how to get a cfd: allocation process and the...
TRANSCRIPT
How to get a CfD:
Allocation Process and the
Transition from the RO
11/06/14
Agenda
1. EMR objectives and the CfD instrument
2. CfD supported by a robust legislative architecture
3. Already attracting significant investment
4. How to get a CfD?
a) Eligibility
b) Allocation Process and Timelines
c) Application Process, Withdrawals and Incentives to Sign
5. Constrained Allocation and the Auction for CfDs
6. EMR next steps
7. Transition from the RO
8. Questions
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Government’s objectives for EMR
• The Government’s energy and climate change goals are
to deliver secure energy on the way to a sustainable,
affordable, low-carbon energy future and drive ambitious
action on climate change at home and abroad.
• This requires substantial investment in new generation
and networks: approximately £110 billion of capital
investment in the decade to 2020 – this is like building 20
Olympic stadiums every year.
• To meet this challenge, we need to attract investment
from a broad pool of investors, and support investment by
a wide range of developers.
• The Contract for Difference (CfD) is the proposed
instrument to attract this investment in low-carbon
generation.
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The CfD instrument: seeking to reduce the cost of investment
• CfD pays a variable ‘top-up’ to
developers, based on:
• Strike Price: Estimate of the cost
of investing in each technology
• Reference Price: Measure of the
average price of electricity
• Benefits of the CfD include:
• Removes one of the largest
commercial risks faced by
developers
• Maintains normal incentives to
invest, innovate and operate at
least cost
• Developers pay back to
consumers, when prices are
high, keeping overall costs down
CfD
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Electricity Market Reform
Benefits to developers
Removal of wholesale electricity price exposure by providing a fixed strike
price to developers, largely stabilising project revenue 1
Robust and reliable private law contractual arrangement providing
developers with a clear set of rights and obligations, and recourse to
arbitration processes to resolve disputes
2
Early certainty and security of support levels in the project development
process
3
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Provisions that protect the value of the CfD to developers (e.g. change in
law protection)5
Robust single counterparty owned by government and set up as a limited
liability company
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The CfD is supported by a robust
architecture1. Allocation Regulations - Parliamentary scrutiny and certainty for investors
• Eligibility and qualification requirements
• Application and eligibility checking process
• Information to be supplied by applicants
• High level principals of auction/allocation process
• High level budget rules
• Dispute resolution procedure and audit requirements
2. Allocation Framework – additional flexibility, easier to incorporate lessons learned
• Auction rules and valuation formula
• Confirm allocation round timings and deadlines
• Details of eligibility and qualification requirements
• Supplemental qualification requirements
• Details of information to be supplied by applicant
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EMR has already attracted significant
investment into the electricity market
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FiD Enabling for Renewables
May 2014 – 8 projects signed Investment Contracts which were laid in Parliament
Investors committing up to £12bn of investment backed by this early form of CfD
Projects expected to generate over 4.5GW of renewables generation capacity
Biomass conversion, dedicated biomass with CHP and offshore wind
New Nuclear 21 October 2013
UK Government and EDF Group reach commercial agreement on the key terms of a proposed investment contract for the Hinkley Point C
£16 billion investment will provide power for nearly 6 million homes.
Carbon Capture and Storage
9 December 2013
SoS opens the Drax coal-to-biomass conversion plant
Government awards FEED study funding to further the White Rose CCS project
Eligibility Criteria
• The eligibility criteria are a set of upfront requirements that all
applicants must satisfy in order to apply for a CfD.
• The criteria form a critical function in ensuring only credible projects
secure CfDs and provide a filter that:
• prevents speculative projects from disrupting the CfD allocation
process;
• provides a consistent foundation for an auction – ensuring a
minimum level of development for all applicants;
• reduces the risk of bed-blocking to ensure the budget is used as
efficiently as possible; and
• interacts with later contract design features – e.g. Initial Condition
Precedents, Further Condition Precedents, and Milestone
requirements.
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Eligibility criteria
• Supply chain plan (only for facilities >300MW);
• Applicable planning consents;
• Connection agreements;
• Qualifying low-carbon generator;
• Declaration of non-receipt of funds under other
Government support schemes;
• Incorporation;
• Authorisation of officers;
• Declaration on contract conditions acceptance;
• Offshore generating stations.
