herbert gmoser, central institute for meteorology and geodynamics, head operational forecasting...

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Herbert GMOSER, Central Institute for Meteorology and Geodynamics, Head Operational Forecasting ECMWF Forecast Products Users Meeting 15 – 17 June 2005 ECMWF, Reading HERBERT GMOSER [email protected] Contribution of Austria, ZAMG

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Page 1: Herbert GMOSER, Central Institute for Meteorology and Geodynamics, Head Operational Forecasting ECMWF Forecast Products Users Meeting 15 – 17 June 2005

Herbert GMOSER, Central Institute for Meteorology and Geodynamics, Head Operational Forecasting

ECMWF

Forecast Products Users Meeting

15 – 17 June 2005

ECMWF, Reading

HERBERT GMOSER

[email protected]

Contribution of Austria, ZAMG

Page 2: Herbert GMOSER, Central Institute for Meteorology and Geodynamics, Head Operational Forecasting ECMWF Forecast Products Users Meeting 15 – 17 June 2005

Herbert GMOSER, Central Institute for Meteorology and Geodynamics, Head Operational Forecasting

Report on use and evaluation of

medium- and extended-range forecasts

at

Central Institute for Meteorology

and Geodynamics

VIENNA

Page 3: Herbert GMOSER, Central Institute for Meteorology and Geodynamics, Head Operational Forecasting ECMWF Forecast Products Users Meeting 15 – 17 June 2005

Herbert GMOSER, Central Institute for Meteorology and Geodynamics, Head Operational Forecasting

SEASONAL FORECASTS

MONTHLY FORECASTS

VERIFICATION of T511L60

Page 4: Herbert GMOSER, Central Institute for Meteorology and Geodynamics, Head Operational Forecasting ECMWF Forecast Products Users Meeting 15 – 17 June 2005

Herbert GMOSER, Central Institute for Meteorology and Geodynamics, Head Operational Forecasting

SEASONAL FORECASTS

Pre-operational phase

at

Central Institute for Meteorology

Austria, Vienna

Herbert GMOSER – Alexander KANN - Yong WANG

Page 5: Herbert GMOSER, Central Institute for Meteorology and Geodynamics, Head Operational Forecasting ECMWF Forecast Products Users Meeting 15 – 17 June 2005

Herbert GMOSER, Central Institute for Meteorology and Geodynamics, Head Operational Forecasting

Page 6: Herbert GMOSER, Central Institute for Meteorology and Geodynamics, Head Operational Forecasting ECMWF Forecast Products Users Meeting 15 – 17 June 2005

Herbert GMOSER, Central Institute for Meteorology and Geodynamics, Head Operational Forecasting

Page 7: Herbert GMOSER, Central Institute for Meteorology and Geodynamics, Head Operational Forecasting ECMWF Forecast Products Users Meeting 15 – 17 June 2005

Herbert GMOSER, Central Institute for Meteorology and Geodynamics, Head Operational Forecasting

Page 8: Herbert GMOSER, Central Institute for Meteorology and Geodynamics, Head Operational Forecasting ECMWF Forecast Products Users Meeting 15 – 17 June 2005

Herbert GMOSER, Central Institute for Meteorology and Geodynamics, Head Operational Forecasting

Page 9: Herbert GMOSER, Central Institute for Meteorology and Geodynamics, Head Operational Forecasting ECMWF Forecast Products Users Meeting 15 – 17 June 2005

Herbert GMOSER, Central Institute for Meteorology and Geodynamics, Head Operational Forecasting

Page 10: Herbert GMOSER, Central Institute for Meteorology and Geodynamics, Head Operational Forecasting ECMWF Forecast Products Users Meeting 15 – 17 June 2005

Herbert GMOSER, Central Institute for Meteorology and Geodynamics, Head Operational Forecasting

Page 11: Herbert GMOSER, Central Institute for Meteorology and Geodynamics, Head Operational Forecasting ECMWF Forecast Products Users Meeting 15 – 17 June 2005

