how to meet data demand?
TRANSCRIPT
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How to meet data demand?June 2011
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The Biggest Platform in the History of Mankind
~5.5 BILLION WIRELESS SUBSCRIPTIONS WORLDWIDE
~3.1B3G SUBSCRIPTIONS
BY 2015
Source: Wireless Intelligence estimates as of Apr 18,2011 for the quarter ending Mar 31, 2010
~1.3B3G SUBSCRIPTIONS
AS OF 1Q 2011
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Evolved 3G Will Continue to Lead Mobile Broadband
Subscriptions (Millions)
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
HSPA Family
EV-DO Family
TD-SCDMA
LTE
WiMax
Source: HSPA, EV-DO ,TD-SCDMA and LTE subs – Wireless Intelligence (Apr’11) and WiMax - ABI (Mar’11)Note:* 3G includes EV-DO family, HSPA family and TD-SCDMA,
3G* MBB subscriptions to surpass 1B by 2012
EV-DOSubs
HSPA/HSPA+ Subs
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Operators Worldwide Show Strong Data Growth
Sources: Company reports from Vodafone, Telstra, Verizon and AT&T
27% Growth 24% Growth 22% Growth 24% Growth
Dec’09
£1.04B
Dec’10
£1.32B
$383M
$477M
1Q’10
$4. 5B
1Q’11
$5.5B
1Q’10
$4.1B
1Q’11
$5.1B
Data Revenues (British £) Mobile Broadband Data Revenues (Australian $)
Data Revenues (US $) Data Revenues (US $)
1H’10/Dec’09 1H’11/ Dec’10
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Addressing Data Demand Growth
Evolve 3G and leverage advanced receivers
Increase voice capacity to free up resources for data
Free up 2G spectrum for more efficient 3G
Boost data capacity with LTE for new and wider spectrum
Bring network closer to the user—add small cells like femtocells
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Qualcomm is a Leader in 3G and 4G 2012 2013 2014+2011
1X AdvancedCDMA20001X
SIMULTANEOUS 1X VOICE AND EV-DO/LTE DATA (SVDO/SVLTE)
DO AdvancedMulticarrier
EV-DO
Rev A H/W Upgrade
EV-DO Rev. B(Commercial)
HSPA+ Advanced
HSPA+(Future)
Rel-11 & BeyondRel-10Rel-9
HSPA+(Commercial)
Rel-8Rel-7
HSPA
Rel-11 & BeyondRel-10Rel-9Rel-8
LTEAdvanced
LTE(Commercial)
(LTE TDD expected to be commercial end 2011)
Created 06/20/2011
LTE Leverages new, wider and unpaired spectrum LTE
(Future)
CommercialNote: Estimated commercial dates.
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Evolve 3G and Leverage Advanced Receivers
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Significant Capacity Gain by Evolving 3G and Leveraging Advanced Receivers
1Base Station interference cancellation is available for EV-DO (CSM 6850). Many HSPA+ vendors have announced NodeB IC support. Device Equalizers are commercially available
~1.8x Capacity Gain ~1.7 Capacity GainUPLINKDOWNLINK
HSPA
HSPA+
1x(3.5 Mbps)
1.8x(6.2 Mbps)
R6(2-RxDiv+ Rake)
R7(Equalizer
+ 2x2 MIMO)
HSPA
HSPA+
1x(2.2 Mbps)
1.7x(3.7
Mbps)
R6 (Rake+1x2 SIMO
R7 (IC1 +1x2 SIMO)
~80% ~50%
EV-DO Rel. 0
EV-DO Rel. 0 + 2-Rx Diversity
EV-DO Rev. A + Equalizer
EV-DO Rel. 0
EV-DO Rev. A
EV-DO Rev. A+ BTS IC1
~70%
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Similar Evolved 3G and LTE PerformanceWHEN ALSO LEVERAGING ADVANCED RECEIVERS
Bandwidth HSPA+ LTE5 MHz 42 Mbps 37 Mbps
10 MHz 84 Mbps 73 Mbps
20 MHz 168 Mbps2 150 Mbps
SIMILAR PEAK DATA RATES with same bandwidth and number of antennas(Downlink peak data rate)
Note: Assuming 2x2MIMO. LTE supports 4x4MIMO but initial deployments will be 2x2 MIMO. LTE takes required overhead into account, 172 Mbps possible per standards
Note: HSPA+ spectral efficiency would improve with multicarrier.
