hermes investment symposium · citywire americas named fraser number one in their global high yield...
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For professional investors only
HERMES INVESTMENT SYMPOSIUM
7 March 2018
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For professional investors only
UNCONSTRAINED CREDIT
HERMES INVESTMENT SYMPOSIUM 2018
Andrew Jackson, Head of Fixed Income
Fraser Lundie, Co-Head and Lead Credit Portfolio Manager
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0
5
10
15
20
1950 1955 1961 1967 1972 1978 1984 1989 1995 2001 2006 2012 2018
Po
licy r
ate
(%
)
Fed BOE Germany (Buba+ECB)
0
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
3
200
5
200
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6
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9
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0
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8
iTra
xx M
ain
5Y
/ 3
Y
Weekly Average
Policy rates1 Credit curve steepness2
Cross asset spreads3 Volatility4
Source: 1 Hermes and Reuters as at 15 February 2018. 2 Hermes and Bloomberg as at 2 March 2018. 3 Bloomberg and JPM DataQuery as at 3 March 2018. 4 Hermes and Bloomberg as at 3 February 2018.
Credit market views
2
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
Mar 13 Mar 14 Mar 15 Mar 16 Mar 17 Mar 18
Sp
rea
ds
Primary EUR - CLO BBB Spread to 6M Euribor UK RMBS BBB Euro FL 5 Yr
iTraxx Main iTraxx Crossover
0
20
40
60
0
500
1000
Jul 11 May 12 Mar 13 Jan 14 Nov 14 Sep 15 Jul 16 May 17 Mar 18
Vola
tility (V
ix,
Cro
ssover)
ITra
xx
Cro
ssover
iTraxx Crossover (LHS) iTraxx Crossover Implied Volatility (RHS) VIX (RHS)
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Benefits
► Diversified solutions can offer higher risk adjusted returns than
individual sleeves
► Selection and active allocation expertise to source value across
the broad credit universe – exploit illiquidity & complexity premia
► Unconstrained allocation with more tools to tailor outcomes –
risk-adjusted returns, credit quality, duration, risk capital, liquidity,
etc
► Dynamic hedging overlay to manage market exposure and
provide downside protection
Meeting investors’ need for flexible credit solutions
Market context for Multi Asset Credit
3
Market context
► Late cycle credit market conditions
► Threat of rising interest rates
► Material risk of a major correction to financial
markets
► Search for yield and lower risk
equity substitutes
► Regulation and governance structures can
limit investor access to full credit spectrum
► Less traditional credit markets are more
accessible as Bank’s reduce their exposures
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► A solution for investors seeking to
outsource their full credit exposure, or
enhance fixed allocations
► Asset allocation determined by skilled
investors with diverse credit expertise
► Alpha generated through high-
conviction, long-only credit selection
► Optimal convexity achieved by dynamic
options overlay
Dynamic credit allocation through the cycle
1 Core long-only strategies. 2 Defined outcomes strategies. 3 Global Investment Grade strategy managed for BTPS and to support our multi-strategy and absolute return products.
Source: Hermes as at 30 November 2017. Targets cannot be guaranteed.
