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How to estimate parameters?How to calculate standard errors of the estimated parameters?How to calculate standard errors of the pricing errors?How to test the model?
Chapter12 Regression-based Tests of linear Factor Models
Time-Series RegressionsCross-Sectional RegressionsFama-MacBeth Procedure
Data structureN Assets , T moments
,1 ,1 ,1 ,11 2 1
,2 ,2 ,2 ,21 2 1
, 1 , 1 , 1 , 11 2 1
, , , 1 ,1 2 1
e e e eT T
e e e eT T
e N e N e N e NT T
e N e N e N e NT T
R R R RR R R R
R R R RR R R R
−
−
− − − −−
−−
⎡ ⎤⎢ ⎥⎢ ⎥⎢ ⎥⎢ ⎥⎢ ⎥⎢ ⎥⎣ ⎦
eitR
12.1 Time-Series Regressions
Express the asset pricing model as:
The Betas are defined by regression coefficients:
(12.1)In the model, the factor is an excess return, the test assets are all excess returns
e i it i i t tR fα β ε= + +
( )e iiE R β λ=
The model states:(12.2)
since the factor is also an excess return,
Comparing (12.2)(12.1),are equal to the pricing errors
( ) ( )eiiE R E fβ=
( ) 1E f λ= ×
iα
( ) ( )eit i i tE R E fα β= +
Black,Jensen and Scholes(1972) suggested: Run time-series regression
1.Estimate the factor risk premium,
2. Run time-series regression for each test asset
3. Use standard OLS formulas for a distribution theory of the parameters, t test
( )1
1 T
T tt
E f fT
λ∧
=
= = ∑
, 1, 2 , ,e i it i i t tR f i Nα β ε= + + =
4. Jointly test the pricing errorsAssuming , no autocorrelation, homoskedastic ,
test:
(12.3)
is the residual covariance matrix , I.e., the sample estimate of
( ) 0i jt tE ε ε ≠
( ) ( )2, 0, 0i it t i t t jE E jε ε σ ε ε −= = ≠
2χ
( )( )
121
T 2ET 1 + ' N
f
fα α χ
σ
−
−∧ ∧ ∧
∧
⎡ ⎤⎛ ⎞⎢ ⎥⎜ ⎟ ∑⎢ ⎥⎜ ⎟⎜ ⎟⎢ ⎥⎝ ⎠⎣ ⎦
∼
∧
∑
( )'t tE ε ε = ∑
F test for finite-sample: ( are normal)
(12.4)
This is Gibbons, Ross and Shanken (1989) or “GRS” test statistic. This distribution is exact in a finite sample
( )( )
12' 1
T, 1
ET-N-1 1+N N T N
fF
fα α
σ
−
−∧ ∧ ∧
− −∧
⎡ ⎤⎛ ⎞⎢ ⎥⎜ ⎟ ∑⎢ ⎥⎜ ⎟⎜ ⎟⎢ ⎥⎝ ⎠⎣ ⎦
∼ε
The test can also be interpreted as a test whether f is ex ante mean-variance efficient after accounting for sampling error.
