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Hispanic Homeownership Seminar U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development Thursday, June 1, 2006

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Hispanic Homeownership Seminar. U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development Thursday, June 1, 2006. Housing Tenure Expenditure and Satisfaction across Hispanic, African-American, and White Households: Evidence from the American Housing Survey Thomas P. Boehm and Alan M. Schlottmann. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Page 1: Hispanic Homeownership Seminar

Hispanic Homeownership Seminar

U.S. Department of Housing and Urban DevelopmentThursday, June 1, 2006

Page 2: Hispanic Homeownership Seminar

Hispanic Homeownership Seminar - June 1, 2006 2

Housing Tenure Expenditure and Satisfaction across Hispanic, African-

American, and White Households: Evidence from the

American Housing Survey 

Thomas P. Boehm

and

Alan M. Schlottmann

Page 3: Hispanic Homeownership Seminar

Hispanic Homeownership Seminar - June 1, 2006 3

Two Primary Components to the Analysis of the Differencesin Housing Circumstances across Racial/Ethnic Groups

• Housing Tenure and Housing Expenditure

• Quality of Structural and Neighborhood Environment

Page 4: Hispanic Homeownership Seminar

Hispanic Homeownership Seminar - June 1, 2006 4

The Data

Pooled recent AHS MSA samples:

• 41 MSAs – sampling years 1998, 2002, and 2004

• Approximately 5,000 households in each MSA

Why the MSA Samples?

• 17,968 Hispanic Households in the combined sample

• Identify the housing markets in which housing decisions are being made

Page 5: Hispanic Homeownership Seminar

Hispanic Homeownership Seminar - June 1, 2006 5

I. Housing Tenure and Expenditure

Two Sub-samples Considered in the Analysis

• All Households

• Recent Movers

Stratification of the Samples

• High versus Low Income

• Non-White versus White Hispanics

• Recent Immigrant Status

Page 6: Hispanic Homeownership Seminar

Hispanic Homeownership Seminar - June 1, 2006 6

The Results

Analysis of Means

• Ownership Is Substantially More Likely for Whites

Low-income Hispanics and African-Americans ownership rates for the full sample are 38.0 % and 36.5 % respectively versus 60.8 % for whites.

Page 7: Hispanic Homeownership Seminar

Hispanic Homeownership Seminar - June 1, 2006 7

• House Value and Rental Cost Substantially Higher for White Households

Low Income Households – Full Sample

Mean House Value:

Whites - $147,289 African Americans - $95,055Hispanics - $128,681

Mean Rent Payment:

Whites - $606African Americans - $496Hispanics - $592

Page 8: Hispanic Homeownership Seminar

Hispanic Homeownership Seminar - June 1, 2006 8

Differences for Hispanic Households

1. Hispanic homeowners experience higher total amounts of debt:

For example, the full sample debt levels for low income houses:

White households – $35,509Black households – $35,164Hispanic households – $45,971

Page 9: Hispanic Homeownership Seminar

Hispanic Homeownership Seminar - June 1, 2006 9

Differences for Hispanic Households

2.  Hispanic Households are more crowded than other groups

For example, for the full sample for lower income families:

Owners – Hispanics average 681 square feet per person, while African-Americans and whites average 1,062 and 1,130 square feet per person respectably.

Renters – Hispanics average 391 square feet per person, African-Americans 574, whites 640.

Page 10: Hispanic Homeownership Seminar

Hispanic Homeownership Seminar - June 1, 2006 10

Regression Analysis

• Likelihood of Homeownership – Is the likelihood of homeownership lower for different racial/ethnic groups when controlling for other factors that might influence the likelihood that they would be able to purchase a home?

• Control factors – The housing market (41 MSAs), the marital status and sex of household head, age of the household head, the family size, the income of the family and a categorical variable identifying families that have substantial savings ($25,000 or more).

Page 11: Hispanic Homeownership Seminar

Hispanic Homeownership Seminar - June 1, 2006 11

Both minority groups have a substantially lowerlikelihood of ownership

• For the full sample, for low income families

African-Americans 40.5 % less likely to ownWhite-Hispanics 28.5 % less likely to ownNon-White Hispanics 39.2 % less likely to own

• For the recent movers, for low income families:

African-Americans 52.3 % less likely to ownWhite Hispanics 38.2 % less likely to ownNon-White Hispanics 23.0 % less likely to own

Page 12: Hispanic Homeownership Seminar

Hispanic Homeownership Seminar - June 1, 2006 12

Differential Levels of House Value for Homeowners

Controlling for other factors as before(i.e., income, education, the housing market, etc.)

