how prepared are we to deal with disruptions? · 2018. 6. 12. · how prepared are we to deal with...

17
EDP – DGR – Ricardo Messias 3 rd IMPROVER/ERNCIP Operators Workshop on Resilience for CI HOW PREPARED ARE WE TO DEAL WITH DISRUPTIONS? Lisbon, 23-24 May 2018

Upload: others

Post on 20-Aug-2020

2 views

Category:

Documents


0 download

TRANSCRIPT

Page 1: HOW PREPARED ARE WE TO DEAL WITH DISRUPTIONS? · 2018. 6. 12. · How prepared are we to deal with disruptions? Unknown Unknowns Uncertain events Known Unknowns-Identified t Notidentified

EDP – DGR – Ricardo Messias

3rd IMPROVER/ERNCIP Operators Workshop on Resilience for CI

HOW PREPARED ARE WE TO DEAL WITH DISRUPTIONS?Lisbon, 23-24 May 2018

Page 2: HOW PREPARED ARE WE TO DEAL WITH DISRUPTIONS? · 2018. 6. 12. · How prepared are we to deal with disruptions? Unknown Unknowns Uncertain events Known Unknowns-Identified t Notidentified

EDP – DGR – Ricardo Messias

How prepared are we to deal with disruptions?Objectives

2/12

What is a disruption? How traditional preparedness works.

How holistic business continuity management

works.

1 2 3

Key points to build resilience.

4

Page 3: HOW PREPARED ARE WE TO DEAL WITH DISRUPTIONS? · 2018. 6. 12. · How prepared are we to deal with disruptions? Unknown Unknowns Uncertain events Known Unknowns-Identified t Notidentified

EDP – DGR – Ricardo Messias

How prepared are we to deal with disruptions?What is a disruption?

3/12

What is a disruption? How traditional preparedness works.

How holistic business continuity management

works.

1 2 3

Key points to build resilience.

4

Page 4: HOW PREPARED ARE WE TO DEAL WITH DISRUPTIONS? · 2018. 6. 12. · How prepared are we to deal with disruptions? Unknown Unknowns Uncertain events Known Unknowns-Identified t Notidentified

EDP – DGR – Ricardo Messias 4/12

Unknown Unknowns

Uncertain events

Known Unknowns

- +Identified Not identified

Unce

rtai

nty

occu

rren

ce &

impa

ct

+

-

Unexpected events

Specific events

Unknown KnownsKnown Knowns

Forgotten events

How prepared are we to deal with disruptions?Disruption framework

Page 5: HOW PREPARED ARE WE TO DEAL WITH DISRUPTIONS? · 2018. 6. 12. · How prepared are we to deal with disruptions? Unknown Unknowns Uncertain events Known Unknowns-Identified t Notidentified

EDP – DGR – Ricardo Messias

How prepared are we to deal with disruptions?How traditional preparedness works.

5/12

What is a disruption? How traditional preparedness works.

How holistic business continuity management

works.

1 2 3

Key points to build resilience.

4

Page 6: HOW PREPARED ARE WE TO DEAL WITH DISRUPTIONS? · 2018. 6. 12. · How prepared are we to deal with disruptions? Unknown Unknowns Uncertain events Known Unknowns-Identified t Notidentified

EDP – DGR – Ricardo Messias 6/12

How prepared are we to deal with disruptions?How traditional preparedness works

Unknown Unknowns

Uncertain events

Known Unknowns

- +Identified Not identified

Unce

rtai

nty

occu

rren

ce &

impa

ct

+

-

Unexpected events

Specific events

Unknown KnownsKnown Knowns

Forgotten events

I have specific emergency and contingency plans. Let’s hope that will be enough to contain it.

I have specific catastrophes plans. Let’s hope that will be like we

had exercised.

Was something unprecedented, how do you expect that I have a

plan?

Nooo!!! Let’s see how can I explain …. (maybe I can say it’s unprecedented or

blame someone)

Page 7: HOW PREPARED ARE WE TO DEAL WITH DISRUPTIONS? · 2018. 6. 12. · How prepared are we to deal with disruptions? Unknown Unknowns Uncertain events Known Unknowns-Identified t Notidentified

EDP – DGR – Ricardo Messias

How prepared are we to deal with disruptions?How holistic business continuity management works.

7/12

What is a disruption? How traditional preparedness works.

How holistic business continuity management

works.

1 2 3

Key points to build resilience.

4

Page 8: HOW PREPARED ARE WE TO DEAL WITH DISRUPTIONS? · 2018. 6. 12. · How prepared are we to deal with disruptions? Unknown Unknowns Uncertain events Known Unknowns-Identified t Notidentified

EDP – DGR – Ricardo Messias 8/12

How prepared are we to deal with disruptions?

Unknown Unknowns

Uncertain events

Known Unknowns

- +Identified Not identified

Unce

rtai

nty

occu

rren

ce &

impa

ct

+

-

Unexpected events

Specific events

Unknown KnownsKnown Knowns

Forgotten events

I have specific emergency and contingency plans. If not enough to contain it I

have broad plans.

I have broad plans by resource, flexible enough to respond to uncertainty,

and a crisis structure.

Was something unprecedented, but broad plans and crisis structure are prepare to respond to

it.