( ) ( ) ( )
( ) ( )
22
2
/ /1
1 /
q q T
T
E f fT N
NE f f
μ σ σ
σ
∧
∧
⎛ ⎞− ⎜ ⎟− − ⎝ ⎠⎛ ⎞+ ⎜ ⎟⎝ ⎠
Multi-factors:The regression equation is :
The asset pricing model is :
Assuming normal I.I.d. errors , the test is :
'ei ii i t tR fα β ε= + +
( ) ( )'eiiE R E fβ=
( ) ( )11 ' 1
',1 T T N T N K
T N K E f E f FN
α α−− −∧ ∧ ∧ ∧
− −
⎛ ⎞− −+ Ω ∑⎜ ⎟
⎝ ⎠∼
Derivation of The Chi Statistic and Distributions with General Errors
Derive (12.3) as an instant of GMMWrite the equations for all N assets together in vector from:
Use the usual OLS moments:
et t tR fα β ε= + +
( )( )( )
0[ ]
eT t t t
T Tet tT t t t
E R fg b E
fE R f f
α β εεα β
⎡ ⎤− − ⎛ ⎞⎡ ⎤⎢ ⎥= = =⎜ ⎟⎢ ⎥⎜ ⎟⎢ ⎥− − ⎣ ⎦⎝ ⎠⎣ ⎦
Exactly identify, so the matrix inis identity matrix, GMM estimate is : (OLS estimate)
a 0Ta g b∧⎛ ⎞⋅ =⎜ ⎟⎝ ⎠
a I=
( ) ( )
( )( )( )( )
( )( )
,
cov ,
var
eT t T t
e e eT t T t t T t t
T tT t T t t
E R E f
E R E R f R f
fE f E f f
α β
β
∧ ∧
∧
= −
⎡ ⎤−⎣ ⎦= =⎡ ⎤−⎣ ⎦
The matrix is :
The S matrix is :
d
( ) ( )( ) ( )
( )( ) ( )2 2
1
'N N t tT
NN t N t t t
I I E f E fg bd I
b I E f I E f E f E f
⎡ ⎤ ⎡ ⎤∂= =− =− ⊗⎢ ⎥ ⎢ ⎥
∂ ⎢ ⎥ ⎢ ⎥⎣ ⎦ ⎣ ⎦
( ) ( )( ) ( )
' '
' '
t t j t t j t j
j t t t j t t t j t j
E E fS
E f E f f
ε ε ε ε
ε ε ε ε
∞ − − −
=−∞ − − −
⎡ ⎤⎢ ⎥=⎢ ⎥⎣ ⎦
∑
Using the GMM variance formula with a=I:
(11.4)So:
(12.7)1 1 '1v a r d S dT
α
β
∧
− −∧
⎛ ⎞⎡ ⎤⎜ ⎟⎢ ⎥ =⎜ ⎟⎢ ⎥⎜ ⎟⎢ ⎥⎣ ⎦⎝ ⎠
( ) ( )1 11var ' 'b ad aSa adT
∧ − −⎛ ⎞ =⎜ ⎟⎝ ⎠
Get the standard formulas by assuming:
1. The errors are uncorrelated over time and homoskedastic
2. The factor and error are independent as well as orthogonal (multi-factors)
[ ] [ ] [ ][ ]2 2
' '
' '
E f E f E
E f E f E
ε ε ε ε
ε ε ε ε
=
⎡ ⎤ ⎡ ⎤=⎣ ⎦ ⎣ ⎦
Then the S matrix simplifies to :
Plug into (12.7), we obtain:
( ) ( ) ( )( ) ( ) ( ) ( )
( )( ) ( )2 2
' ' 1
' 't t t t t t
t t t t t t t t
E E E f E fS
E f E E E f E f E f
ε ε ε ε
ε ε ε ε
⎡ ⎤ ⎡ ⎤= = ⊗∑⎢ ⎥ ⎢ ⎥⎢ ⎥ ⎢ ⎥⎣ ⎦ ⎣ ⎦
( )( ) ( )
( )( ) ( )( )
1
2
2
11v a r
1 1v a rv a r 1
t
t t
t t
t
E f
T E f E f
E f E fT f E f
α
β
α
β
∧ −
∧
∧
∧
⎛ ⎞⎡ ⎤ ⎛ ⎞⎡ ⎤⎜ ⎟ ⎜ ⎟⎢ ⎥ = ⊗ ∑⎢ ⎥⎜ ⎟ ⎜ ⎟⎢ ⎥ ⎜ ⎟⎢ ⎥⎜ ⎟ ⎣ ⎦⎢ ⎥ ⎝ ⎠⎣ ⎦⎝ ⎠⎛ ⎞⎡ ⎤ ⎛ ⎞⎡ ⎤−⎜ ⎟⎢ ⎥ ⎜ ⎟= ⎢ ⎥ ⊗ ∑⎜ ⎟⎢ ⎥ ⎜ ⎟−⎢ ⎥⎜ ⎟ ⎣ ⎦⎝ ⎠⎢ ⎥⎣ ⎦⎝ ⎠
The variance of is :
This is the tradition formula (12.3)By simply calculating (12.7), we can easily construct standard errors and test statistic that do not requires these assumptions.