• For the full sample for low-income owners:

African-Americans $20,113 lower house value White-Hispanics $19,768 lower house valueNon-White Hispanics $28,845 lower house value

• For the recent mover sample for low-income owners:

African-Americans $35,077 lower house value White-Hispanics $23,715 lower house valueNon-White Hispanics $45,019 lower house value

Page 13: Hispanic Homeownership Seminar

Hispanic Homeownership Seminar - June 1, 2006 13

Differential Annual Rent Payment for Renters

• For the Full Sample of low-income renters:

African-American Families $712 lower rent levelsWhite-Hispanic Families $764 lower rent levelsNon-white Hispanic Families $871 lower rent levels

• For the Recent-mover sample of low-income renters:

African-American Families $742 lower rent levelsWhite-Hispanic Families $844 lower rent levelsNon-white Hispanic Families $946 lower rent levels

Page 14: Hispanic Homeownership Seminar

Hispanic Homeownership Seminar - June 1, 2006 14

The Impact of “Time in the U.S.” on Homeownership, and House Value and Rent Levels

• Available only for 2002 and 2004

• Categorical representation of “time in the U.S.”

– 5 years or less

– 5 through 12 years

– 13 through 22 years

– 23 years or more

Page 15: Hispanic Homeownership Seminar

Hispanic Homeownership Seminar - June 1, 2006 15

Results for Recent Immigrants

• Households in the U.S. for less than 5 years and 5-12 years are significantly less likely to buy a home than households whose head was born in this country holding other factors constant.

• In contrast, for the recent mover sample these recent immigrant groups do not have a substantially lower likelihood of being owners

• For both groups, renters have a significantly lower, rental expenditure but there is no impact of recent immigrant status on the value of house owned by either low or high income households.

Page 16: Hispanic Homeownership Seminar

Hispanic Homeownership Seminar - June 1, 2006 16

II. Satisfaction with Structural and Neighborhood Characteristics

AHS – 10 point scale ranking structural and neighborhooddimension of housing units.

Mean Ranking

• The primary determinant of these rankings is tenure – owners rank both neighborhood and structural characteristics higher than renters

Page 17: Hispanic Homeownership Seminar

Hispanic Homeownership Seminar - June 1, 2006 17

Low-Income – Full Sample

Owners

Structural Rank Neighborhood RankWhite 8.44 8.14Black 8.31 7.71Hispanic 8.36 8.02

Renters

Structural Rank Neighborhood RankWhite 7.46 7.55Black 7.41 7.33Hispanic 7.49 7.54

Page 18: Hispanic Homeownership Seminar

Hispanic Homeownership Seminar - June 1, 2006 18

Analysis of Individual Structural and Neighborhood Characteristics

• Ordinal Probit Model

• Equations Stratified by Tenure, Race/Ethnic Group, and Income

Page 19: Hispanic Homeownership Seminar

Hispanic Homeownership Seminar - June 1, 2006 19

Results for Structural Quality

All households react in a very similar manner tostructural characteristics.

• Factors lowering Structural Quality: External leaks, internal leaks, vermin problems, major structural problems, and interior deterioration, etc.

• Factors increasing Structural Quality: Being on a public sewer system, plumbing and toilets being in satisfactory working order, having a central heating system, etc.

Page 20: Hispanic Homeownership Seminar

Hispanic Homeownership Seminar - June 1, 2006 20

Results for Structural Quality

Not all groups have identical characteristicscircumstances

• For the full sample, minorities do have a higher proportion with one or more significant structural problem.

Low-Income Owned Units – Full Sample

Hispanics 43.2% with major structural problems

African-Americans 54.4% with major structural problems

Whites 23.0% with major structural problems

Page 21: Hispanic Homeownership Seminar

Hispanic Homeownership Seminar - June 1, 2006 21

• Water quality issues are worse for Hispanic households than African American or white households

  Low-Income Homeowners

  Hispanic 24.3% water quality a problem

African-American 13.4% water quality a problem

White 8.5% water quality a problem

Page 22: Hispanic Homeownership Seminar

Hispanic Homeownership Seminar - June 1, 2006 22

• Heating system quality is generally worse for Hispanic households than African-Americans or White households

Low-Income Homeowners

Hispanic 10.7% water quality a problem

African-American 6.3% water quality a problem

White 2.8% water quality a problem

Page 23: Hispanic Homeownership Seminar

Hispanic Homeownership Seminar - June 1, 2006 23

• Low-income Hispanic households face more crowding than do their African-American or white counterparts.

Low-Income Homeowners

Hispanic 2.5 rooms per person

African-American 3.5 rooms per person

White 3.8 rooms per person

Page 24: Hispanic Homeownership Seminar

Hispanic Homeownership Seminar - June 1, 2006 24

• Deterioration of Interior facilities (i.e., cracks, holes in the walls or ceiling, holes in the floor, broken plaster or peeling paint)

Low-Income Homeowners

Hispanic 9.2%

African-American 11.8%

White 6.0%

Page 25: Hispanic Homeownership Seminar

Hispanic Homeownership Seminar - June 1, 2006 25

Results for Neighborhood Quality

All households react in a similar manner to factorseffecting neighborhood quality

• Factors Making a Neighborhood Undesirable: crime problems, litter problems, noise problems, junk and abandoned buildings, etc.

