to
keep the ratio at 1251 level or more For other regions the ratio
become higher than 11 effectively reducing steel capacity
bull As per CISA China steel capacity to be brought below 1 bn mt
by 2025
IFs capacity closure in Major Regions
Source ndash WSA 15
14 HEG Ltd copy LNJ Bhilwara Group
74
58
76
65
70
68
70
65
51
50
47
49
57
65
69
69
58
59
60
May
Jan
Feb
Apr
Mar
Jun
Aug
Jul
Sep
Oct
CY17
CY 18
Monthly Chinese Exports in MnT
Chinese Steel Exports Further Down 11 Y-o-Y Jan-Seprsquo18
CY-14
112
CY-17 CY-15 CY-16 CY-18 (e)
70
93
108
76
China Steel Exports
(MT)
Annualized based on 8 months actuals
16
15
Chinese Steel Exports
10801120 120
100
20
0
50
80
40
60
40
30
20
10
00
MT
CY17
756
CY16 CY15 CY14
930
EU (28) Africa Middle-East World USA India
Fall of gt50 in
most geographies
from CY15 levels
bull In Jan-Sep 2018 it further fell down to annualized 70 million tons
Exhibit 1 Chinese steel exports have fallen sharply in CY17
Source Bloomberg Centrum Research 17
16 16
Conclusion on EAF Steel
EAF Steel production is expected to grow at a faster
pace compared to BOF because of following reasons
bull Replacement of Induction furnaces amp polluting blast
furnaces in China by EAFs
bull EAF Share in China to grow from 6 in 2016 to 20 in
2020
bull Chinese scrap availability to increase at the CAGR of 4
(approx 200 million tons scrap per annum) for the next
20-25 years facilitating growth of EAF
bull Continuous increase in share of EAF in rest of the world
due to pollution concerns on BOF and less capital
intensive nature of EAFs
bull As Chinarsquos steel exports keep dropping the Rest of the
World Steel production keeps increasing where EAF
accounts for 45 of Steel Production
18
17
Graphite Electrode (GE) Industry
19
18
Industry Overview ndash Indiarsquos Rising Share (wo China amp Russia)
0
20
40
60
33
14
30
3
23
32 32
23
54
0
26
Graftech SGL Japan
32
India
2010 1990 2017
20
19
GE Capacity Evolution (wo China amp Russia)
S No Company Name 2010 2014 2017 No of plants
1 SDK 105 105 225 5
2 Tokai 100 100 95 4
3 NCK SEC 60 60 60 2
Sub-Total Japan (A) 265 265 380 11
4 Graftech 245 185 167 3
5 SGL 230 180 0 0
Sub-Total USEurope (B) 475 365 167 3
Sub-Total ( A + B ) 740 630 547 14
6 HEG 60 80 80 1
7 GIL 60 98 98 4
Sub-Total India (C) 120 178 178 5
Grand Total 860 808 725 19
Total of 7 plants closed between 2010 amp 2016 in USA Canada Brazil Germany Italy amp South Africa 21
20
GE Industry Development
7 GE plants got closed
between 2010 and 2016 20
of world capacity due to
demand supply imbalance
Currently 19 plants in 15
countries comprising 725000
tons capacity are working at
85-90 capacity utilization amp
are unable to cope with the
additional demand due to rise
in EAF steel production
causing shooting up of GE
prices
Almost 300000 tons of
inefficientpolluting GE
capacity in China has been
shut down thereby causing
shortage of GE within China amp
reduction of Chinese exports
further contributing to price
rise of GE
22
21 21
Needle Coke Scenario
bull Needle coke is the main raw material for GE production amp is very critical
for the growth of GE industry
bull Due to excess capacity of needle coke in the recent past some of the
needle coke producers have been trying to find a new application for coke
in the Lithium Ion batteries
bull In the last couple of years needle coke has been successfully used in this
application and a reasonably large part of needle coke is now being used in
China in Lithium Ion batteries
bull With the sudden increase in demand of GE needle coke availability has
become a bottleneck
bull All Global GE manufacturers are not able to operate beyond 85-90 capacity
utilization
bull One of the largest producers of needle coke is debottlenecking its capacity
enabling them to increase its production by around 50-60000 mt
bull This is likely to be on stream in the 2nd half of 2018 and should help the
Graphite Industry to some extend for short term Q4 2018 onwards
23
22
Financial Snapshot
Jul-Sep 2018 (Quarterly)