Hermes Unconstrained Credit Strategy
4
Risk
Retu
rn
Target: LIBOR + 3% through the
cycle with low annualised
volatiltiy
Target: investment-grade
benchmark + 1%
Target: high-yield-like returns
with lower volatility
Target: high-yield
benchmark + 1.5%
Target: LIBOR + 5%-
6% through the cycle
Fixed credit
allocations
Dynamic credit
solution Global
HY Credit1
Multi Strategy
Credit
Global IG
Credit
Absolute
Return Credit2
Unconstrained
Credit
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Investment process: overview
5
Top-down allocation
►Fundamentals
►Value drivers
►Credit strategy meeting
(fortnightly)
Trade dynamics
►Relative value (name, index)
►Volatility
►Curves
►Skew
►Tactical inter-credit strategies report
(weekly)
Directs bottom-up credit
selection
►Credit score: fundamental,
relative value, ESG
►Security selection
►Position sizing
►Credit company meeting (weekly)
►Sector meeting (monthly)
MACIC MACIC MACIC
► Quality
► Liquidity
► Curve position
► Leverage
1
Credit appetite
► Credit class
composition
► Credit selection
► ESG
2
Strategic asset
allocation
► Options & index
overlay
► Opportunistic
trades
► Duration
3
Tactical asset
allocation
Quarterly Quarterly Weekly
Monitoring feedback from portfolio managers, research teams and the trading desk
►Risk barometer report (weekly)
1 2 3
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Applying expertise from across the credit spectrum
MACIC: determining top-down allocations
6
Public Credit
Fraser Lundie & Mitch Reznick
(Team of 12)
Private Credit
Patrick Marshall
(Team of 6)
Public Credit team
Performance review
► Top down and bottom up
review of performance
Current allocations
► Set and review of current
allocations
► Changes agreed and
communicated
New product assessment
► Review and approve potential
new inclusions for the
allocation mix
Allocations calendar
► Review of projections
► Changes agreed and
communicated
Projections
► Credit appetite and tolerance
for risk
► Review of projected returns
and risks
► Subscriptions and
redemptions pipeline
Invitees
Investment oversight
►Head of Investment
Risk
►Head of Risk
Macroeconomics
►Senior Economist
Specialists
►Portfolio
Manager/Analyst on
topical asset classes
or sectors
►Portfolio
Manager/Analyst on new
product or investment
proposal
► Oversees credit allocations
► Informs overlay and hedge positioning
► Discusses individual position concentrations and risk exposures
Asset-based Lending
Vincent Nobel
(Team of 8)
Multi Asset
Tommaso Mancuso
(Team of 6)
Chairman
Andrew Jackson, Head of Fixed Income
► Portfolio Managers provide bottom-up analysis on credit markets to MACIC
1 2 3
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Adapting to prevailing credit conditions
Targets cannot be guaranteed. Indicative strategy characteristics subject to change.
Dynamic allocation across credit markets
7
Hybrids
►Convertible
bonds
►Preferred
Global
Financials
►Covered
►Senior
preferred
►AT1, RT1 etc
Options
overlay
►Credit index
options
►Long & short
trades
Hard EM
CreditDM HY Corp
►Secured
►Unsecured
►FRNs
Leveraged
loans
►1st lien
►2nd lien
DM IG Corp
►Secured
►Unsecured
►FRNs
ABS
►ABS
►MBS
►CLO
Top-down allocations determined by MACIC
1 2 3
Target return 3% 5% 4% 4% 4-5% L+5% L+3.5-4% -0.5%
Credit rating BBB BB / B BBB / BB BB B-BBB BB / B BBB / BB N/A
Liquidity Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes
Allocation 15% 40% 15% 15% 5% 10% 10% 10%
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► Tactically adjust the portfolio to exploit or manage risks within
the prevailing market environment
► Tailor the risk of the portfolio while limiting turnover of best
trade ideas
► Short-term opportunistic trades
► Manage downside risk by adding convexity through options
overlay
► Manage interest-rate risk
Tactical overlay
Convexity through options
Volatility through options
Tactical credit trades
Duration
Market risk
through indices
Dynamic hedging overlay provides convexity
Tactical asset allocation
8
1 2 3
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-15%
-10%
-5%
0%
5%
10%
100 155 193 230 268 305 343 380 418 455 493
P&
L(%
)
Strike 275 Unhedged Strike 350
Description
► Buy out-of-the-money option payers in order to profit if spreads
widen significantly
► Losses limited to the upfront cost
► Tailor convexity through delta hedging and indices
Rationale
► Portfolio – dynamically hedge credit exposure and add
downside convexity while limiting portfolio turn over
► Market – protect against a market sell off
► Option value – exploit changes in options pricing
Illustrative trade: P&L
► Price sensitivity increases as spread reaches and exceeds the
strike price
► Option value is non-linear and a function of spread proximity to
the strike price (delta/gamma), the time to expiry (theta) and
the volatility of the underlying instrument (vega)
► Options with a higher strike price (out of the money) will cost
less but provide less downside protection
Bearish trade: buy option payers
Source: Hermes and City Velocity.