• Factors Making a Neighborhood Desirable: Green space, newer buildings, etc.

Page 26: Hispanic Homeownership Seminar

Hispanic Homeownership Seminar - June 1, 2006 26

Results for Neighborhood Quality

Not all groups have identical characteristics circumstances

• Crime problems and inadequate police protection are more likely to be perceived by African-Americans and White Households.

Low-Income Renters

Hispanic 8.9% Police Protection Inadequate

African-American 15.9% Police Protection Inadequate

White 6.1% Police Protection Inadequate

Page 27: Hispanic Homeownership Seminar

Hispanic Homeownership Seminar - June 1, 2006 27

• Green space is less likely to be near minority owned homes.

Low-Income Owners

Hispanic 23.79% Green Space Nearby

African-American 27.18% Green Space Nearby

White 35.67% Green Space Nearby

Page 28: Hispanic Homeownership Seminar

Hispanic Homeownership Seminar - June 1, 2006 28

• African-Americans owners and renters are more likely to have abandoned buildings nearby.

Low-Income Renters

Hispanic 8.9% Abandoned Buildings a problem

African-American 15.9% Abandoned Buildings a problem

White 6.1% Abandoned Buildings a problem

Page 29: Hispanic Homeownership Seminar

Hispanic Homeownership Seminar - June 1, 2006 29

• Minority renters are more likely to be located in areas in which road repairs are a concern.

Low-Income Renters

Hispanic 43.4% Road repairs a problem

African-American 50.3% Road repairs a problem

White 38.0% Road repairs a problem

Page 30: Hispanic Homeownership Seminar

Hispanic Homeownership Seminar - June 1, 2006 30

Summary

1. First time the housing circumstances of a large national sample of Hispanics compared to African-Americans and Whites.

2. A primary determinant of structural and neighborhood satisfaction is homeownership. Clearly, Hispanics and African-Americans are still at a disadvantage.

3. The lower value of rented and owned units for African-American households in the sample suggests that they might be considered generally worse off than Hispanics with regard to housing

4. Regardless of Racial/Ethnic background the same specific neighborhood and structural factors influence housing satisfaction, but characteristics of the housing in which they live can be quite different even within a particular income group and tenure type.

Page 31: Hispanic Homeownership Seminar

Hispanic Homeownership Seminar - June 1, 2006 31

Summary

5. Recent Immigrant Status can have a significant on housing choice influence.

6. Some unique aspects of the Hispanic housing situation were observed

a. White and Non-White Hispanics often appeared to have significantly worse outcomes, even when other factors were controlled for

b. Hispanic households appear generally more crowded

c. Hispanic households appear to have relatively high home mortgage debt levels

d. Hispanic households are more likely to experience problems with water quality and live in units with lower quality heating sources

Page 32: Hispanic Homeownership Seminar

Hispanic Homeownership Seminar - June 1, 2006 32

Homeownership Rate Differences Between Hispanics andNon-Hispanic Whites:

Regional Variation at the County Level

George S. Masnick

Page 33: Hispanic Homeownership Seminar

Hispanic Homeownership Seminar - June 1, 2006 33

Research Goals

• Better understand the magnitude of homeownership rate gaps between Hispanics and non-Hispanic whites.

• Better understand the relationships between homeownership rate gaps and selected explanatory variables.

• Identify counties that are regional outliers, where homeownership rate gaps are large by regional standards but where explanatory differences are weak.

• Such counties could be targets of future efforts to improve homeownership opportunities for young Hispanic families.

Page 34: Hispanic Homeownership Seminar

Hispanic Homeownership Seminar - June 1, 2006 34

Background Facts

• Hispanics are geographically concentrated.

• Hispanic household heads are younger.

• Non-Hispanic white/ Hispanic home ownership rate gaps are smallest for younger householders.

• West and South have smaller home ownership rate gaps than Midwest and Northeast

Page 35: Hispanic Homeownership Seminar

Hispanic Homeownership Seminar - June 1, 2006 35

Methodology

• Select the 25 counties in each census region that have the highest numerical Hispanic representation.

• Focus on young adults 25-34.

• Maintain a regional focus.

• Data source is 2000 census summary files

• Rely on graphic representation to understand Hispanic/ non-Hispanic white differences (Chart Type #1).