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Application
The Regulations state that certain information is to be submitted in
support of a CfD Application.
This includes:
• Applicant name, company registration number
• Project name and location of CfD unit
• Capacity (MW) for each delivery year
• Target Commissioning Date and Target Commissioning Window
• A self-certification declaration that existing accreditation does not
apply in respect of the relevant CfD Unit.
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Allocation Process & Timelines
1. DECC will publish the final Allocation Framework and Budget Notice 10 days
before opening an allocation round.
2. CfD applications are expected to open 14 October 2014 and close ten days
later. The Delivery Body will then determine whether each applicant is a
qualifying applicant.
3. Any applicant that the Delivery Body has determined to be not qualifying will
then have the opportunity to dispute that decision.
4. Once all disputes are resolved, the Delivery Body will assess whether a
competitive allocation process is necessary, and if it is will invite the qualifying
applicants to submit a sealed bid.
5. With no disputes, we would expect that sealed bids (if necessary) would be
submitted towards the end of November; the final decision on which applicants
are successful should be taken by the end of 2014; and contracts will be offered
to successful applicants in early January 2015.
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Allocation Process Under Delay
• Resolution of disputes is expected to take up to 45 working days, in such a
circumstance sealed bids (if necessary) would be submitted in February 2015
and final decision would be expected in early March with contracts being offered
later in March. No interim decisions or notifications would be sent to applicants.
• In extraordinary circumstances, CfD allocation timelines could extend further,
however this would be a rare circumstance (e.g. resolution of complex appeals
taking longer than 45 days or re-run of the allocation process as a result of
issues raised in the audit report).
• Any delays caused by a complex appeal would also delay the deadline for
submitting sealed bids. This means that a complex appeal would not extend the
time between submission of sealed bid and contracts being offered.
• In the event of a delay, applicants have the opportunity to shift their affected
target dates (day for day by the length of the delay).
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Application Withdrawal
• An applicant may validly provide notice to withdraw its application during the
application window or prior to being considered in an auction process where an
allocation round is constrained.
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Incentives to Sign and Deliver
• In order to mitigate gaming risks, where an applicant has been allocated a CfD
but then fails to sign a CfD when offered one by the Low Carbon Contracts
Company, or where an applicant has its CfD terminated between contract
signature and Milestone Delivery Date (which occurs 1 year after contract
signature), this will impact upon their eligibility for future CfD allocations.
• In particular, Government will be bringing forward regulations before the end of
2014 that will make such applicants ineligible to apply for a CfD for thirteen
months after a CfD notification has been issued to a successful applicant.
• This mechanic seeks to discourage spurious or highly speculative applications
from participating in the auction process, potentially distorting auction outcomes
and blocking budget that would otherwise have been available to genuine
projects with a greater likelihood of delivery.
• The Government is currently considering any exceptions that may apply to this
provision.
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Contract Allocation
The Allocation process is built around Regulations and an Allocation
Framework produced by Government;
The National Grid as Delivery Body is responsible for managing the process
from application, eligibility checks, allocation including running the auction,
before requesting that the CPB issue contracts to the successful applicants.
We have built a number of flexibilities in to the contracting process that enable
the allocation process to function but which are given effect through the
Contract and so require oversight from the LCCC. These are:
• Milestone Delivery Date;
• Capacity adjustment;
• Target Commissioning Window, Long Stop Date, Termination at LSD; and
• Non-Delivery Incentive
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Eligibility Criteria, TCW, LSD, SFC
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Policy Area Role Approach
The eligibility criteria, Target Commissioning Window (TCW), Long Stop Date (LSD) and Substantial Financial
Commitment (SFC) are contractual criteria and waypoints that help DECC determine whether a project can apply
for a CFD and then assess whether it is developing as planned.
Milestone Delivery
Date. (MDD)
Ensures developers demonstrate sufficient
financial commitment to completion,
providing a protection against budget
allocation.
Provide evidence of either (a) combination of SFC milestones, or
(b) minimum financial spend at the ‘Milestone Delivery Date’ - one
year after CfD contract signature. Failure to provide evidence
results in termination by LCCC.