α∧
( )( )
21var 1
varE f
T fα∧ ⎛ ⎞⎛ ⎞ ⎜ ⎟= + ∑⎜ ⎟ ⎜ ⎟⎝ ⎠ ⎝ ⎠
12.2 Cross-Sectional Regressions
Start with the K factor model,
The center economics question is why average returns vary across assetsThe model says that average returns should be proportional to betas. ( Figure 12.1)
( ) ' , 1, 2, ,eiiE R i Nβ λ= =
Run a two-pass regression
First, find from time-series regressions
Then, estimate from cross-sectional regression.
pricing errors are
β∧
' , 1,2, ,ei it i i t tR a f t Tβ ε= + + =
( ) ' , 1, 2, ,eiT i iE R i Nβ λ α= + =
λ∧
iα∧
OLS Cross-Sectional Regression
The OLS cross-sectional estimates are:
(12.11)Assuming the true errors are I.I.d. over time and independent of the factors.
(12.12)(12.13)
( ) ( )
( )
1' ' eT
eT
E R
E R
λ β β β
α λ β
∧ −
∧∧
=
= −
( ) ( ) ( )
( ) ( ) ( )
1 12
1 1
1' ' '
1cov ( ' ') ( ' ')
TI I
T
σ λ β β β β β β
α β β β β β β β β
∧ − −
∧ − −
= ∑
= − ∑ −
Since,( ) ( )
( )
1
1 11
1 21 1
11
1
1' ( (
1 1(
T
tt T T
NN t t
t tT
N Nt
t
t
Nt t
Nt
E E ET
ET T
εα
αα α α ε εα
ε
ε
ε ε
ε
=
= =
=
⎛ ⎞⎟⎜ ⎟⎜ ⎟⎜⎛ ⎞ ⎟⎜⎟ ⎟⎜ ⎜⎟ ⎟⎜ ⎛ ⎞⎟ ⎜ ⎟⎜ ⎟⎟ ⎜⎜ ⎟⎜= = ⎟⎟ ⎟⎜⎜⎜ ⎟⎟ ⎟ ⎟⎜⎜ ⎜⎜ ⎝ ⎠⎟ ⎟⎜⎜ ⎟ ⎟⎜⎟⎜ ⎟⎟⎜ ⎜⎝ ⎠ ⎟⎜ ⎟⎜ ⎟⎟⎜ ⎟⎜⎝ ⎠⎟⎜⎛ ⎞⎟⎜ ⎟⎜ ⎟⎜ ⎟⎜ ⎟⎜= = ∑⎟⎜ ⎟⎜ ⎟⎟⎜ ⎟⎜ ⎟⎟⎜⎜⎝ ⎠⎟
∑∑ ∑
∑
( ) ( ) ( ) ( )
( ) ( )( ) ( ) ( )
1 12
1 1
1 1
' ' cov[ ] '
' ' cov[ ' ] '' ' ' '
eTE R
E
σ λ β β β β β β
β β β β λ α β β ββ β β αα β β β
∧ − −
− −
− −
=
= +=
The test statistic is :(12.14)
The degree of freedom is N-1 not N, and N-K for K-factors model
A test of residuals is unusual in OLS regressions.
1 21' cov( ) Nα α α χ
∧ ∧ ∧−−∼
GLS Cross-Sectional Regression
Since as the error covariance matrix ,GLS estimates are:
The variance of these estimates are:(12.15)
(12.16)
( ) ( )
( )
11 1' ' ,eT
eT
E R
E R
λ β β β
α λ β
∧ −− −
∧∧
= ∑ ∑
= −
( ) ( )
( ) ( )
12 1
1 1
1' ,
1cov ( ' ) ' .
T
T
σ λ β β
α β β β β
∧ −−
∧ − −
= ∑
= ∑− ∑
[ ] 1'ET
αα = Σ
A GLS regression can be understand as a transformation of the space of returnsThe test statistic for the pricing errors
(12.17)1 21' NT α α χ
∧ ∧−−∑ ∼
Correction for the fact that are estimated
Since the betas are estimated, the asymptotic standards errors should be corrected (Shanken 1992)
(12.18)Compare to (12.12)(12.15)
β
( ) ( ) ( )
( ) ( )
1 12 1
12 1 1
1[ ' ' ' (1 ' ) ]
1[ ' (1 ' ) ]
OLS f f
GLS f f
T
T
σ λ β β β β β β λ λ
σ λ β β λ λ
∧ − − −
∧ −− −
= ∑ + ∑ +∑
= ∑ + ∑ +∑
The asymptotic covariance matrix of the pricing errors is :
(12.19)
( 12.20)The test statistic in GLS is :
( ) ( ) ( )
( )( ) ( )( )( )
1 1
1
11 1
1cov ( ' ') ( ' ')
1 '1
cov ' ' 1 '
OLS N N
f
GLS f
I IT
T
α β β β β β β β β
λ λ
α β β β β λ λ
∧ − −
−
−∧ − −
= − ∑ −
× + ∑
= ∑− ∑ + ∑
'1 1 2(1 ' ) GLS GLSf N KT λ λ α α χ∧ ∧− −
−+ ∑ ∑ ∼
How important the corrections ? in CAPM , , so in annual data
It is too large to ignore,but in monthly interval
It makes little difference.
