houston community college strategic real estate study houston, texas

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Sale Pending Property Under Review 15 Minute Drive Radius Missouri City Ctr HCC Taxable Area HCC Service Area gend Acres Homes Brays Oaks TX Parkway North Forest Voc-Tech Stafford Campus Spring Branch Campus Health Science Ctr. Northeast Campus Eastside Campus Pinemont Center South Campus Katy Campus Gulfton Ctr Central Campus JP McGovern Alief - Hayes Road Alief - Bissonnet Ctr. West Loop Felix Fraga ATTC/Northline Campus CC Taxable Area CC Service Area te Drive Radius mph avg speed) rent Active - Not Changing rent Active - Expanding nd Staffor rd ff Spr rin Katy C Campus C C C C Alie ief ef - H ef ief et Ctr. nne et r ef - Bisso ef - Bis Alie ef Alie ef - Bis f - Bis ef - Bis ef - ef ef sso so onn on onn so o o Biss ss ss C CC Taxable Area C CC Service Area t te Drive Radius mph avg speed) r rent Active - Not Changing r rent Active - Expanding n nd Study Documentation Project No. 415084 Submittal Date 22 March 2016 Houston Community College Strategic Real Estate Study Houston, Texas

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  • Sale PendingProperty Under Review

    15 Minute Drive Radius

    Missouri City Ctr

    HCC Taxable Area

    HCC Service Area

    gend

    Acres Homes

    Brays Oaks

    TX Parkway

    North Forest Voc-Tech

    Stafford Campus

    Spring Branch Campus

    Health Science Ctr.

    Northeast Campus

    Eastside Campus

    Pinemont Center

    South Campus

    Katy Campus

    Gulfton Ctr

    Central Campus

    JP McGovern

    Alief - Hayes Road

    Alief - Bissonnet Ctr.

    West Loop

    Felix Fraga

    ATTC/Northline Campus

    CC Taxable Area

    CC Service Area

    te Drive Radiusmph avg speed)

    rent Active - Not Changing

    rent Active - Expanding

    ndfStafforrdff

    SprrinCKaty CCampusCCCC

    Alieiefef - Hef ief

    etet Ctr.nneet ref - Bissonnef - BissoAlieefAlieef - Bisf - Bisef - Bisef -ef ef ssosoonnononnsoooBissssss

    CCC Taxable Area

    CCC Service Area

    tte Drive Radiusmph avg speed)

    rrent Active - Not Changing

    rrent Active - Expanding

    nndStudy Documentation

    Project No.415084

    Submittal Date22 March 2016

    Houston Community College Strategic Real Estate Study Houston, Texas

  • Houston Community College Strategic Real Estate Study2

    Build facilities near where students live, work and travel...and anticipate how programmatic content affects location

    Robert M. Stein, PhD Lena Gohlman Fox Professor of Political Science, Rice University Fellow in Urban Politics, Baker Institute for Public Policy

  • Page Southerland Page, Inc. 3

    Key Questions Driving Study The Houston Community College System (HCC), in the course of delivering upon its educational mission, owns numerous real estate properties. These properties serve as active educational campuses, administrative operational bases, and placeholders for future educational or administrative needs. Properties were acquired over time in support of intended service and growth plans, or were gifted to the College. Periodic review and realignment of real estate inventory is necessary to assure ongoing asset alignment with system plans and regional realities. This strategic real estate study analyzes both system provided and publically available data to outline an objective framework to inform key real estate decisions.

    The key questions this study addresses are:

    1. What is the optimum distance between educational campuses in a community college network?

    2. What is the optimum size of a single community college campus?

    3. Are there any identifiable areas within the HCC service area where a campus does not currently exist, but objective research suggests a campus should be located?

    4. Are any of the existing HCC properties currently operating as (or targeted as future) educational campuses in the wrong place, or poorly located based upon objective considerations?

    Two parallel approaches to addressing these questions are reflected in this report. In the first, Robert M. Stein, PhD, in his role as Empirical Researcher and Demographic Analyst, conducted a review of published literature and consensus best practices for community college system planning to identify any established guidelines that might inform or direct the HCC real estate strategy. In the second, PageSoutherlandPage, Inc. (Architects - hereinafter, Page) built from Steins research to compile demographic and geographic data in a series of maps showing different characteristics of the service area and real estate network. The convergence of these parallel approaches establishes an objective basis for further exploration.

    Executive Summary

  • Houston Community College Strategic Real Estate Study4

    Review of Published Literaturefrom Locating Community College Facilitiesby Robert M. Stein, PhD

    For the complete text of Steins review, please see chapter 7 at the end of this document.

    A review of scholarly published literature on the best practices for locating community college facilities does not net a set of unambiguous metrics for making decisions on where to locate community college facilities. Beyond building facilities near to where community college students live, work and travel and anticipating how programmatic content effects location, there is little more to be gleaned from published literature on community college facilities.

    There is a clear consensus in the literature that the location of community college facilities relates to the relationship between the instructional programs at the community college and the composition of its students and users. This relationship defines not only where the college might locate its facilities, it also identifies how college infrastructure/facilities should be configured and equipped.

    This study is charged with measurable, location-based analysis, and location-based instructional evaluation will not be addressed in this report.

    Study Context In June of 2011, HCC published the HCC System Facilities Master Plan: 2011-2033. This comprehensive plan summarizes a full year of research and consultation with numerous HCC leaders and stakeholders aimed to create a clear vision for all future development of the physical environment of Houston Community College Systemin support of its academic missions and goals. Recognizing that both HCC and the region served by the system will evolve, the plan recommended regular updates. Five years later, this supplementary study builds directly on the vision established in the 2011 master plan.

    One of the four key methods employed in the master plan was, identification of the main drivers that impact basic decisions about facility location. The main drivers identified are: demographics, accessibility, and enrollment pipeline. A combination of the key questions, Steins research, and these drivers serve to organize this real estate study.

    Disclaimer - This study was completed over a period of months during which some situational changes occurred. In particular, the planned sale of the Missouri City Sienna Plantation campus was completed on 26 February 2016. There may be isolated references to this campus which do not reflect that change in condition.

  • Page Southerland Page, Inc. 5

    Demographic and Geographic Analyses

    Current Use Analysis Objective analysis logically builds from the explicit historical data available. Today, each of the existing HCC academic campuses serve different numbers of students. When comparing the relative student use by campus with the zip code of origin of HCC students, it appears that students are in some cases traveling past a campus that is closer to their home in order to attend classes. One possibilie explanation is that students are willing to travel further to attend a larger location with more of a campus feel. This study does find a positive correlation between building size and level of student usage, but without further analysis into other possible drivers like relative course offerings and facility quality/amenities the role of campus size in student preference is difficult to disaggregate. Further study is required to identify optimal campus size.

    Another analysis of student location with respect to campuses shows that a substantial number of HCC students are identified as coming from outside the taxing district (23% in Fall 2015). The majority of these hail from Katy, Spring Branch and Fort Bend ISD, but students originate from all the surrounding districts. This demand suggests growth opportunity is strong to the west.

    Comparative maps are employed in this report to geographically illustrate the current population, population density, and population by target (most common community college attending) age. Additionally, proportion of population by ethnicity is mapped to highlight how the diversity of HCCs service area is distributed geographically. Following are a series of maps that look at educational attainment of the resident population, showing both all the adults with less than an associates degree as their highest attainment and those adults who are community college ready (possess college readiness degrees or credentials).

    To supplement these analyses of where potential students reside today, a series of maps looks at forward indicators of potential students. First, a population growth map shows where the service area is experiencing the fastest population growth. Second, the public high schools with the lowest 4-year graduation rates are mapped, with their attendance boundaries, to suggest where the GED and college prep population needs are greatest. Finally, the major Houston area employment centers are located to show job centers which support part-time and working students.

    The final analysis explores where community college campuses currently exist, locating all of the surrounding community college system campuses as well as analyzing the effective overlap of existing HCC sites through evaluation of the 15 minute drive-time radius from each active and planned campus.

  • Houston Community College Strategic Real Estate Study6

    Conclusions The demographic and geographic analyses aggregate up into a zip-code level priority map that highlights the geographic locations of greatest potential based upon an even weighting of seven geographic prioritization measures (see box below). This priority map locates the ideal geographic areas for community college campuses across the HCC service area, irrespective of the current network of HCC facilities.

    Population at target age (15-29 years)

    Representative ethnicity concentration Population density Educational attainment and readiness for college coursework Population growth Low 4 yr graduation rate high school zones Employment center proximity

    Geographic Prioritization Measures

    Recommendations and conclusions for this real estate strategy are drawn from examination of the existing network of HCC campuses and their overlapping convenient access areas (as measured by the drive-time radius analysis) against the priority map created. In every case, the highest priority zip codes identified are being served by more than one HCC campus location. This suggests that the established network of campuses effectively targets the priority students, and there may be opportunities for consolidation as operational and financial considerations are evaluated.