Apr-Jun 2018 (Quarterly)
Jul-Sep 2017 (Quarterly)
Aprrsquo17-Marrsquo18 (Annually)
REVENUE 1794 1587 410 2758
EBITDA 1389 1197 192 1734
EBITDA Margin 7657 75 4666 63
EBIT 1371 1180 174 1661
EBIT Margin 76 74 43 60
PAT 889 770 114 1081
PAT Margin 50 49 28 39
EPS 22245 19277 2844 27061
in Rs Crore (except EPS)
EBITDA includes Other Income
24
23
Thank You
25
13
Chinarsquos Steel Capacity outlook 2018
bull Capacity reduction ahead of expectations net capacity reduction
achieved 115 mmt vs 150 mmt target The balance is expected
to close down in this year
bull Additional ~155 mmt illegal induction furnace capacity closed
bull Many of these is being replaced by new electric arc furnaces
bull 105 new EAFs with capacity of 66 mmt have been installed or
commenced construction in China in 2017
bull Steel replacement policy in favour of EAF v BF New measure
requires capacity replacement in Beijing and 6 other provinces to
keep the ratio at 1251 level or more For other regions the ratio
become higher than 11 effectively reducing steel capacity
bull As per CISA China steel capacity to be brought below 1 bn mt
by 2025
IFs capacity closure in Major Regions
Source ndash WSA 15
14 HEG Ltd copy LNJ Bhilwara Group
74
58
76
65
70
68
70
65
51
50
47
49
57
65
69
69
58
59
60
May
Jan
Feb
Apr
Mar
Jun
Aug
Jul
Sep
Oct
CY17
CY 18
Monthly Chinese Exports in MnT
Chinese Steel Exports Further Down 11 Y-o-Y Jan-Seprsquo18
CY-14
112
CY-17 CY-15 CY-16 CY-18 (e)
70
93
108
76
China Steel Exports
(MT)
Annualized based on 8 months actuals
16
15
Chinese Steel Exports
10801120 120
100
20
0
50
80
40
60
40
30
20
10
00
MT
CY17
756
CY16 CY15 CY14
930
EU (28) Africa Middle-East World USA India
Fall of gt50 in
most geographies
from CY15 levels
bull In Jan-Sep 2018 it further fell down to annualized 70 million tons
Exhibit 1 Chinese steel exports have fallen sharply in CY17
Source Bloomberg Centrum Research 17
16 16
Conclusion on EAF Steel
EAF Steel production is expected to grow at a faster
pace compared to BOF because of following reasons
bull Replacement of Induction furnaces amp polluting blast
furnaces in China by EAFs
bull EAF Share in China to grow from 6 in 2016 to 20 in
2020
bull Chinese scrap availability to increase at the CAGR of 4
(approx 200 million tons scrap per annum) for the next
20-25 years facilitating growth of EAF
bull Continuous increase in share of EAF in rest of the world
due to pollution concerns on BOF and less capital
intensive nature of EAFs
bull As Chinarsquos steel exports keep dropping the Rest of the
World Steel production keeps increasing where EAF
accounts for 45 of Steel Production
18
17
Graphite Electrode (GE) Industry
19
18
Industry Overview ndash Indiarsquos Rising Share (wo China amp Russia)
0
20
40
60
33
14
30
3
23
32 32
23
54
0
26
Graftech SGL Japan
32
India
2010 1990 2017
20
19
GE Capacity Evolution (wo China amp Russia)
S No Company Name 2010 2014 2017 No of plants
1 SDK 105 105 225 5
2 Tokai 100 100 95 4
3 NCK SEC 60 60 60 2
Sub-Total Japan (A) 265 265 380 11
4 Graftech 245 185 167 3
5 SGL 230 180 0 0
Sub-Total USEurope (B) 475 365 167 3
Sub-Total ( A + B ) 740 630 547 14
6 HEG 60 80 80 1
7 GIL 60 98 98 4
Sub-Total India (C) 120 178 178 5
Grand Total 860 808 725 19
Total of 7 plants closed between 2010 amp 2016 in USA Canada Brazil Germany Italy amp South Africa 21
20
GE Industry Development
7 GE plants got closed
between 2010 and 2016 20
of world capacity due to
demand supply imbalance
Currently 19 plants in 15
countries comprising 725000
tons capacity are working at
85-90 capacity utilization amp
are unable to cope with the
additional demand due to rise
in EAF steel production
causing shooting up of GE
prices
Almost 300000 tons of
inefficientpolluting GE
capacity in China has been
shut down thereby causing
shortage of GE within China amp
reduction of Chinese exports
further contributing to price
rise of GE
22
21 21
Needle Coke Scenario
bull Needle coke is the main raw material for GE production amp is very critical