Page 36: Hispanic Homeownership Seminar

Hispanic Homeownership Seminar - June 1, 2006 36

Chart Type #1 - West

• Diagonal represents equality

• Short dark line represents trend

• Separation between lines represents departure from equality

• Points above trend line represent outliers

Hispanic vs White Home Ownership RatesWest: Owners Age 25-34

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90%

Hispanic HO Rate

NH

Wh

ite H

O R

ate

Dona Ana, NM

Maricopa, AZ

Orange, CABemalillo, NM

Fresno, CA

Ventura, CA

San Francisco, CA

Monterey, CA

Riverside, CA

San Mateo, CA

Figure 1b

No

n-H

isp

an

ic W

hit

e H

o R

ate

Page 37: Hispanic Homeownership Seminar

Hispanic Homeownership Seminar - June 1, 2006 37

Chart Type #1 - South

• Diagonal represents equality

• Short dark line represents trend

• Separation between lines represents departure from equality

• Points above trend line represent outliers

Hispanic vs White Home Ownership RatesSouth: Owners Age 25-34

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90%

Hispanic HO Rate

NH

Wh

ite H

O R

ate

Fort Bend, TXGwinnett, GA

DeKalb, GA

Brazoria, TXPalm Beach, FL

Hidalgo, TX

Webb, TX

El Paso TX

Denton TX

Prince Georges, MD

Figure 2bNo

n-H

isp

an

ic W

hit

e H

o R

ate

Page 38: Hispanic Homeownership Seminar

Hispanic Homeownership Seminar - June 1, 2006 38

Chart Type #1 - Midwest

• Diagonal represents equality

• Short dark line represents trend

• Separation between lines represents departure from equality

• Points above trend line represent outliers

Hispanic vs White Home Ownership RatesMidwest: Owners Age 25-34

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90%

Hispanic HO Rate

NH

Wh

ite H

O R

ate

Finney, KS

Will, IL

McHenry, IL

Johnson, KS

Hennepin, MN

Marion, IN

Kent, MiLorain, OH

Oakland, MIWayne, MI

Figure 3bNo

n-H

isp

an

ic W

hit

e H

o R

ate

Page 39: Hispanic Homeownership Seminar

Hispanic Homeownership Seminar - June 1, 2006 39

Chart Type #1 - Northeast

• Diagonal represents equality

• Short dark line represents trend

• Separation between lines represents departure from equality

• Points above trend line represent outliers

Hispanic vs White Home Ownership RatesNortheast: Owers Age 25-34

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90%

Hispanic HO Rate

NH

Wh

ite H

O R

ate Nassau, NY

Fairfield, CT

Philadelphia, PA

Passaic, NJHartford, CT

Hampden, MAWorcester, MA

Figure 4bNo

n-H

isp

an

ic W

hit

e H

o R

ate

Page 40: Hispanic Homeownership Seminar

Hispanic Homeownership Seminar - June 1, 2006 40

Explanatory Variables

• Median Income and % Age 25-34 Earning $40K+

• Median Housing Value

• Hispanic Housing Costs as a % of Household Income

• Share Owner Units Built Since 1980

• Share Owner Units Single Family Detached

• Share of Hispanic Foreign Born Not a Citizen

• Share Age 15-64 Married with Kids <18

Page 41: Hispanic Homeownership Seminar

Hispanic Homeownership Seminar - June 1, 2006 41

Explanatory Variables

• Median Income and % Age 25-34 Earning $40K+

• Median Housing Value

• Housing Costs as a % of Household Income

• Share Owner Units Built Since 1980

• Share Owner Units Single Family Detached

• Share of Hispanic Foreign Born Not a Citizen

• Share Age 15-64 Married with Kids <18

Page 42: Hispanic Homeownership Seminar

Hispanic Homeownership Seminar - June 1, 2006 42

Median Housing Value - West

• Diagonal represents equality

• Short dark line represents trend

• Separation between lines represents departure from equality

• Points above trend line represent outliers

Median Housing Value Owner Occupied Units

West

$0

$100,000

$200,000

$300,000

$400,000

$500,000

$600,000

$0 $200,000 $400,000 $600,000

Hispanic Owners

Non

-His

pan

ic W

hit

e O

wn

ers

San Mateo, CA

Santa Clara, CA

San Francisco, CA

Santa Barbara, CA

Monterey, CA

Alameda, CA

Figure 8a

No

n-H

isp

an

ic W

hit

e O

wn

ers

Page 43: Hispanic Homeownership Seminar

Hispanic Homeownership Seminar - June 1, 2006 43

Median Housing Value - South

• Diagonal represents equality

• Short dark line represents trend

• Separation between lines represents departure from equality

• Points above trend line represent outliers

Median Housing Value Owner Occupied Units

South

$0

$50,000

$100,000

$150,000

$200,000