SIMILAR SPECTRAL EFFICIENCY with same number of antennas and bandwidth(Downlink sector capacity in 10 MHz FDD)1
SIMILAR RTT LATENCYTransport NW key for low latency—can be same for LTE&HSPA+
HSPA+ LTERT T3 28 ms +
Transport network22 ms + Transport network
HSPA+LTE
(15.1 Mbps)(12.5 Mbps)
1x1.2x
LTE R8(2x2 MIMO)
R7(EQ.+ 2x2 MIMO)
1 Source: Qualcomm Simulation, details in 3GPP R1-070674. NGMN 500m ISD, HSPA+ R7 results scaled up from 10 MHz. HSPA+. HSPA+ multicarrier (R8 and beyond) and DL Interference Cancellation not considered and would narrow the gap with LTE. 2168 Mbps in 20Mhz beyond HSPA+ R9. 3Source: Qualcomm assuming similar operating points, processing delays, excludes transport network delay that is dependent on actual network used
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Continued Improved Connection Capacity and User Experience—Meeting Smartphone Growth
HIGHER CONNECTION-CAPACITY BETTER USER EXPERIENCE Supports more interactive users such as
“push-pull” mobile email
More efficient use/higher capacity of paging and access channels
Improved “Always ON” experience
Improved battery life
DO ADVANCED: ENHANCED CONNECTION MANAGEMENTHSPA+: ENHANCED CELL_FACH/PCH AND CPC
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Increase Voice Capacity to Free up Resources for Data
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1X Advanced: up to 4x Increase Compared to CDMA2000’s Excellent Capacity
EVRCSingle RX
EVRC-B (4GVTM)QLIC (device IC)
New handsetNetwork upgrades
CDMA2000Achievable Today
BTS IC + Adv. QLICRadio Link Enhancements
1X Advanced
1.5xVoice usersx
Voice users
4xVoice users3x
Voice users
New handset and new channel card
Single Antenna
Mobile Rx Diversity
FREED-UP SPECTRUM CAN BE USED FOR EV-DO DATA
1X AdvCDMA2000 1X EV-DO
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Voice over HSPA Frees Up Resources for Data
1 Network support for “CS over HS” in HSPA+ R8, but UE capability in R7 enabling early implementation. 2Enhanced mobility, E-SCC is part of R8 and required for high capacity voice over HSPA. 3The R8 feature VCC enables call continuity outside VoIP coverage. Source: QUALCOMM simulations for VoIP, 3GPP Channel Mix 1km inter-site distance and AMR 12.2 Kbps codec. HSPA+ includes NodeBIC. CS voice over HSPA would result in 15 %to 20% lower capacity.
WCDMA CS Voice
VoIP over HSPA23
No impact oncore network
Requires IMS
CS voice over HSPA12
Remaining Data capacity with Voice over HSPAData
capacity with CS Voice
5& VoIP
(Kbps)
Downlink data throughout vs. voice users
Voice over HSPA is either CS voice over HSPA or VoIP over HSPA
MORE THAN DOUBLES VOICE CAPACITYUP TO 50% EXTENDED TALK TIME
FREES UP RESOURCES FOR DATA
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Free up 2G Spectrum for More Efficient 3G
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Multicarrier Helps to Free Up 2G Spectrum for More Efficient 3G
1Source: GFK. 2Multicarrier across bands supported in 3GPP R9
HSPA+ MULTICARRIER ACROSS BANDS—ANOTHER DRIVER FOR 900 AND 1800 MHz
Low bandE.g. 900/850 MHz
High bandE.g. 2.1/1.9/1.8 GHz
Multicarrier HSPA+ Device
Across bands in R9 4x downlink in R101
UMTS900 ALMOST CLOSES 2G COVERAGE GAP—ELIMINATES 3G POROSITY
ADDITIONAL 2G BANDS SUCH AS 1800MHz SUITABLE FOR 3G REFARMING
UMTS900 ENABLED DEVICES >50% OF MONTHLY SALES IN EU51
Carrier 1
Carrier 2
Carrier 3
Carrier 4
Aggregated Data Pipe
Up to 20 MHz
2x downlink in R8 Across Bands R94x downlink in R10
FDD Band
1 to 2 Carriers
FDD Band
1 to 3 Carriers
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Leverage Unpaired Spectrum for More Downlink Capacity
Supplemental downlink addresses traffic asymmetry Implemented using HSPA+ R9 carrier aggregation1
F1’F1 F1
FDD Downlink
(Paired, e.g., 2GHz)
FDD Uplink
(Paired, e.g., 2GHz)
Supplemental Downlink
(Unpaired spectrum)
L-Band (1.4GHz) key opportunity• Harmonization possible in Europe and beyond, with up to 40 MHz of unpaired spectrum2
• Other opportunities, such as 700MHz in the US, depend upon country-specific spectrum situations
1Aggregation across bands already supported in 3GPP R9, but each additional band combination has to be defined in 3GPP.2L-Band in Europe:1452 MHZ to 1492 MHz.