for the growth of GE industry
bull Due to excess capacity of needle coke in the recent past some of the
needle coke producers have been trying to find a new application for coke
in the Lithium Ion batteries
bull In the last couple of years needle coke has been successfully used in this
application and a reasonably large part of needle coke is now being used in
China in Lithium Ion batteries
bull With the sudden increase in demand of GE needle coke availability has
become a bottleneck
bull All Global GE manufacturers are not able to operate beyond 85-90 capacity
utilization
bull One of the largest producers of needle coke is debottlenecking its capacity
enabling them to increase its production by around 50-60000 mt
bull This is likely to be on stream in the 2nd half of 2018 and should help the
Graphite Industry to some extend for short term Q4 2018 onwards
23
22
Financial Snapshot
Jul-Sep 2018 (Quarterly)
Apr-Jun 2018 (Quarterly)
Jul-Sep 2017 (Quarterly)
Aprrsquo17-Marrsquo18 (Annually)
REVENUE 1794 1587 410 2758
EBITDA 1389 1197 192 1734
EBITDA Margin 7657 75 4666 63
EBIT 1371 1180 174 1661
EBIT Margin 76 74 43 60
PAT 889 770 114 1081
PAT Margin 50 49 28 39
EPS 22245 19277 2844 27061
in Rs Crore (except EPS)
EBITDA includes Other Income
24
23
Thank You
25
14 HEG Ltd copy LNJ Bhilwara Group
74
58
76
65
70
68
70
65
51
50
47
49
57
65
69
69
58
59
60
May
Jan
Feb
Apr
Mar
Jun
Aug
Jul
Sep
Oct
CY17
CY 18
Monthly Chinese Exports in MnT
Chinese Steel Exports Further Down 11 Y-o-Y Jan-Seprsquo18
CY-14
112
CY-17 CY-15 CY-16 CY-18 (e)
70
93
108
76
China Steel Exports
(MT)
Annualized based on 8 months actuals
16
15
Chinese Steel Exports
10801120 120
100
20
0
50
80
40
60
40
30
20
10
00
MT
CY17
756
CY16 CY15 CY14
930
EU (28) Africa Middle-East World USA India
Fall of gt50 in
most geographies
from CY15 levels
bull In Jan-Sep 2018 it further fell down to annualized 70 million tons
Exhibit 1 Chinese steel exports have fallen sharply in CY17
Source Bloomberg Centrum Research 17
16 16
Conclusion on EAF Steel
EAF Steel production is expected to grow at a faster
pace compared to BOF because of following reasons
bull Replacement of Induction furnaces amp polluting blast
furnaces in China by EAFs
bull EAF Share in China to grow from 6 in 2016 to 20 in
2020
bull Chinese scrap availability to increase at the CAGR of 4
(approx 200 million tons scrap per annum) for the next
20-25 years facilitating growth of EAF
bull Continuous increase in share of EAF in rest of the world
due to pollution concerns on BOF and less capital
intensive nature of EAFs
bull As Chinarsquos steel exports keep dropping the Rest of the
World Steel production keeps increasing where EAF
accounts for 45 of Steel Production
18
17
Graphite Electrode (GE) Industry
19
18
Industry Overview ndash Indiarsquos Rising Share (wo China amp Russia)
0
20
40
60
33
14
30
3
23
32 32
23
54
0
26
Graftech SGL Japan
32
India
2010 1990 2017
20
19
GE Capacity Evolution (wo China amp Russia)
S No Company Name 2010 2014 2017 No of plants
1 SDK 105 105 225 5
2 Tokai 100 100 95 4
3 NCK SEC 60 60 60 2
Sub-Total Japan (A) 265 265 380 11
4 Graftech 245 185 167 3
5 SGL 230 180 0 0
Sub-Total USEurope (B) 475 365 167 3
Sub-Total ( A + B ) 740 630 547 14
6 HEG 60 80 80 1
7 GIL 60 98 98 4
Sub-Total India (C) 120 178 178 5
Grand Total 860 808 725 19
Total of 7 plants closed between 2010 amp 2016 in USA Canada Brazil Germany Italy amp South Africa 21
20
GE Industry Development
7 GE plants got closed
between 2010 and 2016 20
of world capacity due to
demand supply imbalance
Currently 19 plants in 15
countries comprising 725000
tons capacity are working at
85-90 capacity utilization amp
are unable to cope with the
additional demand due to rise
in EAF steel production
causing shooting up of GE
prices
Almost 300000 tons of
inefficientpolluting GE
capacity in China has been
shut down thereby causing
shortage of GE within China amp
reduction of Chinese exports
further contributing to price
rise of GE
22
21 21