    On the facing page, each of the property holdings which are under review in the current inventory, meaning that they are owned by HCC but no current plans exist to develop a campus or administrative building on the site, is discussed in detail with respect to the priority population that might be reached from that location and the overlap with existing or under development facility resources. Additionally, several consolidation opportunities are identified with properties that overlap heavily in their effective reach.

  • Page Southerland Page, Inc. 7

    Recommendations Specific recommendations for the properties under review are:

    Westheimer - Divest property: location covers a high priority geography but has extensive overlap with existing and planned HCC campuses

    Katy and Katy Mills - Divest property: Evaluate the potential to ultimately divest Katy Mills and the current Katy campus in favor of a new campus better serving the western reaches of the service area. The current placement of the Katy campus means roughly half of its 15 minute drive radius is already served by the Spring Branch Campus. At the same time, the Katy Mills property, which covers geography well to the west of and distinct from Spring Branch is too small to support substantial development.

    288/MacGregor - Divest property: location covers a high priority geography, but is very close to numerous existing campuses which already serve that priority geography well

    E. Little York - Divest property: location is well located with respect to priority geography on the north east side of the service area, but is very close to numerous existing campuses and would not serve a new population from that location

    Midtown Purchase - Hold as parking and future expansion for Central campus: location is sufficiently close to the existing central campus to realize efficiencies in operation and investment as inexpensive overflow surface parking in the immediate, and future expansion space for the Central Campus in the future.

    Delano Warehouse - Divest property.

    Specific recommendations for consolidation of existing properties are:

    Gulfton - Divest property: location has heavy overlap with the West Loop campus and a small student body, suggesting that consolidation with the West Loop location and the new center at Brays Oaks will utilize resources more effectively.

    Pinemont (Leased) - When lease is up, look for opportunities to either consolidate operations with Northline or shift the campus west to improve geographic coverage and reduce the overlap with the ATTC/Northline campus facility..

    Future property location opportunities may be evaluated against the established geographic priority map and the overlapping existing campus drive-radius map to determine whether the real estate represents an objective opportunity to serve the target HCC student population effectively.

  • Houston Community College Strategic Real Estate Study8

    ...the relationship between the instructional programs at the community college and the composition of its students and users...defines not only where the college might locate its facilities, it also identifies how college infrastructure/facilities should be configured and equipped.Robert M. Stein, PhD Lena Gohlman Fox Professor of Political Science, Rice University Fellow in Urban Politics, Baker Institute for Public Policy

  • Page Southerland Page, Inc. 9

    4.0 Student characteristics and local demographics

    39 Community College Student Characteris-tics - National Trends

    40 Houston Area Population Distribution41 Houston Area Population Density42 HCC Students - by Age43 HCC Students - Saturation of Target Age

    Group Across Service Area44 HCC Students - by Ethnicity45 HCC Service Area Population Distribution

    by Ethnicity46 Educational Attainment Across HCC

    Service Area - Proportion at Less than Associates Degree

    47 Educational Attainment Across HCC Service Area - Number at Less than Asso-ciates Degree

    48 Educational Attainment Across HCC Service Area - Proportion with No Degree That are College Ready

    49 Educational Attainment Across HCC Service Area - Number with No Degree That are College Ready

    5.0 Predictive indicators

    51 Recent Population Growth52 Target High School Zones53 Employment Centers

    1.0 Definitions, Funding, and Oversight

    15 Definitions, Service and Taxing Areas16 School Districts Within HCC Service Area18 Administrative Organization and Breakdown 19 HCC Trustee District Boundaries

    2.0 HCC Real Estate Property Summary

    21 Introduction22 HCC Existing Real Estate by Property Status23 Complete Property Listing24 Real Estate Building and Land Area by Loca-

    tion

    3.0 Academic Property Usage

    30 Students By Primary Campus31 Current HCC Students by Zip Code32 Current HCC Students per Zip Code by

    Campus34 Campus Size Analysis36 School Districts Surrounding HCC Service Area37 Out of District HCC Students

    Contents/

    01

    02

    03

    04

    05

  • Houston Community College Strategic Real Estate Study10

    6.0 Distribution, Area Coverage, and Competition

    55 HCC Existing Locations Drive Time Radius Overlap56 HCC Properties Under Development Drive Time Radius57 HCC Properties Under Review Drive Time Radius58 All Community Colleges Serving MSA59 Surrounding System Campuses and HCC Drive Times

    7.0 Analysis and conclusions

    61 Approach Summary62 Opportunity Prioritization Summary by Zip Code63 Opportunity Map vs. Existing HCC Coverage64 Westheimer Location66 Katy Mills Location68 E Little York Location70 288/MacGregor Location72 Midtown Purchase Location74 Delano Warehouse Location

    8.0 Appendix

    77 Full Text : Locating Community College Facilities79 Related Note: An overview of community college users

    and programs-Nationally80 Excerpt from Memo: Discussion Regarding Possible

    Classification of Instructional Sites81 Summary Property List82 Complete Property List

    07

    08

    06

  • Page Southerland Page, Inc. 11

    System Leadership/ Board of Trustees

    Dr. Adriana Tamez, Chair, District III

    Robert Glaser, Vice Chair, District V

    Dr. Carolyn Evans-Shabazz, Secretary, District IV

    Zeph Capo, District I

    David B. Wilson, District II

    Dr. John P. Hansen, District VI

    Neeta Sane, District VII

    Eva L. Loredo, District VIII

    Christopher W. Oliver, District IX

    Executive Cabinet

    Dr. Cesar Maldonado, Chancellor

    Teri Zamora, Sr. Vice Chancellor, Finance & Administration

    Dr. Kimberly Beatty, Vice Chancellor, Instructional Services, CAO

    Dr. Butch Herod, Vice Chancellor, Innovation Planning & Institutional Analytics

    E. Ashley Smith, General Counsel

    Frederica Guthrie, Director, Communication Services

    Dr. Melissa Gonzalez, Chief of Staff

  • Houston Community College Strategic Real Estate Study12

    Acknowledgements/ This document represents the compilation of months of work organized and led by PageSoutherlandPage, Inc. (Page) in consultation with key Administrators of Houston Community College and under the direction of Charles D. Smith, PE, Chief Facilities Officer Houston Community College.

    Page gratefully extends its gratitude to all participants from HCC for sharing their time and leadership.

    Jeff Bricker is committed to improving the quality of life in Houston through his architectural practice. A proud native Houstonian, he has managed many large, complex projects for educational, government, and business clients in his hometown. Previously a principal of Bricker + Cannady Architects, he now provides Page with technical and managerial direction on a number of important public projects for the City of Houston and Harris County, as well as an array of other building types for private sector clients. Bricker + Cannady was folded into Page when Jeff was invited to join the firm in 2004.

    Jeff is equally passionate about his commitment to civic service efforts in Houston, often sharing local developments and updates with staff and encouraging their interest and involvement in city governance. A longtime community leader, he has been involved in the planning, strategy and fundraising for numerous bond elections and local political campaigns. As he points out, Our responsibility doesnt end when we complete projects that improve the way people live. We also have a duty as citizens to ensure that quality of life continues through community involvement.

    Jeff has served on the boards of Southwest Houston 2000, The Park People, Leadership Houston, and the American Red Cross. In addition, he has been active with the Greater Houston Partnership, having served as the former chair of its Local Government Relations Committee and Federal Government Relations Committee, a founding member of its Partnerships Quality of Life Committee, and former chair of a taskforce on sensible growth for its Business Issues Committee.

    His projects include the Jones Plaza in Houstons Theatre District, several buildings within the Discovery Green downtown park, the Houston Area Womens Shelter, the Student Services Center for the University of Houstons downtown campus, more than 80 municipal parks under the auspices of the City of Houstons Parks to Standard Program, development of the master plan for the Harris County parks system, and the Maverick Activities Center at the University of Texas at Arlington.

    Several recent projects for the University of Houston have helped to transform its main campus. Those include the Student Recreation and Wellness Center, the West Dining Facility, and the 800-bed Cougar Place student housing projects. The $120 million football stadium, initially accommodating 40,000 spectators but designed to be expanded in the future to add another 20,000 seats, further expands his campus portfolio.

    Jeff Bricker, AIA, Principal in Charge

  • Page Southerland Page, Inc. 13

    Jamie Flatt, Principal, Strategic and Geographic Analyst

    Also a proud native Houstonian, Jamie first brought her exceptional creativity and business acumen to predesign projects at Page in 2005. She arrived at the profession of architecture via a circuitous route: psychology major/pre-med student at Harvard, management consultant focused on emergence of the internet and modernization of banking networks right out of school, then internal strategist at a New York investment bank for two years, finally rounded out by a brief stint as fulfillment manager at a media marketing firm before getting her MArch at Rice.

    At Page, Jamie has led predesign projects across numerous market sectors including academic, civic, government, corporate, and public safety. Notable projects include a needs assessment for the Houston Police Department Headquarters consolidation (still the basis for the proposed Houston Justice Complex), a service and facility master plan for the Houston Public Library, and a master plan for ADNOCs Petroleum Institute campus in Abu Dhabi.