$250,000

$300,000

$0 $100,000 $200,000 $300,000

Hispanic Owners

Non

-His

pan

ic W

hit

e O

wn

ers Fairfax, VA

Montgomery, MD

DeKalb, GA

Figure 8b

No

n-H

isp

an

ic W

hit

e O

wn

ers

Page 44: Hispanic Homeownership Seminar

Hispanic Homeownership Seminar - June 1, 2006 44

Median Housing Value - Midwest

• Diagonal represents equality

• Short dark line represents trend

• Separation between lines represents departure from equality

• Points above trend line represent outliers

Median Housing Value Owner Occupied Units

Midwest

$0

$50,000

$100,000

$150,000

$200,000

$250,000

$300,000

$0 $100,000 $200,000 $300,000

Hispanic Owners

Non-H

ispanic

Whit

e O

wners

Lake, IL

Wyandotte, KS

Kane IL

DuPage, IL

Oakland, MI

Figure 8c

No

n-H

isp

an

ic W

hit

e O

wn

ers

Page 45: Hispanic Homeownership Seminar

Hispanic Homeownership Seminar - June 1, 2006 45

Median Housing Value - Northeast

• Diagonal represents equality

• Short dark line represents trend

• Separation between lines represents departure from equality

• Points above trend line represent outliers

Median Housing Value Owner Occupied Units

Northeast

$0

$50,000

$100,000

$150,000

$200,000

$250,000

$300,000

$0 $100,000 $200,000 $300,000

Hispanic Owners

Non

-His

pan

ic W

hit

e O

wn

ers

Excluding New York County = $245K Hispanic, $1,000K White

Philadelphia, PA

Camden, NJ Hudson, NJ

Essex, MA

Essex, NJ

Kings, NYQueens, NY

Figure 8d

No

n-H

isp

an

ic W

hit

e O

wn

ers

Page 46: Hispanic Homeownership Seminar

Hispanic Homeownership Seminar - June 1, 2006 46

Explanatory Variables

• Median Income and % Age 25-34 Earning $40K+

• Median Housing Value

• Housing Costs as a % of Household Income

• Share Owner Units Built Since 1980

• Share Owner Units Single Family Detached

• Share of Hispanic Foreign Born Not a Citizen

• Share Age 15-64 Married with Kids <18

Page 47: Hispanic Homeownership Seminar

Hispanic Homeownership Seminar - June 1, 2006 47

Median Cost Burden - West

• Diagonal represents equality

• Short dark line represents trend

• Separation between lines represents departure from equality

• Points above trend line represent outliers

Median Owner Costs as a % of Income Owners with a Mortgage

West

15

20

25

30

35

15 20 25 30 35

Hispanic Owners

No

n-H

isp

an

ic W

hit

e O

wn

ers

Dona Ana, NM

Kern, CA

San Francisco, CA

Los Angeles, CA

Figure 10a

No

n-H

isp

an

ic W

hit

e O

wn

ers

Page 48: Hispanic Homeownership Seminar

Hispanic Homeownership Seminar - June 1, 2006 48

Median Cost Burden - South

• Diagonal represents equality

• Short dark line represents trend

• Separation between lines represents departure from equality

• Points above trend line represent outliers

Median Owner Costs as a % of Income Owners with a Mortgage

South

15

20

25

30

35

15 20 25 30 35

Hispanic Owners

Non

-His

pan

ic W

hit

e O

wn

ers

Brazoria, TX

Miami-Dade, FL

Orange, FL

Figure 10b

No

n-H

isp

an

ic W

hit

e O

wn

ers

Page 49: Hispanic Homeownership Seminar

Hispanic Homeownership Seminar - June 1, 2006 49

Median Cost Burden - Midwest

• Diagonal represents equality

• Short dark line represents trend

• Separation between lines represents departure from equality

• Points above trend line represent outliers

Median Owner Costs as a % of Income Owners with a Mortgage

Midwest

15

20

25

30

35

15 20 25 30 35

Hispanic Owners

Non

-His

pan

ic W

hit

e O

wn

ers

McHenry, IL

Wyandotte, KS

Figure 10c

No

n-H

isp

an

ic W

hit

e O

wn

ers

Page 50: Hispanic Homeownership Seminar

Hispanic Homeownership Seminar - June 1, 2006 50

Median Cost Burden - Northeast

• Diagonal represents equality

• Short dark line represents trend

• Separation between lines represents departure from equality

• Points above trend line represent outliers

Median Owner Costs as a % of Income Owners with a Mortgage

Northeast

15

20

25

30

35

15 20 25 30 35

Hispanic Owners

Non

-His

pan

ic W

hit

e O

wn

ers

Philadelphia, PA

New York, NY

Queens, NY

Figure 10d

No

n-H

isp

an

ic W

hit

e O

wn

ers

Page 51: Hispanic Homeownership Seminar

Hispanic Homeownership Seminar - June 1, 2006 51

Methodology

• Rely on graphic representation to study the importance of explanatory variables and to identify outliers (Chart Type # 2).