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Boost Data Capacity with LTE for New and Wider Spectrum
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LTE Leverages New Wider Spectrum to Boost Data Capacity
3G CoverageSeamless 3G service continuity from day one—Evolved 3G ensures similar user experience
Industry’s first LTE multimode solutions
LTE/3GMultimode
LTE (FDD or TDD)
Available in smaller bandwidths
20 MHz15 MHz1.4MHz 10 MHz5 MHz3 MHz
LTE relative performance decreases with bandwidth due to higher overhead; 40% overhead in 1.4 MHz vs. 25% in 20 MHz results in 25% better relative performance in 20 MHz vs. 1.4 MHz.
Best suited to leverage new and wider contiguous spectrum
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LTE TDD: The Global Solution for Unpaired Spectrum
2011 2012+2010
LTE FDD MultimodeCommercial Launches
LTE FDD Single Mode
LTE TDD MultimodeCommercial Launches
3G Evolution (HSPA/HSPA+, EV-DO Rev. A/B , 1X/DO Advanced)
LTE TDDTrials
GLOBAL TDD Spectrum Potential Spectrum
2.5/2.6 GHz (IMT Extension gap)B383: 2570 MHz to 2620 MHz
50 MHz
2.3 GHzB404: 2300 MHz to 2400 MHz
100 MHz
China and India to deploy LTE TDD
Strong industry support1
Leverages LTE FDD Shares most of FDD design and standard Common core network
3IMT extension band provides 50 MHz TDD in addition to 70 MHz + 70 MHz FDD in most countries. 2B40 will e.g. be used for India and China, can provide up to 100 MHz, but less spectrum may be available in some markets.
LTE TDD operator trials in 2010, commercial launches in 20112
1Basically all vendors offering LTE TDD, WiMAX industry support declining: Clearwire announced LTE trials in press release Aug 4th 2010. Russia’s Yota announced plans to drop WiMAX in favor of LTE in some markets. 2Single mode LTE TDD trials 2H2010, multimode trials 1H 2011 and commercial multimode launch end 2011
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HSPA+ andHSPA+ Advanced
EV-DO and DO Advanced LTE Advanced
Bring Network Closer to User for Next Significant Performance LeapIT IS NOT JUST ABOUT ADDING SMALL CELLS—OPTIMIZATIONS FURTHER IMPROVE PERFORMANCE:
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Radio Link Improvement is Slowing, What Is Next?