Case study: options overlay
9
Cost of option
1 2 3
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The value of investments and income from them may go down as well as up, and you may not get back the original amount invested. Any investments
overseas may be affected by currency exchange rates. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results and targets are not guaranteed. Where the
strategy invests in debt instruments (such as bonds) there is a risk that the entity who issues the contract will not be able to repay the debt or to pay the
interest on the debt. If this happens then the value of the strategy may vary sharply in value or result in loss. The strategy makes extensive use of Financial
Derivative Instruments (FDIs), the value of which depends on the performance of an underlying asset. Small changes in the price of that asset may cause
larger changes in the value of the FDIs, increasing either potential gain or loss.
A dynamic credit-allocation solution aiming to maximise total returns through the cycle
► Unconstrained, high-conviction investment across the global liquid-credit spectrum
► Capturing superior relative value throughout credit markets as investment conditions change
► Outsource credit-allocation decisions to a team of skilled, experienced global credit investors operating within a robust governance
framework
► Alpha generation through issuer and security selection: sourcing high-conviction, bottom-up ideas globally and throughout
corporate capital structures
► Optimal convexity through an options overlay: aiming to protect return-seeking investments from perceived market and macro
risks
► ESG integration and engagement ensures responsibility is embedded in every investment decision
Why Hermes Unconstrained Credit?
10
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Andrew Jackson
Head of Fixed Income
Andrew joined Hermes in April 2017 as Head of Fixed Income. He is responsible for leading the strategic development of Hermes ’ credit and direct lending investment teams, and developing a
multi-asset credit offering capable of accessing all areas of the global credit markets for pension funds and other long-term institutional investors. Andrew joined from Cairn Capital where he was
chief investment officer. In this role, Andrew was responsible for the development of the asset management business, which included designing new products and managing the investment
teams, including strategy, portfolio management and research. He has managed assets across the spectrum of global credit and fixed income. He was previously vice president within the
European credit structuring team at Bank of America and has held roles with Fitch Ratings and PricewaterhouseCoopers. Andrew holds a BSc degree in Mathematics & Theoretical Physics from
King College London.
Fraser Lundie, CFA
Co-Head of Credit and Lead Credit Portfolio Manager
Fraser joined Hermes in February 2010 and is lead manager on the Hermes range of credit strategies. Prior to this he was at Fortis Investments, where he was responsible for European high
yield credit. Fraser graduated from the University of Aberdeen with an MA (Hons) in Economics, earned an MSc in Investment Analysis from the University of Stirling, and is a CFA charterholder.
In 2017, Fraser joined the board of CFA UK, a member society of the CFA Institute. Having previously featured in Financial News’s ‘40 Under 40 Rising Stars of Asset Management’, an editorial
selection of the brightest up-and-coming men and women in the industry, in 2015 Fraser was named as one of the top 10 star fund managers of tomorrow by the Daily Telegraph. In 2016,
Citywire Americas named Fraser number one in their global high yield manager review, and InvestmentEurope and Investment Week both named the Hermes Multi Strategy Credit Fund top
global bond fund at their respective 2017 Fund Manager of the Year Awards.
Portfolio managers
CFA® is a trademark owned by the CFA Institute.
As at 31 December 2017.
Biographies
11
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APPENDIX
12
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Strategy overview
1 Targets cannot be guaranteed. 2 These are internal guidelines for the team, and not absolute limits.3 Further ongoing charges will apply.