Target
Commissioning
Window (TCW)
Allows for incentives and penalties to be
applied to the project to ensure the LCF is
used cost effectively.
Each project nominates a commissioning date which is then
afforded a window to allow for variation in delivery. The length of
the TCW varies and reflects the technical challenges varying
across technology type.
Long Stop Date
(LSD)
Allows for incentives and penalties to be
applied to ensure developers are
progressing as planned.
A point after TCW by which a project must either qualify for
payment or be terminated. Strike prices degress between the end
of the TCW and the LSD. Varies by technology. LCCC will need to
monitor progress, adjust strike prices and terminate.
Non-Delivery
Incentive (NDI)
Incentivises Developers to progress projects
by treating developers that terminate before
the Milestone Date as if they had retained
the Contract until Milestone Date
LCCC will need to decide whether to permit early termination and
ensure that information is available to the Delivery Body to enable
the NDI to be applied in the next allocation round.
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Capacity Adjustment
CfD
signed
Evidence of
MDD for
project TCWLong-stop
date
CfD may be
terminated if capacity
delivered is below a
pre-defined threshold
(i.e. 70%).
Initial Application:
100%
Can adjust by
25% at no cost
TCD
Can adjust by a further 5%
but with financial penalty
Developers submit an initial capacity estimate but can update this and create an
Amended Capacity Estimate at two points:
• At the Milestone Date can adjust capacity by 25% (if any part of this adjustment is
not used at MDD then it cannot be claimed later);
• By Longstop Date, by a further 5%;
• LCCC terminates if under 70% is delivered by the Developer
This gives developers flexibility early in the project life and gives HMG earlier visibility of
the change in capacity which allows earlier reallocation of the budget.
High-Level Process
Invite applications -do the applications result in a budget
breach in any year?
Do the applications under any Maxima
result in the Maxima being exceeded?
Non-Competitive Allocation – all
projects are accepted at their Administrative
Strike Price
Run auction for Maxima technology only – invite sealed
bids for those projects.
All other projects are accepted at their ASP
Competitive Allocation (Auction) – invite sealed bids
Assess Minima
General auction (Maxima assessed
here)
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YesNo
No Yes
For each ‘pot’:
Does a Minima apply?
Is the Minima exceeded?
Run an auction within the Minima.
Assign all successful projects
a provisional clearing price
Proceed with general auction,
including all projects rejected
under Minima
Assign all Minima projects at their administrative
strike price
Proceed with general auction for
all other technologies
General auction – rank all projects on strike
price bid. Look at lowest strike price bid
project.
Does it exceed any Maxima?
Reject project, consider flexible options, close
Maxima
Consider next project
Does it exceed the budget profile in
any year?
Reject project, consider flexible options, close delivery year
Accept project, remove flexible bids from stack
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NoYes
Yes No
For each ‘pot’:
For each Minima:
No
No
Yes
Yes
High-Level Auction Process
When all budget
years are closed or
no projects remain;
close auction
EMR Next Steps
June 2014
• Lay secondary legislation for implementing EMR
• Publish EMR handbook
• Government Response to EMR Consultations
• Publish final CfD Allocation Framework
July 2014
• Publish indicative CfD Budget
• Approach to technology group allocation finalised
August 2014
• EMR regulations come into force
• National Grid full powers
• Low Carbon Contracts Company operational
Second half of 2014
• Secretary of State confirms CfD Budget
• Signing of first CfDs under enduring regime
• First Capacity Market auction
RO transitional arrangements
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• Long term plan for renewables support will be contracts for
difference under EMR
• Will need to be a transitional period between Renewables
Obligation and CfDs
• The two schemes will run in parallel between 2014 and
2017 to allow a smooth transition between both schemes.
• Developers have a choice whether to enter RO or apply for
a CfD
RO transitional arrangements
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• No new entrants to the Renewables Obligation
from 2017 (unless they have a grace period)
• Existing market will continue to operate on a
declining basis until 2037
• Proposing to close RO to solar PV >5MW from
April 2015
• However, Government will protect significant
financial investments under RO through grace
periods
Questions
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