how to refurbish all buildings by 2050

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How to refurbish all buildings by 2050 FSR Annual Brussels Conference November 13, 2012 Leonardo Meeus

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Buildings account for 40% of the total energy consumption of the EU and they are one of the most significant sources of greenhouse gas emissions (36% of the EU total). In order to achieve the 2050 EU building sector target, the energy performance of existing buildings will need to be improved substantially.

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Page 1: How to refurbish all buildings by 2050

How to refurbish all buildings by 2050

FSR Annual Brussels Conference November 13, 2012

Leonardo Meeus

Page 2: How to refurbish all buildings by 2050

www.florence-school.eu

Background THINK Report #7

“How to refurbish all buildings by 2050“ (Published in June 2012)

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Project leader: Péter Kaderják Research team: Leonardo Meeus, Isabel Azevedo, Péter Kotek, Zsuzsanna Pató, László Szabó, Jean-Michel Glachant

Page 3: How to refurbish all buildings by 2050

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How to refurbish all buildings by 2050 Introduction

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• 36% greenhouse gas emissions within the EU • 40% of final energy consumption within the EU

Why buildings?

• Target is to have low carbon buildings by 2050 • Most of the buildings that are around today, will still be in 2050

Why refurbishment?

• What are the trade-offs? • What are the policy options?

Why THINK?

Page 4: How to refurbish all buildings by 2050

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Trade-offs in building refurbishment Introduction

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• Accelerate renovation of the building stock • Refurbish buildings

First trade-off

• Refurbish more buildings • Refurbish buildings more ambitiously (i.e. “deeper”)

Second trade-off

• Do more now • Do more later, i.e. wait for technological developments

Third trade-off

• Reduce energy consumption of buildings • Convert to electricity • Integrate renewable energy generation

Fourth trade-off

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Trade-offs in building refurbishment Main findings

• Need to significantly increase both refurbishment “rate” and “deepness”

• “Deepness mix” will continue to exist

• Significant differences between different member states • In terms of building stock and usage of these buildings

• 600-1800 billion euro to be invested • Most of it expected to come from private building owners and users

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Policy options Introduction

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• Improving the awareness of market players • Market organization

Market facilitation

• Financing mechanisms

Public support

• See next slide

Regulatory instruments

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Regulatory instruments Analytical framework

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MATERIALS PRODUCTS

DECISION TO REFURBISH

PERFORMANCE USAGE REFURBISHMENT

PRICE incentives Guides actors towards the right decisions

Regulation of ACTORS

Prompts action

Regulation of INPUTS

Prevents wrong

decisions

Regulation of OUTPUTS

Rewards/punishes right/wrong

decisions

Page 8: How to refurbish all buildings by 2050

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Policy options Main findings

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• Not enough to reach the target because expected investments that are beneficial for society, are not economical for private actors

Market facilitation

• Not enough to reach the target because massive investment needed in a context with strong public budget constraints

Public support

• Required, if we take the target seriously

Regulatory instruments

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Regulatory instruments Role of EU institutions

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• National building refurbishment targets • National building refurbishment action plans

Ensuring commitment at national level

• See next slide

Facilitating the implementation of regulatory instruments

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Regulatory instruments Recommendations for EU institutions

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• Abolish end-user regulated prices for electricity and gas • Internalize the cost of carbon into the building refurbishment decisions

Price incentives

• Continue to widen and strengthen technology standards and labeling of building refurbishment technology, products and materials

Regulation of inputs

• Create an EU energy performance certificate scheme for buildings

Regulation of outputs

Page 11: How to refurbish all buildings by 2050

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Regulatory instruments National energy performance certificate schemes for buildings

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Recommendation Bonus

Berlaymont Constructed 1963 Renovated 1991-2004

Henri Spaak Constructed 1990

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Room for discussion? [email protected]