Hermes Unconstrained Credit Strategy
13
Performance target1 USD LIBOR + 5%-6% through the cycle
Strategy description ► Unconstrained investing throughout the global liquid-credit spectrum
► Implementing top-down allocations to diverse credit sectors through bottom-up, high-conviction security selection
► Dynamic options overlay provides a defensive hedge and fulfils rebalancing and risk-management functions
Eligible investments Developed and emerging market investment-grade and high-yield corporate bonds, credit-default swaps, loans,
government securities, asset-backed securities, convertible bonds, preferred stocks, credit-index options, interest-rate
instruments and other credit derivatives
Concentration2 Typically 100-150 issuers
Regulatory structure UCITS compliant
Liquidity Daily, open ended
Management fee3 0.65% p.a. of net asset value, payable quarterly. No performance fee
0.40% p.a. founder fee available
Base currency USD, hedged
Portfolio managers Andrew Jackson and Fraser Lundie
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3-year (gross)
Since strategy
inception (gross)
Sharpe ratio,
since inception
Hermes Global High Yield Strategy 7.1% 9.2% 1.2
Hermes Multi Strategy Credit
Strategy5.8% 6.1% 1.8
Global High Yield Market 6.7% 7.9% N/A
Hermes Investment Grade Strategy 4.5% 5.4% 1.4
Hermes Absolute Return Strategy N/A 2.8% 1.9
Global Investment Grade Market 3.8% 4.8% N/A
Cumulative performance
USD hedged, returns to 31 December 17
Annualised performance
Returns to 31 December 17
Global investment throughout capital structures with ESG integration
Existing liquid-credit strategies
14
Return target: HY-like
returns, lower volatility
Multi Strategy2
Return target:
USD LIBOR + 5%-6%
Unconstrained Credit Global High Yield1
Return target: benchmark
+ 1.5%
Investment Grade3
Return target:
benchmark + 1%
Absolute Return4
Return target: LIBOR +
3%
-20%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
Ma
y 1
0
Se
p 1
0
Dec 1
0
Ap
r 11
Jul 11
Nov 1
1
Fe
b 1
2
Jun
12
Se
p 1
2
Jan
13
Ap
r 13
Au
g 1
3
Nov 1
3
Ma
r 1
4
Jun
14
Oct
14
Jan
15
Ma
y 1
5
Au
g 1
5
Dec 1
5
Ma
r 1
6
Jul 16
Oct
16
Fe
b 1
7
Ma
y 1
7
Se
p 1
7
Dec 1
7
Hermes Global High Yield Credit (USD Synthetic) Hermes Global Investment Grade (USD Synthetic)
Hermes Multi Strategy Credit Hermes Absolute Return Credit
Global High Yield Market Global Investment Grade Market
1 Inception date: 1 June 2010. 2 Inception date: 1 June 2013. 3 Inception date: 1 July 2010. 4 Inception date: 1 June 2015. Source: Hermes as at 31 December 2017. All performance shown is in USD gross of fees. Targets cannot be guaranteed.
High-yield market performance is that of the ICE BofA Merrill Lynch Global High Yield Constrained USD Hedged Index. Investment-grade market performance is that of the ICE BofA Merrill Lynch Global Broad Market Corporate USD Hedged Index.
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Global High Yield Multi Strategy Credit Unconstrained Credit Absolute Return Credit
Targeted outcome Outperform the global high-yield
market
Global high-yield-like returns with lower
volatility
Dynamic through-the-cycle credit
allocation for attractive returns
Positive returns, low volatility and low
drawdown
Strategy description Global, long-only approach with equal
focus on issuer and security selection
2/3 of the portfolio invested in high-
conviction, long-only trades worldwide; 1/3
dedicated to defensive trades
Top-down allocation across the global liquid-
credit spectrum, combined with bottom-up,
high-conviction trades and a dynamic
options overlay
Global approach with an emphasis on
income and diversification
Return target Global HY benchmark +1.5% Global HY returns with less volatility LIBOR +5-6% through the cycle LIBOR +3% through the cycle
Risk profile 10% ex-ante tracking error DTS sized for 80% of HY market upside
and 50% of the downside
Varies through the cycle Average IG rating with maximum HY
exposure equalling 50% of NAV
Concentration 80–100 issuers ~ 75 issuers 100-150 issuers 100-150 issuers
Leverage (total) 40% (140%) 100% (200%) 100 – 400% (200 – 500%) 100-300% (200% - 400%)
Non-standard
instruments
N/A Loans (6%), defensive trades (33%) Loans (10%), ABS (15%), options Loans (6%), defensive trades (50%)
Fees 0.65% 0.65% 0.65% 0.55%
Portfolio managers Fraser Lundie, Andrey Kuznetsov Fraser Lundie, Andrey Kuznetsov Fraser Lundie, Andrew Jackson Fraser Lundie, Andrey Kuznetsov
Peer groups Global High Yield funds Global High Yield & Strategic Bond funds Multi Asset Credit & Strategic Bond Funds,