Needle Coke Scenario
bull Needle coke is the main raw material for GE production amp is very critical
for the growth of GE industry
bull Due to excess capacity of needle coke in the recent past some of the
needle coke producers have been trying to find a new application for coke
in the Lithium Ion batteries
bull In the last couple of years needle coke has been successfully used in this
application and a reasonably large part of needle coke is now being used in
China in Lithium Ion batteries
bull With the sudden increase in demand of GE needle coke availability has
become a bottleneck
bull All Global GE manufacturers are not able to operate beyond 85-90 capacity
utilization
bull One of the largest producers of needle coke is debottlenecking its capacity
enabling them to increase its production by around 50-60000 mt
bull This is likely to be on stream in the 2nd half of 2018 and should help the
Graphite Industry to some extend for short term Q4 2018 onwards
23
22
Financial Snapshot
Jul-Sep 2018 (Quarterly)
Apr-Jun 2018 (Quarterly)
Jul-Sep 2017 (Quarterly)
Aprrsquo17-Marrsquo18 (Annually)
REVENUE 1794 1587 410 2758
EBITDA 1389 1197 192 1734
EBITDA Margin 7657 75 4666 63
EBIT 1371 1180 174 1661
EBIT Margin 76 74 43 60
PAT 889 770 114 1081
PAT Margin 50 49 28 39
EPS 22245 19277 2844 27061
in Rs Crore (except EPS)
EBITDA includes Other Income
24
23
Thank You
25
15
Chinese Steel Exports
10801120 120
100
20
0
50
80
40
60
40
30
20
10
00
MT
CY17
756
CY16 CY15 CY14
930
EU (28) Africa Middle-East World USA India
Fall of gt50 in
most geographies
from CY15 levels
bull In Jan-Sep 2018 it further fell down to annualized 70 million tons
Exhibit 1 Chinese steel exports have fallen sharply in CY17
Source Bloomberg Centrum Research 17
16 16
Conclusion on EAF Steel
EAF Steel production is expected to grow at a faster
pace compared to BOF because of following reasons
bull Replacement of Induction furnaces amp polluting blast
furnaces in China by EAFs
bull EAF Share in China to grow from 6 in 2016 to 20 in
2020
bull Chinese scrap availability to increase at the CAGR of 4
(approx 200 million tons scrap per annum) for the next
20-25 years facilitating growth of EAF
bull Continuous increase in share of EAF in rest of the world
due to pollution concerns on BOF and less capital
intensive nature of EAFs
bull As Chinarsquos steel exports keep dropping the Rest of the
World Steel production keeps increasing where EAF
accounts for 45 of Steel Production
18
17
Graphite Electrode (GE) Industry
19
18
Industry Overview ndash Indiarsquos Rising Share (wo China amp Russia)
0
20
40
60
33
14
30
3
23
32 32
23
54
0
26
Graftech SGL Japan
32
India
2010 1990 2017
20
19
GE Capacity Evolution (wo China amp Russia)
S No Company Name 2010 2014 2017 No of plants
1 SDK 105 105 225 5
2 Tokai 100 100 95 4
3 NCK SEC 60 60 60 2
Sub-Total Japan (A) 265 265 380 11
4 Graftech 245 185 167 3
5 SGL 230 180 0 0
Sub-Total USEurope (B) 475 365 167 3
Sub-Total ( A + B ) 740 630 547 14
6 HEG 60 80 80 1
7 GIL 60 98 98 4
Sub-Total India (C) 120 178 178 5
Grand Total 860 808 725 19
Total of 7 plants closed between 2010 amp 2016 in USA Canada Brazil Germany Italy amp South Africa 21
20
GE Industry Development
7 GE plants got closed
between 2010 and 2016 20
of world capacity due to
demand supply imbalance
Currently 19 plants in 15
countries comprising 725000
tons capacity are working at
85-90 capacity utilization amp
are unable to cope with the
additional demand due to rise
in EAF steel production
causing shooting up of GE
prices
Almost 300000 tons of
inefficientpolluting GE
capacity in China has been
shut down thereby causing
shortage of GE within China amp
reduction of Chinese exports
further contributing to price
rise of GE
22
21 21
Needle Coke Scenario
bull Needle coke is the main raw material for GE production amp is very critical
for the growth of GE industry
bull Due to excess capacity of needle coke in the recent past some of the
needle coke producers have been trying to find a new application for coke
