Hiroshi Komiyama Chairman of the Institute, Mitsubishi Research Institute, Inc., Japan

President emeritus, University of Tokyo

TBLI CONFERENCETM ASIA2011 15　 September　 2011

The Revitalization for Japan

－ The Platinum society－

Saturation of artifacts is the key concept

０．０１１３India

０．０２３２China

０．４９４１Germany

０．５０３１France

０．５１３１Britain

０．４５１３８USA

０．４５５８Japan

No. of automobiles per population

No. of automobiles

（ million）

Source： Japan Automobile Manufacturers Association, Ministry of Internal Affairs & Communications

Number of automobile ownership（ 2007）

0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1

1 .2

1 .4

1900 1920 1940 1960 1980 2000

Ye a r

[ton

/]

一人当たりセメント生産量

人

J a p a n

C h in a

USA

Fra n c e

Saturation will come in 2 ~ 10 years in China　Production of cement per person

Pro

du

ctio

n o

f C

emen

t p

er p

erso

n [

ton

]

Source： Production of Cement： UN Statistical year book

Population： UNSD Demographic Statistics

Automobile energy consumption to 1/10 at 2050

Vehicle Weight [kg]Data Source: Yahoo! Japan Autos

Fu

el C

onsu

mp

tion

[L

/km

]

0

0.05

0.1

0.15

0.2

0 500 1000 1500 2000 2500 3000

US/European Cars Japanese Cars

Hybrid Cars

Electric & Fuel cells Cars

Energy efficiency is secondly important!

1960 1970 1980 1990Year

USDenmarkBelgiumFranceSweden

Source: Japan Cement Association

Japan

Ener

gy C

onsu

mpt

ion

per

ton

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

0

6,000(MJ/t)

theoretical value

Technology transfer can reduce emission

Cement

Investment for energy efficiency can be refunded!

Energy efficiency improvement by 3 times is feasible.

Energy Scenario and CO2

a) 19906.0G C-ton

1.5G

b) 2050 BAU case

c) Vision 2050

d) After 22nd Century

1.5G

22.0G C-ton

3.0G

Fossil resources

Non- Fossil resources

Data: from “Vision 2050”

CO2 369 ppm

CO2 600 ppm

CO2 460 ppm

CO2 280 ppm

4.5G C-ton

22nd century will be bright!

Manufac tur ingDai ly l i f e

Home

Transporta t ion

Off i ce

ⒸHiroshi Komiyama

Energy consumption by final use in Japan

Theoretical limit of transportation is zero!

Energy consumption in houses and offices

エネルギー・経済統計要覧 2009 年版より

Air-condi t ioner 28%

Water heat ing 30%

other s 24%

kitchen 8%

light ing 10%

Offices 50%: air-conditioner20%: lighting

Theoretical limit of air-conditioning is zero!

Houses

Water Heater

Heat -pump (Ecocute)

50%×4=200%

Fuel ce l l (Enefarm) 45% elec . + 40% hot water

Technology innovation in Japan

Komiyama ecohouse : using existing technologies!

81% reductionInvestment refunded in 12 years

Solar panel : 3.6 ｋ W

Heat-pump water heater

Insulation : K=1.6 W/m2K

New air-conditioner

Ⓒ小宮山　宏

Hybrid car： 22.6km/l

New refrigerator & lightings

ENERGY 　 　 　　 70%　

FOOD 　 　 　 70%　WOOD 　　 　　　 100%　

Self-Sufficiency in Japan at 2050　

ⒸHiroshi Komiyama

WATER 100%

Komiyama’s Proposal

Japanese goal as well as 21st model of humanity

MINERAL 　 　 　 70%　

present

東京屋形船案内http://www.t-yakata.com/tyh_dkship.htm

1967

環境省　図で見る環境白書 昭和５７年http://www.env.go.jp/policy/hakusyo/zu/eav11/eav110000000000.html

Japan’s experience with Sumida river

Japan’s experience with Kitakyusyu

Source： Japan as a forerunner for addressing emerging problems in the world P27

0.2

4.9

3.4

0.8

3.1

0.7

1 .4

3.3

0.2

0.6

3.2

0.8

1 .2

1 .4

1 .6

4.0

0 1 2 3 4 5 6

日本

中国

カナダ

イタリア

フランス

ドイツ

イギリス

アメリカ

SOx NOx g/ W ]発電量あたりの ・ 発生量［ ｋ ｈ

NOxSOx

Source:http://www.tepco.co.jp/eco/report/lcl/01_2-j.html

http://www.braincoal.info/news_images/20100206ccs_yamada.pdf

Japan：2008

China：2000

Others：2005

Emission of Sulfur and Nitrogen　from Thermal Power Plants

　　　　　　　 SOx， NOx　［ g/kWｈ］

U.S.

U.K.

Germany

France

Italy

Canada

Japan

China

Shrinking earth

Aging society

Eco houseEco applianceEco carSolar panelWind mill

Barrier free building Health monitoringSafe mobility Senses supporting

Green & silver & golden growth 　

Exploding knowledge

Structuring knowledgeStructured knowledge- baseEducationLifelong learningValue creation

ⒸHiroshi Komiyama

ecological　participation by all including seniors　

lifelong learning　

abundant in job opportunities

sustainable societycreated by green, silver, gold and various innovations

Platinum society is a vision of the 21st century　

Platinum Network As of 2011,2/28

Tokyo wards

Governor joinsMayor joins

ⒸHiroshi Komiyama

Join in the quest for a platinum society

ⒸHiroshi Komiyama

Thank you