& Directional hedge funds
Absolute Return Credit & Investment Grade
Bond funds
Key characteristics ► Active high yield
► Approach to duration
► Moderate idiosyncratic risk
► High-yield credit with lower substitute
► High idiosyncratic risk
► Moderate asset breadth
► Unconstrained, dynamic credit
allocation solution
► Levered & options overlay
► Lower idiosyncratic risk
► Low-volatility absolute returns
► Investment-grade focus & low
idiosyncratic risk
► Market neutral – low draw down
► Levered
Unconstrained Credit: how it compares
15
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Expected average gross portfolio composition
Unconstrained Credit: flexible allocation ranges
16
StrategyIG HY EMD Converts &
prefs
ABS Loans Defensive
trades
Options
overlay
Global High
Yield<10% >80% 10 - 20% 15% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Multi Strategy
Credit33% 66% 10-20% 15% 0% <6% 33% 0%
Unconstrained
Credit25 - 75% 25 – 75% 15 – 25% 15% <15% <10% 0 – 25% 25%
Absolute
Return Credit> 50% 33% 10% 15% 0% <6% 50% 10%
Best-idea selection Other allocations Strategies
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ESG INTEGRATION
17
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A pricing model for ESG risks
► Proprietary model shows correlations between QESG Scores
and CDS spreads
► Enables us to calculate the marginal price for the ESG risks of
companies
► Anticipate the change in valuations as a company moves along
the ESG Credit Curve
An informative screening tool
► Avoid issuers with tight spreads and low QESG scores
► Favour issuers with wide spreads and high QESG scores
Implied CDS spreads v QESG scores
Anticipating the transitions between ESG and Credit risk
Source: Hermes, Bloomberg as at 28 February 2017. For illustrative purposes only.
Pricing ESG risks: the ESG credit curve
18
80
90
100
110
120
130
140
150
160
100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0
Imp
lied
CD
S s
pre
ad
QESG Score
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Exclude, or invest and engage
ESG analysis: Integrated into investment decisions
19
Exclusion: Controversial weapons
Exclusion: severe ESG scores
Engagement level
Spread compensation
Security selection
Position size
Invest
Avoid companies involved in controversial
weapons
Controversial companies with no
desire to improve ESG behaviours
Compensation for ESG risk of companies
seeking to improve ESG behaviours
Consider convexity, fit with mandate and green bonds
Invest and dynamically manage exposure
Exclusion
Investment
Engagement
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For illustrative purposes only.
Integral to our credit research
Comprehensive analysis
► Proprietary QESG Scores and insights from Hermes EOS
► Research from Sustainalytics, Trucost, Bloomberg and
MSCI ESG Research
Capturing ESG trends
► Determining whether a company’s QESG Score has
improved, worsened or remained consistent
Comparing ESG rankings
► ‘Traffic lights’ indicate the relative strength of a company’s
ESG practises relative to peers
Hermes EOS
► Analysts in active dialogue with the Credit team
► Hermes EOS and the Credit team hold joint engagement
meetings with companies
Assessing ESG risk at the company level
20
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MARKET VIEW
21
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► During 2013 ‘taper tantrum’ risk assets and bonds declined together
► ‘Barbell’ strategy is no longer effective
► Long-duration credit yielding too little to offer adequate protection
Declining yields spell bear market trouble Impact of rate shock on US aggregate bond index
Traditional fixed income failing to protect against the downside
Source: Barclays, Haver Analytics, Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research.
Seeking protection in a new bond world
22
Date
US 10-year
government bond
yield
Cumulative total
return during bear
market
September 2000 6% 27%
2007 4.5% 20.8%
2018 2.4% ? 0.0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1.0
1.2
0.0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1.0
1.2
85 90 95 00 05 10 15
$T
n
$T
n
MV impact of 100 bp rate shock
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Fixed income asset class correlation (36m rolling v US Government Bond)
Rising correlations have eroded the impact of diversification
Diversification is an ineffective defence
Source : Hermes Credit Team, Bloomberg and Bank of America-Merrill Lynch as at 31 December 2017.