in the Lithium Ion batteries
bull In the last couple of years needle coke has been successfully used in this
application and a reasonably large part of needle coke is now being used in
China in Lithium Ion batteries
bull With the sudden increase in demand of GE needle coke availability has
become a bottleneck
bull All Global GE manufacturers are not able to operate beyond 85-90 capacity
utilization
bull One of the largest producers of needle coke is debottlenecking its capacity
enabling them to increase its production by around 50-60000 mt
bull This is likely to be on stream in the 2nd half of 2018 and should help the
Graphite Industry to some extend for short term Q4 2018 onwards
23
22
Financial Snapshot
Jul-Sep 2018 (Quarterly)
Apr-Jun 2018 (Quarterly)
Jul-Sep 2017 (Quarterly)
Aprrsquo17-Marrsquo18 (Annually)
REVENUE 1794 1587 410 2758
EBITDA 1389 1197 192 1734
EBITDA Margin 7657 75 4666 63
EBIT 1371 1180 174 1661
EBIT Margin 76 74 43 60
PAT 889 770 114 1081
PAT Margin 50 49 28 39
EPS 22245 19277 2844 27061
in Rs Crore (except EPS)
EBITDA includes Other Income
24
23
Thank You
25
16 16
Conclusion on EAF Steel
EAF Steel production is expected to grow at a faster
pace compared to BOF because of following reasons
bull Replacement of Induction furnaces amp polluting blast
furnaces in China by EAFs
bull EAF Share in China to grow from 6 in 2016 to 20 in
2020
bull Chinese scrap availability to increase at the CAGR of 4
(approx 200 million tons scrap per annum) for the next
20-25 years facilitating growth of EAF
bull Continuous increase in share of EAF in rest of the world
due to pollution concerns on BOF and less capital
intensive nature of EAFs
bull As Chinarsquos steel exports keep dropping the Rest of the
World Steel production keeps increasing where EAF
accounts for 45 of Steel Production
18
17
Graphite Electrode (GE) Industry
19
18
Industry Overview ndash Indiarsquos Rising Share (wo China amp Russia)
0
20
40
60
33
14
30
3
23
32 32
23
54
0
26
Graftech SGL Japan
32
India
2010 1990 2017
20
19
GE Capacity Evolution (wo China amp Russia)
S No Company Name 2010 2014 2017 No of plants
1 SDK 105 105 225 5
2 Tokai 100 100 95 4
3 NCK SEC 60 60 60 2
Sub-Total Japan (A) 265 265 380 11
4 Graftech 245 185 167 3
5 SGL 230 180 0 0
Sub-Total USEurope (B) 475 365 167 3
Sub-Total ( A + B ) 740 630 547 14
6 HEG 60 80 80 1
7 GIL 60 98 98 4
Sub-Total India (C) 120 178 178 5
Grand Total 860 808 725 19
Total of 7 plants closed between 2010 amp 2016 in USA Canada Brazil Germany Italy amp South Africa 21
20
GE Industry Development
7 GE plants got closed
between 2010 and 2016 20
of world capacity due to
demand supply imbalance
Currently 19 plants in 15
countries comprising 725000
tons capacity are working at
85-90 capacity utilization amp
are unable to cope with the
additional demand due to rise
in EAF steel production
causing shooting up of GE
prices
Almost 300000 tons of
inefficientpolluting GE
capacity in China has been
shut down thereby causing
shortage of GE within China amp
reduction of Chinese exports
further contributing to price
rise of GE
22
21 21
Needle Coke Scenario
bull Needle coke is the main raw material for GE production amp is very critical
for the growth of GE industry
bull Due to excess capacity of needle coke in the recent past some of the
needle coke producers have been trying to find a new application for coke
in the Lithium Ion batteries
bull In the last couple of years needle coke has been successfully used in this
application and a reasonably large part of needle coke is now being used in
China in Lithium Ion batteries
bull With the sudden increase in demand of GE needle coke availability has
become a bottleneck
bull All Global GE manufacturers are not able to operate beyond 85-90 capacity
utilization
bull One of the largest producers of needle coke is debottlenecking its capacity
enabling them to increase its production by around 50-60000 mt