    Prior to joining Page, she served as an associate in the Corporate Strategy Group at Lehman Brothers in New York developing firm-wide strategic planning and analysis. Jamie also served as an analyst for a strategic consulting firm in Washington, D.C., where she conducted retail network optimization analyses for a major retail bank across multiple markets.

    Robert M. Stein, PhD, Empirical Researcher and Demographic Analyst

    Robert M. Stein, Ph.D., is the fellow in urban politics at the Baker Institute and the Lena Grohlman Fox Professor of Political Science at Rice University. He also is the faculty director of Rices Center for Civic Engagement. Steins current research focuses on alternative modes of elections and voting procedures in the United States; emergency preparedness, behavioral response to severe weather events, and risk assessment; and home weatherization programs in low- and moderate-income households. His work has been supported by the National Science Foundation, the City of Houstons Office of Public Safety and Homeland Security, the Environmental Defense Fund and Pew Charitable Trusts, among others.

    Stein is co-author of Perpetuating the Pork Barrel: Policy Subsystems and American Democracy (Cambridge University Press, 1995) and author of Urban Alternatives: Public and Private Markets in the Provision of Local Services (Pittsburgh Press, 1990). He has received the Outstanding Reviewer Award from Political Research Quarterly and the Best Paper Award on Federalism and Intergovernmental Relations (with Kenneth Bickers) from the American Political Science Association. He teaches courses on public policy, urban politics and political behavior at Rice, where twice he has been awarded the George R. Brown Award for Superior Teaching. Stein received his bachelors degree from Ohio Wesleyan University. He earned his masters and doctoral degree from the University of WisconsinMilwaukee.

    Aaron Jones, AIA, Associate Principal, Project Manager

  • Houston Community College Strategic Real Estate Study14

    The board of trustees of a junior college district may accept or acquire by purchase or rent land and facilities in the name of the junior college district within the junior college districts service area.

    Texas Education Code Title 3, Subchapter G Section 130.086

  • Page Southerland Page, Inc. 15

    1.0 Definitions, Funding, and Oversight

    Definitions, Service and Taxing Areas

    Like all junior college systems in Texas, HCC is regulated by the state education code. The following text is from Title 3, Subchapter G, Section 130: Higher Education, Non-Baccalaureate System, Junior College Districts. This code articulates the specific rules governing property considerations for Junior Colleges.

    Sec. 130.161. 2): Service area means:

    (A) the territory within the boundaries of the taxing district of a junior college district; and

    (B) the territory outside the boundaries of the taxing district of a junior college district in which the junior college district provides services.

    Sec. 130.182 defines the service area of the Houston Community College System District as including the territory within:

    the Houston, Alief, Katy, Spring Branch, and North Forest independent school districts;

    the Stafford Municipal School District; and

    the part of the Fort Bend Independent School District that is located in the municipalities of Houston, Missouri City, and Pearland.

    See map on following page.

  • Houston Community College Strategic Real Estate Study16

    LegendHCC Taxable Area

    HCC Service Area

    HCC Property

    Katy ISD

    Spring Branch ISD

    Alief ISD

    Fort Bend ISDHouston ISD

    StaffordISD

    School Districts Within HCC Service Area

    Only that part of the Fort Bend Independent School District that is located in the municipalities of Houston, Missouri City, and Pearland is included in the HCC Service Area.

  • Page Southerland Page, Inc. 17

    The college has several funding options available to fund the purchase or construction of campus facilities:

    General Obligation Bonds

    repayment funded by debt portion of ad valorem taxes*

    Public Finance Corporation (PFC)

    Lease Revenue Bonds

    repayment funded from pledged PFC lease revenues

    Revenue Bonds repayment funded from pledged operating revenues

    Public Private Partnership (P3)

    funded by operations under partnership agreement

    Fund Balance funded from cash accumulated from previous years operations and from disposition of assets

    Tuition and Fee Revenues

    tuition and fee rates set by HCC Board of Trustees; available for all valid expenses of the college

    Operation and Maintenance Tax

    ad valorem tax rates set by HCC Board of Trustees; available for all valid expenses of the college within the taxing district only

    The two* primary options available to the college for operation of campus facilities include:

    * General Obligation Bonds require approval by an election of the voters within the HCC taxing district, and may not be used to fund locations outside of the taxing district.

    * HCCs other primary funding stream received from state appropriations must be used exclusively to pay for instructional and administrative salaries, and supplies and materials for instructional purposes.

    The defined service area is larger in the case of HCC than the established taxable area. Within the designated service area, Spring Branch and Katy ISD residents have not yet voted to support HCC directly via property taxes. As a result, students residing in the district, but outside of the taxable area pay tuition at out-of-district rates.

  • Houston Community College Strategic Real Estate Study18

    Administrative Organization and Breakdown

    The Houston Community College System district is divided up into nine trustee districts for the purpose of representation and oversight. The map on the facing page illustrates the trustee district breakdown.

    One benefit of the current study is that it highlights the reality that many community college students attend classes closer to where they work, shop and travel each day than to where they sleep. Professor Steins previous publications on the challenges of democratic governance structures imply that continuing to provide the types of information assembled by the Administration and reported herein regarding where the students living in each district actually engage HCC will materially assist Trustees in making sound decisions and explaining them to the electorate.1,2

    1. Robert M. Stein and Kenneth N. Bickers. 1995. Perpetuating the Pork Barrel: Policy Subsystems and American Democracy. Cambridge University Press

    2. Aggregated information on student enrollment by campus can be provided to trustees, preserving the confidentiality and privacy of individuals students.

  • Page Southerland Page, Inc. 19

    I

    II

    IIIIV

    V

    VI

    VII

    VIII

    IX

    LegendHCC Taxable Area

    HCC Service Area

    HCC Teaching Site

    HCC Trustee District Boundaries

  • Houston Community College Strategic Real Estate Study20

    ...HCC currently serves a 622 square mile service area via 3.7 million square feet of academic buildings on 576 acres of property ...

    Aggregate of Master Property Data

  • Page Southerland Page, Inc. 21

    2.0 HCC Real Estate Property Summary

    The Houston Community College System (HCC), in the course of delivering upon its educational mission, owns numerous real estate properties. These properties serve as active educational campuses, administrative operational bases, and placeholders for future educational or administrative needs. Properties were acquired over time in support of intended service and growth plans, or were gifted to the College.

    The entire inventory of properties held by HCC are included in this study. 187 separate parcels are separately accounted for (either by name or appraisal district designation). A large number of these parcels are contiguous or adjacent to one another and for the purpose of this analysis have been aggregated into 26 distinct tracts. Re-platting these properties would simplify asset management, ongoing analysis and public explanation of land holdings, however, such re-platting efforts should be carefully considered as part of other work, as the standalone cost of reducing 187 plats to 26 locations could easily exceed two million dollars.

    Properties are grouped by current administrative entity or College where applicable and then designated as one of the following types, depending on the current plans for that location.

    Introduction

    Existing - Developed property in current service not currently slated for growth or disposition.

    Expanding - Developed property in current service being expanded as part of the current construction program.

    Under Review - Current holding that is not in active service and which the administration has asked Consultant to specifically comment upon.

    Under Development - Current property that is the site of new facility under contract for construction.

    Sale Pending - Current property being divested by the College

    Total Area of Land Parcels Analyzed, by Status (square feet)

    Total Building Area Grouped, by Property Status (square feet)

    1,414,571

    2,909,393

    61,803 120,134 45,000

    Existing Expanding Under Review UnderDevelopment

    Sale Pending

    8,097,500

    11,970,004

    1,932,551 2,877,493

    195,253

    Existing Expanding Under Review Under Development Sale Pending

    Current Area

  • Houston Community College Strategic Real Estate Study22

    0

    1,000,000

    2,000,000

    3,000,000

    4,000,000

    4,627,881

    Land Area Owned (sf)

    LegendHCC Taxable Area

    HCC Service Area

    Central

    Coleman

    Northeast

    Northwest

    Southeast

    Southwest

    District

    College

    Existing/In Use - No change planned

    Expanding Campus

    Under Development

    Property Under Review

    Sale Pending

    Leased

    Property Status

    North Forest Voc-Tech Campus

    Stafford Campus

    Warehouse-9424 Fannin

    Spring Branch Campus

    Health Science Ctr.

    Northeast Campus

    Eastside Campus

    Pinemont Center

    Missouri City Ctr

    South Campus

    Katy Campus

    Gulfton Ctr

    Katy Mills

    Central CampusWestheimer

    JP McGovern

    System Admin

    Alief - Hayes Road

    Alief - Bissonnet Ctr.