Page 52: Hispanic Homeownership Seminar

Hispanic Homeownership Seminar - June 1, 2006 52

Chart Type #2 (Median Value) - West

• Explanatory variables generally show weak relationships with home ownership gaps

• Outliers of interest are those above the line of best fit and to the left

Correlation Between Median Value and 25-34 HO Gap - West

R2 =

-0.20

-0.10

0.00

0.10

0.20

0.30

0.40

$0 $100,000 $200,000 $300,000 $400,000 $500,000

Median Housing Value

Ho

me

Ow

ne

rsh

ip R

ate

Gap

San Mateo, CAOrange, CAMaricopa, AZ

Ventura, CA

Fresno, CA

Clark, NV

Figure 9a

Ho

me

Ow

ne

rsh

ip R

ate

Ga

p

Page 53: Hispanic Homeownership Seminar

Hispanic Homeownership Seminar - June 1, 2006 53

Chart Type #2 (Median Value) - South

• Explanatory variables generally show weak relationships with home ownership gaps

• Outliers of interest are those above the line of best fit and to the left

Correlation Between Median Value and 25-34 HO Gap - South

R2 =

-0.20

-0.10

0.00

0.10

0.20

0.30

0.40

$0 $100,000 $200,000 $300,000 $400,000 $500,000

Median Housing Value

Ho

me

Ow

ne

rsh

ip R

ate

Gap

Gwinnett, GA

DeKalb, GA

Prince Georges, MD

Oklahoma, OK Denton TX Fairfax, VA

Montgomery, MD

Figure 9b

Ho

me

Ow

ne

rsh

ip R

ate

Ga

p

Page 54: Hispanic Homeownership Seminar

Hispanic Homeownership Seminar - June 1, 2006 54

Chart Type #2 (Median Value)- Midwest

• Explanatory variables generally show weak relationships with home ownership gaps

• Outliers of interest are those above the line of best fit and to the left

Correlation Between Median Value and 25-34 HO Gap - Midwest

R2 =

-0.20

-0.10

0.00

0.10

0.20

0.30

0.40

$0 $100,000 $200,000 $300,000 $400,000 $500,000

Median Housing Value

Ho

me

Ow

ne

rsh

ip R

ate

Gap

McHenry, ILMarion, IN

Johnson, KSHennepin, MN

Kent, Mi

Lorain, OH

Oakland, MIWayne, MI

Figure 9c

Ho

me

Ow

ne

rsh

ip R

ate

Ga

p

Page 55: Hispanic Homeownership Seminar

Hispanic Homeownership Seminar - June 1, 2006 55

Chart Type #2 (Median Value) - Northeast

• Explanatory variables generally show weak relationships with home ownership gaps

• Outliers of interest are those above the line of best fit and to the left

Correlation Between Median Value and 25-34 HO Gap - Northeast

R2 =

-0.20

-0.10

0.00

0.10

0.20

0.30

0.40

$0 $100,000 $200,000 $300,000 $400,000 $500,000

Median Housing Value

Ho

me

Ow

ne

rsh

ip R

ate

Gap Nassau, NY

Fairfield, CTHampden, MA

Passaic, NJWorcester, MA

Hartford, CT

New Haven, CT

Not Including New York County Median Value = $1,000,001 Gap = 10.2%

Figure 9d

Ho

me

Ow

ne

rsh

ip R

ate

Ga

p

Page 56: Hispanic Homeownership Seminar

Hispanic Homeownership Seminar - June 1, 2006 56

Outliers Short List (Criteria)

• Must be Ranked in Top 10 (among 25 Counties) on Largest Home Ownership Rate Gaps for 25-34 Year olds in Each Region

• Pick Five Counties Down the Top 10 Gap List that Score 15 or Lower on Average Ranking of All Seven Explanatory Variables Combined

Page 57: Hispanic Homeownership Seminar

Hispanic Homeownership Seminar - June 1, 2006 57

Outliers Short List (Counties)

• West -– Maricopa, AZ– Fresno, CA– Clark, NV– San Joaquin, CA– Contra Costa, CA

• South -– DeKalb, GA– Prince George’s, MD– Denton, TX– Palm Beach, FL– Oklahoma, OK

• Midwest -– Johnson, KS– Marion, IN– McHenry, IL– Lorain, OH– Kent, MI

• Northeast -– Worcester, MA– Hartford, CT– Hampden, MA– Nassau, NY– New Haven, CT

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Hispanic Homeownership Seminar - June 1, 2006 58

Summary

Summary and Conclusions…

Page 59: Hispanic Homeownership Seminar

Hispanic Homeownership Seminar - June 1, 2006 59

Mortgage Pricing Differentials Across Hispanic, African-American, and White

Households: Evidence from the American Housing Survey

 Thomas P. Boehm

and

Alan M. Schlottmann

Page 60: Hispanic Homeownership Seminar

Hispanic Homeownership Seminar - June 1, 2006 60

Literature on Racial/Ethnic Differences in Mortgage Lending

• Mortgage Origination and Redlining

• Mortgage Pricing

• Mortgage Pricing – Using the American Housing Survey

– Susin – 2003

– Boehm/Schlottmann/Thistle – 2004

Page 61: Hispanic Homeownership Seminar

Hispanic Homeownership Seminar - June 1, 2006 61

Comparison to the Literature

• Larger Sample of Hispanic Households

• Markets in which loans were originated can be identified as well as the year in which they were originated

• More stratification can be done by:

– Minority subgroup

– Loan type

» Conventional versus VA/FHA

» Refinancing versus Home Purchase

» First Mortgage versus junior mortgage and home equity loans

Page 62: Hispanic Homeownership Seminar

Hispanic Homeownership Seminar - June 1, 2006 62

The Data

Pooled recent AHS MSA samples:

• 41 MSAs – sampling years 1998, 2002, and 2004

• Mortgages of Different Type in the Sample

First Mortgages - Full Sample

High Income Low Income

HispanicAfrican

American White HispanicAfrican

American White Totals

Conv / Home Purchase 960 967 1,717 1,792 1,261 5,221 11,918

Gov. / Home Purchase 495 797 631 861 1,016 1,588 5,388

Conv / Refinance 283 280 725 794 329 2,955 5,366

Gov. / Refinance 83 74 118 203 165 446 1,089

23,761

Page 63: Hispanic Homeownership Seminar

Hispanic Homeownership Seminar - June 1, 2006 63

The Data

First Mortgages – Recent Mover Sample

High Income Low Income

HispanicAfrican

American White HispanicAfrican

American White Totals

Conv / Home Purchase 241 198 367 528 329 1,334 2,997

Gov. / Home Purchase 153 172 155 249 231 381 1,341

4,338

Junior Mortgages – Full Sample

High Income Low Income

HispanicAfrican

American White HispanicAfrican

American White Totals

Junior Mortgage 102 174 252 414 259 1,033 2,234

Home Equity Loan 74 80 393 283 147 1,493 2,470

4,704

Page 64: Hispanic Homeownership Seminar

Hispanic Homeownership Seminar - June 1, 2006 64

Constraints on the Sample of 1st Mortgages

• Mortgages made by financial institution

• Mortgage made on residence only

• Unit not condominium or manufactured

• Loan not assumption or wraparound

• For 1st Mortgages – loan terms 10, 15, 20, 25, or 30 years

Page 65: Hispanic Homeownership Seminar

Hispanic Homeownership Seminar - June 1, 2006 65

Analysis of First Mortgages

Average Mortgage Interest Rates

• Interest rates are substantial higher for low-income families

• Hispanics higher than African-Americans in all but one market segment (conventional refinance, full sample)

Recent Movers – Conventional – Purchase

Low-Income Hispanic 7.20%

Low-Income African-American 6.81%

Low-Income White 6.63 %

Page 66: Hispanic Homeownership Seminar

Hispanic Homeownership Seminar - June 1, 2006 66

Regression Analysis

Model Specification

• Three categories of control variables:

– Characteristics of the borrower

– Characteristics of the property

– Characteristics of the loan itself

• Cannot determine if discrimination exists because data does not include: 

– Individual’s net-wealth or credit history

– Institution’s characteristics or underwriting criteria

Page 67: Hispanic Homeownership Seminar

Hispanic Homeownership Seminar - June 1, 2006 67

Home Purchase Market – Effects of Race/Ethnicity

• In the conventional market for the full sample Non-white and white Hispanics pay significantly higher rate than whites (14.6 and 9.2 basis points respectively), but not as high as African-Americans (30.6 basis points)

• Among recent movers, only Black and Non-white Hispanics pay significantly more than White households (20.6 and 14.7 basis points)

• In the FHA/VA market minorities rates are generally not significantly greater than those of White households. Only African-American households pay significantly higher rates (14.8 basis points)

Page 68: Hispanic Homeownership Seminar

Hispanic Homeownership Seminar - June 1, 2006 68

Home Purchase Market – Other Variables

• Higher housing cost to income ratios lead to significantly higher interest rates, but there are no obvious systematic differences in this ratio across racial/ethnic groups.

• Higher levels of education are associated with lower interest rates – these effects are generally more important in conventional markets

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Hispanic Homeownership Seminar - June 1, 2006 69

• Lower levels of education characterize lower income minorities particularly Hispanics.

Conventional/Home Purchase/1st Mortgage/Full Sample

Low Income Hispanic 12.3% college educated

Low Income African-American 20.9% college educated

Low Income White 28.9% college educated

Conventional/Home Purchase/1st Mortgage/Recent Mover

Low Income Hispanic 14.1% college educated

Low Income African-American 30.3% college educated

Low Income White 38.1% college educated

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Hispanic Homeownership Seminar - June 1, 2006 70

• Higher Loan to Value ratios lead to higher interest rates for recent movers in the conventional market.

Low Income Hispanic 49.4% LTV>.9

Low Income African-American 44.4% LTV>.9

Low Income White 29.7% LTV>.9

High Income Hispanic 53.3% LTV>.9

High Income African-American 39.0% LTV>.9

High Income White 27.3% LTV>.9

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Hispanic Homeownership Seminar - June 1, 2006 71

• African American households lower value (lower quality) units are correlated with higher interest rates.