bull This is likely to be on stream in the 2nd half of 2018 and should help the
Graphite Industry to some extend for short term Q4 2018 onwards
23
22
Financial Snapshot
Jul-Sep 2018 (Quarterly)
Apr-Jun 2018 (Quarterly)
Jul-Sep 2017 (Quarterly)
Aprrsquo17-Marrsquo18 (Annually)
REVENUE 1794 1587 410 2758
EBITDA 1389 1197 192 1734
EBITDA Margin 7657 75 4666 63
EBIT 1371 1180 174 1661
EBIT Margin 76 74 43 60
PAT 889 770 114 1081
PAT Margin 50 49 28 39
EPS 22245 19277 2844 27061
in Rs Crore (except EPS)
EBITDA includes Other Income
24
23
Thank You
25
17
Graphite Electrode (GE) Industry
19
18
Industry Overview ndash Indiarsquos Rising Share (wo China amp Russia)
0
20
40
60
33
14
30
3
23
32 32
23
54
0
26
Graftech SGL Japan
32
India
2010 1990 2017
20
19
GE Capacity Evolution (wo China amp Russia)
S No Company Name 2010 2014 2017 No of plants
1 SDK 105 105 225 5
2 Tokai 100 100 95 4
3 NCK SEC 60 60 60 2
Sub-Total Japan (A) 265 265 380 11
4 Graftech 245 185 167 3
5 SGL 230 180 0 0
Sub-Total USEurope (B) 475 365 167 3
Sub-Total ( A + B ) 740 630 547 14
6 HEG 60 80 80 1
7 GIL 60 98 98 4
Sub-Total India (C) 120 178 178 5
Grand Total 860 808 725 19
Total of 7 plants closed between 2010 amp 2016 in USA Canada Brazil Germany Italy amp South Africa 21
20
GE Industry Development
7 GE plants got closed
between 2010 and 2016 20
of world capacity due to
demand supply imbalance
Currently 19 plants in 15
countries comprising 725000
tons capacity are working at
85-90 capacity utilization amp
are unable to cope with the
additional demand due to rise
in EAF steel production
causing shooting up of GE
prices
Almost 300000 tons of
inefficientpolluting GE
capacity in China has been
shut down thereby causing
shortage of GE within China amp
reduction of Chinese exports
further contributing to price
rise of GE
22
21 21
Needle Coke Scenario
bull Needle coke is the main raw material for GE production amp is very critical
for the growth of GE industry
bull Due to excess capacity of needle coke in the recent past some of the
needle coke producers have been trying to find a new application for coke
in the Lithium Ion batteries
bull In the last couple of years needle coke has been successfully used in this
application and a reasonably large part of needle coke is now being used in
China in Lithium Ion batteries
bull With the sudden increase in demand of GE needle coke availability has
become a bottleneck
bull All Global GE manufacturers are not able to operate beyond 85-90 capacity
utilization
bull One of the largest producers of needle coke is debottlenecking its capacity
enabling them to increase its production by around 50-60000 mt
bull This is likely to be on stream in the 2nd half of 2018 and should help the
Graphite Industry to some extend for short term Q4 2018 onwards
23
22
Financial Snapshot
Jul-Sep 2018 (Quarterly)
Apr-Jun 2018 (Quarterly)
Jul-Sep 2017 (Quarterly)
Aprrsquo17-Marrsquo18 (Annually)
REVENUE 1794 1587 410 2758
EBITDA 1389 1197 192 1734
EBITDA Margin 7657 75 4666 63
EBIT 1371 1180 174 1661
EBIT Margin 76 74 43 60
PAT 889 770 114 1081
PAT Margin 50 49 28 39
EPS 22245 19277 2844 27061
in Rs Crore (except EPS)
EBITDA includes Other Income
24
23
Thank You
25
18
Industry Overview ndash Indiarsquos Rising Share (wo China amp Russia)
0
20
40
60
33
14
30
3
23
32 32
23
54
0
26
Graftech SGL Japan
32
India
2010 1990 2017
20
19
GE Capacity Evolution (wo China amp Russia)
S No Company Name 2010 2014 2017 No of plants
1 SDK 105 105 225 5
2 Tokai 100 100 95 4
3 NCK SEC 60 60 60 2
Sub-Total Japan (A) 265 265 380 11
4 Graftech 245 185 167 3
5 SGL 230 180 0 0
Sub-Total USEurope (B) 475 365 167 3
Sub-Total ( A + B ) 740 630 547 14
6 HEG 60 80 80 1
7 GIL 60 98 98 4
Sub-Total India (C) 120 178 178 5
Grand Total 860 808 725 19
Total of 7 plants closed between 2010 amp 2016 in USA Canada Brazil Germany Italy amp South Africa 21
20
GE Industry Development
7 GE plants got closed
between 2010 and 2016 20
of world capacity due to
demand supply imbalance
Currently 19 plants in 15