    Acres Homes

    Brays Oaks

    TX Parkway

    West Loop288/MacGregor

    Midtown Purchase

    Felix FragaWhse-Delano

    ATTC/Northline Campus

    E Little York

    HCC Existing Real Estate by Property Status

    Analysis and objective review of the existing facilities is complicated by the different property and location names utilized for the various properties in inventory. Upon completion of the CIP, the System will have at least 28 distinct operating locations, in addition to remote sites. These locations are currently designated as Building, Campus, Center,College, and Facility; without apparent regard to size, population or function. As HCC moves towards the Centers of Excellence strategy a more consistent naming approach would simplify communications and administration of the various facilities (see facility directors memo excerpt in appendix).

  • Page Southerland Page, Inc. 23

    Complete Property Listing Administrative Unit Specific Location Land Area (sf) Current StatusDistrict System Admin Building 163,085 Existing

    Warehouse-9424 Fannin 593,726 Existing

    Warehouse-Delano 31,260 Under Review

    Central South Campus 4,527,626 Expanding

    Central Campus 1,176,885 Expanding

    288/MacGregor 396,706 Under Review

    Midtown Purchase 178,605 Under Review

    Coleman Health Science Ctr. 155,302 Expanding

    John P. McGovern 10,800 Leased/Under Review

    Northeast Northeast Campus 4,521,631 Existing

    Auto Tech Training Ctr. 203,866 Existing

    Pinemont Center 51,435 Leased/Existing

    North Forest Voc-Tech 1,919,002 Expanding

    Northline Campus 976,266 Expanding

    Acres Homes 492,637 Under Development

    Donation-E Little York 214,350 Under Review

    Northwest Katy Campus 1,347,931 Existing

    Spring Branch Campus 878,694 Existing

    Alief - Bissonnet Center 229,613 Existing

    Alief - Hayes Road 965,367 Expanding

    West Houston Inst. 1,019,412 Under Review

    Katy Mills 81,418 Under Review

    Southeast Eastside Campus 683,107 Expanding

    Felix Fraga Academic 466,014 Expanding

    Southwest Gulfton Ctr 107,519 Existing

    West Loop Ctr 771,032 Expanding

    Stafford Campus 329,403 Expanding

    Missouri City Ctr 195,253 Sale Pending

    Brays Oaks 558,421 Under Development

    TX Parkway 1,826,435 Under Development

    *Note that the properties comprisingthe Stafford Campus are not currently contiguous, with several plots a short distance away on

    . Discussions are underway with the local municipality to swap land that is adjacent to the HCC campus for these sites. Given the increased functionality and flexibility that contiguous properties provide, it is recommended that the land swap be pursued.

    *

  • Houston Community College Strategic Real Estate Study24

    Real Estate Building and Land Area by Location

    Established/Planned

    Total Land Area(square feet)

    Building Area(square feet)

    292,000

    269,451

    237,252

    140,000

    0.08

    0.15

    0.26

    0.43

    0.33

    0.38

    0.84

    0.23

    0.05

    0.03

    1.00

    2.44

    FAR

    NORTHWEST

    SOUTHWEST

    COLEMAN

    108,503

    132,856

    60,220

    411,048

    35,500

    294,451

    275,497

    27,189

    45,000

    67,825

    10,800

    378,242

    1,347,931

    878,694

    229,613

    965,367

    107,519

    771,032

    329,403

    195,253

    558,421

    1,826,435

    10,800

    155,302

    Katy Campus

    Spring BranchCampus

    Alief -Bissonnet Center

    Alief -Hayes Road

    Gulfton Center

    West Loop Center

    Stafford Campus

    Sienna PlantationCenter

    Brays Oaks

    TX Parkway Center

    John P. McGovern

    Health Science Ctr.

    Each property listed on the preceding page is illustrated on the charts to the right (and following page). Properties are grouped by administrative unit.

    The length of the gray bars on the left are sized to show the relative area of HCC buildings on the land. The darker gray represents the future, or planned area, while the lighter gray represents the current building area.

    The bars extending to the right are sized to show the relative size of the land available at that location and are color-coded by the status of the property (existing, expanding, under review, etc.).

    Properties with larger gray bars and smaller colored bars are more constrained in their potential for future growth than properties with larger colored bars and smaller gray bars.

    This ratio of building to land area is sometimes called the Floor to Area Ratio or FAR.

    The lower FAR properties have substantially more opportunity for growth (e.g. Texas Parkway Center) than the properties with an FAR greater than 1.0 (e.g. the Health Science Ctr.)

  • Page Southerland Page, Inc. 25

    Total Land Area(square feet)

    Building Area(square feet)

    FARNORTHWEST

    39,000

    41,753

    115,225

    288,559

    68,805

    701,150 0.02

    0.62

    0.21

    3.42

    0.06

    0.35

    1.00

    0.03

    0.17

    0.23

    0.05

    0.49

    CENTRAL

    DISTRICT

    NORTHEAST

    SOUTHEAST

    103,959

    124,245

    558,450

    271,370

    72,059

    51,368

    107,653

    166,731

    25,120

    333,007

    105,237

    731,348

    4,527,626

    1,176,885

    593,726

    163,085

    4,521,631

    203,886

    51,435

    1,919,002

    976,266

    492,637

    683,107

    466,014

    South Campus

    Central Campus

    Warehouse-9424 Fannin

    System AdministrationBuilding

    Northeast Campus

    Auto Tech Training Ctr.

    Pinemont Center

    North ForestVoc-Tech

    Northline Campus

    Acres Homes

    Eastside Campus

    Felix Fraga Academic

    Floor Area Ratio (FAR) is the ratio of a buildings total floor area (gross floor area in square feet) to the size of the piece of land upon which it is built (square feet of land). FAR is a measure of site development density. The color codes visually highlight the very dense sites (towards red on the spectrum) vs. the much less dense sites (towards green on the spectrum).

    Legend

    Building Area (sf)

    Floor to Area Ratio(FAR)

    Land Area (sf)Existing/In UseNo change planned

    Expanding Campus

    Under Development

    Sale Pending

    Leased

    Existing

    Future/Expanded

    Least Greatest

  • Houston Community College Strategic Real Estate Study26

    81,418 Katy Mills

    396,706 288/MacGregor

    178,605 Midtown Purchase

    214,350 Donation-E Little York

    1,019,412

    31,260

    Westheimer

    Warehouse-Delano40,000

    Specific suggestions for each property under review are outlined in the final chapter of this report, Chapter 7.

    Real Estate Building and Land Area by Location

    Properties Under Review

    Total Land Area(square feet)

    Building Area(square feet)

    FARNORTHWEST

  • Page Southerland Page, Inc. 27

    Map of all properties - size of land holding indicated

    0

    1,000,000

    2,000,000

    3,000,000

    4,000,000

    4,627,881

    Land Area Owned (sf)

    LegendHCC Taxable Area

    HCC Service Area

    Central

    Coleman

    Northeast

    Northwest

    Southeast

    Southwest

    District

    College

    North Forest Voc-Tech Campus

    Stafford Campus

    Warehouse-9424 Fannin

    Spring Branch Campus

    Health Science Ctr.

    North mpus

    Eastside Campus

    Pinemont Center

    Missouri City Ctr

    South Campus

    Katy Campus

    Gulfton Ctr

    Katy Mills

    Central CampusWestheimer

    JP McGovern

    System Admin

    Alief - Hayes Road

    Alief - Bissonnet Ctr.

    Acres Homes

    Brays Oaks

    TX Parkway

    West Loop288/MacGregor

    Midtown Purchase

    Felix FragaWhse-Delano

    ATTC/Northline Campus

    E Little York

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    The map on this page shows the geographic location of each property studied, with the circle size indicating relative land area of each property. The bubbles do not correspond to actual geographic map scale, but are relevant for comparison of each property to the others.The South Campus and Northeast Campus are the largest aggregations of land within HCC.

  • Houston Community College Strategic Real Estate Study28

    How community college students use and access the college courses and programs has a significant influence on the location and configuration of community college facilities.

    Robert M. Stein, PhD Lena Gohlman Fox Professor of Political Science, Rice University Fellow in Urban Politics, Baker Institute for Public Policy

  • Page Southerland Page, Inc. 29

    3.0 Academic Property Usage

    FTSEUDHC

    2,000

    4,000

    6,000

    8,000

    10,000

    2,000

    4,000

    6,000

    8,000

    10,000

    2,000

    1,82

    1 3,5

    09

    705

    1,67

    4

    828

    3,29

    4

    3,17

    1

    381

    1,16

    0

    255

    5,00

    7

    1,52

    8

    197

    407

    154

    1,56

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    FTSEUDHC

    FTSEUDHC

    FTSEUDHC

    FTSEUDHC

    FTSEUDHC

    FTSEUDHC

    CENTRAL NORTHEASTNORTHWEST SOUTHWEST SOUTHEASTCOLEMAN

    The charts above show the Fall 2014 Full-Time Student Equivalent (FTSE) campus usage for each campus (darker bar with count of FTSEs) alongside the Unduplicated Head Count (UDHC).