( )emE Rλ =
( ) ( )22 2/ 0.08 / 0.16 0.25emRλ σ ≈ =
( )2 2/ 0.25 /12 0.02emRλ σ ≈ ≈
The additive term can be very important, given some assumption ,write (12.19)as follow
Even with N=1,most factor model have fairly high ,so
Typical assets numbers N=10 to 50even if the the Shanken correction can be
ignored , it should be included in
( ) ( ) ( )2 2 21 1[ ]fT N
σ λ σ ε σ∧
= +
2R( ) ( )2 2 fσ ε σ<
( )σ λ∧
Derivation and formulas that do not require I.I.d. errors
Derivation by GMM, map all effects into GMM framework. The moments are
It is overidentified, since N extra moment
( )( )( )( )
0[ ] 0
0
et te
T t t te
E R a fg b E R a f f
E R
ββ
βλ
⎡ ⎤ ⎡ ⎤− −⎢ ⎥ ⎢ ⎥⎢ ⎥ ⎢ ⎥= − − =⎢ ⎥ ⎢ ⎥⎢ ⎥ ⎢ ⎥−⎢ ⎥ ⎣ ⎦⎣ ⎦
The ingredients of the recipe:the parameter vector is :
The a matrix is :The d matrix is
[ ]' ', ',b a β λ=2
'
NIa
γ
⎡ ⎤⎢ ⎥= ⎢ ⎥⎢ ⎥⎣ ⎦
( )( )
( ) ( )20
0'
0
N N
TN N
N
I I E fg b
d I E f I E fb
Iλ β
⎡ ⎤− −⎢ ⎥∂ ⎢ ⎥
= = − −⎢ ⎥∂ ⎢ ⎥
⎢ ⎥− −⎢ ⎥⎣ ⎦
The S matrix is:
Calculate the standard error formula (11.4)(11.5) (pricing errors is last N moment)
( ) ( )
( ) ( )
'
'
eet j t jt t
e et t t t j t j t je ejt t j
t t j
t t t j t j
t t t j t j
R a fR a fS E R a f f R a f f
R R
E f ff Ef f Ef
βββ β
βλ βλ
ε εε εβ ε β ε
− −∞
− − −=−∞
−
−
− −
− −
⎛ ⎞⎡ ⎤ ⎡ ⎤− − ⎟− −⎜ ⎟⎢ ⎥ ⎢ ⎥⎜ ⎟⎜ ⎟⎢ ⎥ ⎢ ⎥⎜= − − − − ⎟⎜ ⎟⎢ ⎥ ⎢ ⎥⎜ ⎟⎜ ⎟− −⎢ ⎥ ⎢ ⎥ ⎟⎟⎜⎜ ⎢ ⎥ ⎢ ⎥⎝ ⎠⎣ ⎦ ⎣ ⎦⎛ ⎡ ⎤⎡ ⎤⎜ ⎢ ⎥⎜ ⎢ ⎥
⎢ ⎥⎢ ⎥= ⎢ ⎥⎢ ⎥⎢ ⎥⎢ ⎥− + − +⎢ ⎥⎢ ⎥⎣ ⎦⎝ ⎣ ⎦
∑
j
∞
=−∞
⎞⎟⎟⎟⎜ ⎟⎜ ⎟⎜ ⎟⎜ ⎟⎜ ⎟⎟⎜ ⎟⎟⎜⎜ ⎠⎟
∑
Recover classic formula (12.18) (12.19) (12.20) by adding assumption:
1.the errors are I.I.d. and independent of the factors
2.the factors are uncorrelated over timeThus:
( )
( ) ( ) ( )
( ) ( )
2
2'
E f
S E f E f E f
E f fββ σ
⎡ ⎤∑ ∑ ∑⎢ ⎥⎢ ⎥⎢ ⎥= ∑ ∑ ∑⎢ ⎥⎢ ⎥∑ ∑ +∑⎢ ⎥⎣ ⎦
Plug into (11.4) get the (3,3) element
(11.4)Plug the items into (11.5) to get the sample distribution of the pricing errors
(11.5)
The result is the same as (12.20)
( ) ( ) ( )1 11var ' 'b ad aSa ad
T
∧ − −=
( ) ( )( ) ( )( )1 1[0, ']TTg b N I d ad a S I d ad a∧ − −→ − −
Once again, it is no need to make assumptions.It is quite easy to estimate an S matrix that does not impose the conditionsIf one is really interesting in efficiency, The GLS cross-sectional estimate should use the spectral density matrix as weighting matrix rather 1−∑
Time series vs. Cross Section
The time series requires factors that are also returns. So that you can estimate factor risk premia by The asset pricing model does predict a restrict in the time-series.If imposed , you can write time-series regression as