countries comprising 725000
tons capacity are working at
85-90 capacity utilization amp
are unable to cope with the
additional demand due to rise
in EAF steel production
causing shooting up of GE
prices
Almost 300000 tons of
inefficientpolluting GE
capacity in China has been
shut down thereby causing
shortage of GE within China amp
reduction of Chinese exports
further contributing to price
rise of GE
22
21 21
Needle Coke Scenario
bull Needle coke is the main raw material for GE production amp is very critical
for the growth of GE industry
bull Due to excess capacity of needle coke in the recent past some of the
needle coke producers have been trying to find a new application for coke
in the Lithium Ion batteries
bull In the last couple of years needle coke has been successfully used in this
application and a reasonably large part of needle coke is now being used in
China in Lithium Ion batteries
bull With the sudden increase in demand of GE needle coke availability has
become a bottleneck
bull All Global GE manufacturers are not able to operate beyond 85-90 capacity
utilization
bull One of the largest producers of needle coke is debottlenecking its capacity
enabling them to increase its production by around 50-60000 mt
bull This is likely to be on stream in the 2nd half of 2018 and should help the
Graphite Industry to some extend for short term Q4 2018 onwards
23
22
Financial Snapshot
Jul-Sep 2018 (Quarterly)
Apr-Jun 2018 (Quarterly)
Jul-Sep 2017 (Quarterly)
Aprrsquo17-Marrsquo18 (Annually)
REVENUE 1794 1587 410 2758
EBITDA 1389 1197 192 1734
EBITDA Margin 7657 75 4666 63
EBIT 1371 1180 174 1661
EBIT Margin 76 74 43 60
PAT 889 770 114 1081
PAT Margin 50 49 28 39
EPS 22245 19277 2844 27061
in Rs Crore (except EPS)
EBITDA includes Other Income
24
23
Thank You
25
19
GE Capacity Evolution (wo China amp Russia)
S No Company Name 2010 2014 2017 No of plants
1 SDK 105 105 225 5
2 Tokai 100 100 95 4
3 NCK SEC 60 60 60 2
Sub-Total Japan (A) 265 265 380 11
4 Graftech 245 185 167 3
5 SGL 230 180 0 0
Sub-Total USEurope (B) 475 365 167 3
Sub-Total ( A + B ) 740 630 547 14
6 HEG 60 80 80 1
7 GIL 60 98 98 4
Sub-Total India (C) 120 178 178 5
Grand Total 860 808 725 19
Total of 7 plants closed between 2010 amp 2016 in USA Canada Brazil Germany Italy amp South Africa 21
20
GE Industry Development
7 GE plants got closed
between 2010 and 2016 20
of world capacity due to
demand supply imbalance
Currently 19 plants in 15
countries comprising 725000
tons capacity are working at
85-90 capacity utilization amp
are unable to cope with the
additional demand due to rise
in EAF steel production
causing shooting up of GE
prices
Almost 300000 tons of
inefficientpolluting GE
capacity in China has been
shut down thereby causing
shortage of GE within China amp
reduction of Chinese exports
further contributing to price
rise of GE
22
21 21
Needle Coke Scenario
bull Needle coke is the main raw material for GE production amp is very critical
for the growth of GE industry
bull Due to excess capacity of needle coke in the recent past some of the
needle coke producers have been trying to find a new application for coke
in the Lithium Ion batteries
bull In the last couple of years needle coke has been successfully used in this
application and a reasonably large part of needle coke is now being used in
China in Lithium Ion batteries
bull With the sudden increase in demand of GE needle coke availability has
become a bottleneck
bull All Global GE manufacturers are not able to operate beyond 85-90 capacity
utilization
bull One of the largest producers of needle coke is debottlenecking its capacity
enabling them to increase its production by around 50-60000 mt
bull This is likely to be on stream in the 2nd half of 2018 and should help the
Graphite Industry to some extend for short term Q4 2018 onwards
23
22
Financial Snapshot
Jul-Sep 2018 (Quarterly)
Apr-Jun 2018 (Quarterly)
Jul-Sep 2017 (Quarterly)
Aprrsquo17-Marrsquo18 (Annually)
REVENUE 1794 1587 410 2758