Herbert GMOSER, Central Institute for Meteorology and Geodynamics, Head Operational Forecasting

Page 12: Herbert GMOSER, Central Institute for Meteorology and Geodynamics, Head Operational Forecasting ECMWF Forecast Products Users Meeting 15 – 17 June 2005

Herbert GMOSER, Central Institute for Meteorology and Geodynamics, Head Operational Forecasting

Page 13: Herbert GMOSER, Central Institute for Meteorology and Geodynamics, Head Operational Forecasting ECMWF Forecast Products Users Meeting 15 – 17 June 2005

Herbert GMOSER, Central Institute for Meteorology and Geodynamics, Head Operational Forecasting

Page 14: Herbert GMOSER, Central Institute for Meteorology and Geodynamics, Head Operational Forecasting ECMWF Forecast Products Users Meeting 15 – 17 June 2005

Herbert GMOSER, Central Institute for Meteorology and Geodynamics, Head Operational Forecasting

Page 15: Herbert GMOSER, Central Institute for Meteorology and Geodynamics, Head Operational Forecasting ECMWF Forecast Products Users Meeting 15 – 17 June 2005

Herbert GMOSER, Central Institute for Meteorology and Geodynamics, Head Operational Forecasting

Page 16: Herbert GMOSER, Central Institute for Meteorology and Geodynamics, Head Operational Forecasting ECMWF Forecast Products Users Meeting 15 – 17 June 2005

Herbert GMOSER, Central Institute for Meteorology and Geodynamics, Head Operational Forecasting

Page 17: Herbert GMOSER, Central Institute for Meteorology and Geodynamics, Head Operational Forecasting ECMWF Forecast Products Users Meeting 15 – 17 June 2005

Herbert GMOSER, Central Institute for Meteorology and Geodynamics, Head Operational Forecasting

MONTHLY FORECASTS

Pre-operational phase

at

Central Institute for Meteorology

Austria, Vienna

Herbert GMOSER – Alexander KANN

Page 18: Herbert GMOSER, Central Institute for Meteorology and Geodynamics, Head Operational Forecasting ECMWF Forecast Products Users Meeting 15 – 17 June 2005

Herbert GMOSER, Central Institute for Meteorology and Geodynamics, Head Operational Forecasting

Page 19: Herbert GMOSER, Central Institute for Meteorology and Geodynamics, Head Operational Forecasting ECMWF Forecast Products Users Meeting 15 – 17 June 2005

Herbert GMOSER, Central Institute for Meteorology and Geodynamics, Head Operational Forecasting

Page 20: Herbert GMOSER, Central Institute for Meteorology and Geodynamics, Head Operational Forecasting ECMWF Forecast Products Users Meeting 15 – 17 June 2005

Herbert GMOSER, Central Institute for Meteorology and Geodynamics, Head Operational Forecasting

Page 21: Herbert GMOSER, Central Institute for Meteorology and Geodynamics, Head Operational Forecasting ECMWF Forecast Products Users Meeting 15 – 17 June 2005

Herbert GMOSER, Central Institute for Meteorology and Geodynamics, Head Operational Forecasting

Page 22: Herbert GMOSER, Central Institute for Meteorology and Geodynamics, Head Operational Forecasting ECMWF Forecast Products Users Meeting 15 – 17 June 2005

Herbert GMOSER, Central Institute for Meteorology and Geodynamics, Head Operational Forecasting

VERIFICATION

Central Institute for Meteorology

Austria, Vienna

Herbert GMOSER – Klaus STADLBACHER

Page 23: Herbert GMOSER, Central Institute for Meteorology and Geodynamics, Head Operational Forecasting ECMWF Forecast Products Users Meeting 15 – 17 June 2005

Herbert GMOSER, Central Institute for Meteorology and Geodynamics, Head Operational Forecasting

Tmax, Tmin

Wien, Innsbruck, Klagenfurt

VERIFICATION

of

Forecaster

ECMWF 12 UTC 0.5x0.5

BIAS, MAE, RMSE, STDEV

Page 24: Herbert GMOSER, Central Institute for Meteorology and Geodynamics, Head Operational Forecasting ECMWF Forecast Products Users Meeting 15 – 17 June 2005

Herbert GMOSER, Central Institute for Meteorology and Geodynamics, Head Operational Forecasting

Page 25: Herbert GMOSER, Central Institute for Meteorology and Geodynamics, Head Operational Forecasting ECMWF Forecast Products Users Meeting 15 – 17 June 2005

Herbert GMOSER, Central Institute for Meteorology and Geodynamics, Head Operational Forecasting

Page 26: Herbert GMOSER, Central Institute for Meteorology and Geodynamics, Head Operational Forecasting ECMWF Forecast Products Users Meeting 15 – 17 June 2005

Herbert GMOSER, Central Institute for Meteorology and Geodynamics, Head Operational Forecasting

Page 27: Herbert GMOSER, Central Institute for Meteorology and Geodynamics, Head Operational Forecasting ECMWF Forecast Products Users Meeting 15 – 17 June 2005

Herbert GMOSER, Central Institute for Meteorology and Geodynamics, Head Operational Forecasting

Page 28: Herbert GMOSER, Central Institute for Meteorology and Geodynamics, Head Operational Forecasting ECMWF Forecast Products Users Meeting 15 – 17 June 2005

Herbert GMOSER, Central Institute for Meteorology and Geodynamics, Head Operational Forecasting

Page 29: Herbert GMOSER, Central Institute for Meteorology and Geodynamics, Head Operational Forecasting ECMWF Forecast Products Users Meeting 15 – 17 June 2005

Herbert GMOSER, Central Institute for Meteorology and Geodynamics, Head Operational Forecasting

Page 30: Herbert GMOSER, Central Institute for Meteorology and Geodynamics, Head Operational Forecasting ECMWF Forecast Products Users Meeting 15 – 17 June 2005

Herbert GMOSER, Central Institute for Meteorology and Geodynamics, Head Operational Forecasting

Page 31: Herbert GMOSER, Central Institute for Meteorology and Geodynamics, Head Operational Forecasting ECMWF Forecast Products Users Meeting 15 – 17 June 2005

Herbert GMOSER, Central Institute for Meteorology and Geodynamics, Head Operational Forecasting

Page 32: Herbert GMOSER, Central Institute for Meteorology and Geodynamics, Head Operational Forecasting ECMWF Forecast Products Users Meeting 15 – 17 June 2005

Herbert GMOSER, Central Institute for Meteorology and Geodynamics, Head Operational Forecasting

Page 33: Herbert GMOSER, Central Institute for Meteorology and Geodynamics, Head Operational Forecasting ECMWF Forecast Products Users Meeting 15 – 17 June 2005

Herbert GMOSER, Central Institute for Meteorology and Geodynamics, Head Operational Forecasting

Page 34: Herbert GMOSER, Central Institute for Meteorology and Geodynamics, Head Operational Forecasting ECMWF Forecast Products Users Meeting 15 – 17 June 2005

Herbert GMOSER, Central Institute for Meteorology and Geodynamics, Head Operational Forecasting

Page 35: Herbert GMOSER, Central Institute for Meteorology and Geodynamics, Head Operational Forecasting ECMWF Forecast Products Users Meeting 15 – 17 June 2005

Herbert GMOSER, Central Institute for Meteorology and Geodynamics, Head Operational Forecasting

Page 36: Herbert GMOSER, Central Institute for Meteorology and Geodynamics, Head Operational Forecasting ECMWF Forecast Products Users Meeting 15 – 17 June 2005

Herbert GMOSER, Central Institute for Meteorology and Geodynamics, Head Operational Forecasting

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