( )TE fλ∧=
( ) 'eiiE R β λ=
( )( )' ' , 1,2, ,ei it i i t tR f E f t Tβλ β ε= + − + =
The intercept restriction is
The restriction makes sense. You can see how result in a zero interceptwithout an estimate of ,you can not
check this intercept restriction
( )( )'i ia E fβ λ= −
( )E fλ =λ
When the factor is a return, so that we can compare the two methods:
1. The time-series regression describes the cross section of expected returns by drawing a line as in figure 12.1 that runs through the origin and through the factor
2. The OLS cross-sectional regression picks the slope and intercept to best fit the points
( ) 'eiT i iE R β λ α= +
In including the factor as a test factor The GLS cross-sectional regression =the time-series regression
The time-series regression for is :
The residual covariance matrix of the returns is:
f0 1 0t tf f= + +
[ ]0
'0 1 0 0
eR a fE f f
β ⎡ ⎤∑⎛ ⎞⎡ ⎤− − ⎟⎜ ⎢ ⎥⎢ ⎥ ⎟ =⎜ ⎟ ⎢ ⎥− −⎜⎢ ⎥ ⎟⎜ ⎟⎝ ⎠⎣ ⎦ ⎢ ⎥⎣ ⎦i
Since have 0 residual, GLS puts all its weight on that asset .
Therefore ,just as time-series regression.
The degree of freedom in test is N!Why ignore the pricing errors of the other
asset in estimating the factor risk premium?
f
( )TE fλ∧=
2χ
et t tR a fβ ε= + +
12.3 Fama-MacBeth Procedure
Fama-MacBeth (1973) procedure:1. find beta estimates with a time-series
regression.2. Run a cross-sectional regression at
each time period:
for each time t
' , 1, 2, ,eit i t itR i Nβ λ α= + =
iβ∧
, ittλ α∧ ∧
3. Estimate by:
4. Generate the sampling errors for these estimates:
5.when the time series is autocorrelated
, iλ α
1 1
1 1,
T T
i itt
t tT Tλ λ α α∧ ∧ ∧ ∧
= =
= =∑ ∑
( ) ( ) ( ) ( )2 2
2 22 2
1 1
1 1,
T T
i it it
t tT Tσ λ λ λ σ α α α
∧ ∧ ∧ ∧ ∧ ∧
= =
= − = −∑ ∑
( ) ( )2 1cov ,t t jT
jTσ λ λ λ
∞∧ ∧ ∧
−
=−∞
= ∑
6. Testing whether all the pricing errors are jointly zero:
Write the parameters in vector from:
The test statistic is :
( )1
21
1
1cov ( )( ) '
T
t
tT
t t
t
T
T
α α
α α α α α
∧ ∧
=∧ ∧ ∧ ∧ ∧
=
=
= − −
∑
∑
( )1' 2
1cov Nα α α χ−∧ ∧ ∧
−∼
Fama-MacBeth in depth
Consider a regression:
Pooled time-series cross-section estimate: stack the i and t observations together and
estimate by OLS(contemporaneous correlation)In an expected return-beta asset pricing model,
the xit is the betai and beta is the lamda
' , 1,2, , 1,2, ,it it ity x i N t Nβ ε= + = =
β
Take time-series averages and run a pure cross-sectional regression:
Fama-MacBeth procedure: run a cross-sectional regression at each point in time. Then get the estimates.