EBITDA 1389 1197 192 1734
EBITDA Margin 7657 75 4666 63
EBIT 1371 1180 174 1661
EBIT Margin 76 74 43 60
PAT 889 770 114 1081
PAT Margin 50 49 28 39
EPS 22245 19277 2844 27061
in Rs Crore (except EPS)
EBITDA includes Other Income
24
23
Thank You
25
20
GE Industry Development
7 GE plants got closed
between 2010 and 2016 20
of world capacity due to
demand supply imbalance
Currently 19 plants in 15
countries comprising 725000
tons capacity are working at
85-90 capacity utilization amp
are unable to cope with the
additional demand due to rise
in EAF steel production
causing shooting up of GE
prices
Almost 300000 tons of
inefficientpolluting GE
capacity in China has been
shut down thereby causing
shortage of GE within China amp
reduction of Chinese exports
further contributing to price
rise of GE
22
21 21
Needle Coke Scenario
bull Needle coke is the main raw material for GE production amp is very critical
for the growth of GE industry
bull Due to excess capacity of needle coke in the recent past some of the
needle coke producers have been trying to find a new application for coke
in the Lithium Ion batteries
bull In the last couple of years needle coke has been successfully used in this
application and a reasonably large part of needle coke is now being used in
China in Lithium Ion batteries
bull With the sudden increase in demand of GE needle coke availability has
become a bottleneck
bull All Global GE manufacturers are not able to operate beyond 85-90 capacity
utilization
bull One of the largest producers of needle coke is debottlenecking its capacity
enabling them to increase its production by around 50-60000 mt
bull This is likely to be on stream in the 2nd half of 2018 and should help the
Graphite Industry to some extend for short term Q4 2018 onwards
23
22
Financial Snapshot
Jul-Sep 2018 (Quarterly)
Apr-Jun 2018 (Quarterly)
Jul-Sep 2017 (Quarterly)
Aprrsquo17-Marrsquo18 (Annually)
REVENUE 1794 1587 410 2758
EBITDA 1389 1197 192 1734
EBITDA Margin 7657 75 4666 63
EBIT 1371 1180 174 1661
EBIT Margin 76 74 43 60
PAT 889 770 114 1081
PAT Margin 50 49 28 39
EPS 22245 19277 2844 27061
in Rs Crore (except EPS)
EBITDA includes Other Income
24
23
Thank You
25
21 21
Needle Coke Scenario
bull Needle coke is the main raw material for GE production amp is very critical
for the growth of GE industry
bull Due to excess capacity of needle coke in the recent past some of the
needle coke producers have been trying to find a new application for coke
in the Lithium Ion batteries
bull In the last couple of years needle coke has been successfully used in this
application and a reasonably large part of needle coke is now being used in
China in Lithium Ion batteries
bull With the sudden increase in demand of GE needle coke availability has
become a bottleneck
bull All Global GE manufacturers are not able to operate beyond 85-90 capacity
utilization
bull One of the largest producers of needle coke is debottlenecking its capacity
enabling them to increase its production by around 50-60000 mt
bull This is likely to be on stream in the 2nd half of 2018 and should help the
Graphite Industry to some extend for short term Q4 2018 onwards
23
22
Financial Snapshot
Jul-Sep 2018 (Quarterly)
Apr-Jun 2018 (Quarterly)
Jul-Sep 2017 (Quarterly)
Aprrsquo17-Marrsquo18 (Annually)
REVENUE 1794 1587 410 2758
EBITDA 1389 1197 192 1734
EBITDA Margin 7657 75 4666 63
EBIT 1371 1180 174 1661
EBIT Margin 76 74 43 60
PAT 889 770 114 1081
PAT Margin 50 49 28 39
EPS 22245 19277 2844 27061
in Rs Crore (except EPS)
EBITDA includes Other Income
24
23
Thank You
25
22
Financial Snapshot
Jul-Sep 2018 (Quarterly)
Apr-Jun 2018 (Quarterly)
Jul-Sep 2017 (Quarterly)
Aprrsquo17-Marrsquo18 (Annually)
REVENUE 1794 1587 410 2758
EBITDA 1389 1197 192 1734
EBITDA Margin 7657 75 4666 63
EBIT 1371 1180 174 1661
EBIT Margin 76 74 43 60
PAT 889 770 114 1081
PAT Margin 50 49 28 39
EPS 22245 19277 2844 27061
in Rs Crore (except EPS)
EBITDA includes Other Income
24
23
Thank You
25
23
Thank You
25