My cyclical business continuity analysis enable

to remember us about forgotten vulnerabilities.

How holistic business continuity management works

Page 9: HOW PREPARED ARE WE TO DEAL WITH DISRUPTIONS? · 2018. 6. 12. · How prepared are we to deal with disruptions? Unknown Unknowns Uncertain events Known Unknowns-Identified t Notidentified

EDP – DGR – Ricardo Messias 9/12

Specific plans:v Emergency plansv Contingency plansv Recovery procedures

+Disruptions frameworkResponse framework

Broad plans:v Business Continuity Plansv Crisis Management Plansv Crisis Communications Plans

Broad plans:v Business Continuity Plansv Crisis Management Plansv Crisis Communications Plans

Unknown Unknowns

v Extreme natural eventsv Pandemicsv Cyberattacks

Known Unknowns

- +Identified Not identified

Unce

rtai

nty

of o

ccur

renc

e an

d im

pact

+

-

v Unexpected events

v Firev Substation failurev SCADA failure

Unknown KnownsKnown Knowns

v Forgotten events

How prepared are we to deal with disruptions?How holistic business continuity management works

Page 10: HOW PREPARED ARE WE TO DEAL WITH DISRUPTIONS? · 2018. 6. 12. · How prepared are we to deal with disruptions? Unknown Unknowns Uncertain events Known Unknowns-Identified t Notidentified

EDP – DGR – Ricardo Messias

How prepared are we to deal with disruptions?Key points to build resilience.

10/12

What is a disruption? How traditional preparedness works.

How holistic business continuity management

works.

1 2 3

Key points to build resilience.

4

Page 11: HOW PREPARED ARE WE TO DEAL WITH DISRUPTIONS? · 2018. 6. 12. · How prepared are we to deal with disruptions? Unknown Unknowns Uncertain events Known Unknowns-Identified t Notidentified

EDP – DGR – Ricardo Messias 11/12

asset management (BS ISO 55000)

risk management (ISO 31000)

stakeholder and collaboration management (BS 11000) reputation management

horizon scanning

environmental management (ISO 14001)

health and safety (ISO 45001)

fraud control business continuity (ISO 22301)

ICT continuity (ISO 27031)

cyber security (PAS 555)

information security (ISO 27001)

physical security

facilities management

emergency management

crisis management (BS 11200)

supply chain (ISO 28000)

human resource planning

financial control

quality management (ISO 9001)

change management

How prepared are we to deal with disruptions?Work together, not in silos.

Page 12: HOW PREPARED ARE WE TO DEAL WITH DISRUPTIONS? · 2018. 6. 12. · How prepared are we to deal with disruptions? Unknown Unknowns Uncertain events Known Unknowns-Identified t Notidentified

EDP – DGR – Ricardo Messias 12/12

How prepared are we to deal with disruptions?You cannot predict every scenarios!

Page 13: HOW PREPARED ARE WE TO DEAL WITH DISRUPTIONS? · 2018. 6. 12. · How prepared are we to deal with disruptions? Unknown Unknowns Uncertain events Known Unknowns-Identified t Notidentified

EDP – DGR – Ricardo Messias 13/12

Resource categories:

1 People2 Physical Infrastructure3 Technological Infrastructure4 Suppliers

How prepared are we to deal with disruptions?You cannot predict every scenarios! Go for Resource Loss-based instead of Scenario-based.

Page 14: HOW PREPARED ARE WE TO DEAL WITH DISRUPTIONS? · 2018. 6. 12. · How prepared are we to deal with disruptions? Unknown Unknowns Uncertain events Known Unknowns-Identified t Notidentified

EDP – DGR – Ricardo Messias 14/12

BUSINESS IMPACT ANALYSIS RISK ASSESSMENT

BUSINESS CONTINUITY PLANS

How prepared are we to deal with disruptions?You cannot predict every scenarios! Go for Resource Loss-based instead of Scenario-based.

MUCH MORE FOCUSED MUCH MORE COMPREHENSIVE

Page 15: HOW PREPARED ARE WE TO DEAL WITH DISRUPTIONS? · 2018. 6. 12. · How prepared are we to deal with disruptions? Unknown Unknowns Uncertain events Known Unknowns-Identified t Notidentified

EDP – DGR – Ricardo Messias

Risk assessment is not only about your event history!

15/12

Impact if you loss a resource category

Probability of a threat exploits a vulnerability

Risk = Impact x Probability

How prepared are we to deal with disruptions?

Page 16: HOW PREPARED ARE WE TO DEAL WITH DISRUPTIONS? · 2018. 6. 12. · How prepared are we to deal with disruptions? Unknown Unknowns Uncertain events Known Unknowns-Identified t Notidentified

EDP – DGR – Ricardo Messias 16/12

Exercise! Exercise! Exercise! You must confront the perspectives of the different actors!How prepared are we to deal with disruptions?

Page 17: HOW PREPARED ARE WE TO DEAL WITH DISRUPTIONS? · 2018. 6. 12. · How prepared are we to deal with disruptions? Unknown Unknowns Uncertain events Known Unknowns-Identified t Notidentified

EDP – DGR – Ricardo Messias

THANK [email protected]

17/12

How prepared are we to deal with disruptions?