( ) ( )' , 1,2, ,T it T it iE y E x u i Nβ= + =
( )1
21
1
1c o v ( ) ( ) '
T
tt
T
t tt
T
T
β β
β β β β β
∧ ∧
=∧ ∧ ∧ ∧ ∧
=
=
= − −
∑
∑
proposition
If the variables do not vary over time,and if the errors are cross-sectionally correlated but not correlated over time, Then:
The Fama-MacBeth estimate =The pure cross-sectional OLS estimate =The pooled time-series cross-sectional OLS
estimateSo to the standard errors ,corrected for residual
correlation.None of them holds if the vary through time
itx
itx
Proof:Having assuming that the variable do
not vary over time, the regression is :
stack up the regressions in vector from:
The error assumptions mean
x'
it i ity x β ε= +
t ty xβ ε= +
( )'t tE ε ε = ∑
Pooled OLS: to run pooled OLS, stack up the time series and cross sections:
and then:
with
1 1
2 2
, ,
T T
y x
y xY X
y x
εε
ε
ε
⎡ ⎤ ⎡ ⎤ ⎡ ⎤⎢ ⎥ ⎢ ⎥ ⎢ ⎥⎢ ⎥ ⎢ ⎥ ⎢ ⎥⎢ ⎥ ⎢ ⎥ ⎢ ⎥= = =⎢ ⎥ ⎢ ⎥ ⎢ ⎥⎢ ⎥ ⎢ ⎥ ⎢ ⎥⎢ ⎥ ⎢ ⎥ ⎢ ⎥⎢ ⎥ ⎢ ⎥ ⎢ ⎥⎣ ⎦ ⎣ ⎦ ⎣ ⎦
Y Xβ ε= +
( )'E εε
⎡ ⎤∑⎢ ⎥⎢ ⎥
=Ω= ⎢ ⎥⎢ ⎥⎢ ⎥∑⎢ ⎥⎣ ⎦
The estimate and its standard error are:
Simplified:
Estimate this sampling variance with
( )
( ) ( ) ( )
1
1 1
' '
c o v ' ' '
O L S
O L S
X X X Y
X X X X X X
β
β
∧ −
∧ − −
=
= Ω
( ) ( )
( ) ( ) ( )
1
1 1
' '1
cov ' ' '
OLS T t
OLS
x x x E y
x x x x x xT
β
β
∧ −
∧ − −
=
= ∑
( )' ,t t t OLST tE y xε ε ε β∧ ∧∧ ∧ ∧∑ = ≡ −
Pure cross-section: take the time-series averages,
Having assumed I.I.d. errors ,so
the cross-sectional estimate and standard errors are:
( ) ( )( ) 1'T t T tE E E
Tε ε = ∑
( ) ( )
( ) ( ) ( )
1
1 12
' '1' ' '
XS T t
XS
x x x E y
x x x x x xT
β
σ β
∧ −
∧ − −
=
= ∑
( ) ( )T y T tE y x Eβ ε= +
Fama-MacBeth: run cross-sectional regression at each moment in time
then the estimate is the average of the cross-sectional regression estimates,
the standard error is :
( ) 1' 't tx x x yβ∧ −=
( ) ( ) ( )1' 'FM tT T tE x x x E yβ β∧ ∧ −= =
( ) ( ) ( ) ( )1 11 1cov( ) cov ' ' cov 'FM tT T tx x x y x x x
T Tβ β∧ ∧ − −= =
with
we have
and finally
End proof
tt FMy xβ ε∧
= +
( ) ( )cov , 't tT t Ty E ε ε∧∧ ∧
= = ∑
( ) ( ) ( )1 11cov ' ' 'FM x x x x x x
Tβ
∧∧ − −= ∑
Varying
none of the three procedures are equal anymore, since it ignore the time-series variance in the an extreme example:
the grand OLS regression is :
x
itx
, 1,2, , , 1,2, ,it t ity x i N t Tα β ε= + + = =
( )2 2 2
1/t it t it t itit t i t iOLS
t t tit t t
x y x y x N y
x N x xβ∧
= = =∑ ∑ ∑ ∑ ∑∑ ∑ ∑
( )Tx x E x= −
Advantage of Fama-MacBeth Method
Allows changing betas.The standard errors are easily to compute.Could be easily modified to consider the estimated beta, Shanken (1992).