Conventional/Home Purchase/1st Mortgage/Full Sample

Low Income Hispanic $149,954 house value

Low Income African-American $109,833 house value

Low Income White $160,217 house value

Page 72: Hispanic Homeownership Seminar

Hispanic Homeownership Seminar - June 1, 2006 72

Refinancing

• For AHS this is defined as a loan originated in a year more recent than the year of purchase

• Refinancing is less likely to be done in the FHA/VA market than Conventional (1,089 versus 5366)

• Minorities, particularly African-Americans appear somewhat less likely to refinance

Conventional/Refinance/1st Mortgage/Full Sample

Hispanic 22.8% refinance*

African-American 22.5% refinance*

White 29.7% refinance**percentages = refinancings as a % of to first mortgages

Page 73: Hispanic Homeownership Seminar

Hispanic Homeownership Seminar - June 1, 2006 73

Regression Results

• Interest Rate Differential by Racial/Ethnic Group

• For FHA/VA loans no significant differential exists

• For Conventional loans, blacks and non-white Hispanics refinance at a significantly higher cost (41.2 and 12.8 basis points respectively).

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Hispanic Homeownership Seminar - June 1, 2006 74

Other Variables Impact on Interest Rates

• College Educated Households have significantly lower rates, but generally education less important in the refinancing market

• Generally risk related control variables less important in the FHA/VA market than the conventional

• In particular, housing cost to income ratios, loan terms, and house value all behave as expected.

• Lower house values again lead are associated with significantly higher rates for African-American households

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Hispanic Homeownership Seminar - June 1, 2006 75

Junior Mortgages and Home Equity Loans

• Minorities are much less likely than whites to use home equity loans, more comparable to whites in use of junior mortgages

Low Income Hispanic 4.1% home equity*

Low Income African-American 3.8% home equity*

Low Income White 12.3% home equity**home equity loans / total first mortgage loans

Low Income Hispanic 5.2% junior mortgage*

Low Income African-American 7.6% junior mortgage*

Low Income White 8.9% junior mortgage**junior mortgages / total first mortgage loans

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Hispanic Homeownership Seminar - June 1, 2006 76

• Generally Hispanic Interest Rates are comparable to Whites while African-Americans rates are substantially higher

Junior Mortgage

Low Income Hispanic 8.13% interest rate

Low Income African-American 8.89% interest rate

Low Income White 8.19% interest rate

Home Equity Loans

Low Income Hispanic 6.53% interest rate

Low Income African-American 7.74% interest rate

Low Income White 6.68% interest rate

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Hispanic Homeownership Seminar - June 1, 2006 77

• Whites and Hispanics take on substantially more debt than African-American families

Junior Mortgage

Low Income Hispanic $37,591 amount of debt

Low Income African-American $21,749 amount of debt

Low Income White $34,512 amount of debt

Home Equity Loans

Low Income Hispanic $26,142 amount of debt

Low Income African-American $21,399 amount of debt

Low Income White $22,916 amount of debt

Page 78: Hispanic Homeownership Seminar

Hispanic Homeownership Seminar - June 1, 2006 78

Regression Results

• Significance of Race/Ethnic Group

– For junior mortgages only African-Americans have a significantly higher interest rate controlling for other factors (44.7 basis points higher)

– For home equity loans, Non-white Hispanics and African-Americans have significantly higher interest rates controlling for other factors (52.3 and 62.7 basis points respectively)

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Hispanic Homeownership Seminar - June 1, 2006 79

Other Significant Variables

Junior Mortgages

• Education level is inversely correlated with interest rates and whites are generally better educated than minorities.

• Higher housing Cost to income ratios, longer loan terms and lower house values are consistent with higher interest rates. African-Americans have substantially lower house values than other households.

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Hispanic Homeownership Seminar - June 1, 2006 80

Other Significant Variables

Home Equity Loans

• High housing cost to income and lower house values give rise to significantly higher interest rates.

• African-Americans are observed to have relatively high interest cost, in part, because of their relatively low property values.

• Hispanics interest rates are higher than they otherwise would be because of their high levels of debt (primary component of housing cost) relative to their income level.

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Hispanic Homeownership Seminar - June 1, 2006 81

Summary

• First look at large sample of Hispanic families, first look at junior and secondary financing.

• Controlling for other factors that might influence rates, minority households are more likely to have higher rates for 1st mortgages than whites, but primarily in the conventional markets.

• African-Americans rates tend to higher than Hispanics or whites in the refinancing market.

• African-American and Hispanic households are observed to have lower levels of educational attainment which are correlated with higher interest rates particularly in the conventional market.

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Hispanic Homeownership Seminar - June 1, 2006 82

Summary

• African-Americans generally appear to be in lower quality housing units which are correlated with higher interest rates.

• Hispanics tend to have relatively high loan to value ratios on their 1st mortgages compared to other households (particularly whites)

• Hispanics and African-Americans are slightly less likely to use junior mortgages and substantially less likely to use home equity loans than white households.

• Hispanics have relatively high debt levels when they do use secondary financing, but African-Americans interest rates tend to be substantially higher than the other two groups in this market.