Evolved 3G withAdvanced Receivers(EV-DO Rev. B & HSPA+)
Data optimized 3G(EV-DO & HSPA)
3G (IMT-2000): Voice & Data(e.g. CDMA2000 1X & WCDMA)
2G: Voice Capacity(Digital e.g. GSM & IS-95)
1G: Voice(Analog e.g. AMPS)
LTE(OFDMA)
Next Gen.Leap
Next Gen.Leap
Next GenerationLeap
2G
3G
1G
Evolved 3G
Radio Link approaching
the theoretical limit
Bring network closer to user—adding small cells1—and mitigate interference will provide next leap in performance
Relative C
apacity Multiples
1Leveraging heterogeneous network topology: macro network with added small cells like picocells and femtocells
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Operator DeployedPicocells
Adding Small Cells Is a Great Start—Optimization Further Improves Performance
Remote Radio heads
User Deployed Femtocells
Macro provideswide coverage
Operator deployed Relays
Optimizations to FurtherIncrease PerformanceSuch as range expansion—better utilization of picocellsIncreased cooperation across nodesInnovative Iiterference management required for femtocells
Smart Network TechniquesExploiting uneven load—even more common in Hetnets
Self-Organizing Networks (SON)Simplifying Hetnet deployments
Bring Network Closer to User and Increase Spectral Efficiency per Coverage Area1
1Leveraging heterogeneous network topology (Hetnets): macro network with added small cells like picocells and femtocells
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Macro usersserved by macro
Home usersserved by
1) macro 2) femto Macro
only
180 kbps
Y
250 kbps
X
Macro only
Femtos Can Provide Next Performance LeapFEMTOS WORK WELL WITH INNOVATIVE INTERFERENCE MANAGEMENT
MACRO NETWORK OFFLOADED—CAPACITY GAIN CAN EXCEED 10X
Example for HSPA+. Similar gain achieved for EV-DO Rev. A/B
1.5x
80Y
390 kbps
14.5 Mbps
Femtosadded
Femtosadded
Assumptions: Example for HSPA+. 16 Users per cell for dense urban HSPA+ system: 10 macro users and 6 home users served either by macrocell or added femto cells. Rx diversity and MMSE Equalizer used. The median user data rates are shown. Note: Also, the worst 10% of macro users get ~15% higher throughput with proper interference management techniques.
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Macro(1 carrier)x
Macro
NETWORK CAPACITY (DL)
Pico cell(2 carrier)
1.7x
Macro+Pico
3.3x
DO Advanced(Macro + Pico)
DO Advanced Increases Hetnet PerformanceTHROUGH SMART NETWORK TECHNIQUES
INCREASED PERFORMANCE BY EXPLOITING UNEVEN NETWORK LOADING (SMART NETWORK TECHNIQUES)
Source: Qualcomm simulations. assumes 1 single carrier macro, with 2 double carrier picocells. Pico-cells are randomly placed in the network. The data loading ratio of 4:1 between high-demand and low-demand areas
Example: Improvement with DO Advanced Pico cell deployment
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Macro Only
LTE
R8
Macro+Picos
1.2x
LTE
R8
LTE Advanced Increases Network Capacity, User Experience and Ensures Fairness
Picocell
Picocell
Picocell
1x
Median UserDownlink (similar uplink gain)
Macro+Picos
2.2x
LTE
Adva
nced
with
rang
e ex
pans
ion
ENSURES USER FAIRNESSBetween users and between nodes
RANGE EXPANSION Better utilization of small cells
Assumptions: 4 Picos per Macro randomly dropped within macro coverage, see 3GPP R1-101509. Based methodology in TR 36.814: 10 MHz FDD, 2x2 MIMO, 25 users and 500m ISD . Advanced interference management : enhanced time-domain adaptive resource partitioning, advanced receiver devices with enhanced RRM and RLM
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Additional Solutions to Address Demand—Spectrum Is a Limited Resource
DIFFERENT CHARGING MODELS
Usage-based charging Application-based charging Service classes
PRIORITIZED DELIVERY BASED ON TRAFFIC/APPLICATION
Over-the-air prioritization New class for delay insensitive traffic: serve
only when resources become idle
WIFI OFFLOAD—LEVERAGE UNLICENSED SPECTRUM
Today: application based switch of all IP traffic between 3G/WiFi
Future: seamless and selective offload Selected traffic, e.g. QoS services on 3G and
best effort on Wi-Fi controlled by operator
OFFLOAD 3G WITH DEDICATEDMULTICAST NETWORK
Multicast complements 3G to reduce mass market delivery cost
Push and cache for later on-demand viewing (e.g. video and electronic media)
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Evolve 3G and leverage advanced receivers
Increase voice capacity to free up resources for data
Free up 2G spectrum for more efficient 3G Boost data capacity with LTE for new and
wider spectrum Bring network closer to the user—add
small cells like pico and femtocells There are more solutions…
leveraging unlicensed spectrum—WIFI offload
Summary: Addressing Data Demand Growth
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