    UDHC counts all the students who use a specific campus, with duplications removed, but there is no distinction between students who are present for three hours per week and those who are present for forty hours per week. Thus UDHC is useful for the calculation of student fees, to understand the administrative load upon a campus, and to inform decisions about certain types of space, such as libraries and recreation centers that may be used by all categories of students. FTSE is the customary measure used in facility planning because it equalizes the time impact on the facility of different types of students. At HCC, FTSE is calculated by dividing the total number of instructional contact hours by 240, which is the number of contact hours in a 15 credit hour academic semester.

    The use of both measures allows the district to make informed decisions about space planning, and to combine data about different types of student usage on an equivalent basis for the purpose of comparison.

    Fall 2014 Data

  • Houston Community College Strategic Real Estate Study30

    0

    1,000,000

    2,000,000

    3,000,000

    4,000,000

    4,627,881

    Land Area Owned (sf)

    LegendHCC Taxable Area

    HCC Service Area

    Central

    Coleman

    Northeast

    Northwest

    Southeast

    Southwest

    District

    College FTSE0

    1,000

    2,000

    3,000

    4,000

    5,007

    North Forest Voc-Tech Campus

    Stafford Campus

    Spring Branch Campus

    Health Science Ctr.

    Northeast Campus

    Eastside Campus

    Pinemont Center

    Missouri City Ctr

    South Campus

    Katy Campus

    Gulfton Ctr

    Central CampusAlief - Hayes Road

    Alief - Bissonnet Ctr.

    West Loop

    Felix Fraga

    ATTC/Northline Campus

    Students By Primary Campus The map below superimposes the relative FTSE per active campus data from the previous page onto the service area map to show where in the HCC service area the greatest student use of campuses occurs. The map is shown parallel to a map on the facing page color-coded by the number of HCC students residing in each zip code. The juxtaposition of these two maps allows a comparison of student residential concentration and heavy campus use. Not surprisingly, the Central campus is not located in a high student population area yet draws the largest student usage, suggesting that some campuses gather students from a large geographic area and usage relates to other factors besides location of student residence.

    Note: The size of the circle on the map above corresponds to the relative number of full-time student equivalents using that campus. This allows for a visual comparison of the relative student use rate in the correct geographic location. The bubbles are centered on the specific campus location, but should not be mistaken for suggesting size of geography covered and apparent overlap or proximity is incidental.

  • Page Southerland Page, Inc. 31

    LegendHCC Taxable Area

    HCC Service Area

    HCC Instructional Locations

    1 2,500All HCC Students

    Current HCC Students by Zip Code

  • Houston Community College Strategic Real Estate Study32

    Current HCC Students per Zip Code by Campus

    Northwest College

    Southwest College

    Drilling down to the next level of detail, the six maps at right show, for each administrative college grouping, where the students using the highlighted campuses reside. Generally a correlation emerges between where students are assigned by college and where they reside. Exceptions to this occur in the Coleman College, which draws evenly from the entire service area due to the specialized nature of coursework offered, and Central College.

    For visual consistency, the scale of each map is the same (the darkest green on one map relates to the darkest green on each other map). This consistent scale allows an accurate cross-map comparison, and shows that the highest student resident concentration of any college happens in the northwest.

    1 1,400

    Students Residing in Zip Code

    Active Campus in College

    Other HCC Active Campus

  • Page Southerland Page, Inc. 33

    Northeast College

    Southeast CollegeCentral College

    Coleman College

  • Houston Community College Strategic Real Estate Study34

    R = 0.6847

    R = 0.6546

    -

    2,000

    4,000

    6,000

    8,000

    10,000

    12,000

    14,000

    - 100,000 200,000 300,000 400,000 500,000 600,000 700,000 800,000

    FTSE

    UDHC

    Linear (FTSE)

    Linear (UDHC)

    Spring BranchCampus

    Health ScienceCtr.

    Northline

    Stafford West Loop

    Eastside

    Alief-Hayes

    Central Campus

    Northeast Campus

    Campus Building Area (Existing sf)

    Num

    ber

    of

    Stu

    den

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    Katy Campus

    Campus Size Analysis

    One of the four driving questions of this study asked what is the optimum size of a single community college campus. There are numerous considerations which inform effective campus size that do not relate directly to real estate location and are outside the scope of this study, these can be summarized as level of property investment and current academic functionality.

    Analyzing the data which does comprise this study, there appears to be a correlation between campus size and student use of the campus. The graph above plots the number of students assigned to each campus (both FTSE in blue and UDHC in orange) vs. the gross building area recorded at the campus. For both types of student counts there is a positive correlation between number of students using the campus and facility scale. Further investigation is needed to understand why some locations appear to be outliers to this observation and to establish whether there is any causal link between scale and student preference.

  • Page Southerland Page, Inc. 35

    1,82

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    Student Breakdown by CampusFull-Time Equivalents and Unduplicated Headcount

    FTSE

    UDHC

    1.67

    8

    2.64

    1

    1.17

    1

    0.57

    3

    2.33

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    1.22

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    1.40

    0 0.84

    7

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    0.65

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    0.72

    0

    0.56

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    0.79

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    9

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    Student Use BY Campus Building AreaFull-Time Equivalents and Unduplicated Headcount

    FTSE/100sf

    UDHC/sf

    1.35

    3.99

    3.07

    1.73

    7.70

    4.27

    9.63

    1.95

    7.47

    0.06

    4.25

    0.33

    0.42

    7.91

    0.08

    2.19

    3.86

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    Student Use by Campus Land AreaFull-Time Equivalents and Unduplicated Headcount

    FTSE/1000sf

    UDHC/sf

    Students per 1,000 sf of Building Area

    Students per 1,000 sf of Property (Land) Area

    Another tool for evaluating whether campus land and/or building size is related to student preference for that campus is to compare the students per unit area across the different campuses. In this way, the fact that larger campuses inherently have more classes to offer students can be set aside.

    The charts at right provide a visual comparison of the students per 1,000 square feet of building (middle chart) and per 1,000 square feet of land (bottom chart). If there was a preference for larger campuses in general, you would expect to see the largest physical campuses to have the highest intensity of use on a students per unit area basis.

    The top five campuses by building area are highlighted vertically across the charts, with the Central Campus as the largest by almost 50% in yellow, and the next four largest, which are similar in size to each other, highlighted in green.

    These properties do not reflect a significantly higher intensity of use via this graphic analysis, supporting the conclusion that more research is needed to determine how campus size correlates to student behavior.

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    HCC Student Campus Usage (2014-2015)

  • Houston Community College Strategic Real Estate Study36

    LegendHCC Taxable Area

    HCC Service Area

    Aldine ISD

    Klein ISD

    Cy-Fair ISD

    Pearland ISD

    Pasadena ISD

    Galena Park ISD

    ChannelviewISD

    Katy ISD

    Spring Branch ISD

    Alief ISD

    Fort Bend ISDHouston ISD

    StaffordISD

    Students attending HCC from out-of-district pay a higher tuition than in-district residents. Given the availability to many potential students of other, in-district, alternatives (see map of other system locations on

    School Districts Surrounding HCC Service Area

    page 54), HCC enrollment at a higher personal cost is interesting. Possible explanations include: attendance convenience closer to work than home, and/or a preference for HCC environments or course offerings over those of alternative higher education opportunities.

  • Page Southerland Page, Inc. 37

    Coleman

    Central

    All HCC

    HCC Taxable Area

    HCC Service Area

    1

    # of Students, Fall 2015

    3,200

    A substantial proportion of current HCC students hail from school districts that are outside of the taxable service area. The maps above show the relative proportion of students enrolled in the fall of 2015 who originated in non-HCC school districts.The heavier concentration of students to the west (map left) reflects the heavy use of HCC by students from Katy and Spring Branch ISD

    Out of District HCC Students

    All and by College

    NortheastNorthwest Southwest Southeast

  • Houston Community College Strategic Real Estate Study38

    ... The diversity of students and of the courses they take at community colleges poses a significant challenge for locating and configuring community colleges facilities..

    Robert M. Stein, PhD Lena Gohlman Fox Professor of Political Science, Rice University Fellow in Urban Politics, Baker Institute for Public Policy

  • Page Southerland Page, Inc. 39

    Community College Students vs. National Population

    4.0 Student characteristics and local demographics

    Users of the nations 992 community colleges are a diverse group. Nearly half (46%) of all U.S. undergraduates are enrolled at a community college. The average age of community college students is 28 with 14% over the age of 40.

    In addition to attending a community college, nearly all of these students hold full or part time employment. Nearly a quarter are full-time students employed full-time; the modal number of students are part-time students and full time workers. Most importantly, 61% of all attendance at a community college is part time.

    Community college students are largely commuters living at home, with only 25% living in on-campus housing. Half the students attending a community college are non-Anglo. Among all Hispanic undergraduates in the U.S. 57% are enrolled in a community college, 52% of African-American undergraduates attend a community college.

    The demographic profile of Houston Community College closely matches that of the other U.S. community colleges in the top 30 urban metropolitan areas, particularly throughout the south and south western states.

    How community college students use and access the college courses and programs has a significant influence on the location and configuration of community college facilities. For example, part-time students, working either full or part-time, have to navigate commuting to community college sites to attend classes. These commutes might originate from multiple locations, including residences, work and other places the student might visit during the week e.g., shopping malls.

    Community College Student Characteristics - National Trends

    Student ethnicity %White 50%Hispanic 21%Black 14%Asian 6%Native American 1%2 or more races 3%Other/unknown 4%Nonresident alien 1%

    National Research Summary of Community College Students

    50%

    21% 14% 6% 1%

    63%

    17% 13% 4% 1%

    White Hispanic Black Asian NativeAmerican

    4% 6%

    Community College Students By Age

    Age %< 21 37%

    23-39 49%40+ 14%

    Average Age 28 yrsMedian Age 24 yrs

    Full-Time Students

    Part-Time Students

    Employed Full Time 22% 41%Employed Part Time 40% 32%

    By employment status (2011-2012)

    US Overall

    US CC Enrollment

  • Houston Community College Strategic Real Estate Study40

    Population by Zip

    1,196 95,137

    LegendHCC Taxable Area

    HCC Service Area

    HCC Active Instructional

    Houston Area Population Distribution

    The map on this page shows the population by zip code, offering a high level picture of how the total population is distributed across the HCC service area.

  • Page Southerland Page, Inc. 41

    2013 People/ Square Mile by Zip

    63 13,798

    LegendHCC Taxable Area

    HCC Service Area

    HCC Active Instructional

    Houston Area Population Density

    Because the land area of each zip code varies greatly, the total population in a zip code should be understood in light of the population density in addition to the total. The map on this page shows where the concentration of people is greatest across the HCC service area.

  • Houston Community College Strategic Real Estate Study42

    10.1%

    17.6%

    33.1%

    16.2%

    15.0%

    5.5%

    2.0% 0.4%

    10.3%

    15.8%

    31.7%17.0%

    15.8%

    6.2%

    2.7% 0.7%

    All Locations64% of students between 18 & 29 years

    4.6%

    12.1%

    34.1%20.0%

    17.8%

    6.9%

    3.6% 0.8%

    10.8%

    12.0%

    28.8%19.2%

    18.9%

    7.0%

    2.7% 0.6%

    HCC Students - by Age

    6.7%

    17.1%

    33.6%17.5%

    15.9%

    6.1%

    2.5% 0.6%

    3.1%

    13.5%

    24.7%

    22.6%

    21.9%

    8.7%

    4.6% 1.0%

    6.7%

    17.1%

    33.6%17.5%

    15.9%

    6.1%

    2.5% 0.6%

    Northwest67% of students 18 to 29 years

    Southwest68% of students 18 to 29 years

    Central66% of students 18 to 29 years

    Coleman61% of students 18 to 29 years

    Northeast60% of students 18 to 29 years

    Southeast60% of students 18 to 29 years

    Legend

    HCC Student AgeLess than 18 years

    18-19 years

    20-24 years

    25-29 years

    30-39 years

    40-49 years

    50-59 years

    60 years & over

  • Page Southerland Page, Inc. 43

    LegendHCC Taxable Area

    HCC Service Area

    HCC Active InstructionalAge Group Penetration

    23.7%

    77087

    00.0%

    HCC Students - Saturation of Target Age Group Across Service Area

    More than 64% of HCC students are between the ages of 18 and 29 years old. Census data provides information about the breakdown of residents age by zip code. By taking the number of HCC students in a zip code and comparing that to the total number of residents in the target age group, we can approximate the penetration of HCC enrollment in a given zip code.

    By this means we can see that in 77087 almost a quarter of the residents between the ages of 15 and 29 are currently enrolled in HCC. The largest area in the HCC service area with low penetration of enrollment in this age group is the northwest, suggesting that additional enrollment from that population may be targeted.

  • Houston Community College Strategic Real Estate Study44

    HCC Students - by Ethnicity

    14.8%

    31.4%35.8%

    13.8%

    4.2%

    20.5%

    27.1%32.3%

    16.3%

    3.8%

    14.1%

    32.1%

    31.3%

    19.4%

    3.2%

    13.9%

    39.3%29.2%

    13.7%

    3.9%

    14.3%

    34.9%32.1%

    15.0%

    3.7%

    10.2%

    38.8%41.1%

    7.3%

    2.6%

    10.3%

    33.7%

    37.1%

    11.9%

    7.0%

    HCC Enrollment vs. Service Area Demographics

    29%

    39%

    22%9% 0%15%

    36%31%

    14% 0%

    White Hispanic Black Asian NativeAmerican

    HCC Service Area HCC Enrollment 2015

    Legend

    EthnicityWhite

    Black/African American

    Hispanic/Latino

    Asian

    Other

    All Locations

    Northwest

    Southwest

    Central

    Coleman

    Northeast

    Southeast

  • Page Southerland Page, Inc. 45

    HCC Service Area Population Distribution by Ethnicity

    White

    Hispanic/Latino Black/African American

    Asian

    0 100%

    Proportion of Population in Zip Code

    0 100%

    Proportion of Population in Zip Code

    0 100%

    Proportion of Population in Zip Code

    0 100%

    Proportion of Population in Zip Code

  • Houston Community College Strategic Real Estate Study46

    Educational Attainment Across HCC Service Area - Proportion at Less than Associates Degree

    The map on this page shows the proportion of adults with less than an associate degree as their maximum educational attainment. The darker blue zip codes reflect areas with a greater proportion of the adult population that has yet to achieve that degree.

    Proportion of Adults with less than Associates Degree

    100%0

    HCC Taxable Area

    HCC Service Area

  • Page Southerland Page, Inc. 47

    Educational Attainment Across HCC Service Area - Number at Less than Associates Degree

    Number of Adults with less than Associates Degree

    41,0001

    HCC Taxable Area

    HCC Service Area

    The map on this page shows the absolute number of adults with less than an associate degree as their maximum educational attainment. The blue shaded zip codes reflect areas with a higher number of non-associates degree holding adult residents. Target zip codes are different than the map facing due to the difference in total population from one zip code to another.

  • Houston Community College Strategic Real Estate Study48

    Educational Attainment Across HCC Service Area - Proportion with No Degree That are College Ready

    The map on this page shows the proportion of adults with the generally required prerequisites (High School Diploma, GED, some college coursework) but less than an associate degree as their maximum educational attainment. The blue shaded zip codes reflect areas with a greater proportion of the population that might be ready for community college coursework by this definition.

    Proportion of Adults Ready for Community College

    100%0

    HCC Taxable Area

    HCC Service Area

  • Page Southerland Page, Inc. 49

    Educational Attainment Across HCC Service Area - Number with No Degree That are College Ready

    The map on this page shows the absolute number of adults with the generally required prerequisites (High School Diploma, GED, some college coursework) but less than an associate degree as their maximum educational attainment. The blue shaded zip codes reflect areas with a higher number of community college ready students. Target zip codes are different than the map facing due to the difference in total population from one zip code to another.

    Number of Adults Ready for Community College

    41,0001

    HCC Taxable Area

    HCC Service Area

  • Houston Community College Strategic Real Estate Study50

    Houston has one of the youngest, fastest growing, and diverse populations in the nation...[with] a sustained history of strong population growth.

    Greater Houston Partnership 2015 Houston Economic Highlights, December 7, 2015

  • Page Southerland Page, Inc. 51

    LegendHCC Taxable Area

    HCC Service Area

    HCC Active InstructionalCumulative Annual Population

    Growth-2011-2013

    Percent: 0-3.8%

    5.0 Predictive indicatorsRecent Population Growth

    Purple and dark purple shaded zip codes in the map above indicate the zip codes with the greatest population growth between 2011 and 2013. Over that period, the greatest growth occurred at the extreme northeast of HCCs service area and just west of the service area beyond Katy. Population growth is also evident just southeast of the Katy Mills site and on the east side of downtown. Combined with other measures of regional opportunity, growth areas suggest future opportunity.

    Houston is a relatively fluid MSA, and population growth centers change over time, this analysis should be updated regularly to reflect changes over time.

  • Houston Community College Strategic Real Estate Study52

    Kashmere

    Wheatley

    Worthing

    0

    1,000,000

    2,000,000

    3,000,000

    4,000,000

    4,627,881

    Land Area Owned (sf)

    LegendHCC Taxable Area

    HCC Service Area

    Central

    Coleman

    Northeast

    Northwest

    Southeast

    Southwest

    District

    College

    HCC Active Instructional

    Target High School Attendance Zone:Schools with lowest 4-yr Graduation rates in district

    Target HS Zones

    School Location

    Target High School Zones

    71% 70%68%

    0%

    10%

    20%

    30%

    40%

    50%

    60%

    70%

    80%

    90%

    100%

    0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

    Last

    Tw

    o-Ye

    ar A

    vera

    ge

    Average All Years Data Available

    Student 4 Yr Graduation Rates by HISD High School

    One area of coursework provided at HCC is GED preparation. An analysis of High School 4-year graduation rates across HISD identifies three schools which appear to be consistently below the district average for four-year graduation rates.

    The attendance zones of these three schools may contain a higher than average proportion of residents who would benefit from and may seek community college coursework.

  • Page Southerland Page, Inc. 53

    0

    1,000,000

    2,000,000

    3,000,000

    4,000,000

    4,627,881

    Land Area Owned (sf)

    LegendHCC Taxable Area

    HCC Service Area

    Central

    Coleman

    Northeast

    Northwest

    Southeast

    Southwest

    District

    College

    HCC Active Instructional

    Major Employment Centers(rings represent ~10,000 employed)

    1. Central Business District2. Texas Medical Center3. Westchase4. Energy Corridor5. Greenspoint6. Greenway Plaza7. Uptown8. Port of Houston9. Memorial City

    Employment Centers

    1

    23

    4

    5

    678

    9

    Employment Centers

    Source:Houston Intelligent Transportation System Employment Corridors Map, maintained by City of Houston Traffic Operations Division

    The Houston area is unusual in the distribution of multiple employment centers around the city. Since a large proportion of community college students work part or full-time while they attend school, proximity to their places of employment can be of great benefit. The map here shows that 8 of the 9 major employment centers identified by COH lie within or immediately adjacent to HCCs service area.

  • Houston Community College Strategic Real Estate Study54

    Community college students are largely commuters living at home...[and]...students working...[who]...have to navigate commuting to community college sites to attend classes.

    Robert M. Stein, PhD Lena Gohlman Fox Professor of Political Science, Rice University Fellow in Urban Politics, Baker Institute for Public Policy

  • Page Southerland Page, Inc. 55

    HCC Taxable Area

    HCC Service Area

    15 Minute Drive Radius(at 40 mph avg speed)

    Current Active - Not Changing

    Current Active - Expanding

    Legend

    North Forest Voc-Tech

    Stafford Campus

    Spring Branch Campus

    Health Science Ctr.

    Northeast Campus

    Eastside Campus

    Pinemont Center

    South Campus

    Katy Campus

    Gulfton Ctr

    Central Campus

    JP McGovern

    Alief - Hayes Road

    Alief - Bissonnet Ctr.

    West Loop

    Felix Fraga

    ATTC/Northline Campus

    6.0 Distribution, Area Coverage, and Competition

    HCC Existing Locations Drive Time Radius Overlap

    The HCC service area covers a broad and dispersed metropolitan area. The distance between campuses as the crow flies does not adequately indicate the real difficulty in reaching each location. The map on this page shows the calculated fifteen minute drive radius from each active HCC campus assuming an average speed of 40mph. This analysis shows substantial overlap between campuses at the center of HCCs service area, with the far western and south eastern portions of the service area served by one or fewer campus locations. At the far south east and northwest corners of the service area, no campus is within a fifteen minute drive radius.

  • Houston Community College Strategic Real Estate Study56

    Acres Homes

    Brays Oaks

    TX Parkway

    HCC Taxable Area

    HCC Service Area

    15 Minute Drive Radius(at 40 mph avg speed)

    Legend

    Under Development Radius

    (Location)

    North Forest Voc-Tech

    Stafford Campus

    Spring Branch Campus

    Health Science Ctr.

    Northeast Campus

    Eastside Campus

    Pinemont Center

    South Campus

    Katy Campus

    Gulfton Ctr

    Central Campus

    JP McGovern

    Alief - Hayes Road

    Alief - Bissonnet Ctr.

    West Loop

    Felix Fraga

    ATTC/Northline Campus

    HCC Properties Under Development Drive Time Radius

    There are three new sites under development currently. Their calculated fifteen minute drive radii are shown above. This analysis shows a fair bit of overlap between the Brays Oaks and Texas Parkway sites reach. Internal information indicates that each of these sites is programmed to meet different needs than those the Stafford Campus currently satisfies.

    While there is robust population growth across Fort Bend County, the maps on pages 46 through 48 indicate that the current demand for HCC services is strongest at the Harris County Boundary.

  • Page Southerland Page, Inc. 57

    Sale PendingProperty Under Review

    15 Minute Drive Radius

    HCC Taxable Area

    HCC Service Area

    Legend

    Westheimer

    E Little York

    Katy Mills

    Midtown Purchase

    288/MacGregor

    North Forest Voc-Tech Campus

    Stafford Campus

    Spring Branch Campus

    Health Science Ctr.

    Northeast Campus

    Eastside Campus

    Pinemont Center

    Missouri City Ctr

    South Campus

    Katy Campus

    Gulfton Ctr

    Central Campus

    JP McGovern

    Alief - Hayes Road

    Alief - Bissonnet Ctr.

    Acres Homes

    Brays Oaks

    TX Parkway

    West Loop

    Felix Fraga

    ATTC/Northline Campus

    HCC Properties Under Review Drive Time Radius

    There are five property locations under review, with their calculated fifteen minute drive radii shown above. A key consideration in whether to develop a separate campus at these locations is how the potential population of students might overlap with existing campuses.

  • Houston Community College Strategic Real Estate Study58

    All Community Colleges Serving MSA

    Clear Horizons Early College High School

    University Center at University Park

    Sheldon Early College High School

    g

    Galena Park HS

    La Porte College C

    North Harris Campus

    Aerospace Academy

    Greenspoint Center

    Sugarland Campus

    Richmond Campus

    Atascocita Center

    Fairbanks Center

    Central Campus

    Cypress Center

    CyFair Campus

    North Campus

    Victory Center

    Pasadena Early College HS

    Clear Lake HS

    Small Business Dev. Ctr.

    Maritime and Tech TC

    North Forest Voc-Tech Campus

    Stafford Campus

    Spring Branch Campus

    Health Science Ctr.

    Northeast Campus

    Eastside Campus

    Pinemont Center

    Missouri City Ctr

    South Campus

    Katy Campus

    Gulfton Ctr

    Central Campus

    JP McGovern

    Alief - Hayes Road

    Alief - Bissonnet Ctr.

    Acres Homes

    Brays Oaks

    TX Parkway

    West Loop

    Felix Fraga

    ATTC/Northline Campus

    LegendHCC Taxable Area

    HCC Service Area

    HCC

    Lone Star

    San Jacinto

    Wharton County JC

    Blinn (closest at Sealy)

    The map above shows the locations run by the community college systems which surround HCCs service area. While some college system campuses are well outside of and remote from HCC, both Lone Star to the northwest and San Jacinto to the southeast operate campuses that fall near the borders of HCCs service area.

  • Page Southerland Page, Inc. 59

    Active Campus

    15 Minute Drive Radius

    Clear Horizons Early College High School

    University Center at University Park

    Sheldon Early College High School

    Health Professionals Building

    Galena Park HS

    La Porte Colle

    North Harris Campus

    Aerospace Academy

    Greenspoint Center

    Sugarland Campus

    Richmond Campus

    Atascocita Center

    Fairbanks Center

    Central Campus

    Cypress Center

    CyFair Campus

    North Campus

    Victory Center

    Pasadena Early College HS

    Clear Lake HS

    Small Business Dev. Ctr.

    Maritime and Tech TC

    HCC Taxable Area

    HCC Service Area

    15 Minute Drive Radius(at 40 mph avg speed)

    Current Active - Not Changing

    Current Active - Expanding

    Legend

    North Forest Voc-Tech Campus

    Stafford Campus

    Spring Branch Campus

    Health Science Ctr.

    Northeast Campus

    Eastside Campus

    Pinemont Center

    Missouri City Ctr

    South Campus

    Katy Campus

    Gulfton Ctr

    Central Campus

    JP McGovern

    Alief - Hayes Road

    Alief - Bissonnet Ctr.

    Acres Homes

    Brays Oaks

    TX Parkway

    West Loop

    Felix Fraga

    ATTC/Northline Campus

    Surrounding System Campuses and HCC Drive Times

    The map above superimposes the all-system map at left onto the drive-time radius map for HCC active campuses. By this understanding of possible population draw area, there are several non-HCC campuses which fall within a convenient drive time of HCC locations.

    Given the rising cost of operating academic campuses, Professor Stein notes in his literature review that many community college systems are experimenting with partnerships to distribute the cost of physical locations among institutions. In the interest of more efficiently serving the target student population, it may be worth considering partnership opportunities along the perimeter of HCCs service area with the Lone Star and San Jacinto College Systems. If HCC negotiated to offer some classes at the Cypress Center location, the existing Katy Campus might be effectively relocated to the west, improving geographic coverage of the service area and reducing overlap with Spring Branch. Similarly, if HCC partnered with San Jacinto to locate a campus at the southeast corner, both systems may benefit.

  • Houston Community College Strategic Real Estate Study60

    ...[A] remedy (for the tendency of single member district representation to distort the policy choices of community colleges) comes in the form of transparency of information...

    Robert M. Stein, PhD Lena Gohlman Fox Professor of Political Science, Rice University Fellow in Urban Politics, Baker Institute for Public Policy

  • Page Southerland Page, Inc. 61

    7.0 Analysis and conclusions

    As discussed throughout the previous chapters of this report, there are numerous objective considerations that best practice research suggests a community college employ when considering real estate location strategies. In order to inform decisions regarding the existing properties under review and future property acquisition opportunities, all of the different measures presented in the document have been aggregated into a single map which codes the zip codes (the most granular level of most of the available data) by relative priority for campus location.

    Each of the following measures was given equal weighting on a scale of 1-5:

    Proportion of population at target age (15-29 years)

    Above average representation of ethnicities with higher community college attendance levels

    Population density (people per square mile)

    Educational attainment (less than an Associates degree + readiness for college coursework)

    Level of population growth (CAGR 2011-2013)

    Location within target high school zone (lowest 4 yr graduation rates in HISD)

    Proximity to employment centers (prioritized by number of people employed)

    A score between 1 and 5 for each measure adds up to an overall zip-code by zip-code opportunity score. The map on the following page illustrates the relative opportunity for each zip code area on the HCC service area map.

    The relative priority for each zip code shows how a new community college system, if planned today, might allocate campus resources. The reality is that HCC has a substantial existing network. Consideration of the opportunity map requires an evaluation of how the existing network aligns with the identified opportunity locations. The second map on the following spread (page 63) overlays the drive time radius analyses from the existing campuses to illustrate how the existing network relates to the priority zip codes identified. To the systems credit, the current network of campuses appears to successfully serve all of the priority zip codes identified.

    Following that overall system analysis, each of the properties under review is reviewed against the opportunity and existing overlap map to support a recommendation for that location.

    Approach Summary

  • Houston Community College Strategic Real Estate Study62

    Central

    Coleman

    Northeast

    Northwest

    Southeast

    Southwest

    District

    Legend

    HCC Taxable Area

    HCC Service Area

    CollegeRelative Priority

    Highest

    Lowest

    HCC Service Area

    North Forest Voc-Tech Campus

    Stafford Campus

    Spring Branch Campus

    Health Science Ctr.

    Northeast Campus

    Eastside Campus

    Pinemont Center

    Missouri City Ctr

    South Campus

    Katy Campus

    Gulfton Ctr

    Central Campus

    JP McGovern

    Alief - Hayes Road

    Alief - Bissonnet Ctr.

    Acres Homes

    Brays Oaks

    TX Parkway

    West Loop

    Felix Fraga

    ATTC/Northline Campus

    Opportunity Prioritization Summary by Zip Code

    By the aggregate of opportunity indicators evaluated geographically for this study, the zip codes representing the greatest location opportunities are shown in pink on this map. By contrast, the blue shaded zip codes reflect areas of relatively less opportunity.

    Note that this map does not take into account how well the existing network of HCC campuses covers the opportunity areas, it is purely mapping the demographic and economic factors discussed previously.

  • Page Southerland Page, Inc. 63

    Opportunity Map vs. Existing HCC Coverage

    HCC Taxable Area

    HCC Service Area

    15 Minute Drive Radius(at 40 mph avg speed)

    Current Active - Not Changing

    Current Active - Expanding

    Legend

    North Forest Voc-Tech Campus

    Stafford Campus

    Spring Branch Campus

    Health Science Ctr.

    Northeast Campus

    Eastside Campus

    Pinemont Center

    Missouri City Ctr

    South Campus

    Katy Campus

    Gulfton Ctr

    Central Campus

    JP McGovern

    Alief - Hayes Road

    Alief - Bissonnet Ctr.

    Acres Homes

    Brays Oaks

    TX Parkway

    West Loop

    Felix Fraga

    ATTC/Northline Campus

    Layering the existing campus drive time radius maps onto the opportunity prioritization by zip code map shows that all of the highest priority zip codes are served by multiple established campuses. The highest priority zip code with minimal coverage is at the far west of the service area just to the north and northeast of the Katy campus location.

    Campus consolidation opportunities appear to be available in the lower priority locations which are currently served by multiple campuses. The Gulfton and West Loop campuses are very close to each other and consolidation to a single location would not appear to change student access. Similarly, the leased Pinemont Center location overlaps very heavily with the ATTC/Northline campus, suggesting an opportunity to evaluate a shift to the west when the lease comes up for renewal, improving coverage of the priority zip code to the north.

  • Houston Community College Strategic Real Estate Study64

    Westheimer

    Central

    Coleman

    Northeast

    Northwest

    Southeast

    Southwest

    District

    Legend

    HCC Taxable Area

    HCC Service Area

    CollegeRelative Priority

    Highest

    Lowest

    HCC Service Area

    North Forest Voc-Tech Campus

    Stafford Campus

    Spring Branch Campus

    Health Science Ctr.

    Northeast Campus

    Eastside Campus

    Pinemont Center

    Missouri City Ctr

    South Campus

    Katy Campus

    Gulfton Ctr

    Central Campus

    JP McGovern

    Alief - Hayes Road

    Alief - Bissonnet Ctr.

    Acres Homes

    Brays Oaks

    TX Parkway

    West Loop

    Felix Fraga

    ATTC/Northline Campus

    The 15-minute drive radius from the Westheimer property covers numerous high priority zip codes, suggesting that a campus in that location would draw from a solid population of potential students.

    Westheimer Location

    Opportunity Intersection

  • Page Southerland Page, Inc. 65

    Westheimer

    HCC Taxable Area

    HCC Service Area

    15 Minute Drive Radius(at 40 mph avg speed)

    Current Active - Not Changing

    Current Active - Expanding

    Legend

    North Forest Voc-Tech Campus

    Stafford Campus

    Spring Branch Campus

    Health Science Ctr.

    Northeast Campus

    Eastside Campus

    Pinemont Center

    Missouri City Ctr

    South Campus

    Katy Campus

    Gulfton Ctr

    Central Campus

    JP McGovern

    Alief - Hayes Road

    Alief - Bissonnet Ctr.

    Acres Homes

    Brays Oaks

    TX Parkway

    West Loop

    Felix Fraga

    ATTC/Northline Campus

    Overlap Analysis

    When viewed in context with the existing and planned campus location reaches, the Westheimer property access radius overlaps the existing network substantially suggesting that the property does not represent a strategic new campus opportunity at this time.

    This map superimposes the under review propertys fifteen minute radius against the existing and planned campuses reach.

  • Houston Community College Strategic Real Estate Study66

    Katy MillsCentral

    Coleman

    Northeast

    Northwest

    Southeast

    Southwest

    District

    Legend

    HCC Taxable Area

    HCC Service Area

    CollegeRelative Priority

    Highest

    Lowest

    HCC Service Area

    North Forest Voc-Tech Campus

    Stafford Campus

    Spring Branch Campus

    Health Science Ctr.

    Northeast Campus

    Eastside Campus

    Pinemont Center

    Missouri City Ctr

    South Campus

    Katy Campus

    Gulfton Ctr

    Central Campus

    JP McGovern

    Alief - Hayes Road

    Alief - Bissonnet Ctr.

    Acres Homes

    Brays Oaks

    TX Parkway

    West Loop

    Felix Fraga

    ATTC/Northline Campus

    The 15-minute drive radius from the Katy Mills property primarily covers zip codes that represent the lowest opportunity for community college students (coded blue). The higher opportunity zip codes and unserved northwest corner would be better served by a campus shifted north and somewhat east, perhaps splitting the space between the current location and the Katy Campus site.

    Katy Mills Location

    Opportunity Intersection

  • Page Southerland Page, Inc. 67

    Katy Mills

    HCC Taxable Area

    HCC Service Area

    15 Minute Drive Radius(at 40 mph avg speed)

    Current Active - Not Changing

    Current Active - Expanding

    Legend

    North Forest Voc-Tech Campus

    Stafford Campus

    Spring Branch Campus

    Health Science Ctr.

    Northeast Campus

    Eastside Campus

    Pinemont Center

    Missouri City Ctr

    South Campus

    Katy Campus

    Gulfton Ctr

    Central Campus

    JP McGovern

    Alief - Hayes Road

    Alief - Bissonnet Ctr.

    Acres Homes

    Brays Oaks

    TX Parkway

    West Loop

    Felix Fraga

    ATTC/Northline Campus

    The 15-minute drive radius from the Katy Mills property only intersects with the Katy Campus and covers portions of the service area not currently served in a 15-minute radius. This opportunity to reach potential students not well-served by the existing campus network may prove to be strategic in the future if the demographic potential at this location improves through population growth or other change. As mentioned on the facing page, the overlap analysis above suggests that a location combining the Katy Mills and Katy Campus drive radius (located between the two existing sites) would better serve the population by increasing in area coverage and reducing overlap with the Spring Branch Campus.

    Overlap Analysis

  • Houston Community College Strategic Real Estate Study68

    E Little York Location

    Opportunity Intersection

    E Little York

    Central

    Coleman

    Northeast

    Northwest

    Southeast

    Southwest

    District

    Legend

    HCC Taxable Area