23
-0.70
-0.50
-0.30
-0.10
0.10
0.30
0.50
0.00
0.10
0.20
0.30
0.40
0.50
0.60
0.70
0.80
0.90
1.00
Dec 0
8
Ju
n 0
9
De
c 0
9
Ju
n 1
0
Dec 1
0
Ju
n 1
1
Dec 1
1
Ju
n 1
2
Dec 1
2
Ju
n 1
3
Dec 1
3
Ju
n 1
4
Dec 1
4
Ju
n 1
5
Dec 1
5
Ju
n 1
6
Dec 1
6
Ju
n 1
7
Dec 1
7
R c
oe
fficie
ntR
co
eff
icie
nt
US 7-10 yr Inflation Linked Bonds Investment Grade Corporate Liquid Loans High Yield Corporate (RHS)
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-0.8
-0.6
-0.4
-0.2
0.0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
19
94
19
95
19
96
19
97
19
98
19
99
20
00
20
01
20
02
20
03
20
04
20
05
20
05
20
06
20
07
20
08
20
09
20
10
20
11
20
12
20
13
20
14
20
15
20
16
20
16
20
17
US 7-10yr Nominal Bonds US 7-10yr Inflation-linked Bonds
US 10yr Breakeven
US bond and equity correlation
(36m rolling v S&P 500 Index)
► Since inception we have dedicated a portion of the Hermes Multi Strategy
Credit Fund and Absolute Return Credit to defensive strategies
US bond and equity correlation
(36m rolling v S&P 500 Index)
The importance of dynamic duration management
Source: Bloomberg as at 31 December 2017.
Risk: duration
24
The correlation between equities and bonds has fluctuated significantly over time between positive and
negative. The correlation between inflation-linked bonds (real rates) and equities shows a more stable
though still variable picture of the long-term correlation between equities and real rates. This correlation is
already firmly in positive territory. The comparison also highlights how much of the negative correlation
between equities and bonds has been driven by the disinflationary environment of the past 25 years.
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
-80%
-60%
-40%
-20%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
1929 1937 1945 1952 1960 1968 1976 1983 1991 1999 2007
Pro
ba
bility
of N
eg
ativ
ely
Corre
late
d R
eg
ime
Corr
ela
tion
Negatively Correlated Regime Positively Correlated Regime
Rolling Correlation (36m)
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Source: Bloomberg as at 15 January 2018.
Liquidity has clustered in large capital structures amid booming issuance
Risk: shallow market
25
Liquidity now at 2003 levels. In a falling market, investors unwinding
positions could suffer heavy losses
0
200,000
400,000
600,000
800,000
1,000,000
1,200,000
1,400,000
1,600,000
1,800,000
2,000,000
$10,000
$30,000
$50,000
$70,000
$90,000
$110,000
$130,000
$150,000
$170,000
$190,000
$210,000
$230,000
$250,000D
ec 0
1M
ar
02
Jun
02
Se
p 0
2D
ec 0
2M
ar
03
Jun
03
Se
p 0
3D
ec 0
3M
ar
04
Jun
04
Se
p 0
4D
ec 0
4M
ar
05
Jun
05
Au
g 0
5N
ov 0
5M
ar
06
Ma
y 0
6A
ug 0
6N
ov 0
6F
eb 0
7M
ay 0
7A
ug 0
7N
ov 0
7F
eb 0
8M
ay 0
8A
ug 0
8N
ov 0
8F
eb 0
9M
ay 0
9A
ug 0
9N
ov 0
9F
eb 1
0M
ay 1
0A
ug 1
0N
ov 1
0F
eb 1
1M
ay 1
1A
ug 1
1N
ov 1
1F
eb 1
2M
ay 1
2A
ug 1
2N
ov 1
2F
eb 1
3M
ay 1
3A
ug 1
3N
ov 1
3F
eb 1
4M
ay 1
4A
ug 1
4N
ov 1
4F
eb 1
5M
ay 1
5A
ug 1
5O
ct
15
Fe
b 1
6M
ay 1
6A
ug 1
6N
ov 1
6F
eb 1
7M
ay 1
7A
ug 1
7N
ov 1
7
Ma
rket V
alu
e (b
illion
s)
Dea
ler
Tra
nsa
ctio
ns (
mill
ion
s)
Aggregate inventory US credit securities Market size Global HY (BAML Global Non-Fin High Yield Index)
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6.8
6.2
5.2
4.3
3.63.3
2.5 2.4 2.52
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 YTD
Ye
ars
ML Global high Yield Index
Shorter non-call periods can reduce returns
Non-call period erosion
Source: Bloomberg, BAML as at 29 January 2018.
