Horizon Scanning – Reading Signals

@daveparkes@dmulibdirector

6

https://www.flickr.com/photos/thomashawk/419107007/in/photostream/

https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:A_Devonshire_steer._Stipple_engraving_by_Neele._Wellcome_V0021699.jpg

See - https://www.ft.com/content/bfb7e6b8-d57b-11e1-af40-00144feabdc0

The parable of the Ox

“apparent errors and omissions” made by its former controller and chief financial officer.

http://www.nmc.org/nmc-horizon-higher-education/

identifies and describes important developments in technology likely to have a large impact on higher education worldwide

over the coming five years.

six key trends, six significant challengessix important developments

The Delphi Method: Harold A. Linstone and Murray Turoff (Eds.)

The Delphi Method: Techniques and Applications. online at: http://www.is.njit.edu/pubs/delphibook/

Diffusion of Innovations: Everett M. Rogers. Diffusion of Innovations, 5th Edition. New York:Free Press, 2003.

Crossing the Chasm: Geoffrey A. Moore. Crossing the Chasm, Revised Edition. New York:Harper Perennial, 1999.

The Delphi Method

Bring in the panel

Aggregate the results

Inform the process

http://kimcofino.com/blog/wp-content/uploads/2016/01/diffusion_of_innovation.png

http://kimcofino.com/blog/wp-content/uploads/2016/01/diffusion_of_innovation.pngHow Innovations Spread (Everett M. Rogers, Diffusion of Innovations)

How Innovations Spread

The Learning Landscape

Research Questions:SpaceWhat types of learning and teaching spaces do students enjoy? popular and what is missing? How can we look beyond current create a vision for the future?Innovation and InspirationThe shape and purpose of the Academic Library is changing. What innovative activities, services and spaces should the future library to ensure a stimulating, motivating and original experience for Community and CultureEvery university is a community. Is the notion of identity relevant to population, who are they and how is the idea of community we use this to create space with a strong sense of belonging?IdentityThe academic heart of every campus. As libraries continue to perception of them also alters. What does the notion of the Library students and how can we use this to create spaces that project an identity and sense of place?

Methodology:Photo Survey – pre-planned shooting script, places, spaces, objectsBehavioural Mapping – cataloguing student behavior in situFormal interviews – with staff Soft Interviews – students, conversational - desires, needsConcept Mapping – 3 days exploring innovation, priorities, ideasCreative Workshops – visioning workshops for staff and studentsDigital – social media, blog, twitter etcField Work – observation, dataHistorical Contextual Review – review of similar projectsLiterature Review – new learning spacesSite Visits – similar projects across UK

Key Findings:

Space – consistent lack of space, students like window seats, light, silent study, syndicate rooms, seclusion and collaboration space, café, informal space, whiteboards. Space could be improved through revised layout, focus on quality rather than quality, bland and shabby in places. In importance 17% want silent, 9% relaxing space, 8% collaborative. Friendly and welcoming. Most important 24/7, then spaces, then books. Heat, light, noise needs to be managed.

Innovation & Inspiration – guest speakers, events, skills sessions, exhibitions, maker space, breakfast bar, inspirational environments e.g.- Vijay Patel, Urban Outfitters, BL, Heatherwick, Guggenheim, the outdoors, V&A, Serpentine.

Community and Culture – predominantly UG use, vibrant, social, working with friends, need to balance formal and informal. Diverse needs, variety of spaces needed, creative through to secluded. Friendly and welcoming. 59% feel part of the community. Better signage, posters, more visible social media.

Identity – Updated modern aesthetic, contemporary, colourful, vibrant, diverse - physical, social and cultural space, quirky, experimental, bohemian, artistic, exhibit student work and art work.

DMU LLS worked with Nomad Design & Innovation Consultants to undertake 2 days behaviour mapping, 3 days of workshops on concept mapping,develop 76 concept maps, interview 102 students, gather 1,212 votes,provide 4 creative workshops, undertake field and desk study.

A final report was published and work will be used to inform a #FutureLibrary

DMU #Future Library Creative Consultation 2017

http://horizon.wiki.nmc.org/

3D Video

Electronic Publishing

Mobile Apps

Quantified Self

Tablet Computing

Telepresence

Wearable Technology

BYODFlipped

Classroom

Games and Gamification

Location Intelligence

Makerspaces

Preservation and

Conservation Technologies

Cloud Computing

The Internet of Things

Real-Time Translation

Semantic Applications

Single Sign-On

Syndication Tools

Badges/Microcredit

Learning Analytics

Mobile Learning

MOOCs

Online Learning Open Content

Open Licensing

Personal Learning

Environments

Virtual and Remote

Laboratories

Collaborative Environments

Collective Intelligence

Crowdfunding

Crowdsourcing Digital Identity

Social Networks

Tacit Intelligence

3D Printing/Rapid

Prototyping

Augmented Reality

Information Visualization

Visual Data Analysis

Volumetric and Holographic

Displays

Affective Computing

Cellular Networks

Electrovibration

Flexible Displays

Geolocation

Location-Based Services

Machine Learning

Mobile Broadband

Natural User Interfaces

Near Field Communication

Next-Generation

Batteries

Open Hardware

Speech-to-Speech

Translation

Statistical Machine

Translation

Virtual Assistants

Wireless Power

Emerging Technology

• Spurring innovation• Spreading digital fluency• Expanding access and convenience• Fostering authentic learning• Tracking and evaluating evidence

http://hackeducation.com/2017/02/16/horizon

Audrey Watters

Published 16 Feb 2017

Credits

Attribution-NonCommercial-ShareAlike 4

Advancing progressive learning

cultural transformation

exchange of fresh ideas

models within and outside of the campus

reward teaching innovation

student success at the centre

Real-world skills

employability and workplace development deliver deeper, active

learning experiences skills-based training that integrate technology in

meaningful ways

Collaboration

key for scaling effective solutions. Communities of practice,

multidisciplinary leadership groups, and open social networks evidence-

based approaches

Access is still unequal.

Gaps persist

socioeconomic status, race, ethnicity,

and gender

Assessing nuanced skills

leaders must now consider how to evaluate the acquisition of vocational

skills, competencies, creativity, and critical thinking

Digital Fluency

Training must go beyond gaining isolated technology skills toward

generating a deep understanding of digital environments, co-creation of

content with others

Learning ecosystems must be agile

remix open content and educational apps in unique and compelling ways

Online, mobile, and blended learning

robust strategies for integrating these now pervasive approaches

track how these models are actively enriching learning outcomes.

Lifelong learning

Institutions must prioritize and recognize ongoing learning —both formal and informal —

for their faculty, staff, and students

Possible …

Solvable Difficult Wicked

Authentic learning experiences Adaptation Political and economic

Digital literacy Digital equity Rethinking roles

Longer Mid-Term Short-Term

Advancing Cultures of Innovation Proliferation of Open Educational Resources

Growing Focus on Measuring Learning

Cross-Institution & Cross-Sector Collaboration

Rise of New Forms of Interdisciplinary Studies

Redesigning Learning Spaces

Longer Mid-Term Short-Term

Mixed reality Adaptive Learning Technologies Analytics

Robotics Artificial Intelligence Makerspaces

READ Scan and study things outside and beyond your profession – industry, art, museums, design , leisure, history

ENGAGE Ask, talk, share, who is leading? examples/exemplars, cycles

CREATE Opportunities and the environment to discuss and share, create a vsion– the gap between vision and reality engenders a creative tension

FRAME Ideas, metaphors, language, behaviours, social

CHALLENGE Assumptions don’t offer predictions

TECHNOLOGY The future is not determined by its technologies

Thinking about the future always involves values and politicsThe future influences the present just as much as the past

The Library is facing a Cambrian Explosion ofevolutionary experiments

https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Joachim_Barrande01.jpg

Horizon Scanning – Reading Signals

@daveparkes@dmulibdirector