Risk: less upside
26
Under threat: equity-like returns with half
the volatility
Fixed-income skills now as important as
stock picking
Companies set terms as large funds are
forced buyers of new bond issues
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14%
56%
30%
Europe US Rest of the world
1998 2017
What about the rest of the world?
Source: BofA Merrill Lynch, Global High Yield Index, as at 31 December 2017.
Opportunity: global issuance
27
Large companies issue bonds in various
markets and currencies, providing
relative-value opportunities for global
investors
Exploit HY and IG investment
opportunities in the US, Europe and rest
of the world
3%
89%
8%
Europe US Rest of the world
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For professional investors only. Clients who fall outside of this criteria should not use the information provided in this document for investment decisions. This document does not constitute a solicitation or
offer to any person to buy or sell any related securities or financial instruments; nor does it constitute an offer to purchase securities to any person in the United States or to any US Person as such term is defined under the
US Securities Exchange Act of 1933. It pays no regard to the investment objectives or financial needs of any recipient. No action should be taken or omitted to be taken based on this document. Tax treatment depends on
personal circumstances and may change. This document is not advice on legal, taxation or investment matters so investors must rely on their own examination of such matters or seek advice. Before making any investment
(new or continuous), please consult a professional and/or investment adviser as to its suitability. This document is not investment research and is available to any investment firm wishing to receive it.
Any opinions expressed may change. The value of investments and income from them may go down as well as up, and you may not get back the original amount invested. Any investments overseas may be
affected by currency exchange rates. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results and targets are not guaranteed. All figures, unless otherwise indicated, are sourced from Hermes. For more
information please read any relevant Offering Documents or contact Hermes.
The main entities operating under the name Hermes are: Hermes Investment Management Limited (“HIML”); Hermes Alternative Investment Management Limited (“HAIML”); Hermes European Equities Limited (“HEEL”);
Hermes Real Estate Investment Management Limited (“HREIML”); Hermes Equity Ownership Limited (“HEOS”); Hermes GPE LLP (“Hermes GPE”); Hermes GPE (USA) Inc (“Hermes GPE USA”) and Hermes GPE
(Singapore) Pte. Limited (“HGPE Singapore”). All are separately authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority except for HREIML, HEOS, Hermes GPE USA and HGPE Singapore. HIML currently carries on
all regulated activities associated with HREIML. HIML, HEEL, Hermes GPE and Hermes GPE USA are all registered investment advisers with the United States Securities and Exchange Commission (“SEC”). HGPE
Singapore is regulated by the Monetary Authority of Singapore.
Issued and approved by Hermes Investment Management Limited which is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority. Registered address: Sixth Floor, 150 Cheapside, London EC2V 6ET. Telephone
calls will be recorded for training and monitoring purposes. Potential investors in the United Kingdom are advised that compensation will not be available under the United Kingdom Financial Services Compensation
Scheme.
BD01486
Disclaimer
28
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Hermes Investment Management
We are an asset manager with a difference. We believe that, while our primary purpose is to help savers and beneficiaries by providing world class active investment management
and stewardship services, our role goes further. We believe we have a duty to deliver holistic returns – outcomes for our clients that go far beyond the financial – and consider the
impact our decisions have on society, the environment and the wider world.
Our goal is to help people invest better, retire better and create a better society for all.
Our investment solutions include:
Private markets
Infrastructure, private debt, private equity, commercial and residential real estate
High active share equities
Asia, global emerging markets, Europe, US, global, and small and mid-cap
Credit
Absolute return, global high yield, multi strategy, global investment grade, real estate debt and direct lending
Multi asset
Multi asset inflation
Stewardship
Active engagement, advocacy, intelligent voting and sustainable development
Offices
London | New York | Singapore
For more information, visit www.hermes-investment.com or connect with us on social media: